------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  master
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-econ-master.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:  21 Feb 2015, 17:54:30

. 
. //  program:    suic-econ-master.do
. //  task:               economic downturns and suicide mortality master .do file
. //  project:    economic downturns and suicide
. //  author:     sam harper \ 20feb2015
. 
. /* 
> This program replicates the analyses presented in Harper S, Charters TJ, 
> Strumpf EC, Galea S, Nandi A. Economic downturns and suicide mortality in 
> the United States: Observational study. Int J Epidemiology, 2015
> 
> Each .do file generates output datasets with parameter estimates and
> standard errors. Thus, the last .do file for reproducing Figure 3
> depends on having run all of the prior analyses
> */
. 
. 
. 
. /*      Provides the crude number of suicides and rates by demographic group in
>         Appendix Table 1. Also estimates crude and adjusted Poisson models in 
>         Table 1. */
. do suic-econ-a1-femodels.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-a1-femodels.txt, replace text
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-econ-a1-femodels
> .txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  21 Feb 2015, 17:54:30

. 
. //  program:    suic-econ-a1-femodels.do
. //  task:               estimate impact of recessions on suicide: poisson models
. //      input:          suic-econ-data1-census.dta
. //      output:         none
. //  project:    economic conditions and suicide
. //  author:     sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 12

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. set matsize 11000

. 
. 
. // #1
. // data and descriptive table
. 
. use suic-econ-data1-census, clear
(Suicide deaths and Census denominators, 1980-2010)

. foreach var of varlist sex race2 season div {
  2.         preserve
  3.         collapse (sum) suic pop1, by(`var' stabb year)
  4.         gen rate = suic / (pop1/12) * 100000
  5.         tabstat rate, by(`var') stats(mean sd min max)
  6.         restore
  7.         }

Summary for variables: rate
     by categories of: sex (Sex)

    sex |      mean        sd       min       max
--------+----------------------------------------
  1male |  26.89627  6.856365  11.82502   55.0546
2female |  6.295377  2.010135  .7890227  19.65873
--------+----------------------------------------
  Total |  16.59583   11.4739  .7890227   55.0546
-------------------------------------------------

Summary for variables: rate
     by categories of: race2 (Race 2 Categories)

     race2 |      mean        sd       min       max
-----------+----------------------------------------
    1White |  17.30186  4.211736  7.934612  37.51197
2OtherRace |  11.98268  9.948693         0   132.073
-----------+----------------------------------------
     Total |  14.64227  8.087921         0   132.073
----------------------------------------------------

Summary for variables: rate
     by categories of: season (season of death)

season |      mean        sd       min       max
-------+----------------------------------------
winter |  15.50891  4.559761  5.820596   38.8596
spring |  16.93003  4.843665  6.374575  40.90692
summer |  16.85979  4.851447  6.115818  38.21397
  fall |   15.9531  4.510175  4.180494  37.67201
-------+----------------------------------------
 Total |  16.31296  4.731387  4.180494  40.90692
------------------------------------------------

Summary for variables: rate
     by categories of: div (division (numeric))

             div |      mean        sd       min       max
-----------------+----------------------------------------
     New England |  13.60394  3.417667  7.490963  21.64288
 Middle Atlantic |  10.76463  2.655168   7.43501  15.55078
East North Centr |  14.11027  1.694342  9.358541  18.06472
West North Centr |   15.3117  1.959835  11.24405  21.50511
  South Atlantic |  15.35017  2.148558  10.40943  22.79618
East South Centr |  15.90241  1.364537  11.60129  19.27535
West South Centr |  16.41472  1.801089  12.58985  20.45642
        Mountain |  23.02879  3.373962  16.29056   36.7192
         Pacific |  17.53631  4.389741   10.1446  30.90712
-----------------+----------------------------------------
           Total |  16.31265  4.289079   7.43501   36.7192
----------------------------------------------------------

.         
. 
. * re-scale icei for a 10-unit change, change sign to estimate decrease
. replace icei= -1*icei/10
(297600 real changes made)

. 
. 
. 
. // #2
. // crude poisson model without adjustments: Model 0
. 
. poisson suic icei, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =       2.52
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.1124
Log pseudolikelihood = -653188.23                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0006

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.010      0.006     1.59   0.112        0.998       1.022
       _cons |     16.552      1.308    35.52   0.000       14.178      19.324
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_0: estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.15       0.09     1.59   0.112        -0.03        0.33
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_m_0, replace) 

.         
.         
. // #3
. // now add individual covariates: Model 1
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat, offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(6)    =   38637.36
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -427165.13                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3465

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.011      0.006     1.77   0.077        0.999       1.022
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.241      0.006   -60.44   0.000        0.230       0.252
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.525      0.019   -18.02   0.000        0.489       0.563
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.284      0.022    14.39   0.000        1.241       1.329
   45 to 64  |      1.367      0.050     8.48   0.000        1.272       1.469
       >=65  |      1.631      0.082     9.70   0.000        1.477       1.800
             |
       _cons |     22.821      1.336    53.44   0.000       20.348      25.594
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_1: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.13       0.08     1.76   0.079        -0.02        0.28
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -15.45       0.55   -28.23   0.000       -16.52      -14.38
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -7.87       0.48   -16.41   0.000        -8.81       -6.93
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       2.72       0.20    13.93   0.000         2.34        3.10
   45 to 64  |       3.51       0.43     8.14   0.000         2.66        4.35
       >=65  |       6.03       0.71     8.53   0.000         4.64        7.41
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_m_1, replace) 

.         
. 
.         
. // #4
. // now add state and season/year fixed effects: Model 2
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -405168.67                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3801

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.010      0.005     2.02   0.044        1.000       1.021
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.80   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.28   0.000        0.494       0.571
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.03   0.000        1.246       1.332
   45 to 64  |      1.376      0.049     9.03   0.000        1.284       1.474
       >=65  |      1.638      0.080    10.15   0.000        1.489       1.801
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.454      0.010    52.13   0.000        1.433       1.474
         AZ  |      1.296      0.017    20.16   0.000        1.264       1.330
         AR  |      1.032      0.003    11.38   0.000        1.026       1.037
         CA  |      0.908      0.003   -27.31   0.000        0.902       0.914
         CO  |      1.259      0.013    22.55   0.000        1.234       1.284
         CT  |      0.653      0.004   -66.49   0.000        0.645       0.662
         DE  |      0.927      0.003   -20.56   0.000        0.920       0.934
         FL  |      1.101      0.006    17.32   0.000        1.089       1.113
         GA  |      1.006      0.007     0.82   0.412        0.992       1.021
         HI  |      1.046      0.017     2.73   0.006        1.013       1.080
         ID  |      1.230      0.017    15.25   0.000        1.198       1.263
         IL  |      0.735      0.003   -88.05   0.000        0.730       0.740
         IN  |      0.913      0.004   -23.51   0.000        0.906       0.920
         IA  |      0.829      0.004   -35.96   0.000        0.820       0.837
         KS  |      0.932      0.004   -16.24   0.000        0.924       0.940
         KY  |      0.995      0.004    -1.21   0.226        0.988       1.003
         LA  |      1.052      0.002    23.50   0.000        1.048       1.056
         ME  |      0.946      0.006    -8.15   0.000        0.934       0.959
         MD  |      0.818      0.004   -46.55   0.000        0.812       0.825
         MA  |      0.601      0.006   -54.74   0.000        0.590       0.612
         MI  |      0.881      0.004   -29.68   0.000        0.874       0.889
         MN  |      0.800      0.004   -41.32   0.000        0.791       0.808
         MS  |      1.028      0.003     8.19   0.000        1.021       1.035
         MO  |      1.000      0.004     0.06   0.953        0.992       1.008
         MT  |      1.416      0.011    46.58   0.000        1.396       1.437
         NE  |      0.815      0.005   -34.17   0.000        0.806       0.825
         NV  |      1.667      0.031    27.32   0.000        1.607       1.729
         NH  |      0.898      0.011    -8.90   0.000        0.877       0.920
         NJ  |      0.553      0.003  -119.29   0.000        0.547       0.558
         NM  |      1.467      0.010    54.07   0.000        1.447       1.488
         NY  |      0.586      0.002  -170.68   0.000        0.582       0.589
         NC  |      0.983      0.004    -4.02   0.000        0.974       0.991
         ND  |      0.875      0.006   -18.38   0.000        0.863       0.888
         OH  |      0.838      0.004   -37.99   0.000        0.830       0.845
         OK  |      1.121      0.006    20.04   0.000        1.109       1.134
         OR  |      1.163      0.013    13.83   0.000        1.139       1.188
         PA  |      0.858      0.004   -32.44   0.000        0.851       0.866
         RI  |      0.687      0.006   -45.78   0.000        0.676       0.698
         SC  |      0.996      0.004    -1.10   0.271        0.988       1.003
         SD  |      1.037      0.005     7.23   0.000        1.027       1.047
         TN  |      1.038      0.003    12.55   0.000        1.032       1.044
         TX  |      0.935      0.007    -9.46   0.000        0.922       0.948
         UT  |      1.196      0.014    15.66   0.000        1.169       1.223
         VT  |      1.013      0.006     2.17   0.030        1.001       1.024
         VA  |      0.971      0.003    -8.91   0.000        0.965       0.978
         WA  |      1.019      0.004     4.90   0.000        1.012       1.027
         WV  |      0.981      0.005    -3.63   0.000        0.971       0.991
         WI  |      0.906      0.008   -11.61   0.000        0.891       0.921
         WY  |      1.426      0.011    44.44   0.000        1.404       1.449
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.079      0.016     5.01   0.000        1.047       1.112
     summer  |      1.064      0.017     3.81   0.000        1.031       1.098
       fall  |      1.020      0.017     1.18   0.236        0.987       1.054
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.029      0.021     1.41   0.160        0.989       1.071
       1982  |      0.995      0.022    -0.21   0.830        0.954       1.039
       1983  |      1.012      0.021     0.57   0.569        0.972       1.054
       1984  |      1.042      0.022     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.086
       1985  |      1.013      0.030     0.42   0.674        0.955       1.073
       1986  |      1.079      0.025     3.26   0.001        1.031       1.129
       1987  |      1.023      0.033     0.72   0.469        0.961       1.089
       1988  |      1.039      0.030     1.31   0.190        0.981       1.099
       1989  |      1.034      0.023     1.52   0.128        0.990       1.079
       1990  |      1.020      0.038     0.53   0.599        0.948       1.097
       1991  |      0.998      0.035    -0.06   0.953        0.932       1.069
       1992  |      1.023      0.032     0.73   0.464        0.962       1.088
       1993  |      0.994      0.033    -0.19   0.846        0.930       1.061
       1994  |      0.981      0.034    -0.56   0.572        0.917       1.049
       1995  |      0.965      0.034    -1.02   0.306        0.902       1.033
       1996  |      0.950      0.042    -1.14   0.253        0.871       1.037
       1997  |      0.961      0.043    -0.89   0.372        0.881       1.049
       1998  |      0.974      0.042    -0.61   0.541        0.894       1.060
       1999  |      0.902      0.052    -1.79   0.074        0.806       1.010
       2000  |      0.910      0.055    -1.54   0.123        0.808       1.026
       2001  |      0.913      0.064    -1.30   0.194        0.796       1.047
       2002  |      0.946      0.057    -0.92   0.356        0.841       1.064
       2003  |      0.915      0.049    -1.67   0.095        0.824       1.016
       2004  |      0.930      0.058    -1.16   0.245        0.824       1.051
       2005  |      0.934      0.063    -1.00   0.315        0.818       1.067
       2006  |      0.938      0.065    -0.92   0.359        0.819       1.075
       2007  |      0.964      0.055    -0.64   0.522        0.861       1.079
       2008  |      1.017      0.065     0.26   0.797        0.897       1.152
       2009  |      0.992      0.063    -0.13   0.895        0.876       1.122
       2010  |      1.019      0.059     0.33   0.741        0.910       1.142
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.969      0.030    -1.03   0.304        0.911       1.029
spring#1982  |      1.043      0.023     1.93   0.053        0.999       1.089
spring#1983  |      0.989      0.024    -0.46   0.648        0.943       1.037
spring#1984  |      0.992      0.027    -0.29   0.773        0.941       1.046
spring#1985  |      1.032      0.024     1.34   0.179        0.986       1.080
spring#1986  |      0.986      0.023    -0.60   0.546        0.941       1.033
spring#1987  |      1.085      0.023     3.88   0.000        1.041       1.130
spring#1988  |      1.007      0.018     0.42   0.677        0.973       1.042
spring#1989  |      0.996      0.022    -0.18   0.855        0.954       1.040
spring#1990  |      0.993      0.019    -0.35   0.726        0.956       1.032
spring#1991  |      1.020      0.024     0.87   0.387        0.975       1.068
spring#1992  |      0.957      0.018    -2.28   0.023        0.922       0.994
spring#1993  |      1.008      0.020     0.38   0.706        0.969       1.048
spring#1994  |      1.032      0.021     1.54   0.125        0.991       1.073
spring#1995  |      1.044      0.025     1.81   0.070        0.997       1.094
spring#1996  |      1.029      0.026     1.12   0.262        0.979       1.082
spring#1997  |      0.992      0.027    -0.28   0.776        0.940       1.047
spring#1998  |      0.956      0.018    -2.41   0.016        0.921       0.992
spring#1999  |      0.986      0.018    -0.80   0.426        0.952       1.021
spring#2000  |      0.991      0.022    -0.43   0.667        0.949       1.034
spring#2001  |      1.011      0.019     0.55   0.583        0.973       1.049
spring#2002  |      0.997      0.016    -0.21   0.836        0.965       1.029
spring#2003  |      1.025      0.023     1.08   0.280        0.980       1.072
spring#2004  |      1.017      0.025     0.68   0.499        0.969       1.067
spring#2005  |      1.028      0.024     1.16   0.247        0.981       1.076
spring#2006  |      1.021      0.020     1.08   0.281        0.983       1.060
spring#2007  |      1.021      0.021     1.03   0.305        0.981       1.063
spring#2008  |      1.005      0.018     0.30   0.767        0.970       1.042
spring#2009  |      1.015      0.021     0.73   0.468        0.975       1.058
spring#2010  |      1.034      0.023     1.51   0.132        0.990       1.079
summer#1981  |      0.977      0.024    -0.97   0.332        0.932       1.024
summer#1982  |      1.049      0.024     2.06   0.039        1.002       1.098
summer#1983  |      0.997      0.027    -0.10   0.918        0.945       1.052
summer#1984  |      0.973      0.020    -1.35   0.178        0.935       1.013
summer#1985  |      1.002      0.020     0.13   0.899        0.965       1.042
summer#1986  |      0.998      0.016    -0.13   0.900        0.967       1.030
summer#1987  |      1.043      0.022     2.01   0.044        1.001       1.086
summer#1988  |      1.014      0.022     0.64   0.521        0.972       1.057
summer#1989  |      1.003      0.022     0.15   0.884        0.961       1.047
summer#1990  |      1.056      0.031     1.89   0.059        0.998       1.118
summer#1991  |      1.052      0.027     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.105
summer#1992  |      0.983      0.024    -0.72   0.472        0.937       1.030
summer#1993  |      1.031      0.026     1.20   0.231        0.981       1.083
summer#1994  |      1.009      0.021     0.43   0.668        0.969       1.050
summer#1995  |      1.047      0.023     2.12   0.034        1.003       1.092
summer#1996  |      1.042      0.023     1.81   0.070        0.997       1.089
summer#1997  |      0.983      0.022    -0.79   0.428        0.941       1.026
summer#1998  |      0.979      0.020    -1.04   0.299        0.942       1.019
summer#1999  |      1.015      0.023     0.64   0.523        0.970       1.061
summer#2000  |      0.987      0.022    -0.58   0.563        0.944       1.032
summer#2001  |      1.037      0.025     1.50   0.133        0.989       1.087
summer#2002  |      1.016      0.018     0.88   0.377        0.981       1.052
summer#2003  |      1.051      0.025     2.09   0.037        1.003       1.102
summer#2004  |      1.036      0.021     1.77   0.077        0.996       1.077
summer#2005  |      1.023      0.023     1.01   0.313        0.979       1.069
summer#2006  |      1.052      0.027     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.106
summer#2007  |      1.054      0.022     2.48   0.013        1.011       1.099
summer#2008  |      1.014      0.023     0.62   0.536        0.971       1.059
summer#2009  |      1.076      0.024     3.30   0.001        1.030       1.124
summer#2010  |      1.078      0.023     3.55   0.000        1.034       1.124
  fall#1981  |      0.978      0.030    -0.74   0.462        0.921       1.038
  fall#1982  |      0.993      0.021    -0.30   0.761        0.952       1.036
  fall#1983  |      0.989      0.021    -0.53   0.596        0.948       1.031
  fall#1984  |      1.001      0.022     0.04   0.969        0.958       1.046
  fall#1985  |      1.032      0.021     1.57   0.117        0.992       1.073
  fall#1986  |      0.981      0.022    -0.84   0.399        0.939       1.025
  fall#1987  |      1.008      0.020     0.40   0.692        0.970       1.048
  fall#1988  |      0.982      0.020    -0.91   0.364        0.943       1.022
  fall#1989  |      0.974      0.021    -1.20   0.232        0.934       1.017
  fall#1990  |      1.031      0.028     1.12   0.261        0.978       1.086
  fall#1991  |      1.021      0.025     0.84   0.402        0.973       1.070
  fall#1992  |      0.952      0.018    -2.54   0.011        0.917       0.989
  fall#1993  |      1.007      0.018     0.38   0.708        0.972       1.043
  fall#1994  |      1.030      0.026     1.14   0.256        0.979       1.083
  fall#1995  |      1.021      0.024     0.90   0.366        0.976       1.069
  fall#1996  |      1.017      0.023     0.73   0.463        0.972       1.063
  fall#1997  |      0.990      0.024    -0.39   0.694        0.944       1.039
  fall#1998  |      0.956      0.018    -2.35   0.019        0.921       0.993
  fall#1999  |      0.992      0.021    -0.36   0.721        0.951       1.035
  fall#2000  |      0.971      0.025    -1.17   0.243        0.924       1.020
  fall#2001  |      1.012      0.022     0.56   0.572        0.970       1.057
  fall#2002  |      0.995      0.024    -0.21   0.837        0.949       1.043
  fall#2003  |      1.005      0.023     0.19   0.847        0.960       1.051
  fall#2004  |      1.045      0.022     2.12   0.034        1.003       1.089
  fall#2005  |      1.026      0.026     1.04   0.300        0.977       1.078
  fall#2006  |      1.044      0.023     1.95   0.052        1.000       1.091
  fall#2007  |      1.066      0.022     3.18   0.001        1.025       1.109
  fall#2008  |      1.016      0.020     0.82   0.411        0.978       1.057
  fall#2009  |      1.052      0.027     1.99   0.046        1.001       1.105
  fall#2010  |      1.033      0.022     1.51   0.131        0.990       1.076
             |
       _cons |     24.003      0.988    77.20   0.000       22.142      26.020
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_2: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) predict(ir) //
> /
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.14       0.07     2.02   0.044         0.00        0.28
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -16.91       0.60   -28.41   0.000       -18.08      -15.75
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -8.48       0.47   -18.23   0.000        -9.39       -7.57
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       3.01       0.18    16.83   0.000         2.66        3.36
   45 to 64  |       3.92       0.42     9.24   0.000         3.09        4.76
       >=65  |       6.66       0.72     9.19   0.000         5.24        8.08
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.17       0.07    16.65   0.000         1.03        1.31
     summer  |       1.14       0.06    17.64   0.000         1.01        1.27
       fall  |       0.35       0.10     3.47   0.001         0.15        0.55
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

.         
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_m_2, replace) 

. 
. 
. 
. // #5
. // now add state-specific trends to FE model: Model 3
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb##c.quarter ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) ///
>         nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -403911.4                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3820

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.013      0.004     3.65   0.000        1.006       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.67   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.532      0.020   -17.14   0.000        0.495       0.572
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.16   0.000        1.247       1.331
   45 to 64  |      1.375      0.048     9.06   0.000        1.283       1.473
       >=65  |      1.637      0.079    10.19   0.000        1.489       1.800
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.891      0.018    -5.65   0.000        0.856       0.927
         AZ  |      1.559      0.034    20.13   0.000        1.493       1.628
         AR  |      0.966      0.004    -9.45   0.000        0.959       0.973
         CA  |      1.766      0.010   105.61   0.000        1.748       1.785
         CO  |      1.441      0.022    23.75   0.000        1.398       1.485
         CT  |      0.771      0.003   -63.94   0.000        0.765       0.777
         DE  |      1.181      0.008    25.65   0.000        1.166       1.196
         FL  |      1.502      0.011    55.54   0.000        1.480       1.523
         GA  |      1.372      0.019    22.40   0.000        1.335       1.411
         HI  |      1.044      0.014     3.14   0.002        1.016       1.072
         ID  |      1.160      0.037     4.70   0.000        1.090       1.234
         IL  |      1.081      0.003    28.47   0.000        1.075       1.086
         IN  |      0.979      0.004    -4.71   0.000        0.971       0.988
         IA  |      1.001      0.005     0.19   0.849        0.991       1.011
         KS  |      0.928      0.004   -18.89   0.000        0.921       0.935
         KY  |      1.062      0.004    15.44   0.000        1.054       1.070
         LA  |      1.662      0.030    28.47   0.000        1.605       1.721
         ME  |      1.182      0.005    39.42   0.000        1.173       1.192
         MD  |      1.173      0.003    56.12   0.000        1.166       1.180
         MA  |      0.845      0.004   -35.05   0.000        0.837       0.853
         MI  |      1.126      0.003    52.85   0.000        1.121       1.131
         MN  |      1.001      0.008     0.10   0.924        0.986       1.016
         MS  |      0.918      0.002   -39.27   0.000        0.914       0.922
         MO  |      1.138      0.004    35.51   0.000        1.130       1.146
         MT  |      1.382      0.005    84.81   0.000        1.372       1.393
         NE  |      1.011      0.007     1.75   0.081        0.999       1.025
         NV  |      2.299      0.084    22.75   0.000        2.140       2.470
         NH  |      1.005      0.015     0.30   0.768        0.975       1.035
         NJ  |      0.676      0.003   -92.70   0.000        0.670       0.681
         NM  |      1.661      0.022    37.91   0.000        1.618       1.706
         NY  |      0.831      0.007   -21.03   0.000        0.817       0.846
         NC  |      1.151      0.012    13.47   0.000        1.128       1.175
         ND  |      0.763      0.005   -44.56   0.000        0.754       0.772
         OH  |      1.061      0.004    17.79   0.000        1.054       1.068
         OK  |      1.131      0.012    11.53   0.000        1.107       1.155
         OR  |      1.141      0.030     5.03   0.000        1.084       1.201
         PA  |      1.021      0.007     3.11   0.002        1.008       1.034
         RI  |      0.952      0.005    -9.20   0.000        0.942       0.962
         SC  |      1.051      0.010     5.04   0.000        1.031       1.072
         SD  |      0.960      0.009    -4.55   0.000        0.943       0.977
         TN  |      1.001      0.005     0.23   0.820        0.991       1.011
         TX  |      1.416      0.011    42.90   0.000        1.394       1.439
         UT  |      1.127      0.025     5.34   0.000        1.079       1.178
         VT  |      1.449      0.006    84.46   0.000        1.436       1.461
         VA  |      1.341      0.006    63.95   0.000        1.329       1.353
         WA  |      1.190      0.012    17.09   0.000        1.166       1.214
         WV  |      0.981      0.004    -4.98   0.000        0.974       0.989
         WI  |      1.069      0.005    14.03   0.000        1.059       1.079
         WY  |      1.603      0.009    87.05   0.000        1.586       1.620
             |
     quarter |      0.994      0.002    -2.89   0.004        0.990       0.998
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.000    22.52   0.000        1.003       1.004
         AZ  |      0.999      0.000    -5.96   0.000        0.998       0.999
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    15.97   0.000        1.000       1.001
         CA  |      0.995      0.000   -98.01   0.000        0.995       0.995
         CO  |      0.999      0.000    -6.24   0.000        0.999       0.999
         CT  |      0.999      0.000   -34.82   0.000        0.999       0.999
         DE  |      0.998      0.000   -27.97   0.000        0.998       0.998
         FL  |      0.998      0.000   -34.00   0.000        0.998       0.998
         GA  |      0.998      0.000   -16.79   0.000        0.998       0.998
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -0.31   0.756        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     1.47   0.143        1.000       1.001
         IL  |      0.997      0.000  -109.78   0.000        0.997       0.997
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -14.05   0.000        0.999       1.000
         IA  |      0.999      0.000   -89.37   0.000        0.999       0.999
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     3.30   0.001        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   -15.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      0.997      0.000   -26.03   0.000        0.997       0.997
         ME  |      0.998      0.000   -72.70   0.000        0.998       0.999
         MD  |      0.998      0.000   -67.17   0.000        0.997       0.998
         MA  |      0.998      0.000   -39.05   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MI  |      0.998      0.000  -101.04   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MN  |      0.998      0.000   -23.09   0.000        0.998       0.999
         MS  |      1.001      0.000    62.65   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -56.69   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     5.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      0.999      0.000   -24.15   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NV  |      0.998      0.000    -6.56   0.000        0.997       0.998
         NH  |      0.999      0.000    -4.60   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NJ  |      0.999      0.000   -61.56   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NM  |      0.999      0.000    -6.91   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NY  |      0.998      0.000   -50.91   0.000        0.997       0.998
         NC  |      0.999      0.000   -11.87   0.000        0.999       0.999
         ND  |      1.001      0.000   219.98   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OH  |      0.998      0.000  -139.74   0.000        0.998       0.998
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    -0.69   0.493        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     0.68   0.498        1.000       1.001
         PA  |      0.999      0.000   -57.05   0.000        0.999       0.999
         RI  |      0.998      0.000   -73.71   0.000        0.998       0.998
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    -4.67   0.000        0.999       1.000
         SD  |      1.001      0.000     7.18   0.000        1.000       1.001
         TN  |      1.000      0.000     5.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      0.997      0.000   -33.83   0.000        0.997       0.997
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     1.93   0.054        1.000       1.001
         VT  |      0.998      0.000   -76.81   0.000        0.997       0.998
         VA  |      0.998      0.000   -54.72   0.000        0.998       0.998
         WA  |      0.999      0.000   -14.11   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WV  |      1.000      0.000     1.76   0.078        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      0.999      0.000   -18.05   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WY  |      0.999      0.000   -23.09   0.000        0.999       0.999
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.076      0.016     4.87   0.000        1.045       1.109
     summer  |      1.069      0.017     4.10   0.000        1.036       1.104
       fall  |      1.033      0.016     2.11   0.035        1.002       1.065
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.061      0.022     2.86   0.004        1.019       1.106
       1982  |      1.059      0.032     1.90   0.057        0.998       1.123
       1983  |      1.111      0.038     3.04   0.002        1.038       1.188
       1984  |      1.182      0.046     4.31   0.000        1.095       1.275
       1985  |      1.186      0.066     3.05   0.002        1.063       1.323
       1986  |      1.304      0.072     4.81   0.000        1.171       1.453
       1987  |      1.277      0.077     4.04   0.000        1.134       1.438
       1988  |      1.339      0.098     4.01   0.000        1.161       1.545
       1989  |      1.376      0.105     4.18   0.000        1.185       1.599
       1990  |      1.402      0.119     3.99   0.000        1.187       1.655
       1991  |      1.415      0.130     3.77   0.000        1.181       1.695
       1992  |      1.497      0.160     3.79   0.000        1.215       1.845
       1993  |      1.501      0.174     3.50   0.000        1.196       1.885
       1994  |      1.531      0.184     3.55   0.000        1.210       1.938
       1995  |      1.556      0.200     3.44   0.001        1.210       2.002
       1996  |      1.583      0.210     3.46   0.001        1.221       2.053
       1997  |      1.654      0.235     3.54   0.000        1.252       2.185
       1998  |      1.731      0.258     3.68   0.000        1.292       2.319
       1999  |      1.656      0.252     3.32   0.001        1.230       2.231
       2000  |      1.727      0.282     3.35   0.001        1.255       2.377
       2001  |      1.787      0.304     3.41   0.001        1.280       2.494
       2002  |      1.909      0.344     3.59   0.000        1.341       2.718
       2003  |      1.904      0.366     3.35   0.001        1.306       2.776
       2004  |      1.999      0.391     3.54   0.000        1.362       2.933
       2005  |      2.072      0.427     3.54   0.000        1.384       3.104
       2006  |      2.149      0.459     3.59   0.000        1.415       3.266
       2007  |      2.279      0.508     3.70   0.000        1.473       3.527
       2008  |      2.478      0.577     3.90   0.000        1.570       3.912
       2009  |      2.487      0.608     3.72   0.000        1.540       4.017
       2010  |      2.634      0.667     3.82   0.000        1.603       4.326
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.969      0.030    -1.03   0.305        0.912       1.029
spring#1982  |      1.044      0.023     1.94   0.052        1.000       1.089
spring#1983  |      0.989      0.024    -0.46   0.647        0.943       1.037
spring#1984  |      0.992      0.027    -0.28   0.776        0.942       1.046
spring#1985  |      1.032      0.024     1.35   0.178        0.986       1.080
spring#1986  |      0.986      0.023    -0.60   0.547        0.941       1.033
spring#1987  |      1.085      0.023     3.88   0.000        1.041       1.130
spring#1988  |      1.007      0.018     0.42   0.673        0.974       1.042
spring#1989  |      0.996      0.022    -0.18   0.858        0.954       1.040
spring#1990  |      0.994      0.019    -0.34   0.736        0.957       1.032
spring#1991  |      1.020      0.024     0.87   0.387        0.975       1.068
spring#1992  |      0.957      0.018    -2.28   0.023        0.922       0.994
spring#1993  |      1.008      0.020     0.38   0.706        0.969       1.048
spring#1994  |      1.032      0.021     1.54   0.125        0.991       1.073
spring#1995  |      1.044      0.025     1.82   0.069        0.997       1.094
spring#1996  |      1.029      0.026     1.12   0.262        0.979       1.082
spring#1997  |      0.992      0.027    -0.28   0.776        0.940       1.047
spring#1998  |      0.956      0.018    -2.41   0.016        0.921       0.992
spring#1999  |      0.986      0.018    -0.79   0.427        0.952       1.021
spring#2000  |      0.991      0.022    -0.42   0.672        0.949       1.034
spring#2001  |      1.011      0.019     0.56   0.574        0.974       1.050
spring#2002  |      0.997      0.016    -0.20   0.841        0.965       1.029
spring#2003  |      1.025      0.023     1.08   0.282        0.980       1.072
spring#2004  |      1.017      0.025     0.68   0.497        0.969       1.067
spring#2005  |      1.028      0.024     1.16   0.245        0.981       1.076
spring#2006  |      1.021      0.020     1.08   0.278        0.983       1.060
spring#2007  |      1.021      0.021     1.04   0.298        0.981       1.063
spring#2008  |      1.006      0.018     0.33   0.740        0.971       1.042
spring#2009  |      1.015      0.021     0.72   0.472        0.974       1.058
spring#2010  |      1.034      0.023     1.52   0.129        0.990       1.079
summer#1981  |      0.977      0.023    -0.96   0.336        0.932       1.024
summer#1982  |      1.049      0.024     2.07   0.039        1.002       1.098
summer#1983  |      0.998      0.027    -0.09   0.928        0.945       1.053
summer#1984  |      0.973      0.020    -1.31   0.189        0.935       1.013
summer#1985  |      1.003      0.020     0.14   0.886        0.964       1.043
summer#1986  |      0.998      0.016    -0.11   0.914        0.968       1.030
summer#1987  |      1.043      0.022     2.02   0.043        1.001       1.087
summer#1988  |      1.014      0.021     0.67   0.503        0.973       1.057
summer#1989  |      1.004      0.022     0.16   0.872        0.961       1.048
summer#1990  |      1.057      0.031     1.89   0.059        0.998       1.119
summer#1991  |      1.052      0.027     1.99   0.046        1.001       1.105
summer#1992  |      0.983      0.024    -0.70   0.482        0.938       1.031
summer#1993  |      1.031      0.026     1.21   0.224        0.981       1.083
summer#1994  |      1.009      0.020     0.46   0.644        0.970       1.050
summer#1995  |      1.047      0.023     2.14   0.032        1.004       1.093
summer#1996  |      1.042      0.024     1.82   0.068        0.997       1.090
summer#1997  |      0.983      0.022    -0.77   0.440        0.941       1.027
summer#1998  |      0.980      0.020    -1.02   0.310        0.942       1.019
summer#1999  |      1.015      0.023     0.66   0.511        0.971       1.061
summer#2000  |      0.987      0.023    -0.56   0.578        0.944       1.033
summer#2001  |      1.037      0.025     1.50   0.133        0.989       1.087
summer#2002  |      1.016      0.018     0.90   0.370        0.981       1.053
summer#2003  |      1.052      0.025     2.09   0.036        1.003       1.102
summer#2004  |      1.036      0.021     1.79   0.074        0.997       1.078
summer#2005  |      1.023      0.023     1.02   0.306        0.979       1.070
summer#2006  |      1.052      0.027     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.107
summer#2007  |      1.055      0.022     2.52   0.012        1.012       1.099
summer#2008  |      1.014      0.022     0.63   0.531        0.971       1.059
summer#2009  |      1.075      0.024     3.27   0.001        1.030       1.123
summer#2010  |      1.079      0.023     3.56   0.000        1.035       1.124
  fall#1981  |      0.978      0.030    -0.73   0.465        0.922       1.038
  fall#1982  |      0.993      0.021    -0.31   0.755        0.952       1.036
  fall#1983  |      0.989      0.021    -0.50   0.614        0.949       1.031
  fall#1984  |      1.002      0.022     0.07   0.941        0.959       1.046
  fall#1985  |      1.032      0.021     1.57   0.116        0.992       1.074
  fall#1986  |      0.982      0.022    -0.84   0.403        0.940       1.025
  fall#1987  |      1.009      0.020     0.43   0.669        0.970       1.049
  fall#1988  |      0.982      0.020    -0.89   0.373        0.945       1.022
  fall#1989  |      0.975      0.021    -1.18   0.238        0.934       1.017
  fall#1990  |      1.031      0.028     1.14   0.256        0.978       1.087
  fall#1991  |      1.021      0.025     0.85   0.397        0.973       1.071
  fall#1992  |      0.952      0.018    -2.54   0.011        0.917       0.989
  fall#1993  |      1.007      0.018     0.41   0.679        0.973       1.044
  fall#1994  |      1.030      0.026     1.18   0.239        0.980       1.083
  fall#1995  |      1.022      0.024     0.93   0.351        0.977       1.069
  fall#1996  |      1.018      0.023     0.76   0.446        0.973       1.064
  fall#1997  |      0.991      0.024    -0.36   0.717        0.945       1.040
  fall#1998  |      0.957      0.018    -2.36   0.018        0.922       0.993
  fall#1999  |      0.993      0.021    -0.33   0.744        0.952       1.036
  fall#2000  |      0.971      0.025    -1.15   0.250        0.924       1.021
  fall#2001  |      1.012      0.022     0.56   0.579        0.970       1.057
  fall#2002  |      0.995      0.024    -0.20   0.842        0.949       1.043
  fall#2003  |      1.005      0.023     0.20   0.841        0.960       1.051
  fall#2004  |      1.046      0.022     2.15   0.032        1.004       1.089
  fall#2005  |      1.027      0.026     1.06   0.288        0.978       1.078
  fall#2006  |      1.045      0.023     1.96   0.049        1.000       1.091
  fall#2007  |      1.066      0.021     3.21   0.001        1.025       1.109
  fall#2008  |      1.016      0.020     0.79   0.429        0.977       1.056
  fall#2009  |      1.050      0.026     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.104
  fall#2010  |      1.033      0.022     1.52   0.128        0.991       1.077
             |
       _cons |     35.354      5.903    21.35   0.000       25.487      49.041
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_3: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) predict(ir) //
> /
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.18       0.05     3.69   0.000         0.08        0.28
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -16.87       0.59   -28.39   0.000       -18.03      -15.70
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -8.43       0.46   -18.16   0.000        -9.34       -7.52
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       3.00       0.18    16.92   0.000         2.66        3.35
   45 to 64  |       3.91       0.42     9.32   0.000         3.09        4.73
       >=65  |       6.64       0.72     9.28   0.000         5.24        8.04
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.13       0.07    15.80   0.000         0.99        1.26
     summer  |       1.21       0.07    17.41   0.000         1.08        1.35
       fall  |       0.53       0.09     6.02   0.000         0.36        0.70
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_m_3, replace)    

.         
. 
.         
. // #6
. // now add state-specific quadratic time trends to basic FE model: Model 4
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter) ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -403770.52                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3822

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.014      0.005     2.91   0.004        1.005       1.023
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.69   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.533      0.020   -17.13   0.000        0.495       0.572
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.16   0.000        1.247       1.331
   45 to 64  |      1.375      0.048     9.06   0.000        1.283       1.473
       >=65  |      1.637      0.079    10.19   0.000        1.489       1.800
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.875      0.083    -1.40   0.161        0.726       1.055
         AZ  |      1.954      0.019    68.73   0.000        1.917       1.991
         AR  |      1.414      0.009    52.12   0.000        1.396       1.433
         CA  |      4.023      0.102    54.84   0.000        3.828       4.228
         CO  |      2.920      0.043    73.29   0.000        2.837       3.005
         CT  |      0.975      0.031    -0.80   0.425        0.916       1.038
         DE  |      1.541      0.017    39.92   0.000        1.509       1.574
         FL  |      2.705      0.018   145.60   0.000        2.669       2.741
         GA  |      1.986      0.020    69.55   0.000        1.948       2.025
         HI  |      1.644      0.049    16.62   0.000        1.550       1.743
         ID  |      1.762      0.032    31.58   0.000        1.701       1.825
         IL  |      1.580      0.020    36.39   0.000        1.542       1.619
         IN  |      1.193      0.010    20.46   0.000        1.173       1.213
         IA  |      1.519      0.041    15.36   0.000        1.440       1.603
         KS  |      1.440      0.030    17.72   0.000        1.383       1.499
         KY  |      1.718      0.007   134.60   0.000        1.704       1.731
         LA  |      2.120      0.145    10.96   0.000        1.854       2.425
         ME  |      1.680      0.009    95.50   0.000        1.662       1.698
         MD  |      1.507      0.028    22.31   0.000        1.454       1.562
         MA  |      2.051      0.065    22.75   0.000        1.928       2.182
         MI  |      2.200      0.111    15.57   0.000        1.992       2.430
         MN  |      1.777      0.030    34.48   0.000        1.720       1.836
         MS  |      0.825      0.010   -16.34   0.000        0.807       0.845
         MO  |      1.332      0.008    45.96   0.000        1.316       1.348
         MT  |      1.572      0.136     5.24   0.000        1.327       1.862
         NE  |      0.638      0.016   -18.27   0.000        0.608       0.670
         NV  |      2.631      0.092    27.72   0.000        2.457       2.817
         NH  |      1.752      0.021    46.54   0.000        1.711       1.794
         NJ  |      1.281      0.039     8.22   0.000        1.208       1.359
         NM  |      2.694      0.068    39.00   0.000        2.563       2.832
         NY  |      1.689      0.080    11.02   0.000        1.539       1.854
         NC  |      1.756      0.003   319.36   0.000        1.750       1.762
         ND  |      1.494      0.123     4.87   0.000        1.271       1.756
         OH  |      3.470      0.025   174.88   0.000        3.422       3.518
         OK  |      2.026      0.179     7.98   0.000        1.704       2.410
         OR  |      1.557      0.011    63.00   0.000        1.535       1.578
         PA  |      1.546      0.048    13.96   0.000        1.454       1.643
         RI  |      5.592      0.133    72.28   0.000        5.337       5.859
         SC  |      1.242      0.008    35.53   0.000        1.228       1.257
         SD  |      1.224      0.029     8.39   0.000        1.167       1.283
         TN  |      1.661      0.006   132.65   0.000        1.649       1.674
         TX  |      2.137      0.102    15.94   0.000        1.947       2.346
         UT  |      1.941      0.031    41.58   0.000        1.881       2.003
         VT  |      3.972      0.028   194.55   0.000        3.917       4.027
         VA  |      2.319      0.033    58.59   0.000        2.255       2.385
         WA  |      1.589      0.010    76.17   0.000        1.570       1.608
         WV  |      1.072      0.010     7.21   0.000        1.052       1.093
         WI  |      2.779      0.137    20.66   0.000        2.522       3.062
         WY  |      3.733      0.460    10.68   0.000        2.931       4.754
             |
     quarter |      1.001      0.008     0.19   0.849        0.987       1.016
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -1.15   0.252        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.001     2.69   0.007        1.001       1.006
         AZ  |      0.995      0.000   -17.53   0.000        0.995       0.996
         AR  |      0.995      0.000   -51.92   0.000        0.995       0.995
         CA  |      0.983      0.000   -42.09   0.000        0.982       0.984
         CO  |      0.989      0.000   -38.77   0.000        0.988       0.989
         CT  |      0.995      0.000   -10.30   0.000        0.995       0.996
         DE  |      0.994      0.000   -45.99   0.000        0.994       0.995
         FL  |      0.989      0.000  -203.19   0.000        0.989       0.989
         GA  |      0.992      0.000  -116.26   0.000        0.992       0.993
         HI  |      0.993      0.000   -17.73   0.000        0.992       0.994
         ID  |      0.994      0.000   -11.77   0.000        0.993       0.995
         IL  |      0.992      0.000   -50.27   0.000        0.991       0.992
         IN  |      0.997      0.000   -35.94   0.000        0.996       0.997
         IA  |      0.993      0.000   -19.80   0.000        0.992       0.993
         KS  |      0.994      0.000   -23.43   0.000        0.993       0.994
         KY  |      0.992      0.000  -231.34   0.000        0.992       0.993
         LA  |      0.993      0.001    -8.11   0.000        0.992       0.995
         ME  |      0.993      0.000  -116.54   0.000        0.993       0.993
         MD  |      0.994      0.000   -23.66   0.000        0.993       0.994
         MA  |      0.985      0.000   -35.87   0.000        0.984       0.985
         MI  |      0.988      0.001   -14.66   0.000        0.987       0.990
         MN  |      0.990      0.000   -35.87   0.000        0.989       0.991
         MS  |      1.002      0.000    14.30   0.000        1.002       1.003
         MO  |      0.997      0.000   -33.59   0.000        0.997       0.997
         MT  |      0.998      0.001    -1.40   0.162        0.996       1.001
         NE  |      1.006      0.000    14.17   0.000        1.005       1.006
         NV  |      0.996      0.000   -17.83   0.000        0.995       0.996
         NH  |      0.991      0.000   -37.21   0.000        0.991       0.991
         NJ  |      0.989      0.000   -26.78   0.000        0.988       0.990
         NM  |      0.992      0.000   -17.51   0.000        0.991       0.993
         NY  |      0.987      0.001   -21.08   0.000        0.986       0.988
         NC  |      0.993      0.000  -101.38   0.000        0.993       0.993
         ND  |      0.991      0.001    -7.84   0.000        0.989       0.993
         OH  |      0.981      0.000  -223.91   0.000        0.981       0.981
         OK  |      0.991      0.001    -7.33   0.000        0.989       0.994
         OR  |      0.996      0.000   -31.57   0.000        0.995       0.996
         PA  |      0.993      0.000   -18.26   0.000        0.992       0.993
         RI  |      0.972      0.000   -99.26   0.000        0.971       0.972
         SC  |      0.997      0.000   -95.86   0.000        0.997       0.997
         SD  |      0.997      0.000    -7.28   0.000        0.996       0.998
         TN  |      0.993      0.000  -129.75   0.000        0.993       0.993
         TX  |      0.991      0.001   -12.00   0.000        0.990       0.993
         UT  |      0.992      0.000   -20.22   0.000        0.992       0.993
         VT  |      0.983      0.000  -256.37   0.000        0.982       0.983
         VA  |      0.990      0.000   -46.06   0.000        0.989       0.990
         WA  |      0.995      0.000   -37.43   0.000        0.994       0.995
         WV  |      0.999      0.000    -9.42   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WI  |      0.985      0.001   -21.39   0.000        0.983       0.986
         WY  |      0.987      0.002    -7.53   0.000        0.983       0.990
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     0.06   0.950        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     6.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    41.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    26.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    21.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     7.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    77.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    67.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    39.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    28.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     7.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    30.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    54.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    16.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    22.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   120.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     5.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   102.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    12.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    25.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    12.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    23.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -8.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    28.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     1.51   0.130        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -15.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     9.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    18.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    22.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    11.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    18.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    33.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     8.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   221.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     7.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    10.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    16.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    82.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    26.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000     6.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    71.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     7.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    12.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   172.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    29.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    17.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000     8.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    17.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     6.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.076      0.016     4.87   0.000        1.045       1.108
     summer  |      1.069      0.018     4.05   0.000        1.035       1.105
       fall  |      1.033      0.016     2.13   0.033        1.003       1.065
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.062      0.026     2.52   0.012        1.014       1.114
       1982  |      1.061      0.044     1.42   0.157        0.978       1.151
       1983  |      1.113      0.059     2.02   0.043        1.003       1.235
       1984  |      1.186      0.075     2.71   0.007        1.048       1.341
       1985  |      1.191      0.097     2.13   0.033        1.014       1.398
       1986  |      1.310      0.116     3.06   0.002        1.102       1.558
       1987  |      1.284      0.125     2.56   0.010        1.060       1.554
       1988  |      1.346      0.154     2.60   0.009        1.076       1.684
       1989  |      1.384      0.169     2.67   0.008        1.091       1.758
       1990  |      1.410      0.185     2.62   0.009        1.090       1.824
       1991  |      1.423      0.202     2.48   0.013        1.077       1.880
       1992  |      1.506      0.237     2.60   0.009        1.106       2.051
       1993  |      1.510      0.249     2.50   0.013        1.092       2.087
       1994  |      1.540      0.264     2.52   0.012        1.100       2.155
       1995  |      1.565      0.283     2.48   0.013        1.098       2.231
       1996  |      1.592      0.289     2.56   0.010        1.116       2.271
       1997  |      1.663      0.323     2.61   0.009        1.136       2.435
       1998  |      1.741      0.345     2.80   0.005        1.181       2.566
       1999  |      1.666      0.327     2.60   0.009        1.133       2.448
       2000  |      1.736      0.356     2.69   0.007        1.162       2.594
       2001  |      1.796      0.375     2.81   0.005        1.193       2.703
       2002  |      1.918      0.416     3.00   0.003        1.253       2.933
       2003  |      1.912      0.432     2.87   0.004        1.228       2.977
       2004  |      2.007      0.454     3.08   0.002        1.288       3.126
       2005  |      2.080      0.481     3.17   0.002        1.322       3.273
       2006  |      2.157      0.505     3.28   0.001        1.363       3.412
       2007  |      2.286      0.548     3.45   0.001        1.429       3.658
       2008  |      2.485      0.610     3.71   0.000        1.536       4.019
       2009  |      2.491      0.632     3.60   0.000        1.515       4.095
       2010  |      2.636      0.682     3.74   0.000        1.587       4.377
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.969      0.030    -1.03   0.304        0.912       1.029
spring#1982  |      1.044      0.023     1.95   0.052        1.000       1.089
spring#1983  |      0.989      0.024    -0.46   0.646        0.943       1.037
spring#1984  |      0.992      0.027    -0.28   0.778        0.942       1.046
spring#1985  |      1.032      0.024     1.35   0.176        0.986       1.080
spring#1986  |      0.986      0.024    -0.60   0.550        0.941       1.033
spring#1987  |      1.085      0.023     3.89   0.000        1.041       1.130
spring#1988  |      1.007      0.018     0.43   0.668        0.974       1.042
spring#1989  |      0.996      0.022    -0.17   0.861        0.954       1.040
spring#1990  |      0.994      0.019    -0.33   0.742        0.957       1.032
spring#1991  |      1.021      0.024     0.87   0.386        0.975       1.069
spring#1992  |      0.958      0.018    -2.28   0.023        0.923       0.994
spring#1993  |      1.008      0.021     0.38   0.705        0.968       1.049
spring#1994  |      1.032      0.021     1.54   0.123        0.992       1.073
spring#1995  |      1.044      0.025     1.83   0.067        0.997       1.094
spring#1996  |      1.029      0.026     1.13   0.260        0.979       1.083
spring#1997  |      0.992      0.027    -0.28   0.776        0.941       1.047
spring#1998  |      0.956      0.018    -2.44   0.015        0.922       0.991
spring#1999  |      0.986      0.018    -0.79   0.432        0.952       1.021
spring#2000  |      0.991      0.022    -0.41   0.679        0.949       1.034
spring#2001  |      1.011      0.020     0.57   0.569        0.974       1.050
spring#2002  |      0.997      0.017    -0.19   0.850        0.965       1.030
spring#2003  |      1.025      0.023     1.08   0.280        0.980       1.072
spring#2004  |      1.017      0.025     0.68   0.495        0.969       1.067
spring#2005  |      1.028      0.024     1.17   0.244        0.981       1.077
spring#2006  |      1.021      0.020     1.08   0.281        0.983       1.061
spring#2007  |      1.022      0.021     1.06   0.291        0.982       1.063
spring#2008  |      1.006      0.018     0.35   0.729        0.972       1.042
spring#2009  |      1.015      0.021     0.72   0.470        0.974       1.058
spring#2010  |      1.034      0.022     1.57   0.116        0.992       1.078
summer#1981  |      0.977      0.023    -0.97   0.332        0.933       1.024
summer#1982  |      1.049      0.024     2.06   0.039        1.002       1.098
summer#1983  |      0.998      0.027    -0.09   0.930        0.945       1.053
summer#1984  |      0.973      0.020    -1.30   0.192        0.935       1.014
summer#1985  |      1.003      0.020     0.14   0.886        0.964       1.043
summer#1986  |      0.998      0.016    -0.11   0.913        0.967       1.031
summer#1987  |      1.043      0.022     2.02   0.044        1.001       1.087
summer#1988  |      1.014      0.021     0.67   0.502        0.973       1.057
summer#1989  |      1.003      0.022     0.16   0.874        0.961       1.048
summer#1990  |      1.057      0.031     1.89   0.059        0.998       1.119
summer#1991  |      1.052      0.027     1.99   0.046        1.001       1.105
summer#1992  |      0.983      0.024    -0.70   0.487        0.937       1.032
summer#1993  |      1.031      0.026     1.23   0.220        0.982       1.082
summer#1994  |      1.009      0.020     0.45   0.650        0.970       1.050
summer#1995  |      1.047      0.023     2.08   0.038        1.003       1.094
summer#1996  |      1.042      0.023     1.85   0.064        0.998       1.088
summer#1997  |      0.983      0.023    -0.75   0.451        0.940       1.028
summer#1998  |      0.980      0.021    -0.97   0.331        0.940       1.021
summer#1999  |      1.015      0.023     0.65   0.517        0.971       1.061
summer#2000  |      0.987      0.023    -0.55   0.585        0.943       1.034
summer#2001  |      1.037      0.025     1.47   0.141        0.988       1.088
summer#2002  |      1.016      0.018     0.88   0.381        0.980       1.053
summer#2003  |      1.051      0.026     2.04   0.042        1.002       1.103
summer#2004  |      1.036      0.021     1.73   0.084        0.995       1.079
summer#2005  |      1.023      0.024     0.99   0.323        0.978       1.071
summer#2006  |      1.052      0.028     1.92   0.054        0.999       1.107
summer#2007  |      1.054      0.022     2.53   0.011        1.012       1.099
summer#2008  |      1.014      0.023     0.61   0.544        0.970       1.060
summer#2009  |      1.075      0.024     3.22   0.001        1.029       1.123
summer#2010  |      1.078      0.024     3.36   0.001        1.032       1.127
  fall#1981  |      0.978      0.030    -0.73   0.464        0.922       1.038
  fall#1982  |      0.993      0.021    -0.32   0.749        0.952       1.036
  fall#1983  |      0.989      0.021    -0.50   0.619        0.948       1.032
  fall#1984  |      1.002      0.022     0.07   0.943        0.959       1.046
  fall#1985  |      1.032      0.021     1.56   0.119        0.992       1.074
  fall#1986  |      0.981      0.022    -0.85   0.397        0.940       1.025
  fall#1987  |      1.008      0.020     0.42   0.672        0.970       1.048
  fall#1988  |      0.982      0.020    -0.89   0.372        0.944       1.022
  fall#1989  |      0.974      0.020    -1.24   0.217        0.935       1.015
  fall#1990  |      1.031      0.028     1.13   0.260        0.978       1.086
  fall#1991  |      1.020      0.024     0.84   0.402        0.973       1.069
  fall#1992  |      0.952      0.019    -2.47   0.014        0.916       0.990
  fall#1993  |      1.007      0.018     0.40   0.690        0.973       1.042
  fall#1994  |      1.030      0.025     1.20   0.230        0.981       1.081
  fall#1995  |      1.021      0.025     0.86   0.388        0.974       1.072
  fall#1996  |      1.017      0.021     0.82   0.414        0.976       1.060
  fall#1997  |      0.991      0.025    -0.37   0.712        0.944       1.040
  fall#1998  |      0.956      0.018    -2.37   0.018        0.922       0.992
  fall#1999  |      0.993      0.021    -0.35   0.729        0.952       1.035
  fall#2000  |      0.971      0.026    -1.12   0.265        0.922       1.023
  fall#2001  |      1.012      0.021     0.56   0.575        0.972       1.053
  fall#2002  |      0.995      0.024    -0.22   0.825        0.948       1.043
  fall#2003  |      1.004      0.024     0.18   0.861        0.959       1.051
  fall#2004  |      1.045      0.023     1.98   0.048        1.000       1.092
  fall#2005  |      1.026      0.027     0.99   0.321        0.975       1.080
  fall#2006  |      1.044      0.023     1.94   0.052        1.000       1.091
  fall#2007  |      1.066      0.022     3.12   0.002        1.024       1.109
  fall#2008  |      1.015      0.022     0.70   0.484        0.973       1.058
  fall#2009  |      1.050      0.025     2.01   0.045        1.001       1.100
  fall#2010  |      1.032      0.025     1.33   0.185        0.985       1.082
             |
       _cons |     21.466      9.843     6.69   0.000        8.739      52.731
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_4: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) predict(ir) //
> /
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.19       0.06     2.97   0.003         0.06        0.31
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -16.87       0.59   -28.42   0.000       -18.03      -15.70
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -8.43       0.46   -18.16   0.000        -9.33       -7.52
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       3.01       0.18    16.92   0.000         2.66        3.35
   45 to 64  |       3.91       0.42     9.32   0.000         3.09        4.73
       >=65  |       6.64       0.72     9.28   0.000         5.24        8.04
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.12       0.07    15.82   0.000         0.99        1.26
     summer  |       1.21       0.07    17.44   0.000         1.08        1.35
       fall  |       0.53       0.09     6.04   0.000         0.36        0.70
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_m_4, replace) 

.         
. 
.         
. // #7   
. // include state-specific cubic trends: Model 5
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter##c.qua
> rter) ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -403642.18                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3824

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.021      0.006     3.41   0.001        1.009       1.033
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.68   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.532      0.020   -17.13   0.000        0.495       0.572
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.15   0.000        1.247       1.331
   45 to 64  |      1.375      0.048     9.05   0.000        1.283       1.473
       >=65  |      1.637      0.079    10.19   0.000        1.489       1.800
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |     95.777      8.795    49.68   0.000       80.001     114.665
         AZ  |      1.447      0.272     1.96   0.050        1.001       2.092
         AR  |      6.802      0.217    59.98   0.000        6.389       7.241
         CA  |      1.165      0.041     4.38   0.000        1.088       1.247
         CO  |     10.709      2.143    11.85   0.000        7.235      15.852
         CT  |      0.416      0.035   -10.45   0.000        0.352       0.490
         DE  |      1.288      0.032    10.23   0.000        1.227       1.353
         FL  |      2.980      0.142    22.85   0.000        2.714       3.273
         GA  |      2.180      0.126    13.50   0.000        1.947       2.442
         HI  |      0.663      0.105    -2.60   0.009        0.486       0.904
         ID  |      0.851      0.302    -0.45   0.649        0.424       1.706
         IL  |      0.451      0.040    -8.93   0.000        0.379       0.537
         IN  |      1.472      0.086     6.61   0.000        1.313       1.651
         IA  |      1.294      0.084     3.98   0.000        1.140       1.468
         KS  |      3.215      0.286    13.13   0.000        2.700       3.827
         KY  |      3.839      0.233    22.15   0.000        3.408       4.324
         LA  |      1.568      0.225     3.13   0.002        1.183       2.078
         ME  |      2.452      0.069    31.75   0.000        2.320       2.591
         MD  |      1.843      0.098    11.52   0.000        1.661       2.046
         MA  |      0.276      0.017   -21.53   0.000        0.245       0.310
         MI  |      4.628      0.868     8.17   0.000        3.204       6.684
         MN  |      0.484      0.029   -12.22   0.000        0.430       0.543
         MS  |      0.578      0.033    -9.50   0.000        0.516       0.647
         MO  |      0.963      0.052    -0.69   0.488        0.866       1.071
         MT  |      1.476      0.358     1.60   0.109        0.917       2.375
         NE  |      1.200      0.120     1.82   0.068        0.986       1.460
         NV  |     20.963     10.069     6.33   0.000        8.177      53.742
         NH  |      0.911      0.016    -5.37   0.000        0.880       0.943
         NJ  |      5.642      0.297    32.86   0.000        5.089       6.255
         NM  |      5.606      0.510    18.94   0.000        4.690       6.701
         NY  |      2.270      0.242     7.70   0.000        1.843       2.797
         NC  |      5.634      0.045   217.89   0.000        5.547       5.723
         ND  |      4.031      0.310    18.11   0.000        3.466       4.687
         OH  |     24.803      2.384    33.41   0.000       20.544      29.945
         OK  |     20.502      3.774    16.41   0.000       14.292      29.409
         OR  |      4.520      0.934     7.30   0.000        3.015       6.776
         PA  |      1.048      0.023     2.17   0.030        1.004       1.093
         RI  |      0.412      0.016   -23.01   0.000        0.382       0.445
         SC  |      0.519      0.015   -22.20   0.000        0.490       0.550
         SD  |      5.576      0.267    35.84   0.000        5.076       6.126
         TN  |      6.344      0.131    89.42   0.000        6.092       6.606
         TX  |      0.575      0.037    -8.68   0.000        0.507       0.651
         UT  |      4.038      0.611     9.23   0.000        3.002       5.432
         VT  |      0.990      0.061    -0.17   0.865        0.878       1.116
         VA  |      3.652      0.178    26.53   0.000        3.319       4.019
         WA  |      3.296      0.087    44.97   0.000        3.129       3.472
         WV  |     28.431      1.398    68.10   0.000       25.820      31.306
         WI  |      3.930      0.876     6.14   0.000        2.540       6.082
         WY  |      2.477      0.303     7.42   0.000        1.949       3.147
             |
     quarter |      1.107      0.023     4.88   0.000        1.063       1.153
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.000    -4.70   0.000        0.999       1.000
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     4.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.904      0.003   -31.24   0.000        0.898       0.910
         AZ  |      1.002      0.004     0.44   0.663        0.993       1.011
         AR  |      0.960      0.001   -55.71   0.000        0.958       0.961
         CA  |      1.012      0.001    12.85   0.000        1.010       1.014
         CO  |      0.960      0.004    -9.10   0.000        0.951       0.968
         CT  |      1.016      0.002     6.75   0.000        1.011       1.020
         DE  |      0.998      0.001    -2.44   0.015        0.997       1.000
         FL  |      0.987      0.001   -11.31   0.000        0.985       0.989
         GA  |      0.990      0.002    -6.50   0.000        0.987       0.993
         HI  |      1.014      0.004     3.63   0.000        1.007       1.022
         ID  |      1.011      0.008     1.28   0.202        0.994       1.027
         IL  |      1.021      0.002    10.89   0.000        1.017       1.025
         IN  |      0.992      0.001    -5.83   0.000        0.989       0.994
         IA  |      0.997      0.001    -2.86   0.004        0.994       0.999
         KS  |      0.976      0.002   -13.61   0.000        0.972       0.979
         KY  |      0.974      0.001   -18.56   0.000        0.972       0.977
         LA  |      1.001      0.002     0.58   0.561        0.997       1.006
         ME  |      0.985      0.001   -23.04   0.000        0.984       0.986
         MD  |      0.989      0.001    -7.43   0.000        0.987       0.992
         MA  |      1.032      0.002    18.31   0.000        1.028       1.035
         MI  |      0.971      0.005    -6.15   0.000        0.962       0.980
         MN  |      1.020      0.001    15.95   0.000        1.018       1.023
         MS  |      1.011      0.001     8.87   0.000        1.008       1.013
         MO  |      1.004      0.001     3.36   0.001        1.002       1.007
         MT  |      1.001      0.005     0.17   0.866        0.992       1.010
         NE  |      0.991      0.002    -4.18   0.000        0.987       0.995
         NV  |      0.949      0.011    -4.51   0.000        0.928       0.971
         NH  |      1.006      0.000    15.83   0.000        1.005       1.007
         NJ  |      0.956      0.001   -29.48   0.000        0.954       0.959
         NM  |      0.976      0.002   -12.89   0.000        0.972       0.979
         NY  |      0.981      0.003    -6.32   0.000        0.975       0.987
         NC  |      0.966      0.000  -131.58   0.000        0.966       0.967
         ND  |      0.970      0.001   -36.63   0.000        0.968       0.971
         OH  |      0.937      0.002   -30.38   0.000        0.934       0.941
         OK  |      0.941      0.003   -19.21   0.000        0.936       0.947
         OR  |      0.971      0.005    -5.81   0.000        0.962       0.981
         PA  |      1.002      0.001     3.70   0.000        1.001       1.003
         RI  |      1.032      0.001    31.08   0.000        1.030       1.034
         SC  |      1.017      0.001    21.55   0.000        1.015       1.019
         SD  |      0.963      0.001   -38.89   0.000        0.961       0.965
         TN  |      0.963      0.001   -72.28   0.000        0.962       0.964
         TX  |      1.022      0.001    21.51   0.000        1.020       1.024
         UT  |      0.976      0.003    -6.99   0.000        0.969       0.983
         VT  |      1.015      0.001     9.87   0.000        1.012       1.017
         VA  |      0.980      0.001   -16.39   0.000        0.977       0.982
         WA  |      0.978      0.001   -33.69   0.000        0.977       0.979
         WV  |      0.926      0.001   -73.34   0.000        0.925       0.928
         WI  |      0.978      0.004    -4.96   0.000        0.969       0.986
         WY  |      0.998      0.001    -1.70   0.088        0.995       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.001      0.000    25.10   0.000        1.001       1.001
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -1.11   0.268        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    54.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -21.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     7.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    -7.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -2.32   0.020        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     5.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000     3.07   0.002        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -4.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -1.65   0.099        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -14.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     4.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    -1.46   0.144        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    12.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    15.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -4.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    17.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     3.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000   -21.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     4.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -23.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -8.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -4.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.66   0.507        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     5.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     4.12   0.000        1.000       1.001
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -29.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    21.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    11.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     3.08   0.002        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   102.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    75.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    25.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    23.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     5.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    -8.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000   -42.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -21.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    46.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    62.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -48.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     5.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -16.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    10.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    29.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.001      0.000    77.75   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     3.29   0.001        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   -14.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -21.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     1.70   0.089        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -55.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    22.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    -7.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     7.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000     4.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -1.98   0.048        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    -1.51   0.131        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     4.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     2.24   0.025        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    17.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -3.29   0.001        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     5.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -12.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   -13.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     6.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -14.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -2.29   0.022        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    21.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -3.26   0.001        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    33.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000     8.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000     5.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     1.45   0.147        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -8.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -4.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    26.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -16.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -12.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -1.37   0.171        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000  -136.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -25.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -21.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000   -30.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -5.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    10.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    47.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    25.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000   -68.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -60.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   200.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    -5.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    21.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    -6.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -33.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -83.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    -1.71   0.087        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    13.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.080      0.016     5.18   0.000        1.049       1.112
     summer  |      1.058      0.017     3.44   0.001        1.025       1.093
       fall  |      1.010      0.016     0.63   0.531        0.979       1.042
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.011      0.025     0.44   0.662        0.963       1.062
       1982  |      0.969      0.037    -0.83   0.407        0.900       1.044
       1983  |      0.986      0.047    -0.29   0.769        0.899       1.082
       1984  |      1.031      0.058     0.54   0.590        0.924       1.150
       1985  |      1.022      0.073     0.30   0.761        0.888       1.176
       1986  |      1.118      0.089     1.40   0.163        0.956       1.308
       1987  |      1.096      0.096     1.05   0.293        0.924       1.301
       1988  |      1.158      0.119     1.42   0.154        0.946       1.417
       1989  |      1.205      0.134     1.67   0.094        0.969       1.498
       1990  |      1.245      0.150     1.82   0.068        0.984       1.576
       1991  |      1.278      0.170     1.85   0.065        0.985       1.659
       1992  |      1.381      0.206     2.16   0.031        1.030       1.851
       1993  |      1.419      0.225     2.21   0.027        1.040       1.937
       1994  |      1.488      0.250     2.37   0.018        1.071       2.067
       1995  |      1.556      0.280     2.46   0.014        1.094       2.214
       1996  |      1.628      0.298     2.66   0.008        1.137       2.330
       1997  |      1.750      0.349     2.80   0.005        1.183       2.588
       1998  |      1.884      0.389     3.07   0.002        1.258       2.823
       1999  |      1.851      0.384     2.96   0.003        1.232       2.780
       2000  |      1.975      0.432     3.11   0.002        1.286       3.032
       2001  |      2.079      0.466     3.26   0.001        1.339       3.227
       2002  |      2.247      0.527     3.45   0.001        1.419       3.559
       2003  |      2.262      0.553     3.34   0.001        1.400       3.652
       2004  |      2.389      0.587     3.55   0.000        1.476       3.865
       2005  |      2.481      0.622     3.62   0.000        1.518       4.056
       2006  |      2.563      0.647     3.73   0.000        1.562       4.204
       2007  |      2.685      0.689     3.85   0.000        1.624       4.441
       2008  |      2.853      0.740     4.04   0.000        1.715       4.745
       2009  |      2.758      0.728     3.84   0.000        1.644       4.627
       2010  |      2.800      0.741     3.89   0.000        1.667       4.704
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.969      0.030    -1.04   0.300        0.912       1.029
spring#1982  |      1.042      0.023     1.91   0.056        0.999       1.088
spring#1983  |      0.986      0.024    -0.57   0.571        0.941       1.034
spring#1984  |      0.990      0.026    -0.38   0.702        0.939       1.043
spring#1985  |      1.028      0.024     1.20   0.231        0.982       1.077
spring#1986  |      0.982      0.023    -0.77   0.443        0.937       1.029
spring#1987  |      1.080      0.022     3.70   0.000        1.037       1.125
spring#1988  |      1.003      0.018     0.16   0.876        0.969       1.038
spring#1989  |      0.991      0.022    -0.40   0.690        0.949       1.035
spring#1990  |      0.989      0.019    -0.57   0.572        0.952       1.028
spring#1991  |      1.015      0.023     0.63   0.526        0.970       1.062
spring#1992  |      0.952      0.018    -2.58   0.010        0.917       0.988
spring#1993  |      1.002      0.021     0.08   0.934        0.962       1.043
spring#1994  |      1.025      0.021     1.24   0.215        0.986       1.067
spring#1995  |      1.038      0.024     1.60   0.110        0.992       1.087
spring#1996  |      1.023      0.026     0.91   0.365        0.974       1.075
spring#1997  |      0.986      0.027    -0.50   0.616        0.935       1.041
spring#1998  |      0.951      0.017    -2.77   0.006        0.917       0.985
spring#1999  |      0.980      0.018    -1.11   0.268        0.946       1.015
spring#2000  |      0.986      0.021    -0.65   0.519        0.945       1.029
spring#2001  |      1.007      0.020     0.34   0.737        0.969       1.046
spring#2002  |      0.992      0.016    -0.47   0.640        0.961       1.025
spring#2003  |      1.020      0.023     0.90   0.368        0.977       1.066
spring#2004  |      1.013      0.025     0.53   0.595        0.966       1.063
spring#2005  |      1.024      0.024     1.03   0.302        0.979       1.073
spring#2006  |      1.019      0.020     0.95   0.343        0.981       1.058
spring#2007  |      1.020      0.021     0.98   0.330        0.980       1.061
spring#2008  |      1.006      0.018     0.34   0.731        0.971       1.042
spring#2009  |      1.014      0.021     0.68   0.495        0.974       1.057
spring#2010  |      1.034      0.022     1.59   0.112        0.992       1.078
summer#1981  |      0.980      0.023    -0.84   0.401        0.935       1.027
summer#1982  |      1.053      0.024     2.23   0.026        1.006       1.102
summer#1983  |      1.003      0.028     0.12   0.905        0.951       1.059
summer#1984  |      0.981      0.020    -0.94   0.348        0.942       1.021
summer#1985  |      1.011      0.020     0.57   0.570        0.973       1.051
summer#1986  |      1.008      0.017     0.46   0.648        0.975       1.041
summer#1987  |      1.054      0.022     2.53   0.011        1.012       1.099
summer#1988  |      1.026      0.022     1.20   0.231        0.984       1.071
summer#1989  |      1.016      0.022     0.73   0.465        0.974       1.060
summer#1990  |      1.071      0.031     2.36   0.018        1.012       1.134
summer#1991  |      1.066      0.027     2.48   0.013        1.013       1.120
summer#1992  |      0.997      0.024    -0.13   0.897        0.951       1.045
summer#1993  |      1.046      0.026     1.81   0.071        0.996       1.099
summer#1994  |      1.025      0.021     1.18   0.239        0.984       1.067
summer#1995  |      1.063      0.023     2.77   0.006        1.018       1.110
summer#1996  |      1.058      0.024     2.50   0.012        1.012       1.106
summer#1997  |      0.998      0.023    -0.09   0.927        0.953       1.044
summer#1998  |      0.994      0.021    -0.26   0.792        0.954       1.037
summer#1999  |      1.030      0.023     1.28   0.199        0.985       1.077
summer#2000  |      1.001      0.023     0.06   0.951        0.957       1.048
summer#2001  |      1.050      0.026     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.102
summer#2002  |      1.029      0.018     1.61   0.108        0.994       1.065
summer#2003  |      1.063      0.026     2.48   0.013        1.013       1.116
summer#2004  |      1.048      0.022     2.24   0.025        1.006       1.092
summer#2005  |      1.034      0.024     1.44   0.150        0.988       1.082
summer#2006  |      1.061      0.028     2.27   0.023        1.008       1.118
summer#2007  |      1.063      0.022     2.90   0.004        1.020       1.108
summer#2008  |      1.020      0.023     0.89   0.375        0.976       1.067
summer#2009  |      1.078      0.024     3.40   0.001        1.032       1.126
summer#2010  |      1.083      0.024     3.57   0.000        1.036       1.131
  fall#1981  |      0.983      0.030    -0.57   0.567        0.926       1.043
  fall#1982  |      1.001      0.022     0.03   0.975        0.959       1.045
  fall#1983  |      1.003      0.021     0.12   0.903        0.961       1.046
  fall#1984  |      1.018      0.023     0.82   0.411        0.975       1.064
  fall#1985  |      1.052      0.021     2.52   0.012        1.011       1.095
  fall#1986  |      1.003      0.024     0.13   0.899        0.957       1.051
  fall#1987  |      1.034      0.022     1.59   0.113        0.992       1.077
  fall#1988  |      1.009      0.021     0.45   0.656        0.970       1.050
  fall#1989  |      1.003      0.022     0.12   0.908        0.960       1.046
  fall#1990  |      1.062      0.029     2.17   0.030        1.006       1.121
  fall#1991  |      1.052      0.027     1.97   0.049        1.000       1.107
  fall#1992  |      0.984      0.020    -0.81   0.421        0.945       1.024
  fall#1993  |      1.042      0.019     2.22   0.026        1.005       1.080
  fall#1994  |      1.067      0.028     2.45   0.014        1.013       1.123
  fall#1995  |      1.057      0.026     2.25   0.024        1.007       1.110
  fall#1996  |      1.053      0.024     2.23   0.026        1.006       1.102
  fall#1997  |      1.026      0.026     1.01   0.314        0.976       1.079
  fall#1998  |      0.989      0.021    -0.49   0.625        0.948       1.032
  fall#1999  |      1.026      0.022     1.18   0.237        0.983       1.071
  fall#2000  |      1.002      0.027     0.08   0.937        0.951       1.056
  fall#2001  |      1.041      0.023     1.81   0.070        0.997       1.086
  fall#2002  |      1.023      0.026     0.87   0.385        0.972       1.075
  fall#2003  |      1.030      0.026     1.20   0.231        0.981       1.082
  fall#2004  |      1.071      0.025     3.00   0.003        1.024       1.121
  fall#2005  |      1.049      0.027     1.84   0.066        0.997       1.105
  fall#2006  |      1.065      0.024     2.79   0.005        1.019       1.112
  fall#2007  |      1.083      0.022     3.90   0.000        1.040       1.127
  fall#2008  |      1.026      0.022     1.19   0.232        0.984       1.069
  fall#2009  |      1.055      0.025     2.27   0.023        1.007       1.105
  fall#2010  |      1.038      0.024     1.58   0.114        0.991       1.086
             |
       _cons |      0.349      0.304    -1.21   0.228        0.063       1.928
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_5: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) predict(ir) //
> /
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.29       0.08     3.47   0.001         0.12        0.45
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -16.87       0.59   -28.41   0.000       -18.03      -15.70
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -8.43       0.46   -18.16   0.000        -9.34       -7.52
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       3.01       0.18    16.91   0.000         2.66        3.35
   45 to 64  |       3.91       0.42     9.32   0.000         3.09        4.73
       >=65  |       6.64       0.72     9.28   0.000         5.24        8.04
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.12       0.07    15.80   0.000         0.99        1.26
     summer  |       1.21       0.07    17.41   0.000         1.08        1.35
       fall  |       0.53       0.09     6.04   0.000         0.36        0.70
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_m_5, replace) 

.         
. 
.         
. // #8
. // write results to file for Table 1
. 
. esttab m_* using suic-econ-table1.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar n
> ot ///
>         nolines nonum mtitle((0) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)) delimiter(";") replace
(output written to suic-econ-table1.txt)

.         
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a1-femodels.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  21 Feb 2015, 18:34:59
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit    

end of do-file

. 
. /*      Estimates crude and adjusted Poisson models for each demographic group
>         except for education. Estimates are listed in Appendix Table 2 but als
> o 
>         appear in Figure 3 */
. do suic-econ-a2-demog.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-a2-demog.txt, replace text
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a2-demog.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  21 Feb 2015, 18:34:59

. 
. //  program: suic-econ-a2-demog.do
. //  task:        poisson models by demographic group
. //      input:   suic-econ-data1-census.dta
. //      output:  suic-econ-atable-`category'_`level'.txt 
. //  project: economic conditions and suicide
. //  author:  sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 12

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. set matsize 11000

. 
. 
. // #1   
. // Bring in dataset
. 
. * Census dataset
. use suic-econ-data1-census, clear
(Suicide deaths and Census denominators, 1980-2010)

. 
. * re-scale icei for a 10-unit change
. replace icei= -1*icei/10
(297600 real changes made)

. 
. * run across each demographic group
. foreach var of varlist sex race2 agecat {
  2.         quietly levelsof `var', local(levels`var')
  3.         foreach g of local levels`var' {
  4.         
.         di "-> Group = `: label (`var') `g''"
  5. 
. 
. // #2
. // crude poisson model without adjustments: Model 0
. 
. poisson suic icei if `var'==`g', offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) ///
>         nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
  6. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo `var'_`g'_m_0: estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)
  7. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(`var'_`g'_m_0, replace) 
  8. 
. 
.         
. // #3
. // now add individual covariates: Model 1
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat if `var'==`g', offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
  9. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo `var'_`g'_m_1: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat) predict(ir)
>  ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)
 10. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(`var'_`g'_m_1, replace) 
 11.         
. 
. 
. // #4
. // now add state, season, and year fixed effects: Model 2
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year ///
>         if `var'==`g', offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)
 12. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo `var'_`g'_m_2: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 13.         
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(`var'_`g'_m_2, replace) 
 14. 
. 
. // #5
. // now add state-specific linear trends to FE model: Model 3
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb##c.quarter i.season##i.year /
> //
>         if `var'==`g', offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)
 15. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo `var'_`g'_m_3: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)
 16. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(`var'_`g'_m_3, replace)     
 17.         
. 
. // #6
. // now add state-specific quadratic time trends to basic FE model: Model 4
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter) if `var'==`g', offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
 18. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo `var'_`g'_m_4: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 19. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(`var'_`g'_m_4, replace)     
 20. 
. 
. // #7   
. // include state-specific cubic trends: Model 5
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter##c.quarter) if `var'==`g', ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f) 
 21. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo `var'_`g'_m_5: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 22. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(`var'_`g'_m_5, replace)     
 23. 
. 
. // #8
. // write results to file
. 
. esttab `var'_`g'_m_* using suic-econ-atable-`var'_`g'.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar n
> ot ///
>         nolines nonum mtitle((0) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)) delimiter(";") replace /
> //
>         
 24.         }
 25. }
-> Group = 1male

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =       3.01
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0829
Log pseudolikelihood = -293816.93                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0011

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.010      0.006     1.73   0.083        0.999       1.021
       _cons |     27.073      1.835    48.67   0.000       23.705      30.919
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.23       0.13     1.75   0.080        -0.03        0.49
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(5)    =    1740.53
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -267288.88                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0913

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.009      0.005     1.63   0.104        0.998       1.020
             |
         sex |
      1male  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.538      0.018   -18.23   0.000        0.504       0.575
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.215      0.022    10.89   0.000        1.173       1.259
   45 to 64  |      1.246      0.046     6.01   0.000        1.160       1.339
       >=65  |      1.748      0.084    11.62   0.000        1.591       1.920
             |
       _cons |     23.092      1.304    55.58   0.000       20.672      25.795
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 1.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.18       0.11     1.63   0.104        -0.04        0.41
             |
         sex |
      1male  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -12.95       0.77   -16.92   0.000       -14.45      -11.45
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.07       0.41     9.97   0.000         3.27        4.88
   45 to 64  |       4.61       0.79     5.80   0.000         3.05        6.16
       >=65  |      11.67       1.14    10.23   0.000         9.43       13.91
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -250256.74                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1492

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.012      0.005     2.64   0.008        1.003       1.021
             |
         sex |
      1male  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.547      0.019   -17.80   0.000        0.512       0.585
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.218      0.021    11.24   0.000        1.177       1.260
   45 to 64  |      1.254      0.044     6.44   0.000        1.170       1.343
       >=65  |      1.751      0.081    12.17   0.000        1.600       1.916
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.407      0.008    58.74   0.000        1.391       1.423
         AZ  |      1.261      0.014    20.24   0.000        1.233       1.290
         AR  |      1.033      0.003    11.83   0.000        1.028       1.039
         CA  |      0.856      0.002   -53.58   0.000        0.851       0.861
         CO  |      1.220      0.011    22.16   0.000        1.198       1.241
         CT  |      0.646      0.004   -72.97   0.000        0.639       0.654
         DE  |      0.905      0.003   -30.38   0.000        0.899       0.911
         FL  |      1.046      0.006     8.39   0.000        1.035       1.057
         GA  |      0.997      0.007    -0.40   0.686        0.984       1.010
         HI  |      0.959      0.015    -2.73   0.006        0.931       0.988
         ID  |      1.247      0.015    18.10   0.000        1.217       1.277
         IL  |      0.723      0.002  -102.16   0.000        0.719       0.728
         IN  |      0.923      0.003   -22.58   0.000        0.916       0.929
         IA  |      0.842      0.004   -33.27   0.000        0.834       0.851
         KS  |      0.934      0.004   -16.75   0.000        0.926       0.941
         KY  |      1.005      0.004     1.46   0.143        0.998       1.012
         LA  |      1.033      0.002    16.04   0.000        1.029       1.037
         ME  |      0.950      0.006    -7.83   0.000        0.938       0.963
         MD  |      0.818      0.003   -52.25   0.000        0.812       0.824
         MA  |      0.583      0.005   -64.00   0.000        0.573       0.593
         MI  |      0.874      0.003   -33.81   0.000        0.868       0.881
         MN  |      0.795      0.004   -46.58   0.000        0.787       0.802
         MS  |      1.022      0.003     6.99   0.000        1.016       1.028
         MO  |      0.999      0.004    -0.37   0.713        0.991       1.006
         MT  |      1.431      0.010    51.17   0.000        1.411       1.451
         NE  |      0.826      0.005   -33.81   0.000        0.817       0.835
         NV  |      1.608      0.027    28.71   0.000        1.557       1.661
         NH  |      0.887      0.010   -10.96   0.000        0.868       0.906
         NJ  |      0.548      0.002  -132.70   0.000        0.544       0.553
         NM  |      1.446      0.009    58.62   0.000        1.429       1.464
         NY  |      0.574      0.002  -200.80   0.000        0.570       0.577
         NC  |      0.957      0.004   -11.26   0.000        0.950       0.965
         ND  |      0.906      0.006   -14.23   0.000        0.894       0.919
         OH  |      0.828      0.004   -42.82   0.000        0.821       0.836
         OK  |      1.100      0.006    18.72   0.000        1.089       1.112
         OR  |      1.138      0.011    12.91   0.000        1.116       1.160
         PA  |      0.865      0.004   -31.77   0.000        0.857       0.872
         RI  |      0.677      0.005   -51.83   0.000        0.668       0.687
         SC  |      0.975      0.003    -7.25   0.000        0.969       0.982
         SD  |      1.070      0.005    13.61   0.000        1.060       1.081
         TN  |      1.024      0.003     8.96   0.000        1.019       1.029
         TX  |      0.915      0.006   -14.53   0.000        0.904       0.926
         UT  |      1.187      0.012    17.36   0.000        1.164       1.210
         VT  |      1.023      0.006     4.16   0.000        1.012       1.034
         VA  |      0.947      0.003   -19.50   0.000        0.941       0.952
         WA  |      0.988      0.003    -3.60   0.000        0.982       0.995
         WV  |      1.010      0.005     1.94   0.052        1.000       1.021
         WI  |      0.896      0.007   -14.02   0.000        0.883       0.910
         WY  |      1.444      0.010    50.69   0.000        1.423       1.464
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.062      0.019     3.40   0.001        1.026       1.099
     summer  |      1.050      0.021     2.44   0.015        1.010       1.091
       fall  |      1.011      0.021     0.54   0.590        0.971       1.054
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.014      0.025     0.57   0.567        0.967       1.063
       1982  |      0.991      0.017    -0.55   0.585        0.958       1.025
       1983  |      1.017      0.019     0.90   0.367        0.980       1.056
       1984  |      1.055      0.024     2.40   0.016        1.010       1.103
       1985  |      1.045      0.028     1.66   0.097        0.992       1.101
       1986  |      1.097      0.023     4.40   0.000        1.053       1.144
       1987  |      1.062      0.029     2.18   0.030        1.006       1.122
       1988  |      1.079      0.029     2.80   0.005        1.023       1.138
       1989  |      1.086      0.025     3.61   0.000        1.038       1.135
       1990  |      1.082      0.040     2.12   0.034        1.006       1.164
       1991  |      1.058      0.038     1.58   0.114        0.987       1.135
       1992  |      1.074      0.035     2.16   0.031        1.007       1.146
       1993  |      1.050      0.029     1.75   0.080        0.994       1.108
       1994  |      1.035      0.033     1.06   0.289        0.971       1.102
       1995  |      1.028      0.035     0.81   0.417        0.962       1.099
       1996  |      0.992      0.045    -0.19   0.850        0.908       1.083
       1997  |      1.006      0.044     0.15   0.884        0.924       1.096
       1998  |      1.030      0.043     0.70   0.484        0.948       1.119
       1999  |      0.946      0.050    -1.05   0.293        0.853       1.049
       2000  |      0.967      0.057    -0.56   0.573        0.862       1.086
       2001  |      0.972      0.059    -0.48   0.635        0.862       1.094
       2002  |      0.995      0.057    -0.09   0.927        0.888       1.114
       2003  |      0.963      0.047    -0.77   0.442        0.876       1.059
       2004  |      0.964      0.056    -0.63   0.526        0.860       1.080
       2005  |      0.976      0.061    -0.38   0.704        0.863       1.105
       2006  |      0.980      0.063    -0.31   0.759        0.865       1.112
       2007  |      1.004      0.055     0.07   0.948        0.901       1.118
       2008  |      1.053      0.063     0.86   0.389        0.936       1.184
       2009  |      1.032      0.064     0.50   0.615        0.914       1.164
       2010  |      1.049      0.054     0.92   0.356        0.948       1.159
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.970      0.036    -0.83   0.407        0.903       1.042
spring#1982  |      1.054      0.029     1.92   0.055        0.999       1.112
spring#1983  |      0.999      0.026    -0.04   0.970        0.950       1.051
spring#1984  |      0.994      0.029    -0.21   0.831        0.938       1.053
spring#1985  |      1.027      0.025     1.11   0.268        0.980       1.076
spring#1986  |      1.003      0.025     0.13   0.899        0.956       1.052
spring#1987  |      1.082      0.024     3.61   0.000        1.037       1.130
spring#1988  |      1.009      0.020     0.43   0.666        0.970       1.049
spring#1989  |      0.992      0.019    -0.41   0.682        0.955       1.030
spring#1990  |      0.990      0.025    -0.40   0.687        0.942       1.040
spring#1991  |      1.022      0.029     0.77   0.443        0.966       1.082
spring#1992  |      0.967      0.021    -1.55   0.120        0.928       1.009
spring#1993  |      1.017      0.021     0.84   0.400        0.978       1.058
spring#1994  |      1.050      0.022     2.35   0.019        1.008       1.094
spring#1995  |      1.058      0.025     2.40   0.016        1.010       1.107
spring#1996  |      1.065      0.034     1.98   0.048        1.000       1.134
spring#1997  |      1.010      0.027     0.36   0.716        0.958       1.065
spring#1998  |      0.965      0.019    -1.84   0.066        0.929       1.002
spring#1999  |      1.004      0.022     0.17   0.865        0.961       1.048
spring#2000  |      0.992      0.027    -0.30   0.762        0.940       1.046
spring#2001  |      1.025      0.024     1.07   0.286        0.979       1.074
spring#2002  |      1.003      0.025     0.11   0.912        0.955       1.052
spring#2003  |      1.036      0.028     1.33   0.182        0.983       1.092
spring#2004  |      1.034      0.025     1.38   0.168        0.986       1.085
spring#2005  |      1.043      0.028     1.54   0.123        0.989       1.100
spring#2006  |      1.031      0.024     1.29   0.199        0.984       1.079
spring#2007  |      1.035      0.020     1.78   0.075        0.997       1.075
spring#2008  |      1.029      0.020     1.50   0.134        0.991       1.069
spring#2009  |      1.026      0.023     1.14   0.256        0.982       1.072
spring#2010  |      1.061      0.026     2.45   0.014        1.012       1.113
summer#1981  |      1.002      0.032     0.06   0.951        0.942       1.066
summer#1982  |      1.056      0.030     1.91   0.057        0.998       1.118
summer#1983  |      1.012      0.032     0.37   0.708        0.951       1.076
summer#1984  |      0.977      0.024    -0.94   0.349        0.932       1.025
summer#1985  |      1.003      0.023     0.15   0.877        0.960       1.049
summer#1986  |      1.015      0.020     0.78   0.435        0.977       1.055
summer#1987  |      1.048      0.021     2.30   0.022        1.007       1.090
summer#1988  |      1.022      0.031     0.73   0.468        0.964       1.084
summer#1989  |      1.004      0.022     0.19   0.848        0.961       1.049
summer#1990  |      1.045      0.036     1.30   0.192        0.978       1.118
summer#1991  |      1.051      0.032     1.63   0.103        0.990       1.116
summer#1992  |      1.002      0.027     0.06   0.953        0.951       1.055
summer#1993  |      1.035      0.024     1.44   0.150        0.988       1.084
summer#1994  |      1.022      0.024     0.93   0.350        0.976       1.070
summer#1995  |      1.053      0.025     2.18   0.029        1.005       1.104
summer#1996  |      1.078      0.031     2.64   0.008        1.020       1.140
summer#1997  |      1.007      0.026     0.25   0.804        0.956       1.059
summer#1998  |      0.985      0.023    -0.65   0.513        0.941       1.031
summer#1999  |      1.036      0.028     1.31   0.189        0.983       1.092
summer#2000  |      0.991      0.027    -0.33   0.739        0.940       1.045
summer#2001  |      1.034      0.024     1.43   0.151        0.988       1.083
summer#2002  |      1.034      0.021     1.61   0.107        0.993       1.076
summer#2003  |      1.059      0.028     2.19   0.028        1.006       1.115
summer#2004  |      1.039      0.028     1.43   0.152        0.986       1.094
summer#2005  |      1.034      0.027     1.30   0.193        0.983       1.088
summer#2006  |      1.064      0.034     1.94   0.052        0.999       1.133
summer#2007  |      1.062      0.027     2.39   0.017        1.011       1.115
summer#2008  |      1.030      0.027     1.12   0.262        0.978       1.086
summer#2009  |      1.087      0.032     2.87   0.004        1.027       1.150
summer#2010  |      1.108      0.026     4.34   0.000        1.058       1.161
  fall#1981  |      0.975      0.033    -0.76   0.448        0.912       1.041
  fall#1982  |      1.004      0.023     0.16   0.872        0.960       1.050
  fall#1983  |      0.980      0.023    -0.88   0.381        0.936       1.026
  fall#1984  |      1.012      0.025     0.49   0.622        0.965       1.062
  fall#1985  |      1.037      0.025     1.54   0.124        0.990       1.086
  fall#1986  |      0.994      0.027    -0.21   0.833        0.943       1.048
  fall#1987  |      0.996      0.021    -0.20   0.842        0.955       1.039
  fall#1988  |      0.983      0.024    -0.71   0.480        0.938       1.031
  fall#1989  |      0.974      0.022    -1.18   0.237        0.933       1.017
  fall#1990  |      1.016      0.033     0.48   0.629        0.953       1.084
  fall#1991  |      1.010      0.028     0.37   0.715        0.957       1.067
  fall#1992  |      0.948      0.024    -2.14   0.032        0.903       0.995
  fall#1993  |      1.005      0.023     0.22   0.825        0.962       1.050
  fall#1994  |      1.040      0.027     1.51   0.130        0.989       1.093
  fall#1995  |      1.017      0.027     0.65   0.516        0.966       1.071
  fall#1996  |      1.040      0.028     1.46   0.145        0.986       1.097
  fall#1997  |      0.995      0.026    -0.19   0.850        0.944       1.048
  fall#1998  |      0.954      0.022    -2.01   0.045        0.911       0.999
  fall#1999  |      1.004      0.026     0.14   0.889        0.954       1.056
  fall#2000  |      0.975      0.025    -1.01   0.313        0.927       1.024
  fall#2001  |      1.007      0.025     0.27   0.785        0.959       1.057
  fall#2002  |      1.013      0.028     0.45   0.652        0.959       1.069
  fall#2003  |      1.007      0.028     0.25   0.806        0.954       1.063
  fall#2004  |      1.058      0.025     2.34   0.019        1.009       1.109
  fall#2005  |      1.026      0.027     0.96   0.339        0.974       1.080
  fall#2006  |      1.033      0.028     1.18   0.238        0.979       1.090
  fall#2007  |      1.063      0.022     2.93   0.003        1.020       1.107
  fall#2008  |      1.019      0.023     0.85   0.396        0.975       1.065
  fall#2009  |      1.041      0.030     1.39   0.163        0.984       1.102
  fall#2010  |      1.035      0.024     1.53   0.126        0.990       1.083
             |
       _cons |     24.919      0.946    84.72   0.000       23.132      26.843
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 1.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.28       0.11     2.63   0.009         0.07        0.49
             |
         sex |
      1male  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.94       0.77   -18.00   0.000       -15.46      -12.43
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.56       0.41    11.20   0.000         3.76        5.35
   45 to 64  |       5.23       0.82     6.40   0.000         3.63        6.83
       >=65  |      12.96       1.18    10.99   0.000        10.65       15.27
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.82       0.13    14.16   0.000         1.56        2.07
     summer  |       1.84       0.12    15.19   0.000         1.60        2.07
       fall  |       0.44       0.18     2.39   0.017         0.08        0.80
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -249397.08                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1521

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.009      0.003     2.67   0.008        1.002       1.016
             |
         sex |
      1male  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.548      0.019   -17.79   0.000        0.513       0.586
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.218      0.021    11.31   0.000        1.177       1.260
   45 to 64  |      1.253      0.044     6.45   0.000        1.170       1.342
       >=65  |      1.751      0.080    12.21   0.000        1.600       1.915
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.902      0.017    -5.42   0.000        0.869       0.936
         AZ  |      1.577      0.032    22.18   0.000        1.515       1.642
         AR  |      1.027      0.004     6.80   0.000        1.019       1.035
         CA  |      1.611      0.008    95.48   0.000        1.595       1.627
         CO  |      1.448      0.020    26.71   0.000        1.409       1.488
         CT  |      0.787      0.003   -57.48   0.000        0.780       0.793
         DE  |      1.087      0.006    14.72   0.000        1.075       1.099
         FL  |      1.411      0.011    45.36   0.000        1.391       1.433
         GA  |      1.393      0.019    24.88   0.000        1.357       1.429
         HI  |      0.984      0.013    -1.27   0.206        0.960       1.009
         ID  |      1.250      0.037     7.57   0.000        1.180       1.325
         IL  |      1.029      0.003     9.61   0.000        1.023       1.035
         IN  |      1.016      0.004     3.78   0.000        1.007       1.024
         IA  |      1.040      0.006     7.36   0.000        1.029       1.051
         KS  |      0.900      0.004   -25.94   0.000        0.893       0.908
         KY  |      1.043      0.004    12.09   0.000        1.036       1.050
         LA  |      1.509      0.025    24.47   0.000        1.460       1.559
         ME  |      1.164      0.005    37.38   0.000        1.155       1.174
         MD  |      1.167      0.003    60.40   0.000        1.161       1.173
         MA  |      0.826      0.004   -41.09   0.000        0.818       0.834
         MI  |      1.087      0.002    37.74   0.000        1.082       1.092
         MN  |      0.967      0.007    -4.78   0.000        0.954       0.980
         MS  |      0.853      0.002   -75.13   0.000        0.849       0.856
         MO  |      1.123      0.004    30.78   0.000        1.115       1.131
         MT  |      1.428      0.005   107.41   0.000        1.419       1.438
         NE  |      1.027      0.007     4.06   0.000        1.014       1.040
         NV  |      2.289      0.078    24.16   0.000        2.140       2.448
         NH  |      1.038      0.014     2.75   0.006        1.011       1.067
         NJ  |      0.660      0.003   -91.91   0.000        0.654       0.666
         NM  |      1.687      0.020    43.61   0.000        1.647       1.727
         NY  |      0.770      0.007   -30.89   0.000        0.757       0.783
         NC  |      1.159      0.011    14.92   0.000        1.137       1.182
         ND  |      0.767      0.005   -42.31   0.000        0.757       0.776
         OH  |      0.984      0.003    -4.81   0.000        0.977       0.990
         OK  |      1.077      0.011     7.29   0.000        1.056       1.099
         OR  |      1.179      0.029     6.71   0.000        1.124       1.237
         PA  |      1.002      0.007     0.24   0.812        0.989       1.014
         RI  |      0.895      0.005   -20.16   0.000        0.885       0.905
         SC  |      1.058      0.010     5.90   0.000        1.038       1.078
         SD  |      1.087      0.009     9.68   0.000        1.069       1.106
         TN  |      1.019      0.005     4.08   0.000        1.010       1.029
         TX  |      1.384      0.010    43.59   0.000        1.363       1.404
         UT  |      1.162      0.024     7.27   0.000        1.116       1.210
         VT  |      1.548      0.006   121.99   0.000        1.537       1.558
         VA  |      1.343      0.005    74.60   0.000        1.333       1.354
         WA  |      1.150      0.010    15.52   0.000        1.130       1.171
         WV  |      1.000      0.004     0.06   0.949        0.993       1.008
         WI  |      1.066      0.005    13.84   0.000        1.056       1.075
         WY  |      1.700      0.007   124.19   0.000        1.686       1.715
             |
     quarter |      0.994      0.002    -2.71   0.007        0.990       0.998
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.000    21.43   0.000        1.003       1.003
         AZ  |      0.998      0.000    -8.04   0.000        0.998       0.999
         AR  |      1.000      0.000     1.01   0.313        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      0.996      0.000   -96.12   0.000        0.995       0.996
         CO  |      0.999      0.000    -8.88   0.000        0.998       0.999
         CT  |      0.999      0.000   -45.38   0.000        0.999       0.999
         DE  |      0.999      0.000   -23.59   0.000        0.999       0.999
         FL  |      0.998      0.000   -34.63   0.000        0.998       0.998
         GA  |      0.998      0.000   -19.50   0.000        0.997       0.998
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -1.46   0.144        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -0.38   0.705        0.999       1.000
         IL  |      0.998      0.000  -103.67   0.000        0.997       0.998
         IN  |      0.999      0.000   -20.30   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IA  |      0.999      0.000  -111.32   0.000        0.999       0.999
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    18.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    -9.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      0.997      0.000   -22.81   0.000        0.997       0.998
         ME  |      0.999      0.000   -72.94   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MD  |      0.998      0.000   -73.21   0.000        0.997       0.998
         MA  |      0.998      0.000   -43.28   0.000        0.997       0.998
         MI  |      0.998      0.000   -98.94   0.000        0.998       0.999
         MN  |      0.999      0.000   -21.81   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MS  |      1.001      0.000   104.25   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -56.52   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.49   0.621        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      0.998      0.000   -25.72   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NV  |      0.998      0.000    -8.00   0.000        0.997       0.998
         NH  |      0.999      0.000    -7.52   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NJ  |      0.999      0.000   -55.31   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NM  |      0.999      0.000    -9.52   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NY  |      0.998      0.000   -44.64   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NC  |      0.999      0.000   -15.37   0.000        0.998       0.999
         ND  |      1.001      0.000   174.74   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OH  |      0.999      0.000  -114.98   0.000        0.999       0.999
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     3.29   0.001        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -1.34   0.180        0.999       1.000
         PA  |      0.999      0.000   -53.64   0.000        0.999       0.999
         RI  |      0.998      0.000   -67.21   0.000        0.998       0.998
         SC  |      0.999      0.000    -7.63   0.000        0.999       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    -1.47   0.141        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000     0.20   0.840        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      0.997      0.000   -35.61   0.000        0.997       0.997
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     0.28   0.776        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      0.997      0.000   -96.38   0.000        0.997       0.997
         VA  |      0.998      0.000   -64.88   0.000        0.997       0.998
         WA  |      0.999      0.000   -15.02   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WV  |      1.000      0.000     5.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      0.999      0.000   -20.73   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WY  |      0.999      0.000   -37.26   0.000        0.999       0.999
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.059      0.019     3.25   0.001        1.023       1.097
     summer  |      1.055      0.021     2.74   0.006        1.016       1.097
       fall  |      1.025      0.020     1.27   0.203        0.987       1.064
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.046      0.026     1.81   0.071        0.996       1.099
       1982  |      1.055      0.030     1.88   0.060        0.998       1.115
       1983  |      1.117      0.039     3.20   0.001        1.044       1.196
       1984  |      1.193      0.050     4.18   0.000        1.098       1.296
       1985  |      1.218      0.071     3.37   0.001        1.086       1.366
       1986  |      1.318      0.076     4.79   0.000        1.177       1.476
       1987  |      1.314      0.084     4.26   0.000        1.159       1.491
       1988  |      1.376      0.101     4.35   0.000        1.191       1.588
       1989  |      1.426      0.111     4.58   0.000        1.225       1.661
       1990  |      1.466      0.127     4.42   0.000        1.237       1.737
       1991  |      1.479      0.143     4.06   0.000        1.225       1.787
       1992  |      1.548      0.171     3.96   0.000        1.247       1.922
       1993  |      1.559      0.188     3.68   0.000        1.231       1.976
       1994  |      1.584      0.202     3.60   0.000        1.233       2.034
       1995  |      1.621      0.217     3.60   0.000        1.246       2.108
       1996  |      1.611      0.226     3.40   0.001        1.224       2.119
       1997  |      1.684      0.247     3.55   0.000        1.263       2.244
       1998  |      1.774      0.278     3.65   0.000        1.304       2.413
       1999  |      1.678      0.268     3.24   0.001        1.227       2.295
       2000  |      1.768      0.305     3.30   0.001        1.260       2.480
       2001  |      1.831      0.329     3.36   0.001        1.287       2.603
       2002  |      1.934      0.365     3.50   0.000        1.337       2.799
       2003  |      1.932      0.392     3.25   0.001        1.299       2.875
       2004  |      1.992      0.415     3.31   0.001        1.324       2.996
       2005  |      2.078      0.455     3.34   0.001        1.353       3.191
       2006  |      2.149      0.484     3.39   0.001        1.381       3.343
       2007  |      2.266      0.537     3.45   0.001        1.423       3.607
       2008  |      2.452      0.604     3.64   0.000        1.512       3.975
       2009  |      2.484      0.647     3.49   0.000        1.491       4.138
       2010  |      2.606      0.703     3.55   0.000        1.537       4.421
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.970      0.035    -0.84   0.401        0.903       1.042
spring#1982  |      1.054      0.029     1.91   0.056        0.999       1.112
spring#1983  |      0.999      0.026    -0.03   0.973        0.950       1.051
spring#1984  |      0.994      0.029    -0.22   0.828        0.938       1.052
spring#1985  |      1.027      0.025     1.10   0.270        0.980       1.076
spring#1986  |      1.003      0.025     0.13   0.900        0.956       1.052
spring#1987  |      1.082      0.024     3.61   0.000        1.037       1.130
spring#1988  |      1.009      0.020     0.43   0.668        0.970       1.049
spring#1989  |      0.992      0.019    -0.42   0.677        0.955       1.030
spring#1990  |      0.989      0.025    -0.42   0.675        0.942       1.040
spring#1991  |      1.022      0.029     0.76   0.445        0.966       1.082
spring#1992  |      0.967      0.021    -1.56   0.119        0.928       1.009
spring#1993  |      1.017      0.021     0.84   0.401        0.978       1.058
spring#1994  |      1.050      0.022     2.35   0.019        1.008       1.094
spring#1995  |      1.058      0.025     2.40   0.016        1.010       1.107
spring#1996  |      1.065      0.034     1.98   0.048        1.000       1.134
spring#1997  |      1.010      0.027     0.36   0.716        0.958       1.065
spring#1998  |      0.965      0.019    -1.84   0.066        0.929       1.002
spring#1999  |      1.004      0.022     0.17   0.863        0.961       1.048
spring#2000  |      0.992      0.027    -0.31   0.757        0.940       1.046
spring#2001  |      1.025      0.024     1.05   0.293        0.979       1.074
spring#2002  |      1.003      0.025     0.11   0.916        0.955       1.052
spring#2003  |      1.036      0.028     1.34   0.182        0.983       1.092
spring#2004  |      1.034      0.025     1.38   0.168        0.986       1.085
spring#2005  |      1.043      0.028     1.54   0.123        0.989       1.100
spring#2006  |      1.030      0.024     1.28   0.199        0.984       1.079
spring#2007  |      1.035      0.020     1.78   0.075        0.997       1.075
spring#2008  |      1.029      0.020     1.48   0.138        0.991       1.068
spring#2009  |      1.026      0.023     1.14   0.256        0.982       1.072
spring#2010  |      1.061      0.026     2.45   0.014        1.012       1.112
summer#1981  |      1.001      0.031     0.04   0.967        0.941       1.065
summer#1982  |      1.056      0.030     1.89   0.058        0.998       1.117
summer#1983  |      1.011      0.032     0.36   0.721        0.951       1.076
summer#1984  |      0.977      0.024    -0.97   0.332        0.931       1.024
summer#1985  |      1.003      0.023     0.13   0.899        0.959       1.049
summer#1986  |      1.015      0.020     0.76   0.446        0.977       1.054
summer#1987  |      1.047      0.021     2.26   0.024        1.006       1.089
summer#1988  |      1.021      0.030     0.71   0.479        0.963       1.083
summer#1989  |      1.004      0.022     0.17   0.867        0.961       1.048
summer#1990  |      1.045      0.036     1.28   0.201        0.977       1.117
summer#1991  |      1.051      0.032     1.62   0.106        0.990       1.116
summer#1992  |      1.001      0.027     0.04   0.968        0.950       1.055
summer#1993  |      1.034      0.024     1.42   0.156        0.987       1.083
summer#1994  |      1.022      0.024     0.91   0.362        0.976       1.069
summer#1995  |      1.053      0.025     2.16   0.031        1.005       1.103
summer#1996  |      1.077      0.031     2.60   0.009        1.019       1.140
summer#1997  |      1.006      0.026     0.22   0.824        0.956       1.059
summer#1998  |      0.984      0.023    -0.68   0.496        0.940       1.030
summer#1999  |      1.035      0.028     1.29   0.197        0.982       1.092
summer#2000  |      0.990      0.027    -0.36   0.720        0.939       1.044
summer#2001  |      1.034      0.024     1.41   0.158        0.987       1.083
summer#2002  |      1.033      0.021     1.59   0.111        0.993       1.075
summer#2003  |      1.059      0.028     2.18   0.029        1.006       1.115
summer#2004  |      1.038      0.028     1.41   0.159        0.985       1.094
summer#2005  |      1.034      0.027     1.27   0.204        0.982       1.088
summer#2006  |      1.063      0.034     1.91   0.056        0.999       1.132
summer#2007  |      1.061      0.026     2.38   0.017        1.011       1.114
summer#2008  |      1.030      0.027     1.11   0.268        0.978       1.085
summer#2009  |      1.087      0.031     2.89   0.004        1.027       1.151
summer#2010  |      1.108      0.026     4.31   0.000        1.057       1.160
  fall#1981  |      0.974      0.033    -0.78   0.438        0.912       1.041
  fall#1982  |      1.004      0.023     0.16   0.870        0.959       1.050
  fall#1983  |      0.979      0.023    -0.92   0.357        0.935       1.024
  fall#1984  |      1.011      0.024     0.46   0.645        0.964       1.060
  fall#1985  |      1.036      0.025     1.50   0.135        0.989       1.086
  fall#1986  |      0.994      0.026    -0.23   0.814        0.943       1.047
  fall#1987  |      0.995      0.022    -0.23   0.814        0.954       1.038
  fall#1988  |      0.982      0.023    -0.75   0.453        0.938       1.029
  fall#1989  |      0.974      0.021    -1.22   0.224        0.933       1.016
  fall#1990  |      1.016      0.033     0.47   0.637        0.952       1.083
  fall#1991  |      1.010      0.028     0.36   0.721        0.957       1.066
  fall#1992  |      0.948      0.023    -2.18   0.030        0.903       0.995
  fall#1993  |      1.004      0.022     0.19   0.850        0.961       1.049
  fall#1994  |      1.039      0.027     1.48   0.139        0.988       1.092
  fall#1995  |      1.017      0.027     0.62   0.533        0.966       1.070
  fall#1996  |      1.039      0.028     1.42   0.156        0.985       1.096
  fall#1997  |      0.994      0.026    -0.23   0.819        0.944       1.047
  fall#1998  |      0.953      0.022    -2.07   0.039        0.910       0.997
  fall#1999  |      1.003      0.026     0.11   0.916        0.953       1.055
  fall#2000  |      0.974      0.025    -1.05   0.295        0.927       1.023
  fall#2001  |      1.007      0.025     0.27   0.784        0.959       1.057
  fall#2002  |      1.012      0.028     0.44   0.662        0.959       1.068
  fall#2003  |      1.006      0.028     0.23   0.818        0.953       1.062
  fall#2004  |      1.057      0.025     2.29   0.022        1.008       1.108
  fall#2005  |      1.025      0.027     0.93   0.352        0.973       1.078
  fall#2006  |      1.032      0.028     1.15   0.249        0.978       1.089
  fall#2007  |      1.062      0.022     2.91   0.004        1.020       1.106
  fall#2008  |      1.019      0.023     0.86   0.390        0.976       1.065
  fall#2009  |      1.042      0.030     1.43   0.153        0.985       1.102
  fall#2010  |      1.035      0.023     1.50   0.134        0.990       1.082
             |
       _cons |     35.684      6.360    20.06   0.000       25.163      50.603
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 1.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.21       0.08     2.67   0.008         0.06        0.36
             |
         sex |
      1male  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.87       0.77   -18.10   0.000       -15.37      -12.36
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.55       0.40    11.29   0.000         3.76        5.33
   45 to 64  |       5.20       0.81     6.44   0.000         3.62        6.79
       >=65  |      12.92       1.16    11.10   0.000        10.64       15.21
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.76       0.13    13.26   0.000         1.50        2.02
     summer  |       1.96       0.13    15.47   0.000         1.71        2.21
       fall  |       0.74       0.15     4.93   0.000         0.45        1.03
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -249287.59                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1525

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.011      0.005     2.40   0.016        1.002       1.020
             |
         sex |
      1male  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.548      0.019   -17.78   0.000        0.513       0.586
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.218      0.021    11.31   0.000        1.177       1.260
   45 to 64  |      1.253      0.044     6.45   0.000        1.170       1.342
       >=65  |      1.751      0.080    12.21   0.000        1.600       1.915
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.059      0.019     3.24   0.001        1.023       1.097
     summer  |      1.054      0.021     2.72   0.007        1.015       1.095
       fall  |      1.023      0.019     1.19   0.234        0.986       1.061
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.041      0.032     1.31   0.191        0.980       1.106
       1982  |      1.044      0.045     1.01   0.311        0.960       1.136
       1983  |      1.101      0.063     1.69   0.090        0.985       1.232
       1984  |      1.173      0.083     2.25   0.024        1.021       1.348
       1985  |      1.193      0.109     1.94   0.053        0.998       1.427
       1986  |      1.288      0.126     2.58   0.010        1.063       1.560
       1987  |      1.281      0.140     2.27   0.023        1.034       1.586
       1988  |      1.337      0.164     2.37   0.018        1.052       1.700
       1989  |      1.384      0.181     2.48   0.013        1.070       1.789
       1990  |      1.419      0.199     2.50   0.013        1.078       1.868
       1991  |      1.429      0.220     2.32   0.020        1.057       1.931
       1992  |      1.493      0.252     2.37   0.018        1.072       2.078
       1993  |      1.502      0.270     2.26   0.024        1.056       2.137
       1994  |      1.525      0.287     2.24   0.025        1.054       2.206
       1995  |      1.560      0.305     2.27   0.023        1.064       2.290
       1996  |      1.551      0.306     2.23   0.026        1.054       2.282
       1997  |      1.622      0.337     2.33   0.020        1.079       2.438
       1998  |      1.712      0.368     2.50   0.012        1.123       2.609
       1999  |      1.621      0.345     2.27   0.023        1.069       2.460
       2000  |      1.711      0.381     2.41   0.016        1.106       2.645
       2001  |      1.774      0.401     2.53   0.011        1.138       2.764
       2002  |      1.876      0.435     2.71   0.007        1.190       2.956
       2003  |      1.877      0.457     2.59   0.010        1.165       3.025
       2004  |      1.940      0.474     2.71   0.007        1.202       3.133
       2005  |      2.031      0.508     2.83   0.005        1.244       3.315
       2006  |      2.108      0.530     2.97   0.003        1.288       3.451
       2007  |      2.232      0.579     3.10   0.002        1.343       3.709
       2008  |      2.423      0.637     3.37   0.001        1.447       4.057
       2009  |      2.460      0.669     3.31   0.001        1.443       4.192
       2010  |      2.590      0.718     3.43   0.001        1.504       4.459
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.970      0.035    -0.84   0.402        0.903       1.042
spring#1982  |      1.054      0.029     1.91   0.056        0.999       1.112
spring#1983  |      0.999      0.026    -0.04   0.969        0.950       1.051
spring#1984  |      0.994      0.029    -0.22   0.827        0.938       1.052
spring#1985  |      1.027      0.025     1.10   0.270        0.980       1.076
spring#1986  |      1.003      0.025     0.12   0.904        0.956       1.052
spring#1987  |      1.082      0.024     3.62   0.000        1.037       1.129
spring#1988  |      1.009      0.020     0.42   0.673        0.969       1.049
spring#1989  |      0.992      0.019    -0.42   0.672        0.955       1.030
spring#1990  |      0.990      0.025    -0.42   0.676        0.942       1.040
spring#1991  |      1.022      0.030     0.75   0.452        0.966       1.082
spring#1992  |      0.967      0.021    -1.56   0.118        0.927       1.009
spring#1993  |      1.017      0.021     0.82   0.414        0.977       1.058
spring#1994  |      1.050      0.022     2.34   0.019        1.008       1.093
spring#1995  |      1.057      0.025     2.39   0.017        1.010       1.107
spring#1996  |      1.065      0.034     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.134
spring#1997  |      1.010      0.027     0.35   0.726        0.958       1.064
spring#1998  |      0.965      0.019    -1.88   0.061        0.929       1.002
spring#1999  |      1.003      0.022     0.15   0.881        0.960       1.048
spring#2000  |      0.991      0.027    -0.32   0.750        0.939       1.046
spring#2001  |      1.025      0.024     1.03   0.302        0.978       1.074
spring#2002  |      1.002      0.025     0.09   0.932        0.954       1.053
spring#2003  |      1.036      0.028     1.30   0.193        0.982       1.092
spring#2004  |      1.034      0.026     1.35   0.179        0.985       1.085
spring#2005  |      1.042      0.028     1.51   0.131        0.988       1.099
spring#2006  |      1.030      0.024     1.24   0.216        0.983       1.079
spring#2007  |      1.034      0.020     1.77   0.077        0.996       1.074
spring#2008  |      1.028      0.020     1.45   0.147        0.990       1.068
spring#2009  |      1.025      0.023     1.09   0.277        0.980       1.072
spring#2010  |      1.060      0.025     2.49   0.013        1.013       1.110
summer#1981  |      1.002      0.031     0.05   0.957        0.942       1.065
summer#1982  |      1.056      0.030     1.90   0.057        0.998       1.118
summer#1983  |      1.012      0.032     0.37   0.711        0.951       1.076
summer#1984  |      0.977      0.024    -0.95   0.344        0.932       1.025
summer#1985  |      1.003      0.023     0.15   0.881        0.960       1.049
summer#1986  |      1.015      0.020     0.78   0.436        0.977       1.055
summer#1987  |      1.048      0.021     2.29   0.022        1.007       1.090
summer#1988  |      1.022      0.030     0.74   0.460        0.965       1.083
summer#1989  |      1.004      0.022     0.20   0.842        0.962       1.049
summer#1990  |      1.046      0.036     1.31   0.190        0.978       1.118
summer#1991  |      1.051      0.032     1.65   0.099        0.991       1.116
summer#1992  |      1.002      0.027     0.07   0.944        0.951       1.056
summer#1993  |      1.035      0.024     1.50   0.134        0.989       1.083
summer#1994  |      1.023      0.024     0.96   0.339        0.977       1.070
summer#1995  |      1.054      0.025     2.18   0.029        1.005       1.105
summer#1996  |      1.079      0.030     2.70   0.007        1.021       1.139
summer#1997  |      1.007      0.026     0.27   0.789        0.957       1.060
summer#1998  |      0.985      0.024    -0.61   0.541        0.940       1.033
summer#1999  |      1.037      0.028     1.35   0.177        0.984       1.092
summer#2000  |      0.992      0.027    -0.31   0.760        0.940       1.046
summer#2001  |      1.035      0.025     1.44   0.149        0.988       1.085
summer#2002  |      1.034      0.021     1.69   0.092        0.994       1.076
summer#2003  |      1.060      0.028     2.23   0.026        1.007       1.117
summer#2004  |      1.040      0.027     1.49   0.137        0.988       1.095
summer#2005  |      1.035      0.027     1.32   0.188        0.983       1.090
summer#2006  |      1.065      0.034     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.133
summer#2007  |      1.063      0.026     2.48   0.013        1.013       1.115
summer#2008  |      1.032      0.027     1.19   0.236        0.980       1.086
summer#2009  |      1.088      0.031     3.00   0.003        1.030       1.150
summer#2010  |      1.110      0.027     4.29   0.000        1.058       1.164
  fall#1981  |      0.975      0.033    -0.77   0.443        0.912       1.041
  fall#1982  |      1.004      0.023     0.17   0.867        0.960       1.050
  fall#1983  |      0.980      0.023    -0.88   0.379        0.936       1.026
  fall#1984  |      1.012      0.024     0.50   0.615        0.966       1.061
  fall#1985  |      1.037      0.025     1.52   0.128        0.990       1.087
  fall#1986  |      0.995      0.026    -0.20   0.841        0.944       1.048
  fall#1987  |      0.996      0.022    -0.18   0.859        0.954       1.040
  fall#1988  |      0.984      0.023    -0.69   0.487        0.939       1.030
  fall#1989  |      0.975      0.021    -1.19   0.233        0.935       1.016
  fall#1990  |      1.017      0.033     0.52   0.602        0.955       1.083
  fall#1991  |      1.011      0.027     0.41   0.679        0.959       1.066
  fall#1992  |      0.949      0.024    -2.09   0.036        0.904       0.997
  fall#1993  |      1.006      0.022     0.28   0.778        0.964       1.050
  fall#1994  |      1.041      0.026     1.61   0.107        0.991       1.093
  fall#1995  |      1.019      0.027     0.69   0.489        0.967       1.074
  fall#1996  |      1.042      0.026     1.64   0.102        0.992       1.094
  fall#1997  |      0.997      0.026    -0.13   0.895        0.947       1.049
  fall#1998  |      0.955      0.023    -1.89   0.058        0.911       1.002
  fall#1999  |      1.006      0.025     0.22   0.823        0.957       1.056
  fall#2000  |      0.977      0.025    -0.91   0.362        0.928       1.028
  fall#2001  |      1.009      0.023     0.40   0.688        0.965       1.056
  fall#2002  |      1.015      0.028     0.54   0.587        0.962       1.071
  fall#2003  |      1.009      0.027     0.35   0.724        0.958       1.063
  fall#2004  |      1.060      0.027     2.35   0.019        1.010       1.114
  fall#2005  |      1.028      0.028     1.02   0.309        0.974       1.085
  fall#2006  |      1.036      0.028     1.32   0.188        0.983       1.092
  fall#2007  |      1.066      0.023     2.90   0.004        1.021       1.113
  fall#2008  |      1.023      0.025     0.93   0.351        0.976       1.072
  fall#2009  |      1.045      0.028     1.62   0.105        0.991       1.102
  fall#2010  |      1.039      0.027     1.47   0.142        0.987       1.093
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.916      0.086    -0.94   0.348        0.762       1.100
         AZ  |      1.514      0.016    39.54   0.000        1.484       1.546
         AR  |      1.485      0.010    59.65   0.000        1.466       1.504
         CA  |      3.072      0.077    45.05   0.000        2.926       3.226
         CO  |      2.588      0.037    66.40   0.000        2.516       2.662
         CT  |      0.873      0.027    -4.33   0.000        0.821       0.929
         DE  |      1.337      0.014    27.48   0.000        1.309       1.365
         FL  |      2.269      0.016   116.11   0.000        2.238       2.301
         GA  |      1.610      0.015    51.24   0.000        1.581       1.639
         HI  |      1.390      0.041    11.14   0.000        1.312       1.473
         ID  |      1.683      0.030    28.72   0.000        1.624       1.744
         IL  |      1.410      0.016    29.70   0.000        1.378       1.442
         IN  |      1.103      0.009    11.69   0.000        1.085       1.121
         IA  |      1.457      0.038    14.32   0.000        1.384       1.534
         KS  |      1.201      0.024     9.20   0.000        1.155       1.249
         KY  |      1.355      0.005    85.61   0.000        1.345       1.364
         LA  |      1.826      0.122     8.97   0.000        1.601       2.082
         ME  |      1.317      0.006    60.64   0.000        1.306       1.329
         MD  |      1.381      0.025    17.64   0.000        1.332       1.431
         MA  |      2.160      0.067    24.97   0.000        2.034       2.295
         MI  |      1.754      0.088    11.20   0.000        1.590       1.935
         MN  |      1.418      0.023    21.32   0.000        1.373       1.464
         MS  |      0.657      0.008   -36.42   0.000        0.643       0.672
         MO  |      1.073      0.006    11.75   0.000        1.060       1.085
         MT  |      1.377      0.117     3.77   0.000        1.166       1.626
         NE  |      0.586      0.014   -22.59   0.000        0.560       0.614
         NV  |      1.940      0.067    19.24   0.000        1.813       2.075
         NH  |      1.904      0.022    54.86   0.000        1.860       1.948
         NJ  |      1.310      0.039     9.18   0.000        1.237       1.388
         NM  |      2.402      0.060    35.07   0.000        2.288       2.523
         NY  |      1.290      0.061     5.38   0.000        1.176       1.415
         NC  |      1.499      0.002   286.66   0.000        1.494       1.503
         ND  |      1.648      0.133     6.17   0.000        1.406       1.931
         OH  |      2.613      0.015   170.84   0.000        2.584       2.642
         OK  |      1.639      0.142     5.69   0.000        1.382       1.942
         OR  |      1.461      0.010    55.54   0.000        1.442       1.481
         PA  |      1.292      0.039     8.41   0.000        1.217       1.371
         RI  |      4.882      0.114    67.75   0.000        4.663       5.111
         SC  |      1.029      0.006     4.97   0.000        1.018       1.041
         SD  |      1.202      0.028     7.90   0.000        1.148       1.258
         TN  |      1.351      0.005    80.14   0.000        1.341       1.361
         TX  |      1.964      0.092    14.46   0.000        1.793       2.153
         UT  |      1.776      0.028    35.99   0.000        1.722       1.833
         VT  |      3.760      0.024   204.86   0.000        3.713       3.808
         VA  |      2.049      0.029    49.84   0.000        1.992       2.107
         WA  |      1.236      0.008    34.64   0.000        1.221       1.251
         WV  |      0.937      0.008    -7.49   0.000        0.921       0.953
         WI  |      2.296      0.111    17.20   0.000        2.088       2.524
         WY  |      3.306      0.400     9.88   0.000        2.608       4.191
             |
     quarter |      1.003      0.008     0.31   0.756        0.987       1.019
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -1.21   0.226        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.001     2.22   0.026        1.000       1.005
         AZ  |      0.999      0.000    -4.31   0.000        0.998       0.999
         AR  |      0.995      0.000   -56.24   0.000        0.994       0.995
         CA  |      0.986      0.000   -35.40   0.000        0.985       0.987
         CO  |      0.990      0.000   -34.10   0.000        0.990       0.991
         CT  |      0.997      0.000    -6.56   0.000        0.996       0.998
         DE  |      0.996      0.000   -36.79   0.000        0.995       0.996
         FL  |      0.991      0.000  -172.99   0.000        0.991       0.991
         GA  |      0.995      0.000   -87.74   0.000        0.995       0.996
         HI  |      0.995      0.000   -14.19   0.000        0.994       0.995
         ID  |      0.995      0.000    -9.42   0.000        0.994       0.996
         IL  |      0.993      0.000   -46.18   0.000        0.993       0.993
         IN  |      0.998      0.000   -19.90   0.000        0.998       0.998
         IA  |      0.994      0.000   -17.49   0.000        0.993       0.994
         KS  |      0.996      0.000   -15.01   0.000        0.995       0.997
         KY  |      0.996      0.000  -158.02   0.000        0.996       0.996
         LA  |      0.995      0.001    -6.62   0.000        0.993       0.996
         ME  |      0.997      0.000   -72.55   0.000        0.997       0.997
         MD  |      0.995      0.000   -18.92   0.000        0.995       0.996
         MA  |      0.983      0.000   -39.31   0.000        0.982       0.984
         MI  |      0.991      0.001   -10.95   0.000        0.990       0.993
         MN  |      0.993      0.000   -25.49   0.000        0.992       0.993
         MS  |      1.005      0.000    31.08   0.000        1.005       1.005
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -1.10   0.271        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.001      0.001     0.44   0.657        0.998       1.003
         NE  |      1.007      0.000    18.33   0.000        1.006       1.008
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -1.40   0.160        0.999       1.000
         NH  |      0.990      0.000   -43.05   0.000        0.989       0.990
         NJ  |      0.989      0.000   -28.82   0.000        0.988       0.989
         NM  |      0.994      0.000   -14.10   0.000        0.993       0.995
         NY  |      0.990      0.001   -15.76   0.000        0.989       0.992
         NC  |      0.995      0.000   -74.28   0.000        0.995       0.995
         ND  |      0.990      0.001    -9.05   0.000        0.988       0.992
         OH  |      0.984      0.000  -215.09   0.000        0.984       0.984
         OK  |      0.994      0.001    -5.19   0.000        0.992       0.996
         OR  |      0.996      0.000   -25.45   0.000        0.996       0.997
         PA  |      0.995      0.000   -12.06   0.000        0.994       0.996
         RI  |      0.973      0.000   -94.68   0.000        0.972       0.974
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    -8.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      0.998      0.000    -3.98   0.000        0.998       0.999
         TN  |      0.996      0.000   -81.48   0.000        0.996       0.996
         TX  |      0.992      0.001   -11.06   0.000        0.991       0.993
         UT  |      0.994      0.000   -17.12   0.000        0.993       0.994
         VT  |      0.984      0.000  -215.17   0.000        0.984       0.984
         VA  |      0.991      0.000   -38.39   0.000        0.991       0.992
         WA  |      0.998      0.000   -15.29   0.000        0.998       0.998
         WV  |      1.001      0.000     9.07   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WI  |      0.987      0.001   -18.01   0.000        0.986       0.989
         WY  |      0.989      0.002    -6.32   0.000        0.986       0.992
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     0.31   0.758        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -0.47   0.639        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    41.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    21.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    18.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     3.08   0.002        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    65.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    54.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    16.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    22.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     5.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    26.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    22.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    13.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    15.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    71.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     3.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    46.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     8.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    28.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     9.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    15.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -21.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -9.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.43   0.670        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -18.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -7.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    20.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    24.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     8.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    13.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    20.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    10.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   216.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     5.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     7.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000     9.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    79.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    -2.90   0.004        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000     3.02   0.002        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    41.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     6.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    10.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   149.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    22.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000     4.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    -7.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    14.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     5.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     20.779     10.428     6.05   0.000        7.771      55.564
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 1.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.26       0.11     2.43   0.015         0.05        0.46
             |
         sex |
      1male  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.86       0.77   -18.10   0.000       -15.36      -12.36
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.55       0.40    11.30   0.000         3.76        5.34
   45 to 64  |       5.20       0.81     6.44   0.000         3.62        6.79
       >=65  |      12.92       1.16    11.10   0.000        10.64       15.20
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.76       0.13    13.28   0.000         1.50        2.02
     summer  |       1.96       0.13    15.56   0.000         1.71        2.21
       fall  |       0.74       0.15     4.98   0.000         0.45        1.03
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(49)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -249186.05                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1528

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.018      0.006     2.82   0.005        1.005       1.031
             |
         sex |
      1male  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.548      0.019   -17.78   0.000        0.513       0.586
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.218      0.021    11.31   0.000        1.177       1.260
   45 to 64  |      1.253      0.044     6.45   0.000        1.170       1.342
       >=65  |      1.751      0.080    12.21   0.000        1.600       1.915
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.063      0.019     3.45   0.001        1.027       1.101
     summer  |      1.044      0.021     2.20   0.028        1.005       1.085
       fall  |      1.000      0.020     0.02   0.982        0.963       1.040
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.992      0.032    -0.23   0.815        0.932       1.057
       1982  |      0.957      0.038    -1.09   0.274        0.885       1.035
       1983  |      0.980      0.053    -0.38   0.705        0.882       1.089
       1984  |      1.024      0.068     0.36   0.718        0.900       1.166
       1985  |      1.029      0.084     0.35   0.726        0.876       1.208
       1986  |      1.103      0.100     1.09   0.278        0.924       1.318
       1987  |      1.098      0.111     0.92   0.357        0.900       1.338
       1988  |      1.153      0.131     1.25   0.210        0.923       1.441
       1989  |      1.206      0.148     1.53   0.126        0.949       1.533
       1990  |      1.253      0.164     1.73   0.084        0.970       1.619
       1991  |      1.281      0.186     1.71   0.088        0.964       1.703
       1992  |      1.365      0.219     1.93   0.053        0.996       1.870
       1993  |      1.405      0.243     1.96   0.049        1.001       1.974
       1994  |      1.464      0.270     2.07   0.038        1.021       2.100
       1995  |      1.539      0.299     2.22   0.026        1.052       2.251
       1996  |      1.570      0.311     2.28   0.023        1.065       2.315
       1997  |      1.687      0.358     2.47   0.014        1.114       2.557
       1998  |      1.828      0.407     2.71   0.007        1.182       2.827
       1999  |      1.775      0.395     2.58   0.010        1.147       2.746
       2000  |      1.914      0.450     2.76   0.006        1.207       3.036
       2001  |      2.018      0.487     2.91   0.004        1.257       3.239
       2002  |      2.159      0.536     3.10   0.002        1.327       3.512
       2003  |      2.180      0.567     2.99   0.003        1.309       3.630
       2004  |      2.266      0.593     3.13   0.002        1.357       3.786
       2005  |      2.376      0.637     3.23   0.001        1.405       4.018
       2006  |      2.457      0.661     3.34   0.001        1.451       4.162
       2007  |      2.572      0.708     3.43   0.001        1.500       4.412
       2008  |      2.733      0.755     3.64   0.000        1.591       4.696
       2009  |      2.681      0.754     3.51   0.000        1.545       4.651
       2010  |      2.713      0.765     3.54   0.000        1.561       4.716
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.970      0.035    -0.85   0.397        0.903       1.041
spring#1982  |      1.053      0.029     1.88   0.061        0.998       1.111
spring#1983  |      0.997      0.026    -0.13   0.894        0.948       1.048
spring#1984  |      0.991      0.029    -0.31   0.760        0.936       1.050
spring#1985  |      1.023      0.025     0.96   0.337        0.976       1.073
spring#1986  |      0.999      0.025    -0.03   0.974        0.952       1.048
spring#1987  |      1.077      0.023     3.43   0.001        1.032       1.124
spring#1988  |      1.004      0.020     0.20   0.841        0.965       1.044
spring#1989  |      0.987      0.019    -0.67   0.501        0.951       1.025
spring#1990  |      0.985      0.025    -0.59   0.552        0.937       1.035
spring#1991  |      1.017      0.029     0.57   0.567        0.961       1.075
spring#1992  |      0.962      0.021    -1.82   0.069        0.922       1.003
spring#1993  |      1.011      0.021     0.52   0.600        0.971       1.053
spring#1994  |      1.044      0.022     2.04   0.041        1.002       1.088
spring#1995  |      1.051      0.024     2.16   0.031        1.005       1.100
spring#1996  |      1.059      0.034     1.79   0.073        0.995       1.127
spring#1997  |      1.004      0.027     0.14   0.890        0.952       1.059
spring#1998  |      0.959      0.019    -2.15   0.031        0.924       0.996
spring#1999  |      0.998      0.022    -0.10   0.924        0.956       1.042
spring#2000  |      0.987      0.027    -0.49   0.624        0.934       1.041
spring#2001  |      1.021      0.024     0.85   0.397        0.974       1.070
spring#2002  |      0.998      0.025    -0.09   0.932        0.950       1.048
spring#2003  |      1.031      0.027     1.16   0.247        0.979       1.086
spring#2004  |      1.030      0.025     1.21   0.228        0.982       1.081
spring#2005  |      1.039      0.028     1.40   0.163        0.985       1.096
spring#2006  |      1.027      0.024     1.13   0.258        0.981       1.076
spring#2007  |      1.033      0.020     1.68   0.094        0.995       1.072
spring#2008  |      1.028      0.020     1.43   0.154        0.990       1.068
spring#2009  |      1.024      0.023     1.05   0.295        0.979       1.071
spring#2010  |      1.061      0.025     2.51   0.012        1.013       1.110
summer#1981  |      1.004      0.032     0.14   0.887        0.945       1.068
summer#1982  |      1.060      0.030     2.03   0.043        1.002       1.121
summer#1983  |      1.017      0.032     0.54   0.591        0.956       1.083
summer#1984  |      0.984      0.024    -0.65   0.518        0.938       1.033
summer#1985  |      1.011      0.022     0.51   0.609        0.968       1.057
summer#1986  |      1.024      0.020     1.23   0.220        0.986       1.064
summer#1987  |      1.058      0.022     2.77   0.006        1.017       1.102
summer#1988  |      1.034      0.031     1.09   0.277        0.974       1.097
summer#1989  |      1.016      0.023     0.72   0.474        0.973       1.062
summer#1990  |      1.059      0.036     1.68   0.094        0.990       1.132
summer#1991  |      1.065      0.033     2.01   0.044        1.002       1.132
summer#1992  |      1.015      0.027     0.56   0.573        0.963       1.070
summer#1993  |      1.049      0.024     2.09   0.037        1.003       1.098
summer#1994  |      1.037      0.025     1.55   0.122        0.990       1.087
summer#1995  |      1.069      0.026     2.75   0.006        1.019       1.121
summer#1996  |      1.094      0.031     3.16   0.002        1.035       1.157
summer#1997  |      1.022      0.028     0.78   0.434        0.968       1.078
summer#1998  |      0.999      0.024    -0.02   0.983        0.953       1.048
summer#1999  |      1.051      0.029     1.83   0.068        0.996       1.109
summer#2000  |      1.005      0.027     0.19   0.847        0.953       1.060
summer#2001  |      1.048      0.025     1.94   0.053        0.999       1.099
summer#2002  |      1.047      0.021     2.29   0.022        1.007       1.089
summer#2003  |      1.072      0.029     2.60   0.009        1.017       1.129
summer#2004  |      1.051      0.028     1.86   0.063        0.997       1.108
summer#2005  |      1.046      0.028     1.70   0.090        0.993       1.101
summer#2006  |      1.074      0.034     2.24   0.025        1.009       1.144
summer#2007  |      1.071      0.027     2.77   0.006        1.020       1.124
summer#2008  |      1.038      0.028     1.40   0.161        0.985       1.093
summer#2009  |      1.091      0.030     3.13   0.002        1.033       1.153
summer#2010  |      1.114      0.027     4.46   0.000        1.062       1.168
  fall#1981  |      0.979      0.033    -0.63   0.529        0.916       1.046
  fall#1982  |      1.011      0.024     0.47   0.636        0.966       1.058
  fall#1983  |      0.992      0.024    -0.33   0.739        0.947       1.039
  fall#1984  |      1.028      0.025     1.14   0.253        0.980       1.079
  fall#1985  |      1.056      0.025     2.29   0.022        1.008       1.107
  fall#1986  |      1.015      0.028     0.55   0.584        0.961       1.073
  fall#1987  |      1.020      0.024     0.86   0.392        0.975       1.067
  fall#1988  |      1.009      0.025     0.37   0.711        0.961       1.060
  fall#1989  |      1.002      0.023     0.07   0.943        0.958       1.047
  fall#1990  |      1.046      0.036     1.31   0.190        0.978       1.119
  fall#1991  |      1.041      0.030     1.41   0.160        0.984       1.102
  fall#1992  |      0.979      0.026    -0.79   0.430        0.930       1.032
  fall#1993  |      1.039      0.024     1.64   0.100        0.993       1.088
  fall#1994  |      1.076      0.028     2.85   0.004        1.023       1.132
  fall#1995  |      1.053      0.029     1.90   0.058        0.998       1.110
  fall#1996  |      1.077      0.030     2.70   0.007        1.021       1.136
  fall#1997  |      1.030      0.029     1.06   0.288        0.975       1.089
  fall#1998  |      0.987      0.027    -0.48   0.630        0.936       1.041
  fall#1999  |      1.038      0.028     1.38   0.168        0.984       1.094
  fall#2000  |      1.007      0.027     0.24   0.807        0.955       1.061
  fall#2001  |      1.037      0.025     1.50   0.133        0.989       1.087
  fall#2002  |      1.042      0.030     1.43   0.152        0.985       1.103
  fall#2003  |      1.035      0.030     1.19   0.233        0.978       1.094
  fall#2004  |      1.086      0.028     3.17   0.002        1.032       1.143
  fall#2005  |      1.050      0.029     1.77   0.077        0.995       1.109
  fall#2006  |      1.055      0.029     1.98   0.048        1.000       1.113
  fall#2007  |      1.082      0.024     3.62   0.000        1.037       1.129
  fall#2008  |      1.033      0.025     1.35   0.178        0.985       1.083
  fall#2009  |      1.051      0.028     1.84   0.066        0.997       1.108
  fall#2010  |      1.044      0.027     1.70   0.089        0.993       1.098
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |     34.112      3.348    35.97   0.000       28.144      41.347
         AZ  |      0.428      0.083    -4.38   0.000        0.293       0.625
         AR  |      4.907      0.165    47.20   0.000        4.594       5.242
         CA  |      0.476      0.014   -26.16   0.000        0.450       0.503
         CO  |      5.334      1.122     7.96   0.000        3.531       8.056
         CT  |      0.135      0.011   -23.61   0.000        0.114       0.159
         DE  |      0.627      0.018   -15.96   0.000        0.592       0.664
         FL  |      0.811      0.042    -4.01   0.000        0.733       0.899
         GA  |      0.709      0.045    -5.43   0.000        0.626       0.803
         HI  |      0.223      0.036    -9.29   0.000        0.162       0.306
         ID  |      0.555      0.203    -1.61   0.107        0.271       1.136
         IL  |      0.305      0.029   -12.30   0.000        0.253       0.369
         IN  |      0.980      0.061    -0.33   0.744        0.868       1.106
         IA  |      0.784      0.055    -3.50   0.000        0.684       0.898
         KS  |      1.104      0.105     1.05   0.296        0.917       1.330
         KY  |      1.372      0.088     4.94   0.000        1.210       1.556
         LA  |      0.721      0.112    -2.12   0.034        0.532       0.976
         ME  |      0.667      0.016   -16.50   0.000        0.636       0.700
         MD  |      0.787      0.039    -4.79   0.000        0.714       0.868
         MA  |      0.169      0.009   -31.70   0.000        0.152       0.189
         MI  |      1.769      0.356     2.83   0.005        1.192       2.625
         MN  |      0.416      0.027   -13.48   0.000        0.366       0.473
         MS  |      0.378      0.022   -16.40   0.000        0.336       0.425
         MO  |      0.257      0.015   -23.12   0.000        0.229       0.288
         MT  |      0.845      0.213    -0.67   0.503        0.516       1.384
         NE  |      0.914      0.097    -0.85   0.397        0.742       1.125
         NV  |      4.264      2.122     2.91   0.004        1.608      11.311
         NH  |      0.424      0.008   -47.57   0.000        0.409       0.439
         NJ  |      1.830      0.089    12.49   0.000        1.664       2.012
         NM  |      8.551      0.802    22.88   0.000        7.115      10.277
         NY  |      0.960      0.097    -0.40   0.686        0.787       1.171
         NC  |      1.606      0.013    60.32   0.000        1.582       1.631
         ND  |      2.591      0.210    11.74   0.000        2.210       3.037
         OH  |     13.838      1.457    24.95   0.000       11.257      17.010
         OK  |      3.768      0.746     6.70   0.000        2.556       5.555
         OR  |      3.019      0.646     5.16   0.000        1.984       4.593
         PA  |      0.663      0.013   -20.92   0.000        0.638       0.689
         RI  |      0.088      0.003   -80.05   0.000        0.083       0.094
         SC  |      0.174      0.005   -55.78   0.000        0.163       0.185
         SD  |     11.348      0.600    45.95   0.000       10.231      12.587
         TN  |      2.216      0.047    37.36   0.000        2.125       2.310
         TX  |      0.220      0.015   -22.07   0.000        0.193       0.252
         UT  |      1.699      0.264     3.41   0.001        1.253       2.304
         VT  |      0.678      0.040    -6.53   0.000        0.603       0.762
         VA  |      1.276      0.061     5.13   0.000        1.163       1.400
         WA  |      1.562      0.042    16.47   0.000        1.481       1.647
         WV  |      9.658      0.496    44.17   0.000        8.734      10.681
         WI  |      1.697      0.398     2.25   0.024        1.071       2.688
         WY  |      0.633      0.083    -3.50   0.000        0.489       0.818
             |
     quarter |      1.086      0.025     3.65   0.000        1.039       1.136
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.000    -3.59   0.000        0.999       1.000
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     3.30   0.001        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.926      0.003   -22.60   0.000        0.920       0.932
         AZ  |      1.028      0.005     6.04   0.000        1.019       1.037
         AR  |      0.968      0.001   -42.02   0.000        0.966       0.969
         CA  |      1.029      0.001    38.18   0.000        1.028       1.031
         CO  |      0.974      0.005    -5.53   0.000        0.965       0.983
         CT  |      1.041      0.002    17.44   0.000        1.036       1.046
         DE  |      1.013      0.001    15.63   0.000        1.011       1.014
         FL  |      1.014      0.001    11.26   0.000        1.012       1.017
         GA  |      1.014      0.002     8.31   0.000        1.011       1.017
         HI  |      1.038      0.004     9.08   0.000        1.029       1.046
         ID  |      1.021      0.009     2.41   0.016        1.004       1.038
         IL  |      1.028      0.002    13.52   0.000        1.024       1.033
         IN  |      1.001      0.002     0.43   0.667        0.998       1.004
         IA  |      1.008      0.001     6.13   0.000        1.005       1.011
         KS  |      0.998      0.002    -0.96   0.335        0.994       1.002
         KY  |      0.996      0.001    -3.01   0.003        0.993       0.998
         LA  |      1.017      0.003     6.66   0.000        1.012       1.022
         ME  |      1.012      0.001    21.81   0.000        1.011       1.014
         MD  |      1.008      0.001     5.93   0.000        1.005       1.011
         MA  |      1.043      0.002    26.10   0.000        1.040       1.046
         MI  |      0.991      0.005    -1.85   0.064        0.981       1.001
         MN  |      1.021      0.001    15.17   0.000        1.018       1.024
         MS  |      1.018      0.001    14.61   0.000        1.016       1.020
         MO  |      1.033      0.001    23.71   0.000        1.030       1.036
         MT  |      1.013      0.005     2.66   0.008        1.003       1.022
         NE  |      0.997      0.002    -1.40   0.163        0.993       1.001
         NV  |      0.982      0.012    -1.56   0.119        0.959       1.005
         NH  |      1.024      0.000    65.32   0.000        1.024       1.025
         NJ  |      0.981      0.001   -13.23   0.000        0.979       0.984
         NM  |      0.965      0.002   -17.73   0.000        0.962       0.969
         NY  |      0.998      0.003    -0.80   0.423        0.992       1.003
         NC  |      0.993      0.000   -25.16   0.000        0.993       0.994
         ND  |      0.981      0.001   -21.68   0.000        0.979       0.982
         OH  |      0.947      0.002   -23.11   0.000        0.943       0.952
         OK  |      0.976      0.003    -6.99   0.000        0.970       0.983
         OR  |      0.980      0.005    -3.92   0.000        0.970       0.990
         PA  |      1.011      0.000    23.86   0.000        1.010       1.012
         RI  |      1.067      0.001    82.47   0.000        1.066       1.069
         SC  |      1.041      0.001    49.10   0.000        1.039       1.043
         SD  |      0.948      0.001   -48.54   0.000        0.946       0.951
         TN  |      0.985      0.001   -28.20   0.000        0.984       0.986
         TX  |      1.043      0.001    38.41   0.000        1.041       1.045
         UT  |      0.995      0.004    -1.47   0.143        0.988       1.002
         VT  |      1.023      0.001    16.40   0.000        1.021       1.026
         VA  |      1.002      0.001     1.80   0.073        1.000       1.005
         WA  |      0.992      0.001   -10.89   0.000        0.991       0.994
         WV  |      0.949      0.001   -47.52   0.000        0.947       0.951
         WI  |      0.995      0.005    -1.08   0.281        0.985       1.004
         WY  |      1.029      0.002    17.86   0.000        1.025       1.032
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.001      0.000    18.16   0.000        1.001       1.001
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -6.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    39.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -41.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     4.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -16.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -16.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000   -15.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    -9.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -9.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -2.74   0.006        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -16.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -1.12   0.261        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -11.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    -0.16   0.875        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000     1.50   0.133        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -11.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -27.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -7.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000   -28.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     0.87   0.386        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -20.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -12.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -22.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -3.40   0.001        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     2.87   0.004        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     1.43   0.153        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -78.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     7.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    17.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -1.20   0.229        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    11.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    43.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    19.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     7.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     3.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -21.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      0.999      0.000   -88.58   0.000        0.999       0.999
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -46.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    58.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    23.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -73.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     0.53   0.594        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -23.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    -5.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000     8.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    51.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    -0.54   0.588        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   -76.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -15.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     6.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -40.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    36.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    -3.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    14.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    17.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    19.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    10.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     9.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     3.31   0.001        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    18.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     1.42   0.157        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    17.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     1.58   0.115        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    -0.26   0.793        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    15.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    29.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     7.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    27.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -0.35   0.727        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    27.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    12.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    21.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     4.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -5.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -1.49   0.135        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    56.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    -3.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -20.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     2.12   0.034        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    -8.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -10.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -16.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    -8.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -3.31   0.001        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    18.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    86.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    49.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000   -84.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -21.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   318.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     0.56   0.578        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    26.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000     7.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    -9.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -56.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     2.15   0.031        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    43.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.798      0.765    -0.24   0.814        0.122       5.218
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 1.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.41       0.14     2.87   0.004         0.13        0.69
             |
         sex |
      1male  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.86       0.77   -18.10   0.000       -15.36      -12.36
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.55       0.40    11.29   0.000         3.76        5.34
   45 to 64  |       5.20       0.81     6.44   0.000         3.62        6.79
       >=65  |      12.92       1.16    11.10   0.000        10.64       15.21
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.76       0.13    13.26   0.000         1.50        2.02
     summer  |       1.96       0.13    15.53   0.000         1.71        2.20
       fall  |       0.74       0.15     4.98   0.000         0.45        1.03
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(output written to suic-econ-atable-sex_1.txt)
-> Group = 2female

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =       4.23
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0396
Log pseudolikelihood = -164575.37                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0016

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.017      0.009     2.06   0.040        1.001       1.034
       _cons |      7.217      0.805    17.71   0.000        5.799       8.981
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.10       0.05     2.02   0.044         0.00        0.20
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(5)    =    1455.75
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -154105.51                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0651

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.018      0.008     2.15   0.031        1.002       1.034
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.474      0.032   -10.97   0.000        0.415       0.541
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.647      0.028    29.59   0.000        1.594       1.703
   45 to 64  |      1.971      0.065    20.62   0.000        1.848       2.102
       >=65  |      1.312      0.092     3.86   0.000        1.143       1.506
             |
       _cons |      5.113      0.466    17.90   0.000        4.276       6.113
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.08       0.04     2.05   0.040         0.00        0.16
             |
         sex |
    2female  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -3.40       0.31   -10.95   0.000        -4.01       -2.79
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       2.27       0.15    15.56   0.000         1.99        2.56
   45 to 64  |       3.09       0.27    11.30   0.000         2.56        3.63
       >=65  |       1.24       0.36     3.45   0.001         0.53        1.94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -147883.19                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1029

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.004      0.008     0.50   0.619        0.989       1.019
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.472      0.033   -10.81   0.000        0.412       0.541
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.659      0.026    31.86   0.000        1.608       1.712
   45 to 64  |      1.986      0.063    21.74   0.000        1.867       2.112
       >=65  |      1.332      0.092     4.15   0.000        1.164       1.526
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.665      0.019    45.83   0.000        1.629       1.701
         AZ  |      1.426      0.029    17.51   0.000        1.371       1.484
         AR  |      1.019      0.004     4.45   0.000        1.011       1.028
         CA  |      1.129      0.007    19.83   0.000        1.115       1.142
         CO  |      1.419      0.024    20.71   0.000        1.373       1.467
         CT  |      0.684      0.007   -39.73   0.000        0.671       0.697
         DE  |      1.015      0.006     2.57   0.010        1.004       1.027
         FL  |      1.318      0.011    34.42   0.000        1.297       1.339
         GA  |      1.043      0.011     4.05   0.000        1.022       1.065
         HI  |      1.444      0.039    13.46   0.000        1.368       1.523
         ID  |      1.143      0.025     6.17   0.000        1.096       1.193
         IL  |      0.787      0.004   -42.74   0.000        0.778       0.795
         IN  |      0.871      0.006   -18.93   0.000        0.859       0.884
         IA  |      0.771      0.006   -31.14   0.000        0.758       0.783
         KS  |      0.921      0.007   -10.64   0.000        0.907       0.935
         KY  |      0.953      0.007    -6.32   0.000        0.938       0.967
         LA  |      1.132      0.004    33.20   0.000        1.123       1.140
         ME  |      0.926      0.010    -6.93   0.000        0.907       0.947
         MD  |      0.819      0.005   -30.81   0.000        0.809       0.830
         MA  |      0.677      0.010   -27.56   0.000        0.658       0.696
         MI  |      0.908      0.006   -14.48   0.000        0.896       0.920
         MN  |      0.820      0.008   -20.06   0.000        0.804       0.836
         MS  |      1.054      0.006     9.19   0.000        1.043       1.066
         MO  |      1.007      0.007     1.03   0.302        0.994       1.020
         MT  |      1.336      0.016    23.60   0.000        1.304       1.369
         NE  |      0.770      0.007   -26.85   0.000        0.756       0.785
         NV  |      1.907      0.056    22.17   0.000        1.801       2.019
         NH  |      0.944      0.018    -3.04   0.002        0.909       0.980
         NJ  |      0.570      0.004   -75.40   0.000        0.562       0.579
         NM  |      1.537      0.018    35.90   0.000        1.501       1.574
         NY  |      0.636      0.003   -91.70   0.000        0.630       0.642
         NC  |      1.086      0.007    12.61   0.000        1.072       1.100
         ND  |      0.728      0.008   -27.23   0.000        0.712       0.745
         OH  |      0.875      0.006   -18.36   0.000        0.863       0.888
         OK  |      1.202      0.011    19.68   0.000        1.181       1.225
         OR  |      1.263      0.021    13.75   0.000        1.221       1.305
         PA  |      0.834      0.006   -27.35   0.000        0.824       0.845
         RI  |      0.728      0.009   -25.37   0.000        0.711       0.746
         SC  |      1.079      0.006    14.11   0.000        1.068       1.090
         SD  |      0.886      0.007   -14.78   0.000        0.872       0.900
         TN  |      1.095      0.006    16.96   0.000        1.084       1.107
         TX  |      1.016      0.012     1.32   0.186        0.992       1.040
         UT  |      1.225      0.024    10.51   0.000        1.179       1.272
         VT  |      0.969      0.010    -2.92   0.004        0.949       0.990
         VA  |      1.074      0.006    13.45   0.000        1.063       1.085
         WA  |      1.145      0.010    16.07   0.000        1.126       1.164
         WV  |      0.858      0.007   -19.63   0.000        0.845       0.871
         WI  |      0.945      0.013    -4.22   0.000        0.920       0.970
         WY  |      1.337      0.019    20.82   0.000        1.301       1.374
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.137      0.037     3.92   0.000        1.067       1.213
     summer  |      1.112      0.037     3.24   0.001        1.043       1.186
       fall  |      1.048      0.024     2.06   0.039        1.002       1.097
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.079      0.039     2.10   0.036        1.005       1.159
       1982  |      1.012      0.066     0.18   0.856        0.891       1.150
       1983  |      0.995      0.046    -0.12   0.907        0.908       1.090
       1984  |      1.000      0.040    -0.00   0.999        0.925       1.081
       1985  |      0.905      0.049    -1.86   0.063        0.815       1.006
       1986  |      1.018      0.052     0.34   0.730        0.920       1.126
       1987  |      0.895      0.053    -1.88   0.060        0.797       1.005
       1988  |      0.906      0.052    -1.71   0.086        0.809       1.014
       1989  |      0.863      0.036    -3.49   0.000        0.794       0.937
       1990  |      0.814      0.043    -3.85   0.000        0.734       0.904
       1991  |      0.799      0.037    -4.86   0.000        0.730       0.875
       1992  |      0.857      0.042    -3.19   0.001        0.779       0.942
       1993  |      0.809      0.055    -3.11   0.002        0.708       0.925
       1994  |      0.803      0.044    -3.98   0.000        0.721       0.895
       1995  |      0.758      0.039    -5.41   0.000        0.686       0.838
       1996  |      0.815      0.046    -3.64   0.000        0.730       0.910
       1997  |      0.812      0.049    -3.43   0.001        0.721       0.914
       1998  |      0.789      0.053    -3.55   0.000        0.692       0.899
       1999  |      0.757      0.064    -3.27   0.001        0.641       0.894
       2000  |      0.724      0.059    -3.99   0.000        0.618       0.848
       2001  |      0.720      0.082    -2.87   0.004        0.576       0.901
       2002  |      0.785      0.068    -2.80   0.005        0.662       0.930
       2003  |      0.753      0.062    -3.45   0.001        0.640       0.884
       2004  |      0.817      0.072    -2.29   0.022        0.687       0.972
       2005  |      0.792      0.078    -2.35   0.019        0.653       0.962
       2006  |      0.796      0.080    -2.26   0.024        0.653       0.970
       2007  |      0.828      0.068    -2.31   0.021        0.706       0.972
       2008  |      0.891      0.081    -1.27   0.203        0.747       1.064
       2009  |      0.855      0.064    -2.09   0.037        0.737       0.990
       2010  |      0.916      0.086    -0.94   0.349        0.761       1.101
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.961      0.051    -0.75   0.453        0.866       1.066
spring#1982  |      1.009      0.059     0.16   0.873        0.901       1.131
spring#1983  |      0.958      0.048    -0.85   0.398        0.868       1.058
spring#1984  |      0.990      0.047    -0.21   0.835        0.903       1.086
spring#1985  |      1.057      0.050     1.18   0.238        0.964       1.159
spring#1986  |      0.931      0.049    -1.35   0.176        0.840       1.032
spring#1987  |      1.104      0.056     1.94   0.053        0.999       1.219
spring#1988  |      1.011      0.053     0.21   0.832        0.913       1.120
spring#1989  |      1.023      0.060     0.39   0.699        0.912       1.147
spring#1990  |      1.023      0.047     0.49   0.628        0.934       1.120
spring#1991  |      1.028      0.050     0.58   0.563        0.935       1.131
spring#1992  |      0.931      0.037    -1.80   0.071        0.861       1.006
spring#1993  |      0.984      0.050    -0.32   0.751        0.890       1.087
spring#1994  |      0.972      0.053    -0.52   0.601        0.874       1.081
spring#1995  |      1.005      0.049     0.10   0.919        0.913       1.107
spring#1996  |      0.906      0.049    -1.83   0.067        0.815       1.007
spring#1997  |      0.936      0.049    -1.27   0.204        0.844       1.037
spring#1998  |      0.933      0.051    -1.27   0.204        0.838       1.038
spring#1999  |      0.928      0.041    -1.70   0.090        0.852       1.012
spring#2000  |      1.000      0.054     0.01   0.995        0.901       1.111
spring#2001  |      0.966      0.042    -0.80   0.423        0.886       1.052
spring#2002  |      0.984      0.051    -0.31   0.759        0.889       1.090
spring#2003  |      0.993      0.041    -0.16   0.871        0.917       1.076
spring#2004  |      0.961      0.050    -0.76   0.446        0.868       1.064
spring#2005  |      0.982      0.050    -0.36   0.716        0.888       1.085
spring#2006  |      0.995      0.039    -0.12   0.903        0.921       1.076
spring#2007  |      0.979      0.053    -0.38   0.701        0.881       1.089
spring#2008  |      0.928      0.042    -1.68   0.093        0.850       1.013
spring#2009  |      0.985      0.044    -0.33   0.739        0.904       1.075
spring#2010  |      0.945      0.040    -1.34   0.182        0.869       1.027
summer#1981  |      0.900      0.046    -2.05   0.040        0.813       0.995
summer#1982  |      1.025      0.060     0.41   0.678        0.914       1.149
summer#1983  |      0.950      0.044    -1.09   0.278        0.867       1.042
summer#1984  |      0.960      0.036    -1.10   0.274        0.892       1.033
summer#1985  |      1.005      0.056     0.10   0.923        0.902       1.121
summer#1986  |      0.942      0.036    -1.54   0.124        0.874       1.016
summer#1987  |      1.033      0.055     0.60   0.546        0.930       1.147
summer#1988  |      0.991      0.055    -0.17   0.869        0.888       1.105
summer#1989  |      1.009      0.061     0.15   0.878        0.896       1.137
summer#1990  |      1.115      0.050     2.41   0.016        1.021       1.219
summer#1991  |      1.068      0.050     1.40   0.161        0.974       1.170
summer#1992  |      0.920      0.044    -1.73   0.083        0.836       1.011
summer#1993  |      1.027      0.060     0.45   0.650        0.916       1.152
summer#1994  |      0.967      0.061    -0.53   0.594        0.854       1.094
summer#1995  |      1.034      0.051     0.68   0.499        0.938       1.140
summer#1996  |      0.914      0.037    -2.24   0.025        0.844       0.989
summer#1997  |      0.900      0.050    -1.89   0.058        0.807       1.004
summer#1998  |      0.969      0.048    -0.65   0.518        0.879       1.067
summer#1999  |      0.942      0.038    -1.47   0.143        0.870       1.020
summer#2000  |      0.982      0.044    -0.41   0.685        0.900       1.072
summer#2001  |      1.060      0.062     1.00   0.320        0.945       1.188
summer#2002  |      0.958      0.044    -0.95   0.343        0.876       1.047
summer#2003  |      1.031      0.045     0.69   0.491        0.946       1.124
summer#2004  |      1.032      0.052     0.62   0.537        0.935       1.138
summer#2005  |      0.988      0.046    -0.26   0.795        0.901       1.083
summer#2006  |      1.013      0.042     0.32   0.749        0.934       1.099
summer#2007  |      1.034      0.049     0.69   0.490        0.941       1.135
summer#2008  |      0.960      0.039    -0.98   0.325        0.886       1.041
summer#2009  |      1.044      0.047     0.97   0.333        0.957       1.140
summer#2010  |      0.978      0.048    -0.46   0.648        0.888       1.077
  fall#1981  |      0.986      0.051    -0.27   0.787        0.891       1.091
  fall#1982  |      0.960      0.057    -0.68   0.498        0.855       1.079
  fall#1983  |      1.019      0.041     0.47   0.641        0.942       1.102
  fall#1984  |      0.964      0.039    -0.90   0.366        0.890       1.044
  fall#1985  |      1.017      0.038     0.44   0.661        0.945       1.094
  fall#1986  |      0.938      0.037    -1.65   0.099        0.869       1.012
  fall#1987  |      1.059      0.055     1.10   0.271        0.956       1.172
  fall#1988  |      0.981      0.048    -0.39   0.696        0.892       1.079
  fall#1989  |      0.981      0.046    -0.41   0.678        0.895       1.075
  fall#1990  |      1.101      0.043     2.45   0.014        1.020       1.189
  fall#1991  |      1.073      0.051     1.47   0.141        0.977       1.178
  fall#1992  |      0.973      0.038    -0.70   0.485        0.901       1.051
  fall#1993  |      1.021      0.044     0.49   0.621        0.939       1.111
  fall#1994  |      0.996      0.055    -0.07   0.941        0.894       1.110
  fall#1995  |      1.047      0.049     0.98   0.326        0.955       1.148
  fall#1996  |      0.933      0.041    -1.60   0.110        0.856       1.016
  fall#1997  |      0.978      0.040    -0.54   0.590        0.902       1.060
  fall#1998  |      0.971      0.045    -0.62   0.535        0.887       1.064
  fall#1999  |      0.954      0.035    -1.31   0.191        0.888       1.024
  fall#2000  |      0.962      0.056    -0.67   0.506        0.859       1.078
  fall#2001  |      1.044      0.040     1.12   0.265        0.968       1.125
  fall#2002  |      0.932      0.054    -1.22   0.222        0.833       1.043
  fall#2003  |      1.001      0.043     0.03   0.978        0.921       1.088
  fall#2004  |      1.003      0.041     0.07   0.942        0.925       1.087
  fall#2005  |      1.033      0.053     0.63   0.526        0.934       1.144
  fall#2006  |      1.091      0.042     2.25   0.024        1.011       1.176
  fall#2007  |      1.083      0.053     1.62   0.105        0.983       1.193
  fall#2008  |      1.010      0.038     0.26   0.799        0.938       1.087
  fall#2009  |      1.095      0.038     2.59   0.010        1.022       1.173
  fall#2010  |      1.025      0.033     0.76   0.445        0.962       1.092
             |
       _cons |      4.821      0.289    26.26   0.000        4.287       5.421
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.02       0.04     0.50   0.619        -0.06        0.09
             |
         sex |
    2female  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -3.62       0.31   -11.78   0.000        -4.23       -3.02
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       2.44       0.11    22.02   0.000         2.23        2.66
   45 to 64  |       3.31       0.23    14.35   0.000         2.86        3.76
       >=65  |       1.39       0.36     3.87   0.000         0.68        2.09
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.53       0.04    12.87   0.000         0.45        0.61
     summer  |       0.47       0.03    15.43   0.000         0.41        0.52
       fall  |       0.26       0.04     6.00   0.000         0.17        0.34
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -147415.8                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1057

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.029      0.007     4.06   0.000        1.015       1.043
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.474      0.033   -10.61   0.000        0.413       0.544
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.659      0.026    32.08   0.000        1.608       1.711
   45 to 64  |      1.984      0.062    21.90   0.000        1.866       2.109
       >=65  |      1.331      0.092     4.16   0.000        1.163       1.524
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.849      0.030    -4.63   0.000        0.792       0.910
         AZ  |      1.474      0.067     8.57   0.000        1.349       1.610
         AR  |      0.744      0.005   -47.97   0.000        0.735       0.753
         CA  |      2.386      0.026    80.33   0.000        2.336       2.437
         CO  |      1.416      0.045    10.87   0.000        1.330       1.507
         CT  |      0.718      0.005   -46.03   0.000        0.708       0.728
         DE  |      1.576      0.022    32.19   0.000        1.533       1.621
         FL  |      1.818      0.022    48.37   0.000        1.775       1.863
         GA  |      1.302      0.036     9.56   0.000        1.234       1.375
         HI  |      1.299      0.032    10.69   0.000        1.238       1.363
         ID  |      0.837      0.054    -2.79   0.005        0.738       0.949
         IL  |      1.294      0.004    89.71   0.000        1.287       1.301
         IN  |      0.848      0.008   -17.38   0.000        0.833       0.864
         IA  |      0.858      0.006   -23.39   0.000        0.847       0.869
         KS  |      1.050      0.006     8.64   0.000        1.039       1.062
         KY  |      1.145      0.010    16.05   0.000        1.126       1.164
         LA  |      2.378      0.089    23.11   0.000        2.209       2.559
         ME  |      1.262      0.010    30.84   0.000        1.244       1.281
         MD  |      1.201      0.008    29.00   0.000        1.187       1.216
         MA  |      0.920      0.008   -10.05   0.000        0.905       0.935
         MI  |      1.283      0.006    51.82   0.000        1.271       1.295
         MN  |      1.143      0.019     8.19   0.000        1.107       1.180
         MS  |      1.205      0.005    43.40   0.000        1.195       1.215
         MO  |      1.202      0.005    43.83   0.000        1.192       1.212
         MT  |      1.192      0.011    19.83   0.000        1.171       1.212
         NE  |      0.960      0.012    -3.40   0.001        0.938       0.983
         NV  |      2.327      0.171    11.47   0.000        2.014       2.688
         NH  |      0.895      0.029    -3.48   0.000        0.840       0.953
         NJ  |      0.735      0.004   -59.15   0.000        0.728       0.743
         NM  |      1.557      0.044    15.80   0.000        1.474       1.645
         NY  |      1.084      0.017     5.26   0.000        1.052       1.118
         NC  |      1.125      0.023     5.83   0.000        1.081       1.171
         ND  |      0.739      0.008   -27.13   0.000        0.723       0.755
         OH  |      1.396      0.007    67.11   0.000        1.383       1.410
         OK  |      1.358      0.027    15.17   0.000        1.305       1.413
         OR  |      1.003      0.054     0.06   0.954        0.903       1.114
         PA  |      1.100      0.011     9.70   0.000        1.079       1.122
         RI  |      1.186      0.008    25.36   0.000        1.170       1.201
         SC  |      1.033      0.018     1.89   0.059        0.999       1.068
         SD  |      0.522      0.010   -33.30   0.000        0.502       0.542
         TN  |      0.936      0.010    -5.96   0.000        0.916       0.957
         TX  |      1.540      0.025    26.50   0.000        1.492       1.590
         UT  |      0.996      0.046    -0.09   0.926        0.909       1.090
         VT  |      1.114      0.011    10.59   0.000        1.092       1.136
         VA  |      1.338      0.012    31.35   0.000        1.314       1.363
         WA  |      1.339      0.030    13.14   0.000        1.282       1.398
         WV  |      0.917      0.006   -13.90   0.000        0.906       0.928
         WI  |      1.081      0.010     8.31   0.000        1.061       1.101
         WY  |      1.227      0.014    17.73   0.000        1.200       1.256
             |
     quarter |      0.994      0.003    -1.71   0.087        0.988       1.001
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.004      0.000    16.57   0.000        1.004       1.005
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     0.28   0.781        0.999       1.001
         AR  |      1.002      0.000    42.06   0.000        1.002       1.002
         CA  |      0.995      0.000   -58.45   0.000        0.995       0.995
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     1.03   0.302        1.000       1.001
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    -2.17   0.030        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      0.997      0.000   -24.28   0.000        0.997       0.997
         FL  |      0.998      0.000   -16.75   0.000        0.998       0.998
         GA  |      0.999      0.000    -5.23   0.000        0.998       0.999
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     2.05   0.041        1.000       1.001
         ID  |      1.003      0.001     4.57   0.000        1.001       1.004
         IL  |      0.997      0.000   -95.96   0.000        0.997       0.997
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     4.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      0.999      0.000   -30.78   0.000        0.999       0.999
         KS  |      0.999      0.000   -35.51   0.000        0.999       0.999
         KY  |      0.999      0.000   -23.00   0.000        0.999       0.999
         LA  |      0.995      0.000   -20.72   0.000        0.994       0.995
         ME  |      0.998      0.000   -62.22   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MD  |      0.997      0.000   -31.80   0.000        0.997       0.998
         MA  |      0.998      0.000   -16.45   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MI  |      0.998      0.000   -76.45   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MN  |      0.998      0.000   -17.24   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MS  |      0.999      0.000   -34.89   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -44.49   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      1.001      0.000    16.02   0.000        1.001       1.001
         NE  |      0.999      0.000   -12.38   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NV  |      0.999      0.001    -1.30   0.193        0.998       1.000
         NH  |      1.001      0.000     2.34   0.019        1.000       1.001
         NJ  |      0.998      0.000   -45.78   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     0.42   0.674        1.000       1.001
         NY  |      0.996      0.000   -44.82   0.000        0.996       0.996
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    -0.74   0.462        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    10.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      0.997      0.000  -141.53   0.000        0.997       0.997
         OK  |      0.999      0.000    -7.51   0.000        0.999       1.000
         OR  |      1.002      0.000     4.16   0.000        1.001       1.003
         PA  |      0.998      0.000   -45.22   0.000        0.998       0.998
         RI  |      0.997      0.000   -60.51   0.000        0.997       0.997
         SC  |      1.000      0.000     2.60   0.009        1.000       1.001
         SD  |      1.004      0.000    24.13   0.000        1.003       1.004
         TN  |      1.001      0.000    12.64   0.000        1.001       1.001
         TX  |      0.997      0.000   -16.62   0.000        0.997       0.998
         UT  |      1.002      0.000     4.30   0.000        1.001       1.002
         VT  |      0.999      0.000   -16.88   0.000        0.999       0.999
         VA  |      0.999      0.000   -17.86   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WA  |      0.999      0.000    -6.79   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -11.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      0.999      0.000    -5.87   0.000        0.999       1.000
         WY  |      1.001      0.000    13.92   0.000        1.001       1.001
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.133      0.037     3.84   0.000        1.063       1.208
     summer  |      1.115      0.036     3.36   0.001        1.046       1.188
       fall  |      1.061      0.025     2.46   0.014        1.012       1.112
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.114      0.040     2.97   0.003        1.037       1.196
       1982  |      1.075      0.070     1.11   0.268        0.946       1.222
       1983  |      1.092      0.066     1.45   0.146        0.970       1.229
       1984  |      1.148      0.075     2.13   0.033        1.011       1.304
       1985  |      1.083      0.088     0.99   0.322        0.925       1.270
       1986  |      1.267      0.112     2.68   0.007        1.066       1.506
       1987  |      1.159      0.119     1.44   0.151        0.948       1.418
       1988  |      1.225      0.150     1.65   0.099        0.962       1.558
       1989  |      1.216      0.162     1.46   0.144        0.936       1.580
       1990  |      1.190      0.176     1.17   0.241        0.890       1.590
       1991  |      1.204      0.191     1.17   0.240        0.883       1.642
       1992  |      1.335      0.239     1.62   0.106        0.940       1.896
       1993  |      1.313      0.248     1.44   0.149        0.907       1.901
       1994  |      1.361      0.260     1.62   0.106        0.937       1.978
       1995  |      1.343      0.292     1.36   0.175        0.877       2.057
       1996  |      1.504      0.338     1.81   0.070        0.967       2.337
       1997  |      1.567      0.385     1.83   0.068        0.968       2.537
       1998  |      1.595      0.406     1.84   0.066        0.969       2.625
       1999  |      1.600      0.432     1.74   0.081        0.943       2.715
       2000  |      1.598      0.444     1.69   0.092        0.927       2.755
       2001  |      1.645      0.497     1.65   0.100        0.909       2.976
       2002  |      1.842      0.569     1.98   0.048        1.005       3.375
       2003  |      1.824      0.591     1.86   0.063        0.967       3.441
       2004  |      2.058      0.686     2.17   0.030        1.071       3.954
       2005  |      2.082      0.719     2.13   0.034        1.059       4.096
       2006  |      2.184      0.800     2.13   0.033        1.066       4.476
       2007  |      2.366      0.865     2.36   0.018        1.156       4.844
       2008  |      2.618      1.036     2.43   0.015        1.206       5.684
       2009  |      2.533      1.018     2.31   0.021        1.152       5.570
       2010  |      2.774      1.154     2.45   0.014        1.228       6.269
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.963      0.051    -0.71   0.477        0.869       1.068
spring#1982  |      1.011      0.059     0.19   0.851        0.902       1.133
spring#1983  |      0.957      0.048    -0.86   0.390        0.867       1.057
spring#1984  |      0.991      0.047    -0.19   0.851        0.903       1.088
spring#1985  |      1.058      0.050     1.19   0.233        0.965       1.160
spring#1986  |      0.931      0.049    -1.35   0.178        0.840       1.033
spring#1987  |      1.104      0.056     1.94   0.052        0.999       1.220
spring#1988  |      1.012      0.053     0.22   0.823        0.914       1.120
spring#1989  |      1.024      0.060     0.40   0.689        0.912       1.149
spring#1990  |      1.026      0.047     0.54   0.586        0.937       1.123
spring#1991  |      1.029      0.050     0.58   0.560        0.935       1.132
spring#1992  |      0.931      0.037    -1.80   0.072        0.861       1.007
spring#1993  |      0.984      0.050    -0.32   0.752        0.890       1.087
spring#1994  |      0.972      0.053    -0.52   0.601        0.874       1.081
spring#1995  |      1.005      0.049     0.11   0.915        0.913       1.107
spring#1996  |      0.906      0.049    -1.83   0.067        0.815       1.007
spring#1997  |      0.936      0.049    -1.27   0.204        0.844       1.037
spring#1998  |      0.933      0.051    -1.26   0.207        0.838       1.039
spring#1999  |      0.928      0.041    -1.70   0.089        0.852       1.011
spring#2000  |      1.002      0.054     0.03   0.972        0.902       1.113
spring#2001  |      0.968      0.042    -0.74   0.458        0.889       1.054
spring#2002  |      0.985      0.051    -0.28   0.777        0.890       1.091
spring#2003  |      0.993      0.041    -0.17   0.863        0.916       1.076
spring#2004  |      0.962      0.050    -0.76   0.450        0.869       1.064
spring#2005  |      0.982      0.050    -0.36   0.722        0.888       1.086
spring#2006  |      0.996      0.039    -0.11   0.915        0.921       1.076
spring#2007  |      0.981      0.053    -0.35   0.724        0.883       1.090
spring#2008  |      0.933      0.042    -1.56   0.120        0.854       1.018
spring#2009  |      0.985      0.044    -0.35   0.729        0.903       1.074
spring#2010  |      0.946      0.040    -1.31   0.191        0.871       1.028
summer#1981  |      0.903      0.047    -1.94   0.052        0.816       1.001
summer#1982  |      1.026      0.060     0.44   0.659        0.915       1.150
summer#1983  |      0.954      0.045    -1.01   0.314        0.871       1.046
summer#1984  |      0.965      0.036    -0.94   0.345        0.897       1.039
summer#1985  |      1.009      0.056     0.17   0.867        0.905       1.125
summer#1986  |      0.945      0.036    -1.46   0.144        0.877       1.019
summer#1987  |      1.037      0.055     0.68   0.494        0.934       1.152
summer#1988  |      0.995      0.056    -0.08   0.935        0.892       1.111
summer#1989  |      1.013      0.062     0.21   0.833        0.898       1.142
summer#1990  |      1.121      0.051     2.50   0.012        1.025       1.225
summer#1991  |      1.070      0.050     1.44   0.149        0.976       1.172
summer#1992  |      0.923      0.045    -1.66   0.098        0.839       1.015
summer#1993  |      1.031      0.060     0.52   0.600        0.920       1.156
summer#1994  |      0.972      0.061    -0.46   0.648        0.859       1.099
summer#1995  |      1.038      0.052     0.75   0.455        0.941       1.145
summer#1996  |      0.918      0.037    -2.11   0.035        0.848       0.994
summer#1997  |      0.904      0.050    -1.80   0.071        0.811       1.009
summer#1998  |      0.973      0.048    -0.55   0.579        0.884       1.071
summer#1999  |      0.946      0.039    -1.36   0.174        0.873       1.025
summer#2000  |      0.987      0.044    -0.29   0.768        0.905       1.077
summer#2001  |      1.062      0.061     1.04   0.300        0.948       1.190
summer#2002  |      0.961      0.044    -0.88   0.378        0.878       1.051
summer#2003  |      1.032      0.045     0.72   0.472        0.947       1.125
summer#2004  |      1.036      0.052     0.71   0.480        0.939       1.143
summer#2005  |      0.992      0.046    -0.17   0.869        0.905       1.087
summer#2006  |      1.018      0.043     0.42   0.678        0.937       1.104
summer#2007  |      1.038      0.049     0.78   0.437        0.945       1.139
summer#2008  |      0.963      0.040    -0.91   0.362        0.888       1.044
summer#2009  |      1.039      0.047     0.85   0.396        0.951       1.134
summer#2010  |      0.982      0.048    -0.37   0.709        0.892       1.081
  fall#1981  |      0.989      0.051    -0.22   0.824        0.893       1.095
  fall#1982  |      0.959      0.057    -0.70   0.485        0.854       1.078
  fall#1983  |      1.026      0.041     0.64   0.525        0.949       1.109
  fall#1984  |      0.971      0.039    -0.74   0.457        0.897       1.050
  fall#1985  |      1.022      0.038     0.57   0.569        0.949       1.099
  fall#1986  |      0.942      0.037    -1.55   0.122        0.872       1.016
  fall#1987  |      1.065      0.055     1.22   0.222        0.962       1.179
  fall#1988  |      0.987      0.049    -0.26   0.794        0.896       1.088
  fall#1989  |      0.985      0.046    -0.33   0.745        0.898       1.080
  fall#1990  |      1.104      0.043     2.52   0.012        1.022       1.192
  fall#1991  |      1.074      0.051     1.50   0.132        0.979       1.180
  fall#1992  |      0.977      0.039    -0.58   0.560        0.904       1.056
  fall#1993  |      1.028      0.044     0.63   0.528        0.944       1.118
  fall#1994  |      1.003      0.055     0.06   0.950        0.901       1.118
  fall#1995  |      1.053      0.049     1.09   0.274        0.960       1.154
  fall#1996  |      0.939      0.042    -1.42   0.155        0.860       1.024
  fall#1997  |      0.986      0.041    -0.35   0.726        0.909       1.069
  fall#1998  |      0.978      0.045    -0.48   0.632        0.894       1.070
  fall#1999  |      0.960      0.035    -1.12   0.263        0.893       1.031
  fall#2000  |      0.967      0.056    -0.57   0.571        0.863       1.085
  fall#2001  |      1.042      0.040     1.08   0.281        0.967       1.124
  fall#2002  |      0.934      0.054    -1.18   0.237        0.834       1.046
  fall#2003  |      1.003      0.043     0.08   0.936        0.922       1.092
  fall#2004  |      1.009      0.041     0.22   0.824        0.931       1.093
  fall#2005  |      1.040      0.054     0.74   0.460        0.938       1.152
  fall#2006  |      1.097      0.043     2.35   0.019        1.015       1.185
  fall#2007  |      1.087      0.054     1.67   0.094        0.986       1.198
  fall#2008  |      1.005      0.038     0.14   0.885        0.934       1.082
  fall#2009  |      1.085      0.038     2.32   0.021        1.013       1.163
  fall#2010  |      1.029      0.033     0.88   0.376        0.966       1.096
             |
       _cons |      8.023      2.364     7.07   0.000        4.504      14.294
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.14       0.03     4.29   0.000         0.07        0.20
             |
         sex |
    2female  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -3.59       0.31   -11.53   0.000        -4.20       -2.98
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       2.43       0.11    22.37   0.000         2.22        2.65
   45 to 64  |       3.29       0.23    14.63   0.000         2.85        3.73
       >=65  |       1.38       0.35     3.89   0.000         0.68        2.07
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.51       0.04    13.22   0.000         0.44        0.59
     summer  |       0.49       0.03    14.43   0.000         0.43        0.56
       fall  |       0.33       0.05     6.31   0.000         0.23        0.44
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -147357.85                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1061

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.024      0.008     3.14   0.002        1.009       1.039
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.474      0.033   -10.61   0.000        0.413       0.544
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.659      0.026    32.09   0.000        1.608       1.711
   45 to 64  |      1.984      0.062    21.89   0.000        1.866       2.109
       >=65  |      1.331      0.092     4.16   0.000        1.163       1.524
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.131      0.037     3.81   0.000        1.062       1.206
     summer  |      1.120      0.037     3.41   0.001        1.049       1.195
       fall  |      1.071      0.027     2.73   0.006        1.020       1.124
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.138      0.044     3.31   0.001        1.054       1.228
       1982  |      1.121      0.079     1.62   0.105        0.976       1.286
       1983  |      1.159      0.099     1.72   0.086        0.980       1.371
       1984  |      1.236      0.123     2.13   0.033        1.017       1.502
       1985  |      1.182      0.143     1.38   0.166        0.933       1.498
       1986  |      1.400      0.199     2.37   0.018        1.060       1.849
       1987  |      1.295      0.202     1.65   0.098        0.953       1.759
       1988  |      1.380      0.247     1.80   0.072        0.972       1.959
       1989  |      1.381      0.261     1.71   0.088        0.953       2.001
       1990  |      1.362      0.295     1.43   0.154        0.891       2.082
       1991  |      1.389      0.310     1.47   0.142        0.896       2.152
       1992  |      1.548      0.385     1.76   0.079        0.951       2.521
       1993  |      1.527      0.399     1.62   0.105        0.915       2.547
       1994  |      1.584      0.420     1.74   0.083        0.942       2.664
       1995  |      1.562      0.444     1.57   0.117        0.895       2.727
       1996  |      1.747      0.508     1.92   0.055        0.988       3.088
       1997  |      1.815      0.570     1.90   0.058        0.980       3.360
       1998  |      1.838      0.581     1.93   0.054        0.989       3.416
       1999  |      1.834      0.609     1.83   0.068        0.956       3.517
       2000  |      1.819      0.607     1.79   0.073        0.946       3.498
       2001  |      1.861      0.671     1.72   0.085        0.918       3.772
       2002  |      2.071      0.738     2.04   0.041        1.029       4.166
       2003  |      2.034      0.745     1.94   0.053        0.992       4.170
       2004  |      2.269      0.847     2.19   0.028        1.091       4.718
       2005  |      2.267      0.855     2.17   0.030        1.082       4.749
       2006  |      2.343      0.919     2.17   0.030        1.087       5.053
       2007  |      2.500      0.960     2.39   0.017        1.178       5.306
       2008  |      2.728      1.117     2.45   0.014        1.223       6.085
       2009  |      2.609      1.072     2.33   0.020        1.166       5.835
       2010  |      2.813      1.182     2.46   0.014        1.235       6.409
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.963      0.051    -0.72   0.474        0.868       1.068
spring#1982  |      1.011      0.059     0.19   0.852        0.902       1.133
spring#1983  |      0.958      0.048    -0.85   0.395        0.868       1.057
spring#1984  |      0.991      0.047    -0.18   0.857        0.904       1.088
spring#1985  |      1.058      0.050     1.20   0.229        0.965       1.160
spring#1986  |      0.932      0.049    -1.34   0.181        0.841       1.033
spring#1987  |      1.105      0.056     1.96   0.051        1.000       1.221
spring#1988  |      1.013      0.053     0.24   0.811        0.914       1.121
spring#1989  |      1.025      0.060     0.41   0.679        0.913       1.150
spring#1990  |      1.026      0.047     0.56   0.576        0.937       1.123
spring#1991  |      1.030      0.050     0.61   0.545        0.936       1.134
spring#1992  |      0.932      0.037    -1.77   0.077        0.862       1.008
spring#1993  |      0.985      0.050    -0.29   0.772        0.892       1.088
spring#1994  |      0.974      0.053    -0.49   0.622        0.876       1.083
spring#1995  |      1.007      0.050     0.14   0.889        0.914       1.109
spring#1996  |      0.907      0.049    -1.80   0.072        0.816       1.009
spring#1997  |      0.937      0.049    -1.24   0.214        0.847       1.038
spring#1998  |      0.935      0.051    -1.23   0.220        0.840       1.041
spring#1999  |      0.930      0.041    -1.65   0.098        0.854       1.014
spring#2000  |      1.004      0.054     0.07   0.944        0.903       1.116
spring#2001  |      0.970      0.042    -0.71   0.480        0.891       1.056
spring#2002  |      0.987      0.052    -0.24   0.809        0.892       1.094
spring#2003  |      0.996      0.040    -0.11   0.912        0.920       1.078
spring#2004  |      0.964      0.049    -0.72   0.472        0.872       1.065
spring#2005  |      0.985      0.050    -0.31   0.760        0.891       1.088
spring#2006  |      0.998      0.039    -0.04   0.969        0.925       1.077
spring#2007  |      0.984      0.053    -0.30   0.762        0.884       1.094
spring#2008  |      0.934      0.042    -1.51   0.130        0.856       1.020
spring#2009  |      0.988      0.044    -0.27   0.788        0.905       1.079
spring#2010  |      0.949      0.040    -1.24   0.217        0.873       1.031
summer#1981  |      0.903      0.047    -1.96   0.050        0.815       1.000
summer#1982  |      1.025      0.060     0.43   0.668        0.914       1.150
summer#1983  |      0.953      0.045    -1.03   0.305        0.869       1.045
summer#1984  |      0.963      0.037    -0.98   0.325        0.894       1.038
summer#1985  |      1.007      0.056     0.13   0.895        0.903       1.123
summer#1986  |      0.944      0.037    -1.50   0.134        0.874       1.018
summer#1987  |      1.035      0.055     0.64   0.525        0.931       1.149
summer#1988  |      0.993      0.056    -0.13   0.896        0.890       1.108
summer#1989  |      1.010      0.061     0.17   0.867        0.897       1.138
summer#1990  |      1.117      0.051     2.42   0.015        1.021       1.221
summer#1991  |      1.066      0.050     1.38   0.166        0.974       1.168
summer#1992  |      0.919      0.045    -1.70   0.089        0.835       1.013
summer#1993  |      1.027      0.060     0.46   0.648        0.915       1.153
summer#1994  |      0.968      0.062    -0.52   0.605        0.854       1.096
summer#1995  |      1.034      0.051     0.67   0.502        0.938       1.139
summer#1996  |      0.914      0.037    -2.25   0.025        0.844       0.989
summer#1997  |      0.900      0.051    -1.85   0.064        0.805       1.006
summer#1998  |      0.968      0.048    -0.64   0.519        0.878       1.068
summer#1999  |      0.941      0.039    -1.46   0.144        0.867       1.021
summer#2000  |      0.982      0.044    -0.41   0.680        0.899       1.072
summer#2001  |      1.056      0.062     0.94   0.350        0.942       1.185
summer#2002  |      0.955      0.044    -1.00   0.317        0.873       1.045
summer#2003  |      1.027      0.045     0.59   0.554        0.941       1.120
summer#2004  |      1.030      0.053     0.57   0.570        0.931       1.139
summer#2005  |      0.986      0.047    -0.30   0.764        0.899       1.082
summer#2006  |      1.011      0.043     0.25   0.800        0.930       1.099
summer#2007  |      1.031      0.048     0.65   0.519        0.941       1.129
summer#2008  |      0.957      0.040    -1.06   0.290        0.881       1.039
summer#2009  |      1.033      0.046     0.73   0.464        0.947       1.128
summer#2010  |      0.975      0.049    -0.51   0.608        0.883       1.076
  fall#1981  |      0.987      0.051    -0.24   0.809        0.892       1.094
  fall#1982  |      0.958      0.057    -0.72   0.473        0.854       1.076
  fall#1983  |      1.022      0.041     0.55   0.583        0.945       1.107
  fall#1984  |      0.967      0.039    -0.83   0.405        0.894       1.047
  fall#1985  |      1.018      0.038     0.46   0.642        0.946       1.095
  fall#1986  |      0.937      0.037    -1.65   0.099        0.868       1.012
  fall#1987  |      1.059      0.054     1.13   0.260        0.958       1.171
  fall#1988  |      0.981      0.048    -0.39   0.700        0.892       1.080
  fall#1989  |      0.979      0.044    -0.48   0.634        0.896       1.069
  fall#1990  |      1.097      0.045     2.27   0.023        1.013       1.188
  fall#1991  |      1.067      0.050     1.39   0.164        0.974       1.170
  fall#1992  |      0.970      0.039    -0.77   0.442        0.896       1.049
  fall#1993  |      1.019      0.044     0.43   0.670        0.936       1.109
  fall#1994  |      0.994      0.056    -0.11   0.913        0.891       1.109
  fall#1995  |      1.042      0.049     0.89   0.373        0.951       1.142
  fall#1996  |      0.929      0.040    -1.73   0.084        0.855       1.010
  fall#1997  |      0.975      0.042    -0.60   0.549        0.896       1.060
  fall#1998  |      0.967      0.043    -0.75   0.451        0.886       1.055
  fall#1999  |      0.948      0.037    -1.36   0.173        0.878       1.024
  fall#2000  |      0.956      0.055    -0.79   0.427        0.854       1.069
  fall#2001  |      1.030      0.042     0.73   0.463        0.951       1.116
  fall#2002  |      0.922      0.052    -1.44   0.149        0.826       1.030
  fall#2003  |      0.990      0.043    -0.23   0.819        0.910       1.078
  fall#2004  |      0.994      0.043    -0.13   0.898        0.914       1.082
  fall#2005  |      1.024      0.053     0.46   0.646        0.926       1.132
  fall#2006  |      1.080      0.041     2.02   0.043        1.002       1.163
  fall#2007  |      1.070      0.049     1.49   0.137        0.979       1.170
  fall#2008  |      0.991      0.037    -0.25   0.804        0.920       1.067
  fall#2009  |      1.070      0.038     1.89   0.059        0.998       1.147
  fall#2010  |      1.011      0.033     0.34   0.736        0.948       1.078
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.710      0.109    -2.24   0.025        0.526       0.958
         AZ  |      4.807      0.049   153.69   0.000        4.712       4.904
         AR  |      1.146      0.012    12.71   0.000        1.123       1.171
         CA  |      8.842      0.363    53.14   0.000        8.159       9.582
         CO  |      4.414      0.101    64.72   0.000        4.220       4.617
         CT  |      1.469      0.072     7.80   0.000        1.333       1.618
         DE  |      2.347      0.045    44.90   0.000        2.261       2.436
         FL  |      4.411      0.025   266.92   0.000        4.363       4.459
         GA  |      4.446      0.074    89.94   0.000        4.304       4.593
         HI  |      2.787      0.139    20.61   0.000        2.528       3.072
         ID  |      2.285      0.058    32.51   0.000        2.174       2.401
         IL  |      2.341      0.056    35.46   0.000        2.234       2.454
         IN  |      1.764      0.024    41.04   0.000        1.717       1.813
         IA  |      1.977      0.089    15.11   0.000        1.810       2.160
         KS  |      3.067      0.106    32.31   0.000        2.865       3.283
         KY  |      4.592      0.048   144.70   0.000        4.498       4.687
         LA  |      3.448      0.383    11.13   0.000        2.773       4.287
         ME  |      4.478      0.057   118.12   0.000        4.368       4.591
         MD  |      2.166      0.060    27.91   0.000        2.052       2.287
         MA  |      1.659      0.085     9.88   0.000        1.500       1.834
         MI  |      5.211      0.405    21.26   0.000        4.476       6.068
         MN  |      4.250      0.121    51.00   0.000        4.020       4.493
         MS  |      1.810      0.037    29.11   0.000        1.739       1.883
         MO  |      3.120      0.034   105.47   0.000        3.055       3.187
         MT  |      2.937      0.403     7.84   0.000        2.244       3.844
         NE  |      0.981      0.039    -0.47   0.639        0.908       1.061
         NV  |      7.728      0.446    35.42   0.000        6.901       8.654
         NH  |      1.275      0.023    13.38   0.000        1.231       1.322
         NJ  |      1.156      0.055     3.04   0.002        1.053       1.270
         NM  |      4.234      0.167    36.52   0.000        3.919       4.575
         NY  |      4.081      0.300    19.13   0.000        3.534       4.714
         NC  |      2.997      0.014   241.13   0.000        2.970       3.024
         ND  |      0.916      0.120    -0.67   0.504        0.710       1.184
         OH  |      9.323      0.164   127.02   0.000        9.008       9.650
         OK  |      4.367      0.620    10.38   0.000        3.306       5.769
         OR  |      1.924      0.023    55.74   0.000        1.880       1.968
         PA  |      3.206      0.161    23.24   0.000        2.906       3.537
         RI  |      8.679      0.338    55.46   0.000        8.041       9.368
         SC  |      2.426      0.024    89.02   0.000        2.379       2.474
         SD  |      1.506      0.060    10.19   0.000        1.392       1.629
         TN  |      3.500      0.022   198.96   0.000        3.457       3.544
         TX  |      2.871      0.218    13.91   0.000        2.475       3.331
         UT  |      2.874      0.066    45.90   0.000        2.747       3.007
         VT  |      5.312      0.063   139.87   0.000        5.189       5.438
         VA  |      3.575      0.079    57.86   0.000        3.424       3.732
         WA  |      3.807      0.038   133.91   0.000        3.733       3.882
         WV  |      2.106      0.039    40.13   0.000        2.031       2.185
         WI  |      5.861      0.477    21.71   0.000        4.996       6.876
         WY  |      6.780      1.335     9.72   0.000        4.608       9.974
             |
     quarter |      0.998      0.012    -0.20   0.843        0.974       1.022
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -0.33   0.738        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.006      0.002     3.06   0.002        1.002       1.010
         AZ  |      0.983      0.000   -44.74   0.000        0.982       0.984
         AR  |      0.996      0.000   -22.22   0.000        0.995       0.996
         CA  |      0.975      0.001   -38.39   0.000        0.974       0.977
         CO  |      0.984      0.000   -33.92   0.000        0.983       0.984
         CT  |      0.989      0.001   -15.70   0.000        0.988       0.991
         DE  |      0.991      0.000   -43.25   0.000        0.991       0.992
         FL  |      0.985      0.000  -226.56   0.000        0.985       0.985
         GA  |      0.981      0.000  -148.67   0.000        0.980       0.981
         HI  |      0.989      0.001   -17.93   0.000        0.988       0.990
         ID  |      0.988      0.001   -15.79   0.000        0.986       0.989
         IL  |      0.988      0.000   -38.82   0.000        0.987       0.989
         IN  |      0.989      0.000   -78.27   0.000        0.989       0.990
         IA  |      0.987      0.001   -20.94   0.000        0.986       0.988
         KS  |      0.983      0.000   -35.49   0.000        0.982       0.984
         KY  |      0.978      0.000  -188.82   0.000        0.978       0.978
         LA  |      0.989      0.001    -7.97   0.000        0.987       0.992
         ME  |      0.979      0.000  -135.33   0.000        0.979       0.979
         MD  |      0.989      0.000   -28.54   0.000        0.988       0.990
         MA  |      0.989      0.001   -14.93   0.000        0.988       0.991
         MI  |      0.977      0.001   -19.29   0.000        0.975       0.979
         MN  |      0.978      0.000   -45.48   0.000        0.977       0.979
         MS  |      0.993      0.000   -24.58   0.000        0.993       0.994
         MO  |      0.985      0.000   -99.75   0.000        0.984       0.985
         MT  |      0.988      0.002    -6.34   0.000        0.984       0.991
         NE  |      0.998      0.001    -2.42   0.015        0.997       1.000
         NV  |      0.982      0.000   -42.17   0.000        0.981       0.983
         NH  |      0.995      0.000   -11.03   0.000        0.995       0.996
         NJ  |      0.992      0.001   -12.85   0.000        0.990       0.993
         NM  |      0.985      0.001   -20.02   0.000        0.984       0.987
         NY  |      0.977      0.001   -24.84   0.000        0.975       0.978
         NC  |      0.985      0.000  -105.67   0.000        0.985       0.986
         ND  |      0.997      0.002    -1.71   0.087        0.993       1.000
         OH  |      0.969      0.000  -165.60   0.000        0.968       0.969
         OK  |      0.982      0.002    -9.58   0.000        0.978       0.986
         OR  |      0.992      0.000   -33.28   0.000        0.992       0.993
         PA  |      0.982      0.001   -27.78   0.000        0.981       0.984
         RI  |      0.967      0.000   -69.83   0.000        0.966       0.968
         SC  |      0.988      0.000  -175.29   0.000        0.988       0.988
         SD  |      0.988      0.001   -16.62   0.000        0.987       0.989
         TN  |      0.982      0.000  -137.03   0.000        0.981       0.982
         TX  |      0.988      0.001    -9.94   0.000        0.986       0.990
         UT  |      0.986      0.001   -22.61   0.000        0.985       0.987
         VT  |      0.976      0.000  -168.04   0.000        0.976       0.976
         VA  |      0.984      0.000   -44.92   0.000        0.983       0.985
         WA  |      0.984      0.000   -65.95   0.000        0.983       0.984
         WV  |      0.987      0.000   -55.46   0.000        0.987       0.988
         WI  |      0.974      0.001   -21.81   0.000        0.972       0.977
         WY  |      0.976      0.003    -8.66   0.000        0.970       0.981
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    -0.70   0.487        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    21.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    27.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    26.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    21.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    14.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    60.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    66.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    73.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    29.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    10.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    25.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   144.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    19.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    32.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   137.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     5.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   140.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    18.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    10.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    17.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    31.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    19.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   105.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     6.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -0.10   0.920        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    44.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000     6.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     9.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    14.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    22.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    45.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     1.75   0.079        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   156.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     9.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    12.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    26.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    57.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    81.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    17.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    95.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     6.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    15.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   128.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    33.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    37.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    48.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    19.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     8.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      5.563      4.273     2.23   0.025        1.234      25.070
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.11       0.03     3.29   0.001         0.05        0.18
             |
         sex |
    2female  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -3.59       0.31   -11.52   0.000        -4.20       -2.98
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       2.43       0.11    22.37   0.000         2.22        2.65
   45 to 64  |       3.29       0.22    14.63   0.000         2.85        3.73
       >=65  |       1.38       0.35     3.89   0.000         0.68        2.07
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.51       0.04    13.23   0.000         0.44        0.59
     summer  |       0.50       0.03    14.26   0.000         0.43        0.56
       fall  |       0.34       0.05     6.26   0.000         0.23        0.44
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.sex omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -147282.93                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1065

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.032      0.009     3.79   0.000        1.015       1.049
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.474      0.033   -10.61   0.000        0.413       0.544
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.659      0.026    32.09   0.000        1.608       1.711
   45 to 64  |      1.984      0.062    21.88   0.000        1.866       2.109
       >=65  |      1.331      0.092     4.16   0.000        1.163       1.523
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.136      0.037     3.93   0.000        1.066       1.211
     summer  |      1.106      0.037     3.06   0.002        1.037       1.181
       fall  |      1.043      0.028     1.57   0.117        0.990       1.099
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.074      0.050     1.55   0.121        0.981       1.176
       1982  |      1.010      0.072     0.13   0.893        0.879       1.160
       1983  |      1.008      0.093     0.09   0.929        0.841       1.209
       1984  |      1.053      0.113     0.48   0.629        0.853       1.301
       1985  |      0.995      0.131    -0.04   0.971        0.769       1.287
       1986  |      1.173      0.178     1.05   0.293        0.871       1.579
       1987  |      1.089      0.177     0.52   0.600        0.792       1.498
       1988  |      1.174      0.214     0.88   0.378        0.822       1.677
       1989  |      1.195      0.228     0.93   0.350        0.822       1.737
       1990  |      1.203      0.258     0.86   0.388        0.790       1.832
       1991  |      1.256      0.280     1.02   0.306        0.812       1.944
       1992  |      1.440      0.355     1.48   0.139        0.888       2.335
       1993  |      1.467      0.379     1.48   0.138        0.884       2.434
       1994  |      1.578      0.416     1.73   0.083        0.942       2.644
       1995  |      1.614      0.458     1.69   0.092        0.926       2.816
       1996  |      1.872      0.546     2.15   0.032        1.057       3.317
       1997  |      2.017      0.640     2.21   0.027        1.083       3.756
       1998  |      2.118      0.682     2.33   0.020        1.126       3.982
       1999  |      2.184      0.744     2.29   0.022        1.120       4.259
       2000  |      2.231      0.764     2.34   0.019        1.140       4.367
       2001  |      2.336      0.864     2.29   0.022        1.131       4.824
       2002  |      2.641      0.982     2.61   0.009        1.275       5.472
       2003  |      2.626      1.003     2.53   0.011        1.242       5.552
       2004  |      2.955      1.158     2.76   0.006        1.371       6.372
       2005  |      2.961      1.169     2.75   0.006        1.366       6.418
       2006  |      3.047      1.233     2.75   0.006        1.379       6.735
       2007  |      3.206      1.260     2.96   0.003        1.484       6.926
       2008  |      3.403      1.419     2.94   0.003        1.503       7.706
       2009  |      3.116      1.294     2.74   0.006        1.381       7.033
       2010  |      3.195      1.349     2.75   0.006        1.397       7.310
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.963      0.051    -0.72   0.472        0.868       1.068
spring#1982  |      1.010      0.059     0.16   0.870        0.901       1.132
spring#1983  |      0.955      0.048    -0.91   0.360        0.866       1.054
spring#1984  |      0.988      0.047    -0.25   0.805        0.900       1.085
spring#1985  |      1.054      0.050     1.12   0.264        0.961       1.156
spring#1986  |      0.928      0.049    -1.43   0.153        0.837       1.028
spring#1987  |      1.099      0.056     1.85   0.064        0.995       1.214
spring#1988  |      1.007      0.053     0.13   0.896        0.909       1.116
spring#1989  |      1.019      0.060     0.31   0.754        0.907       1.144
spring#1990  |      1.020      0.048     0.43   0.670        0.930       1.119
spring#1991  |      1.023      0.050     0.47   0.640        0.930       1.126
spring#1992  |      0.926      0.037    -1.93   0.053        0.856       1.001
spring#1993  |      0.978      0.050    -0.43   0.669        0.885       1.081
spring#1994  |      0.967      0.053    -0.62   0.534        0.869       1.076
spring#1995  |      1.000      0.049    -0.01   0.996        0.908       1.101
spring#1996  |      0.901      0.049    -1.92   0.054        0.810       1.002
spring#1997  |      0.931      0.048    -1.39   0.166        0.841       1.030
spring#1998  |      0.929      0.051    -1.34   0.179        0.834       1.034
spring#1999  |      0.924      0.041    -1.77   0.076        0.847       1.008
spring#2000  |      0.998      0.053    -0.04   0.969        0.899       1.108
spring#2001  |      0.965      0.042    -0.82   0.415        0.886       1.051
spring#2002  |      0.982      0.052    -0.34   0.735        0.886       1.089
spring#2003  |      0.990      0.040    -0.24   0.810        0.915       1.072
spring#2004  |      0.960      0.049    -0.80   0.422        0.868       1.061
spring#2005  |      0.981      0.050    -0.38   0.706        0.887       1.085
spring#2006  |      0.996      0.039    -0.12   0.908        0.923       1.074
spring#2007  |      0.982      0.053    -0.34   0.737        0.883       1.092
spring#2008  |      0.935      0.042    -1.50   0.132        0.856       1.021
spring#2009  |      0.987      0.044    -0.28   0.779        0.904       1.078
spring#2010  |      0.950      0.040    -1.21   0.225        0.874       1.032
summer#1981  |      0.906      0.047    -1.89   0.058        0.817       1.003
summer#1982  |      1.030      0.060     0.50   0.615        0.919       1.154
summer#1983  |      0.959      0.045    -0.89   0.374        0.875       1.051
summer#1984  |      0.972      0.037    -0.75   0.454        0.902       1.047
summer#1985  |      1.018      0.057     0.31   0.756        0.911       1.136
summer#1986  |      0.954      0.038    -1.19   0.235        0.883       1.031
summer#1987  |      1.048      0.057     0.87   0.384        0.943       1.166
summer#1988  |      1.007      0.056     0.12   0.901        0.903       1.123
summer#1989  |      1.025      0.063     0.41   0.681        0.910       1.156
summer#1990  |      1.135      0.051     2.84   0.005        1.040       1.239
summer#1991  |      1.084      0.052     1.68   0.094        0.987       1.190
summer#1992  |      0.935      0.046    -1.36   0.175        0.849       1.030
summer#1993  |      1.046      0.061     0.77   0.444        0.933       1.172
summer#1994  |      0.986      0.063    -0.23   0.819        0.870       1.117
summer#1995  |      1.053      0.052     1.04   0.297        0.956       1.159
summer#1996  |      0.930      0.038    -1.75   0.079        0.859       1.008
summer#1997  |      0.916      0.053    -1.51   0.130        0.818       1.026
summer#1998  |      0.986      0.049    -0.29   0.773        0.895       1.086
summer#1999  |      0.957      0.039    -1.08   0.281        0.885       1.036
summer#2000  |      0.998      0.046    -0.03   0.972        0.913       1.092
summer#2001  |      1.073      0.063     1.20   0.231        0.956       1.204
summer#2002  |      0.969      0.044    -0.69   0.493        0.887       1.059
summer#2003  |      1.040      0.047     0.88   0.377        0.953       1.136
summer#2004  |      1.044      0.053     0.83   0.404        0.944       1.153
summer#2005  |      0.998      0.047    -0.04   0.965        0.911       1.094
summer#2006  |      1.022      0.043     0.51   0.608        0.941       1.109
summer#2007  |      1.040      0.049     0.84   0.403        0.949       1.140
summer#2008  |      0.964      0.040    -0.89   0.375        0.888       1.046
summer#2009  |      1.036      0.047     0.80   0.426        0.949       1.132
summer#2010  |      0.979      0.049    -0.43   0.667        0.887       1.080
  fall#1981  |      0.993      0.052    -0.13   0.894        0.896       1.100
  fall#1982  |      0.967      0.057    -0.56   0.574        0.861       1.086
  fall#1983  |      1.039      0.042     0.94   0.348        0.959       1.125
  fall#1984  |      0.987      0.039    -0.33   0.738        0.912       1.067
  fall#1985  |      1.042      0.043     0.99   0.321        0.961       1.129
  fall#1986  |      0.963      0.040    -0.91   0.361        0.887       1.045
  fall#1987  |      1.092      0.060     1.60   0.110        0.980       1.216
  fall#1988  |      1.014      0.051     0.28   0.779        0.919       1.119
  fall#1989  |      1.013      0.046     0.29   0.769        0.928       1.107
  fall#1990  |      1.137      0.046     3.19   0.001        1.051       1.231
  fall#1991  |      1.108      0.054     2.09   0.036        1.007       1.220
  fall#1992  |      1.009      0.042     0.21   0.830        0.931       1.094
  fall#1993  |      1.062      0.049     1.30   0.193        0.970       1.161
  fall#1994  |      1.037      0.061     0.61   0.540        0.923       1.164
  fall#1995  |      1.087      0.053     1.71   0.088        0.988       1.196
  fall#1996  |      0.969      0.047    -0.65   0.516        0.881       1.066
  fall#1997  |      1.016      0.048     0.34   0.730        0.927       1.115
  fall#1998  |      1.007      0.051     0.15   0.882        0.913       1.112
  fall#1999  |      0.987      0.038    -0.35   0.730        0.915       1.065
  fall#2000  |      0.992      0.059    -0.13   0.899        0.882       1.116
  fall#2001  |      1.066      0.049     1.38   0.166        0.974       1.166
  fall#2002  |      0.953      0.053    -0.86   0.389        0.854       1.064
  fall#2003  |      1.021      0.046     0.46   0.646        0.935       1.115
  fall#2004  |      1.024      0.043     0.56   0.578        0.942       1.112
  fall#2005  |      1.051      0.052     1.00   0.319        0.953       1.158
  fall#2006  |      1.104      0.042     2.61   0.009        1.025       1.190
  fall#2007  |      1.089      0.050     1.87   0.062        0.996       1.192
  fall#2008  |      1.002      0.038     0.06   0.950        0.930       1.081
  fall#2009  |      1.076      0.039     2.03   0.043        1.002       1.155
  fall#2010  |      1.016      0.033     0.49   0.625        0.953       1.083
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |   7568.330    971.006    69.62   0.000     5885.619    9732.132
         AZ  |    143.465     34.986    20.36   0.000       88.954     231.379
         AR  |     26.185      1.174    72.83   0.000       23.982      28.589
         CA  |     24.086      1.700    45.07   0.000       20.974      27.660
         CO  |    179.993     46.926    19.92   0.000      107.979     300.035
         CT  |     34.683      4.163    29.54   0.000       27.412      43.883
         DE  |     17.351      0.606    81.64   0.000       16.202      18.581
         FL  |    259.182     14.674    98.16   0.000      231.959     289.600
         GA  |    168.801     11.092    78.05   0.000      148.403     192.002
         HI  |     37.086      8.329    16.09   0.000       23.880      57.594
         ID  |      5.258      2.601     3.36   0.001        1.995      13.863
         IL  |      2.084      0.246     6.21   0.000        1.653       2.628
         IN  |      8.192      0.620    27.78   0.000        7.063       9.503
         IA  |     10.991      0.922    28.58   0.000        9.325      12.955
         KS  |    217.908     25.167    46.62   0.000      173.765     273.264
         KY  |    210.790     17.917    62.95   0.000      178.442     249.003
         LA  |     30.721      5.918    17.78   0.000       21.060      44.813
         ME  |    395.489     27.111    87.24   0.000      345.768     452.360
         MD  |     57.812      5.103    45.97   0.000       48.628      68.731
         MA  |      1.941      0.161     7.98   0.000        1.649       2.284
         MI  |    171.738     41.423    21.34   0.000      107.043     275.534
         MN  |      0.770      0.058    -3.50   0.000        0.665       0.891
         MS  |      2.415      0.185    11.51   0.000        2.079       2.807
         MO  |    151.627     10.749    70.83   0.000      131.957     174.230
         MT  |     16.756      5.545     8.52   0.000        8.759      32.052
         NE  |      3.284      0.428     9.13   0.000        2.544       4.239
         NV  |   7139.688   4593.983    13.79   0.000     2022.924   25198.750
         NH  |     20.013      0.282   212.50   0.000       19.467      20.574
         NJ  |    501.287     45.902    67.90   0.000      418.931     599.832
         NM  |      1.208      0.161     1.42   0.155        0.931       1.568
         NY  |     44.399      7.753    21.72   0.000       31.531      62.518
         NC  |    635.667     17.173   238.92   0.000      602.883     670.233
         ND  |     30.046      3.397    30.10   0.000       24.075      37.499
         OH  |    185.299     23.760    40.73   0.000      144.121     238.242
         OK  |  11341.825   2599.438    40.74   0.000     7237.618   17773.387
         OR  |     26.364      7.433    11.61   0.000       15.172      45.813
         PA  |      6.014      0.288    37.50   0.000        5.476       6.605
         RI  |    112.040      9.953    53.12   0.000       94.136     133.350
         SC  |     35.262      1.176   106.83   0.000       33.031      37.644
         SD  |      0.114      0.007   -33.09   0.000        0.100       0.130
         TN  |    388.556     13.060   177.39   0.000      363.784     415.015
         TX  |     23.676      1.886    39.72   0.000       20.253      27.678
         UT  |    147.358     28.974    25.39   0.000      100.233     216.640
         VT  |      5.871      0.500    20.80   0.000        4.969       6.937
         VA  |    209.498     16.105    69.53   0.000      180.196     243.565
         WA  |     56.562      1.985   115.01   0.000       52.804      60.589
         WV  |   2940.781    224.958   104.40   0.000     2531.333    3416.458
         WI  |    112.023     34.002    15.55   0.000       61.794     203.083
         WY  |   1287.227    200.801    45.90   0.000      948.139    1747.585
             |
     quarter |      1.195      0.059     3.64   0.000        1.086       1.316
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.000    -3.66   0.000        0.998       0.999
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     3.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.818      0.004   -46.25   0.000        0.811       0.825
         AZ  |      0.909      0.005   -16.58   0.000        0.899       0.920
         AR  |      0.927      0.001   -75.78   0.000        0.925       0.929
         CA  |      0.954      0.002   -26.06   0.000        0.951       0.958
         CO  |      0.904      0.005   -17.27   0.000        0.893       0.914
         CT  |      0.921      0.003   -25.51   0.000        0.915       0.927
         DE  |      0.947      0.001   -61.95   0.000        0.945       0.949
         FL  |      0.897      0.001   -79.71   0.000        0.895       0.900
         GA  |      0.902      0.002   -57.29   0.000        0.899       0.905
         HI  |      0.933      0.005   -12.88   0.000        0.923       0.943
         ID  |      0.969      0.011    -2.79   0.005        0.947       0.991
         IL  |      0.992      0.002    -3.36   0.001        0.987       0.996
         IN  |      0.955      0.002   -25.09   0.000        0.952       0.959
         IA  |      0.950      0.001   -34.37   0.000        0.947       0.952
         KS  |      0.892      0.002   -49.38   0.000        0.888       0.896
         KY  |      0.896      0.002   -57.01   0.000        0.893       0.900
         LA  |      0.942      0.003   -18.53   0.000        0.937       0.948
         ME  |      0.884      0.001   -78.56   0.000        0.881       0.886
         MD  |      0.917      0.002   -38.18   0.000        0.913       0.921
         MA  |      0.987      0.002    -5.44   0.000        0.982       0.992
         MI  |      0.901      0.006   -16.92   0.000        0.890       0.912
         MN  |      1.018      0.002    11.66   0.000        1.015       1.021
         MS  |      0.987      0.002    -8.23   0.000        0.984       0.990
         MO  |      0.901      0.001   -65.02   0.000        0.898       0.904
         MT  |      0.950      0.006    -8.24   0.000        0.939       0.962
         NE  |      0.972      0.003   -10.72   0.000        0.967       0.977
         NV  |      0.840      0.013   -11.26   0.000        0.815       0.866
         NH  |      0.935      0.000  -230.19   0.000        0.934       0.935
         NJ  |      0.863      0.002   -58.91   0.000        0.859       0.867
         NM  |      1.014      0.003     4.96   0.000        1.008       1.019
         NY  |      0.926      0.004   -16.16   0.000        0.917       0.934
         NC  |      0.872      0.000  -240.02   0.000        0.871       0.873
         ND  |      0.922      0.001   -62.30   0.000        0.919       0.924
         OH  |      0.905      0.003   -35.43   0.000        0.900       0.910
         OK  |      0.821      0.003   -51.84   0.000        0.815       0.827
         OR  |      0.934      0.006    -9.95   0.000        0.922       0.947
         PA  |      0.969      0.001   -24.32   0.000        0.967       0.972
         RI  |      0.913      0.002   -40.53   0.000        0.909       0.917
         SC  |      0.929      0.001   -77.86   0.000        0.927       0.931
         SD  |      1.048      0.001    36.68   0.000        1.045       1.050
         TN  |      0.881      0.001  -164.89   0.000        0.880       0.883
         TX  |      0.942      0.001   -48.54   0.000        0.940       0.945
         UT  |      0.901      0.004   -23.01   0.000        0.893       0.909
         VT  |      0.974      0.002   -12.67   0.000        0.970       0.978
         VA  |      0.897      0.002   -57.31   0.000        0.893       0.900
         WA  |      0.925      0.001   -93.88   0.000        0.923       0.926
         WV  |      0.836      0.001  -110.63   0.000        0.833       0.839
         WI  |      0.911      0.006   -14.95   0.000        0.900       0.923
         WY  |      0.867      0.002   -80.33   0.000        0.864       0.870
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.001      0.000    37.35   0.000        1.001       1.002
         AZ  |      1.001      0.000    14.93   0.000        1.001       1.001
         AR  |      1.001      0.000    76.69   0.000        1.001       1.001
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    15.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.001      0.000    16.07   0.000        1.001       1.001
         CT  |      1.001      0.000    21.29   0.000        1.001       1.001
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    49.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.001      0.000    70.39   0.000        1.001       1.001
         GA  |      1.001      0.000    46.43   0.000        1.001       1.001
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    10.82   0.000        1.000       1.001
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     2.37   0.018        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    -0.20   0.845        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    20.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    36.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.001      0.000    50.29   0.000        1.001       1.001
         KY  |      1.001      0.000    50.94   0.000        1.001       1.001
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    20.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.001      0.000    77.19   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MD  |      1.001      0.000    32.38   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MA  |      1.000      0.000     2.07   0.038        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.001      0.000    13.25   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -22.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000     6.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.001      0.000    57.15   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     8.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    11.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.001      0.000    10.28   0.000        1.001       1.001
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   240.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.001      0.000    50.71   0.000        1.001       1.001
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    -8.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    11.62   0.000        1.000       1.001
         NC  |      1.001      0.000   233.92   0.000        1.001       1.001
         ND  |      1.001      0.000   129.80   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OH  |      1.001      0.000    29.01   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OK  |      1.001      0.000    68.04   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     9.33   0.000        1.000       1.001
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    13.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.001      0.000    30.58   0.000        1.000       1.001
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    64.63   0.000        1.000       1.001
         SD  |      1.000      0.000   -50.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.001      0.000   152.82   0.000        1.001       1.001
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    71.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.001      0.000    22.04   0.000        1.001       1.001
         VT  |      1.000      0.000     6.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.001      0.000    49.28   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WA  |      1.001      0.000    87.77   0.000        1.000       1.001
         WV  |      1.001      0.000   113.02   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WI  |      1.001      0.000    13.91   0.000        1.000       1.001
         WY  |      1.001      0.000   155.41   0.000        1.001       1.001
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -32.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000   -14.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -80.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    -8.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -15.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -17.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -45.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000   -70.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000   -43.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -9.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -1.86   0.064        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000     2.38   0.017        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -17.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -38.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -52.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   -47.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -23.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -75.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -28.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.19   0.851        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000   -10.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    36.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -4.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -51.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -9.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -12.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -9.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000  -111.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -44.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    14.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -8.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000  -243.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -72.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -24.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000   -93.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -9.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    -6.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000   -22.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -62.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    88.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000  -153.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -91.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -22.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.69   0.488        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -41.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000  -101.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000  -116.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -13.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   -64.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.003      0.006    -2.81   0.005        0.000       0.172
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.15       0.04     3.83   0.000         0.07        0.23
             |
         sex |
    2female  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -3.59       0.31   -11.52   0.000        -4.20       -2.98
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       2.43       0.11    22.36   0.000         2.22        2.65
   45 to 64  |       3.29       0.23    14.63   0.000         2.85        3.73
       >=65  |       1.38       0.35     3.89   0.000         0.68        2.07
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.51       0.04    13.24   0.000         0.44        0.59
     summer  |       0.50       0.03    14.25   0.000         0.43        0.56
       fall  |       0.34       0.05     6.26   0.000         0.23        0.44
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(output written to suic-econ-atable-sex_2.txt)
-> Group = 1White

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =       0.53
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.4673
Log pseudolikelihood = -499531.18                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0001

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.004      0.006     0.73   0.467        0.993       1.016
       _cons |     16.890      1.309    36.46   0.000       14.509      19.661
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.07       0.09     0.73   0.468        -0.12        0.25
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(5)    =   41426.19
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -314935.73                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3696

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.008      0.006     1.37   0.169        0.997       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.243      0.005   -67.26   0.000        0.233       0.253
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.312      0.024    14.95   0.000        1.266       1.360
   45 to 64  |      1.444      0.055     9.65   0.000        1.340       1.555
       >=65  |      1.714      0.088    10.44   0.000        1.549       1.897
             |
       _cons |     21.440      1.266    51.91   0.000       19.097      24.070
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 1.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.14       0.10     1.37   0.172        -0.06        0.33
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -23.46       0.80   -29.18   0.000       -25.04      -21.89
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.50       0.39    11.50   0.000         3.74        5.27
   45 to 64  |       6.09       0.74     8.19   0.000         4.63        7.54
       >=65  |       8.93       1.02     8.76   0.000         6.94       10.93
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -294416.17                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4107

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.010      0.005     2.00   0.045        1.000       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.244      0.005   -67.72   0.000        0.234       0.254
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.316      0.023    15.64   0.000        1.272       1.362
   45 to 64  |      1.451      0.053    10.21   0.000        1.351       1.559
       >=65  |      1.721      0.086    10.90   0.000        1.561       1.897
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.042      0.008     5.68   0.000        1.028       1.058
         AZ  |      1.221      0.015    16.75   0.000        1.193       1.250
         AR  |      1.018      0.002    11.05   0.000        1.015       1.022
         CA  |      0.886      0.003   -37.76   0.000        0.880       0.891
         CO  |      1.223      0.011    22.25   0.000        1.201       1.245
         CT  |      0.633      0.003   -85.13   0.000        0.627       0.640
         DE  |      0.919      0.003   -25.61   0.000        0.913       0.925
         FL  |      1.094      0.006    17.63   0.000        1.083       1.105
         GA  |      1.005      0.007     0.80   0.423        0.992       1.019
         HI  |      0.879      0.007   -15.57   0.000        0.864       0.893
         ID  |      1.178      0.014    13.34   0.000        1.150       1.207
         IL  |      0.707      0.002  -119.52   0.000        0.703       0.711
         IN  |      0.883      0.001   -73.63   0.000        0.880       0.886
         IA  |      0.800      0.002  -108.07   0.000        0.796       0.803
         KS  |      0.903      0.002   -43.49   0.000        0.899       0.907
         KY  |      0.970      0.001   -24.98   0.000        0.967       0.972
         LA  |      1.057      0.002    39.12   0.000        1.054       1.060
         ME  |      0.915      0.004   -21.13   0.000        0.907       0.922
         MD  |      0.789      0.003   -58.68   0.000        0.783       0.795
         MA  |      0.581      0.005   -65.30   0.000        0.572       0.591
         MI  |      0.839      0.003   -50.83   0.000        0.833       0.845
         MN  |      0.758      0.003   -81.11   0.000        0.753       0.763
         MS  |      1.053      0.003    21.66   0.000        1.048       1.058
         MO  |      0.970      0.003   -11.00   0.000        0.965       0.975
         MT  |      1.317      0.008    46.18   0.000        1.302       1.332
         NE  |      0.784      0.003   -59.91   0.000        0.778       0.791
         NV  |      1.626      0.028    27.86   0.000        1.571       1.683
         NH  |      0.872      0.009   -12.96   0.000        0.854       0.890
         NJ  |      0.531      0.002  -134.69   0.000        0.526       0.536
         NM  |      1.357      0.008    49.32   0.000        1.341       1.374
         NY  |      0.567      0.002  -178.09   0.000        0.564       0.571
         NC  |      0.972      0.004    -6.87   0.000        0.964       0.980
         ND  |      0.787      0.004   -41.98   0.000        0.778       0.796
         OH  |      0.800      0.003   -65.96   0.000        0.795       0.805
         OK  |      1.087      0.006    15.59   0.000        1.076       1.098
         OR  |      1.126      0.011    12.26   0.000        1.105       1.148
         PA  |      0.820      0.003   -61.12   0.000        0.815       0.825
         RI  |      0.661      0.005   -59.05   0.000        0.652       0.670
         SC  |      1.010      0.003     2.77   0.006        1.003       1.016
         SD  |      0.872      0.003   -42.31   0.000        0.866       0.878
         TN  |      1.016      0.002     7.47   0.000        1.011       1.020
         TX  |      0.921      0.006   -12.71   0.000        0.910       0.933
         UT  |      1.154      0.012    13.86   0.000        1.131       1.178
         VT  |      0.985      0.003    -5.01   0.000        0.980       0.991
         VA  |      0.947      0.003   -18.01   0.000        0.942       0.953
         WA  |      0.973      0.002   -11.92   0.000        0.968       0.977
         WV  |      0.950      0.002   -26.19   0.000        0.947       0.954
         WI  |      0.866      0.006   -19.95   0.000        0.854       0.878
         WY  |      1.348      0.008    47.48   0.000        1.332       1.365
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.096      0.019     5.32   0.000        1.060       1.133
     summer  |      1.081      0.019     4.39   0.000        1.044       1.119
       fall  |      1.029      0.019     1.61   0.107        0.994       1.066
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.038      0.022     1.73   0.083        0.995       1.083
       1982  |      1.010      0.021     0.48   0.633        0.970       1.052
       1983  |      1.023      0.020     1.15   0.250        0.984       1.062
       1984  |      1.053      0.022     2.51   0.012        1.011       1.097
       1985  |      1.025      0.027     0.96   0.338        0.974       1.079
       1986  |      1.094      0.022     4.43   0.000        1.051       1.138
       1987  |      1.032      0.030     1.05   0.292        0.974       1.093
       1988  |      1.044      0.027     1.70   0.090        0.993       1.098
       1989  |      1.030      0.021     1.44   0.150        0.989       1.073
       1990  |      1.023      0.036     0.64   0.520        0.955       1.095
       1991  |      0.995      0.034    -0.14   0.890        0.931       1.064
       1992  |      1.023      0.030     0.76   0.446        0.966       1.083
       1993  |      0.991      0.032    -0.29   0.774        0.930       1.055
       1994  |      0.979      0.033    -0.61   0.541        0.916       1.047
       1995  |      0.957      0.034    -1.23   0.220        0.893       1.027
       1996  |      0.956      0.041    -1.04   0.297        0.878       1.041
       1997  |      0.966      0.043    -0.79   0.430        0.885       1.053
       1998  |      0.977      0.045    -0.50   0.619        0.893       1.069
       1999  |      0.908      0.053    -1.67   0.096        0.810       1.017
       2000  |      0.921      0.057    -1.34   0.179        0.816       1.039
       2001  |      0.930      0.066    -1.02   0.306        0.808       1.069
       2002  |      0.963      0.061    -0.59   0.554        0.852       1.090
       2003  |      0.933      0.050    -1.31   0.192        0.840       1.036
       2004  |      0.950      0.061    -0.80   0.426        0.838       1.077
       2005  |      0.952      0.066    -0.71   0.476        0.831       1.090
       2006  |      0.961      0.067    -0.57   0.568        0.837       1.102
       2007  |      0.989      0.058    -0.18   0.857        0.882       1.110
       2008  |      1.043      0.068     0.64   0.524        0.917       1.185
       2009  |      1.017      0.066     0.27   0.790        0.897       1.154
       2010  |      1.047      0.065     0.74   0.460        0.927       1.182
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.950      0.032    -1.52   0.129        0.890       1.015
spring#1982  |      1.033      0.024     1.37   0.169        0.986       1.081
spring#1983  |      0.978      0.026    -0.85   0.398        0.929       1.030
spring#1984  |      0.980      0.028    -0.73   0.465        0.927       1.035
spring#1985  |      1.016      0.025     0.63   0.527        0.968       1.066
spring#1986  |      0.968      0.024    -1.32   0.185        0.923       1.016
spring#1987  |      1.073      0.024     3.12   0.002        1.026       1.121
spring#1988  |      0.999      0.019    -0.06   0.953        0.961       1.038
spring#1989  |      0.986      0.022    -0.60   0.549        0.944       1.031
spring#1990  |      0.981      0.018    -1.04   0.298        0.947       1.017
spring#1991  |      1.017      0.027     0.66   0.512        0.966       1.071
spring#1992  |      0.946      0.020    -2.59   0.010        0.906       0.987
spring#1993  |      0.998      0.020    -0.12   0.904        0.959       1.038
spring#1994  |      1.014      0.023     0.61   0.539        0.970       1.059
spring#1995  |      1.041      0.026     1.62   0.105        0.992       1.093
spring#1996  |      1.010      0.026     0.38   0.705        0.960       1.063
spring#1997  |      0.971      0.028    -1.02   0.307        0.917       1.028
spring#1998  |      0.942      0.020    -2.89   0.004        0.904       0.981
spring#1999  |      0.963      0.017    -2.08   0.037        0.930       0.998
spring#2000  |      0.975      0.025    -1.00   0.318        0.927       1.025
spring#2001  |      0.990      0.020    -0.49   0.626        0.951       1.031
spring#2002  |      0.977      0.021    -1.10   0.270        0.937       1.018
spring#2003  |      1.006      0.025     0.24   0.810        0.957       1.057
spring#2004  |      0.995      0.025    -0.19   0.850        0.947       1.046
spring#2005  |      1.016      0.028     0.57   0.568        0.963       1.072
spring#2006  |      1.004      0.021     0.18   0.856        0.963       1.046
spring#2007  |      1.003      0.024     0.15   0.882        0.958       1.051
spring#2008  |      0.995      0.019    -0.24   0.813        0.958       1.034
spring#2009  |      1.004      0.023     0.16   0.873        0.959       1.050
spring#2010  |      1.021      0.024     0.88   0.378        0.975       1.070
summer#1981  |      0.969      0.025    -1.18   0.238        0.921       1.021
summer#1982  |      1.029      0.026     1.12   0.263        0.979       1.082
summer#1983  |      0.989      0.029    -0.38   0.705        0.934       1.047
summer#1984  |      0.962      0.022    -1.70   0.089        0.921       1.006
summer#1985  |      0.983      0.019    -0.86   0.389        0.946       1.022
summer#1986  |      0.981      0.018    -1.02   0.308        0.946       1.018
summer#1987  |      1.026      0.022     1.20   0.231        0.984       1.071
summer#1988  |      1.000      0.022    -0.02   0.987        0.958       1.043
summer#1989  |      0.994      0.024    -0.25   0.802        0.949       1.042
summer#1990  |      1.038      0.028     1.39   0.164        0.985       1.095
summer#1991  |      1.042      0.027     1.57   0.116        0.990       1.097
summer#1992  |      0.970      0.023    -1.25   0.213        0.926       1.017
summer#1993  |      1.016      0.026     0.64   0.525        0.967       1.068
summer#1994  |      0.988      0.023    -0.54   0.587        0.944       1.033
summer#1995  |      1.039      0.025     1.62   0.106        0.992       1.089
summer#1996  |      1.022      0.023     0.96   0.339        0.977       1.069
summer#1997  |      0.968      0.024    -1.29   0.198        0.922       1.017
summer#1998  |      0.965      0.023    -1.53   0.126        0.922       1.010
summer#1999  |      0.990      0.023    -0.41   0.681        0.945       1.037
summer#2000  |      0.969      0.024    -1.25   0.213        0.922       1.018
summer#2001  |      1.017      0.026     0.66   0.510        0.967       1.070
summer#2002  |      1.003      0.021     0.12   0.906        0.961       1.045
summer#2003  |      1.042      0.027     1.56   0.118        0.990       1.096
summer#2004  |      1.016      0.023     0.70   0.484        0.971       1.063
summer#2005  |      1.011      0.025     0.42   0.671        0.963       1.061
summer#2006  |      1.032      0.027     1.21   0.226        0.981       1.087
summer#2007  |      1.033      0.023     1.45   0.148        0.989       1.080
summer#2008  |      1.001      0.022     0.06   0.950        0.958       1.046
summer#2009  |      1.064      0.026     2.53   0.011        1.014       1.116
summer#2010  |      1.067      0.024     2.88   0.004        1.021       1.116
  fall#1981  |      0.968      0.033    -0.96   0.335        0.906       1.034
  fall#1982  |      0.984      0.024    -0.67   0.500        0.938       1.032
  fall#1983  |      0.987      0.024    -0.53   0.599        0.941       1.036
  fall#1984  |      0.993      0.024    -0.29   0.770        0.948       1.040
  fall#1985  |      1.020      0.021     0.98   0.327        0.980       1.062
  fall#1986  |      0.975      0.024    -1.03   0.302        0.929       1.023
  fall#1987  |      0.999      0.022    -0.07   0.945        0.957       1.042
  fall#1988  |      0.972      0.021    -1.28   0.200        0.931       1.015
  fall#1989  |      0.971      0.021    -1.37   0.172        0.931       1.013
  fall#1990  |      1.022      0.027     0.81   0.416        0.970       1.076
  fall#1991  |      1.020      0.027     0.76   0.445        0.969       1.074
  fall#1992  |      0.947      0.021    -2.45   0.014        0.907       0.989
  fall#1993  |      0.996      0.020    -0.18   0.860        0.958       1.037
  fall#1994  |      1.016      0.029     0.56   0.578        0.961       1.074
  fall#1995  |      1.023      0.025     0.90   0.366        0.974       1.073
  fall#1996  |      0.999      0.022    -0.06   0.951        0.956       1.043
  fall#1997  |      0.977      0.026    -0.88   0.381        0.926       1.030
  fall#1998  |      0.955      0.022    -2.00   0.046        0.914       0.999
  fall#1999  |      0.990      0.022    -0.42   0.671        0.947       1.035
  fall#2000  |      0.957      0.027    -1.54   0.124        0.906       1.012
  fall#2001  |      1.002      0.024     0.07   0.944        0.956       1.049
  fall#2002  |      0.993      0.025    -0.26   0.795        0.945       1.044
  fall#2003  |      0.988      0.026    -0.48   0.634        0.938       1.039
  fall#2004  |      1.026      0.023     1.12   0.264        0.981       1.072
  fall#2005  |      1.019      0.027     0.72   0.471        0.967       1.074
  fall#2006  |      1.036      0.024     1.54   0.123        0.990       1.085
  fall#2007  |      1.063      0.024     2.68   0.007        1.016       1.111
  fall#2008  |      1.005      0.020     0.23   0.820        0.966       1.045
  fall#2009  |      1.047      0.029     1.66   0.096        0.992       1.105
  fall#2010  |      1.021      0.022     0.94   0.346        0.978       1.066
             |
       _cons |     23.499      0.974    76.17   0.000       21.666      25.488
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 1.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.18       0.09     2.02   0.043         0.01        0.35
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -25.18       0.79   -31.91   0.000       -26.73      -23.63
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.90       0.36    13.57   0.000         4.19        5.60
   45 to 64  |       6.64       0.72     9.25   0.000         5.23        8.05
       >=65  |       9.68       1.00     9.67   0.000         7.71       11.64
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.55       0.09    17.68   0.000         1.37        1.72
     summer  |       1.51       0.09    17.58   0.000         1.34        1.68
       fall  |       0.49       0.13     3.77   0.000         0.24        0.75
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -293271.16                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4130

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.014      0.003     3.95   0.000        1.007       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.244      0.005   -67.59   0.000        0.234       0.254
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.316      0.023    15.76   0.000        1.272       1.362
   45 to 64  |      1.450      0.053    10.27   0.000        1.351       1.557
       >=65  |      1.719      0.085    10.96   0.000        1.561       1.894
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.697      0.013   -19.18   0.000        0.672       0.723
         AZ  |      1.502      0.032    19.32   0.000        1.442       1.566
         AR  |      0.979      0.003    -6.36   0.000        0.972       0.985
         CA  |      1.785      0.009   117.07   0.000        1.768       1.803
         CO  |      1.474      0.022    26.01   0.000        1.431       1.518
         CT  |      0.769      0.001  -181.63   0.000        0.767       0.771
         DE  |      1.196      0.007    28.91   0.000        1.182       1.211
         FL  |      1.509      0.010    59.25   0.000        1.489       1.530
         GA  |      1.365      0.018    23.03   0.000        1.329       1.402
         HI  |      0.639      0.007   -38.88   0.000        0.625       0.654
         ID  |      1.161      0.035     4.92   0.000        1.094       1.232
         IL  |      1.050      0.002    22.79   0.000        1.046       1.054
         IN  |      0.971      0.003    -8.51   0.000        0.964       0.977
         IA  |      1.009      0.003     3.31   0.001        1.004       1.014
         KS  |      0.932      0.002   -38.10   0.000        0.929       0.935
         KY  |      1.078      0.003    24.38   0.000        1.072       1.085
         LA  |      1.646      0.028    29.55   0.000        1.593       1.702
         ME  |      1.207      0.001   162.55   0.000        1.204       1.210
         MD  |      1.094      0.003    37.45   0.000        1.089       1.100
         MA  |      0.846      0.003   -55.06   0.000        0.841       0.851
         MI  |      1.080      0.001    70.94   0.000        1.078       1.083
         MN  |      1.011      0.007     1.50   0.133        0.997       1.025
         MS  |      0.909      0.000  -248.92   0.000        0.909       0.910
         MO  |      1.131      0.003    53.30   0.000        1.126       1.137
         MT  |      1.348      0.001   287.45   0.000        1.345       1.351
         NE  |      1.021      0.006     3.66   0.000        1.010       1.032
         NV  |      2.168      0.076    22.11   0.000        2.024       2.322
         NH  |      1.021      0.015     1.38   0.168        0.991       1.050
         NJ  |      0.657      0.002  -172.36   0.000        0.654       0.660
         NM  |      1.608      0.021    36.68   0.000        1.567       1.649
         NY  |      0.837      0.006   -23.02   0.000        0.824       0.849
         NC  |      1.149      0.011    14.05   0.000        1.127       1.172
         ND  |      0.793      0.003   -57.45   0.000        0.787       0.799
         OH  |      1.017      0.001    12.24   0.000        1.014       1.020
         OK  |      1.190      0.011    18.81   0.000        1.169       1.212
         OR  |      1.125      0.028     4.67   0.000        1.071       1.182
         PA  |      0.980      0.005    -4.19   0.000        0.970       0.989
         RI  |      0.916      0.002   -32.66   0.000        0.911       0.921
         SC  |      1.081      0.010     8.68   0.000        1.062       1.100
         SD  |      0.868      0.007   -16.61   0.000        0.854       0.883
         TN  |      0.990      0.005    -2.00   0.045        0.981       1.000
         TX  |      1.429      0.011    45.86   0.000        1.408       1.451
         UT  |      1.130      0.024     5.63   0.000        1.083       1.179
         VT  |      1.470      0.004   133.09   0.000        1.461       1.478
         VA  |      1.324      0.006    61.17   0.000        1.312       1.336
         WA  |      1.159      0.011    15.46   0.000        1.137       1.180
         WV  |      0.981      0.002   -11.27   0.000        0.978       0.985
         WI  |      1.091      0.004    24.50   0.000        1.083       1.098
         WY  |      1.530      0.006   111.42   0.000        1.519       1.542
             |
     quarter |      0.995      0.002    -2.68   0.007        0.991       0.999
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.000    20.04   0.000        1.002       1.003
         AZ  |      0.999      0.000    -7.06   0.000        0.998       0.999
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    10.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      0.995      0.000  -106.67   0.000        0.995       0.995
         CO  |      0.999      0.000    -9.11   0.000        0.998       0.999
         CT  |      0.999      0.000   -41.64   0.000        0.999       0.999
         DE  |      0.998      0.000   -30.89   0.000        0.998       0.998
         FL  |      0.998      0.000   -37.17   0.000        0.998       0.998
         GA  |      0.998      0.000   -17.20   0.000        0.998       0.998
         HI  |      1.002      0.000    21.76   0.000        1.002       1.002
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     0.46   0.647        1.000       1.001
         IL  |      0.997      0.000  -112.55   0.000        0.997       0.997
         IN  |      0.999      0.000   -20.38   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IA  |      0.998      0.000  -107.00   0.000        0.998       0.998
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -12.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      0.999      0.000   -27.90   0.000        0.999       0.999
         LA  |      0.997      0.000   -26.98   0.000        0.997       0.997
         ME  |      0.998      0.000  -109.94   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MD  |      0.998      0.000   -65.97   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MA  |      0.997      0.000   -44.49   0.000        0.997       0.998
         MI  |      0.998      0.000  -110.89   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MN  |      0.998      0.000   -30.87   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MS  |      1.001      0.000    86.14   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -64.87   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -4.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      0.998      0.000   -31.57   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NV  |      0.998      0.000    -6.17   0.000        0.997       0.999
         NH  |      0.999      0.000    -6.90   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NJ  |      0.999      0.000   -72.26   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NM  |      0.999      0.000    -9.91   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NY  |      0.997      0.000   -62.89   0.000        0.997       0.997
         NC  |      0.999      0.000   -13.31   0.000        0.999       0.999
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    -0.12   0.904        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      0.998      0.000  -151.45   0.000        0.998       0.998
         OK  |      0.999      0.000   -14.47   0.000        0.999       0.999
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     0.19   0.850        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      0.999      0.000   -60.15   0.000        0.999       0.999
         RI  |      0.998      0.000   -76.25   0.000        0.998       0.998
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    -6.26   0.000        0.999       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000     0.75   0.454        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000     3.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      0.997      0.000   -38.05   0.000        0.997       0.997
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     0.73   0.465        1.000       1.001
         VT  |      0.997      0.000   -96.16   0.000        0.997       0.997
         VA  |      0.998      0.000   -58.00   0.000        0.998       0.998
         WA  |      0.999      0.000   -16.67   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -12.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      0.998      0.000   -26.96   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WY  |      0.999      0.000   -27.19   0.000        0.999       0.999
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.093      0.019     5.20   0.000        1.057       1.130
     summer  |      1.086      0.019     4.66   0.000        1.049       1.124
       fall  |      1.042      0.017     2.48   0.013        1.009       1.076
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.069      0.023     3.09   0.002        1.025       1.116
       1982  |      1.071      0.029     2.49   0.013        1.015       1.130
       1983  |      1.117      0.037     3.31   0.001        1.046       1.192
       1984  |      1.187      0.042     4.80   0.000        1.107       1.273
       1985  |      1.191      0.062     3.35   0.001        1.075       1.320
       1986  |      1.310      0.069     5.15   0.000        1.182       1.453
       1987  |      1.274      0.072     4.28   0.000        1.140       1.424
       1988  |      1.331      0.091     4.16   0.000        1.163       1.522
       1989  |      1.354      0.102     4.03   0.000        1.168       1.569
       1990  |      1.385      0.114     3.95   0.000        1.178       1.628
       1991  |      1.388      0.124     3.67   0.000        1.165       1.654
       1992  |      1.469      0.151     3.75   0.000        1.202       1.797
       1993  |      1.468      0.165     3.41   0.001        1.177       1.831
       1994  |      1.497      0.176     3.44   0.001        1.189       1.885
       1995  |      1.509      0.188     3.31   0.001        1.182       1.927
       1996  |      1.554      0.199     3.44   0.001        1.209       1.999
       1997  |      1.620      0.223     3.50   0.000        1.236       2.123
       1998  |      1.692      0.243     3.66   0.000        1.277       2.243
       1999  |      1.621      0.239     3.28   0.001        1.214       2.164
       2000  |      1.696      0.266     3.36   0.001        1.247       2.308
       2001  |      1.764      0.288     3.48   0.001        1.281       2.428
       2002  |      1.881      0.326     3.65   0.000        1.339       2.642
       2003  |      1.875      0.348     3.39   0.001        1.304       2.697
       2004  |      1.969      0.370     3.61   0.000        1.363       2.845
       2005  |      2.034      0.404     3.57   0.000        1.377       3.003
       2006  |      2.117      0.438     3.62   0.000        1.411       3.176
       2007  |      2.247      0.485     3.75   0.000        1.472       3.430
       2008  |      2.436      0.547     3.96   0.000        1.569       3.784
       2009  |      2.440      0.574     3.79   0.000        1.538       3.869
       2010  |      2.581      0.627     3.90   0.000        1.603       4.156
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.951      0.032    -1.52   0.129        0.891       1.015
spring#1982  |      1.033      0.024     1.39   0.165        0.987       1.081
spring#1983  |      0.978      0.026    -0.85   0.396        0.929       1.030
spring#1984  |      0.980      0.028    -0.73   0.467        0.927       1.035
spring#1985  |      1.016      0.025     0.64   0.525        0.968       1.066
spring#1986  |      0.968      0.024    -1.32   0.186        0.923       1.016
spring#1987  |      1.073      0.024     3.12   0.002        1.026       1.121
spring#1988  |      0.999      0.019    -0.05   0.956        0.962       1.038
spring#1989  |      0.987      0.022    -0.60   0.552        0.944       1.031
spring#1990  |      0.982      0.018    -1.02   0.307        0.947       1.017
spring#1991  |      1.017      0.027     0.66   0.512        0.966       1.071
spring#1992  |      0.946      0.020    -2.59   0.010        0.906       0.987
spring#1993  |      0.998      0.020    -0.12   0.905        0.959       1.038
spring#1994  |      1.014      0.023     0.61   0.539        0.970       1.059
spring#1995  |      1.041      0.026     1.62   0.104        0.992       1.093
spring#1996  |      1.010      0.026     0.38   0.705        0.960       1.063
spring#1997  |      0.971      0.028    -1.02   0.307        0.917       1.028
spring#1998  |      0.942      0.020    -2.89   0.004        0.904       0.981
spring#1999  |      0.963      0.017    -2.08   0.038        0.930       0.998
spring#2000  |      0.975      0.025    -0.99   0.321        0.928       1.025
spring#2001  |      0.990      0.020    -0.47   0.639        0.952       1.031
spring#2002  |      0.977      0.021    -1.10   0.272        0.938       1.018
spring#2003  |      1.006      0.026     0.24   0.811        0.957       1.057
spring#2004  |      0.995      0.025    -0.19   0.853        0.947       1.046
spring#2005  |      1.016      0.028     0.58   0.565        0.963       1.072
spring#2006  |      1.004      0.021     0.19   0.852        0.963       1.046
spring#2007  |      1.004      0.023     0.16   0.872        0.959       1.051
spring#2008  |      0.996      0.019    -0.20   0.841        0.960       1.034
spring#2009  |      1.004      0.023     0.15   0.877        0.959       1.050
spring#2010  |      1.021      0.024     0.90   0.371        0.975       1.070
summer#1981  |      0.970      0.025    -1.17   0.241        0.922       1.021
summer#1982  |      1.029      0.026     1.13   0.260        0.979       1.082
summer#1983  |      0.989      0.029    -0.36   0.717        0.934       1.048
summer#1984  |      0.963      0.022    -1.67   0.095        0.922       1.006
summer#1985  |      0.984      0.020    -0.83   0.408        0.946       1.023
summer#1986  |      0.982      0.018    -1.01   0.313        0.947       1.018
summer#1987  |      1.027      0.022     1.22   0.222        0.984       1.071
summer#1988  |      1.000      0.021     0.01   0.990        0.959       1.043
summer#1989  |      0.995      0.024    -0.23   0.817        0.949       1.042
summer#1990  |      1.039      0.028     1.40   0.161        0.985       1.096
summer#1991  |      1.042      0.027     1.58   0.113        0.990       1.097
summer#1992  |      0.971      0.023    -1.23   0.220        0.926       1.018
summer#1993  |      1.017      0.026     0.66   0.511        0.967       1.069
summer#1994  |      0.988      0.022    -0.52   0.602        0.946       1.033
summer#1995  |      1.040      0.025     1.64   0.101        0.992       1.090
summer#1996  |      1.023      0.024     0.98   0.329        0.978       1.070
summer#1997  |      0.969      0.024    -1.27   0.205        0.923       1.017
summer#1998  |      0.965      0.023    -1.51   0.132        0.922       1.011
summer#1999  |      0.991      0.023    -0.39   0.697        0.946       1.038
summer#2000  |      0.970      0.024    -1.22   0.222        0.923       1.019
summer#2001  |      1.017      0.026     0.67   0.505        0.967       1.070
summer#2002  |      1.003      0.021     0.13   0.893        0.962       1.046
summer#2003  |      1.042      0.027     1.57   0.117        0.990       1.096
summer#2004  |      1.017      0.023     0.72   0.468        0.972       1.064
summer#2005  |      1.011      0.025     0.45   0.655        0.963       1.062
summer#2006  |      1.033      0.027     1.22   0.222        0.981       1.088
summer#2007  |      1.034      0.023     1.48   0.138        0.989       1.080
summer#2008  |      1.002      0.022     0.07   0.941        0.959       1.046
summer#2009  |      1.063      0.026     2.50   0.012        1.013       1.115
summer#2010  |      1.068      0.024     2.92   0.004        1.022       1.116
  fall#1981  |      0.968      0.032    -0.96   0.337        0.907       1.034
  fall#1982  |      0.984      0.024    -0.68   0.495        0.938       1.031
  fall#1983  |      0.988      0.024    -0.50   0.619        0.943       1.036
  fall#1984  |      0.994      0.023    -0.26   0.798        0.950       1.040
  fall#1985  |      1.021      0.021     1.01   0.314        0.981       1.063
  fall#1986  |      0.975      0.024    -1.02   0.306        0.930       1.023
  fall#1987  |      0.999      0.022    -0.03   0.977        0.958       1.043
  fall#1988  |      0.973      0.021    -1.27   0.204        0.932       1.015
  fall#1989  |      0.972      0.021    -1.35   0.176        0.932       1.013
  fall#1990  |      1.022      0.027     0.83   0.408        0.971       1.076
  fall#1991  |      1.021      0.027     0.77   0.439        0.969       1.074
  fall#1992  |      0.948      0.021    -2.45   0.014        0.908       0.989
  fall#1993  |      0.997      0.020    -0.13   0.893        0.959       1.037
  fall#1994  |      1.017      0.029     0.60   0.550        0.962       1.075
  fall#1995  |      1.023      0.025     0.94   0.347        0.975       1.074
  fall#1996  |      0.999      0.022    -0.02   0.982        0.957       1.044
  fall#1997  |      0.978      0.026    -0.85   0.398        0.928       1.030
  fall#1998  |      0.956      0.021    -2.00   0.045        0.915       0.999
  fall#1999  |      0.991      0.022    -0.39   0.698        0.949       1.036
  fall#2000  |      0.958      0.027    -1.53   0.127        0.907       1.012
  fall#2001  |      1.001      0.024     0.06   0.954        0.956       1.049
  fall#2002  |      0.994      0.025    -0.25   0.799        0.946       1.044
  fall#2003  |      0.988      0.026    -0.47   0.638        0.939       1.039
  fall#2004  |      1.026      0.023     1.16   0.246        0.982       1.072
  fall#2005  |      1.020      0.027     0.75   0.451        0.969       1.074
  fall#2006  |      1.037      0.024     1.58   0.115        0.991       1.085
  fall#2007  |      1.063      0.024     2.71   0.007        1.017       1.111
  fall#2008  |      1.004      0.020     0.19   0.851        0.965       1.044
  fall#2009  |      1.046      0.029     1.61   0.108        0.990       1.104
  fall#2010  |      1.021      0.022     0.97   0.333        0.979       1.066
             |
       _cons |     32.887      5.323    21.58   0.000       23.948      45.164
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 1.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.24       0.06     4.04   0.000         0.12        0.35
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -25.11       0.79   -31.62   0.000       -26.66      -23.55
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.88       0.36    13.73   0.000         4.18        5.58
   45 to 64  |       6.61       0.71     9.36   0.000         5.22        7.99
       >=65  |       9.63       0.98     9.79   0.000         7.71       11.56
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.50       0.09    16.90   0.000         1.32        1.67
     summer  |       1.60       0.10    16.87   0.000         1.42        1.79
       fall  |       0.72       0.12     6.19   0.000         0.49        0.95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -293157.71                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4132

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.011      0.004     2.69   0.007        1.003       1.019
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.244      0.005   -67.61   0.000        0.234       0.254
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.316      0.023    15.77   0.000        1.272       1.362
   45 to 64  |      1.450      0.053    10.27   0.000        1.351       1.557
       >=65  |      1.720      0.085    10.97   0.000        1.561       1.894
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.093      0.019     5.20   0.000        1.057       1.130
     summer  |      1.087      0.020     4.59   0.000        1.049       1.126
       fall  |      1.043      0.018     2.45   0.014        1.008       1.079
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.072      0.026     2.80   0.005        1.021       1.125
       1982  |      1.076      0.043     1.82   0.068        0.994       1.163
       1983  |      1.124      0.059     2.22   0.027        1.014       1.246
       1984  |      1.195      0.071     2.98   0.003        1.063       1.343
       1985  |      1.199      0.096     2.28   0.023        1.026       1.403
       1986  |      1.320      0.115     3.18   0.001        1.112       1.567
       1987  |      1.284      0.123     2.61   0.009        1.065       1.549
       1988  |      1.341      0.149     2.64   0.008        1.078       1.667
       1989  |      1.364      0.163     2.59   0.009        1.079       1.725
       1990  |      1.396      0.182     2.57   0.010        1.082       1.802
       1991  |      1.400      0.196     2.40   0.016        1.064       1.843
       1992  |      1.483      0.229     2.55   0.011        1.096       2.007
       1993  |      1.481      0.239     2.43   0.015        1.080       2.032
       1994  |      1.509      0.254     2.45   0.014        1.086       2.098
       1995  |      1.520      0.267     2.39   0.017        1.078       2.145
       1996  |      1.564      0.277     2.53   0.011        1.106       2.212
       1997  |      1.629      0.308     2.58   0.010        1.124       2.361
       1998  |      1.699      0.325     2.78   0.006        1.169       2.471
       1999  |      1.626      0.311     2.54   0.011        1.117       2.367
       2000  |      1.699      0.336     2.68   0.007        1.153       2.504
       2001  |      1.767      0.356     2.82   0.005        1.190       2.622
       2002  |      1.885      0.395     3.03   0.002        1.251       2.842
       2003  |      1.879      0.409     2.90   0.004        1.227       2.877
       2004  |      1.972      0.428     3.13   0.002        1.288       3.017
       2005  |      2.034      0.454     3.18   0.001        1.313       3.149
       2006  |      2.114      0.479     3.30   0.001        1.356       3.296
       2007  |      2.241      0.517     3.50   0.000        1.426       3.524
       2008  |      2.430      0.573     3.76   0.000        1.531       3.859
       2009  |      2.438      0.593     3.66   0.000        1.514       3.928
       2010  |      2.581      0.640     3.82   0.000        1.588       4.196
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.951      0.032    -1.53   0.127        0.891       1.014
spring#1982  |      1.033      0.024     1.38   0.167        0.987       1.081
spring#1983  |      0.978      0.026    -0.85   0.398        0.929       1.030
spring#1984  |      0.980      0.028    -0.73   0.466        0.927       1.035
spring#1985  |      1.016      0.025     0.64   0.524        0.968       1.066
spring#1986  |      0.968      0.024    -1.32   0.187        0.923       1.016
spring#1987  |      1.073      0.024     3.13   0.002        1.027       1.121
spring#1988  |      0.999      0.019    -0.05   0.958        0.962       1.038
spring#1989  |      0.987      0.022    -0.60   0.552        0.944       1.031
spring#1990  |      0.981      0.018    -1.03   0.303        0.947       1.017
spring#1991  |      1.017      0.027     0.66   0.510        0.966       1.071
spring#1992  |      0.946      0.020    -2.58   0.010        0.906       0.987
spring#1993  |      0.998      0.020    -0.11   0.911        0.959       1.038
spring#1994  |      1.014      0.023     0.62   0.536        0.970       1.060
spring#1995  |      1.041      0.026     1.63   0.103        0.992       1.093
spring#1996  |      1.010      0.026     0.38   0.701        0.960       1.063
spring#1997  |      0.971      0.028    -1.03   0.305        0.918       1.027
spring#1998  |      0.942      0.019    -2.92   0.004        0.905       0.981
spring#1999  |      0.963      0.017    -2.07   0.038        0.930       0.998
spring#2000  |      0.975      0.025    -0.99   0.324        0.927       1.025
spring#2001  |      0.990      0.020    -0.47   0.637        0.951       1.031
spring#2002  |      0.977      0.021    -1.10   0.272        0.938       1.018
spring#2003  |      1.006      0.026     0.25   0.805        0.957       1.058
spring#2004  |      0.995      0.025    -0.18   0.858        0.947       1.046
spring#2005  |      1.016      0.028     0.58   0.563        0.963       1.072
spring#2006  |      1.004      0.021     0.19   0.848        0.963       1.047
spring#2007  |      1.004      0.024     0.16   0.872        0.959       1.051
spring#2008  |      0.996      0.019    -0.22   0.828        0.959       1.034
spring#2009  |      1.004      0.023     0.17   0.868        0.959       1.051
spring#2010  |      1.021      0.024     0.91   0.361        0.976       1.069
summer#1981  |      0.970      0.025    -1.21   0.228        0.922       1.020
summer#1982  |      1.029      0.026     1.11   0.265        0.979       1.082
summer#1983  |      0.989      0.029    -0.38   0.706        0.934       1.048
summer#1984  |      0.962      0.022    -1.70   0.089        0.921       1.006
summer#1985  |      0.983      0.019    -0.86   0.392        0.946       1.022
summer#1986  |      0.981      0.018    -1.02   0.306        0.946       1.018
summer#1987  |      1.026      0.022     1.19   0.235        0.983       1.071
summer#1988  |      1.000      0.021    -0.02   0.984        0.959       1.042
summer#1989  |      0.994      0.024    -0.26   0.796        0.949       1.041
summer#1990  |      1.038      0.028     1.37   0.170        0.984       1.095
summer#1991  |      1.042      0.027     1.56   0.119        0.990       1.097
summer#1992  |      0.970      0.024    -1.22   0.222        0.924       1.018
summer#1993  |      1.016      0.026     0.63   0.527        0.967       1.068
summer#1994  |      0.988      0.023    -0.55   0.581        0.944       1.033
summer#1995  |      1.039      0.025     1.57   0.115        0.991       1.090
summer#1996  |      1.022      0.023     0.95   0.343        0.977       1.069
summer#1997  |      0.968      0.025    -1.26   0.207        0.920       1.018
summer#1998  |      0.965      0.024    -1.48   0.139        0.920       1.012
summer#1999  |      0.990      0.024    -0.42   0.678        0.944       1.038
summer#2000  |      0.969      0.025    -1.23   0.220        0.921       1.019
summer#2001  |      1.017      0.027     0.63   0.528        0.966       1.071
summer#2002  |      1.002      0.022     0.10   0.921        0.960       1.046
summer#2003  |      1.041      0.028     1.51   0.131        0.988       1.097
summer#2004  |      1.016      0.024     0.67   0.506        0.970       1.065
summer#2005  |      1.010      0.026     0.40   0.690        0.961       1.062
summer#2006  |      1.032      0.028     1.16   0.247        0.979       1.088
summer#2007  |      1.033      0.023     1.45   0.148        0.989       1.079
summer#2008  |      1.001      0.023     0.04   0.968        0.957       1.047
summer#2009  |      1.063      0.026     2.46   0.014        1.012       1.116
summer#2010  |      1.067      0.026     2.70   0.007        1.018       1.118
  fall#1981  |      0.968      0.032    -0.97   0.331        0.907       1.034
  fall#1982  |      0.984      0.024    -0.68   0.494        0.938       1.031
  fall#1983  |      0.987      0.024    -0.53   0.597        0.941       1.035
  fall#1984  |      0.993      0.023    -0.30   0.763        0.949       1.039
  fall#1985  |      1.020      0.021     0.96   0.336        0.980       1.062
  fall#1986  |      0.974      0.024    -1.05   0.294        0.928       1.023
  fall#1987  |      0.998      0.022    -0.08   0.936        0.956       1.042
  fall#1988  |      0.972      0.021    -1.31   0.189        0.931       1.014
  fall#1989  |      0.971      0.020    -1.42   0.154        0.931       1.011
  fall#1990  |      1.021      0.027     0.79   0.432        0.969       1.076
  fall#1991  |      1.020      0.027     0.74   0.462        0.968       1.074
  fall#1992  |      0.947      0.022    -2.39   0.017        0.905       0.990
  fall#1993  |      0.996      0.020    -0.21   0.838        0.958       1.036
  fall#1994  |      1.015      0.029     0.54   0.587        0.961       1.073
  fall#1995  |      1.022      0.027     0.84   0.403        0.971       1.075
  fall#1996  |      0.998      0.021    -0.10   0.923        0.958       1.040
  fall#1997  |      0.976      0.027    -0.89   0.374        0.925       1.030
  fall#1998  |      0.955      0.021    -2.08   0.038        0.914       0.997
  fall#1999  |      0.990      0.023    -0.44   0.661        0.945       1.036
  fall#2000  |      0.957      0.028    -1.53   0.126        0.904       1.013
  fall#2001  |      1.001      0.023     0.02   0.981        0.956       1.047
  fall#2002  |      0.992      0.026    -0.29   0.771        0.943       1.045
  fall#2003  |      0.987      0.026    -0.51   0.607        0.937       1.039
  fall#2004  |      1.025      0.025     1.01   0.313        0.977       1.074
  fall#2005  |      1.018      0.028     0.66   0.512        0.964       1.076
  fall#2006  |      1.035      0.025     1.45   0.148        0.988       1.085
  fall#2007  |      1.061      0.024     2.66   0.008        1.016       1.109
  fall#2008  |      1.003      0.022     0.14   0.889        0.961       1.047
  fall#2009  |      1.045      0.028     1.63   0.103        0.991       1.103
  fall#2010  |      1.020      0.026     0.78   0.438        0.971       1.072
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.953      0.076    -0.60   0.551        0.815       1.115
         AZ  |      1.405      0.013    38.00   0.000        1.381       1.430
         AR  |      1.173      0.007    25.33   0.000        1.159       1.188
         CA  |      2.982      0.064    51.04   0.000        2.860       3.110
         CO  |      2.228      0.027    66.62   0.000        2.176       2.281
         CT  |      0.800      0.021    -8.47   0.000        0.760       0.842
         DE  |      1.173      0.011    16.98   0.000        1.152       1.195
         FL  |      2.207      0.014   122.86   0.000        2.179       2.235
         GA  |      2.011      0.016    85.46   0.000        1.979       2.043
         HI  |      1.220      0.031     7.84   0.000        1.161       1.282
         ID  |      1.277      0.020    15.72   0.000        1.238       1.316
         IL  |      1.435      0.015    33.86   0.000        1.406       1.466
         IN  |      0.995      0.007    -0.81   0.418        0.981       1.008
         IA  |      1.159      0.027     6.44   0.000        1.108       1.213
         KS  |      1.091      0.019     4.97   0.000        1.054       1.129
         KY  |      1.329      0.002   169.06   0.000        1.324       1.333
         LA  |      2.002      0.118    11.80   0.000        1.784       2.246
         ME  |      1.243      0.003    81.24   0.000        1.237       1.250
         MD  |      1.264      0.019    15.59   0.000        1.228       1.302
         MA  |      1.614      0.043    17.92   0.000        1.531       1.700
         MI  |      1.852      0.081    14.05   0.000        1.699       2.018
         MN  |      1.403      0.019    24.40   0.000        1.365       1.442
         MS  |      0.793      0.008   -22.22   0.000        0.777       0.809
         MO  |      1.062      0.005    12.28   0.000        1.052       1.072
         MT  |      0.854      0.063    -2.12   0.034        0.739       0.988
         NE  |      0.495      0.010   -34.46   0.000        0.476       0.516
         NV  |      2.209      0.066    26.50   0.000        2.083       2.342
         NH  |      1.401      0.013    35.58   0.000        1.375       1.427
         NJ  |      0.985      0.025    -0.59   0.558        0.938       1.035
         NM  |      1.867      0.040    29.23   0.000        1.791       1.947
         NY  |      1.383      0.056     8.05   0.000        1.278       1.496
         NC  |      1.576      0.003   256.65   0.000        1.570       1.581
         ND  |      1.138      0.080     1.83   0.067        0.991       1.306
         OH  |      2.597      0.013   188.23   0.000        2.572       2.623
         OK  |      1.456      0.111     4.92   0.000        1.253       1.691
         OR  |      1.189      0.005    40.97   0.000        1.179       1.199
         PA  |      1.205      0.032     7.06   0.000        1.144       1.269
         RI  |      4.489      0.091    74.02   0.000        4.314       4.671
         SC  |      1.114      0.006    19.65   0.000        1.102       1.126
         SD  |      0.578      0.012   -26.78   0.000        0.555       0.602
         TN  |      1.409      0.005   107.18   0.000        1.400       1.418
         TX  |      1.733      0.071    13.43   0.000        1.599       1.878
         UT  |      1.438      0.020    26.64   0.000        1.400       1.477
         VT  |      2.936      0.014   223.97   0.000        2.908       2.964
         VA  |      1.864      0.023    51.37   0.000        1.820       1.909
         WA  |      1.161      0.004    45.45   0.000        1.154       1.169
         WV  |      0.794      0.006   -33.01   0.000        0.783       0.805
         WI  |      2.051      0.088    16.78   0.000        1.886       2.231
         WY  |      2.425      0.257     8.36   0.000        1.970       2.985
             |
     quarter |      0.998      0.008    -0.21   0.830        0.983       1.013
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -0.58   0.564        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.998      0.001    -2.02   0.044        0.996       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -1.61   0.107        0.999       1.000
         AR  |      0.998      0.000   -25.18   0.000        0.997       0.998
         CA  |      0.988      0.000   -36.16   0.000        0.987       0.988
         CO  |      0.993      0.000   -27.68   0.000        0.992       0.993
         CT  |      0.998      0.000    -5.00   0.000        0.997       0.999
         DE  |      0.999      0.000   -14.05   0.000        0.998       0.999
         FL  |      0.992      0.000  -149.38   0.000        0.992       0.992
         GA  |      0.992      0.000  -137.41   0.000        0.992       0.992
         HI  |      0.993      0.000   -22.72   0.000        0.992       0.993
         ID  |      0.999      0.000    -2.65   0.008        0.998       1.000
         IL  |      0.993      0.000   -50.74   0.000        0.992       0.993
         IN  |      0.999      0.000   -11.99   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IA  |      0.996      0.000   -11.14   0.000        0.996       0.997
         KS  |      0.997      0.000   -10.40   0.000        0.997       0.998
         KY  |      0.996      0.000  -110.80   0.000        0.996       0.996
         LA  |      0.994      0.001    -8.56   0.000        0.993       0.995
         ME  |      0.998      0.000   -41.85   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MD  |      0.996      0.000   -20.34   0.000        0.995       0.996
         MA  |      0.988      0.000   -32.66   0.000        0.987       0.989
         MI  |      0.990      0.001   -14.29   0.000        0.989       0.992
         MN  |      0.993      0.000   -27.26   0.000        0.993       0.994
         MS  |      1.003      0.000    21.10   0.000        1.003       1.003
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -1.03   0.302        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.007      0.001     6.18   0.000        1.005       1.009
         NE  |      1.009      0.000    27.48   0.000        1.009       1.010
         NV  |      0.998      0.000   -10.30   0.000        0.997       0.998
         NH  |      0.994      0.000   -26.08   0.000        0.994       0.995
         NJ  |      0.993      0.000   -21.68   0.000        0.992       0.993
         NM  |      0.997      0.000    -8.36   0.000        0.996       0.997
         NY  |      0.990      0.001   -19.65   0.000        0.989       0.991
         NC  |      0.994      0.000   -80.17   0.000        0.994       0.994
         ND  |      0.995      0.001    -5.49   0.000        0.993       0.997
         OH  |      0.984      0.000  -223.95   0.000        0.984       0.985
         OK  |      0.996      0.001    -3.55   0.000        0.994       0.998
         OR  |      0.999      0.000    -5.33   0.000        0.999       1.000
         PA  |      0.996      0.000   -12.53   0.000        0.995       0.996
         RI  |      0.974      0.000  -101.84   0.000        0.974       0.975
         SC  |      0.999      0.000   -30.37   0.000        0.999       0.999
         SD  |      1.006      0.000    16.91   0.000        1.005       1.007
         TN  |      0.995      0.000   -80.17   0.000        0.995       0.995
         TX  |      0.994      0.001    -9.00   0.000        0.993       0.995
         UT  |      0.997      0.000    -9.57   0.000        0.996       0.997
         VT  |      0.987      0.000  -202.06   0.000        0.987       0.987
         VA  |      0.993      0.000   -38.13   0.000        0.992       0.993
         WA  |      0.999      0.000    -9.39   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WV  |      1.003      0.000    27.40   0.000        1.003       1.003
         WI  |      0.989      0.001   -17.47   0.000        0.988       0.990
         WY  |      0.992      0.002    -5.03   0.000        0.989       0.995
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     5.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -2.28   0.022        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    21.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    19.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    13.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     1.20   0.229        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -8.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    49.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    44.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    44.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     1.49   0.136        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    28.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     6.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     6.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     9.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    54.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     5.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000     7.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     8.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    21.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    11.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    14.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -12.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -14.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -6.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -27.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     0.31   0.756        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    11.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    16.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     3.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    15.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    26.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     5.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   213.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     3.13   0.002        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     1.43   0.152        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000     9.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    84.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000     4.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000   -13.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    50.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     3.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     5.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   123.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    21.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.26   0.797        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -26.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    13.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     4.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     24.943     11.592     6.92   0.000       10.031      62.018
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 1.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.20       0.07     2.76   0.006         0.06        0.33
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -25.11       0.79   -31.64   0.000       -26.66      -23.55
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.88       0.36    13.73   0.000         4.19        5.58
   45 to 64  |       6.61       0.71     9.36   0.000         5.22        7.99
       >=65  |       9.63       0.98     9.79   0.000         7.71       11.56
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.50       0.09    16.93   0.000         1.32        1.67
     summer  |       1.60       0.10    16.88   0.000         1.42        1.79
       fall  |       0.72       0.12     6.18   0.000         0.49        0.95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -293034.21                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4135

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.019      0.006     3.24   0.001        1.007       1.030
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.244      0.005   -67.59   0.000        0.234       0.254
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.316      0.023    15.76   0.000        1.272       1.362
   45 to 64  |      1.450      0.053    10.26   0.000        1.351       1.557
       >=65  |      1.720      0.085    10.96   0.000        1.561       1.895
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.097      0.018     5.52   0.000        1.062       1.134
     summer  |      1.075      0.019     3.98   0.000        1.037       1.113
       fall  |      1.018      0.018     0.96   0.339        0.982       1.054
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.015      0.027     0.58   0.564        0.964       1.069
       1982  |      0.975      0.036    -0.69   0.489        0.907       1.048
       1983  |      0.985      0.047    -0.32   0.749        0.897       1.081
       1984  |      1.026      0.055     0.47   0.636        0.923       1.140
       1985  |      1.016      0.072     0.23   0.817        0.885       1.167
       1986  |      1.112      0.089     1.32   0.186        0.950       1.301
       1987  |      1.082      0.094     0.92   0.360        0.914       1.282
       1988  |      1.140      0.115     1.30   0.194        0.936       1.388
       1989  |      1.175      0.129     1.47   0.142        0.948       1.456
       1990  |      1.222      0.146     1.68   0.092        0.968       1.544
       1991  |      1.249      0.164     1.69   0.090        0.966       1.615
       1992  |      1.353      0.198     2.06   0.039        1.015       1.804
       1993  |      1.389      0.216     2.12   0.034        1.025       1.883
       1994  |      1.459      0.240     2.30   0.022        1.057       2.014
       1995  |      1.517      0.265     2.39   0.017        1.077       2.136
       1996  |      1.610      0.288     2.66   0.008        1.134       2.285
       1997  |      1.730      0.337     2.81   0.005        1.181       2.534
       1998  |      1.861      0.371     3.12   0.002        1.259       2.751
       1999  |      1.833      0.372     2.98   0.003        1.231       2.729
       2000  |      1.965      0.417     3.19   0.001        1.297       2.978
       2001  |      2.084      0.453     3.37   0.001        1.360       3.191
       2002  |      2.253      0.512     3.57   0.000        1.443       3.518
       2003  |      2.269      0.537     3.47   0.001        1.428       3.607
       2004  |      2.398      0.568     3.69   0.000        1.508       3.814
       2005  |      2.478      0.601     3.74   0.000        1.541       3.987
       2006  |      2.565      0.629     3.84   0.000        1.585       4.149
       2007  |      2.685      0.666     3.98   0.000        1.651       4.367
       2008  |      2.839      0.711     4.17   0.000        1.738       4.639
       2009  |      2.738      0.695     3.97   0.000        1.665       4.502
       2010  |      2.769      0.703     4.01   0.000        1.684       4.554
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.950      0.031    -1.54   0.123        0.891       1.014
spring#1982  |      1.031      0.024     1.34   0.180        0.986       1.079
spring#1983  |      0.975      0.026    -0.95   0.340        0.926       1.027
spring#1984  |      0.977      0.027    -0.83   0.404        0.924       1.032
spring#1985  |      1.012      0.025     0.49   0.627        0.964       1.063
spring#1986  |      0.964      0.023    -1.51   0.131        0.919       1.011
spring#1987  |      1.068      0.024     2.94   0.003        1.022       1.115
spring#1988  |      0.994      0.019    -0.32   0.750        0.957       1.032
spring#1989  |      0.981      0.022    -0.83   0.404        0.939       1.026
spring#1990  |      0.976      0.018    -1.29   0.196        0.941       1.013
spring#1991  |      1.011      0.026     0.43   0.669        0.961       1.064
spring#1992  |      0.940      0.020    -2.91   0.004        0.901       0.980
spring#1993  |      0.991      0.020    -0.43   0.664        0.952       1.032
spring#1994  |      1.007      0.023     0.32   0.746        0.964       1.053
spring#1995  |      1.034      0.025     1.38   0.167        0.986       1.085
spring#1996  |      1.003      0.026     0.13   0.895        0.954       1.055
spring#1997  |      0.965      0.028    -1.25   0.211        0.912       1.021
spring#1998  |      0.936      0.019    -3.27   0.001        0.900       0.974
spring#1999  |      0.958      0.017    -2.43   0.015        0.924       0.992
spring#2000  |      0.970      0.025    -1.21   0.227        0.923       1.019
spring#2001  |      0.986      0.020    -0.70   0.485        0.946       1.027
spring#2002  |      0.972      0.020    -1.36   0.175        0.934       1.013
spring#2003  |      1.001      0.025     0.05   0.957        0.953       1.052
spring#2004  |      0.991      0.025    -0.35   0.727        0.944       1.041
spring#2005  |      1.012      0.027     0.45   0.653        0.960       1.068
spring#2006  |      1.001      0.021     0.05   0.957        0.961       1.043
spring#2007  |      1.002      0.023     0.08   0.936        0.957       1.049
spring#2008  |      0.996      0.019    -0.22   0.828        0.959       1.034
spring#2009  |      1.003      0.023     0.12   0.901        0.958       1.050
spring#2010  |      1.022      0.024     0.93   0.350        0.977       1.069
summer#1981  |      0.973      0.025    -1.08   0.281        0.925       1.023
summer#1982  |      1.033      0.026     1.27   0.203        0.983       1.086
summer#1983  |      0.995      0.029    -0.16   0.869        0.939       1.054
summer#1984  |      0.970      0.022    -1.33   0.184        0.929       1.014
summer#1985  |      0.992      0.019    -0.40   0.691        0.955       1.031
summer#1986  |      0.991      0.019    -0.47   0.641        0.955       1.029
summer#1987  |      1.038      0.023     1.72   0.085        0.995       1.084
summer#1988  |      1.013      0.022     0.57   0.570        0.970       1.057
summer#1989  |      1.007      0.024     0.31   0.754        0.962       1.055
summer#1990  |      1.053      0.028     1.93   0.054        0.999       1.111
summer#1991  |      1.057      0.028     2.08   0.038        1.003       1.113
summer#1992  |      0.985      0.024    -0.61   0.540        0.939       1.034
summer#1993  |      1.032      0.026     1.25   0.210        0.982       1.085
summer#1994  |      1.004      0.023     0.17   0.864        0.960       1.050
summer#1995  |      1.056      0.026     2.26   0.024        1.007       1.107
summer#1996  |      1.039      0.024     1.67   0.095        0.993       1.087
summer#1997  |      0.984      0.026    -0.61   0.539        0.935       1.036
summer#1998  |      0.980      0.024    -0.80   0.421        0.934       1.029
summer#1999  |      1.006      0.024     0.24   0.809        0.960       1.054
summer#2000  |      0.984      0.025    -0.63   0.529        0.936       1.035
summer#2001  |      1.031      0.027     1.16   0.247        0.979       1.086
summer#2002  |      1.016      0.022     0.73   0.466        0.974       1.060
summer#2003  |      1.054      0.028     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.111
summer#2004  |      1.029      0.025     1.16   0.245        0.981       1.079
summer#2005  |      1.022      0.026     0.84   0.402        0.972       1.074
summer#2006  |      1.042      0.028     1.52   0.129        0.988       1.099
summer#2007  |      1.042      0.023     1.83   0.067        0.997       1.088
summer#2008  |      1.008      0.023     0.34   0.731        0.964       1.054
summer#2009  |      1.066      0.026     2.62   0.009        1.016       1.119
summer#2010  |      1.071      0.025     2.90   0.004        1.023       1.122
  fall#1981  |      0.973      0.033    -0.81   0.416        0.911       1.039
  fall#1982  |      0.992      0.024    -0.34   0.736        0.945       1.041
  fall#1983  |      1.002      0.024     0.07   0.943        0.955       1.050
  fall#1984  |      1.011      0.024     0.48   0.629        0.966       1.059
  fall#1985  |      1.042      0.021     1.98   0.047        1.000       1.085
  fall#1986  |      0.998      0.026    -0.08   0.938        0.948       1.051
  fall#1987  |      1.026      0.024     1.10   0.273        0.980       1.074
  fall#1988  |      1.001      0.022     0.05   0.964        0.958       1.046
  fall#1989  |      1.001      0.022     0.06   0.952        0.960       1.045
  fall#1990  |      1.055      0.029     1.95   0.052        1.000       1.113
  fall#1991  |      1.055      0.029     1.91   0.056        0.999       1.114
  fall#1992  |      0.981      0.024    -0.78   0.434        0.936       1.029
  fall#1993  |      1.034      0.022     1.56   0.118        0.992       1.077
  fall#1994  |      1.055      0.031     1.82   0.069        0.996       1.118
  fall#1995  |      1.061      0.029     2.19   0.028        1.006       1.119
  fall#1996  |      1.037      0.024     1.53   0.126        0.990       1.086
  fall#1997  |      1.014      0.029     0.49   0.623        0.959       1.072
  fall#1998  |      0.991      0.025    -0.35   0.724        0.943       1.042
  fall#1999  |      1.026      0.024     1.10   0.271        0.980       1.075
  fall#2000  |      0.990      0.029    -0.33   0.741        0.935       1.049
  fall#2001  |      1.032      0.026     1.27   0.206        0.983       1.083
  fall#2002  |      1.023      0.029     0.81   0.419        0.968       1.080
  fall#2003  |      1.015      0.028     0.53   0.599        0.961       1.072
  fall#2004  |      1.053      0.026     2.04   0.042        1.002       1.106
  fall#2005  |      1.043      0.029     1.50   0.133        0.987       1.103
  fall#2006  |      1.057      0.026     2.27   0.023        1.008       1.110
  fall#2007  |      1.080      0.024     3.42   0.001        1.033       1.128
  fall#2008  |      1.014      0.022     0.65   0.517        0.972       1.059
  fall#2009  |      1.051      0.028     1.86   0.063        0.997       1.108
  fall#2010  |      1.025      0.025     1.01   0.314        0.977       1.077
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |    407.795     40.098    61.13   0.000      336.313     494.471
         AZ  |      0.932      0.162    -0.40   0.686        0.663       1.311
         AR  |      5.963      0.175    60.80   0.000        5.629       6.316
         CA  |      0.879      0.030    -3.81   0.000        0.823       0.939
         CO  |      8.241      1.535    11.33   0.000        5.721      11.871
         CT  |      0.560      0.045    -7.23   0.000        0.478       0.655
         DE  |      0.967      0.021    -1.54   0.125        0.926       1.009
         FL  |      3.197      0.139    26.74   0.000        2.936       3.481
         GA  |      4.973      0.259    30.74   0.000        4.489       5.508
         HI  |      0.219      0.031   -10.61   0.000        0.165       0.290
         ID  |      0.577      0.191    -1.66   0.097        0.302       1.105
         IL  |      0.537      0.045    -7.36   0.000        0.455       0.634
         IN  |      1.106      0.060     1.86   0.063        0.995       1.229
         IA  |      0.978      0.059    -0.37   0.713        0.868       1.101
         KS  |      2.555      0.212    11.29   0.000        2.171       3.007
         KY  |      3.240      0.183    20.79   0.000        2.900       3.620
         LA  |      2.580      0.350     6.99   0.000        1.978       3.365
         ME  |      2.027      0.052    27.36   0.000        1.927       2.132
         MD  |      2.652      0.138    18.70   0.000        2.394       2.937
         MA  |      0.262      0.015   -23.37   0.000        0.234       0.293
         MI  |      4.921      0.867     9.04   0.000        3.484       6.950
         MN  |      0.376      0.021   -17.68   0.000        0.337       0.419
         MS  |      0.589      0.032    -9.86   0.000        0.530       0.655
         MO  |      0.739      0.037    -6.00   0.000        0.669       0.816
         MT  |      0.742      0.169    -1.31   0.191        0.475       1.160
         NE  |      1.099      0.104     1.00   0.317        0.913       1.322
         NV  |     16.106      7.201     6.22   0.000        6.705      38.685
         NH  |      0.719      0.012   -20.45   0.000        0.697       0.742
         NJ  |      4.947      0.251    31.52   0.000        4.479       5.464
         NM  |      4.372      0.367    17.55   0.000        3.708       5.155
         NY  |      1.226      0.124     2.01   0.045        1.005       1.495
         NC  |      5.746      0.038   263.33   0.000        5.672       5.822
         ND  |      1.784      0.132     7.79   0.000        1.542       2.063
         OH  |     19.395      1.759    32.70   0.000       16.237      23.168
         OK  |     16.579      2.868    16.23   0.000       11.811      23.271
         OR  |      3.984      0.767     7.18   0.000        2.732       5.809
         PA  |      0.920      0.017    -4.55   0.000        0.888       0.954
         RI  |      0.431      0.016   -23.36   0.000        0.402       0.463
         SC  |      0.547      0.015   -21.78   0.000        0.518       0.578
         SD  |      3.044      0.140    24.23   0.000        2.782       3.330
         TN  |      7.718      0.141   112.14   0.000        7.447       7.998
         TX  |      0.582      0.034    -9.16   0.000        0.518       0.654
         UT  |      2.623      0.366     6.90   0.000        1.995       3.449
         VT  |      0.883      0.050    -2.21   0.027        0.791       0.986
         VA  |      4.378      0.202    32.06   0.000        4.000       4.791
         WA  |      2.646      0.063    41.19   0.000        2.526       2.772
         WV  |     25.820      1.170    71.75   0.000       23.626      28.218
         WI  |      2.887      0.605     5.06   0.000        1.915       4.352
         WY  |      2.865      0.327     9.23   0.000        2.291       3.582
             |
     quarter |      1.117      0.024     5.12   0.000        1.071       1.166
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.000    -5.01   0.000        0.999       0.999
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     4.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.872      0.003   -41.48   0.000        0.866       0.877
         AZ  |      1.009      0.004     2.12   0.034        1.001       1.017
         AR  |      0.961      0.001   -57.80   0.000        0.960       0.963
         CA  |      1.016      0.001    17.70   0.000        1.014       1.018
         CO  |      0.964      0.004    -8.82   0.000        0.956       0.972
         CT  |      1.007      0.002     3.14   0.002        1.003       1.011
         DE  |      1.003      0.001     4.32   0.000        1.002       1.004
         FL  |      0.984      0.001   -15.28   0.000        0.982       0.986
         GA  |      0.972      0.001   -20.47   0.000        0.969       0.974
         HI  |      1.033      0.004     8.75   0.000        1.025       1.040
         ID  |      1.017      0.008     2.16   0.031        1.002       1.032
         IL  |      1.016      0.002     8.48   0.000        1.012       1.019
         IN  |      0.996      0.001    -2.62   0.009        0.994       0.999
         IA  |      1.001      0.001     0.59   0.555        0.998       1.003
         KS  |      0.979      0.002   -12.74   0.000        0.975       0.982
         KY  |      0.976      0.001   -18.30   0.000        0.974       0.979
         LA  |      0.989      0.002    -4.82   0.000        0.985       0.994
         ME  |      0.987      0.001   -21.70   0.000        0.985       0.988
         MD  |      0.979      0.001   -15.38   0.000        0.976       0.982
         MA  |      1.031      0.002    18.68   0.000        1.027       1.034
         MI  |      0.968      0.004    -7.32   0.000        0.959       0.976
         MN  |      1.024      0.001    19.93   0.000        1.021       1.026
         MS  |      1.010      0.001     9.03   0.000        1.008       1.012
         MO  |      1.008      0.001     6.91   0.000        1.006       1.011
         MT  |      1.011      0.004     2.53   0.011        1.002       1.020
         NE  |      0.991      0.002    -4.46   0.000        0.987       0.995
         NV  |      0.953      0.010    -4.45   0.000        0.933       0.974
         NH  |      1.010      0.000    25.68   0.000        1.009       1.010
         NJ  |      0.957      0.001   -30.61   0.000        0.954       0.959
         NM  |      0.978      0.002   -12.71   0.000        0.974       0.981
         NY  |      0.993      0.003    -2.34   0.020        0.988       0.999
         NC  |      0.965      0.000  -154.42   0.000        0.965       0.966
         ND  |      0.986      0.001   -16.91   0.000        0.984       0.987
         OH  |      0.940      0.002   -30.62   0.000        0.936       0.944
         OK  |      0.944      0.003   -19.57   0.000        0.938       0.949
         OR  |      0.972      0.005    -6.10   0.000        0.963       0.981
         PA  |      1.002      0.000     4.93   0.000        1.001       1.003
         RI  |      1.029      0.001    29.73   0.000        1.027       1.031
         SC  |      1.015      0.001    20.64   0.000        1.014       1.017
         SD  |      0.969      0.001   -33.36   0.000        0.967       0.971
         TN  |      0.957      0.000   -92.03   0.000        0.956       0.958
         TX  |      1.020      0.001    20.95   0.000        1.018       1.022
         UT  |      0.983      0.003    -5.28   0.000        0.977       0.989
         VT  |      1.015      0.001    10.85   0.000        1.012       1.017
         VA  |      0.974      0.001   -22.68   0.000        0.971       0.976
         WA  |      0.980      0.001   -32.85   0.000        0.979       0.981
         WV  |      0.926      0.001   -78.10   0.000        0.924       0.928
         WI  |      0.982      0.004    -4.20   0.000        0.974       0.990
         WY  |      0.990      0.001    -7.38   0.000        0.988       0.993
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.001      0.000    33.11   0.000        1.001       1.001
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -2.33   0.020        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    57.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -24.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     7.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    -3.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -5.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    10.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    15.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -8.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -2.28   0.022        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -11.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    -3.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    12.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    16.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     3.20   0.001        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    19.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    11.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000   -20.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     5.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -26.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -7.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -6.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -2.41   0.016        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     6.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     4.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -35.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    23.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    12.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -0.17   0.864        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   121.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    27.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    26.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    24.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     5.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    -8.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000   -41.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -19.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    44.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    81.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -45.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     4.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -16.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    16.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    31.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.001      0.000    84.62   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     2.83   0.005        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    10.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -28.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     2.48   0.013        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -62.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    23.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    -7.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     3.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000     5.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -8.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000   -14.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     9.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     2.61   0.009        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    14.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -1.83   0.067        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     6.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -13.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   -15.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -2.53   0.011        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -20.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -9.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    20.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -4.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    35.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000     7.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000     6.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     2.24   0.025        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -11.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -4.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    28.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -19.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -15.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     1.30   0.193        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000  -163.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    -9.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -22.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000   -33.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -6.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000     8.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    47.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    21.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000   -71.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -83.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   173.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    -4.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    20.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -13.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -39.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -93.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    -1.73   0.084        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     0.77   0.440        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.244      0.221    -1.56   0.119        0.041       1.437
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 1.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.33       0.10     3.32   0.001         0.13        0.52
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -25.11       0.79   -31.64   0.000       -26.66      -23.55
             |
       race2 |
     1White  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       4.88       0.36    13.73   0.000         4.19        5.58
   45 to 64  |       6.61       0.71     9.35   0.000         5.22        7.99
       >=65  |       9.64       0.98     9.79   0.000         7.71       11.56
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.50       0.09    16.92   0.000         1.32        1.67
     summer  |       1.60       0.10    16.86   0.000         1.42        1.79
       fall  |       0.72       0.12     6.18   0.000         0.49        0.95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(output written to suic-econ-atable-race2_1.txt)
-> Group = 2OtherRace

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =      36.33
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -130259.95                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0040

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.039      0.007     6.03   0.000        1.026       1.051
       _cons |     12.533      1.081    29.30   0.000       10.583      14.843
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.31       0.05     5.67   0.000         0.20        0.42
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(5)    =    2109.41
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -109845.07                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1601

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.038      0.006     6.12   0.000        1.026       1.050
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.223      0.016   -21.52   0.000        0.195       0.256
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.143      0.028     5.38   0.000        1.089       1.201
   45 to 64  |      0.836      0.043    -3.46   0.001        0.755       0.925
       >=65  |      0.953      0.075    -0.61   0.542        0.817       1.112
             |
       _cons |     20.838      1.712    36.96   0.000       17.738      24.478
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.31       0.05     5.71   0.000         0.20        0.41
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -12.31       0.74   -16.72   0.000       -13.75      -10.87
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       1.10       0.19     5.80   0.000         0.73        1.47
   45 to 64  |      -1.47       0.44    -3.33   0.001        -2.34       -0.61
       >=65  |      -0.39       0.65    -0.61   0.544        -1.66        0.88
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -105486.66                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1934

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.027      0.011     2.49   0.013        1.006       1.049
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.225      0.016   -21.56   0.000        0.196       0.258
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.149      0.027     5.89   0.000        1.097       1.204
   45 to 64  |      0.853      0.042    -3.27   0.001        0.775       0.938
       >=65  |      0.970      0.072    -0.41   0.683        0.838       1.123
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      4.613      0.051   139.64   0.000        4.515       4.713
         AZ  |      2.376      0.066    30.99   0.000        2.250       2.510
         AR  |      1.027      0.003     9.29   0.000        1.021       1.033
         CA  |      1.089      0.008    11.10   0.000        1.073       1.106
         CO  |      1.539      0.035    18.97   0.000        1.472       1.609
         CT  |      0.806      0.010   -18.27   0.000        0.788       0.825
         DE  |      0.952      0.008    -6.22   0.000        0.937       0.967
         FL  |      0.962      0.010    -3.92   0.000        0.943       0.981
         GA  |      1.068      0.017     4.23   0.000        1.036       1.101
         HI  |      1.449      0.023    23.06   0.000        1.404       1.495
         ID  |      2.668      0.086    30.30   0.000        2.504       2.843
         IL  |      0.985      0.007    -2.16   0.031        0.971       0.999
         IN  |      1.186      0.006    36.80   0.000        1.175       1.197
         IA  |      1.274      0.012    25.97   0.000        1.251       1.297
         KS  |      1.147      0.009    17.40   0.000        1.129       1.165
         KY  |      1.113      0.004    29.43   0.000        1.105       1.121
         LA  |      1.078      0.003    24.28   0.000        1.072       1.085
         ME  |      1.443      0.017    31.72   0.000        1.411       1.476
         MD  |      1.040      0.010     4.13   0.000        1.021       1.059
         MA  |      0.790      0.015   -12.31   0.000        0.760       0.820
         MI  |      1.305      0.011    31.88   0.000        1.284       1.327
         MN  |      1.625      0.022    36.13   0.000        1.583       1.669
         MS  |      0.985      0.005    -2.88   0.004        0.975       0.995
         MO  |      1.225      0.007    34.13   0.000        1.211       1.239
         MT  |      3.787      0.053    96.01   0.000        3.685       3.891
         NE  |      1.275      0.014    21.66   0.000        1.247       1.303
         NV  |      2.034      0.086    16.76   0.000        1.872       2.210
         NH  |      0.995      0.029    -0.17   0.866        0.939       1.054
         NJ  |      0.736      0.007   -30.87   0.000        0.722       0.751
         NM  |      3.006      0.046    71.85   0.000        2.917       3.098
         NY  |      0.729      0.004   -54.27   0.000        0.721       0.737
         NC  |      1.054      0.010     5.84   0.000        1.036       1.073
         ND  |      3.960      0.056    96.91   0.000        3.851       4.072
         OH  |      1.268      0.009    32.89   0.000        1.250       1.286
         OK  |      1.384      0.014    31.43   0.000        1.356       1.413
         OR  |      1.512      0.039    15.85   0.000        1.437       1.592
         PA  |      1.302      0.006    54.85   0.000        1.290       1.314
         RI  |      1.008      0.016     0.48   0.628        0.977       1.039
         SC  |      0.952      0.007    -6.49   0.000        0.939       0.967
         SD  |      5.199      0.054   157.75   0.000        5.093       5.306
         TN  |      1.157      0.006    29.28   0.000        1.146       1.168
         TX  |      0.978      0.014    -1.51   0.132        0.950       1.007
         UT  |      1.875      0.049    24.18   0.000        1.781       1.973
         VT  |      0.896      0.010   -10.20   0.000        0.877       0.915
         VA  |      1.159      0.008    21.01   0.000        1.144       1.176
         WA  |      1.579      0.013    54.13   0.000        1.554       1.606
         WV  |      1.275      0.003   118.28   0.000        1.270       1.280
         WI  |      1.535      0.027    24.67   0.000        1.483       1.588
         WY  |      4.076      0.062    92.32   0.000        3.956       4.199
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.898      0.051    -1.88   0.060        0.803       1.005
     summer  |      0.878      0.051    -2.23   0.026        0.782       0.984
       fall  |      0.914      0.048    -1.71   0.088        0.824       1.013
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.924      0.066    -1.11   0.269        0.803       1.063
       1982  |      0.832      0.062    -2.48   0.013        0.720       0.962
       1983  |      0.887      0.063    -1.70   0.090        0.772       1.019
       1984  |      0.916      0.082    -0.98   0.327        0.768       1.092
       1985  |      0.875      0.079    -1.47   0.140        0.733       1.045
       1986  |      0.916      0.080    -1.00   0.317        0.771       1.088
       1987  |      0.930      0.085    -0.80   0.426        0.777       1.112
       1988  |      0.970      0.093    -0.31   0.754        0.804       1.171
       1989  |      1.056      0.070     0.82   0.411        0.927       1.204
       1990  |      0.979      0.084    -0.24   0.810        0.828       1.159
       1991  |      1.009      0.067     0.13   0.894        0.886       1.149
       1992  |      1.012      0.090     0.14   0.891        0.850       1.206
       1993  |      1.004      0.074     0.05   0.958        0.869       1.160
       1994  |      0.982      0.069    -0.26   0.798        0.856       1.127
       1995  |      1.031      0.061     0.51   0.608        0.918       1.158
       1996  |      0.898      0.080    -1.21   0.226        0.754       1.069
       1997  |      0.921      0.070    -1.07   0.282        0.793       1.070
       1998  |      0.946      0.075    -0.70   0.487        0.810       1.105
       1999  |      0.862      0.084    -1.52   0.129        0.712       1.044
       2000  |      0.831      0.080    -1.91   0.056        0.688       1.005
       2001  |      0.782      0.083    -2.32   0.020        0.635       0.962
       2002  |      0.808      0.076    -2.27   0.023        0.672       0.972
       2003  |      0.774      0.067    -2.95   0.003        0.653       0.918
       2004  |      0.777      0.076    -2.59   0.010        0.643       0.941
       2005  |      0.806      0.081    -2.14   0.032        0.662       0.982
       2006  |      0.778      0.076    -2.59   0.010        0.643       0.941
       2007  |      0.784      0.081    -2.35   0.019        0.640       0.961
       2008  |      0.837      0.082    -1.81   0.070        0.690       1.015
       2009  |      0.809      0.089    -1.94   0.053        0.652       1.002
       2010  |      0.821      0.086    -1.89   0.058        0.669       1.007
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.214      0.111     2.11   0.034        1.014       1.453
spring#1982  |      1.176      0.108     1.76   0.078        0.982       1.410
spring#1983  |      1.130      0.082     1.68   0.092        0.980       1.304
spring#1984  |      1.158      0.104     1.64   0.101        0.972       1.380
spring#1985  |      1.243      0.095     2.84   0.004        1.070       1.444
spring#1986  |      1.222      0.077     3.19   0.001        1.080       1.382
spring#1987  |      1.243      0.094     2.87   0.004        1.071       1.441
spring#1988  |      1.122      0.084     1.54   0.123        0.969       1.298
spring#1989  |      1.131      0.098     1.43   0.153        0.955       1.340
spring#1990  |      1.157      0.084     2.02   0.044        1.004       1.334
spring#1991  |      1.084      0.063     1.40   0.161        0.968       1.214
spring#1992  |      1.119      0.086     1.46   0.145        0.962       1.302
spring#1993  |      1.152      0.093     1.75   0.080        0.983       1.349
spring#1994  |      1.262      0.095     3.08   0.002        1.088       1.463
spring#1995  |      1.121      0.087     1.47   0.141        0.963       1.304
spring#1996  |      1.280      0.095     3.33   0.001        1.107       1.479
spring#1997  |      1.265      0.099     3.02   0.003        1.086       1.474
spring#1998  |      1.144      0.096     1.61   0.107        0.971       1.348
spring#1999  |      1.271      0.109     2.80   0.005        1.075       1.504
spring#2000  |      1.199      0.084     2.60   0.009        1.046       1.375
spring#2001  |      1.278      0.094     3.35   0.001        1.107       1.475
spring#2002  |      1.251      0.097     2.89   0.004        1.075       1.456
spring#2003  |      1.269      0.098     3.09   0.002        1.091       1.476
spring#2004  |      1.294      0.111     3.00   0.003        1.093       1.531
spring#2005  |      1.192      0.076     2.75   0.006        1.051       1.350
spring#2006  |      1.246      0.084     3.27   0.001        1.092       1.422
spring#2007  |      1.254      0.099     2.85   0.004        1.073       1.465
spring#2008  |      1.147      0.078     2.02   0.043        1.004       1.310
spring#2009  |      1.174      0.081     2.33   0.020        1.026       1.343
spring#2010  |      1.205      0.088     2.55   0.011        1.044       1.391
summer#1981  |      1.067      0.121     0.57   0.566        0.855       1.332
summer#1982  |      1.323      0.095     3.89   0.000        1.149       1.523
summer#1983  |      1.099      0.073     1.43   0.153        0.966       1.252
summer#1984  |      1.109      0.089     1.29   0.197        0.948       1.298
summer#1985  |      1.266      0.109     2.74   0.006        1.070       1.499
summer#1986  |      1.224      0.114     2.17   0.030        1.019       1.469
summer#1987  |      1.265      0.081     3.68   0.000        1.116       1.435
summer#1988  |      1.205      0.097     2.30   0.021        1.028       1.411
summer#1989  |      1.138      0.078     1.88   0.060        0.994       1.302
summer#1990  |      1.297      0.127     2.66   0.008        1.071       1.572
summer#1991  |      1.195      0.090     2.36   0.018        1.031       1.386
summer#1992  |      1.155      0.103     1.61   0.107        0.969       1.377
summer#1993  |      1.228      0.089     2.85   0.004        1.066       1.415
summer#1994  |      1.283      0.070     4.56   0.000        1.153       1.429
summer#1995  |      1.175      0.078     2.44   0.015        1.032       1.338
summer#1996  |      1.300      0.101     3.38   0.001        1.116       1.514
summer#1997  |      1.178      0.071     2.70   0.007        1.046       1.327
summer#1998  |      1.179      0.092     2.11   0.035        1.012       1.373
summer#1999  |      1.328      0.115     3.29   0.001        1.122       1.573
summer#2000  |      1.224      0.085     2.90   0.004        1.067       1.403
summer#2001  |      1.297      0.109     3.09   0.002        1.100       1.530
summer#2002  |      1.201      0.110     1.99   0.046        1.003       1.438
summer#2003  |      1.193      0.077     2.71   0.007        1.050       1.355
summer#2004  |      1.298      0.099     3.43   0.001        1.118       1.507
summer#2005  |      1.198      0.094     2.30   0.022        1.027       1.397
summer#2006  |      1.309      0.094     3.77   0.000        1.138       1.506
summer#2007  |      1.335      0.100     3.85   0.000        1.152       1.546
summer#2008  |      1.188      0.089     2.30   0.022        1.026       1.376
summer#2009  |      1.246      0.089     3.08   0.002        1.083       1.434
summer#2010  |      1.237      0.091     2.91   0.004        1.072       1.429
  fall#1981  |      1.100      0.093     1.13   0.260        0.932       1.298
  fall#1982  |      1.113      0.080     1.48   0.139        0.966       1.281
  fall#1983  |      1.002      0.073     0.02   0.981        0.869       1.155
  fall#1984  |      1.098      0.089     1.16   0.248        0.937       1.288
  fall#1985  |      1.180      0.095     2.04   0.041        1.007       1.382
  fall#1986  |      1.060      0.080     0.78   0.438        0.915       1.228
  fall#1987  |      1.125      0.104     1.27   0.203        0.938       1.349
  fall#1988  |      1.103      0.093     1.16   0.246        0.935       1.300
  fall#1989  |      1.025      0.073     0.35   0.727        0.891       1.179
  fall#1990  |      1.143      0.080     1.90   0.057        0.996       1.312
  fall#1991  |      1.041      0.063     0.67   0.506        0.924       1.173
  fall#1992  |      1.017      0.078     0.23   0.821        0.876       1.182
  fall#1993  |      1.135      0.084     1.71   0.088        0.981       1.312
  fall#1994  |      1.194      0.093     2.29   0.022        1.026       1.390
  fall#1995  |      1.036      0.066     0.56   0.573        0.915       1.174
  fall#1996  |      1.233      0.090     2.87   0.004        1.069       1.423
  fall#1997  |      1.157      0.068     2.49   0.013        1.032       1.298
  fall#1998  |      0.982      0.070    -0.25   0.800        0.854       1.129
  fall#1999  |      1.032      0.073     0.44   0.658        0.898       1.186
  fall#2000  |      1.131      0.063     2.20   0.028        1.014       1.263
  fall#2001  |      1.145      0.096     1.61   0.107        0.971       1.349
  fall#2002  |      1.028      0.090     0.31   0.754        0.866       1.219
  fall#2003  |      1.205      0.072     3.12   0.002        1.072       1.355
  fall#2004  |      1.280      0.079     3.98   0.000        1.133       1.446
  fall#2005  |      1.120      0.078     1.63   0.103        0.977       1.284
  fall#2006  |      1.147      0.078     2.02   0.043        1.004       1.311
  fall#2007  |      1.123      0.075     1.74   0.081        0.986       1.280
  fall#2008  |      1.159      0.085     2.02   0.044        1.004       1.338
  fall#2009  |      1.115      0.093     1.30   0.193        0.947       1.313
  fall#2010  |      1.176      0.108     1.77   0.076        0.983       1.407
             |
       _cons |     17.754      1.777    28.74   0.000       14.592      21.602
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.31       0.14     2.31   0.021         0.05        0.58
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -17.54       1.69   -10.39   0.000       -20.84      -14.23
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       1.64       0.23     7.24   0.000         1.19        2.08
   45 to 64  |      -1.87       0.64    -2.92   0.004        -3.13       -0.61
       >=65  |      -0.36       0.88    -0.41   0.685        -2.09        1.37
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.76       0.13     5.86   0.000         0.51        1.01
     summer  |       0.72       0.17     4.29   0.000         0.39        1.05
       fall  |       0.11       0.15     0.74   0.459        -0.18        0.41
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -105321.75                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1947

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.013      0.012     1.05   0.294        0.989       1.037
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.225      0.016   -21.53   0.000        0.196       0.258
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.149      0.027     5.90   0.000        1.097       1.203
   45 to 64  |      0.852      0.042    -3.28   0.001        0.774       0.938
       >=65  |      0.971      0.073    -0.40   0.693        0.838       1.125
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      2.752      0.175    15.94   0.000        2.430       3.117
         AZ  |      3.424      0.278    15.14   0.000        2.920       4.016
         AR  |      0.914      0.010    -8.40   0.000        0.895       0.933
         CA  |      1.565      0.037    19.12   0.000        1.495       1.639
         CO  |      1.210      0.071     3.27   0.001        1.079       1.357
         CT  |      0.955      0.013    -3.37   0.001        0.929       0.981
         DE  |      0.945      0.021    -2.56   0.010        0.905       0.987
         FL  |      1.264      0.032     9.26   0.000        1.203       1.328
         GA  |      1.250      0.060     4.61   0.000        1.137       1.374
         HI  |      1.429      0.051     9.91   0.000        1.332       1.533
         ID  |      3.870      0.443    11.83   0.000        3.093       4.843
         IL  |      1.495      0.006   108.65   0.000        1.484       1.506
         IN  |      1.608      0.020    38.05   0.000        1.569       1.648
         IA  |      2.095      0.024    63.32   0.000        2.048       2.144
         KS  |      1.139      0.014    10.51   0.000        1.112       1.167
         KY  |      1.080      0.011     7.38   0.000        1.058       1.102
         LA  |      1.687      0.106     8.30   0.000        1.491       1.908
         ME  |      1.909      0.054    23.02   0.000        1.806       2.016
         MD  |      1.537      0.018    37.62   0.000        1.503       1.572
         MA  |      1.109      0.022     5.09   0.000        1.065       1.154
         MI  |      1.941      0.005   251.40   0.000        1.931       1.951
         MN  |      2.509      0.089    26.00   0.000        2.341       2.689
         MS  |      0.912      0.001   -67.23   0.000        0.910       0.915
         MO  |      1.476      0.003   202.59   0.000        1.471       1.482
         MT  |      4.378      0.066    98.37   0.000        4.251       4.509
         NE  |      1.486      0.036    16.19   0.000        1.417       1.559
         NV  |      5.029      0.652    12.45   0.000        3.900       6.485
         NH  |      1.567      0.095     7.42   0.000        1.392       1.764
         NJ  |      0.908      0.009   -10.08   0.000        0.891       0.925
         NM  |      3.303      0.160    24.66   0.000        3.003       3.632
         NY  |      0.777      0.019   -10.53   0.000        0.741       0.814
         NC  |      1.153      0.041     3.99   0.000        1.075       1.237
         ND  |      2.291      0.051    37.45   0.000        2.193       2.392
         OH  |      2.295      0.013   141.65   0.000        2.268       2.321
         OK  |      0.661      0.017   -15.78   0.000        0.628       0.696
         OR  |      2.711      0.257    10.51   0.000        2.251       3.265
         PA  |      2.341      0.034    57.78   0.000        2.275       2.410
         RI  |      3.726      0.026   187.05   0.000        3.675       3.778
         SC  |      0.882      0.026    -4.22   0.000        0.833       0.935
         SD  |      6.328      0.220    53.17   0.000        5.912       6.773
         TN  |      1.237      0.022    11.78   0.000        1.194       1.282
         TX  |      1.327      0.040     9.31   0.000        1.250       1.408
         UT  |      2.370      0.195    10.51   0.000        2.018       2.784
         VT  |      3.151      0.075    48.41   0.000        3.008       3.301
         VA  |      1.463      0.020    27.19   0.000        1.423       1.503
         WA  |      2.532      0.098    23.90   0.000        2.346       2.732
         WV  |      2.414      0.038    56.34   0.000        2.341       2.489
         WI  |      1.269      0.033     9.04   0.000        1.205       1.337
         WY  |     15.799      0.211   206.18   0.000       15.390      16.219
             |
     quarter |      0.990      0.004    -2.41   0.016        0.981       0.998
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.000     7.27   0.000        1.002       1.004
         AZ  |      0.997      0.001    -3.72   0.000        0.996       0.999
         AR  |      1.001      0.000     7.80   0.000        1.001       1.001
         CA  |      0.997      0.000   -13.76   0.000        0.997       0.998
         CO  |      1.001      0.001     2.44   0.015        1.000       1.002
         CT  |      0.999      0.000    -9.99   0.000        0.998       0.999
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -0.42   0.678        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      0.998      0.000    -8.43   0.000        0.998       0.998
         GA  |      0.999      0.000    -2.82   0.005        0.998       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     0.61   0.540        0.999       1.001
         ID  |      0.997      0.001    -2.85   0.004        0.995       0.999
         IL  |      0.997      0.000   -45.87   0.000        0.997       0.997
         IN  |      0.998      0.000   -18.81   0.000        0.998       0.998
         IA  |      0.997      0.000  -100.54   0.000        0.997       0.997
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    -0.52   0.606        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000     1.85   0.064        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      0.997      0.000    -7.44   0.000        0.996       0.998
         ME  |      0.998      0.000   -14.68   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MD  |      0.997      0.000   -23.05   0.000        0.997       0.997
         MA  |      0.998      0.000   -10.85   0.000        0.997       0.998
         MI  |      0.997      0.000   -51.05   0.000        0.997       0.997
         MN  |      0.997      0.000   -11.55   0.000        0.996       0.998
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    10.70   0.000        1.000       1.001
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -34.63   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      0.999      0.000    -8.29   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NE  |      0.999      0.000    -5.31   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NV  |      0.994      0.001    -5.54   0.000        0.991       0.996
         NH  |      0.997      0.001    -5.81   0.000        0.996       0.998
         NJ  |      0.998      0.000   -19.80   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NM  |      0.999      0.000    -1.92   0.055        0.998       1.000
         NY  |      0.999      0.000    -4.00   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NC  |      0.999      0.000    -2.28   0.023        0.999       1.000
         ND  |      1.003      0.000    28.43   0.000        1.003       1.004
         OH  |      0.996      0.000   -91.11   0.000        0.996       0.996
         OK  |      1.005      0.000    41.79   0.000        1.005       1.005
         OR  |      0.996      0.001    -5.13   0.000        0.994       0.997
         PA  |      0.996      0.000   -57.44   0.000        0.996       0.996
         RI  |      0.991      0.000   -99.12   0.000        0.991       0.991
         SC  |      1.000      0.000     1.77   0.077        1.000       1.001
         SD  |      0.999      0.000    -5.17   0.000        0.998       0.999
         TN  |      0.999      0.000    -3.26   0.001        0.999       1.000
         TX  |      0.998      0.000    -7.32   0.000        0.997       0.998
         UT  |      0.998      0.001    -2.61   0.009        0.997       1.000
         VT  |      0.992      0.000   -65.36   0.000        0.991       0.992
         VA  |      0.998      0.000   -12.36   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WA  |      0.997      0.000   -11.59   0.000        0.996       0.997
         WV  |      0.996      0.000   -40.41   0.000        0.995       0.996
         WI  |      1.001      0.000     3.96   0.000        1.001       1.002
         WY  |      0.991      0.000  -223.44   0.000        0.990       0.991
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.895      0.051    -1.95   0.052        0.800       1.001
     summer  |      0.886      0.052    -2.05   0.040        0.789       0.995
       fall  |      0.933      0.051    -1.27   0.204        0.839       1.038
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.971      0.074    -0.39   0.694        0.836       1.126
       1982  |      0.919      0.084    -0.92   0.359        0.769       1.100
       1983  |      1.028      0.094     0.31   0.760        0.859       1.231
       1984  |      1.107      0.146     0.78   0.438        0.856       1.433
       1985  |      1.105      0.150     0.74   0.462        0.847       1.442
       1986  |      1.210      0.173     1.33   0.182        0.915       1.600
       1987  |      1.284      0.209     1.53   0.125        0.933       1.766
       1988  |      1.398      0.256     1.83   0.067        0.976       2.003
       1989  |      1.590      0.250     2.95   0.003        1.168       2.164
       1990  |      1.543      0.272     2.46   0.014        1.092       2.180
       1991  |      1.670      0.342     2.51   0.012        1.119       2.494
       1992  |      1.757      0.413     2.40   0.016        1.109       2.786
       1993  |      1.822      0.439     2.49   0.013        1.136       2.921
       1994  |      1.860      0.461     2.50   0.012        1.144       3.022
       1995  |      2.036      0.538     2.69   0.007        1.213       3.417
       1996  |      1.851      0.522     2.18   0.029        1.065       3.219
       1997  |      1.980      0.596     2.27   0.023        1.097       3.574
       1998  |      2.118      0.668     2.38   0.017        1.142       3.930
       1999  |      2.011      0.645     2.18   0.030        1.072       3.772
       2000  |      2.022      0.720     1.98   0.048        1.006       4.064
       2001  |      1.991      0.752     1.82   0.068        0.950       4.176
       2002  |      2.166      0.860     1.95   0.052        0.995       4.718
       2003  |      2.176      0.890     1.90   0.057        0.976       4.849
       2004  |      2.284      0.986     1.91   0.056        0.980       5.323
       2005  |      2.470      1.078     2.07   0.038        1.050       5.810
       2006  |      2.484      1.096     2.06   0.039        1.046       5.896
       2007  |      2.615      1.225     2.05   0.040        1.043       6.551
       2008  |      2.933      1.450     2.18   0.030        1.113       7.731
       2009  |      3.008      1.550     2.14   0.033        1.095       8.258
       2010  |      3.218      1.753     2.15   0.032        1.106       9.361
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.212      0.112     2.09   0.036        1.012       1.452
spring#1982  |      1.175      0.108     1.75   0.080        0.981       1.408
spring#1983  |      1.131      0.082     1.69   0.090        0.981       1.304
spring#1984  |      1.158      0.104     1.63   0.103        0.971       1.380
spring#1985  |      1.242      0.095     2.84   0.005        1.070       1.443
spring#1986  |      1.222      0.077     3.20   0.001        1.081       1.381
spring#1987  |      1.243      0.094     2.87   0.004        1.072       1.442
spring#1988  |      1.122      0.084     1.54   0.123        0.969       1.298
spring#1989  |      1.131      0.098     1.43   0.154        0.955       1.340
spring#1990  |      1.156      0.084     2.00   0.045        1.003       1.332
spring#1991  |      1.084      0.063     1.40   0.161        0.968       1.214
spring#1992  |      1.119      0.087     1.46   0.145        0.962       1.302
spring#1993  |      1.152      0.093     1.76   0.079        0.984       1.349
spring#1994  |      1.262      0.095     3.08   0.002        1.089       1.463
spring#1995  |      1.121      0.087     1.47   0.141        0.963       1.304
spring#1996  |      1.280      0.095     3.34   0.001        1.107       1.479
spring#1997  |      1.265      0.098     3.02   0.003        1.086       1.474
spring#1998  |      1.144      0.096     1.61   0.107        0.971       1.348
spring#1999  |      1.272      0.109     2.81   0.005        1.075       1.504
spring#2000  |      1.198      0.084     2.59   0.010        1.045       1.374
spring#2001  |      1.276      0.094     3.32   0.001        1.105       1.473
spring#2002  |      1.251      0.097     2.88   0.004        1.074       1.456
spring#2003  |      1.270      0.098     3.10   0.002        1.091       1.477
spring#2004  |      1.294      0.111     3.00   0.003        1.094       1.531
spring#2005  |      1.192      0.076     2.75   0.006        1.052       1.350
spring#2006  |      1.246      0.084     3.27   0.001        1.092       1.422
spring#2007  |      1.253      0.099     2.84   0.004        1.073       1.464
spring#2008  |      1.144      0.077     1.98   0.047        1.002       1.306
spring#2009  |      1.174      0.081     2.34   0.019        1.027       1.344
spring#2010  |      1.205      0.088     2.54   0.011        1.043       1.391
summer#1981  |      1.065      0.121     0.55   0.583        0.852       1.331
summer#1982  |      1.322      0.095     3.87   0.000        1.148       1.523
summer#1983  |      1.097      0.073     1.39   0.165        0.962       1.251
summer#1984  |      1.106      0.090     1.24   0.216        0.943       1.297
summer#1985  |      1.263      0.110     2.70   0.007        1.066       1.498
summer#1986  |      1.222      0.114     2.14   0.032        1.017       1.468
summer#1987  |      1.263      0.082     3.61   0.000        1.113       1.433
summer#1988  |      1.202      0.098     2.26   0.024        1.025       1.409
summer#1989  |      1.136      0.079     1.84   0.066        0.992       1.301
summer#1990  |      1.294      0.127     2.63   0.009        1.068       1.567
summer#1991  |      1.194      0.091     2.33   0.020        1.029       1.385
summer#1992  |      1.153      0.104     1.59   0.113        0.967       1.376
summer#1993  |      1.226      0.089     2.82   0.005        1.064       1.412
summer#1994  |      1.280      0.070     4.49   0.000        1.149       1.426
summer#1995  |      1.173      0.078     2.41   0.016        1.030       1.335
summer#1996  |      1.297      0.102     3.31   0.001        1.112       1.513
summer#1997  |      1.175      0.072     2.63   0.009        1.042       1.325
summer#1998  |      1.176      0.092     2.06   0.040        1.008       1.372
summer#1999  |      1.325      0.115     3.26   0.001        1.119       1.570
summer#2000  |      1.220      0.086     2.81   0.005        1.062       1.402
summer#2001  |      1.295      0.110     3.06   0.002        1.097       1.529
summer#2002  |      1.199      0.111     1.97   0.049        1.001       1.437
summer#2003  |      1.192      0.078     2.70   0.007        1.049       1.354
summer#2004  |      1.295      0.100     3.36   0.001        1.113       1.506
summer#2005  |      1.195      0.095     2.25   0.025        1.023       1.396
summer#2006  |      1.306      0.094     3.70   0.000        1.134       1.504
summer#2007  |      1.332      0.101     3.78   0.000        1.148       1.545
summer#2008  |      1.186      0.089     2.27   0.023        1.024       1.374
summer#2009  |      1.250      0.089     3.14   0.002        1.087       1.436
summer#2010  |      1.234      0.091     2.85   0.004        1.068       1.427
  fall#1981  |      1.098      0.093     1.11   0.266        0.931       1.296
  fall#1982  |      1.113      0.080     1.49   0.137        0.967       1.282
  fall#1983  |      0.998      0.073    -0.02   0.980        0.865       1.152
  fall#1984  |      1.094      0.089     1.11   0.267        0.933       1.284
  fall#1985  |      1.177      0.096     2.00   0.046        1.003       1.380
  fall#1986  |      1.058      0.080     0.75   0.456        0.913       1.226
  fall#1987  |      1.121      0.105     1.23   0.220        0.934       1.346
  fall#1988  |      1.099      0.093     1.12   0.263        0.932       1.296
  fall#1989  |      1.023      0.073     0.31   0.754        0.888       1.177
  fall#1990  |      1.141      0.080     1.89   0.058        0.995       1.309
  fall#1991  |      1.040      0.063     0.65   0.515        0.923       1.172
  fall#1992  |      1.015      0.078     0.20   0.844        0.874       1.180
  fall#1993  |      1.131      0.083     1.67   0.094        0.979       1.307
  fall#1994  |      1.189      0.092     2.24   0.025        1.022       1.384
  fall#1995  |      1.033      0.065     0.52   0.602        0.913       1.169
  fall#1996  |      1.229      0.091     2.79   0.005        1.063       1.420
  fall#1997  |      1.152      0.067     2.43   0.015        1.028       1.292
  fall#1998  |      0.978      0.070    -0.31   0.757        0.851       1.125
  fall#1999  |      1.028      0.073     0.39   0.698        0.894       1.181
  fall#2000  |      1.128      0.064     2.11   0.035        1.009       1.261
  fall#2001  |      1.145      0.096     1.62   0.104        0.972       1.349
  fall#2002  |      1.026      0.090     0.30   0.767        0.865       1.218
  fall#2003  |      1.203      0.072     3.11   0.002        1.071       1.352
  fall#2004  |      1.275      0.080     3.90   0.000        1.129       1.441
  fall#2005  |      1.116      0.078     1.57   0.116        0.973       1.281
  fall#2006  |      1.143      0.078     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.307
  fall#2007  |      1.121      0.075     1.70   0.089        0.983       1.278
  fall#2008  |      1.161      0.084     2.05   0.040        1.007       1.339
  fall#2009  |      1.119      0.093     1.36   0.175        0.951       1.317
  fall#2010  |      1.173      0.108     1.74   0.082        0.980       1.404
             |
       _cons |     33.803     11.737    10.14   0.000       17.116      66.759
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.15       0.14     1.05   0.293        -0.13        0.43
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -17.59       1.69   -10.43   0.000       -20.89      -14.28
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       1.64       0.23     7.20   0.000         1.19        2.08
   45 to 64  |      -1.89       0.64    -2.93   0.003        -3.15       -0.62
       >=65  |      -0.35       0.89    -0.39   0.694        -2.09        1.39
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.72       0.13     5.50   0.000         0.46        0.97
     summer  |       0.81       0.16     4.96   0.000         0.49        1.13
       fall  |       0.34       0.16     2.13   0.033         0.03        0.64
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -105201.18                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1956

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.041      0.016     2.56   0.011        1.009       1.074
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.225      0.016   -21.54   0.000        0.196       0.258
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.149      0.027     5.90   0.000        1.097       1.203
   45 to 64  |      0.852      0.042    -3.27   0.001        0.775       0.938
       >=65  |      0.971      0.073    -0.39   0.693        0.838       1.125
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.894      0.051    -1.96   0.050        0.800       1.000
     summer  |      0.883      0.052    -2.12   0.034        0.787       0.991
       fall  |      0.929      0.050    -1.35   0.176        0.836       1.033
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.964      0.078    -0.45   0.655        0.822       1.131
       1982  |      0.905      0.102    -0.88   0.378        0.725       1.130
       1983  |      1.008      0.126     0.06   0.952        0.789       1.287
       1984  |      1.094      0.202     0.48   0.628        0.761       1.572
       1985  |      1.097      0.209     0.49   0.626        0.755       1.595
       1986  |      1.204      0.242     0.92   0.357        0.811       1.786
       1987  |      1.282      0.308     1.03   0.302        0.800       2.053
       1988  |      1.405      0.393     1.22   0.224        0.812       2.430
       1989  |      1.605      0.443     1.71   0.087        0.934       2.759
       1990  |      1.559      0.448     1.54   0.123        0.887       2.739
       1991  |      1.675      0.550     1.57   0.116        0.880       3.187
       1992  |      1.757      0.614     1.61   0.107        0.886       3.484
       1993  |      1.827      0.663     1.66   0.097        0.897       3.720
       1994  |      1.878      0.702     1.69   0.092        0.903       3.905
       1995  |      2.072      0.852     1.77   0.076        0.925       4.637
       1996  |      1.893      0.785     1.54   0.124        0.840       4.269
       1997  |      2.043      0.891     1.64   0.101        0.869       4.801
       1998  |      2.209      1.020     1.72   0.086        0.893       5.462
       1999  |      2.117      0.940     1.69   0.091        0.887       5.053
       2000  |      2.146      1.007     1.63   0.104        0.856       5.383
       2001  |      2.110      1.015     1.55   0.121        0.822       5.416
       2002  |      2.273      1.143     1.63   0.102        0.849       6.091
       2003  |      2.276      1.143     1.64   0.102        0.851       6.090
       2004  |      2.395      1.239     1.69   0.091        0.869       6.601
       2005  |      2.606      1.325     1.88   0.060        0.962       7.060
       2006  |      2.640      1.321     1.94   0.052        0.990       7.038
       2007  |      2.791      1.464     1.96   0.050        0.999       7.801
       2008  |      3.104      1.659     2.12   0.034        1.089       8.846
       2009  |      3.091      1.687     2.07   0.039        1.061       9.008
       2010  |      3.252      1.842     2.08   0.037        1.072       9.868
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.215      0.112     2.12   0.034        1.014       1.456
spring#1982  |      1.177      0.109     1.77   0.077        0.982       1.411
spring#1983  |      1.130      0.082     1.67   0.094        0.979       1.304
spring#1984  |      1.159      0.104     1.65   0.100        0.972       1.381
spring#1985  |      1.243      0.095     2.84   0.005        1.070       1.445
spring#1986  |      1.222      0.077     3.18   0.001        1.080       1.383
spring#1987  |      1.243      0.094     2.87   0.004        1.071       1.442
spring#1988  |      1.122      0.084     1.55   0.122        0.970       1.299
spring#1989  |      1.132      0.098     1.44   0.151        0.956       1.340
spring#1990  |      1.159      0.084     2.04   0.041        1.006       1.336
spring#1991  |      1.085      0.063     1.40   0.163        0.968       1.215
spring#1992  |      1.119      0.087     1.46   0.145        0.962       1.303
spring#1993  |      1.152      0.094     1.73   0.084        0.981       1.352
spring#1994  |      1.262      0.095     3.08   0.002        1.088       1.464
spring#1995  |      1.121      0.086     1.48   0.138        0.964       1.303
spring#1996  |      1.280      0.095     3.32   0.001        1.106       1.480
spring#1997  |      1.265      0.099     3.00   0.003        1.085       1.475
spring#1998  |      1.144      0.095     1.63   0.103        0.973       1.346
spring#1999  |      1.271      0.109     2.79   0.005        1.074       1.505
spring#2000  |      1.200      0.084     2.59   0.009        1.046       1.377
spring#2001  |      1.279      0.094     3.37   0.001        1.108       1.477
spring#2002  |      1.252      0.097     2.90   0.004        1.076       1.457
spring#2003  |      1.269      0.097     3.11   0.002        1.092       1.474
spring#2004  |      1.294      0.111     3.00   0.003        1.094       1.531
spring#2005  |      1.192      0.076     2.75   0.006        1.052       1.351
spring#2006  |      1.247      0.086     3.20   0.001        1.089       1.427
spring#2007  |      1.255      0.101     2.83   0.005        1.072       1.469
spring#2008  |      1.150      0.079     2.04   0.042        1.005       1.316
spring#2009  |      1.174      0.081     2.32   0.020        1.025       1.344
spring#2010  |      1.206      0.087     2.59   0.010        1.047       1.390
summer#1981  |      1.069      0.122     0.58   0.559        0.854       1.338
summer#1982  |      1.324      0.096     3.89   0.000        1.149       1.525
summer#1983  |      1.102      0.074     1.44   0.150        0.966       1.257
summer#1984  |      1.112      0.091     1.30   0.193        0.948       1.305
summer#1985  |      1.269      0.110     2.74   0.006        1.070       1.505
summer#1986  |      1.226      0.115     2.17   0.030        1.020       1.474
summer#1987  |      1.268      0.082     3.68   0.000        1.117       1.440
summer#1988  |      1.208      0.099     2.29   0.022        1.028       1.419
summer#1989  |      1.140      0.080     1.88   0.061        0.994       1.308
summer#1990  |      1.301      0.127     2.70   0.007        1.075       1.574
summer#1991  |      1.196      0.090     2.39   0.017        1.033       1.386
summer#1992  |      1.157      0.104     1.63   0.102        0.971       1.379
summer#1993  |      1.231      0.087     2.95   0.003        1.072       1.413
summer#1994  |      1.287      0.070     4.64   0.000        1.157       1.432
summer#1995  |      1.177      0.079     2.43   0.015        1.032       1.343
summer#1996  |      1.303      0.103     3.34   0.001        1.116       1.523
summer#1997  |      1.181      0.073     2.71   0.007        1.047       1.332
summer#1998  |      1.182      0.094     2.10   0.036        1.011       1.382
summer#1999  |      1.331      0.113     3.36   0.001        1.126       1.573
summer#2000  |      1.227      0.086     2.92   0.004        1.069       1.408
summer#2001  |      1.298      0.110     3.09   0.002        1.100       1.533
summer#2002  |      1.203      0.111     2.00   0.046        1.003       1.443
summer#2003  |      1.194      0.078     2.70   0.007        1.050       1.357
summer#2004  |      1.301      0.101     3.39   0.001        1.117       1.515
summer#2005  |      1.201      0.093     2.36   0.018        1.031       1.398
summer#2006  |      1.312      0.093     3.83   0.000        1.142       1.507
summer#2007  |      1.337      0.099     3.93   0.000        1.157       1.546
summer#2008  |      1.189      0.088     2.35   0.019        1.029       1.375
summer#2009  |      1.243      0.089     3.05   0.002        1.081       1.429
summer#2010  |      1.240      0.091     2.92   0.004        1.073       1.432
  fall#1981  |      1.101      0.093     1.14   0.256        0.933       1.299
  fall#1982  |      1.112      0.080     1.48   0.140        0.966       1.280
  fall#1983  |      1.006      0.073     0.08   0.940        0.871       1.160
  fall#1984  |      1.103      0.090     1.20   0.230        0.940       1.293
  fall#1985  |      1.183      0.096     2.07   0.038        1.009       1.387
  fall#1986  |      1.063      0.079     0.82   0.413        0.919       1.229
  fall#1987  |      1.129      0.106     1.29   0.199        0.938       1.358
  fall#1988  |      1.106      0.096     1.17   0.243        0.934       1.311
  fall#1989  |      1.028      0.074     0.38   0.704        0.892       1.184
  fall#1990  |      1.145      0.078     1.99   0.047        1.002       1.309
  fall#1991  |      1.042      0.063     0.68   0.498        0.925       1.174
  fall#1992  |      1.020      0.077     0.26   0.794        0.880       1.182
  fall#1993  |      1.139      0.079     1.87   0.061        0.994       1.304
  fall#1994  |      1.199      0.089     2.44   0.015        1.036       1.388
  fall#1995  |      1.039      0.070     0.58   0.564        0.911       1.185
  fall#1996  |      1.238      0.092     2.88   0.004        1.071       1.431
  fall#1997  |      1.162      0.067     2.60   0.009        1.038       1.302
  fall#1998  |      0.986      0.075    -0.18   0.853        0.850       1.144
  fall#1999  |      1.036      0.072     0.51   0.611        0.904       1.186
  fall#2000  |      1.135      0.060     2.41   0.016        1.024       1.258
  fall#2001  |      1.144      0.096     1.60   0.110        0.970       1.349
  fall#2002  |      1.029      0.092     0.32   0.748        0.864       1.226
  fall#2003  |      1.207      0.075     3.02   0.003        1.068       1.363
  fall#2004  |      1.284      0.087     3.69   0.000        1.124       1.467
  fall#2005  |      1.124      0.085     1.54   0.123        0.969       1.304
  fall#2006  |      1.151      0.078     2.07   0.039        1.007       1.315
  fall#2007  |      1.125      0.071     1.86   0.063        0.994       1.274
  fall#2008  |      1.157      0.084     2.01   0.044        1.004       1.333
  fall#2009  |      1.109      0.093     1.24   0.216        0.941       1.306
  fall#2010  |      1.178      0.118     1.63   0.104        0.967       1.434
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      9.814      3.238     6.92   0.000        5.141      18.737
         AZ  |     28.992      0.746   130.90   0.000       27.567      30.491
         AR  |      3.418      0.042   101.22   0.000        3.337       3.500
         CA  |     35.788      3.250    39.39   0.000       29.953      42.760
         CO  |     12.032      0.506    59.17   0.000       11.080      13.065
         CT  |      1.783      0.244     4.23   0.000        1.364       2.330
         DE  |     10.727      0.447    56.92   0.000        9.885      11.640
         FL  |      5.655      0.059   165.92   0.000        5.541       5.772
         GA  |      2.873      0.089    34.17   0.000        2.704       3.053
         HI  |     16.803      1.656    28.64   0.000       13.852      20.383
         ID  |     49.353      1.995    96.46   0.000       45.594      53.422
         IL  |      2.487      0.100    22.62   0.000        2.298       2.691
         IN  |      1.360      0.033    12.55   0.000        1.296       1.427
         IA  |      4.234      0.393    15.53   0.000        3.529       5.079
         KS  |      7.856      0.540    30.00   0.000        6.866       8.988
         KY  |      6.289      0.090   129.17   0.000        6.116       6.466
         LA  |      5.620      1.260     7.70   0.000        3.621       8.722
         ME  |     36.887      1.014   131.20   0.000       34.952      38.930
         MD  |      9.141      0.645    31.37   0.000        7.960      10.496
         MA  |      7.829      1.006    16.02   0.000        6.087      10.071
         MI  |      7.019      1.173    11.65   0.000        5.058       9.740
         MN  |     12.548      0.784    40.51   0.000       11.103      14.182
         MS  |      2.144      0.073    22.53   0.000        2.006       2.291
         MO  |      4.343      0.079    80.99   0.000        4.192       4.501
         MT  |   1047.816    290.947    25.05   0.000      608.039    1805.670
         NE  |      1.486      0.123     4.81   0.000        1.265       1.747
         NV  |      8.126      1.015    16.76   0.000        6.361      10.381
         NH  |      0.003      0.000   -43.44   0.000        0.002       0.003
         NJ  |     10.974      1.180    22.27   0.000        8.888      13.549
         NM  |     58.726      4.835    49.47   0.000       49.975      69.009
         NY  |      7.975      1.418    11.67   0.000        5.627      11.301
         NC  |      3.680      0.040   119.94   0.000        3.602       3.759
         ND  |     14.016      4.145     8.93   0.000        7.850      25.025
         OH  |     32.048      0.835   133.08   0.000       30.453      33.728
         OK  |     16.260      4.675     9.70   0.000        9.256      28.565
         OR  |     13.918      0.369    99.38   0.000       13.214      14.660
         PA  |      8.346      0.852    20.79   0.000        6.833      10.194
         RI  |     25.263      2.447    33.34   0.000       20.894      30.544
         SC  |      3.125      0.056    63.61   0.000        3.017       3.236
         SD  |    262.709     19.885    73.60   0.000      226.488     304.723
         TN  |      3.439      0.023   181.12   0.000        3.394       3.485
         TX  |      5.558      0.893    10.68   0.000        4.057       7.615
         UT  |     23.330      1.184    62.07   0.000       21.121      25.769
         VT  |    737.293     21.883   222.47   0.000      695.627     781.455
         VA  |     12.804      0.628    52.02   0.000       11.631      14.095
         WA  |     31.214      0.863   124.52   0.000       29.568      32.951
         WV  |     10.653      0.285    88.56   0.000       10.109      11.225
         WI  |     23.729      3.607    20.83   0.000       17.616      31.965
         WY  |    496.690    195.816    15.75   0.000      229.354    1075.635
             |
     quarter |      1.018      0.018     1.02   0.306        0.983       1.054
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -1.69   0.092        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.985      0.004    -3.52   0.000        0.977       0.993
         AZ  |      0.965      0.001   -43.67   0.000        0.964       0.967
         AR  |      0.981      0.000   -74.14   0.000        0.981       0.982
         CA  |      0.952      0.001   -34.24   0.000        0.950       0.955
         CO  |      0.967      0.001   -39.19   0.000        0.966       0.969
         CT  |      0.989      0.002    -5.57   0.000        0.986       0.993
         DE  |      0.964      0.000   -73.12   0.000        0.964       0.965
         FL  |      0.976      0.000  -113.10   0.000        0.975       0.976
         GA  |      0.986      0.000   -96.01   0.000        0.986       0.986
         HI  |      0.965      0.001   -27.97   0.000        0.962       0.967
         ID  |      0.959      0.001   -31.31   0.000        0.957       0.962
         IL  |      0.990      0.001   -19.27   0.000        0.989       0.991
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     0.75   0.454        1.000       1.001
         IA  |      0.986      0.001   -10.87   0.000        0.984       0.989
         KS  |      0.972      0.001   -30.72   0.000        0.970       0.974
         KY  |      0.974      0.000  -142.91   0.000        0.974       0.975
         LA  |      0.981      0.003    -7.33   0.000        0.975       0.986
         ME  |      0.956      0.000  -110.75   0.000        0.955       0.957
         MD  |      0.971      0.001   -29.33   0.000        0.969       0.973
         MA  |      0.969      0.002   -17.43   0.000        0.966       0.973
         MI  |      0.979      0.003    -8.29   0.000        0.974       0.984
         MN  |      0.973      0.001   -26.38   0.000        0.971       0.975
         MS  |      0.988      0.000   -25.96   0.000        0.987       0.989
         MO  |      0.983      0.000   -53.79   0.000        0.982       0.984
         MT  |      0.921      0.004   -20.80   0.000        0.914       0.928
         NE  |      0.998      0.001    -1.38   0.167        0.996       1.001
         NV  |      0.985      0.001   -17.01   0.000        0.983       0.986
         NH  |      1.088      0.002    39.90   0.000        1.084       1.093
         NJ  |      0.962      0.001   -25.87   0.000        0.960       0.965
         NM  |      0.957      0.001   -29.60   0.000        0.954       0.960
         NY  |      0.966      0.002   -14.71   0.000        0.962       0.971
         NC  |      0.982      0.000   -66.00   0.000        0.981       0.982
         ND  |      0.977      0.004    -5.66   0.000        0.969       0.985
         OH  |      0.958      0.000  -114.71   0.000        0.957       0.958
         OK  |      0.959      0.004   -10.79   0.000        0.952       0.967
         OR  |      0.971      0.000   -70.87   0.000        0.970       0.972
         PA  |      0.978      0.001   -16.83   0.000        0.975       0.980
         RI  |      0.964      0.001   -29.95   0.000        0.961       0.966
         SC  |      0.982      0.000  -127.89   0.000        0.981       0.982
         SD  |      0.944      0.001   -42.88   0.000        0.942       0.947
         TN  |      0.984      0.000  -143.67   0.000        0.984       0.984
         TX  |      0.977      0.002    -9.46   0.000        0.972       0.981
         UT  |      0.964      0.001   -30.45   0.000        0.962       0.966
         VT  |      0.915      0.000  -262.81   0.000        0.914       0.916
         VA  |      0.967      0.001   -43.86   0.000        0.965       0.968
         WA  |      0.960      0.001   -72.10   0.000        0.959       0.961
         WV  |      0.974      0.000   -64.44   0.000        0.973       0.975
         WI  |      0.959      0.002   -19.06   0.000        0.955       0.963
         WY  |      0.941      0.005   -10.74   0.000        0.931       0.952
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     4.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    19.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    50.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    28.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    24.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     4.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   131.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    46.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    29.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    43.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    16.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    12.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -14.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     8.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    29.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   111.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     7.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   113.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    23.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    14.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     7.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    18.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    23.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    59.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    19.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     0.94   0.346        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    16.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -30.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    23.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    21.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    15.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    27.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     6.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   112.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    12.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    19.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    14.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    20.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    53.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    33.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    51.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     7.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    17.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   263.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    34.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    43.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    48.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    17.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     8.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      5.894      6.516     1.60   0.109        0.675      51.447
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.48       0.19     2.52   0.012         0.11        0.85
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -17.59       1.69   -10.44   0.000       -20.89      -14.29
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       1.64       0.23     7.20   0.000         1.19        2.08
   45 to 64  |      -1.88       0.64    -2.93   0.003        -3.15       -0.62
       >=65  |      -0.35       0.89    -0.39   0.695        -2.09        1.40
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.71       0.13     5.50   0.000         0.46        0.97
     summer  |       0.81       0.16     4.94   0.000         0.49        1.13
       fall  |       0.34       0.15     2.18   0.029         0.03        0.64
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.race2 omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     148800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -105153.69                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1959

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.040      0.014     3.00   0.003        1.014       1.068
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.225      0.016   -21.54   0.000        0.196       0.258
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.149      0.027     5.91   0.000        1.097       1.203
   45 to 64  |      0.852      0.042    -3.27   0.001        0.775       0.938
       >=65  |      0.971      0.073    -0.40   0.693        0.838       1.124
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.894      0.052    -1.94   0.053        0.799       1.001
     summer  |      0.883      0.051    -2.17   0.030        0.789       0.988
       fall  |      0.930      0.048    -1.41   0.158        0.840       1.029
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.964      0.079    -0.44   0.659        0.821       1.132
       1982  |      0.905      0.105    -0.87   0.386        0.721       1.135
       1983  |      1.006      0.132     0.05   0.963        0.778       1.302
       1984  |      1.090      0.208     0.45   0.650        0.750       1.584
       1985  |      1.092      0.211     0.46   0.648        0.749       1.594
       1986  |      1.197      0.241     0.89   0.371        0.807       1.775
       1987  |      1.273      0.307     1.00   0.315        0.794       2.041
       1988  |      1.395      0.383     1.21   0.226        0.814       2.391
       1989  |      1.594      0.437     1.70   0.089        0.932       2.728
       1990  |      1.548      0.441     1.53   0.125        0.886       2.707
       1991  |      1.666      0.540     1.57   0.116        0.882       3.145
       1992  |      1.749      0.599     1.63   0.103        0.894       3.420
       1993  |      1.820      0.651     1.67   0.094        0.903       3.669
       1994  |      1.873      0.693     1.70   0.090        0.907       3.869
       1995  |      2.068      0.844     1.78   0.075        0.929       4.601
       1996  |      1.891      0.782     1.54   0.123        0.841       4.254
       1997  |      2.042      0.892     1.63   0.102        0.867       4.809
       1998  |      2.210      1.029     1.70   0.089        0.887       5.506
       1999  |      2.118      0.955     1.67   0.096        0.876       5.123
       2000  |      2.148      1.031     1.59   0.111        0.839       5.500
       2001  |      2.112      1.046     1.51   0.131        0.800       5.577
       2002  |      2.277      1.185     1.58   0.114        0.822       6.312
       2003  |      2.280      1.187     1.58   0.113        0.822       6.328
       2004  |      2.399      1.290     1.63   0.104        0.836       6.884
       2005  |      2.611      1.384     1.81   0.070        0.924       7.379
       2006  |      2.644      1.370     1.88   0.061        0.957       7.302
       2007  |      2.794      1.508     1.90   0.057        0.970       8.045
       2008  |      3.106      1.694     2.08   0.038        1.067       9.043
       2009  |      3.093      1.713     2.04   0.041        1.045       9.156
       2010  |      3.251      1.851     2.07   0.038        1.065       9.923
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.215      0.112     2.12   0.034        1.015       1.455
spring#1982  |      1.177      0.109     1.77   0.077        0.983       1.411
spring#1983  |      1.130      0.082     1.68   0.093        0.980       1.304
spring#1984  |      1.159      0.104     1.64   0.100        0.972       1.381
spring#1985  |      1.243      0.096     2.83   0.005        1.069       1.446
spring#1986  |      1.222      0.077     3.17   0.002        1.080       1.383
spring#1987  |      1.243      0.095     2.85   0.004        1.070       1.444
spring#1988  |      1.122      0.085     1.52   0.128        0.967       1.302
spring#1989  |      1.132      0.098     1.43   0.153        0.955       1.342
spring#1990  |      1.159      0.084     2.04   0.041        1.006       1.336
spring#1991  |      1.084      0.064     1.38   0.167        0.967       1.217
spring#1992  |      1.119      0.088     1.44   0.149        0.960       1.305
spring#1993  |      1.152      0.094     1.72   0.085        0.981       1.352
spring#1994  |      1.262      0.096     3.07   0.002        1.088       1.464
spring#1995  |      1.121      0.087     1.48   0.140        0.963       1.304
spring#1996  |      1.280      0.095     3.31   0.001        1.106       1.481
spring#1997  |      1.265      0.100     2.98   0.003        1.084       1.476
spring#1998  |      1.144      0.096     1.61   0.107        0.971       1.348
spring#1999  |      1.271      0.110     2.77   0.006        1.073       1.506
spring#2000  |      1.200      0.085     2.58   0.010        1.045       1.378
spring#2001  |      1.279      0.095     3.32   0.001        1.106       1.480
spring#2002  |      1.252      0.097     2.90   0.004        1.076       1.457
spring#2003  |      1.269      0.097     3.11   0.002        1.092       1.474
spring#2004  |      1.294      0.112     2.98   0.003        1.092       1.533
spring#2005  |      1.192      0.077     2.72   0.007        1.050       1.353
spring#2006  |      1.247      0.086     3.21   0.001        1.090       1.427
spring#2007  |      1.255      0.101     2.83   0.005        1.073       1.469
spring#2008  |      1.150      0.079     2.03   0.042        1.005       1.316
spring#2009  |      1.174      0.081     2.32   0.020        1.025       1.344
spring#2010  |      1.206      0.087     2.59   0.009        1.047       1.390
summer#1981  |      1.069      0.122     0.59   0.557        0.855       1.336
summer#1982  |      1.324      0.095     3.89   0.000        1.149       1.524
summer#1983  |      1.101      0.074     1.45   0.148        0.966       1.255
summer#1984  |      1.112      0.089     1.32   0.186        0.950       1.301
summer#1985  |      1.268      0.110     2.75   0.006        1.071       1.502
summer#1986  |      1.225      0.113     2.20   0.028        1.022       1.469
summer#1987  |      1.268      0.081     3.72   0.000        1.119       1.437
summer#1988  |      1.208      0.099     2.31   0.021        1.029       1.417
summer#1989  |      1.140      0.079     1.90   0.058        0.996       1.306
summer#1990  |      1.301      0.126     2.70   0.007        1.075       1.573
summer#1991  |      1.196      0.090     2.38   0.018        1.032       1.387
summer#1992  |      1.157      0.102     1.65   0.098        0.973       1.376
summer#1993  |      1.231      0.088     2.92   0.003        1.071       1.415
summer#1994  |      1.287      0.072     4.53   0.000        1.154       1.435
summer#1995  |      1.177      0.080     2.41   0.016        1.031       1.345
summer#1996  |      1.303      0.104     3.31   0.001        1.114       1.525
summer#1997  |      1.181      0.073     2.71   0.007        1.047       1.332
summer#1998  |      1.182      0.092     2.14   0.033        1.014       1.378
summer#1999  |      1.331      0.113     3.36   0.001        1.127       1.573
summer#2000  |      1.227      0.082     3.04   0.002        1.075       1.400
summer#2001  |      1.298      0.108     3.14   0.002        1.103       1.528
summer#2002  |      1.203      0.109     2.04   0.042        1.007       1.437
summer#2003  |      1.194      0.078     2.70   0.007        1.050       1.357
summer#2004  |      1.301      0.098     3.49   0.000        1.122       1.508
summer#2005  |      1.201      0.090     2.43   0.015        1.036       1.391
summer#2006  |      1.311      0.092     3.87   0.000        1.143       1.504
summer#2007  |      1.337      0.098     3.97   0.000        1.158       1.543
summer#2008  |      1.189      0.087     2.36   0.018        1.030       1.373
summer#2009  |      1.243      0.089     3.05   0.002        1.081       1.429
summer#2010  |      1.239      0.090     2.96   0.003        1.075       1.428
  fall#1981  |      1.100      0.093     1.14   0.255        0.933       1.298
  fall#1982  |      1.111      0.079     1.48   0.138        0.967       1.277
  fall#1983  |      1.005      0.072     0.06   0.950        0.872       1.157
  fall#1984  |      1.102      0.090     1.19   0.235        0.939       1.292
  fall#1985  |      1.182      0.092     2.14   0.033        1.014       1.378
  fall#1986  |      1.062      0.074     0.86   0.392        0.926       1.218
  fall#1987  |      1.128      0.106     1.28   0.200        0.938       1.357
  fall#1988  |      1.106      0.094     1.19   0.235        0.936       1.307
  fall#1989  |      1.028      0.075     0.38   0.707        0.891       1.185
  fall#1990  |      1.145      0.081     1.92   0.054        0.998       1.315
  fall#1991  |      1.042      0.061     0.71   0.480        0.929       1.169
  fall#1992  |      1.020      0.074     0.28   0.783        0.886       1.175
  fall#1993  |      1.139      0.080     1.84   0.066        0.992       1.308
  fall#1994  |      1.199      0.095     2.28   0.022        1.026       1.402
  fall#1995  |      1.040      0.068     0.60   0.551        0.915       1.181
  fall#1996  |      1.238      0.091     2.91   0.004        1.072       1.429
  fall#1997  |      1.162      0.070     2.50   0.012        1.033       1.308
  fall#1998  |      0.986      0.072    -0.19   0.847        0.855       1.137
  fall#1999  |      1.036      0.071     0.51   0.607        0.906       1.184
  fall#2000  |      1.135      0.059     2.44   0.015        1.025       1.256
  fall#2001  |      1.144      0.094     1.63   0.103        0.973       1.345
  fall#2002  |      1.029      0.091     0.32   0.745        0.866       1.223
  fall#2003  |      1.207      0.076     2.97   0.003        1.066       1.366
  fall#2004  |      1.284      0.083     3.88   0.000        1.132       1.457
  fall#2005  |      1.124      0.081     1.62   0.106        0.976       1.294
  fall#2006  |      1.150      0.078     2.07   0.039        1.007       1.314
  fall#2007  |      1.125      0.069     1.92   0.055        0.997       1.268
  fall#2008  |      1.156      0.082     2.04   0.042        1.005       1.330
  fall#2009  |      1.108      0.091     1.26   0.209        0.944       1.302
  fall#2010  |      1.176      0.117     1.64   0.101        0.969       1.429
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      6.286      1.090    10.60   0.000        4.474       8.831
         AZ  |     74.038     31.218    10.21   0.000       32.400     169.185
         AR  |     11.382      0.976    28.37   0.000        9.622      13.464
         CA  |      9.553      0.377    57.12   0.000        8.842      10.323
         CO  |     65.041     31.942     8.50   0.000       24.840     170.301
         CT  |      0.000      0.000   -62.05   0.000        0.000       0.000
         DE  |     12.562      1.529    20.79   0.000        9.896      15.946
         FL  |      0.103      0.017   -13.64   0.000        0.075       0.143
         GA  |      0.009      0.002   -25.03   0.000        0.006       0.013
         HI  |      1.958      0.637     2.06   0.039        1.034       3.706
         ID  |    113.882     90.438     5.96   0.000       24.015     540.038
         IL  |      0.045      0.009   -15.33   0.000        0.030       0.067
         IN  |     22.838      3.324    21.50   0.000       17.170      30.377
         IA  |    179.670     23.178    40.24   0.000      139.529     231.358
         KS  |     16.386      3.435    13.34   0.000       10.865      24.712
         KY  |      5.065      0.805    10.21   0.000        3.710       6.915
         LA  |      0.120      0.040    -6.29   0.000        0.062       0.232
         ME  |     59.136      7.577    31.84   0.000       46.004      76.018
         MD  |      0.348      0.025   -14.60   0.000        0.302       0.401
         MA  |      0.039      0.003   -39.61   0.000        0.033       0.046
         MI  |      1.669      0.732     1.17   0.242        0.707       3.941
         MN  |      2.122      0.467     3.42   0.001        1.378       3.266
         MS  |      0.805      0.109    -1.60   0.110        0.617       1.050
         MO  |      7.782      1.073    14.88   0.000        5.939      10.197
         MT  |   2260.278   1226.969    14.23   0.000      780.002    6549.799
         NE  |      0.052      0.013   -11.48   0.000        0.031       0.086
         NV  |     51.881     56.369     3.63   0.000        6.169     436.349
         NH  |      0.011      0.006    -8.47   0.000        0.004       0.031
         NJ  |     12.052      0.772    38.88   0.000       10.631      13.663
         NM  |     31.488      7.233    15.02   0.000       20.072      49.395
         NY  |    122.963     21.203    27.91   0.000       87.699     172.406
         NC  |      3.464      0.140    30.74   0.000        3.200       3.749
         ND  |   3616.044    634.058    46.73   0.000     2564.361    5099.037
         OH  |    124.149     31.220    19.17   0.000       75.838     203.234
         OK  |     88.029     38.930    10.12   0.000       36.999     209.442
         OR  |      1.030      0.480     0.06   0.950        0.413       2.569
         PA  |      1.478      0.098     5.86   0.000        1.297       1.684
         RI  |      0.023      0.001   -86.65   0.000        0.021       0.025
         SC  |      0.447      0.031   -11.54   0.000        0.390       0.513
         SD  |    189.119     28.349    34.97   0.000      140.975     253.705
         TN  |      0.258      0.014   -24.39   0.000        0.232       0.288
         TX  |      0.080      0.014   -14.86   0.000        0.057       0.112
         UT  |   4993.617   1643.337    25.88   0.000     2619.965    9517.766
         VT  |      0.197      0.024   -13.24   0.000        0.155       0.250
         VA  |      0.682      0.058    -4.46   0.000        0.577       0.807
         WA  |     21.891      1.953    34.59   0.000       18.379      26.074
         WV  |      0.901      0.141    -0.66   0.507        0.663       1.225
         WI  |     70.510     36.332     8.26   0.000       25.683     193.578
         WY  |      0.007      0.002   -16.11   0.000        0.004       0.012
             |
     quarter |      0.989      0.058    -0.18   0.857        0.882       1.110
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     0.26   0.795        0.999       1.001
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -0.48   0.633        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.996      0.006    -0.70   0.481        0.984       1.008
         AZ  |      0.945      0.009    -5.71   0.000        0.927       0.964
         AR  |      0.955      0.002   -23.65   0.000        0.951       0.958
         CA  |      0.981      0.001   -24.00   0.000        0.980       0.983
         CO  |      0.932      0.010    -6.37   0.000        0.912       0.952
         CT  |      1.234      0.005    54.81   0.000        1.225       1.243
         DE  |      0.961      0.003   -12.99   0.000        0.955       0.967
         FL  |      1.068      0.004    17.24   0.000        1.060       1.077
         GA  |      1.124      0.005    24.89   0.000        1.113       1.134
         HI  |      1.013      0.008     1.57   0.116        0.997       1.030
         ID  |      0.941      0.017    -3.30   0.001        0.908       0.976
         IL  |      1.085      0.005    19.04   0.000        1.076       1.094
         IN  |      0.938      0.003   -18.46   0.000        0.931       0.944
         IA  |      0.906      0.002   -44.03   0.000        0.902       0.910
         KS  |      0.956      0.004   -10.73   0.000        0.948       0.964
         KY  |      0.979      0.004    -5.84   0.000        0.972       0.986
         LA  |      1.071      0.006    12.08   0.000        1.059       1.083
         ME  |      0.946      0.003   -19.44   0.000        0.941       0.951
         MD  |      1.046      0.002    20.60   0.000        1.042       1.051
         MA  |      1.093      0.002    48.42   0.000        1.089       1.096
         MI  |      1.011      0.011     1.01   0.311        0.990       1.033
         MN  |      1.013      0.005     2.76   0.006        1.004       1.023
         MS  |      1.010      0.003     3.60   0.000        1.005       1.016
         MO  |      0.970      0.003    -9.75   0.000        0.964       0.976
         MT  |      0.905      0.009    -9.70   0.000        0.887       0.923
         NE  |      1.077      0.006    13.72   0.000        1.066       1.088
         NV  |      0.945      0.024    -2.18   0.029        0.898       0.994
         NH  |      1.057      0.012     4.90   0.000        1.034       1.081
         NJ  |      0.960      0.002   -19.32   0.000        0.956       0.964
         NM  |      0.971      0.005    -6.09   0.000        0.962       0.980
         NY  |      0.908      0.005   -18.29   0.000        0.898       0.917
         NC  |      0.983      0.001   -17.22   0.000        0.981       0.985
         ND  |      0.863      0.002   -65.40   0.000        0.859       0.867
         OH  |      0.928      0.005   -13.55   0.000        0.918       0.938
         OK  |      0.924      0.007   -10.09   0.000        0.910       0.938
         OR  |      1.030      0.012     2.62   0.009        1.007       1.053
         PA  |      1.017      0.002    10.43   0.000        1.014       1.020
         RI  |      1.131      0.001    93.91   0.000        1.128       1.134
         SC  |      1.026      0.002    14.39   0.000        1.022       1.030
         SD  |      0.951      0.003   -16.57   0.000        0.946       0.957
         TN  |      1.044      0.001    31.10   0.000        1.041       1.047
         TX  |      1.075      0.003    24.93   0.000        1.069       1.081
         UT  |      0.854      0.006   -20.98   0.000        0.842       0.867
         VT  |      1.103      0.003    32.65   0.000        1.097       1.110
         VA  |      1.033      0.002    14.64   0.000        1.029       1.038
         WA  |      0.968      0.002   -15.77   0.000        0.964       0.972
         WV  |      1.031      0.004     8.58   0.000        1.024       1.038
         WI  |      0.936      0.010    -6.26   0.000        0.917       0.956
         WY  |      1.219      0.005    44.68   0.000        1.209       1.230
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    -0.30   0.763        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     3.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    19.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    -7.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     4.89   0.000        1.000       1.001
         CT  |      0.998      0.000   -49.97   0.000        0.998       0.999
         DE  |      1.000      0.000     6.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      0.999      0.000   -20.44   0.000        0.999       0.999
         GA  |      0.999      0.000   -25.11   0.000        0.999       0.999
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -3.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     2.08   0.037        1.000       1.001
         IL  |      0.999      0.000   -21.70   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    17.52   0.000        1.000       1.001
         IA  |      1.001      0.000    50.90   0.000        1.001       1.001
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     7.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000     2.14   0.032        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      0.999      0.000   -18.82   0.000        0.999       0.999
         ME  |      1.000      0.000     9.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -23.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      0.999      0.000   -50.78   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -1.95   0.051        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    -6.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -6.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000     6.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     6.59   0.000        1.000       1.001
         NE  |      0.999      0.000   -15.09   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     1.72   0.085        1.000       1.001
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    -1.21   0.225        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     7.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     1.51   0.132        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.001      0.000    12.39   0.000        1.000       1.001
         NC  |      1.000      0.000     7.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.001      0.000    74.73   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OH  |      1.000      0.000     9.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     9.47   0.000        1.000       1.001
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -4.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -15.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      0.999      0.000   -87.49   0.000        0.999       0.999
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -18.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000     7.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -35.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      0.999      0.000   -42.38   0.000        0.999       0.999
         UT  |      1.001      0.000    18.71   0.000        1.001       1.001
         VT  |      0.999      0.000   -48.82   0.000        0.999       0.999
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -20.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000     4.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -13.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     4.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      0.998      0.000   -86.71   0.000        0.998       0.998
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     1.22   0.223        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -2.21   0.027        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -15.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    18.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    -3.44   0.001        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    44.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -0.87   0.387        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    24.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    27.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     5.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -1.04   0.300        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    23.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -17.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -62.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    -4.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000     1.40   0.161        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    25.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -2.84   0.005        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    24.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    45.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     2.48   0.013        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000     9.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000     9.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -4.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -2.58   0.010        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    17.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -1.49   0.136        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    -2.56   0.011        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    -0.69   0.492        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     3.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -8.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000     1.75   0.081        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -46.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    -6.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    -7.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     5.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    16.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    74.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    25.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000     3.41   0.001        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    44.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    88.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -18.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    60.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    23.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000     4.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    17.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    -2.66   0.008        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    93.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     20.895     52.301     1.21   0.225        0.155    2822.472
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     148800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.47       0.16     2.88   0.004         0.15        0.79
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -17.59       1.69   -10.43   0.000       -20.89      -14.28
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       1.64       0.23     7.21   0.000         1.19        2.08
   45 to 64  |      -1.88       0.64    -2.93   0.003        -3.15       -0.62
       >=65  |      -0.35       0.89    -0.39   0.695        -2.09        1.39
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.71       0.13     5.49   0.000         0.46        0.97
     summer  |       0.81       0.16     4.94   0.000         0.49        1.12
       fall  |       0.34       0.15     2.19   0.029         0.03        0.64
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(output written to suic-econ-atable-race2_2.txt)
-> Group = 15 to 24

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =      18.22
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood =  -129255.9                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0039

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.028      0.007     4.27   0.000        1.015       1.041
       _cons |     15.757      1.007    43.12   0.000       13.901      17.860
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.32       0.07     4.60   0.000         0.18        0.45
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(3)    =    6953.64
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -93620.422                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2785

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.027      0.006     4.33   0.000        1.015       1.039
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.197      0.005   -58.18   0.000        0.186       0.208
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.688      0.030    -8.65   0.000        0.632       0.748
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |      1.000  (omitted)
       _cons |     27.317      1.569    57.57   0.000       24.408      30.573
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 1.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.27       0.06     4.67   0.000         0.16        0.38
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -16.60       0.88   -18.93   0.000       -18.32      -14.88
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -3.82       0.39    -9.78   0.000        -4.59       -3.06
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |       0.00  (omitted)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -89135.079                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3131

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.016      0.007     2.44   0.015        1.003       1.030
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.197      0.005   -59.73   0.000        0.186       0.207
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.713      0.032    -7.50   0.000        0.652       0.779
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      2.804      0.011   267.71   0.000        2.783       2.825
         AZ  |      1.564      0.025    27.74   0.000        1.515       1.614
         AR  |      1.159      0.005    35.17   0.000        1.150       1.169
         CA  |      0.832      0.004   -34.99   0.000        0.823       0.840
         CO  |      1.460      0.020    27.12   0.000        1.421       1.501
         CT  |      0.754      0.007   -30.45   0.000        0.741       0.768
         DE  |      0.917      0.004   -18.32   0.000        0.908       0.925
         FL  |      1.001      0.007     0.11   0.913        0.988       1.014
         GA  |      1.017      0.008     2.04   0.041        1.001       1.033
         HI  |      1.042      0.019     2.25   0.024        1.005       1.079
         ID  |      1.531      0.027    23.75   0.000        1.479       1.586
         IL  |      0.825      0.005   -34.23   0.000        0.816       0.834
         IN  |      0.995      0.008    -0.70   0.486        0.979       1.010
         IA  |      1.085      0.011     8.36   0.000        1.065       1.107
         KS  |      1.162      0.009    18.69   0.000        1.144       1.180
         KY  |      0.996      0.008    -0.47   0.635        0.981       1.012
         LA  |      1.211      0.004    51.65   0.000        1.203       1.220
         ME  |      1.138      0.014    10.91   0.000        1.112       1.165
         MD  |      0.962      0.005    -7.57   0.000        0.952       0.971
         MA  |      0.673      0.009   -30.35   0.000        0.656       0.691
         MI  |      0.991      0.007    -1.28   0.201        0.978       1.005
         MN  |      1.122      0.010    12.34   0.000        1.101       1.142
         MS  |      1.050      0.005     9.40   0.000        1.039       1.061
         MO  |      1.108      0.008    14.70   0.000        1.093       1.124
         MT  |      1.774      0.020    49.89   0.000        1.734       1.814
         NE  |      1.049      0.011     4.70   0.000        1.028       1.070
         NV  |      1.720      0.038    24.36   0.000        1.646       1.797
         NH  |      1.145      0.019     8.10   0.000        1.108       1.184
         NJ  |      0.609      0.004   -72.66   0.000        0.601       0.617
         NM  |      2.028      0.020    73.34   0.000        1.990       2.067
         NY  |      0.646      0.003   -92.55   0.000        0.640       0.652
         NC  |      0.991      0.005    -1.91   0.056        0.982       1.000
         ND  |      1.404      0.016    29.03   0.000        1.372       1.436
         OH  |      0.935      0.007    -8.47   0.000        0.920       0.950
         OK  |      1.295      0.010    32.02   0.000        1.275       1.316
         OR  |      1.225      0.017    14.25   0.000        1.191       1.260
         PA  |      0.958      0.007    -5.78   0.000        0.944       0.972
         RI  |      0.770      0.009   -22.04   0.000        0.752       0.788
         SC  |      0.962      0.004    -9.93   0.000        0.954       0.969
         SD  |      1.832      0.015    74.97   0.000        1.803       1.861
         TN  |      1.019      0.005     3.91   0.000        1.009       1.028
         TX  |      1.080      0.011     7.84   0.000        1.059       1.100
         UT  |      1.410      0.022    21.63   0.000        1.367       1.455
         VT  |      1.120      0.012    10.22   0.000        1.096       1.144
         VA  |      0.983      0.004    -4.26   0.000        0.975       0.991
         WA  |      1.150      0.008    20.70   0.000        1.135       1.165
         WV  |      1.021      0.010     2.13   0.033        1.002       1.041
         WI  |      1.185      0.015    13.59   0.000        1.156       1.214
         WY  |      2.005      0.026    53.12   0.000        1.954       2.057
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.964      0.046    -0.77   0.442        0.879       1.058
     summer  |      1.062      0.036     1.79   0.074        0.994       1.134
       fall  |      1.006      0.041     0.14   0.892        0.929       1.089
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.030      0.047     0.64   0.522        0.942       1.126
       1982  |      0.963      0.034    -1.07   0.286        0.899       1.032
       1983  |      1.042      0.043     0.99   0.320        0.961       1.129
       1984  |      1.040      0.031     1.31   0.190        0.981       1.102
       1985  |      1.080      0.035     2.35   0.019        1.013       1.151
       1986  |      1.076      0.038     2.04   0.041        1.003       1.154
       1987  |      1.037      0.049     0.78   0.436        0.946       1.138
       1988  |      1.135      0.053     2.69   0.007        1.035       1.244
       1989  |      1.142      0.048     3.16   0.002        1.052       1.239
       1990  |      1.052      0.050     1.07   0.283        0.959       1.155
       1991  |      1.052      0.051     1.04   0.298        0.956       1.157
       1992  |      1.154      0.051     3.26   0.001        1.059       1.258
       1993  |      1.154      0.048     3.49   0.000        1.065       1.252
       1994  |      1.076      0.056     1.39   0.164        0.971       1.192
       1995  |      1.101      0.053     2.01   0.044        1.002       1.209
       1996  |      1.010      0.072     0.14   0.892        0.877       1.162
       1997  |      1.001      0.055     0.03   0.979        0.899       1.116
       1998  |      0.985      0.057    -0.27   0.787        0.879       1.103
       1999  |      0.863      0.066    -1.94   0.053        0.743       1.002
       2000  |      0.919      0.074    -1.06   0.290        0.785       1.075
       2001  |      0.845      0.068    -2.08   0.037        0.721       0.990
       2002  |      0.850      0.065    -2.13   0.033        0.732       0.987
       2003  |      0.824      0.061    -2.61   0.009        0.713       0.953
       2004  |      0.894      0.065    -1.54   0.125        0.774       1.032
       2005  |      0.865      0.065    -1.93   0.053        0.747       1.002
       2006  |      0.854      0.072    -1.87   0.062        0.724       1.008
       2007  |      0.863      0.057    -2.24   0.025        0.758       0.982
       2008  |      0.889      0.072    -1.45   0.148        0.757       1.043
       2009  |      0.869      0.076    -1.60   0.109        0.733       1.032
       2010  |      0.888      0.066    -1.59   0.111        0.767       1.028
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.005      0.081     0.06   0.951        0.858       1.178
spring#1982  |      1.129      0.073     1.88   0.060        0.995       1.281
spring#1983  |      0.940      0.063    -0.91   0.362        0.824       1.073
spring#1984  |      1.011      0.053     0.21   0.837        0.912       1.121
spring#1985  |      1.066      0.061     1.11   0.265        0.953       1.193
spring#1986  |      1.089      0.091     1.02   0.306        0.925       1.282
spring#1987  |      1.101      0.068     1.55   0.121        0.975       1.243
spring#1988  |      1.001      0.055     0.02   0.984        0.899       1.115
spring#1989  |      1.025      0.062     0.40   0.686        0.910       1.155
spring#1990  |      1.114      0.072     1.68   0.093        0.982       1.263
spring#1991  |      1.091      0.056     1.70   0.090        0.987       1.207
spring#1992  |      1.008      0.059     0.14   0.888        0.899       1.131
spring#1993  |      1.066      0.058     1.17   0.241        0.958       1.187
spring#1994  |      1.231      0.076     3.38   0.001        1.091       1.388
spring#1995  |      1.134      0.072     1.97   0.048        1.001       1.285
spring#1996  |      1.135      0.084     1.71   0.087        0.982       1.313
spring#1997  |      1.061      0.072     0.87   0.386        0.929       1.211
spring#1998  |      1.046      0.062     0.75   0.453        0.930       1.176
spring#1999  |      1.180      0.076     2.58   0.010        1.041       1.339
spring#2000  |      1.055      0.060     0.94   0.346        0.944       1.179
spring#2001  |      1.140      0.074     2.03   0.042        1.005       1.294
spring#2002  |      1.108      0.071     1.61   0.108        0.978       1.257
spring#2003  |      1.128      0.076     1.79   0.074        0.988       1.287
spring#2004  |      1.149      0.080     1.98   0.047        1.002       1.317
spring#2005  |      1.160      0.086     2.00   0.046        1.003       1.342
spring#2006  |      1.115      0.075     1.61   0.107        0.977       1.272
spring#2007  |      1.114      0.085     1.42   0.156        0.960       1.293
spring#2008  |      1.101      0.067     1.58   0.115        0.977       1.240
spring#2009  |      1.154      0.069     2.39   0.017        1.026       1.297
spring#2010  |      1.157      0.084     2.00   0.045        1.003       1.334
summer#1981  |      0.881      0.041    -2.72   0.007        0.805       0.965
summer#1982  |      0.971      0.059    -0.49   0.626        0.862       1.094
summer#1983  |      0.860      0.061    -2.14   0.032        0.749       0.987
summer#1984  |      0.906      0.038    -2.37   0.018        0.835       0.983
summer#1985  |      0.871      0.037    -3.22   0.001        0.800       0.947
summer#1986  |      0.943      0.046    -1.19   0.233        0.857       1.038
summer#1987  |      0.975      0.055    -0.44   0.660        0.873       1.090
summer#1988  |      0.878      0.046    -2.48   0.013        0.791       0.973
summer#1989  |      0.886      0.045    -2.41   0.016        0.802       0.977
summer#1990  |      1.036      0.066     0.55   0.584        0.914       1.174
summer#1991  |      1.011      0.048     0.23   0.817        0.921       1.109
summer#1992  |      0.875      0.039    -3.01   0.003        0.802       0.955
summer#1993  |      0.882      0.040    -2.80   0.005        0.808       0.963
summer#1994  |      1.017      0.061     0.29   0.775        0.904       1.145
summer#1995  |      0.942      0.044    -1.26   0.208        0.859       1.034
summer#1996  |      0.910      0.059    -1.47   0.142        0.802       1.032
summer#1997  |      0.881      0.048    -2.35   0.019        0.793       0.979
summer#1998  |      0.887      0.048    -2.19   0.028        0.798       0.987
summer#1999  |      0.951      0.052    -0.92   0.359        0.854       1.059
summer#2000  |      0.910      0.047    -1.82   0.068        0.823       1.007
summer#2001  |      0.988      0.051    -0.23   0.818        0.894       1.093
summer#2002  |      0.994      0.050    -0.11   0.911        0.900       1.098
summer#2003  |      0.976      0.071    -0.34   0.734        0.846       1.125
summer#2004  |      0.945      0.052    -1.03   0.304        0.849       1.052
summer#2005  |      0.997      0.051    -0.06   0.950        0.902       1.102
summer#2006  |      1.030      0.073     0.42   0.675        0.896       1.185
summer#2007  |      0.990      0.043    -0.22   0.823        0.909       1.078
summer#2008  |      0.987      0.052    -0.24   0.808        0.891       1.095
summer#2009  |      0.992      0.056    -0.14   0.885        0.888       1.108
summer#2010  |      1.038      0.057     0.68   0.498        0.932       1.155
  fall#1981  |      0.965      0.081    -0.42   0.672        0.818       1.138
  fall#1982  |      0.979      0.078    -0.27   0.789        0.838       1.143
  fall#1983  |      0.877      0.053    -2.19   0.029        0.779       0.986
  fall#1984  |      0.998      0.045    -0.04   0.969        0.913       1.091
  fall#1985  |      0.982      0.051    -0.36   0.722        0.886       1.087
  fall#1986  |      0.960      0.063    -0.62   0.534        0.843       1.093
  fall#1987  |      0.999      0.057    -0.01   0.989        0.893       1.118
  fall#1988  |      0.953      0.052    -0.88   0.377        0.857       1.060
  fall#1989  |      0.947      0.061    -0.85   0.398        0.834       1.075
  fall#1990  |      1.100      0.065     1.61   0.108        0.979       1.236
  fall#1991  |      1.077      0.064     1.24   0.214        0.958       1.211
  fall#1992  |      0.893      0.043    -2.37   0.018        0.813       0.980
  fall#1993  |      0.969      0.042    -0.74   0.460        0.891       1.054
  fall#1994  |      1.068      0.066     1.06   0.287        0.946       1.207
  fall#1995  |      1.004      0.050     0.08   0.936        0.911       1.106
  fall#1996  |      1.011      0.059     0.19   0.847        0.901       1.135
  fall#1997  |      0.964      0.060    -0.59   0.553        0.854       1.088
  fall#1998  |      0.964      0.052    -0.67   0.501        0.867       1.072
  fall#1999  |      1.030      0.061     0.50   0.614        0.917       1.157
  fall#2000  |      0.993      0.060    -0.11   0.909        0.882       1.118
  fall#2001  |      1.068      0.067     1.05   0.293        0.944       1.209
  fall#2002  |      1.042      0.060     0.72   0.473        0.931       1.165
  fall#2003  |      1.095      0.080     1.23   0.218        0.948       1.264
  fall#2004  |      1.074      0.073     1.04   0.297        0.939       1.228
  fall#2005  |      1.032      0.069     0.48   0.632        0.906       1.176
  fall#2006  |      1.064      0.071     0.94   0.348        0.934       1.213
  fall#2007  |      1.032      0.052     0.61   0.542        0.934       1.140
  fall#2008  |      1.064      0.066     1.00   0.317        0.943       1.200
  fall#2009  |      1.089      0.069     1.34   0.179        0.961       1.235
  fall#2010  |      1.169      0.074     2.48   0.013        1.033       1.323
             |
       _cons |     24.235      1.302    59.32   0.000       21.812      26.927
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 1.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.20       0.08     2.34   0.019         0.03        0.36
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -19.76       1.16   -17.08   0.000       -22.03      -17.49
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -4.12       0.42    -9.75   0.000        -4.94       -3.29
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.56       0.11     4.90   0.000         0.34        0.79
     summer  |       0.04       0.12     0.31   0.755        -0.21        0.28
       fall  |       0.18       0.10     1.91   0.056        -0.00        0.37
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -88783.254                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3158

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.004      0.008     0.49   0.624        0.988       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.197      0.005   -59.48   0.000        0.186       0.208
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.714      0.032    -7.46   0.000        0.653       0.780
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.812      0.081    13.25   0.000        1.660       1.979
         AZ  |      2.489      0.124    18.37   0.000        2.258       2.743
         AR  |      1.266      0.009    31.64   0.000        1.248       1.285
         CA  |      2.226      0.028    63.65   0.000        2.172       2.282
         CO  |      1.922      0.063    19.98   0.000        1.803       2.049
         CT  |      1.214      0.010    22.87   0.000        1.194       1.235
         DE  |      1.649      0.027    30.17   0.000        1.596       1.704
         FL  |      2.280      0.038    49.81   0.000        2.208       2.355
         GA  |      1.677      0.052    16.53   0.000        1.577       1.783
         HI  |      1.284      0.031    10.27   0.000        1.224       1.346
         ID  |      2.417      0.168    12.69   0.000        2.109       2.769
         IL  |      1.532      0.008    78.51   0.000        1.516       1.549
         IN  |      1.364      0.016    25.91   0.000        1.333       1.397
         IA  |      1.382      0.012    36.57   0.000        1.358       1.406
         KS  |      1.288      0.008    40.16   0.000        1.273       1.304
         KY  |      1.273      0.013    23.47   0.000        1.247       1.298
         LA  |      2.030      0.085    16.92   0.000        1.870       2.203
         ME  |      2.109      0.019    82.38   0.000        2.072       2.146
         MD  |      1.740      0.011    89.71   0.000        1.719       1.761
         MA  |      1.470      0.018    31.72   0.000        1.436       1.506
         MI  |      1.767      0.013    78.04   0.000        1.742       1.793
         MN  |      1.768      0.035    28.52   0.000        1.700       1.839
         MS  |      1.179      0.005    37.00   0.000        1.169       1.190
         MO  |      1.496      0.008    73.05   0.000        1.480       1.512
         MT  |      2.041      0.017    84.34   0.000        2.007       2.075
         NE  |      1.250      0.019    14.34   0.000        1.213       1.289
         NV  |      4.655      0.382    18.74   0.000        3.963       5.467
         NH  |      2.061      0.071    20.89   0.000        1.925       2.205
         NJ  |      1.033      0.006     5.54   0.000        1.021       1.046
         NM  |      3.022      0.085    39.54   0.000        2.861       3.192
         NY  |      1.139      0.018     8.06   0.000        1.103       1.175
         NC  |      1.273      0.029    10.57   0.000        1.217       1.331
         ND  |      1.182      0.016    12.68   0.000        1.152       1.213
         OH  |      1.386      0.009    49.62   0.000        1.368       1.404
         OK  |      1.836      0.044    25.38   0.000        1.752       1.924
         OR  |      1.971      0.119    11.26   0.000        1.752       2.218
         PA  |      1.429      0.015    33.55   0.000        1.399       1.459
         RI  |      1.884      0.019    63.35   0.000        1.847       1.921
         SC  |      1.136      0.021     6.80   0.000        1.095       1.179
         SD  |      1.392      0.030    15.37   0.000        1.335       1.453
         TN  |      1.174      0.015    12.83   0.000        1.145       1.203
         TX  |      2.183      0.037    46.37   0.000        2.112       2.256
         UT  |      1.827      0.089    12.35   0.000        1.661       2.011
         VT  |      3.026      0.036    94.08   0.000        2.957       3.097
         VA  |      1.667      0.015    56.12   0.000        1.638       1.697
         WA  |      1.763      0.042    23.81   0.000        1.683       1.847
         WV  |      1.151      0.010    15.85   0.000        1.131       1.171
         WI  |      2.074      0.023    65.91   0.000        2.029       2.119
         WY  |      2.808      0.033    88.40   0.000        2.745       2.873
             |
     quarter |      0.989      0.003    -3.36   0.001        0.983       0.995
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.000     8.57   0.000        1.002       1.004
         AZ  |      0.996      0.000    -7.62   0.000        0.996       0.997
         AR  |      0.999      0.000   -10.48   0.000        0.999       0.999
         CA  |      0.993      0.000   -64.05   0.000        0.993       0.993
         CO  |      0.998      0.000    -6.74   0.000        0.997       0.998
         CT  |      0.997      0.000   -44.70   0.000        0.996       0.997
         DE  |      0.996      0.000   -29.28   0.000        0.995       0.996
         FL  |      0.994      0.000   -37.92   0.000        0.994       0.994
         GA  |      0.996      0.000   -12.64   0.000        0.996       0.997
         HI  |      0.999      0.000    -5.71   0.000        0.998       0.999
         ID  |      0.997      0.001    -5.68   0.000        0.995       0.998
         IL  |      0.996      0.000   -78.53   0.000        0.995       0.996
         IN  |      0.998      0.000   -26.44   0.000        0.998       0.998
         IA  |      0.998      0.000   -99.43   0.000        0.998       0.998
         KS  |      0.999      0.000   -33.96   0.000        0.999       0.999
         KY  |      0.998      0.000   -24.66   0.000        0.998       0.998
         LA  |      0.996      0.000   -13.40   0.000        0.996       0.997
         ME  |      0.995      0.000   -80.15   0.000        0.995       0.996
         MD  |      0.996      0.000   -49.11   0.000        0.996       0.996
         MA  |      0.994      0.000   -40.32   0.000        0.994       0.994
         MI  |      0.996      0.000   -57.68   0.000        0.996       0.996
         MN  |      0.997      0.000   -21.21   0.000        0.996       0.997
         MS  |      0.999      0.000   -26.25   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MO  |      0.998      0.000   -60.18   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MT  |      0.999      0.000   -28.38   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NE  |      0.999      0.000    -9.82   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NV  |      0.993      0.001    -9.91   0.000        0.991       0.994
         NH  |      0.996      0.000   -12.52   0.000        0.995       0.996
         NJ  |      0.996      0.000   -76.12   0.000        0.996       0.996
         NM  |      0.997      0.000   -11.49   0.000        0.997       0.998
         NY  |      0.996      0.000   -49.89   0.000        0.996       0.996
         NC  |      0.998      0.000    -9.17   0.000        0.998       0.999
         ND  |      1.001      0.000    78.93   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OH  |      0.997      0.000   -83.18   0.000        0.997       0.997
         OK  |      0.997      0.000   -23.59   0.000        0.997       0.998
         OR  |      0.996      0.001    -6.83   0.000        0.995       0.997
         PA  |      0.997      0.000   -78.26   0.000        0.997       0.997
         RI  |      0.993      0.000   -80.68   0.000        0.993       0.994
         SC  |      0.999      0.000    -7.43   0.000        0.998       0.999
         SD  |      1.002      0.000    10.91   0.000        1.002       1.002
         TN  |      0.999      0.000   -10.00   0.000        0.999       0.999
         TX  |      0.995      0.000   -28.31   0.000        0.995       0.995
         UT  |      0.998      0.000    -4.77   0.000        0.997       0.999
         VT  |      0.993      0.000   -84.73   0.000        0.993       0.993
         VA  |      0.996      0.000   -41.57   0.000        0.996       0.996
         WA  |      0.997      0.000   -17.78   0.000        0.997       0.997
         WV  |      0.999      0.000   -18.23   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WI  |      0.996      0.000   -32.38   0.000        0.996       0.996
         WY  |      0.997      0.000  -117.38   0.000        0.997       0.998
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.960      0.045    -0.85   0.393        0.875       1.054
     summer  |      1.074      0.036     2.13   0.033        1.006       1.147
       fall  |      1.032      0.042     0.77   0.440        0.953       1.116
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.092      0.051     1.90   0.058        0.997       1.195
       1982  |      1.084      0.051     1.70   0.088        0.988       1.190
       1983  |      1.243      0.072     3.75   0.000        1.109       1.392
       1984  |      1.306      0.087     3.99   0.000        1.146       1.489
       1985  |      1.431      0.105     4.90   0.000        1.240       1.651
       1986  |      1.505      0.127     4.85   0.000        1.276       1.775
       1987  |      1.532      0.155     4.22   0.000        1.257       1.868
       1988  |      1.767      0.212     4.75   0.000        1.397       2.235
       1989  |      1.876      0.224     5.27   0.000        1.484       2.370
       1990  |      1.829      0.252     4.39   0.000        1.396       2.395
       1991  |      1.939      0.300     4.28   0.000        1.432       2.626
       1992  |      2.252      0.372     4.92   0.000        1.630       3.113
       1993  |      2.378      0.423     4.87   0.000        1.678       3.371
       1994  |      2.334      0.458     4.32   0.000        1.589       3.428
       1995  |      2.516      0.487     4.77   0.000        1.721       3.676
       1996  |      2.433      0.514     4.21   0.000        1.608       3.682
       1997  |      2.540      0.570     4.15   0.000        1.636       3.944
       1998  |      2.626      0.654     3.88   0.000        1.613       4.277
       1999  |      2.423      0.601     3.57   0.000        1.490       3.941
       2000  |      2.718      0.712     3.82   0.000        1.627       4.540
       2001  |      2.646      0.752     3.42   0.001        1.516       4.619
       2002  |      2.825      0.827     3.55   0.000        1.592       5.015
       2003  |      2.902      0.893     3.46   0.001        1.587       5.304
       2004  |      3.320      1.083     3.68   0.000        1.752       6.292
       2005  |      3.388      1.168     3.54   0.000        1.724       6.659
       2006  |      3.521      1.269     3.49   0.000        1.738       7.134
       2007  |      3.751      1.392     3.56   0.000        1.813       7.762
       2008  |      4.096      1.569     3.68   0.000        1.934       8.677
       2009  |      4.290      1.708     3.66   0.000        1.966       9.361
       2010  |      4.660      1.918     3.74   0.000        2.080      10.442
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.004      0.081     0.05   0.962        0.857       1.176
spring#1982  |      1.128      0.073     1.87   0.061        0.994       1.280
spring#1983  |      0.941      0.063    -0.90   0.366        0.824       1.074
spring#1984  |      1.010      0.053     0.20   0.843        0.911       1.120
spring#1985  |      1.066      0.061     1.11   0.267        0.952       1.193
spring#1986  |      1.089      0.091     1.02   0.306        0.925       1.282
spring#1987  |      1.101      0.068     1.55   0.121        0.975       1.243
spring#1988  |      1.001      0.055     0.02   0.987        0.898       1.115
spring#1989  |      1.024      0.062     0.40   0.691        0.909       1.154
spring#1990  |      1.112      0.071     1.67   0.095        0.981       1.261
spring#1991  |      1.091      0.056     1.69   0.090        0.986       1.207
spring#1992  |      1.008      0.059     0.14   0.891        0.899       1.130
spring#1993  |      1.066      0.058     1.17   0.241        0.958       1.187
spring#1994  |      1.231      0.076     3.38   0.001        1.091       1.388
spring#1995  |      1.134      0.072     1.97   0.049        1.001       1.284
spring#1996  |      1.135      0.084     1.71   0.088        0.981       1.313
spring#1997  |      1.060      0.072     0.87   0.387        0.928       1.211
spring#1998  |      1.045      0.062     0.75   0.456        0.930       1.175
spring#1999  |      1.180      0.076     2.58   0.010        1.041       1.339
spring#2000  |      1.054      0.060     0.93   0.353        0.943       1.177
spring#2001  |      1.139      0.073     2.02   0.044        1.004       1.292
spring#2002  |      1.108      0.071     1.59   0.111        0.977       1.256
spring#2003  |      1.128      0.076     1.79   0.074        0.988       1.287
spring#2004  |      1.148      0.080     1.98   0.048        1.001       1.317
spring#2005  |      1.160      0.086     1.99   0.046        1.002       1.341
spring#2006  |      1.114      0.075     1.61   0.108        0.977       1.272
spring#2007  |      1.113      0.084     1.41   0.158        0.959       1.291
spring#2008  |      1.098      0.067     1.53   0.125        0.975       1.236
spring#2009  |      1.154      0.069     2.39   0.017        1.026       1.297
spring#2010  |      1.156      0.084     2.00   0.046        1.003       1.333
summer#1981  |      0.879      0.041    -2.76   0.006        0.803       0.963
summer#1982  |      0.970      0.059    -0.50   0.616        0.861       1.093
summer#1983  |      0.858      0.061    -2.16   0.031        0.747       0.986
summer#1984  |      0.903      0.038    -2.43   0.015        0.832       0.981
summer#1985  |      0.869      0.037    -3.27   0.001        0.798       0.945
summer#1986  |      0.942      0.046    -1.23   0.219        0.855       1.036
summer#1987  |      0.973      0.055    -0.48   0.632        0.870       1.088
summer#1988  |      0.875      0.046    -2.52   0.012        0.789       0.971
summer#1989  |      0.884      0.045    -2.45   0.014        0.800       0.976
summer#1990  |      1.033      0.066     0.51   0.613        0.911       1.171
summer#1991  |      1.010      0.048     0.21   0.837        0.920       1.108
summer#1992  |      0.873      0.039    -3.04   0.002        0.800       0.953
summer#1993  |      0.880      0.040    -2.84   0.005        0.805       0.961
summer#1994  |      1.015      0.061     0.24   0.811        0.902       1.142
summer#1995  |      0.940      0.045    -1.30   0.193        0.857       1.032
summer#1996  |      0.907      0.059    -1.50   0.133        0.799       1.030
summer#1997  |      0.879      0.047    -2.40   0.016        0.790       0.976
summer#1998  |      0.885      0.048    -2.25   0.024        0.795       0.984
summer#1999  |      0.949      0.052    -0.96   0.338        0.852       1.057
summer#2000  |      0.908      0.047    -1.87   0.061        0.820       1.005
summer#2001  |      0.987      0.051    -0.26   0.794        0.892       1.091
summer#2002  |      0.992      0.051    -0.15   0.880        0.898       1.097
summer#2003  |      0.974      0.071    -0.36   0.722        0.845       1.124
summer#2004  |      0.943      0.051    -1.08   0.280        0.847       1.049
summer#2005  |      0.994      0.051    -0.12   0.908        0.899       1.099
summer#2006  |      1.028      0.074     0.38   0.703        0.893       1.183
summer#2007  |      0.988      0.043    -0.28   0.779        0.908       1.075
summer#2008  |      0.985      0.052    -0.28   0.780        0.889       1.093
summer#2009  |      0.994      0.056    -0.11   0.915        0.890       1.110
summer#2010  |      1.035      0.057     0.63   0.528        0.930       1.152
  fall#1981  |      0.964      0.081    -0.44   0.658        0.817       1.136
  fall#1982  |      0.979      0.078    -0.26   0.794        0.839       1.144
  fall#1983  |      0.874      0.053    -2.24   0.025        0.776       0.983
  fall#1984  |      0.995      0.045    -0.12   0.904        0.911       1.086
  fall#1985  |      0.979      0.051    -0.41   0.684        0.884       1.085
  fall#1986  |      0.958      0.063    -0.66   0.512        0.841       1.090
  fall#1987  |      0.996      0.057    -0.07   0.944        0.890       1.114
  fall#1988  |      0.950      0.051    -0.94   0.345        0.854       1.057
  fall#1989  |      0.945      0.061    -0.88   0.379        0.832       1.072
  fall#1990  |      1.098      0.065     1.58   0.113        0.978       1.233
  fall#1991  |      1.076      0.065     1.22   0.221        0.957       1.210
  fall#1992  |      0.890      0.043    -2.42   0.016        0.810       0.978
  fall#1993  |      0.965      0.042    -0.81   0.420        0.886       1.052
  fall#1994  |      1.064      0.065     1.01   0.315        0.943       1.200
  fall#1995  |      1.001      0.049     0.02   0.987        0.909       1.102
  fall#1996  |      1.008      0.059     0.13   0.899        0.898       1.131
  fall#1997  |      0.960      0.059    -0.67   0.504        0.851       1.083
  fall#1998  |      0.960      0.052    -0.75   0.453        0.864       1.068
  fall#1999  |      1.026      0.061     0.44   0.662        0.914       1.153
  fall#2000  |      0.990      0.060    -0.17   0.866        0.879       1.115
  fall#2001  |      1.068      0.067     1.05   0.292        0.945       1.208
  fall#2002  |      1.040      0.059     0.69   0.491        0.930       1.163
  fall#2003  |      1.093      0.080     1.21   0.227        0.946       1.262
  fall#2004  |      1.070      0.073     0.99   0.320        0.936       1.223
  fall#2005  |      1.029      0.068     0.43   0.670        0.904       1.171
  fall#2006  |      1.061      0.071     0.88   0.381        0.930       1.210
  fall#2007  |      1.029      0.052     0.56   0.572        0.932       1.136
  fall#2008  |      1.065      0.065     1.02   0.306        0.944       1.201
  fall#2009  |      1.093      0.069     1.41   0.159        0.966       1.238
  fall#2010  |      1.166      0.074     2.44   0.015        1.030       1.319
             |
       _cons |     43.459     12.150    13.49   0.000       25.125      75.173
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 1.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.05       0.10     0.49   0.624        -0.14        0.24
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -19.75       1.15   -17.22   0.000       -22.00      -17.51
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -4.10       0.42    -9.64   0.000        -4.93       -3.26
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.52       0.11     4.61   0.000         0.30        0.75
     summer  |       0.17       0.13     1.30   0.195        -0.09        0.42
       fall  |       0.48       0.12     4.15   0.000         0.26        0.71
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -88708.006                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3164

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.004      0.012     0.31   0.758        0.981       1.027
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.197      0.005   -59.54   0.000        0.186       0.208
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.714      0.032    -7.45   0.000        0.653       0.780
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.962      0.046    -0.82   0.411        0.877       1.055
     summer  |      1.070      0.037     1.95   0.052        1.000       1.146
       fall  |      1.023      0.045     0.51   0.607        0.938       1.116
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.071      0.057     1.29   0.196        0.965       1.188
       1982  |      1.045      0.078     0.59   0.556        0.903       1.208
       1983  |      1.177      0.114     1.69   0.092        0.974       1.423
       1984  |      1.218      0.135     1.78   0.075        0.980       1.514
       1985  |      1.315      0.171     2.11   0.035        1.020       1.696
       1986  |      1.366      0.196     2.17   0.030        1.030       1.810
       1987  |      1.374      0.228     1.92   0.055        0.994       1.902
       1988  |      1.569      0.318     2.22   0.026        1.055       2.333
       1989  |      1.651      0.337     2.46   0.014        1.107       2.462
       1990  |      1.597      0.359     2.08   0.037        1.028       2.481
       1991  |      1.684      0.411     2.13   0.033        1.043       2.717
       1992  |      1.946      0.485     2.67   0.007        1.195       3.171
       1993  |      2.049      0.540     2.72   0.007        1.222       3.435
       1994  |      2.007      0.552     2.53   0.011        1.171       3.439
       1995  |      2.162      0.597     2.79   0.005        1.258       3.716
       1996  |      2.094      0.602     2.57   0.010        1.191       3.680
       1997  |      2.192      0.653     2.63   0.008        1.223       3.929
       1998  |      2.276      0.735     2.55   0.011        1.209       4.285
       1999  |      2.112      0.664     2.38   0.017        1.141       3.912
       2000  |      2.387      0.773     2.69   0.007        1.266       4.501
       2001  |      2.346      0.791     2.53   0.011        1.212       4.541
       2002  |      2.532      0.861     2.73   0.006        1.301       4.930
       2003  |      2.633      0.915     2.79   0.005        1.333       5.202
       2004  |      3.055      1.092     3.12   0.002        1.515       6.157
       2005  |      3.164      1.169     3.12   0.002        1.534       6.527
       2006  |      3.343      1.264     3.19   0.001        1.594       7.013
       2007  |      3.627      1.381     3.38   0.001        1.719       7.652
       2008  |      4.039      1.562     3.61   0.000        1.893       8.619
       2009  |      4.322      1.711     3.70   0.000        1.989       9.389
       2010  |      4.802      1.945     3.87   0.000        2.171      10.621
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.004      0.081     0.05   0.963        0.857       1.176
spring#1982  |      1.128      0.072     1.87   0.061        0.994       1.279
spring#1983  |      0.941      0.063    -0.91   0.364        0.824       1.074
spring#1984  |      1.010      0.053     0.19   0.850        0.911       1.120
spring#1985  |      1.065      0.061     1.10   0.271        0.952       1.192
spring#1986  |      1.088      0.091     1.01   0.311        0.924       1.282
spring#1987  |      1.100      0.068     1.53   0.125        0.974       1.243
spring#1988  |      1.000      0.055     0.00   1.000        0.898       1.114
spring#1989  |      1.023      0.062     0.38   0.703        0.909       1.153
spring#1990  |      1.111      0.071     1.65   0.098        0.981       1.259
spring#1991  |      1.090      0.056     1.68   0.094        0.986       1.205
spring#1992  |      1.007      0.059     0.11   0.909        0.897       1.129
spring#1993  |      1.065      0.059     1.14   0.254        0.956       1.186
spring#1994  |      1.229      0.075     3.36   0.001        1.089       1.386
spring#1995  |      1.132      0.072     1.94   0.053        0.999       1.283
spring#1996  |      1.133      0.085     1.67   0.094        0.979       1.312
spring#1997  |      1.058      0.072     0.84   0.403        0.926       1.209
spring#1998  |      1.043      0.062     0.72   0.473        0.929       1.172
spring#1999  |      1.178      0.076     2.54   0.011        1.038       1.336
spring#2000  |      1.052      0.060     0.89   0.374        0.941       1.175
spring#2001  |      1.136      0.073     1.98   0.047        1.002       1.288
spring#2002  |      1.105      0.071     1.55   0.121        0.974       1.253
spring#2003  |      1.125      0.076     1.75   0.081        0.986       1.284
spring#2004  |      1.145      0.080     1.94   0.052        0.999       1.313
spring#2005  |      1.156      0.086     1.95   0.052        0.999       1.339
spring#2006  |      1.111      0.074     1.58   0.115        0.975       1.267
spring#2007  |      1.110      0.085     1.36   0.173        0.955       1.289
spring#2008  |      1.094      0.066     1.49   0.137        0.972       1.232
spring#2009  |      1.150      0.069     2.34   0.019        1.023       1.293
spring#2010  |      1.152      0.084     1.95   0.051        0.999       1.329
summer#1981  |      0.879      0.041    -2.73   0.006        0.802       0.964
summer#1982  |      0.970      0.059    -0.50   0.620        0.861       1.093
summer#1983  |      0.859      0.061    -2.14   0.032        0.747       0.987
summer#1984  |      0.904      0.038    -2.43   0.015        0.833       0.981
summer#1985  |      0.869      0.037    -3.25   0.001        0.799       0.946
summer#1986  |      0.943      0.046    -1.20   0.229        0.856       1.038
summer#1987  |      0.975      0.055    -0.45   0.649        0.872       1.089
summer#1988  |      0.877      0.047    -2.46   0.014        0.790       0.974
summer#1989  |      0.885      0.045    -2.40   0.016        0.802       0.978
summer#1990  |      1.035      0.067     0.53   0.596        0.911       1.176
summer#1991  |      1.012      0.048     0.26   0.798        0.922       1.112
summer#1992  |      0.876      0.040    -2.92   0.003        0.801       0.957
summer#1993  |      0.882      0.040    -2.74   0.006        0.807       0.965
summer#1994  |      1.018      0.061     0.29   0.768        0.906       1.143
summer#1995  |      0.943      0.045    -1.22   0.223        0.859       1.036
summer#1996  |      0.911      0.060    -1.43   0.153        0.801       1.035
summer#1997  |      0.882      0.048    -2.33   0.020        0.794       0.980
summer#1998  |      0.889      0.050    -2.09   0.036        0.796       0.992
summer#1999  |      0.953      0.054    -0.86   0.393        0.853       1.064
summer#2000  |      0.912      0.049    -1.73   0.084        0.821       1.013
summer#2001  |      0.992      0.053    -0.16   0.876        0.893       1.101
summer#2002  |      0.998      0.053    -0.04   0.964        0.900       1.106
summer#2003  |      0.980      0.073    -0.27   0.786        0.846       1.134
summer#2004  |      0.948      0.053    -0.95   0.345        0.850       1.059
summer#2005  |      1.000      0.053     0.00   0.997        0.902       1.109
summer#2006  |      1.034      0.077     0.45   0.650        0.894       1.196
summer#2007  |      0.994      0.045    -0.12   0.902        0.911       1.086
summer#2008  |      0.992      0.054    -0.14   0.885        0.892       1.104
summer#2009  |      1.001      0.059     0.02   0.984        0.892       1.124
summer#2010  |      1.043      0.058     0.75   0.455        0.934       1.164
  fall#1981  |      0.964      0.081    -0.44   0.662        0.818       1.136
  fall#1982  |      0.980      0.078    -0.25   0.804        0.839       1.146
  fall#1983  |      0.875      0.053    -2.19   0.029        0.776       0.986
  fall#1984  |      0.996      0.044    -0.08   0.937        0.913       1.087
  fall#1985  |      0.981      0.053    -0.35   0.726        0.884       1.090
  fall#1986  |      0.961      0.064    -0.61   0.544        0.844       1.094
  fall#1987  |      1.000      0.058    -0.01   0.995        0.893       1.119
  fall#1988  |      0.954      0.055    -0.82   0.411        0.853       1.067
  fall#1989  |      0.949      0.062    -0.80   0.426        0.835       1.079
  fall#1990  |      1.104      0.068     1.61   0.107        0.979       1.246
  fall#1991  |      1.083      0.068     1.26   0.207        0.957       1.224
  fall#1992  |      0.896      0.044    -2.21   0.027        0.813       0.988
  fall#1993  |      0.972      0.045    -0.61   0.544        0.888       1.064
  fall#1994  |      1.072      0.067     1.11   0.267        0.948       1.213
  fall#1995  |      1.009      0.052     0.18   0.856        0.913       1.116
  fall#1996  |      1.017      0.060     0.28   0.776        0.906       1.141
  fall#1997  |      0.969      0.061    -0.49   0.621        0.856       1.097
  fall#1998  |      0.970      0.058    -0.51   0.611        0.864       1.090
  fall#1999  |      1.038      0.065     0.59   0.555        0.918       1.174
  fall#2000  |      1.002      0.065     0.02   0.980        0.882       1.138
  fall#2001  |      1.082      0.072     1.18   0.239        0.949       1.233
  fall#2002  |      1.054      0.068     0.82   0.413        0.929       1.195
  fall#2003  |      1.108      0.087     1.31   0.192        0.950       1.292
  fall#2004  |      1.085      0.082     1.09   0.276        0.937       1.258
  fall#2005  |      1.044      0.075     0.60   0.547        0.907       1.202
  fall#2006  |      1.077      0.077     1.05   0.295        0.937       1.239
  fall#2007  |      1.046      0.057     0.82   0.414        0.939       1.165
  fall#2008  |      1.083      0.077     1.12   0.264        0.941       1.246
  fall#2009  |      1.113      0.082     1.46   0.145        0.964       1.285
  fall#2010  |      1.187      0.084     2.43   0.015        1.034       1.364
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.912      0.426     2.91   0.004        1.235       2.960
         AZ  |      3.600      0.086    53.52   0.000        3.435       3.773
         AR  |      0.968      0.012    -2.58   0.010        0.945       0.992
         CA  |      6.995      0.399    34.14   0.000        6.256       7.821
         CO  |      4.946      0.205    38.55   0.000        4.560       5.365
         CT  |      1.428      0.094     5.39   0.000        1.254       1.625
         DE  |     14.039      0.465    79.69   0.000       13.156      14.981
         FL  |      7.821      0.080   201.78   0.000        7.666       7.979
         GA  |      1.329      0.025    15.24   0.000        1.281       1.378
         HI  |      8.618      0.497    37.32   0.000        7.696       9.650
         ID  |      4.315      0.265    23.82   0.000        3.826       4.867
         IL  |      3.097      0.105    33.38   0.000        2.898       3.310
         IN  |      1.424      0.026    19.59   0.000        1.375       1.476
         IA  |      1.446      0.095     5.63   0.000        1.272       1.643
         KS  |      1.408      0.072     6.71   0.000        1.274       1.556
         KY  |      2.613      0.023   107.42   0.000        2.568       2.659
         LA  |      1.862      0.315     3.68   0.000        1.337       2.594
         ME  |      4.499      0.087    77.47   0.000        4.331       4.673
         MD  |      3.056      0.112    30.44   0.000        2.844       3.284
         MA  |      3.917      0.268    19.99   0.000        3.426       4.478
         MI  |      3.658      0.391    12.14   0.000        2.967       4.510
         MN  |      2.508      0.103    22.30   0.000        2.313       2.719
         MS  |      1.066      0.031     2.17   0.030        1.006       1.129
         MO  |      1.642      0.017    47.04   0.000        1.609       1.677
         MT  |      3.126      0.675     5.27   0.000        2.047       4.774
         NE  |      0.931      0.055    -1.21   0.228        0.829       1.046
         NV  |      7.577      0.319    48.14   0.000        6.977       8.228
         NH  |      0.783      0.022    -8.66   0.000        0.741       0.828
         NJ  |      6.303      0.396    29.34   0.000        5.573       7.128
         NM  |     12.496      0.776    40.67   0.000       11.064      14.113
         NY  |      2.547      0.273     8.72   0.000        2.064       3.142
         NC  |      1.847      0.006   182.88   0.000        1.835       1.860
         ND  |      5.650      1.146     8.54   0.000        3.797       8.409
         OH  |      8.572      0.157   117.37   0.000        8.269       8.885
         OK  |      2.791      0.612     4.68   0.000        1.816       4.290
         OR  |      2.154      0.019    85.34   0.000        2.117       2.193
         PA  |      3.190      0.233    15.87   0.000        2.764       3.681
         RI  |      5.822      0.324    31.68   0.000        5.221       6.492
         SC  |      1.929      0.021    61.56   0.000        1.889       1.969
         SD  |      2.412      0.142    14.94   0.000        2.149       2.707
         TN  |      1.842      0.005   227.00   0.000        1.832       1.852
         TX  |      4.251      0.490    12.56   0.000        3.392       5.328
         UT  |      2.186      0.082    20.84   0.000        2.031       2.353
         VT  |      7.093      0.159    87.23   0.000        6.788       7.412
         VA  |      2.409      0.074    28.47   0.000        2.267       2.559
         WA  |      2.715      0.033    81.56   0.000        2.650       2.781
         WV  |      1.346      0.028    14.41   0.000        1.293       1.402
         WI  |      4.796      0.636    11.83   0.000        3.699       6.219
         WY  |      5.298      1.574     5.61   0.000        2.960       9.482
             |
     quarter |      1.012      0.014     0.84   0.404        0.984       1.041
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -1.72   0.085        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.002      0.003     0.65   0.515        0.996       1.007
         AZ  |      0.991      0.001   -11.90   0.000        0.989       0.992
         AR  |      1.003      0.000    13.38   0.000        1.003       1.004
         CA  |      0.976      0.001   -26.46   0.000        0.974       0.978
         CO  |      0.984      0.001   -19.29   0.000        0.982       0.985
         CT  |      0.994      0.001    -6.24   0.000        0.992       0.996
         DE  |      0.964      0.000   -94.79   0.000        0.963       0.965
         FL  |      0.976      0.000  -174.49   0.000        0.976       0.976
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    -2.02   0.044        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      0.970      0.001   -42.71   0.000        0.969       0.972
         ID  |      0.988      0.002    -7.87   0.000        0.985       0.991
         IL  |      0.985      0.000   -32.47   0.000        0.984       0.986
         IN  |      0.997      0.000   -14.81   0.000        0.997       0.998
         IA  |      0.998      0.001    -2.41   0.016        0.996       1.000
         KS  |      0.998      0.001    -2.85   0.004        0.996       0.999
         KY  |      0.988      0.000   -81.94   0.000        0.987       0.988
         LA  |      0.998      0.002    -1.09   0.278        0.994       1.002
         ME  |      0.984      0.000   -53.44   0.000        0.984       0.985
         MD  |      0.987      0.001   -24.28   0.000        0.986       0.988
         MA  |      0.980      0.001   -21.70   0.000        0.978       0.981
         MI  |      0.985      0.002    -9.06   0.000        0.982       0.988
         MN  |      0.992      0.001   -11.52   0.000        0.990       0.993
         MS  |      1.001      0.000     1.77   0.077        1.000       1.001
         MO  |      0.997      0.000   -19.29   0.000        0.996       0.997
         MT  |      0.993      0.003    -2.40   0.016        0.986       0.999
         NE  |      1.003      0.001     3.28   0.001        1.001       1.005
         NV  |      0.986      0.000  -108.29   0.000        0.985       0.986
         NH  |      1.011      0.001    17.03   0.000        1.009       1.012
         NJ  |      0.969      0.001   -36.78   0.000        0.968       0.971
         NM  |      0.976      0.001   -21.17   0.000        0.974       0.978
         NY  |      0.984      0.001   -11.72   0.000        0.981       0.987
         NC  |      0.993      0.000   -37.38   0.000        0.992       0.993
         ND  |      0.978      0.003    -7.85   0.000        0.972       0.983
         OH  |      0.970      0.000  -150.41   0.000        0.970       0.970
         OK  |      0.991      0.003    -2.98   0.003        0.985       0.997
         OR  |      0.995      0.001    -8.37   0.000        0.994       0.996
         PA  |      0.985      0.001   -15.62   0.000        0.983       0.987
         RI  |      0.977      0.001   -33.95   0.000        0.975       0.978
         SC  |      0.991      0.000  -198.58   0.000        0.991       0.991
         SD  |      0.994      0.001    -5.93   0.000        0.992       0.996
         TN  |      0.992      0.000   -69.11   0.000        0.992       0.992
         TX  |      0.985      0.002    -8.28   0.000        0.981       0.989
         UT  |      0.995      0.001    -4.94   0.000        0.993       0.997
         VT  |      0.980      0.000   -70.76   0.000        0.980       0.981
         VA  |      0.991      0.000   -18.54   0.000        0.990       0.992
         WA  |      0.991      0.000   -25.32   0.000        0.990       0.991
         WV  |      0.997      0.000    -9.48   0.000        0.996       0.998
         WI  |      0.983      0.002    -8.55   0.000        0.980       0.987
         WY  |      0.988      0.004    -2.79   0.005        0.980       0.996
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     0.52   0.602        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     3.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -11.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    16.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    10.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     2.12   0.034        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   141.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    58.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    -8.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    76.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     3.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    20.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     4.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     0.46   0.646        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     1.66   0.098        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    49.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -1.07   0.285        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    41.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    13.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    13.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     6.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000     5.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -3.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000     8.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     1.99   0.046        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -3.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     6.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -13.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    30.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    14.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     9.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    11.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     8.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   142.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     2.20   0.028        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     0.86   0.391        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    13.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    22.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    31.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000     6.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    26.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     4.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     1.74   0.082        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    45.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000     8.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    10.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000     5.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     5.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     2.18   0.029        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     10.670      8.932     2.83   0.005        2.068      55.043
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 1.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.04       0.14     0.31   0.758        -0.23        0.32
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -19.76       1.15   -17.24   0.000       -22.01      -17.51
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -4.09       0.43    -9.63   0.000        -4.93       -3.26
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.52       0.11     4.60   0.000         0.30        0.75
     summer  |       0.16       0.13     1.29   0.198        -0.09        0.42
       fall  |       0.49       0.12     4.15   0.000         0.26        0.71
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 1.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =   -88650.4                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3168

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.994      0.012    -0.50   0.614        0.970       1.018
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.197      0.005   -59.50   0.000        0.186       0.208
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.714      0.032    -7.45   0.000        0.653       0.780
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.967      0.046    -0.70   0.484        0.881       1.062
     summer  |      1.058      0.037     1.63   0.103        0.989       1.133
       fall  |      0.994      0.046    -0.12   0.902        0.908       1.088
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.005      0.061     0.08   0.936        0.893       1.131
       1982  |      0.934      0.075    -0.86   0.392        0.798       1.092
       1983  |      1.014      0.107     0.14   0.892        0.824       1.248
       1984  |      1.020      0.123     0.16   0.871        0.805       1.292
       1985  |      1.083      0.151     0.57   0.566        0.824       1.425
       1986  |      1.120      0.171     0.74   0.458        0.830       1.511
       1987  |      1.132      0.195     0.72   0.471        0.808       1.588
       1988  |      1.308      0.267     1.32   0.188        0.877       1.953
       1989  |      1.404      0.286     1.67   0.095        0.942       2.093
       1990  |      1.397      0.313     1.49   0.136        0.900       2.169
       1991  |      1.526      0.370     1.74   0.081        0.949       2.455
       1992  |      1.833      0.453     2.45   0.014        1.130       2.974
       1993  |      2.006      0.526     2.66   0.008        1.200       3.352
       1994  |      2.044      0.561     2.60   0.009        1.194       3.500
       1995  |      2.293      0.636     2.99   0.003        1.331       3.950
       1996  |      2.314      0.673     2.89   0.004        1.309       4.090
       1997  |      2.518      0.762     3.05   0.002        1.391       4.558
       1998  |      2.711      0.902     3.00   0.003        1.413       5.203
       1999  |      2.601      0.840     2.96   0.003        1.381       4.897
       2000  |      3.027      1.020     3.29   0.001        1.564       5.859
       2001  |      3.058      1.074     3.18   0.001        1.536       6.086
       2002  |      3.381      1.202     3.43   0.001        1.684       6.787
       2003  |      3.565      1.303     3.48   0.001        1.742       7.298
       2004  |      4.149      1.550     3.81   0.000        1.996       8.628
       2005  |      4.263      1.634     3.78   0.000        2.012       9.036
       2006  |      4.419      1.731     3.79   0.000        2.050       9.523
       2007  |      4.651      1.822     3.92   0.000        2.159      10.021
       2008  |      4.984      1.969     4.07   0.000        2.298      10.810
       2009  |      5.096      2.047     4.05   0.000        2.320      11.198
       2010  |      5.302      2.166     4.08   0.000        2.381      11.807
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.002      0.081     0.02   0.985        0.855       1.173
spring#1982  |      1.124      0.073     1.81   0.070        0.991       1.276
spring#1983  |      0.938      0.063    -0.96   0.338        0.822       1.070
spring#1984  |      1.005      0.053     0.10   0.921        0.907       1.115
spring#1985  |      1.059      0.061     1.00   0.316        0.946       1.186
spring#1986  |      1.082      0.090     0.94   0.345        0.919       1.273
spring#1987  |      1.093      0.068     1.43   0.154        0.967       1.235
spring#1988  |      0.993      0.055    -0.13   0.896        0.890       1.107
spring#1989  |      1.015      0.062     0.25   0.802        0.901       1.145
spring#1990  |      1.101      0.071     1.50   0.134        0.971       1.249
spring#1991  |      1.081      0.055     1.52   0.129        0.977       1.195
spring#1992  |      0.998      0.058    -0.03   0.975        0.890       1.120
spring#1993  |      1.056      0.058     0.99   0.323        0.948       1.175
spring#1994  |      1.218      0.075     3.21   0.001        1.080       1.374
spring#1995  |      1.122      0.072     1.80   0.071        0.990       1.272
spring#1996  |      1.124      0.084     1.57   0.117        0.971       1.300
spring#1997  |      1.050      0.071     0.72   0.473        0.919       1.198
spring#1998  |      1.035      0.062     0.57   0.567        0.921       1.163
spring#1999  |      1.169      0.075     2.44   0.015        1.031       1.325
spring#2000  |      1.043      0.059     0.74   0.458        0.933       1.167
spring#2001  |      1.127      0.073     1.85   0.065        0.993       1.280
spring#2002  |      1.097      0.070     1.45   0.147        0.968       1.244
spring#2003  |      1.119      0.075     1.68   0.094        0.981       1.276
spring#2004  |      1.140      0.079     1.88   0.061        0.994       1.306
spring#2005  |      1.152      0.086     1.89   0.058        0.995       1.333
spring#2006  |      1.108      0.074     1.53   0.126        0.972       1.263
spring#2007  |      1.107      0.085     1.33   0.185        0.953       1.286
spring#2008  |      1.091      0.067     1.42   0.155        0.967       1.231
spring#2009  |      1.151      0.068     2.37   0.018        1.024       1.293
spring#2010  |      1.154      0.084     1.97   0.049        1.001       1.331
summer#1981  |      0.880      0.042    -2.70   0.007        0.802       0.965
summer#1982  |      0.974      0.060    -0.43   0.669        0.864       1.099
summer#1983  |      0.863      0.062    -2.06   0.039        0.750       0.993
summer#1984  |      0.910      0.039    -2.20   0.028        0.837       0.990
summer#1985  |      0.878      0.039    -2.96   0.003        0.805       0.957
summer#1986  |      0.954      0.047    -0.96   0.336        0.865       1.051
summer#1987  |      0.987      0.057    -0.23   0.817        0.882       1.104
summer#1988  |      0.889      0.048    -2.17   0.030        0.799       0.989
summer#1989  |      0.899      0.045    -2.15   0.032        0.816       0.991
summer#1990  |      1.052      0.069     0.78   0.438        0.926       1.195
summer#1991  |      1.031      0.050     0.63   0.529        0.938       1.133
summer#1992  |      0.892      0.041    -2.51   0.012        0.815       0.975
summer#1993  |      0.899      0.042    -2.28   0.023        0.820       0.985
summer#1994  |      1.036      0.062     0.60   0.552        0.921       1.166
summer#1995  |      0.961      0.046    -0.82   0.412        0.875       1.056
summer#1996  |      0.927      0.063    -1.11   0.266        0.812       1.059
summer#1997  |      0.898      0.051    -1.90   0.057        0.804       1.003
summer#1998  |      0.904      0.050    -1.81   0.071        0.811       1.009
summer#1999  |      0.970      0.055    -0.55   0.583        0.868       1.083
summer#2000  |      0.927      0.050    -1.41   0.160        0.833       1.030
summer#2001  |      1.008      0.054     0.15   0.882        0.908       1.119
summer#2002  |      1.012      0.053     0.23   0.814        0.913       1.123
summer#2003  |      0.994      0.074    -0.08   0.933        0.859       1.150
summer#2004  |      0.959      0.055    -0.73   0.466        0.857       1.073
summer#2005  |      1.010      0.055     0.18   0.859        0.908       1.123
summer#2006  |      1.042      0.078     0.55   0.580        0.900       1.206
summer#2007  |      1.000      0.045     0.00   0.997        0.915       1.093
summer#2008  |      0.996      0.054    -0.07   0.941        0.896       1.107
summer#2009  |      1.006      0.059     0.10   0.921        0.897       1.128
summer#2010  |      1.041      0.058     0.71   0.477        0.932       1.162
  fall#1981  |      0.969      0.082    -0.38   0.705        0.821       1.143
  fall#1982  |      0.992      0.079    -0.10   0.924        0.849       1.160
  fall#1983  |      0.888      0.056    -1.90   0.057        0.785       1.004
  fall#1984  |      1.016      0.046     0.35   0.725        0.930       1.109
  fall#1985  |      1.006      0.056     0.11   0.914        0.903       1.121
  fall#1986  |      0.989      0.067    -0.16   0.873        0.865       1.131
  fall#1987  |      1.032      0.060     0.54   0.586        0.920       1.158
  fall#1988  |      0.989      0.056    -0.20   0.840        0.885       1.104
  fall#1989  |      0.987      0.065    -0.19   0.846        0.869       1.122
  fall#1990  |      1.152      0.073     2.23   0.025        1.018       1.304
  fall#1991  |      1.132      0.075     1.86   0.062        0.994       1.290
  fall#1992  |      0.937      0.050    -1.21   0.227        0.844       1.041
  fall#1993  |      1.017      0.051     0.34   0.731        0.922       1.123
  fall#1994  |      1.122      0.073     1.76   0.079        0.987       1.275
  fall#1995  |      1.057      0.061     0.96   0.336        0.944       1.184
  fall#1996  |      1.064      0.069     0.96   0.336        0.937       1.208
  fall#1997  |      1.013      0.069     0.19   0.850        0.886       1.158
  fall#1998  |      1.013      0.063     0.21   0.833        0.896       1.146
  fall#1999  |      1.082      0.069     1.23   0.218        0.954       1.227
  fall#2000  |      1.043      0.072     0.61   0.544        0.911       1.193
  fall#2001  |      1.126      0.077     1.75   0.081        0.986       1.288
  fall#2002  |      1.093      0.072     1.35   0.178        0.961       1.243
  fall#2003  |      1.144      0.094     1.65   0.100        0.975       1.344
  fall#2004  |      1.115      0.087     1.40   0.163        0.957       1.299
  fall#2005  |      1.068      0.079     0.89   0.372        0.924       1.234
  fall#2006  |      1.097      0.078     1.30   0.193        0.954       1.260
  fall#2007  |      1.060      0.058     1.06   0.290        0.951       1.181
  fall#2008  |      1.095      0.077     1.28   0.199        0.954       1.256
  fall#2009  |      1.120      0.081     1.56   0.119        0.971       1.291
  fall#2010  |      1.180      0.083     2.36   0.018        1.028       1.355
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.415      0.321     1.53   0.125        0.908       2.206
         AZ  |      1.440      0.418     1.25   0.210        0.815       2.543
         AR  |      0.560      0.035    -9.23   0.000        0.496       0.634
         CA  |      0.324      0.019   -19.01   0.000        0.289       0.364
         CO  |      0.221      0.083    -4.01   0.000        0.105       0.462
         CT  |      0.012      0.002   -22.13   0.000        0.008       0.018
         DE  |     76.033      4.415    74.59   0.000       67.854      85.198
         FL  |      8.795      0.533    35.88   0.000        7.810       9.904
         GA  |      0.145      0.014   -19.44   0.000        0.119       0.176
         HI  |      0.075      0.021    -9.30   0.000        0.044       0.130
         ID  |      0.079      0.051    -3.90   0.000        0.022       0.283
         IL  |      0.426      0.088    -4.11   0.000        0.284       0.640
         IN  |      0.096      0.012   -18.94   0.000        0.075       0.122
         IA  |      0.048      0.007   -21.92   0.000        0.036       0.062
         KS  |      0.663      0.121    -2.24   0.025        0.464       0.949
         KY  |      0.832      0.116    -1.31   0.189        0.633       1.095
         LA  |      1.402      0.447     1.06   0.289        0.751       2.617
         ME  |      0.074      0.009   -22.15   0.000        0.059       0.093
         MD  |      2.764      0.326     8.63   0.000        2.194       3.482
         MA  |      0.141      0.019   -14.35   0.000        0.108       0.184
         MI  |      0.079      0.031    -6.51   0.000        0.037       0.170
         MN  |      0.015      0.002   -34.46   0.000        0.012       0.019
         MS  |      5.969      0.784    13.61   0.000        4.615       7.721
         MO  |      0.273      0.030   -11.72   0.000        0.220       0.339
         MT  |      0.038      0.018    -7.00   0.000        0.015       0.096
         NE  |      0.068      0.013   -13.71   0.000        0.047       0.100
         NV  |     26.106     21.158     4.03   0.000        5.332     127.820
         NH  |      0.047      0.004   -32.15   0.000        0.039       0.057
         NJ  |      5.845      0.689    14.98   0.000        4.639       7.365
         NM  |      0.377      0.063    -5.80   0.000        0.272       0.525
         NY  |     11.957      2.248    13.20   0.000        8.272      17.285
         NC  |      4.074      0.056   101.48   0.000        3.965       4.186
         ND  |      0.453      0.066    -5.42   0.000        0.340       0.603
         OH  |      3.838      0.813     6.35   0.000        2.534       5.814
         OK  |      1.527      0.569     1.14   0.256        0.736       3.171
         OR  |      0.421      0.171    -2.13   0.034        0.190       0.935
         PA  |      0.984      0.049    -0.33   0.741        0.893       1.084
         RI  |      6.739      0.615    20.92   0.000        5.636       8.059
         SC  |      0.142      0.005   -55.26   0.000        0.132       0.152
         SD  |      0.001      0.000   -83.34   0.000        0.001       0.002
         TN  |      0.157      0.006   -47.97   0.000        0.145       0.169
         TX  |      0.086      0.011   -19.86   0.000        0.067       0.109
         UT  |      0.021      0.006   -14.36   0.000        0.012       0.035
         VT  |      0.490      0.063    -5.57   0.000        0.381       0.630
         VA  |      1.328      0.133     2.83   0.005        1.091       1.617
         WA  |      0.197      0.010   -30.69   0.000        0.178       0.219
         WV  |    134.908     16.727    39.56   0.000      105.804     172.018
         WI  |      0.113      0.054    -4.54   0.000        0.044       0.289
         WY  |      0.003      0.001   -23.49   0.000        0.002       0.005
             |
     quarter |      1.129      0.057     2.42   0.016        1.023       1.246
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.000    -2.48   0.013        0.998       1.000
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     2.25   0.024        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.008      0.007     1.03   0.305        0.993       1.022
         AZ  |      1.012      0.007     1.79   0.074        0.999       1.026
         AR  |      1.016      0.001    11.36   0.000        1.013       1.019
         CA  |      1.047      0.002    29.80   0.000        1.044       1.050
         CO  |      1.057      0.009     6.44   0.000        1.039       1.074
         CT  |      1.110      0.006    19.83   0.000        1.098       1.121
         DE  |      0.926      0.001   -50.36   0.000        0.924       0.929
         FL  |      0.973      0.001   -18.62   0.000        0.970       0.976
         GA  |      1.052      0.003    18.79   0.000        1.047       1.058
         HI  |      1.082      0.008    11.16   0.000        1.067       1.097
         ID  |      1.083      0.016     5.30   0.000        1.052       1.116
         IL  |      1.031      0.005     6.77   0.000        1.022       1.040
         IN  |      1.061      0.003    19.61   0.000        1.055       1.068
         IA  |      1.079      0.003    29.46   0.000        1.073       1.084
         KS  |      1.015      0.004     3.98   0.000        1.008       1.022
         KY  |      1.014      0.003     4.23   0.000        1.007       1.020
         LA  |      1.002      0.005     0.42   0.674        0.992       1.013
         ME  |      1.082      0.003    28.88   0.000        1.077       1.088
         MD  |      0.989      0.003    -3.66   0.000        0.983       0.995
         MA  |      1.058      0.004    14.80   0.000        1.050       1.065
         MI  |      1.077      0.011     7.54   0.000        1.057       1.098
         MN  |      1.116      0.003    42.80   0.000        1.110       1.122
         MS  |      0.961      0.003   -14.30   0.000        0.956       0.967
         MO  |      1.038      0.003    14.83   0.000        1.033       1.044
         MT  |      1.096      0.010    10.53   0.000        1.078       1.115
         NE  |      1.065      0.004    15.42   0.000        1.056       1.074
         NV  |      0.959      0.019    -2.14   0.033        0.922       0.997
         NH  |      1.078      0.002    34.71   0.000        1.073       1.083
         NJ  |      0.970      0.003    -9.30   0.000        0.963       0.976
         NM  |      1.058      0.004    15.79   0.000        1.050       1.065
         NY  |      0.948      0.005    -9.77   0.000        0.937       0.958
         NC  |      0.975      0.000   -57.57   0.000        0.974       0.976
         ND  |      1.035      0.002    23.11   0.000        1.032       1.038
         OH  |      0.988      0.005    -2.67   0.008        0.978       0.997
         OK  |      1.003      0.006     0.48   0.630        0.991       1.016
         OR  |      1.034      0.010     3.34   0.001        1.014       1.054
         PA  |      1.011      0.001    12.45   0.000        1.010       1.013
         RI  |      0.972      0.002   -11.18   0.000        0.967       0.977
         SC  |      1.052      0.001    48.10   0.000        1.050       1.055
         SD  |      1.177      0.002   106.86   0.000        1.173       1.180
         TN  |      1.050      0.001    50.03   0.000        1.048       1.052
         TX  |      1.077      0.002    37.73   0.000        1.073       1.081
         UT  |      1.107      0.007    16.13   0.000        1.093       1.121
         VT  |      1.043      0.003    13.96   0.000        1.036       1.049
         VA  |      1.004      0.003     1.57   0.116        0.999       1.009
         WA  |      1.052      0.001    38.91   0.000        1.050       1.055
         WV  |      0.895      0.002   -41.26   0.000        0.891       0.900
         WI  |      1.072      0.011     6.93   0.000        1.051       1.093
         WY  |      1.171      0.003    53.58   0.000        1.164       1.177
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    -0.48   0.633        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -2.76   0.006        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -10.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -32.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    -7.75   0.000        0.999       1.000
         CT  |      0.999      0.000   -18.89   0.000        0.999       0.999
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    32.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     7.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000   -17.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      0.999      0.000   -12.41   0.000        0.999       0.999
         ID  |      0.999      0.000    -5.97   0.000        0.999       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    -9.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -19.51   0.000        0.999       1.000
         IA  |      0.999      0.000   -37.25   0.000        0.999       0.999
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    -4.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    -6.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.92   0.359        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      0.999      0.000   -33.81   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     0.93   0.352        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      0.999      0.000   -16.30   0.000        0.999       1.000
         MI  |      0.999      0.000    -7.85   0.000        0.999       1.000
         MN  |      0.999      0.000   -50.85   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    15.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -15.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      0.999      0.000   -13.47   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -16.86   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     1.52   0.128        1.000       1.001
         NH  |      0.999      0.000   -31.80   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     3.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      0.999      0.000   -22.47   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     7.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    42.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -62.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    -0.92   0.357        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    -1.57   0.115        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -3.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -16.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000     4.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -48.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      0.999      0.000  -141.70   0.000        0.999       0.999
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -53.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      0.999      0.000   -72.34   0.000        0.999       0.999
         UT  |      0.999      0.000   -17.17   0.000        0.999       0.999
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -18.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    -3.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -46.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.001      0.000    43.19   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WI  |      0.999      0.000    -8.78   0.000        0.999       1.000
         WY  |      0.999      0.000  -208.75   0.000        0.999       0.999
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     0.45   0.652        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     3.46   0.001        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    10.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    29.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     9.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    17.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -23.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -2.60   0.009        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    18.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    13.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     6.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    11.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    19.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    47.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     5.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000     8.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     0.54   0.586        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    36.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     0.08   0.940        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    15.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     7.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    64.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -17.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    15.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    17.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    19.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -1.41   0.158        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    23.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    -0.26   0.797        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    33.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -5.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -49.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    29.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000     3.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     2.75   0.006        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     3.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    16.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    -2.15   0.031        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    57.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000   211.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    63.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   143.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    19.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    20.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000     4.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    64.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -46.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    10.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    91.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.136      0.288    -0.94   0.345        0.002       8.547
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 1.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.08       0.15    -0.51   0.614        -0.37        0.22
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -19.77       1.15   -17.21   0.000       -22.02      -17.52
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -4.10       0.43    -9.63   0.000        -4.93       -3.26
             |
      agecat |
   15 to 24  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.52       0.11     4.59   0.000         0.30        0.75
     summer  |       0.17       0.13     1.32   0.188        -0.08        0.42
       fall  |       0.50       0.12     4.21   0.000         0.27        0.73
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(output written to suic-econ-atable-agecat_1.txt)
-> Group = 25 to 44

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =       1.30
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.2550
Log pseudolikelihood = -200339.82                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0006

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.009      0.008     1.14   0.255        0.994       1.024
       _cons |     16.263      1.357    33.42   0.000       13.809      19.153
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.13       0.11     1.15   0.249        -0.09        0.34
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(3)    =   14777.81
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -128949.12                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3567

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.006      0.007     0.89   0.376        0.992       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.267      0.005   -68.39   0.000        0.257       0.277
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.589      0.020   -15.79   0.000        0.551       0.629
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.000  (omitted)
       _cons |     26.993      2.036    43.69   0.000       23.283      31.294
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.08       0.09     0.89   0.371        -0.09        0.25
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -16.70       0.67   -24.84   0.000       -18.01      -15.38
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.70       0.44   -15.17   0.000        -7.56       -5.83
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       0.00  (omitted)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -121051.73                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3961

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.020      0.007     2.69   0.007        1.005       1.034
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.267      0.005   -70.54   0.000        0.258       0.277
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.602      0.021   -14.47   0.000        0.562       0.645
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.358      0.004   108.12   0.000        1.351       1.366
         AZ  |      1.325      0.022    16.88   0.000        1.283       1.369
         AR  |      1.122      0.003    40.49   0.000        1.115       1.128
         CA  |      0.843      0.003   -44.12   0.000        0.837       0.849
         CO  |      1.270      0.017    18.32   0.000        1.238       1.303
         CT  |      0.691      0.006   -46.20   0.000        0.680       0.702
         DE  |      1.001      0.005     0.30   0.762        0.992       1.011
         FL  |      1.116      0.007    17.41   0.000        1.102       1.130
         GA  |      0.973      0.009    -2.89   0.004        0.955       0.991
         HI  |      1.039      0.017     2.39   0.017        1.007       1.072
         ID  |      1.197      0.021    10.41   0.000        1.157       1.238
         IL  |      0.745      0.003   -62.77   0.000        0.738       0.751
         IN  |      0.980      0.005    -4.40   0.000        0.971       0.989
         IA  |      0.875      0.005   -22.98   0.000        0.865       0.885
         KS  |      0.995      0.005    -0.97   0.331        0.985       1.005
         KY  |      1.060      0.005    13.02   0.000        1.051       1.070
         LA  |      1.106      0.003    36.85   0.000        1.100       1.111
         ME  |      1.009      0.009     1.06   0.287        0.992       1.026
         MD  |      0.836      0.005   -29.68   0.000        0.826       0.846
         MA  |      0.687      0.008   -30.60   0.000        0.670       0.704
         MI  |      0.944      0.006    -9.26   0.000        0.932       0.955
         MN  |      0.839      0.005   -26.93   0.000        0.829       0.850
         MS  |      1.059      0.004    13.77   0.000        1.050       1.067
         MO  |      1.074      0.005    14.32   0.000        1.063       1.084
         MT  |      1.478      0.014    40.50   0.000        1.451       1.507
         NE  |      0.840      0.006   -23.78   0.000        0.828       0.852
         NV  |      1.627      0.039    20.16   0.000        1.552       1.706
         NH  |      0.929      0.015    -4.69   0.000        0.901       0.958
         NJ  |      0.562      0.003   -92.76   0.000        0.555       0.569
         NM  |      1.571      0.014    50.41   0.000        1.544       1.599
         NY  |      0.599      0.002  -134.64   0.000        0.595       0.603
         NC  |      0.983      0.006    -3.11   0.002        0.972       0.994
         ND  |      0.898      0.009   -11.18   0.000        0.881       0.915
         OH  |      0.881      0.005   -20.70   0.000        0.870       0.892
         OK  |      1.251      0.009    29.68   0.000        1.232       1.269
         OR  |      1.154      0.016    10.46   0.000        1.123       1.185
         PA  |      0.952      0.005    -9.82   0.000        0.943       0.961
         RI  |      0.815      0.009   -19.47   0.000        0.798       0.832
         SC  |      1.048      0.005     9.70   0.000        1.038       1.058
         SD  |      1.062      0.006    10.55   0.000        1.051       1.075
         TN  |      1.101      0.004    27.56   0.000        1.093       1.108
         TX  |      0.936      0.008    -7.47   0.000        0.920       0.952
         UT  |      1.290      0.019    17.55   0.000        1.254       1.327
         VT  |      1.048      0.008     6.32   0.000        1.033       1.063
         VA  |      0.953      0.004   -12.04   0.000        0.946       0.961
         WA  |      1.018      0.004     4.45   0.000        1.010       1.026
         WV  |      1.061      0.006    10.02   0.000        1.049       1.074
         WI  |      0.959      0.011    -3.79   0.000        0.939       0.980
         WY  |      1.393      0.015    30.01   0.000        1.364       1.424
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.067      0.024     2.83   0.005        1.020       1.115
     summer  |      1.063      0.026     2.47   0.014        1.013       1.116
       fall  |      1.055      0.028     2.03   0.043        1.002       1.112
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.056      0.032     1.82   0.069        0.996       1.121
       1982  |      1.011      0.029     0.37   0.712        0.955       1.069
       1983  |      1.010      0.028     0.36   0.718        0.956       1.067
       1984  |      1.021      0.032     0.66   0.509        0.960       1.086
       1985  |      0.972      0.041    -0.68   0.499        0.896       1.055
       1986  |      1.026      0.044     0.59   0.554        0.943       1.116
       1987  |      1.019      0.046     0.42   0.677        0.932       1.114
       1988  |      1.025      0.045     0.57   0.570        0.941       1.117
       1989  |      0.989      0.036    -0.29   0.770        0.921       1.063
       1990  |      1.024      0.057     0.42   0.672        0.917       1.143
       1991  |      1.001      0.049     0.01   0.992        0.909       1.101
       1992  |      1.026      0.050     0.51   0.607        0.931       1.129
       1993  |      1.044      0.051     0.89   0.375        0.949       1.150
       1994  |      1.037      0.054     0.69   0.488        0.936       1.148
       1995  |      1.012      0.062     0.19   0.848        0.898       1.140
       1996  |      1.026      0.073     0.36   0.715        0.893       1.179
       1997  |      1.044      0.078     0.58   0.564        0.901       1.210
       1998  |      1.085      0.071     1.25   0.210        0.955       1.233
       1999  |      1.000      0.088     0.00   0.996        0.842       1.188
       2000  |      1.027      0.093     0.29   0.771        0.860       1.226
       2001  |      0.997      0.101    -0.03   0.976        0.818       1.216
       2002  |      1.046      0.090     0.53   0.599        0.884       1.239
       2003  |      1.024      0.087     0.28   0.783        0.867       1.208
       2004  |      1.027      0.093     0.29   0.771        0.860       1.226
       2005  |      1.040      0.107     0.39   0.699        0.851       1.272
       2006  |      1.038      0.103     0.37   0.709        0.854       1.261
       2007  |      1.079      0.100     0.82   0.412        0.900       1.294
       2008  |      1.114      0.102     1.18   0.237        0.931       1.333
       2009  |      1.073      0.098     0.77   0.441        0.897       1.283
       2010  |      1.085      0.099     0.90   0.368        0.908       1.297
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.969      0.047    -0.64   0.523        0.881       1.067
spring#1982  |      1.022      0.037     0.60   0.551        0.952       1.096
spring#1983  |      0.963      0.036    -1.02   0.307        0.895       1.036
spring#1984  |      0.983      0.039    -0.44   0.657        0.909       1.062
spring#1985  |      1.020      0.039     0.52   0.602        0.946       1.100
spring#1986  |      0.993      0.043    -0.17   0.866        0.912       1.081
spring#1987  |      1.025      0.038     0.66   0.511        0.953       1.103
spring#1988  |      0.983      0.025    -0.67   0.501        0.935       1.033
spring#1989  |      1.040      0.035     1.16   0.248        0.973       1.112
spring#1990  |      0.982      0.031    -0.58   0.562        0.923       1.045
spring#1991  |      1.003      0.029     0.10   0.917        0.948       1.061
spring#1992  |      0.951      0.030    -1.57   0.116        0.894       1.012
spring#1993  |      0.945      0.027    -1.95   0.051        0.893       1.000
spring#1994  |      1.001      0.035     0.04   0.966        0.935       1.072
spring#1995  |      1.047      0.035     1.36   0.173        0.980       1.119
spring#1996  |      0.995      0.038    -0.12   0.903        0.924       1.072
spring#1997  |      0.971      0.038    -0.74   0.459        0.899       1.049
spring#1998  |      0.928      0.027    -2.56   0.011        0.876       0.983
spring#1999  |      0.970      0.026    -1.11   0.266        0.920       1.023
spring#2000  |      0.957      0.028    -1.48   0.138        0.903       1.014
spring#2001  |      1.018      0.033     0.56   0.575        0.956       1.084
spring#2002  |      0.970      0.029    -1.03   0.303        0.914       1.028
spring#2003  |      1.002      0.034     0.05   0.961        0.937       1.070
spring#2004  |      1.018      0.033     0.54   0.589        0.954       1.086
spring#2005  |      1.011      0.037     0.31   0.755        0.942       1.086
spring#2006  |      1.008      0.029     0.29   0.768        0.953       1.067
spring#2007  |      1.017      0.034     0.51   0.610        0.953       1.085
spring#2008  |      0.994      0.033    -0.17   0.866        0.932       1.061
spring#2009  |      0.987      0.030    -0.43   0.670        0.929       1.048
spring#2010  |      1.033      0.037     0.89   0.375        0.962       1.109
summer#1981  |      0.977      0.043    -0.53   0.594        0.895       1.065
summer#1982  |      1.014      0.032     0.46   0.647        0.954       1.079
summer#1983  |      0.963      0.036    -1.02   0.306        0.895       1.035
summer#1984  |      0.957      0.038    -1.13   0.259        0.886       1.033
summer#1985  |      0.997      0.036    -0.09   0.927        0.929       1.070
summer#1986  |      1.028      0.035     0.80   0.426        0.961       1.099
summer#1987  |      0.991      0.036    -0.26   0.799        0.924       1.063
summer#1988  |      1.032      0.034     0.95   0.344        0.967       1.102
summer#1989  |      1.032      0.041     0.80   0.421        0.955       1.116
summer#1990  |      1.035      0.039     0.93   0.355        0.962       1.114
summer#1991  |      1.032      0.033     0.98   0.329        0.969       1.098
summer#1992  |      0.948      0.031    -1.63   0.103        0.889       1.011
summer#1993  |      0.987      0.035    -0.38   0.707        0.921       1.057
summer#1994  |      1.002      0.030     0.05   0.959        0.944       1.063
summer#1995  |      1.066      0.041     1.67   0.095        0.989       1.150
summer#1996  |      1.035      0.037     0.96   0.336        0.965       1.111
summer#1997  |      0.972      0.036    -0.76   0.448        0.904       1.046
summer#1998  |      0.947      0.034    -1.51   0.130        0.883       1.016
summer#1999  |      1.014      0.035     0.41   0.681        0.947       1.086
summer#2000  |      0.958      0.033    -1.25   0.212        0.896       1.025
summer#2001  |      1.051      0.039     1.35   0.178        0.978       1.130
summer#2002  |      1.023      0.032     0.72   0.472        0.962       1.088
summer#2003  |      1.030      0.042     0.73   0.464        0.951       1.116
summer#2004  |      1.013      0.027     0.48   0.631        0.961       1.067
summer#2005  |      1.008      0.035     0.22   0.824        0.942       1.078
summer#2006  |      1.061      0.039     1.60   0.109        0.987       1.140
summer#2007  |      1.082      0.040     2.11   0.035        1.006       1.164
summer#2008  |      1.027      0.028     0.98   0.328        0.973       1.084
summer#2009  |      1.079      0.036     2.26   0.024        1.010       1.153
summer#2010  |      1.096      0.043     2.33   0.020        1.015       1.183
  fall#1981  |      0.944      0.036    -1.51   0.131        0.875       1.018
  fall#1982  |      0.917      0.034    -2.32   0.020        0.852       0.987
  fall#1983  |      0.944      0.038    -1.41   0.158        0.872       1.022
  fall#1984  |      0.948      0.034    -1.47   0.143        0.884       1.018
  fall#1985  |      0.990      0.034    -0.29   0.773        0.926       1.059
  fall#1986  |      0.941      0.036    -1.61   0.108        0.873       1.014
  fall#1987  |      0.939      0.036    -1.61   0.107        0.871       1.014
  fall#1988  |      0.935      0.030    -2.08   0.037        0.878       0.996
  fall#1989  |      0.972      0.036    -0.76   0.445        0.903       1.046
  fall#1990  |      0.969      0.037    -0.84   0.401        0.899       1.044
  fall#1991  |      0.970      0.040    -0.75   0.454        0.894       1.051
  fall#1992  |      0.957      0.032    -1.33   0.184        0.897       1.021
  fall#1993  |      0.948      0.027    -1.88   0.060        0.897       1.002
  fall#1994  |      0.997      0.033    -0.08   0.939        0.934       1.065
  fall#1995  |      0.999      0.043    -0.02   0.984        0.919       1.086
  fall#1996  |      0.983      0.039    -0.45   0.655        0.910       1.061
  fall#1997  |      0.978      0.036    -0.60   0.550        0.911       1.051
  fall#1998  |      0.889      0.030    -3.45   0.001        0.831       0.950
  fall#1999  |      0.938      0.034    -1.76   0.079        0.873       1.007
  fall#2000  |      0.901      0.034    -2.74   0.006        0.836       0.971
  fall#2001  |      1.000      0.038    -0.00   0.997        0.928       1.077
  fall#2002  |      0.972      0.040    -0.69   0.490        0.898       1.053
  fall#2003  |      0.974      0.026    -0.98   0.327        0.925       1.026
  fall#2004  |      1.032      0.037     0.88   0.376        0.962       1.108
  fall#2005  |      0.984      0.037    -0.43   0.667        0.915       1.058
  fall#2006  |      1.002      0.033     0.08   0.940        0.940       1.069
  fall#2007  |      1.005      0.041     0.13   0.893        0.929       1.088
  fall#2008  |      0.952      0.034    -1.36   0.175        0.887       1.022
  fall#2009  |      0.988      0.035    -0.35   0.728        0.922       1.058
  fall#2010  |      0.979      0.038    -0.56   0.579        0.907       1.056
             |
       _cons |     31.336      1.797    60.07   0.000       28.005      35.063
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.27       0.10     2.64   0.008         0.07        0.48
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -18.55       0.65   -28.46   0.000       -19.82      -17.27
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -7.13       0.47   -15.27   0.000        -8.04       -6.21
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.81       0.07    11.29   0.000         0.67        0.96
     summer  |       1.06       0.09    11.40   0.000         0.87        1.24
       fall  |       0.26       0.13     2.07   0.038         0.01        0.51
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -119883.92                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4019

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.016      0.005     3.16   0.002        1.006       1.025
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.267      0.005   -70.35   0.000        0.258       0.277
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.604      0.021   -14.35   0.000        0.564       0.647
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.931      0.026    -2.58   0.010        0.881       0.983
         AZ  |      2.049      0.061    23.94   0.000        1.932       2.173
         AR  |      1.004      0.004     0.96   0.339        0.996       1.011
         CA  |      2.541      0.019   122.83   0.000        2.503       2.579
         CO  |      1.810      0.035    30.67   0.000        1.743       1.880
         CT  |      1.019      0.005     4.05   0.000        1.010       1.028
         DE  |      1.606      0.013    57.07   0.000        1.580       1.633
         FL  |      1.991      0.017    79.16   0.000        1.958       2.025
         GA  |      1.722      0.033    28.18   0.000        1.658       1.788
         HI  |      1.172      0.016    11.64   0.000        1.141       1.203
         ID  |      0.976      0.042    -0.57   0.568        0.897       1.061
         IL  |      1.279      0.004    85.68   0.000        1.272       1.286
         IN  |      1.126      0.006    22.46   0.000        1.115       1.138
         IA  |      0.995      0.004    -1.22   0.221        0.986       1.003
         KS  |      1.059      0.003    17.91   0.000        1.053       1.066
         KY  |      1.104      0.005    22.31   0.000        1.094       1.113
         LA  |      1.855      0.045    25.44   0.000        1.769       1.946
         ME  |      1.452      0.007    79.48   0.000        1.439       1.465
         MD  |      1.503      0.006   110.03   0.000        1.492       1.514
         MA  |      1.207      0.007    31.93   0.000        1.193       1.221
         MI  |      1.296      0.004    90.94   0.000        1.289       1.304
         MN  |      1.151      0.011    14.22   0.000        1.129       1.174
         MS  |      0.885      0.002   -67.62   0.000        0.882       0.888
         MO  |      1.256      0.003    88.60   0.000        1.250       1.263
         MT  |      1.318      0.005    80.48   0.000        1.309       1.327
         NE  |      1.071      0.009     8.19   0.000        1.054       1.089
         NV  |      3.274      0.162    23.92   0.000        2.971       3.608
         NH  |      1.040      0.020     2.03   0.042        1.001       1.080
         NJ  |      0.855      0.003   -41.36   0.000        0.849       0.862
         NM  |      1.939      0.032    39.90   0.000        1.877       2.003
         NY  |      1.104      0.011     9.66   0.000        1.082       1.127
         NC  |      1.199      0.017    13.00   0.000        1.167       1.232
         ND  |      0.594      0.004   -77.05   0.000        0.586       0.602
         OH  |      1.175      0.004    44.14   0.000        1.167       1.184
         OK  |      1.340      0.018    21.60   0.000        1.305       1.376
         OR  |      1.364      0.049     8.66   0.000        1.272       1.464
         PA  |      1.324      0.009    40.33   0.000        1.306       1.342
         RI  |      1.474      0.008    71.60   0.000        1.459       1.490
         SC  |      1.357      0.017    24.21   0.000        1.324       1.391
         SD  |      0.972      0.012    -2.33   0.020        0.949       0.996
         TN  |      1.121      0.007    17.16   0.000        1.106       1.136
         TX  |      1.765      0.018    54.52   0.000        1.729       1.801
         UT  |      1.274      0.037     8.28   0.000        1.203       1.350
         VT  |      1.662      0.008   105.02   0.000        1.647       1.678
         VA  |      1.498      0.008    80.21   0.000        1.484       1.513
         WA  |      1.548      0.020    33.46   0.000        1.509       1.588
         WV  |      1.092      0.004    22.10   0.000        1.083       1.100
         WI  |      1.104      0.006    17.17   0.000        1.092       1.117
         WY  |      1.361      0.006    64.59   0.000        1.348       1.374
             |
     quarter |      0.998      0.003    -0.75   0.454        0.992       1.003
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.000    12.56   0.000        1.002       1.003
         AZ  |      0.997      0.000   -10.70   0.000        0.996       0.997
         AR  |      1.001      0.000    18.32   0.000        1.001       1.001
         CA  |      0.992      0.000  -109.51   0.000        0.992       0.992
         CO  |      0.997      0.000   -12.44   0.000        0.997       0.998
         CT  |      0.997      0.000   -59.68   0.000        0.997       0.997
         DE  |      0.997      0.000   -40.92   0.000        0.997       0.997
         FL  |      0.996      0.000   -43.86   0.000        0.996       0.996
         GA  |      0.996      0.000   -22.65   0.000        0.996       0.996
         HI  |      0.999      0.000    -4.82   0.000        0.999       1.000
         ID  |      1.001      0.000     3.29   0.001        1.001       1.002
         IL  |      0.996      0.000  -105.72   0.000        0.996       0.996
         IN  |      0.999      0.000   -18.92   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IA  |      0.999      0.000   -62.94   0.000        0.999       0.999
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -22.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    -6.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      0.996      0.000   -21.79   0.000        0.996       0.997
         ME  |      0.997      0.000   -82.56   0.000        0.997       0.998
         MD  |      0.996      0.000   -82.05   0.000        0.996       0.996
         MA  |      0.996      0.000   -47.08   0.000        0.996       0.996
         MI  |      0.998      0.000   -65.36   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MN  |      0.998      0.000   -23.57   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MS  |      1.001      0.000    73.90   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -53.18   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      1.001      0.000    19.09   0.000        1.001       1.001
         NE  |      0.998      0.000   -19.01   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NV  |      0.995      0.000   -10.88   0.000        0.994       0.996
         NH  |      0.999      0.000    -3.79   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NJ  |      0.997      0.000  -101.21   0.000        0.997       0.997
         NM  |      0.999      0.000    -9.22   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NY  |      0.996      0.000   -77.95   0.000        0.996       0.996
         NC  |      0.999      0.000   -11.35   0.000        0.998       0.999
         ND  |      1.003      0.000   324.46   0.000        1.003       1.003
         OH  |      0.998      0.000   -93.35   0.000        0.998       0.998
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    -8.73   0.000        0.999       1.000
         OR  |      0.999      0.000    -3.72   0.000        0.998       0.999
         PA  |      0.998      0.000   -99.95   0.000        0.998       0.998
         RI  |      0.996      0.000   -91.03   0.000        0.996       0.996
         SC  |      0.998      0.000   -16.81   0.000        0.998       0.998
         SD  |      1.001      0.000     5.65   0.000        1.000       1.001
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    -2.46   0.014        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      0.996      0.000   -37.64   0.000        0.995       0.996
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.21   0.838        0.999       1.000
         VT  |      0.997      0.000   -71.55   0.000        0.997       0.997
         VA  |      0.997      0.000   -58.35   0.000        0.997       0.997
         WA  |      0.997      0.000   -27.50   0.000        0.997       0.997
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    -4.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      0.999      0.000   -11.23   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     5.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.065      0.024     2.78   0.005        1.019       1.113
     summer  |      1.068      0.027     2.59   0.010        1.016       1.122
       fall  |      1.065      0.028     2.43   0.015        1.012       1.120
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.079      0.033     2.49   0.013        1.016       1.145
       1982  |      1.054      0.038     1.47   0.142        0.983       1.131
       1983  |      1.075      0.048     1.61   0.107        0.985       1.174
       1984  |      1.107      0.059     1.90   0.058        0.997       1.230
       1985  |      1.075      0.074     1.04   0.297        0.939       1.231
       1986  |      1.156      0.080     2.11   0.035        1.010       1.324
       1987  |      1.171      0.093     1.99   0.046        1.003       1.369
       1988  |      1.201      0.111     1.97   0.048        1.001       1.440
       1989  |      1.181      0.122     1.61   0.107        0.965       1.447
       1990  |      1.248      0.136     2.03   0.043        1.007       1.546
       1991  |      1.245      0.151     1.81   0.071        0.981       1.580
       1992  |      1.303      0.175     1.97   0.048        1.002       1.694
       1993  |      1.353      0.209     1.95   0.051        0.999       1.832
       1994  |      1.368      0.223     1.92   0.054        0.994       1.883
       1995  |      1.361      0.228     1.84   0.066        0.979       1.890
       1996  |      1.406      0.257     1.87   0.062        0.983       2.012
       1997  |      1.458      0.282     1.95   0.051        0.998       2.130
       1998  |      1.543      0.305     2.19   0.028        1.047       2.273
       1999  |      1.448      0.294     1.82   0.068        0.972       2.157
       2000  |      1.514      0.330     1.91   0.057        0.988       2.320
       2001  |      1.500      0.331     1.84   0.066        0.973       2.312
       2002  |      1.608      0.393     1.94   0.052        0.996       2.596
       2003  |      1.605      0.416     1.83   0.068        0.966       2.666
       2004  |      1.640      0.432     1.88   0.060        0.979       2.747
       2005  |      1.693      0.473     1.88   0.060        0.979       2.928
       2006  |      1.719      0.496     1.88   0.060        0.977       3.025
       2007  |      1.820      0.552     1.98   0.048        1.005       3.297
       2008  |      1.918      0.600     2.08   0.038        1.038       3.542
       2009  |      1.889      0.632     1.90   0.057        0.981       3.638
       2010  |      1.951      0.659     1.98   0.048        1.007       3.781
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.969      0.047    -0.65   0.517        0.880       1.066
spring#1982  |      1.021      0.037     0.58   0.560        0.952       1.096
spring#1983  |      0.963      0.036    -1.02   0.309        0.895       1.036
spring#1984  |      0.982      0.039    -0.45   0.653        0.909       1.062
spring#1985  |      1.020      0.039     0.52   0.606        0.946       1.100
spring#1986  |      0.993      0.043    -0.17   0.864        0.912       1.081
spring#1987  |      1.025      0.038     0.66   0.512        0.952       1.102
spring#1988  |      0.983      0.025    -0.68   0.497        0.935       1.033
spring#1989  |      1.040      0.035     1.15   0.251        0.973       1.112
spring#1990  |      0.981      0.031    -0.59   0.554        0.922       1.045
spring#1991  |      1.003      0.029     0.10   0.920        0.948       1.061
spring#1992  |      0.951      0.030    -1.58   0.115        0.894       1.012
spring#1993  |      0.945      0.027    -1.95   0.051        0.893       1.000
spring#1994  |      1.001      0.035     0.04   0.967        0.935       1.072
spring#1995  |      1.047      0.035     1.36   0.174        0.980       1.119
spring#1996  |      0.995      0.038    -0.12   0.903        0.924       1.072
spring#1997  |      0.971      0.038    -0.74   0.458        0.900       1.049
spring#1998  |      0.928      0.027    -2.56   0.010        0.877       0.983
spring#1999  |      0.970      0.026    -1.11   0.267        0.920       1.023
spring#2000  |      0.957      0.028    -1.49   0.136        0.903       1.014
spring#2001  |      1.018      0.033     0.54   0.587        0.956       1.084
spring#2002  |      0.969      0.029    -1.03   0.301        0.914       1.028
spring#2003  |      1.002      0.034     0.05   0.959        0.937       1.071
spring#2004  |      1.018      0.033     0.54   0.588        0.954       1.086
spring#2005  |      1.011      0.037     0.31   0.755        0.942       1.086
spring#2006  |      1.008      0.029     0.29   0.769        0.953       1.067
spring#2007  |      1.017      0.034     0.50   0.614        0.953       1.085
spring#2008  |      0.994      0.033    -0.19   0.845        0.932       1.060
spring#2009  |      0.987      0.030    -0.42   0.673        0.929       1.049
spring#2010  |      1.033      0.037     0.89   0.376        0.962       1.109
summer#1981  |      0.975      0.044    -0.56   0.578        0.894       1.065
summer#1982  |      1.014      0.032     0.43   0.664        0.953       1.079
summer#1983  |      0.962      0.036    -1.05   0.295        0.894       1.035
summer#1984  |      0.955      0.038    -1.15   0.251        0.884       1.033
summer#1985  |      0.996      0.036    -0.12   0.906        0.927       1.069
summer#1986  |      1.027      0.035     0.77   0.440        0.960       1.097
summer#1987  |      0.990      0.036    -0.28   0.779        0.922       1.063
summer#1988  |      1.031      0.034     0.92   0.358        0.966       1.100
summer#1989  |      1.031      0.041     0.78   0.435        0.954       1.115
summer#1990  |      1.034      0.039     0.89   0.376        0.960       1.114
summer#1991  |      1.031      0.033     0.95   0.340        0.968       1.098
summer#1992  |      0.947      0.031    -1.65   0.099        0.888       1.010
summer#1993  |      0.986      0.035    -0.40   0.690        0.920       1.057
summer#1994  |      1.001      0.031     0.02   0.987        0.942       1.062
summer#1995  |      1.065      0.041     1.64   0.102        0.988       1.150
summer#1996  |      1.034      0.038     0.92   0.355        0.963       1.111
summer#1997  |      0.971      0.037    -0.78   0.435        0.902       1.045
summer#1998  |      0.946      0.034    -1.54   0.124        0.882       1.015
summer#1999  |      1.013      0.036     0.38   0.704        0.946       1.086
summer#2000  |      0.957      0.033    -1.27   0.203        0.894       1.024
summer#2001  |      1.050      0.039     1.32   0.187        0.976       1.130
summer#2002  |      1.022      0.032     0.69   0.489        0.961       1.087
summer#2003  |      1.030      0.042     0.72   0.474        0.950       1.116
summer#2004  |      1.012      0.027     0.43   0.664        0.960       1.067
summer#2005  |      1.007      0.035     0.19   0.851        0.940       1.078
summer#2006  |      1.060      0.039     1.56   0.119        0.985       1.140
summer#2007  |      1.081      0.041     2.07   0.038        1.004       1.163
summer#2008  |      1.026      0.028     0.94   0.345        0.972       1.083
summer#2009  |      1.080      0.036     2.29   0.022        1.011       1.153
summer#2010  |      1.095      0.043     2.30   0.022        1.013       1.182
  fall#1981  |      0.943      0.036    -1.53   0.127        0.874       1.017
  fall#1982  |      0.917      0.034    -2.32   0.020        0.852       0.987
  fall#1983  |      0.943      0.038    -1.45   0.147        0.871       1.021
  fall#1984  |      0.947      0.034    -1.51   0.131        0.883       1.016
  fall#1985  |      0.989      0.034    -0.32   0.752        0.924       1.059
  fall#1986  |      0.940      0.036    -1.63   0.103        0.872       1.013
  fall#1987  |      0.938      0.037    -1.63   0.103        0.869       1.013
  fall#1988  |      0.934      0.030    -2.13   0.033        0.877       0.995
  fall#1989  |      0.971      0.036    -0.79   0.431        0.903       1.045
  fall#1990  |      0.968      0.037    -0.85   0.395        0.898       1.043
  fall#1991  |      0.969      0.040    -0.76   0.448        0.894       1.051
  fall#1992  |      0.956      0.032    -1.35   0.177        0.896       1.020
  fall#1993  |      0.947      0.027    -1.92   0.055        0.896       1.001
  fall#1994  |      0.996      0.034    -0.12   0.906        0.932       1.064
  fall#1995  |      0.998      0.043    -0.04   0.964        0.918       1.086
  fall#1996  |      0.981      0.039    -0.48   0.634        0.908       1.061
  fall#1997  |      0.977      0.036    -0.63   0.526        0.909       1.050
  fall#1998  |      0.887      0.030    -3.52   0.000        0.830       0.948
  fall#1999  |      0.936      0.035    -1.78   0.075        0.871       1.007
  fall#2000  |      0.900      0.034    -2.78   0.005        0.835       0.969
  fall#2001  |      1.000      0.038    -0.01   0.995        0.929       1.076
  fall#2002  |      0.972      0.040    -0.71   0.481        0.897       1.053
  fall#2003  |      0.974      0.026    -1.00   0.316        0.924       1.026
  fall#2004  |      1.031      0.037     0.84   0.403        0.960       1.107
  fall#2005  |      0.983      0.037    -0.47   0.640        0.913       1.057
  fall#2006  |      1.001      0.033     0.03   0.978        0.938       1.068
  fall#2007  |      1.004      0.041     0.10   0.918        0.928       1.087
  fall#2008  |      0.952      0.034    -1.36   0.174        0.887       1.022
  fall#2009  |      0.988      0.034    -0.34   0.736        0.924       1.058
  fall#2010  |      0.977      0.038    -0.59   0.557        0.905       1.055
             |
       _cons |     30.003      6.973    14.63   0.000       19.025      47.316
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.22       0.07     3.10   0.002         0.08        0.35
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -18.55       0.66   -28.18   0.000       -19.84      -17.26
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -7.09       0.47   -15.15   0.000        -8.01       -6.17
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.79       0.07    11.05   0.000         0.65        0.93
     summer  |       1.12       0.10    11.53   0.000         0.93        1.31
       fall  |       0.38       0.11     3.40   0.001         0.16        0.61
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -119780.1                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4025

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.017      0.005     3.18   0.001        1.006       1.027
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.267      0.005   -70.38   0.000        0.258       0.277
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.604      0.021   -14.34   0.000        0.564       0.647
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.065      0.024     2.75   0.006        1.018       1.113
     summer  |      1.068      0.027     2.64   0.008        1.017       1.122
       fall  |      1.066      0.027     2.53   0.011        1.015       1.120
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.082      0.033     2.60   0.009        1.019       1.148
       1982  |      1.059      0.049     1.26   0.208        0.968       1.159
       1983  |      1.083      0.069     1.26   0.208        0.956       1.227
       1984  |      1.118      0.085     1.46   0.144        0.963       1.298
       1985  |      1.087      0.103     0.88   0.378        0.903       1.310
       1986  |      1.172      0.118     1.57   0.116        0.961       1.428
       1987  |      1.189      0.145     1.42   0.157        0.936       1.510
       1988  |      1.220      0.170     1.43   0.153        0.929       1.603
       1989  |      1.202      0.184     1.20   0.230        0.890       1.621
       1990  |      1.270      0.202     1.50   0.133        0.930       1.733
       1991  |      1.267      0.222     1.35   0.176        0.899       1.786
       1992  |      1.326      0.250     1.50   0.134        0.917       1.918
       1993  |      1.377      0.285     1.55   0.122        0.918       2.066
       1994  |      1.393      0.297     1.56   0.120        0.917       2.116
       1995  |      1.385      0.304     1.49   0.137        0.901       2.129
       1996  |      1.432      0.327     1.57   0.116        0.915       2.240
       1997  |      1.484      0.362     1.62   0.105        0.920       2.392
       1998  |      1.570      0.383     1.85   0.064        0.974       2.532
       1999  |      1.473      0.359     1.59   0.111        0.914       2.374
       2000  |      1.539      0.391     1.70   0.089        0.936       2.531
       2001  |      1.524      0.385     1.67   0.095        0.929       2.499
       2002  |      1.631      0.449     1.78   0.076        0.951       2.797
       2003  |      1.625      0.460     1.72   0.086        0.934       2.830
       2004  |      1.660      0.472     1.78   0.075        0.951       2.898
       2005  |      1.711      0.507     1.81   0.070        0.957       3.058
       2006  |      1.735      0.524     1.83   0.068        0.960       3.136
       2007  |      1.835      0.575     1.94   0.053        0.993       3.390
       2008  |      1.930      0.620     2.05   0.041        1.028       3.623
       2009  |      1.896      0.640     1.89   0.058        0.978       3.675
       2010  |      1.953      0.661     1.98   0.048        1.006       3.792
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.969      0.047    -0.65   0.517        0.881       1.066
spring#1982  |      1.021      0.037     0.59   0.557        0.952       1.096
spring#1983  |      0.963      0.036    -1.02   0.309        0.895       1.036
spring#1984  |      0.983      0.039    -0.45   0.655        0.909       1.062
spring#1985  |      1.020      0.039     0.52   0.603        0.946       1.100
spring#1986  |      0.993      0.043    -0.17   0.867        0.911       1.081
spring#1987  |      1.025      0.038     0.66   0.510        0.953       1.103
spring#1988  |      0.983      0.025    -0.67   0.502        0.936       1.033
spring#1989  |      1.040      0.036     1.15   0.249        0.973       1.112
spring#1990  |      0.982      0.032    -0.58   0.565        0.922       1.046
spring#1991  |      1.003      0.029     0.11   0.914        0.948       1.061
spring#1992  |      0.951      0.030    -1.56   0.119        0.894       1.013
spring#1993  |      0.945      0.028    -1.92   0.055        0.893       1.001
spring#1994  |      1.002      0.035     0.05   0.961        0.935       1.074
spring#1995  |      1.047      0.035     1.37   0.171        0.980       1.119
spring#1996  |      0.996      0.038    -0.11   0.910        0.924       1.073
spring#1997  |      0.972      0.038    -0.74   0.461        0.900       1.049
spring#1998  |      0.928      0.027    -2.57   0.010        0.877       0.983
spring#1999  |      0.971      0.026    -1.09   0.276        0.920       1.024
spring#2000  |      0.957      0.029    -1.46   0.144        0.903       1.015
spring#2001  |      1.018      0.033     0.55   0.585        0.955       1.086
spring#2002  |      0.970      0.029    -1.02   0.308        0.914       1.029
spring#2003  |      1.002      0.034     0.06   0.951        0.937       1.072
spring#2004  |      1.018      0.034     0.54   0.586        0.954       1.087
spring#2005  |      1.012      0.037     0.32   0.746        0.942       1.086
spring#2006  |      1.009      0.029     0.30   0.762        0.953       1.068
spring#2007  |      1.017      0.034     0.51   0.613        0.952       1.087
spring#2008  |      0.994      0.032    -0.18   0.859        0.933       1.060
spring#2009  |      0.987      0.030    -0.41   0.679        0.930       1.048
spring#2010  |      1.033      0.038     0.88   0.377        0.961       1.110
summer#1981  |      0.976      0.043    -0.56   0.576        0.895       1.064
summer#1982  |      1.014      0.032     0.43   0.665        0.953       1.078
summer#1983  |      0.962      0.036    -1.05   0.296        0.894       1.035
summer#1984  |      0.955      0.038    -1.16   0.248        0.884       1.032
summer#1985  |      0.996      0.036    -0.12   0.903        0.928       1.069
summer#1986  |      1.026      0.035     0.77   0.440        0.961       1.097
summer#1987  |      0.990      0.036    -0.28   0.778        0.921       1.063
summer#1988  |      1.031      0.034     0.92   0.358        0.966       1.099
summer#1989  |      1.031      0.041     0.77   0.440        0.954       1.115
summer#1990  |      1.034      0.039     0.89   0.376        0.960       1.113
summer#1991  |      1.031      0.033     0.95   0.342        0.968       1.097
summer#1992  |      0.947      0.031    -1.66   0.097        0.888       1.010
summer#1993  |      0.986      0.034    -0.42   0.676        0.921       1.055
summer#1994  |      1.000      0.030     0.00   0.996        0.942       1.061
summer#1995  |      1.065      0.041     1.62   0.106        0.987       1.149
summer#1996  |      1.034      0.037     0.94   0.347        0.965       1.108
summer#1997  |      0.971      0.037    -0.79   0.432        0.901       1.046
summer#1998  |      0.946      0.035    -1.51   0.131        0.880       1.017
summer#1999  |      1.013      0.035     0.37   0.713        0.946       1.085
summer#2000  |      0.957      0.033    -1.31   0.192        0.895       1.023
summer#2001  |      1.050      0.038     1.34   0.180        0.978       1.127
summer#2002  |      1.021      0.033     0.65   0.514        0.958       1.089
summer#2003  |      1.029      0.042     0.71   0.480        0.950       1.114
summer#2004  |      1.011      0.027     0.42   0.671        0.960       1.065
summer#2005  |      1.006      0.035     0.17   0.865        0.939       1.077
summer#2006  |      1.059      0.039     1.57   0.117        0.986       1.138
summer#2007  |      1.080      0.038     2.17   0.030        1.008       1.158
summer#2008  |      1.026      0.030     0.87   0.383        0.969       1.086
summer#2009  |      1.078      0.037     2.22   0.026        1.009       1.153
summer#2010  |      1.094      0.043     2.26   0.024        1.012       1.183
  fall#1981  |      0.943      0.036    -1.53   0.127        0.874       1.017
  fall#1982  |      0.917      0.034    -2.32   0.020        0.852       0.986
  fall#1983  |      0.943      0.038    -1.45   0.148        0.871       1.021
  fall#1984  |      0.947      0.033    -1.54   0.123        0.884       1.015
  fall#1985  |      0.989      0.034    -0.33   0.738        0.925       1.057
  fall#1986  |      0.939      0.035    -1.67   0.095        0.873       1.011
  fall#1987  |      0.938      0.037    -1.64   0.100        0.868       1.013
  fall#1988  |      0.933      0.031    -2.10   0.036        0.875       0.995
  fall#1989  |      0.970      0.036    -0.81   0.416        0.902       1.044
  fall#1990  |      0.967      0.036    -0.90   0.370        0.899       1.041
  fall#1991  |      0.968      0.039    -0.80   0.422        0.894       1.048
  fall#1992  |      0.955      0.032    -1.36   0.173        0.894       1.020
  fall#1993  |      0.946      0.028    -1.86   0.063        0.892       1.003
  fall#1994  |      0.995      0.033    -0.15   0.878        0.933       1.061
  fall#1995  |      0.997      0.044    -0.07   0.943        0.915       1.086
  fall#1996  |      0.980      0.038    -0.53   0.599        0.909       1.056
  fall#1997  |      0.976      0.037    -0.64   0.521        0.905       1.052
  fall#1998  |      0.886      0.031    -3.48   0.001        0.828       0.949
  fall#1999  |      0.935      0.034    -1.84   0.065        0.871       1.004
  fall#2000  |      0.898      0.035    -2.75   0.006        0.832       0.970
  fall#2001  |      0.998      0.036    -0.06   0.956        0.930       1.071
  fall#2002  |      0.970      0.040    -0.75   0.456        0.895       1.051
  fall#2003  |      0.972      0.025    -1.10   0.270        0.924       1.022
  fall#2004  |      1.029      0.037     0.80   0.424        0.959       1.104
  fall#2005  |      0.981      0.035    -0.54   0.592        0.915       1.052
  fall#2006  |      0.999      0.032    -0.02   0.981        0.939       1.063
  fall#2007  |      1.002      0.040     0.06   0.953        0.926       1.085
  fall#2008  |      0.950      0.038    -1.27   0.205        0.878       1.028
  fall#2009  |      0.986      0.035    -0.40   0.692        0.920       1.057
  fall#2010  |      0.975      0.037    -0.65   0.517        0.905       1.052
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.212      0.121     1.93   0.054        0.997       1.474
         AZ  |      2.225      0.022    79.57   0.000        2.182       2.270
         AR  |      1.020      0.006     3.59   0.000        1.009       1.031
         CA  |      6.567      0.200    61.84   0.000        6.187       6.971
         CO  |      3.997      0.070    78.56   0.000        3.861       4.137
         CT  |      1.395      0.051     9.11   0.000        1.299       1.499
         DE  |      1.449      0.014    39.53   0.000        1.423       1.476
         FL  |      4.362      0.009   677.75   0.000        4.343       4.381
         GA  |      3.057      0.030   113.93   0.000        2.998       3.116
         HI  |      1.245      0.040     6.81   0.000        1.169       1.326
         ID  |      1.092      0.019     5.13   0.000        1.056       1.130
         IL  |      2.126      0.032    50.27   0.000        2.064       2.189
         IN  |      1.368      0.012    37.15   0.000        1.346       1.391
         IA  |      1.563      0.046    15.11   0.000        1.475       1.657
         KS  |      2.109      0.047    33.59   0.000        2.019       2.203
         KY  |      2.147      0.007   225.24   0.000        2.133       2.162
         LA  |      4.380      0.336    19.25   0.000        3.768       5.090
         ME  |      2.213      0.016   111.49   0.000        2.182       2.244
         MD  |      1.792      0.042    25.16   0.000        1.713       1.876
         MA  |      4.122      0.153    38.14   0.000        3.832       4.433
         MI  |      3.414      0.181    23.12   0.000        3.076       3.788
         MN  |      2.156      0.041    40.91   0.000        2.079       2.237
         MS  |      0.780      0.009   -21.30   0.000        0.763       0.798
         MO  |      1.268      0.006    49.15   0.000        1.256       1.280
         MT  |      1.734      0.165     5.80   0.000        1.439       2.088
         NE  |      0.357      0.010   -38.59   0.000        0.339       0.377
         NV  |      3.813      0.108    47.44   0.000        3.608       4.030
         NH  |      2.243      0.033    55.38   0.000        2.180       2.308
         NJ  |      1.864      0.065    17.81   0.000        1.740       1.996
         NM  |      2.807      0.080    36.11   0.000        2.654       2.969
         NY  |      2.372      0.127    16.09   0.000        2.135       2.635
         NC  |      2.074      0.004   369.91   0.000        2.066       2.082
         ND  |      2.397      0.218     9.63   0.000        2.006       2.864
         OH  |      5.458      0.045   207.51   0.000        5.371       5.546
         OK  |      2.626      0.256     9.90   0.000        2.169       3.178
         OR  |      1.901      0.009   131.49   0.000        1.882       1.919
         PA  |      1.714      0.061    15.10   0.000        1.598       1.838
         RI  |     16.421      0.492    93.34   0.000       15.484      17.415
         SC  |      1.492      0.007    85.84   0.000        1.479       1.506
         SD  |      2.100      0.054    29.02   0.000        1.998       2.208
         TN  |      1.730      0.005   201.86   0.000        1.721       1.739
         TX  |      3.491      0.184    23.75   0.000        3.149       3.871
         UT  |      2.562      0.039    62.57   0.000        2.488       2.639
         VT  |      9.389      0.094   222.77   0.000        9.206       9.576
         VA  |      3.256      0.055    69.49   0.000        3.149       3.366
         WA  |      2.530      0.014   170.29   0.000        2.503       2.557
         WV  |      1.446      0.015    36.37   0.000        1.418       1.475
         WI  |      3.232      0.174    21.76   0.000        2.908       3.592
         WY  |      4.689      0.637    11.37   0.000        3.592       6.120
             |
     quarter |      1.006      0.010     0.59   0.558        0.986       1.027
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -0.82   0.411        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.999      0.001    -1.06   0.289        0.996       1.001
         AZ  |      0.996      0.000   -13.60   0.000        0.995       0.996
         AR  |      1.000      0.000     4.36   0.000        1.000       1.001
         CA  |      0.978      0.000   -45.23   0.000        0.977       0.979
         CO  |      0.986      0.000   -39.58   0.000        0.985       0.987
         CT  |      0.993      0.001   -14.01   0.000        0.992       0.994
         DE  |      0.998      0.000   -15.01   0.000        0.998       0.999
         FL  |      0.984      0.000  -191.60   0.000        0.984       0.985
         GA  |      0.988      0.000  -241.93   0.000        0.987       0.988
         HI  |      0.998      0.000    -4.18   0.000        0.998       0.999
         ID  |      0.999      0.001    -0.99   0.321        0.998       1.001
         IL  |      0.989      0.000   -53.71   0.000        0.988       0.989
         IN  |      0.996      0.000   -36.83   0.000        0.996       0.996
         IA  |      0.992      0.000   -17.84   0.000        0.992       0.993
         KS  |      0.989      0.000   -34.01   0.000        0.989       0.990
         KY  |      0.990      0.000  -212.37   0.000        0.990       0.990
         LA  |      0.984      0.001   -17.61   0.000        0.982       0.986
         ME  |      0.991      0.000   -87.84   0.000        0.991       0.991
         MD  |      0.993      0.000   -19.68   0.000        0.993       0.994
         MA  |      0.978      0.001   -42.39   0.000        0.977       0.979
         MI  |      0.984      0.001   -19.97   0.000        0.982       0.985
         MN  |      0.989      0.000   -34.32   0.000        0.988       0.989
         MS  |      1.003      0.000    18.46   0.000        1.003       1.003
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -12.80   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      0.997      0.001    -2.37   0.018        0.994       0.999
         NE  |      1.015      0.000    33.59   0.000        1.014       1.016
         NV  |      0.993      0.000   -66.75   0.000        0.993       0.993
         NH  |      0.988      0.000   -39.77   0.000        0.987       0.988
         NJ  |      0.986      0.000   -29.92   0.000        0.985       0.987
         NM  |      0.993      0.001   -13.34   0.000        0.992       0.994
         NY  |      0.984      0.001   -22.25   0.000        0.983       0.986
         NC  |      0.990      0.000  -115.48   0.000        0.990       0.991
         ND  |      0.982      0.001   -13.96   0.000        0.980       0.985
         OH  |      0.975      0.000  -228.85   0.000        0.975       0.976
         OK  |      0.990      0.001    -7.96   0.000        0.987       0.992
         OR  |      0.994      0.000   -30.62   0.000        0.993       0.994
         PA  |      0.994      0.000   -12.79   0.000        0.993       0.995
         RI  |      0.960      0.000  -102.78   0.000        0.960       0.961
         SC  |      0.997      0.000  -120.03   0.000        0.997       0.997
         SD  |      0.989      0.000   -23.28   0.000        0.988       0.990
         TN  |      0.993      0.000  -153.39   0.000        0.993       0.994
         TX  |      0.986      0.001   -17.58   0.000        0.984       0.987
         UT  |      0.990      0.000   -26.84   0.000        0.989       0.990
         VT  |      0.971      0.000  -200.97   0.000        0.971       0.971
         VA  |      0.985      0.000   -54.34   0.000        0.985       0.986
         WA  |      0.990      0.000   -60.17   0.000        0.990       0.990
         WV  |      0.996      0.000   -26.99   0.000        0.995       0.996
         WI  |      0.983      0.001   -21.36   0.000        0.982       0.985
         WY  |      0.982      0.002    -9.27   0.000        0.978       0.986
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     3.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     2.27   0.023        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000     2.40   0.017        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    25.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    20.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     7.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -18.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    66.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    49.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     3.48   0.001        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     2.10   0.036        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    32.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    46.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    15.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    31.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   138.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    16.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    63.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     6.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    30.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    17.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    21.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -9.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000     0.86   0.390        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     2.88   0.004        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -31.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     6.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    21.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    22.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     7.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    17.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    38.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    16.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   220.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     7.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     9.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000     8.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    85.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    11.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    19.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    61.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    10.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    15.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   168.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    35.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    26.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    23.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    18.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     9.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     17.074     10.836     4.47   0.000        4.921      59.234
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.23       0.07     3.15   0.002         0.09        0.37
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -18.55       0.66   -28.19   0.000       -19.84      -17.26
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -7.09       0.47   -15.15   0.000        -8.01       -6.17
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.79       0.07    11.06   0.000         0.65        0.93
     summer  |       1.12       0.10    11.53   0.000         0.93        1.31
       fall  |       0.38       0.11     3.40   0.001         0.16        0.61
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 2.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -119720.74                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4028

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.025      0.008     3.27   0.001        1.010       1.040
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.267      0.005   -70.38   0.000        0.258       0.277
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.604      0.021   -14.34   0.000        0.564       0.647
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.069      0.024     2.91   0.004        1.022       1.118
     summer  |      1.057      0.026     2.28   0.023        1.008       1.109
       fall  |      1.042      0.025     1.73   0.084        0.994       1.092
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.029      0.034     0.87   0.384        0.964       1.099
       1982  |      0.968      0.051    -0.62   0.536        0.872       1.074
       1983  |      0.959      0.064    -0.62   0.535        0.841       1.094
       1984  |      0.972      0.081    -0.34   0.730        0.825       1.144
       1985  |      0.934      0.091    -0.70   0.482        0.770       1.131
       1986  |      1.000      0.102    -0.00   0.998        0.818       1.222
       1987  |      1.015      0.127     0.12   0.907        0.795       1.296
       1988  |      1.049      0.144     0.35   0.730        0.801       1.374
       1989  |      1.044      0.159     0.29   0.775        0.775       1.407
       1990  |      1.119      0.173     0.73   0.465        0.827       1.515
       1991  |      1.135      0.194     0.74   0.459        0.812       1.586
       1992  |      1.211      0.223     1.04   0.299        0.844       1.738
       1993  |      1.288      0.261     1.25   0.212        0.866       1.917
       1994  |      1.338      0.283     1.38   0.168        0.884       2.025
       1995  |      1.368      0.300     1.43   0.153        0.890       2.102
       1996  |      1.452      0.335     1.62   0.106        0.924       2.282
       1997  |      1.547      0.385     1.75   0.080        0.949       2.519
       1998  |      1.681      0.424     2.06   0.039        1.025       2.755
       1999  |      1.616      0.412     1.88   0.060        0.981       2.664
       2000  |      1.726      0.462     2.04   0.041        1.022       2.915
       2001  |      1.735      0.465     2.06   0.040        1.026       2.933
       2002  |      1.875      0.548     2.15   0.031        1.057       3.324
       2003  |      1.882      0.563     2.11   0.035        1.047       3.384
       2004  |      1.929      0.581     2.18   0.029        1.070       3.480
       2005  |      1.988      0.622     2.20   0.028        1.078       3.669
       2006  |      2.004      0.634     2.20   0.028        1.078       3.727
       2007  |      2.090      0.680     2.27   0.023        1.105       3.954
       2008  |      2.143      0.707     2.31   0.021        1.122       4.093
       2009  |      2.023      0.693     2.06   0.040        1.034       3.961
       2010  |      1.994      0.678     2.03   0.042        1.024       3.884
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.969      0.047    -0.65   0.516        0.881       1.066
spring#1982  |      1.020      0.037     0.56   0.576        0.951       1.094
spring#1983  |      0.960      0.036    -1.09   0.275        0.892       1.033
spring#1984  |      0.980      0.039    -0.52   0.605        0.907       1.059
spring#1985  |      1.017      0.039     0.43   0.667        0.943       1.096
spring#1986  |      0.989      0.043    -0.26   0.795        0.908       1.077
spring#1987  |      1.020      0.038     0.54   0.589        0.949       1.097
spring#1988  |      0.978      0.025    -0.85   0.396        0.930       1.029
spring#1989  |      1.035      0.035     1.01   0.313        0.968       1.106
spring#1990  |      0.977      0.032    -0.70   0.482        0.916       1.043
spring#1991  |      0.997      0.029    -0.09   0.927        0.942       1.056
spring#1992  |      0.946      0.030    -1.75   0.079        0.889       1.007
spring#1993  |      0.940      0.028    -2.08   0.038        0.886       0.997
spring#1994  |      0.996      0.036    -0.12   0.902        0.928       1.068
spring#1995  |      1.041      0.035     1.19   0.233        0.974       1.112
spring#1996  |      0.990      0.038    -0.27   0.784        0.919       1.066
spring#1997  |      0.966      0.038    -0.89   0.375        0.894       1.043
spring#1998  |      0.923      0.027    -2.79   0.005        0.873       0.977
spring#1999  |      0.965      0.026    -1.30   0.193        0.915       1.018
spring#2000  |      0.953      0.029    -1.61   0.108        0.898       1.011
spring#2001  |      1.014      0.034     0.41   0.681        0.950       1.082
spring#2002  |      0.966      0.029    -1.16   0.247        0.910       1.025
spring#2003  |      0.998      0.034    -0.07   0.944        0.933       1.067
spring#2004  |      1.014      0.034     0.43   0.664        0.951       1.083
spring#2005  |      1.009      0.036     0.23   0.815        0.939       1.083
spring#2006  |      1.006      0.029     0.21   0.832        0.950       1.065
spring#2007  |      1.016      0.034     0.46   0.648        0.950       1.085
spring#2008  |      0.994      0.032    -0.17   0.865        0.933       1.060
spring#2009  |      0.987      0.030    -0.44   0.660        0.929       1.048
spring#2010  |      1.034      0.038     0.90   0.371        0.962       1.111
summer#1981  |      0.979      0.044    -0.49   0.628        0.897       1.068
summer#1982  |      1.018      0.032     0.55   0.581        0.957       1.082
summer#1983  |      0.967      0.036    -0.90   0.369        0.900       1.040
summer#1984  |      0.963      0.038    -0.96   0.338        0.891       1.040
summer#1985  |      1.004      0.036     0.11   0.912        0.935       1.078
summer#1986  |      1.036      0.035     1.05   0.294        0.970       1.107
summer#1987  |      1.000      0.036     0.01   0.993        0.933       1.073
summer#1988  |      1.043      0.034     1.27   0.203        0.978       1.112
summer#1989  |      1.044      0.042     1.07   0.284        0.965       1.129
summer#1990  |      1.048      0.038     1.27   0.203        0.975       1.125
summer#1991  |      1.044      0.033     1.37   0.171        0.982       1.110
summer#1992  |      0.960      0.031    -1.26   0.207        0.901       1.023
summer#1993  |      1.000      0.033    -0.00   0.998        0.937       1.067
summer#1994  |      1.015      0.031     0.50   0.616        0.957       1.077
summer#1995  |      1.081      0.041     2.03   0.042        1.003       1.164
summer#1996  |      1.049      0.036     1.39   0.164        0.981       1.123
summer#1997  |      0.985      0.037    -0.39   0.694        0.915       1.061
summer#1998  |      0.960      0.035    -1.11   0.268        0.893       1.032
summer#1999  |      1.027      0.035     0.79   0.428        0.961       1.098
summer#2000  |      0.970      0.033    -0.91   0.364        0.908       1.036
summer#2001  |      1.063      0.039     1.65   0.098        0.989       1.143
summer#2002  |      1.034      0.033     1.05   0.294        0.972       1.100
summer#2003  |      1.040      0.042     0.98   0.328        0.961       1.125
summer#2004  |      1.022      0.027     0.83   0.406        0.970       1.077
summer#2005  |      1.016      0.035     0.46   0.646        0.950       1.087
summer#2006  |      1.068      0.039     1.82   0.068        0.995       1.147
summer#2007  |      1.088      0.039     2.39   0.017        1.015       1.167
summer#2008  |      1.032      0.030     1.09   0.276        0.975       1.091
summer#2009  |      1.081      0.036     2.30   0.022        1.011       1.154
summer#2010  |      1.098      0.044     2.35   0.019        1.016       1.186
  fall#1981  |      0.948      0.036    -1.40   0.161        0.879       1.022
  fall#1982  |      0.923      0.035    -2.13   0.033        0.858       0.994
  fall#1983  |      0.956      0.038    -1.16   0.247        0.885       1.032
  fall#1984  |      0.963      0.034    -1.06   0.288        0.898       1.032
  fall#1985  |      1.008      0.033     0.23   0.814        0.945       1.075
  fall#1986  |      0.960      0.035    -1.13   0.260        0.893       1.031
  fall#1987  |      0.961      0.037    -1.03   0.302        0.891       1.036
  fall#1988  |      0.959      0.029    -1.38   0.168        0.903       1.018
  fall#1989  |      0.998      0.037    -0.06   0.953        0.929       1.072
  fall#1990  |      0.996      0.037    -0.12   0.908        0.926       1.071
  fall#1991  |      0.998      0.041    -0.05   0.956        0.921       1.081
  fall#1992  |      0.986      0.035    -0.39   0.696        0.921       1.056
  fall#1993  |      0.978      0.027    -0.80   0.425        0.926       1.033
  fall#1994  |      1.030      0.034     0.90   0.370        0.966       1.098
  fall#1995  |      1.031      0.044     0.73   0.468        0.949       1.120
  fall#1996  |      1.014      0.038     0.38   0.707        0.942       1.092
  fall#1997  |      1.010      0.037     0.26   0.792        0.939       1.086
  fall#1998  |      0.916      0.031    -2.57   0.010        0.857       0.979
  fall#1999  |      0.966      0.034    -0.99   0.320        0.902       1.034
  fall#2000  |      0.926      0.038    -1.88   0.060        0.855       1.003
  fall#2001  |      1.025      0.036     0.71   0.477        0.957       1.099
  fall#2002  |      0.996      0.041    -0.09   0.925        0.918       1.080
  fall#2003  |      0.996      0.025    -0.15   0.884        0.948       1.047
  fall#2004  |      1.054      0.038     1.46   0.145        0.982       1.131
  fall#2005  |      1.002      0.036     0.06   0.955        0.934       1.075
  fall#2006  |      1.018      0.032     0.56   0.578        0.957       1.083
  fall#2007  |      1.017      0.040     0.43   0.668        0.941       1.099
  fall#2008  |      0.959      0.039    -1.04   0.299        0.885       1.038
  fall#2009  |      0.990      0.034    -0.29   0.769        0.925       1.059
  fall#2010  |      0.979      0.037    -0.55   0.585        0.909       1.056
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |    453.774     57.100    48.62   0.000      354.592     580.696
         AZ  |      1.427      0.304     1.67   0.095        0.940       2.166
         AR  |      1.397      0.055     8.53   0.000        1.294       1.508
         CA  |      2.001      0.121    11.43   0.000        1.777       2.254
         CO  |      4.402      1.080     6.04   0.000        2.722       7.119
         CT  |      0.166      0.017   -17.70   0.000        0.136       0.202
         DE  |      1.799      0.059    17.78   0.000        1.686       1.919
         FL  |      3.965      0.213    25.60   0.000        3.568       4.406
         GA  |      1.507      0.107     5.79   0.000        1.312       1.731
         HI  |      0.129      0.027    -9.89   0.000        0.086       0.193
         ID  |      0.739      0.315    -0.71   0.478        0.320       1.704
         IL  |      0.302      0.035   -10.41   0.000        0.241       0.378
         IN  |      2.720      0.199    13.68   0.000        2.356       3.139
         IA  |      3.253      0.254    15.11   0.000        2.791       3.790
         KS  |      2.902      0.329     9.41   0.000        2.325       3.624
         KY  |     10.972      0.824    31.90   0.000        9.470      12.711
         LA  |      1.905      0.350     3.51   0.000        1.329       2.732
         ME  |      8.681      0.386    48.56   0.000        7.956       9.472
         MD  |      0.208      0.015   -21.44   0.000        0.180       0.240
         MA  |      0.461      0.031   -11.37   0.000        0.403       0.527
         MI  |      9.368      2.255     9.29   0.000        5.844      15.017
         MN  |      0.475      0.037    -9.62   0.000        0.408       0.553
         MS  |      2.464      0.173    12.81   0.000        2.146       2.828
         MO  |      0.569      0.041    -7.81   0.000        0.494       0.655
         MT  |      7.826      2.262     7.12   0.000        4.441      13.790
         NE  |     12.331      1.630    19.01   0.000        9.516      15.977
         NV  |      1.893      1.044     1.16   0.247        0.643       5.578
         NH  |      5.556      0.083   114.26   0.000        5.395       5.722
         NJ  |      2.621      0.158    15.99   0.000        2.329       2.950
         NM  |      1.000      0.111     0.00   1.000        0.805       1.242
         NY  |      1.366      0.169     2.53   0.011        1.073       1.741
         NC  |      4.200      0.032   185.52   0.000        4.137       4.265
         ND  |     17.285      1.537    32.05   0.000       14.520      20.575
         OH  |     17.491      2.163    23.14   0.000       13.727      22.288
         OK  |     17.500      4.079    12.28   0.000       11.083      27.633
         OR  |      2.740      0.676     4.08   0.000        1.689       4.443
         PA  |      0.889      0.027    -3.92   0.000        0.838       0.943
         RI  |      0.028      0.002   -64.86   0.000        0.025       0.031
         SC  |      0.745      0.022    -9.88   0.000        0.703       0.790
         SD  |     92.071      5.273    78.96   0.000       82.295     103.009
         TN  |      8.732      0.213    88.96   0.000        8.325       9.159
         TX  |      0.779      0.064    -3.02   0.003        0.662       0.916
         UT  |      6.660      1.151    10.97   0.000        4.746       9.345
         VT  |      2.046      0.173     8.49   0.000        1.734       2.413
         VA  |      1.129      0.069     1.99   0.047        1.002       1.272
         WA  |      4.776      0.160    46.60   0.000        4.472       5.101
         WV  |      6.181      0.392    28.75   0.000        5.459       6.998
         WI  |     10.170      2.784     8.47   0.000        5.948      17.391
         WY  |      4.088      0.602     9.57   0.000        3.064       5.455
             |
     quarter |      1.103      0.042     2.55   0.011        1.023       1.190
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.000    -2.44   0.014        0.999       1.000
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     2.29   0.022        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.875      0.004   -31.76   0.000        0.867       0.882
         AZ  |      1.006      0.005     1.11   0.267        0.996       1.015
         AR  |      0.993      0.001    -7.60   0.000        0.992       0.995
         CA  |      1.006      0.002     3.73   0.000        1.003       1.009
         CO  |      0.984      0.005    -2.97   0.003        0.973       0.994
         CT  |      1.043      0.003    15.11   0.000        1.037       1.049
         DE  |      0.993      0.001    -7.63   0.000        0.991       0.995
         FL  |      0.987      0.001   -10.65   0.000        0.984       0.989
         GA  |      1.003      0.002     1.77   0.077        1.000       1.007
         HI  |      1.052      0.005     9.86   0.000        1.041       1.062
         ID  |      1.008      0.010     0.82   0.409        0.989       1.028
         IL  |      1.034      0.003    13.65   0.000        1.029       1.039
         IN  |      0.980      0.002   -10.94   0.000        0.977       0.984
         IA  |      0.976      0.001   -16.68   0.000        0.974       0.979
         KS  |      0.982      0.002    -7.65   0.000        0.978       0.987
         KY  |      0.954      0.002   -27.16   0.000        0.950       0.957
         LA  |      1.004      0.003     1.31   0.191        0.998       1.010
         ME  |      0.961      0.001   -37.01   0.000        0.959       0.963
         MD  |      1.044      0.002    22.22   0.000        1.040       1.048
         MA  |      1.029      0.002    14.66   0.000        1.025       1.033
         MI  |      0.960      0.006    -6.65   0.000        0.949       0.972
         MN  |      1.024      0.002    14.17   0.000        1.020       1.027
         MS  |      0.977      0.001   -15.73   0.000        0.975       0.980
         MO  |      1.017      0.002    10.24   0.000        1.014       1.021
         MT  |      0.964      0.005    -6.70   0.000        0.954       0.975
         NE  |      0.936      0.003   -23.65   0.000        0.931       0.941
         NV  |      1.008      0.013     0.59   0.558        0.982       1.034
         NH  |      0.968      0.000   -94.69   0.000        0.967       0.968
         NJ  |      0.978      0.002   -12.33   0.000        0.975       0.982
         NM  |      1.017      0.002     7.16   0.000        1.012       1.022
         NY  |      0.998      0.004    -0.61   0.539        0.991       1.005
         NC  |      0.975      0.000   -87.12   0.000        0.974       0.975
         ND  |      0.940      0.001   -68.28   0.000        0.939       0.942
         OH  |      0.950      0.003   -18.87   0.000        0.944       0.955
         OK  |      0.949      0.004   -13.06   0.000        0.941       0.956
         OR  |      0.985      0.006    -2.48   0.013        0.974       0.997
         PA  |      1.010      0.001    13.15   0.000        1.008       1.011
         RI  |      1.113      0.002    70.60   0.000        1.110       1.116
         SC  |      1.013      0.001    15.06   0.000        1.011       1.014
         SD  |      0.908      0.001   -84.95   0.000        0.905       0.910
         TN  |      0.957      0.001   -69.74   0.000        0.956       0.959
         TX  |      1.021      0.001    14.92   0.000        1.018       1.023
         UT  |      0.968      0.004    -7.99   0.000        0.961       0.976
         VT  |      1.006      0.002     2.99   0.003        1.002       1.010
         VA  |      1.010      0.002     6.28   0.000        1.007       1.013
         WA  |      0.975      0.001   -29.41   0.000        0.974       0.977
         WV  |      0.963      0.001   -27.60   0.000        0.961       0.966
         WI  |      0.958      0.005    -7.56   0.000        0.948       0.969
         WY  |      0.987      0.002    -7.56   0.000        0.983       0.990
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.001      0.000    25.32   0.000        1.001       1.001
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -1.88   0.060        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000     8.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -12.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     1.42   0.155        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -15.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000     4.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     2.71   0.007        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    -5.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -9.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -0.81   0.419        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -17.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     9.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    16.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     5.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    23.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -6.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    32.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -22.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000   -18.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     4.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -20.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    18.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -10.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     7.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.001      0.000    28.48   0.000        1.000       1.001
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -0.98   0.326        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    68.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     6.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -10.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -2.09   0.036        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    61.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   170.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    13.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    15.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     1.85   0.064        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -15.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      0.999      0.000   -77.11   0.000        0.999       0.999
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -16.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.001      0.000   103.04   0.000        1.001       1.001
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    61.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -35.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     6.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -11.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -11.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    22.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    27.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     6.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     3.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -21.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     2.33   0.020        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    -9.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    14.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    -0.33   0.742        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    14.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -5.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     1.88   0.060        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000     8.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     9.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     1.05   0.293        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    20.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -8.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -17.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    -3.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   -21.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    11.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -29.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    21.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    19.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -3.48   0.001        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    29.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -20.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    10.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -8.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -36.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     1.12   0.264        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -30.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    -2.84   0.005        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    15.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     3.17   0.002        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -82.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -41.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    -9.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000   -18.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -1.49   0.136        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    13.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    77.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    19.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000  -161.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -63.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    86.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    -6.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    17.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    12.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -22.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -28.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    -5.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     5.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.402      0.650    -0.56   0.573        0.017       9.564
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.34       0.10     3.32   0.001         0.14        0.55
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -18.55       0.66   -28.18   0.000       -19.84      -17.26
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -7.09       0.47   -15.15   0.000        -8.01       -6.17
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.80       0.07    11.07   0.000         0.65        0.94
     summer  |       1.11       0.10    11.50   0.000         0.92        1.30
       fall  |       0.38       0.11     3.36   0.001         0.16        0.60
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(output written to suic-econ-atable-agecat_2.txt)
-> Group = 45 to 64

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =       1.22
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.2701
Log pseudolikelihood = -159989.58                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0004

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.993      0.006    -1.10   0.270        0.981       1.005
       _cons |     14.335      1.283    29.75   0.000       12.029      17.083
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.10       0.09    -1.11   0.266        -0.29        0.08
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 3.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(3)    =    5747.09
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -109056.72                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3186

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.992      0.005    -1.54   0.122        0.981       1.002
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.312      0.007   -54.66   0.000        0.300       0.326
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.383      0.016   -22.30   0.000        0.352       0.417
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.000  (omitted)
       _cons |     23.897      1.918    39.55   0.000       20.420      27.968
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.10       0.06    -1.57   0.116        -0.23        0.03
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -13.93       0.44   -31.81   0.000       -14.79      -13.08
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -11.48       0.71   -16.26   0.000       -12.87      -10.10
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       0.00  (omitted)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 3.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(49)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -101455.44                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3661

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.012      0.007     1.74   0.082        0.999       1.025
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.313      0.007   -55.14   0.000        0.300       0.326
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.382      0.016   -22.44   0.000        0.351       0.415
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.109      0.008    14.30   0.000        1.093       1.125
         AZ  |      1.255      0.024    11.76   0.000        1.208       1.303
         AR  |      0.960      0.003   -13.99   0.000        0.954       0.965
         CA  |      0.969      0.004    -6.78   0.000        0.961       0.978
         CO  |      1.246      0.019    14.62   0.000        1.210       1.284
         CT  |      0.655      0.005   -54.32   0.000        0.645       0.665
         DE  |      0.954      0.005    -9.07   0.000        0.944       0.964
         FL  |      1.181      0.008    23.92   0.000        1.165       1.197
         GA  |      1.045      0.011     4.09   0.000        1.023       1.067
         HI  |      1.124      0.022     6.02   0.000        1.082       1.168
         ID  |      1.168      0.025     7.39   0.000        1.121       1.218
         IL  |      0.716      0.003   -74.67   0.000        0.710       0.722
         IN  |      0.868      0.003   -36.72   0.000        0.861       0.874
         IA  |      0.748      0.003   -66.38   0.000        0.741       0.754
         KS  |      0.871      0.004   -30.27   0.000        0.864       0.879
         KY  |      0.950      0.003   -14.10   0.000        0.944       0.957
         LA  |      0.962      0.001   -25.94   0.000        0.959       0.964
         ME  |      0.865      0.006   -20.70   0.000        0.854       0.877
         MD  |      0.763      0.005   -44.96   0.000        0.754       0.772
         MA  |      0.599      0.007   -41.58   0.000        0.584       0.613
         MI  |      0.841      0.004   -36.88   0.000        0.833       0.848
         MN  |      0.748      0.005   -42.74   0.000        0.738       0.758
         MS  |      1.015      0.004     4.04   0.000        1.008       1.022
         MO  |      0.945      0.004   -12.93   0.000        0.937       0.953
         MT  |      1.292      0.012    26.54   0.000        1.267       1.316
         NE  |      0.759      0.005   -38.20   0.000        0.749       0.770
         NV  |      1.754      0.049    20.28   0.000        1.661       1.852
         NH  |      0.872      0.015    -7.82   0.000        0.843       0.903
         NJ  |      0.551      0.004   -92.39   0.000        0.544       0.558
         NM  |      1.298      0.014    24.42   0.000        1.271       1.326
         NY  |      0.582      0.002  -140.69   0.000        0.578       0.586
         NC  |      1.022      0.007     3.32   0.001        1.009       1.036
         ND  |      0.801      0.007   -25.49   0.000        0.787       0.815
         OH  |      0.796      0.004   -45.09   0.000        0.788       0.804
         OK  |      1.038      0.008     5.14   0.000        1.024       1.053
         OR  |      1.153      0.019     8.45   0.000        1.115       1.191
         PA  |      0.836      0.003   -43.13   0.000        0.830       0.843
         RI  |      0.704      0.007   -34.73   0.000        0.690       0.718
         SC  |      1.045      0.006     7.84   0.000        1.033       1.056
         SD  |      0.858      0.005   -25.30   0.000        0.847       0.868
         TN  |      1.028      0.004     7.24   0.000        1.021       1.036
         TX  |      0.912      0.009    -8.97   0.000        0.894       0.931
         UT  |      1.177      0.020     9.80   0.000        1.139       1.216
         VT  |      0.960      0.006    -6.69   0.000        0.949       0.972
         VA  |      0.986      0.004    -3.21   0.001        0.977       0.994
         WA  |      0.968      0.005    -6.85   0.000        0.959       0.977
         WV  |      0.937      0.004   -16.77   0.000        0.930       0.944
         WI  |      0.854      0.010   -13.81   0.000        0.835       0.873
         WY  |      1.209      0.013    18.03   0.000        1.184       1.234
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.157      0.033     5.07   0.000        1.094       1.224
     summer  |      1.028      0.031     0.90   0.366        0.969       1.091
       fall  |      0.998      0.028    -0.08   0.933        0.944       1.055
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.056      0.048     1.20   0.232        0.966       1.154
       1982  |      1.030      0.035     0.86   0.391        0.963       1.101
       1983  |      1.007      0.031     0.22   0.826        0.947       1.070
       1984  |      1.072      0.037     2.01   0.044        1.002       1.146
       1985  |      0.993      0.036    -0.21   0.837        0.924       1.066
       1986  |      1.122      0.045     2.85   0.004        1.037       1.214
       1987  |      0.960      0.035    -1.13   0.259        0.894       1.031
       1988  |      1.012      0.040     0.30   0.762        0.937       1.093
       1989  |      1.010      0.037     0.27   0.787        0.940       1.085
       1990  |      1.015      0.042     0.35   0.724        0.935       1.101
       1991  |      0.969      0.035    -0.88   0.379        0.902       1.040
       1992  |      0.955      0.032    -1.40   0.162        0.895       1.019
       1993  |      0.906      0.036    -2.49   0.013        0.838       0.979
       1994  |      0.885      0.037    -2.91   0.004        0.816       0.961
       1995  |      0.893      0.036    -2.81   0.005        0.825       0.966
       1996  |      0.910      0.033    -2.57   0.010        0.847       0.978
       1997  |      0.932      0.046    -1.43   0.154        0.847       1.026
       1998  |      0.932      0.041    -1.62   0.106        0.855       1.015
       1999  |      0.877      0.042    -2.75   0.006        0.799       0.963
       2000  |      0.917      0.054    -1.48   0.139        0.818       1.028
       2001  |      0.964      0.065    -0.55   0.585        0.845       1.100
       2002  |      1.024      0.062     0.40   0.692        0.910       1.152
       2003  |      0.998      0.054    -0.04   0.968        0.898       1.109
       2004  |      1.018      0.060     0.31   0.757        0.908       1.142
       2005  |      1.034      0.067     0.52   0.605        0.911       1.174
       2006  |      1.072      0.072     1.04   0.299        0.940       1.224
       2007  |      1.094      0.060     1.65   0.100        0.983       1.218
       2008  |      1.194      0.076     2.79   0.005        1.054       1.352
       2009  |      1.184      0.069     2.92   0.004        1.057       1.327
       2010  |      1.233      0.069     3.75   0.000        1.105       1.376
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.912      0.053    -1.57   0.115        0.813       1.023
spring#1982  |      0.968      0.055    -0.57   0.569        0.866       1.082
spring#1983  |      0.974      0.046    -0.55   0.579        0.887       1.069
spring#1984  |      0.949      0.049    -1.02   0.309        0.859       1.049
spring#1985  |      1.016      0.044     0.37   0.711        0.933       1.107
spring#1986  |      0.884      0.039    -2.77   0.006        0.810       0.965
spring#1987  |      1.121      0.055     2.32   0.021        1.018       1.235
spring#1988  |      0.926      0.042    -1.68   0.093        0.847       1.013
spring#1989  |      0.913      0.050    -1.65   0.098        0.820       1.017
spring#1990  |      0.878      0.039    -2.91   0.004        0.805       0.958
spring#1991  |      0.969      0.049    -0.62   0.536        0.878       1.070
spring#1992  |      0.910      0.039    -2.17   0.030        0.836       0.991
spring#1993  |      0.975      0.043    -0.57   0.569        0.895       1.063
spring#1994  |      0.975      0.035    -0.71   0.477        0.908       1.046
spring#1995  |      0.940      0.041    -1.40   0.162        0.863       1.025
spring#1996  |      0.986      0.055    -0.25   0.803        0.884       1.100
spring#1997  |      0.949      0.046    -1.07   0.282        0.862       1.044
spring#1998  |      0.931      0.046    -1.44   0.150        0.846       1.026
spring#1999  |      0.924      0.035    -2.06   0.039        0.857       0.996
spring#2000  |      0.941      0.038    -1.51   0.131        0.870       1.018
spring#2001  |      0.944      0.034    -1.60   0.109        0.880       1.013
spring#2002  |      0.919      0.025    -3.13   0.002        0.871       0.969
spring#2003  |      0.986      0.038    -0.36   0.715        0.914       1.064
spring#2004  |      0.938      0.041    -1.47   0.141        0.861       1.021
spring#2005  |      0.957      0.037    -1.12   0.261        0.887       1.033
spring#2006  |      0.965      0.030    -1.12   0.263        0.907       1.027
spring#2007  |      0.982      0.035    -0.51   0.610        0.915       1.054
spring#2008  |      0.962      0.034    -1.08   0.282        0.897       1.032
spring#2009  |      0.965      0.039    -0.89   0.371        0.892       1.044
spring#2010  |      0.986      0.039    -0.35   0.729        0.912       1.067
summer#1981  |      0.995      0.066    -0.08   0.936        0.873       1.134
summer#1982  |      1.102      0.050     2.12   0.034        1.007       1.205
summer#1983  |      1.080      0.048     1.75   0.081        0.991       1.178
summer#1984  |      1.002      0.041     0.06   0.953        0.926       1.085
summer#1985  |      1.066      0.055     1.24   0.215        0.964       1.179
summer#1986  |      0.961      0.040    -0.95   0.343        0.885       1.043
summer#1987  |      1.142      0.046     3.26   0.001        1.054       1.236
summer#1988  |      0.999      0.048    -0.01   0.990        0.909       1.099
summer#1989  |      1.002      0.044     0.04   0.970        0.918       1.093
summer#1990  |      1.009      0.055     0.17   0.862        0.908       1.123
summer#1991  |      1.087      0.044     2.05   0.040        1.004       1.177
summer#1992  |      1.056      0.037     1.58   0.114        0.987       1.130
summer#1993  |      1.112      0.049     2.40   0.016        1.020       1.212
summer#1994  |      1.068      0.046     1.51   0.132        0.980       1.163
summer#1995  |      1.083      0.045     1.94   0.052        0.999       1.174
summer#1996  |      1.086      0.047     1.92   0.055        0.998       1.181
summer#1997  |      1.026      0.043     0.62   0.537        0.945       1.114
summer#1998  |      1.043      0.042     1.05   0.293        0.964       1.128
summer#1999  |      1.062      0.038     1.67   0.094        0.990       1.141
summer#2000  |      1.010      0.044     0.23   0.820        0.928       1.099
summer#2001  |      1.062      0.039     1.63   0.102        0.988       1.142
summer#2002  |      1.021      0.043     0.50   0.616        0.941       1.109
summer#2003  |      1.090      0.044     2.15   0.032        1.008       1.179
summer#2004  |      1.124      0.043     3.03   0.002        1.042       1.211
summer#2005  |      1.046      0.045     1.04   0.297        0.961       1.137
summer#2006  |      1.059      0.039     1.55   0.121        0.985       1.137
summer#2007  |      1.100      0.042     2.51   0.012        1.021       1.185
summer#2008  |      1.042      0.039     1.07   0.283        0.967       1.122
summer#2009  |      1.127      0.034     4.00   0.000        1.063       1.195
summer#2010  |      1.105      0.040     2.78   0.005        1.030       1.186
  fall#1981  |      0.972      0.062    -0.44   0.657        0.857       1.102
  fall#1982  |      1.017      0.046     0.37   0.711        0.931       1.111
  fall#1983  |      1.038      0.035     1.12   0.261        0.972       1.109
  fall#1984  |      1.015      0.042     0.36   0.719        0.936       1.101
  fall#1985  |      1.074      0.040     1.93   0.054        0.999       1.155
  fall#1986  |      0.972      0.041    -0.69   0.492        0.895       1.055
  fall#1987  |      1.088      0.043     2.14   0.032        1.007       1.176
  fall#1988  |      0.943      0.059    -0.94   0.345        0.834       1.065
  fall#1989  |      0.962      0.046    -0.80   0.423        0.875       1.057
  fall#1990  |      1.008      0.047     0.17   0.863        0.920       1.105
  fall#1991  |      1.017      0.044     0.39   0.697        0.934       1.108
  fall#1992  |      0.992      0.042    -0.18   0.856        0.913       1.078
  fall#1993  |      1.036      0.045     0.80   0.422        0.951       1.128
  fall#1994  |      1.015      0.052     0.30   0.767        0.918       1.123
  fall#1995  |      1.036      0.039     0.94   0.347        0.962       1.117
  fall#1996  |      1.032      0.051     0.65   0.519        0.938       1.136
  fall#1997  |      0.989      0.048    -0.23   0.820        0.899       1.088
  fall#1998  |      0.988      0.040    -0.31   0.759        0.912       1.069
  fall#1999  |      1.053      0.043     1.28   0.202        0.972       1.141
  fall#2000  |      0.999      0.051    -0.03   0.979        0.903       1.104
  fall#2001  |      1.006      0.035     0.18   0.854        0.940       1.077
  fall#2002  |      0.985      0.036    -0.42   0.676        0.918       1.057
  fall#2003  |      0.984      0.045    -0.35   0.726        0.901       1.076
  fall#2004  |      1.044      0.041     1.10   0.273        0.967       1.127
  fall#2005  |      1.045      0.047     0.98   0.330        0.957       1.140
  fall#2006  |      1.073      0.037     2.03   0.042        1.002       1.148
  fall#2007  |      1.138      0.042     3.48   0.001        1.058       1.224
  fall#2008  |      1.051      0.037     1.40   0.161        0.980       1.126
  fall#2009  |      1.063      0.040     1.63   0.103        0.988       1.144
  fall#2010  |      1.034      0.037     0.92   0.356        0.963       1.109
             |
       _cons |     31.455      1.734    62.54   0.000       28.232      35.044
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.15       0.08     1.76   0.079        -0.02        0.31
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -14.76       0.45   -32.62   0.000       -15.65      -13.88
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -12.23       0.65   -18.92   0.000       -13.50      -10.97
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.29       0.11    11.29   0.000         1.06        1.51
     summer  |       1.05       0.08    13.42   0.000         0.89        1.20
       fall  |       0.24       0.13     1.83   0.067        -0.02        0.50
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 3.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -101190.59                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3677

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.020      0.005     3.89   0.000        1.010       1.031
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.313      0.007   -55.09   0.000        0.300       0.326
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.382      0.017   -22.21   0.000        0.351       0.416
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.516      0.012   -28.39   0.000        0.493       0.540
         AZ  |      1.059      0.035     1.74   0.081        0.993       1.130
         AR  |      0.746      0.004   -62.36   0.000        0.739       0.752
         CA  |      1.325      0.010    37.55   0.000        1.306       1.345
         CO  |      1.115      0.024     5.12   0.000        1.070       1.162
         CT  |      0.533      0.002  -204.71   0.000        0.530       0.536
         DE  |      0.704      0.006   -43.95   0.000        0.693       0.715
         FL  |      1.138      0.011    13.59   0.000        1.117       1.160
         GA  |      1.260      0.025    11.64   0.000        1.212       1.310
         HI  |      0.852      0.018    -7.57   0.000        0.817       0.888
         ID  |      0.906      0.042    -2.11   0.035        0.827       0.993
         IL  |      0.820      0.001  -181.71   0.000        0.818       0.822
         IN  |      0.775      0.004   -51.99   0.000        0.767       0.782
         IA  |      0.775      0.002  -112.90   0.000        0.772       0.779
         KS  |      0.743      0.002  -137.23   0.000        0.740       0.746
         KY  |      0.982      0.004    -4.07   0.000        0.974       0.991
         LA  |      1.477      0.040    14.51   0.000        1.401       1.557
         ME  |      0.822      0.003   -58.18   0.000        0.816       0.827
         MD  |      0.825      0.003   -59.65   0.000        0.820       0.831
         MA  |      0.622      0.003   -95.75   0.000        0.616       0.629
         MI  |      0.893      0.003   -31.89   0.000        0.887       0.899
         MN  |      0.760      0.008   -25.65   0.000        0.745       0.776
         MS  |      0.855      0.001  -218.45   0.000        0.854       0.857
         MO  |      0.954      0.001   -32.56   0.000        0.951       0.957
         MT  |      1.296      0.003   103.17   0.000        1.290       1.303
         NE  |      0.853      0.007   -18.50   0.000        0.838       0.867
         NV  |      1.726      0.090    10.45   0.000        1.558       1.912
         NH  |      0.854      0.019    -7.11   0.000        0.818       0.892
         NJ  |      0.479      0.001  -435.20   0.000        0.478       0.481
         NM  |      1.073      0.021     3.64   0.000        1.033       1.114
         NY  |      0.602      0.006   -53.74   0.000        0.591       0.614
         NC  |      1.223      0.018    13.44   0.000        1.188       1.259
         ND  |      0.870      0.005   -23.57   0.000        0.860       0.880
         OH  |      0.848      0.002   -61.56   0.000        0.843       0.852
         OK  |      0.805      0.010   -17.56   0.000        0.786       0.825
         OR  |      0.759      0.029    -7.11   0.000        0.703       0.819
         PA  |      0.762      0.004   -47.48   0.000        0.753       0.770
         RI  |      0.621      0.002  -190.42   0.000        0.618       0.624
         SC  |      0.935      0.011    -5.61   0.000        0.913       0.957
         SD  |      0.793      0.011   -16.89   0.000        0.772       0.815
         TN  |      0.885      0.007   -16.33   0.000        0.872       0.898
         TX  |      1.059      0.013     4.57   0.000        1.033       1.085
         UT  |      0.902      0.030    -3.15   0.002        0.846       0.962
         VT  |      1.060      0.003    18.93   0.000        1.054       1.066
         VA  |      1.287      0.007    46.46   0.000        1.274       1.301
         WA  |      0.852      0.012   -11.00   0.000        0.828       0.877
         WV  |      0.933      0.002   -28.72   0.000        0.929       0.937
         WI  |      0.797      0.005   -36.65   0.000        0.787       0.806
         WY  |      1.226      0.003    78.56   0.000        1.220       1.232
             |
     quarter |      0.994      0.002    -2.72   0.007        0.989       0.998
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.005      0.000    26.48   0.000        1.004       1.005
         AZ  |      1.001      0.000     3.99   0.000        1.001       1.002
         AR  |      1.002      0.000    39.95   0.000        1.002       1.002
         CA  |      0.998      0.000   -28.10   0.000        0.998       0.998
         CO  |      1.001      0.000     3.94   0.000        1.000       1.001
         CT  |      1.001      0.000    26.91   0.000        1.001       1.002
         DE  |      1.002      0.000    25.83   0.000        1.002       1.002
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     3.01   0.003        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      0.999      0.000    -6.18   0.000        0.998       0.999
         HI  |      1.002      0.000    11.33   0.000        1.001       1.002
         ID  |      1.002      0.000     4.43   0.000        1.001       1.003
         IL  |      0.999      0.000   -33.46   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IN  |      1.001      0.000    16.75   0.000        1.001       1.001
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -15.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.001      0.000    61.88   0.000        1.001       1.001
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    -5.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      0.997      0.000   -16.37   0.000        0.997       0.997
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    19.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -8.99   0.000        0.999       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    -1.68   0.092        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000   -40.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    -0.63   0.527        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.001      0.000    56.08   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -1.76   0.078        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     0.95   0.342        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      0.999      0.000    -7.99   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     0.68   0.496        0.999       1.001
         NH  |      1.000      0.000     1.20   0.231        1.000       1.001
         NJ  |      1.001      0.000    32.02   0.000        1.001       1.001
         NM  |      1.001      0.000     7.38   0.000        1.001       1.002
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -4.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      0.999      0.000    -8.46   0.000        0.999       0.999
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -39.77   0.000        0.999       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -29.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.002      0.000    38.91   0.000        1.002       1.002
         OR  |      1.003      0.000     8.40   0.000        1.002       1.004
         PA  |      1.001      0.000    29.47   0.000        1.001       1.001
         RI  |      1.001      0.000    20.34   0.000        1.001       1.001
         SC  |      1.001      0.000     7.15   0.000        1.001       1.001
         SD  |      1.001      0.000     4.78   0.000        1.000       1.001
         TN  |      1.001      0.000    15.12   0.000        1.001       1.001
         TX  |      0.999      0.000    -6.71   0.000        0.999       0.999
         UT  |      1.002      0.000     6.24   0.000        1.001       1.002
         VT  |      0.999      0.000   -17.35   0.000        0.999       0.999
         VA  |      0.998      0.000   -29.26   0.000        0.998       0.998
         WA  |      1.001      0.000     7.56   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WV  |      1.000      0.000     2.00   0.045        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.001      0.000     5.73   0.000        1.000       1.001
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    -0.16   0.873        1.000       1.000
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.154      0.033     5.00   0.000        1.091       1.221
     summer  |      1.031      0.031     1.01   0.310        0.972       1.095
       fall  |      1.008      0.028     0.28   0.778        0.955       1.064
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.083      0.048     1.80   0.072        0.993       1.181
       1982  |      1.083      0.038     2.28   0.022        1.011       1.160
       1983  |      1.087      0.052     1.76   0.079        0.990       1.193
       1984  |      1.193      0.061     3.42   0.001        1.078       1.320
       1985  |      1.138      0.074     1.97   0.049        1.001       1.293
       1986  |      1.323      0.101     3.68   0.000        1.140       1.535
       1987  |      1.165      0.086     2.07   0.039        1.008       1.346
       1988  |      1.265      0.115     2.59   0.010        1.059       1.511
       1989  |      1.300      0.129     2.64   0.008        1.070       1.579
       1990  |      1.342      0.147     2.68   0.007        1.083       1.664
       1991  |      1.314      0.147     2.45   0.014        1.056       1.637
       1992  |      1.331      0.171     2.23   0.026        1.035       1.711
       1993  |      1.299      0.177     1.92   0.055        0.994       1.698
       1994  |      1.309      0.185     1.91   0.057        0.992       1.726
       1995  |      1.360      0.207     2.02   0.043        1.009       1.832
       1996  |      1.428      0.230     2.21   0.027        1.042       1.957
       1997  |      1.508      0.254     2.43   0.015        1.083       2.098
       1998  |      1.553      0.281     2.44   0.015        1.090       2.214
       1999  |      1.508      0.295     2.10   0.036        1.028       2.211
       2000  |      1.625      0.326     2.42   0.015        1.097       2.406
       2001  |      1.753      0.374     2.63   0.008        1.154       2.663
       2002  |      1.908      0.418     2.95   0.003        1.243       2.930
       2003  |      1.908      0.443     2.78   0.005        1.211       3.007
       2004  |      2.003      0.454     3.07   0.002        1.285       3.122
       2005  |      2.095      0.519     2.98   0.003        1.289       3.405
       2006  |      2.238      0.568     3.18   0.001        1.362       3.679
       2007  |      2.350      0.608     3.30   0.001        1.415       3.903
       2008  |      2.628      0.720     3.53   0.000        1.536       4.495
       2009  |      2.654      0.762     3.40   0.001        1.512       4.659
       2010  |      2.826      0.833     3.53   0.000        1.586       5.035
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.913      0.053    -1.56   0.118        0.814       1.024
spring#1982  |      0.969      0.055    -0.56   0.575        0.867       1.083
spring#1983  |      0.974      0.046    -0.56   0.576        0.887       1.069
spring#1984  |      0.950      0.049    -1.01   0.312        0.859       1.050
spring#1985  |      1.017      0.044     0.38   0.707        0.933       1.107
spring#1986  |      0.884      0.039    -2.76   0.006        0.810       0.965
spring#1987  |      1.121      0.055     2.32   0.021        1.018       1.235
spring#1988  |      0.926      0.042    -1.68   0.093        0.847       1.013
spring#1989  |      0.913      0.050    -1.65   0.099        0.820       1.017
spring#1990  |      0.879      0.039    -2.90   0.004        0.806       0.959
spring#1991  |      0.969      0.049    -0.62   0.536        0.878       1.070
spring#1992  |      0.910      0.039    -2.17   0.030        0.836       0.991
spring#1993  |      0.975      0.043    -0.57   0.568        0.895       1.063
spring#1994  |      0.975      0.035    -0.71   0.476        0.908       1.046
spring#1995  |      0.940      0.041    -1.40   0.162        0.863       1.025
spring#1996  |      0.986      0.055    -0.25   0.802        0.884       1.100
spring#1997  |      0.949      0.046    -1.08   0.281        0.862       1.044
spring#1998  |      0.931      0.046    -1.44   0.150        0.846       1.026
spring#1999  |      0.924      0.035    -2.07   0.039        0.857       0.996
spring#2000  |      0.942      0.038    -1.50   0.133        0.871       1.018
spring#2001  |      0.945      0.034    -1.58   0.113        0.881       1.014
spring#2002  |      0.919      0.025    -3.12   0.002        0.871       0.969
spring#2003  |      0.986      0.038    -0.37   0.710        0.913       1.064
spring#2004  |      0.938      0.041    -1.47   0.141        0.861       1.022
spring#2005  |      0.957      0.037    -1.12   0.261        0.888       1.033
spring#2006  |      0.965      0.030    -1.12   0.264        0.908       1.027
spring#2007  |      0.982      0.035    -0.50   0.620        0.915       1.054
spring#2008  |      0.964      0.034    -1.03   0.302        0.899       1.034
spring#2009  |      0.964      0.039    -0.90   0.368        0.891       1.044
spring#2010  |      0.987      0.039    -0.34   0.736        0.912       1.067
summer#1981  |      0.996      0.067    -0.06   0.954        0.874       1.136
summer#1982  |      1.103      0.050     2.14   0.033        1.008       1.206
summer#1983  |      1.082      0.048     1.77   0.077        0.992       1.180
summer#1984  |      1.004      0.041     0.11   0.914        0.927       1.088
summer#1985  |      1.068      0.055     1.26   0.207        0.965       1.181
summer#1986  |      0.962      0.041    -0.92   0.358        0.886       1.045
summer#1987  |      1.144      0.046     3.31   0.001        1.056       1.238
summer#1988  |      1.001      0.048     0.02   0.983        0.910       1.101
summer#1989  |      1.003      0.044     0.07   0.947        0.920       1.094
summer#1990  |      1.011      0.055     0.20   0.839        0.909       1.125
summer#1991  |      1.088      0.044     2.06   0.039        1.004       1.178
summer#1992  |      1.057      0.037     1.61   0.107        0.988       1.131
summer#1993  |      1.113      0.049     2.42   0.016        1.021       1.214
summer#1994  |      1.069      0.046     1.56   0.120        0.983       1.164
summer#1995  |      1.085      0.045     1.97   0.049        1.000       1.176
summer#1996  |      1.088      0.047     1.95   0.051        0.999       1.183
summer#1997  |      1.028      0.044     0.65   0.516        0.946       1.117
summer#1998  |      1.044      0.042     1.09   0.274        0.966       1.129
summer#1999  |      1.064      0.038     1.71   0.087        0.991       1.142
summer#2000  |      1.012      0.044     0.26   0.792        0.929       1.102
summer#2001  |      1.063      0.039     1.65   0.100        0.988       1.143
summer#2002  |      1.022      0.043     0.52   0.600        0.941       1.110
summer#2003  |      1.090      0.044     2.15   0.032        1.008       1.180
summer#2004  |      1.125      0.044     3.04   0.002        1.043       1.214
summer#2005  |      1.047      0.045     1.07   0.283        0.963       1.140
summer#2006  |      1.060      0.039     1.59   0.112        0.987       1.139
summer#2007  |      1.101      0.042     2.54   0.011        1.022       1.187
summer#2008  |      1.042      0.040     1.09   0.275        0.968       1.123
summer#2009  |      1.125      0.033     3.96   0.000        1.061       1.193
summer#2010  |      1.107      0.040     2.81   0.005        1.031       1.188
  fall#1981  |      0.973      0.062    -0.43   0.667        0.858       1.103
  fall#1982  |      1.017      0.046     0.36   0.716        0.930       1.111
  fall#1983  |      1.041      0.035     1.20   0.228        0.975       1.111
  fall#1984  |      1.018      0.042     0.42   0.672        0.939       1.103
  fall#1985  |      1.076      0.040     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.157
  fall#1986  |      0.973      0.041    -0.65   0.515        0.896       1.056
  fall#1987  |      1.091      0.043     2.22   0.027        1.010       1.178
  fall#1988  |      0.945      0.059    -0.91   0.362        0.836       1.067
  fall#1989  |      0.964      0.046    -0.78   0.438        0.877       1.058
  fall#1990  |      1.009      0.047     0.19   0.846        0.921       1.106
  fall#1991  |      1.018      0.044     0.40   0.688        0.934       1.109
  fall#1992  |      0.994      0.042    -0.15   0.882        0.915       1.079
  fall#1993  |      1.038      0.045     0.85   0.396        0.953       1.131
  fall#1994  |      1.018      0.052     0.35   0.728        0.920       1.126
  fall#1995  |      1.038      0.039     0.99   0.322        0.964       1.119
  fall#1996  |      1.034      0.051     0.69   0.493        0.939       1.140
  fall#1997  |      0.992      0.049    -0.17   0.863        0.901       1.091
  fall#1998  |      0.990      0.040    -0.25   0.803        0.915       1.071
  fall#1999  |      1.056      0.043     1.34   0.182        0.975       1.143
  fall#2000  |      1.001      0.051     0.01   0.992        0.905       1.106
  fall#2001  |      1.006      0.035     0.17   0.868        0.939       1.077
  fall#2002  |      0.986      0.036    -0.40   0.688        0.918       1.058
  fall#2003  |      0.985      0.045    -0.33   0.739        0.901       1.076
  fall#2004  |      1.046      0.041     1.15   0.252        0.969       1.130
  fall#2005  |      1.047      0.047     1.02   0.308        0.959       1.143
  fall#2006  |      1.075      0.037     2.09   0.036        1.005       1.150
  fall#2007  |      1.139      0.042     3.49   0.000        1.059       1.225
  fall#2008  |      1.049      0.037     1.36   0.175        0.979       1.125
  fall#2009  |      1.060      0.040     1.53   0.126        0.984       1.141
  fall#2010  |      1.035      0.037     0.96   0.336        0.965       1.111
             |
       _cons |     54.309     11.102    19.54   0.000       36.381      81.074
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.26       0.06     4.11   0.000         0.13        0.38
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -14.69       0.46   -32.11   0.000       -15.59      -13.79
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -12.15       0.65   -18.74   0.000       -13.42      -10.88
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.25       0.12    10.79   0.000         1.02        1.48
     summer  |       1.10       0.08    13.70   0.000         0.94        1.26
       fall  |       0.39       0.13     3.00   0.003         0.14        0.65
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 3.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -101132.55                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3681

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.018      0.006     3.07   0.002        1.007       1.030
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.313      0.007   -55.08   0.000        0.300       0.326
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.382      0.017   -22.21   0.000        0.351       0.416
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.153      0.033     4.95   0.000        1.090       1.220
     summer  |      1.033      0.032     1.07   0.284        0.973       1.097
       fall  |      1.012      0.028     0.44   0.660        0.959       1.068
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.093      0.044     2.21   0.027        1.010       1.184
       1982  |      1.104      0.047     2.29   0.022        1.014       1.200
       1983  |      1.117      0.085     1.44   0.150        0.961       1.297
       1984  |      1.233      0.109     2.38   0.017        1.037       1.466
       1985  |      1.183      0.132     1.51   0.132        0.951       1.472
       1986  |      1.384      0.180     2.50   0.012        1.073       1.784
       1987  |      1.225      0.168     1.48   0.139        0.936       1.602
       1988  |      1.336      0.206     1.87   0.061        0.987       1.808
       1989  |      1.378      0.236     1.87   0.061        0.985       1.927
       1990  |      1.428      0.260     1.96   0.050        0.999       2.042
       1991  |      1.404      0.273     1.75   0.081        0.959       2.056
       1992  |      1.426      0.302     1.67   0.094        0.941       2.161
       1993  |      1.395      0.306     1.51   0.130        0.907       2.145
       1994  |      1.406      0.314     1.53   0.127        0.908       2.179
       1995  |      1.462      0.341     1.63   0.103        0.926       2.308
       1996  |      1.535      0.361     1.82   0.069        0.968       2.435
       1997  |      1.620      0.402     1.94   0.052        0.996       2.635
       1998  |      1.667      0.424     2.01   0.044        1.013       2.744
       1999  |      1.615      0.427     1.81   0.070        0.962       2.713
       2000  |      1.737      0.464     2.07   0.039        1.029       2.934
       2001  |      1.872      0.519     2.26   0.024        1.087       3.225
       2002  |      2.034      0.565     2.56   0.011        1.180       3.506
       2003  |      2.029      0.572     2.51   0.012        1.168       3.527
       2004  |      2.123      0.597     2.68   0.007        1.223       3.682
       2005  |      2.210      0.641     2.74   0.006        1.252       3.902
       2006  |      2.350      0.671     2.99   0.003        1.342       4.114
       2007  |      2.454      0.700     3.15   0.002        1.403       4.292
       2008  |      2.731      0.804     3.41   0.001        1.534       4.863
       2009  |      2.749      0.838     3.32   0.001        1.513       4.995
       2010  |      2.912      0.903     3.45   0.001        1.586       5.347
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.913      0.053    -1.56   0.118        0.814       1.023
spring#1982  |      0.969      0.055    -0.56   0.576        0.867       1.083
spring#1983  |      0.974      0.046    -0.56   0.579        0.888       1.069
spring#1984  |      0.950      0.049    -1.01   0.314        0.859       1.050
spring#1985  |      1.017      0.044     0.38   0.703        0.933       1.108
spring#1986  |      0.884      0.039    -2.76   0.006        0.810       0.965
spring#1987  |      1.121      0.055     2.33   0.020        1.018       1.235
spring#1988  |      0.927      0.042    -1.67   0.095        0.847       1.013
spring#1989  |      0.914      0.050    -1.64   0.100        0.820       1.018
spring#1990  |      0.879      0.039    -2.87   0.004        0.806       0.960
spring#1991  |      0.970      0.049    -0.61   0.543        0.878       1.071
spring#1992  |      0.911      0.039    -2.15   0.031        0.837       0.992
spring#1993  |      0.976      0.043    -0.56   0.577        0.895       1.064
spring#1994  |      0.975      0.036    -0.69   0.493        0.908       1.048
spring#1995  |      0.941      0.042    -1.38   0.169        0.863       1.026
spring#1996  |      0.987      0.055    -0.24   0.813        0.884       1.101
spring#1997  |      0.950      0.046    -1.06   0.289        0.863       1.045
spring#1998  |      0.932      0.046    -1.42   0.155        0.846       1.027
spring#1999  |      0.925      0.036    -2.03   0.042        0.857       0.997
spring#2000  |      0.942      0.038    -1.48   0.140        0.871       1.020
spring#2001  |      0.946      0.034    -1.57   0.115        0.882       1.014
spring#2002  |      0.920      0.025    -3.07   0.002        0.872       0.970
spring#2003  |      0.987      0.039    -0.34   0.734        0.914       1.066
spring#2004  |      0.939      0.041    -1.46   0.144        0.863       1.022
spring#2005  |      0.958      0.037    -1.10   0.273        0.888       1.034
spring#2006  |      0.966      0.031    -1.06   0.287        0.908       1.029
spring#2007  |      0.983      0.036    -0.47   0.642        0.916       1.056
spring#2008  |      0.965      0.035    -0.99   0.320        0.899       1.036
spring#2009  |      0.966      0.039    -0.86   0.391        0.892       1.046
spring#2010  |      0.988      0.039    -0.31   0.755        0.914       1.067
summer#1981  |      0.996      0.066    -0.06   0.948        0.874       1.135
summer#1982  |      1.102      0.050     2.13   0.033        1.008       1.205
summer#1983  |      1.081      0.048     1.75   0.081        0.991       1.180
summer#1984  |      1.003      0.041     0.09   0.932        0.926       1.087
summer#1985  |      1.067      0.055     1.25   0.212        0.964       1.180
summer#1986  |      0.961      0.041    -0.94   0.348        0.885       1.044
summer#1987  |      1.142      0.046     3.29   0.001        1.055       1.237
summer#1988  |      1.000      0.048    -0.00   0.997        0.909       1.100
summer#1989  |      1.002      0.044     0.04   0.969        0.919       1.092
summer#1990  |      1.010      0.055     0.18   0.860        0.907       1.124
summer#1991  |      1.086      0.044     2.03   0.042        1.003       1.177
summer#1992  |      1.056      0.037     1.54   0.124        0.985       1.131
summer#1993  |      1.111      0.049     2.40   0.017        1.019       1.211
summer#1994  |      1.068      0.046     1.52   0.127        0.981       1.161
summer#1995  |      1.083      0.044     1.94   0.053        0.999       1.173
summer#1996  |      1.085      0.046     1.93   0.053        0.999       1.180
summer#1997  |      1.026      0.043     0.60   0.545        0.944       1.114
summer#1998  |      1.042      0.042     1.03   0.301        0.964       1.127
summer#1999  |      1.062      0.038     1.66   0.096        0.989       1.139
summer#2000  |      1.009      0.044     0.21   0.834        0.926       1.100
summer#2001  |      1.061      0.040     1.56   0.118        0.985       1.142
summer#2002  |      1.020      0.044     0.46   0.645        0.938       1.109
summer#2003  |      1.088      0.044     2.11   0.035        1.006       1.177
summer#2004  |      1.122      0.045     2.90   0.004        1.038       1.213
summer#2005  |      1.045      0.046     0.99   0.320        0.959       1.138
summer#2006  |      1.057      0.039     1.51   0.131        0.984       1.136
summer#2007  |      1.098      0.041     2.50   0.012        1.021       1.182
summer#2008  |      1.040      0.039     1.03   0.304        0.965       1.119
summer#2009  |      1.123      0.034     3.83   0.000        1.058       1.191
summer#2010  |      1.103      0.042     2.57   0.010        1.024       1.190
  fall#1981  |      0.972      0.062    -0.44   0.660        0.858       1.102
  fall#1982  |      1.016      0.046     0.36   0.721        0.930       1.110
  fall#1983  |      1.039      0.035     1.15   0.250        0.973       1.110
  fall#1984  |      1.016      0.042     0.38   0.701        0.937       1.101
  fall#1985  |      1.074      0.040     1.93   0.053        0.999       1.155
  fall#1986  |      0.971      0.041    -0.69   0.489        0.894       1.055
  fall#1987  |      1.088      0.042     2.18   0.030        1.008       1.174
  fall#1988  |      0.942      0.058    -0.96   0.335        0.836       1.063
  fall#1989  |      0.961      0.045    -0.85   0.397        0.877       1.054
  fall#1990  |      1.006      0.046     0.14   0.890        0.920       1.101
  fall#1991  |      1.015      0.044     0.34   0.734        0.932       1.105
  fall#1992  |      0.991      0.041    -0.23   0.819        0.913       1.075
  fall#1993  |      1.034      0.044     0.78   0.436        0.950       1.125
  fall#1994  |      1.014      0.053     0.27   0.789        0.916       1.123
  fall#1995  |      1.034      0.039     0.90   0.368        0.961       1.112
  fall#1996  |      1.030      0.049     0.63   0.531        0.939       1.130
  fall#1997  |      0.987      0.048    -0.27   0.788        0.897       1.086
  fall#1998  |      0.985      0.037    -0.40   0.693        0.915       1.060
  fall#1999  |      1.051      0.044     1.17   0.243        0.967       1.141
  fall#2000  |      0.995      0.050    -0.09   0.927        0.903       1.098
  fall#2001  |      1.001      0.034     0.03   0.973        0.937       1.070
  fall#2002  |      0.981      0.035    -0.55   0.585        0.914       1.052
  fall#2003  |      0.980      0.042    -0.47   0.636        0.900       1.066
  fall#2004  |      1.040      0.044     0.92   0.360        0.956       1.130
  fall#2005  |      1.040      0.048     0.85   0.394        0.950       1.139
  fall#2006  |      1.068      0.036     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.141
  fall#2007  |      1.132      0.041     3.45   0.001        1.055       1.214
  fall#2008  |      1.043      0.038     1.17   0.244        0.972       1.120
  fall#2009  |      1.053      0.038     1.43   0.154        0.981       1.132
  fall#2010  |      1.028      0.042     0.68   0.498        0.949       1.113
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.140      0.019   -14.86   0.000        0.108       0.181
         AZ  |      1.049      0.015     3.34   0.001        1.020       1.079
         AR  |      1.114      0.009    13.28   0.000        1.097       1.132
         CA  |      1.699      0.052    17.46   0.000        1.601       1.804
         CO  |      1.599      0.025    30.42   0.000        1.552       1.648
         CT  |      0.430      0.017   -21.44   0.000        0.398       0.465
         DE  |      0.477      0.009   -40.31   0.000        0.460       0.495
         FL  |      0.953      0.009    -5.29   0.000        0.935       0.970
         GA  |      1.720      0.026    36.34   0.000        1.670       1.771
         HI  |      0.723      0.036    -6.57   0.000        0.656       0.796
         ID  |      2.516      0.040    58.28   0.000        2.439       2.595
         IL  |      0.687      0.010   -26.88   0.000        0.669       0.706
         IN  |      1.032      0.011     2.86   0.004        1.010       1.055
         IA  |      1.518      0.054    11.84   0.000        1.417       1.627
         KS  |      0.888      0.021    -4.91   0.000        0.847       0.931
         KY  |      1.012      0.004     3.05   0.002        1.004       1.020
         LA  |      1.084      0.092     0.96   0.338        0.919       1.280
         ME  |      0.845      0.006   -21.96   0.000        0.833       0.858
         MD  |      0.807      0.017   -10.45   0.000        0.775       0.840
         MA  |      0.641      0.025   -11.49   0.000        0.594       0.691
         MI  |      1.309      0.089     3.94   0.000        1.145       1.496
         MN  |      1.074      0.020     3.76   0.000        1.035       1.114
         MS  |      0.802      0.012   -14.72   0.000        0.779       0.826
         MO  |      1.064      0.009     7.53   0.000        1.047       1.082
         MT  |      1.735      0.181     5.27   0.000        1.414       2.130
         NE  |      0.617      0.018   -17.00   0.000        0.584       0.652
         NV  |      0.924      0.057    -1.28   0.200        0.819       1.043
         NH  |      1.193      0.014    15.41   0.000        1.166       1.220
         NJ  |      0.296      0.011   -32.98   0.000        0.275       0.318
         NM  |      0.709      0.021   -11.53   0.000        0.669       0.752
         NY  |      0.605      0.037    -8.20   0.000        0.536       0.682
         NC  |      1.588      0.004   189.37   0.000        1.580       1.596
         ND  |      0.371      0.038    -9.70   0.000        0.304       0.453
         OH  |      1.623      0.009    84.35   0.000        1.605       1.642
         OK  |      1.597      0.172     4.34   0.000        1.292       1.972
         OR  |      0.832      0.014   -10.62   0.000        0.805       0.861
         PA  |      0.790      0.030    -6.11   0.000        0.732       0.852
         RI  |      4.151      0.103    57.14   0.000        3.953       4.359
         SC  |      0.781      0.008   -24.01   0.000        0.766       0.797
         SD  |      0.610      0.018   -16.73   0.000        0.575       0.646
         TN  |      1.626      0.009    86.31   0.000        1.608       1.644
         TX  |      0.868      0.051    -2.42   0.015        0.774       0.973
         UT  |      1.954      0.036    36.43   0.000        1.885       2.026
         VT  |      0.933      0.008    -8.52   0.000        0.918       0.948
         VA  |      1.761      0.030    33.23   0.000        1.703       1.820
         WA  |      0.669      0.007   -39.65   0.000        0.656       0.683
         WV  |      0.720      0.008   -31.11   0.000        0.706       0.735
         WI  |      1.913      0.112    11.09   0.000        1.706       2.145
         WY  |      3.291      0.511     7.67   0.000        2.428       4.461
             |
     quarter |      0.991      0.012    -0.80   0.423        0.968       1.014
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     0.27   0.784        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.023      0.002    13.34   0.000        1.020       1.027
         AZ  |      1.001      0.000     5.38   0.000        1.001       1.002
         AR  |      0.996      0.000   -29.19   0.000        0.995       0.996
         CA  |      0.994      0.000   -11.73   0.000        0.993       0.995
         CO  |      0.996      0.000   -14.16   0.000        0.995       0.996
         CT  |      1.005      0.001     8.31   0.000        1.004       1.006
         DE  |      1.008      0.000    33.54   0.000        1.007       1.008
         FL  |      1.003      0.000    26.18   0.000        1.003       1.003
         GA  |      0.994      0.000   -54.98   0.000        0.994       0.995
         HI  |      1.004      0.001     6.64   0.000        1.003       1.005
         ID  |      0.987      0.000   -26.20   0.000        0.986       0.988
         IL  |      1.002      0.000     9.73   0.000        1.001       1.002
         IN  |      0.997      0.000   -26.36   0.000        0.996       0.997
         IA  |      0.990      0.000   -20.57   0.000        0.989       0.991
         KS  |      0.998      0.000    -4.71   0.000        0.998       0.999
         KY  |      0.999      0.000   -24.66   0.000        0.999       0.999
         LA  |      1.002      0.001     1.62   0.105        1.000       1.004
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -0.41   0.679        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -0.45   0.655        0.999       1.000
         MA  |      0.999      0.001    -1.09   0.277        0.998       1.000
         MI  |      0.994      0.001    -5.65   0.000        0.992       0.996
         MN  |      0.995      0.000   -15.46   0.000        0.994       0.996
         MS  |      1.002      0.000    10.34   0.000        1.002       1.003
         MO  |      0.998      0.000   -11.75   0.000        0.998       0.999
         MT  |      0.996      0.001    -2.86   0.004        0.993       0.999
         NE  |      1.004      0.000     9.02   0.000        1.003       1.005
         NV  |      1.009      0.001    16.30   0.000        1.008       1.011
         NH  |      0.995      0.000   -18.44   0.000        0.995       0.996
         NJ  |      1.008      0.001    16.15   0.000        1.007       1.009
         NM  |      1.007      0.001    13.56   0.000        1.006       1.008
         NY  |      1.000      0.001    -0.34   0.731        0.998       1.001
         NC  |      0.995      0.000   -63.03   0.000        0.995       0.995
         ND  |      1.012      0.001     8.54   0.000        1.009       1.015
         OH  |      0.990      0.000  -121.14   0.000        0.990       0.990
         OK  |      0.992      0.001    -5.84   0.000        0.989       0.994
         OR  |      1.002      0.000     9.43   0.000        1.001       1.002
         PA  |      1.000      0.001     0.23   0.820        0.999       1.001
         RI  |      0.973      0.000   -89.42   0.000        0.972       0.973
         SC  |      1.003      0.000    33.93   0.000        1.003       1.004
         SD  |      1.005      0.001     8.53   0.000        1.003       1.006
         TN  |      0.992      0.000   -84.09   0.000        0.992       0.992
         TX  |      1.002      0.001     2.22   0.026        1.000       1.004
         UT  |      0.991      0.000   -21.04   0.000        0.990       0.992
         VT  |      1.001      0.000    13.55   0.000        1.001       1.001
         VA  |      0.994      0.000   -23.14   0.000        0.993       0.994
         WA  |      1.004      0.000    20.88   0.000        1.004       1.005
         WV  |      1.004      0.000    26.29   0.000        1.004       1.004
         WI  |      0.988      0.001   -14.62   0.000        0.986       0.989
         WY  |      0.985      0.002    -6.53   0.000        0.981       0.990
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -11.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -0.50   0.619        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    31.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000     6.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     9.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    -5.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -36.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000   -18.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    36.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -5.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    15.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -13.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    47.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    19.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     7.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000     6.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -5.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000     3.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -1.06   0.289        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000     0.59   0.553        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     5.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    11.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -4.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    12.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     2.77   0.006        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -8.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000   -39.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000     9.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -13.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    -8.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     0.11   0.910        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    16.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    -8.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   120.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     7.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     2.40   0.016        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000     1.15   0.249        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    80.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -22.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    -6.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    59.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    -2.80   0.005        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    14.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -14.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    13.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -10.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -22.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    13.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     6.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     63.480     45.194     5.83   0.000       15.727     256.236
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.23       0.07     3.18   0.001         0.09        0.37
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -14.68       0.46   -32.18   0.000       -15.58      -13.79
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -12.14       0.65   -18.76   0.000       -13.41      -10.87
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.25       0.12    10.79   0.000         1.02        1.48
     summer  |       1.10       0.08    13.72   0.000         0.95        1.26
       fall  |       0.40       0.13     3.00   0.003         0.14        0.65
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 3.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -101054.87                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3686

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.037      0.008     5.01   0.000        1.023       1.052
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.313      0.007   -55.07   0.000        0.300       0.326
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.382      0.017   -22.22   0.000        0.351       0.416
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.156      0.033     5.03   0.000        1.092       1.223
     summer  |      1.024      0.032     0.75   0.455        0.963       1.088
       fall  |      0.993      0.026    -0.25   0.802        0.943       1.047
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.052      0.040     1.33   0.183        0.976       1.133
       1982  |      1.025      0.049     0.52   0.600        0.934       1.126
       1983  |      1.012      0.086     0.13   0.893        0.856       1.196
       1984  |      1.105      0.099     1.12   0.261        0.928       1.316
       1985  |      1.053      0.121     0.45   0.654        0.841       1.318
       1986  |      1.226      0.167     1.49   0.136        0.938       1.602
       1987  |      1.086      0.153     0.58   0.560        0.823       1.432
       1988  |      1.192      0.183     1.15   0.251        0.883       1.610
       1989  |      1.241      0.208     1.29   0.198        0.893       1.725
       1990  |      1.299      0.232     1.46   0.143        0.915       1.843
       1991  |      1.286      0.245     1.32   0.186        0.885       1.868
       1992  |      1.322      0.274     1.35   0.177        0.881       1.984
       1993  |      1.318      0.283     1.28   0.199        0.865       2.008
       1994  |      1.360      0.300     1.39   0.163        0.883       2.094
       1995  |      1.448      0.334     1.60   0.109        0.921       2.276
       1996  |      1.556      0.366     1.88   0.060        0.981       2.466
       1997  |      1.683      0.421     2.08   0.037        1.031       2.750
       1998  |      1.778      0.461     2.22   0.026        1.070       2.955
       1999  |      1.765      0.478     2.10   0.036        1.038       3.000
       2000  |      1.940      0.539     2.39   0.017        1.126       3.344
       2001  |      2.118      0.611     2.60   0.009        1.203       3.730
       2002  |      2.315      0.677     2.87   0.004        1.305       4.107
       2003  |      2.328      0.690     2.85   0.004        1.303       4.160
       2004  |      2.458      0.733     3.02   0.003        1.370       4.410
       2005  |      2.583      0.790     3.10   0.002        1.419       4.704
       2006  |      2.764      0.827     3.40   0.001        1.537       4.970
       2007  |      2.886      0.864     3.54   0.000        1.605       5.190
       2008  |      3.168      0.963     3.79   0.000        1.746       5.747
       2009  |      3.086      0.962     3.61   0.000        1.675       5.684
       2010  |      3.177      0.999     3.68   0.000        1.715       5.883
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.914      0.053    -1.55   0.122        0.815       1.024
spring#1982  |      0.969      0.055    -0.56   0.577        0.867       1.083
spring#1983  |      0.972      0.046    -0.60   0.549        0.886       1.067
spring#1984  |      0.949      0.049    -1.02   0.306        0.858       1.049
spring#1985  |      1.015      0.045     0.34   0.736        0.931       1.106
spring#1986  |      0.882      0.039    -2.81   0.005        0.808       0.963
spring#1987  |      1.118      0.055     2.27   0.023        1.016       1.232
spring#1988  |      0.924      0.042    -1.73   0.084        0.845       1.011
spring#1989  |      0.911      0.051    -1.68   0.093        0.817       1.016
spring#1990  |      0.878      0.039    -2.91   0.004        0.804       0.958
spring#1991  |      0.966      0.048    -0.69   0.492        0.876       1.066
spring#1992  |      0.907      0.040    -2.23   0.026        0.833       0.988
spring#1993  |      0.972      0.043    -0.66   0.512        0.892       1.059
spring#1994  |      0.971      0.036    -0.80   0.425        0.904       1.044
spring#1995  |      0.937      0.041    -1.47   0.141        0.860       1.022
spring#1996  |      0.983      0.055    -0.31   0.756        0.880       1.097
spring#1997  |      0.945      0.047    -1.13   0.257        0.858       1.042
spring#1998  |      0.929      0.046    -1.49   0.136        0.842       1.024
spring#1999  |      0.921      0.035    -2.16   0.031        0.854       0.992
spring#2000  |      0.940      0.038    -1.53   0.127        0.868       1.018
spring#2001  |      0.944      0.034    -1.60   0.110        0.879       1.013
spring#2002  |      0.917      0.025    -3.20   0.001        0.870       0.967
spring#2003  |      0.983      0.039    -0.44   0.662        0.910       1.062
spring#2004  |      0.936      0.041    -1.51   0.130        0.860       1.020
spring#2005  |      0.956      0.037    -1.16   0.246        0.886       1.032
spring#2006  |      0.965      0.031    -1.13   0.258        0.906       1.027
spring#2007  |      0.983      0.036    -0.49   0.627        0.915       1.055
spring#2008  |      0.967      0.035    -0.93   0.352        0.901       1.038
spring#2009  |      0.964      0.039    -0.89   0.372        0.890       1.045
spring#2010  |      0.988      0.039    -0.31   0.760        0.915       1.067
summer#1981  |      1.000      0.067     0.00   0.998        0.878       1.140
summer#1982  |      1.106      0.051     2.19   0.028        1.011       1.210
summer#1983  |      1.088      0.049     1.87   0.062        0.996       1.188
summer#1984  |      1.012      0.041     0.29   0.769        0.935       1.096
summer#1985  |      1.075      0.055     1.41   0.158        0.972       1.189
summer#1986  |      0.969      0.042    -0.73   0.468        0.891       1.054
summer#1987  |      1.154      0.048     3.45   0.001        1.064       1.251
summer#1988  |      1.011      0.050     0.22   0.828        0.917       1.114
summer#1989  |      1.013      0.045     0.28   0.777        0.929       1.104
summer#1990  |      1.022      0.057     0.39   0.695        0.916       1.140
summer#1991  |      1.098      0.046     2.24   0.025        1.012       1.191
summer#1992  |      1.068      0.039     1.82   0.069        0.995       1.147
summer#1993  |      1.126      0.051     2.63   0.008        1.031       1.229
summer#1994  |      1.082      0.048     1.77   0.077        0.991       1.182
summer#1995  |      1.097      0.046     2.21   0.027        1.010       1.190
summer#1996  |      1.100      0.047     2.25   0.024        1.012       1.196
summer#1997  |      1.040      0.044     0.94   0.348        0.958       1.129
summer#1998  |      1.057      0.042     1.37   0.171        0.977       1.143
summer#1999  |      1.075      0.040     1.98   0.048        1.001       1.156
summer#2000  |      1.023      0.043     0.54   0.593        0.942       1.111
summer#2001  |      1.072      0.039     1.90   0.057        0.998       1.152
summer#2002  |      1.032      0.044     0.73   0.468        0.949       1.122
summer#2003  |      1.098      0.044     2.35   0.019        1.016       1.188
summer#2004  |      1.135      0.045     3.23   0.001        1.051       1.226
summer#2005  |      1.056      0.046     1.26   0.209        0.970       1.150
summer#2006  |      1.068      0.040     1.75   0.080        0.992       1.149
summer#2007  |      1.108      0.041     2.76   0.006        1.030       1.193
summer#2008  |      1.048      0.040     1.22   0.222        0.972       1.129
summer#2009  |      1.124      0.034     3.82   0.000        1.058       1.193
summer#2010  |      1.111      0.043     2.74   0.006        1.031       1.198
  fall#1981  |      0.977      0.062    -0.37   0.712        0.863       1.106
  fall#1982  |      1.021      0.046     0.46   0.648        0.934       1.116
  fall#1983  |      1.053      0.035     1.54   0.124        0.986       1.125
  fall#1984  |      1.032      0.041     0.79   0.430        0.955       1.115
  fall#1985  |      1.092      0.038     2.49   0.013        1.019       1.170
  fall#1986  |      0.988      0.042    -0.28   0.783        0.910       1.073
  fall#1987  |      1.111      0.047     2.51   0.012        1.023       1.206
  fall#1988  |      0.964      0.058    -0.62   0.538        0.857       1.084
  fall#1989  |      0.983      0.045    -0.38   0.704        0.898       1.075
  fall#1990  |      1.029      0.044     0.67   0.501        0.946       1.120
  fall#1991  |      1.038      0.045     0.87   0.385        0.954       1.129
  fall#1992  |      1.016      0.041     0.40   0.690        0.939       1.100
  fall#1993  |      1.063      0.043     1.50   0.135        0.981       1.152
  fall#1994  |      1.044      0.054     0.83   0.407        0.943       1.156
  fall#1995  |      1.063      0.041     1.60   0.110        0.986       1.146
  fall#1996  |      1.060      0.048     1.28   0.200        0.970       1.159
  fall#1997  |      1.017      0.045     0.37   0.709        0.932       1.109
  fall#1998  |      1.014      0.038     0.38   0.704        0.943       1.090
  fall#1999  |      1.080      0.043     1.94   0.052        0.999       1.168
  fall#2000  |      1.022      0.046     0.49   0.621        0.936       1.116
  fall#2001  |      1.022      0.035     0.63   0.526        0.955       1.094
  fall#2002  |      1.003      0.035     0.08   0.937        0.937       1.073
  fall#2003  |      1.001      0.042     0.03   0.979        0.922       1.087
  fall#2004  |      1.064      0.044     1.50   0.133        0.981       1.154
  fall#2005  |      1.063      0.046     1.42   0.154        0.977       1.156
  fall#2006  |      1.089      0.036     2.57   0.010        1.021       1.163
  fall#2007  |      1.150      0.039     4.16   0.000        1.077       1.229
  fall#2008  |      1.052      0.037     1.46   0.145        0.983       1.127
  fall#2009  |      1.057      0.037     1.56   0.119        0.986       1.133
  fall#2010  |      1.038      0.041     0.96   0.339        0.961       1.121
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |     26.428      3.195    27.09   0.000       20.852      33.494
         AZ  |      0.560      0.150    -2.17   0.030        0.332       0.946
         AR  |     55.803      1.747   128.47   0.000       52.482      59.334
         CA  |      0.367      0.006   -57.61   0.000        0.355       0.380
         CO  |     47.215     11.062    16.45   0.000       29.830      74.731
         CT  |      2.290      0.163    11.67   0.000        1.993       2.633
         DE  |      0.330      0.022   -16.40   0.000        0.289       0.377
         FL  |      1.523      0.144     4.44   0.000        1.265       1.834
         GA  |      5.712      0.389    25.57   0.000        4.998       6.528
         HI  |      6.880      1.112    11.93   0.000        5.012       9.445
         ID  |      4.786      2.124     3.53   0.000        2.006      11.422
         IL  |      0.369      0.039    -9.38   0.000        0.300       0.455
         IN  |      2.553      0.171    14.00   0.000        2.239       2.911
         IA  |     40.661      2.750    54.79   0.000       35.613      46.423
         KS  |      2.694      0.272     9.80   0.000        2.210       3.284
         KY  |      2.271      0.163    11.44   0.000        1.973       2.614
         LA  |      0.840      0.136    -1.08   0.280        0.611       1.153
         ME  |      3.016      0.096    34.79   0.000        2.834       3.210
         MD  |      8.305      0.229    76.75   0.000        7.868       8.766
         MA  |      0.025      0.001  -100.53   0.000        0.023       0.027
         MI  |     14.674      3.198    12.32   0.000        9.573      22.495
         MN  |      0.499      0.037    -9.37   0.000        0.432       0.577
         MS  |      0.186      0.011   -27.98   0.000        0.165       0.209
         MO  |      1.924      0.124    10.12   0.000        1.695       2.184
         MT  |      5.783      1.699     5.97   0.000        3.252      10.285
         NE  |      0.418      0.048    -7.55   0.000        0.334       0.525
         NV  |    131.110     82.241     7.77   0.000       38.344     448.299
         NH  |      0.953      0.026    -1.78   0.074        0.903       1.005
         NJ  |      1.674      0.050    17.26   0.000        1.579       1.774
         NM  |     17.580      2.341    21.53   0.000       13.542      22.822
         NY  |      0.235      0.025   -13.76   0.000        0.192       0.289
         NC  |      3.371      0.019   210.29   0.000        3.333       3.410
         ND  |      0.739      0.069    -3.22   0.001        0.615       0.889
         OH  |     49.745      5.829    33.34   0.000       39.538      62.587
         OK  |     88.375     18.369    21.56   0.000       58.803     132.819
         OR  |      7.313      1.875     7.76   0.000        4.424      12.089
         PA  |      0.779      0.017   -11.63   0.000        0.747       0.813
         RI  |      9.861      0.465    48.49   0.000        8.989      10.816
         SC  |      0.146      0.008   -36.15   0.000        0.131       0.162
         SD  |     13.581      0.727    48.71   0.000       12.227      15.084
         TN  |     21.633      0.480   138.44   0.000       20.712      22.595
         TX  |      0.415      0.032   -11.27   0.000        0.356       0.483
         UT  |     29.866      5.107    19.87   0.000       21.362      41.757
         VT  |      0.177      0.006   -50.55   0.000        0.166       0.190
         VA  |      2.852      0.133    22.42   0.000        2.602       3.125
         WA  |      4.358      0.201    31.92   0.000        3.981       4.770
         WV  |     26.233      1.505    56.96   0.000       23.443      29.353
         WI  |      8.931      2.413     8.10   0.000        5.260      15.165
         WY  |     48.947      7.245    26.29   0.000       36.621      65.421
             |
     quarter |      1.075      0.042     1.83   0.067        0.995       1.161
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.000    -1.97   0.049        0.999       1.000
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     1.93   0.054        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.915      0.003   -25.07   0.000        0.908       0.921
         AZ  |      1.015      0.006     2.35   0.019        1.002       1.027
         AR  |      0.911      0.001  -135.16   0.000        0.910       0.912
         CA  |      1.030      0.000    83.37   0.000        1.030       1.031
         CO  |      0.922      0.005   -15.26   0.000        0.913       0.932
         CT  |      0.968      0.002   -15.83   0.000        0.964       0.972
         DE  |      1.016      0.002     9.05   0.000        1.012       1.019
         FL  |      0.992      0.002    -3.63   0.000        0.988       0.996
         GA  |      0.967      0.002   -18.20   0.000        0.963       0.970
         HI  |      0.955      0.004   -11.62   0.000        0.948       0.963
         ID  |      0.972      0.010    -2.76   0.006        0.953       0.992
         IL  |      1.017      0.002     7.29   0.000        1.012       1.021
         IN  |      0.976      0.002   -14.98   0.000        0.973       0.979
         IA  |      0.919      0.001   -72.01   0.000        0.917       0.921
         KS  |      0.974      0.002   -13.01   0.000        0.970       0.978
         KY  |      0.981      0.002   -11.64   0.000        0.978       0.984
         LA  |      1.011      0.003     4.08   0.000        1.005       1.016
         ME  |      0.971      0.001   -43.69   0.000        0.970       0.973
         MD  |      0.949      0.001   -64.87   0.000        0.947       0.950
         MA  |      1.078      0.001    58.08   0.000        1.075       1.080
         MI  |      0.939      0.005   -11.28   0.000        0.929       0.949
         MN  |      1.013      0.002     8.10   0.000        1.010       1.016
         MS  |      1.036      0.001    29.29   0.000        1.034       1.039
         MO  |      0.985      0.001   -10.28   0.000        0.982       0.988
         MT  |      0.972      0.005    -5.20   0.000        0.961       0.982
         NE  |      1.014      0.002     5.75   0.000        1.009       1.018
         NV  |      0.901      0.014    -6.94   0.000        0.875       0.928
         NH  |      1.000      0.001     0.51   0.613        0.999       1.002
         NJ  |      0.970      0.001   -28.16   0.000        0.968       0.972
         NM  |      0.937      0.003   -22.70   0.000        0.932       0.943
         NY  |      1.024      0.003     7.38   0.000        1.017       1.030
         NC  |      0.978      0.000   -93.52   0.000        0.977       0.978
         ND  |      0.999      0.001    -0.66   0.512        0.997       1.001
         OH  |      0.915      0.002   -33.97   0.000        0.911       0.920
         OK  |      0.908      0.003   -27.83   0.000        0.902       0.914
         OR  |      0.953      0.006    -7.84   0.000        0.941       0.964
         PA  |      1.002      0.000     4.38   0.000        1.001       1.002
         RI  |      0.955      0.001   -54.76   0.000        0.953       0.956
         SC  |      1.042      0.001    30.13   0.000        1.039       1.044
         SD  |      0.936      0.001   -64.52   0.000        0.935       0.938
         TN  |      0.935      0.001  -118.50   0.000        0.934       0.936
         TX  |      1.020      0.001    16.11   0.000        1.018       1.023
         UT  |      0.931      0.004   -18.02   0.000        0.924       0.938
         VT  |      1.040      0.001    45.82   0.000        1.038       1.042
         VA  |      0.983      0.001   -14.14   0.000        0.981       0.985
         WA  |      0.962      0.001   -35.03   0.000        0.960       0.965
         WV  |      0.925      0.001   -65.06   0.000        0.923       0.927
         WI  |      0.955      0.005    -8.32   0.000        0.945       0.965
         WY  |      0.931      0.002   -40.96   0.000        0.927       0.934
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.001      0.000    22.54   0.000        1.001       1.001
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -2.04   0.041        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.001      0.000   138.41   0.000        1.001       1.001
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -66.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.001      0.000    14.93   0.000        1.000       1.001
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    14.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -5.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     4.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    14.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    10.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     2.18   0.029        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    -7.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    13.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.001      0.000    86.67   0.000        1.001       1.001
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    14.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    11.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -7.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    39.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    53.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      0.999      0.000   -47.45   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     9.76   0.000        1.000       1.001
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -11.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -31.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000     9.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     5.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -5.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.001      0.000     7.08   0.000        1.001       1.001
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    -4.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    24.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    26.07   0.000        1.000       1.001
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -6.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    69.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    14.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.001      0.000    31.45   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OK  |      1.001      0.000    35.99   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     8.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    -3.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    43.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -26.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    88.02   0.000        1.000       1.001
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   105.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -27.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    17.19   0.000        1.000       1.001
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -44.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000     9.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    38.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.001      0.000    70.84   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     7.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   135.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -20.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     2.22   0.026        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000  -151.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    45.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -15.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -12.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000     3.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -5.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000   -14.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000   -10.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -1.44   0.149        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000     7.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -11.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000  -106.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -14.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   -11.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     9.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -37.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -43.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    38.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -8.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    16.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    34.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -8.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -5.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     6.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -7.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    11.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -21.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -31.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     6.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000  -109.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    -8.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -29.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000   -48.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -8.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000     3.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000   -27.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    26.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000  -164.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000  -107.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    73.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -17.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    40.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    -6.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -44.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -78.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    -6.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   -45.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      2.202      3.701     0.47   0.639        0.082      59.397
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.46       0.09     5.25   0.000         0.29        0.63
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -14.68       0.46   -32.16   0.000       -15.58      -13.79
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -12.14       0.65   -18.76   0.000       -13.41      -10.87
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.25       0.12    10.80   0.000         1.02        1.47
     summer  |       1.10       0.08    13.66   0.000         0.94        1.26
       fall  |       0.40       0.13     3.02   0.003         0.14        0.65
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(output written to suic-econ-atable-agecat_3.txt)
-> Group = >=65

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =      25.49
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -155210.63                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0057

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.035      0.007     5.05   0.000        1.021       1.049
       _cons |     25.704      2.506    33.29   0.000       21.233      31.118
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.60       0.13     4.71   0.000         0.35        0.84
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 4.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(3)    =    2417.48
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -86622.521                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4451

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.039      0.006     6.19   0.000        1.026       1.051
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.148      0.008   -36.53   0.000        0.134       0.164
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.379      0.019   -19.77   0.000        0.344       0.417
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |      1.000  (omitted)
       _cons |     57.762      4.913    47.69   0.000       48.892      68.242
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.56       0.10     5.55   0.000         0.36        0.76
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -28.36       1.28   -22.16   0.000       -30.87      -25.85
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -14.42       0.99   -14.53   0.000       -16.36      -12.47
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |       0.00  (omitted)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 4.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -79790.904                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4889

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.990      0.005    -2.07   0.039        0.981       0.999
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.149      0.008   -35.82   0.000        0.135       0.166
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.369      0.016   -22.96   0.000        0.339       0.402
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.007      0.006     1.19   0.235        0.996       1.018
         AZ  |      1.112      0.013     9.33   0.000        1.088       1.137
         AR  |      0.889      0.002   -56.50   0.000        0.886       0.893
         CA  |      1.047      0.003    16.96   0.000        1.041       1.053
         CO  |      1.129      0.010    13.75   0.000        1.110       1.149
         CT  |      0.515      0.003  -127.29   0.000        0.510       0.520
         DE  |      0.755      0.003   -75.48   0.000        0.750       0.761
         FL  |      0.975      0.005    -5.11   0.000        0.966       0.985
         GA  |      1.039      0.006     6.33   0.000        1.027       1.051
         HI  |      1.117      0.020     6.01   0.000        1.077       1.157
         ID  |      1.163      0.013    13.14   0.000        1.137       1.190
         IL  |      0.683      0.002  -123.93   0.000        0.679       0.687
         IN  |      0.797      0.002   -76.77   0.000        0.792       0.802
         IA  |      0.695      0.002  -105.29   0.000        0.690       0.699
         KS  |      0.746      0.003   -85.28   0.000        0.741       0.751
         KY  |      0.936      0.003   -23.78   0.000        0.930       0.941
         LA  |      0.964      0.002   -20.64   0.000        0.960       0.967
         ME  |      0.829      0.004   -35.80   0.000        0.820       0.837
         MD  |      0.776      0.003   -68.67   0.000        0.770       0.781
         MA  |      0.406      0.003  -114.96   0.000        0.400       0.412
         MI  |      0.749      0.003   -74.33   0.000        0.743       0.754
         MN  |      0.581      0.003  -122.69   0.000        0.576       0.586
         MS  |      0.975      0.003    -8.96   0.000        0.969       0.980
         MO  |      0.872      0.003   -41.12   0.000        0.867       0.878
         MT  |      1.248      0.008    35.23   0.000        1.232       1.263
         NE  |      0.692      0.003   -80.92   0.000        0.686       0.698
         NV  |      1.580      0.027    26.62   0.000        1.528       1.635
         NH  |      0.720      0.007   -31.68   0.000        0.706       0.735
         NJ  |      0.495      0.002  -162.57   0.000        0.491       0.499
         NM  |      1.117      0.007    16.82   0.000        1.103       1.132
         NY  |      0.522      0.002  -215.65   0.000        0.519       0.526
         NC  |      0.920      0.003   -22.35   0.000        0.913       0.927
         ND  |      0.581      0.003   -91.55   0.000        0.574       0.588
         OH  |      0.755      0.003   -76.76   0.000        0.749       0.760
         OK  |      0.894      0.004   -22.33   0.000        0.886       0.903
         OR  |      1.127      0.010    13.31   0.000        1.108       1.148
         PA  |      0.675      0.002  -123.05   0.000        0.671       0.679
         RI  |      0.405      0.003  -133.79   0.000        0.399       0.410
         SC  |      0.854      0.003   -49.87   0.000        0.849       0.860
         SD  |      0.722      0.003   -82.27   0.000        0.717       0.728
         TN  |      0.941      0.002   -24.50   0.000        0.936       0.945
         TX  |      0.876      0.005   -22.46   0.000        0.866       0.886
         UT  |      0.857      0.008   -16.04   0.000        0.841       0.874
         VT  |      0.950      0.004   -11.14   0.000        0.942       0.959
         VA  |      0.999      0.003    -0.40   0.688        0.994       1.004
         WA  |      1.001      0.004     0.31   0.757        0.994       1.008
         WV  |      0.875      0.003   -43.31   0.000        0.870       0.881
         WI  |      0.700      0.005   -50.59   0.000        0.691       0.710
         WY  |      1.446      0.010    55.00   0.000        1.427       1.466
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.123      0.045     2.88   0.004        1.038       1.214
     summer  |      1.123      0.045     2.92   0.004        1.039       1.215
       fall  |      0.993      0.042    -0.16   0.872        0.913       1.080
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.926      0.039    -1.83   0.067        0.853       1.006
       1982  |      0.947      0.049    -1.05   0.294        0.855       1.049
       1983  |      0.994      0.049    -0.12   0.903        0.902       1.095
       1984  |      1.060      0.052     1.20   0.230        0.964       1.167
       1985  |      1.078      0.058     1.40   0.162        0.970       1.198
       1986  |      1.160      0.045     3.79   0.000        1.075       1.253
       1987  |      1.124      0.046     2.84   0.005        1.037       1.219
       1988  |      1.043      0.050     0.88   0.380        0.950       1.145
       1989  |      1.097      0.048     2.12   0.034        1.007       1.196
       1990  |      1.019      0.049     0.40   0.690        0.928       1.119
       1991  |      1.016      0.055     0.28   0.777        0.913       1.130
       1992  |      1.035      0.058     0.62   0.536        0.927       1.156
       1993  |      0.913      0.043    -1.92   0.055        0.831       1.002
       1994  |      0.954      0.050    -0.90   0.368        0.861       1.057
       1995  |      0.903      0.043    -2.14   0.032        0.823       0.992
       1996  |      0.848      0.041    -3.42   0.001        0.772       0.932
       1997  |      0.849      0.047    -2.94   0.003        0.762       0.947
       1998  |      0.856      0.037    -3.56   0.000        0.785       0.932
       1999  |      0.822      0.044    -3.63   0.000        0.740       0.914
       2000  |      0.731      0.041    -5.54   0.000        0.654       0.816
       2001  |      0.780      0.050    -3.88   0.000        0.688       0.884
       2002  |      0.768      0.046    -4.44   0.000        0.683       0.863
       2003  |      0.710      0.034    -7.07   0.000        0.646       0.781
       2004  |      0.705      0.046    -5.34   0.000        0.620       0.801
       2005  |      0.699      0.044    -5.63   0.000        0.618       0.792
       2006  |      0.676      0.040    -6.58   0.000        0.601       0.759
       2007  |      0.698      0.045    -5.55   0.000        0.615       0.792
       2008  |      0.726      0.045    -5.15   0.000        0.642       0.820
       2009  |      0.694      0.048    -5.32   0.000        0.606       0.794
       2010  |      0.716      0.041    -5.85   0.000        0.640       0.801
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.031      0.064     0.49   0.627        0.913       1.163
spring#1982  |      1.128      0.057     2.40   0.017        1.022       1.246
spring#1983  |      1.119      0.048     2.61   0.009        1.028       1.218
spring#1984  |      1.050      0.065     0.79   0.431        0.930       1.187
spring#1985  |      1.042      0.055     0.77   0.443        0.939       1.156
spring#1986  |      1.015      0.041     0.37   0.708        0.938       1.099
spring#1987  |      1.135      0.046     3.13   0.002        1.048       1.228
spring#1988  |      1.163      0.059     2.98   0.003        1.053       1.283
spring#1989  |      0.984      0.039    -0.41   0.684        0.911       1.063
spring#1990  |      1.063      0.056     1.16   0.246        0.959       1.177
spring#1991  |      1.053      0.071     0.76   0.449        0.922       1.202
spring#1992  |      0.980      0.068    -0.29   0.768        0.855       1.123
spring#1993  |      1.136      0.058     2.50   0.012        1.028       1.256
spring#1994  |      1.010      0.060     0.16   0.872        0.899       1.133
spring#1995  |      1.091      0.062     1.54   0.123        0.977       1.220
spring#1996  |      1.064      0.064     1.03   0.305        0.945       1.197
spring#1997  |      1.024      0.058     0.41   0.682        0.915       1.145
spring#1998  |      0.960      0.049    -0.79   0.432        0.868       1.062
spring#1999  |      0.949      0.049    -1.02   0.308        0.858       1.050
spring#2000  |      1.064      0.054     1.24   0.217        0.964       1.175
spring#2001  |      0.972      0.048    -0.57   0.566        0.883       1.070
spring#2002  |      1.068      0.056     1.25   0.212        0.963       1.183
spring#2003  |      1.014      0.051     0.27   0.786        0.918       1.119
spring#2004  |      1.016      0.060     0.27   0.790        0.905       1.140
spring#2005  |      1.045      0.051     0.90   0.369        0.950       1.149
spring#2006  |      1.023      0.045     0.51   0.612        0.938       1.116
spring#2007  |      0.966      0.047    -0.72   0.474        0.879       1.062
spring#2008  |      0.969      0.056    -0.54   0.589        0.865       1.086
spring#2009  |      1.000      0.061    -0.00   0.999        0.888       1.126
spring#2010  |      0.962      0.059    -0.63   0.526        0.852       1.085
summer#1981  |      1.075      0.078     1.00   0.318        0.933       1.238
summer#1982  |      1.137      0.067     2.17   0.030        1.013       1.275
summer#1983  |      1.107      0.056     2.00   0.046        1.002       1.223
summer#1984  |      1.029      0.061     0.49   0.623        0.917       1.156
summer#1985  |      1.056      0.056     1.03   0.302        0.952       1.171
summer#1986  |      1.026      0.049     0.54   0.592        0.934       1.127
summer#1987  |      1.078      0.041     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.161
summer#1988  |      1.107      0.063     1.79   0.073        0.991       1.237
summer#1989  |      1.036      0.048     0.76   0.445        0.946       1.134
summer#1990  |      1.159      0.059     2.91   0.004        1.050       1.280
summer#1991  |      1.071      0.061     1.20   0.232        0.957       1.197
summer#1992  |      1.046      0.068     0.70   0.487        0.921       1.188
summer#1993  |      1.156      0.065     2.57   0.010        1.035       1.291
summer#1994  |      0.942      0.048    -1.18   0.238        0.853       1.040
summer#1995  |      1.040      0.049     0.83   0.405        0.948       1.141
summer#1996  |      1.097      0.048     2.11   0.034        1.007       1.195
summer#1997  |      1.022      0.053     0.41   0.680        0.923       1.131
summer#1998  |      1.030      0.046     0.66   0.509        0.943       1.125
summer#1999  |      0.991      0.051    -0.17   0.867        0.896       1.096
summer#2000  |      1.084      0.054     1.63   0.104        0.984       1.195
summer#2001  |      1.007      0.050     0.14   0.890        0.914       1.110
summer#2002  |      1.019      0.047     0.41   0.684        0.931       1.116
summer#2003  |      1.100      0.057     1.83   0.067        0.993       1.217
summer#2004  |      1.009      0.049     0.18   0.856        0.917       1.110
summer#2005  |      1.051      0.061     0.87   0.383        0.939       1.177
summer#2006  |      1.060      0.069     0.89   0.375        0.933       1.204
summer#2007  |      0.973      0.052    -0.51   0.607        0.876       1.080
summer#2008  |      0.973      0.049    -0.55   0.583        0.881       1.074
summer#2009  |      1.045      0.065     0.71   0.480        0.924       1.182
summer#2010  |      1.044      0.059     0.76   0.447        0.935       1.165
  fall#1981  |      1.093      0.065     1.51   0.132        0.974       1.227
  fall#1982  |      1.162      0.065     2.67   0.008        1.041       1.297
  fall#1983  |      1.149      0.060     2.65   0.008        1.037       1.274
  fall#1984  |      1.103      0.063     1.71   0.087        0.986       1.234
  fall#1985  |      1.117      0.061     2.04   0.041        1.004       1.243
  fall#1986  |      1.098      0.054     1.89   0.058        0.997       1.209
  fall#1987  |      1.063      0.051     1.28   0.202        0.968       1.167
  fall#1988  |      1.159      0.073     2.36   0.018        1.026       1.311
  fall#1989  |      1.016      0.051     0.31   0.753        0.920       1.121
  fall#1990  |      1.133      0.067     2.13   0.033        1.010       1.272
  fall#1991  |      1.084      0.073     1.19   0.236        0.949       1.238
  fall#1992  |      0.938      0.054    -1.12   0.264        0.839       1.049
  fall#1993  |      1.139      0.060     2.50   0.013        1.028       1.262
  fall#1994  |      1.080      0.068     1.23   0.220        0.955       1.221
  fall#1995  |      1.060      0.053     1.17   0.244        0.961       1.169
  fall#1996  |      1.074      0.064     1.20   0.230        0.956       1.208
  fall#1997  |      1.036      0.064     0.57   0.568        0.917       1.170
  fall#1998  |      1.059      0.054     1.13   0.259        0.959       1.170
  fall#1999  |      0.997      0.061    -0.06   0.956        0.884       1.124
  fall#2000  |      1.077      0.050     1.59   0.112        0.983       1.179
  fall#2001  |      1.010      0.050     0.19   0.848        0.916       1.112
  fall#2002  |      1.034      0.064     0.54   0.588        0.916       1.167
  fall#2003  |      1.050      0.058     0.88   0.379        0.942       1.171
  fall#2004  |      1.062      0.071     0.89   0.371        0.931       1.211
  fall#2005  |      1.091      0.074     1.27   0.204        0.954       1.247
  fall#2006  |      1.073      0.065     1.16   0.246        0.953       1.207
  fall#2007  |      1.084      0.063     1.38   0.169        0.966       1.215
  fall#2008  |      1.058      0.060     1.00   0.319        0.947       1.182
  fall#2009  |      1.155      0.066     2.54   0.011        1.033       1.291
  fall#2010  |      1.066      0.061     1.11   0.267        0.952       1.193
             |
       _cons |     41.489      1.929    80.12   0.000       37.875      45.447
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.15       0.07    -2.01   0.044        -0.30       -0.00
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -29.62       1.34   -22.05   0.000       -32.25      -26.98
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -15.53       0.90   -17.24   0.000       -17.30      -13.77
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       2.39       0.15    15.49   0.000         2.08        2.69
     summer  |       2.61       0.18    14.74   0.000         2.26        2.95
       fall  |       1.03       0.16     6.30   0.000         0.71        1.35
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 4.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -79690.699                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4895

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.008      0.005     1.64   0.100        0.998       1.018
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.149      0.008   -35.83   0.000        0.135       0.166
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.370      0.016   -22.56   0.000        0.339       0.403
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.443      0.011   -33.93   0.000        0.422       0.464
         AZ  |      1.018      0.034     0.53   0.598        0.954       1.085
         AR  |      0.955      0.006    -8.05   0.000        0.944       0.965
         CA  |      1.376      0.013    35.05   0.000        1.352       1.401
         CO  |      1.271      0.028    10.78   0.000        1.217       1.327
         CT  |      0.605      0.003   -94.73   0.000        0.598       0.611
         DE  |      1.318      0.012    29.61   0.000        1.294       1.343
         FL  |      1.036      0.012     3.04   0.002        1.013       1.060
         GA  |      0.970      0.018    -1.62   0.104        0.935       1.006
         HI  |      1.211      0.027     8.50   0.000        1.159       1.265
         ID  |      1.086      0.050     1.78   0.074        0.992       1.188
         IL  |      0.924      0.004   -18.27   0.000        0.916       0.932
         IN  |      0.846      0.006   -22.18   0.000        0.834       0.859
         IA  |      1.000      0.005     0.08   0.936        0.991       1.010
         KS  |      0.742      0.003   -63.31   0.000        0.735       0.749
         KY  |      1.008      0.007     1.18   0.237        0.995       1.022
         LA  |      1.345      0.034    11.85   0.000        1.281       1.413
         ME  |      0.807      0.004   -39.99   0.000        0.799       0.816
         MD  |      0.851      0.004   -31.61   0.000        0.842       0.859
         MA  |      0.443      0.003  -127.79   0.000        0.438       0.449
         MI  |      0.856      0.003   -42.54   0.000        0.849       0.862
         MN  |      0.687      0.008   -31.18   0.000        0.670       0.703
         MS  |      0.872      0.002   -49.21   0.000        0.867       0.876
         MO  |      0.962      0.004    -9.93   0.000        0.955       0.970
         MT  |      1.046      0.007     6.84   0.000        1.033       1.060
         NE  |      0.943      0.010    -5.70   0.000        0.924       0.962
         NV  |      1.146      0.062     2.53   0.011        1.031       1.273
         NH  |      0.674      0.014   -18.45   0.000        0.646       0.703
         NJ  |      0.547      0.003  -118.63   0.000        0.542       0.553
         NM  |      1.079      0.021     3.86   0.000        1.038       1.121
         NY  |      0.630      0.007   -44.71   0.000        0.617       0.643
         NC  |      0.972      0.014    -2.03   0.042        0.945       0.999
         ND  |      0.613      0.005   -63.37   0.000        0.604       0.623
         OH  |      1.009      0.004     2.36   0.018        1.002       1.017
         OK  |      0.857      0.011   -12.33   0.000        0.837       0.879
         OR  |      0.978      0.038    -0.56   0.576        0.906       1.056
         PA  |      0.754      0.005   -44.26   0.000        0.744       0.763
         RI  |      0.501      0.002  -141.50   0.000        0.497       0.506
         SC  |      0.791      0.008   -22.36   0.000        0.775       0.807
         SD  |      0.747      0.011   -19.88   0.000        0.726       0.769
         TN  |      0.919      0.007   -10.54   0.000        0.904       0.933
         TX  |      1.036      0.013     2.91   0.004        1.012       1.061
         UT  |      0.870      0.028    -4.31   0.000        0.816       0.927
         VT  |      1.034      0.006     5.99   0.000        1.023       1.046
         VA  |      1.144      0.006    25.74   0.000        1.132       1.155
         WA  |      0.859      0.014    -9.56   0.000        0.833       0.886
         WV  |      0.723      0.004   -60.71   0.000        0.716       0.731
         WI  |      0.835      0.007   -22.26   0.000        0.822       0.849
         WY  |      1.902      0.011   113.60   0.000        1.881       1.923
             |
     quarter |      0.991      0.004    -2.40   0.016        0.984       0.998
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.005      0.000    27.90   0.000        1.005       1.005
         AZ  |      1.001      0.000     2.90   0.004        1.000       1.001
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -10.60   0.000        0.999       1.000
         CA  |      0.998      0.000   -25.29   0.000        0.998       0.998
         CO  |      0.999      0.000    -3.01   0.003        0.999       1.000
         CT  |      0.999      0.000   -23.01   0.000        0.999       0.999
         DE  |      0.996      0.000   -46.52   0.000        0.996       0.996
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -3.40   0.001        0.999       1.000
         GA  |      1.001      0.000     3.53   0.000        1.000       1.001
         HI  |      0.999      0.000    -5.01   0.000        0.999       1.000
         ID  |      1.001      0.000     1.93   0.054        1.000       1.002
         IL  |      0.998      0.000   -57.98   0.000        0.998       0.998
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -7.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      0.997      0.000  -164.29   0.000        0.997       0.997
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     4.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   -11.46   0.000        0.999       1.000
         LA  |      0.998      0.000   -13.96   0.000        0.997       0.998
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    15.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      0.999      0.000   -10.05   0.000        0.999       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    -5.09   0.000        0.999       1.000
         MI  |      0.999      0.000   -31.04   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MN  |      0.999      0.000   -11.56   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MS  |      1.001      0.000    42.94   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -25.50   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      1.001      0.000    28.06   0.000        1.001       1.001
         NE  |      0.998      0.000   -24.53   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NV  |      1.002      0.000     5.32   0.000        1.002       1.003
         NH  |      1.001      0.000     3.38   0.001        1.000       1.001
         NJ  |      0.999      0.000   -17.99   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     2.20   0.028        1.000       1.001
         NY  |      0.999      0.000   -22.82   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    -2.39   0.017        0.999       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -13.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      0.998      0.000   -97.57   0.000        0.998       0.998
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     7.80   0.000        1.000       1.001
         OR  |      1.001      0.000     3.70   0.000        1.001       1.002
         PA  |      0.999      0.000   -28.13   0.000        0.999       0.999
         RI  |      0.999      0.000   -35.36   0.000        0.999       0.999
         SC  |      1.001      0.000     6.08   0.000        1.000       1.001
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    -1.52   0.129        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000     3.25   0.001        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      0.999      0.000    -8.63   0.000        0.999       0.999
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     0.41   0.678        1.000       1.001
         VT  |      0.999      0.000   -15.84   0.000        0.999       1.000
         VA  |      0.999      0.000   -16.66   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WA  |      1.001      0.000     9.86   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WV  |      1.001      0.000    60.73   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WI  |      0.999      0.000   -12.35   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WY  |      0.998      0.000   -57.60   0.000        0.998       0.998
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.118      0.045     2.75   0.006        1.032       1.211
     summer  |      1.128      0.044     3.10   0.002        1.045       1.218
       fall  |      1.008      0.041     0.18   0.855        0.930       1.092
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.961      0.041    -0.91   0.361        0.884       1.046
       1982  |      1.018      0.067     0.28   0.783        0.894       1.160
       1983  |      1.111      0.079     1.48   0.139        0.966       1.277
       1984  |      1.242      0.084     3.22   0.001        1.089       1.418
       1985  |      1.321      0.136     2.70   0.007        1.079       1.617
       1986  |      1.484      0.148     3.96   0.000        1.221       1.804
       1987  |      1.503      0.161     3.81   0.000        1.219       1.853
       1988  |      1.459      0.185     2.99   0.003        1.139       1.870
       1989  |      1.605      0.224     3.39   0.001        1.221       2.110
       1990  |      1.553      0.221     3.10   0.002        1.175       2.053
       1991  |      1.606      0.254     2.99   0.003        1.178       2.190
       1992  |      1.703      0.317     2.86   0.004        1.183       2.452
       1993  |      1.568      0.293     2.41   0.016        1.087       2.262
       1994  |      1.717      0.345     2.69   0.007        1.158       2.546
       1995  |      1.703      0.378     2.40   0.016        1.102       2.629
       1996  |      1.672      0.373     2.31   0.021        1.080       2.589
       1997  |      1.755      0.420     2.35   0.019        1.098       2.805
       1998  |      1.855      0.482     2.38   0.017        1.115       3.085
       1999  |      1.868      0.510     2.29   0.022        1.094       3.190
       2000  |      1.738      0.512     1.88   0.061        0.976       3.096
       2001  |      1.930      0.578     2.19   0.028        1.073       3.471
       2002  |      1.966      0.615     2.16   0.031        1.065       3.631
       2003  |      1.890      0.637     1.89   0.059        0.976       3.660
       2004  |      1.958      0.683     1.92   0.054        0.988       3.881
       2005  |      2.034      0.720     2.01   0.045        1.016       4.069
       2006  |      2.058      0.758     1.96   0.050        1.000       4.234
       2007  |      2.219      0.846     2.09   0.037        1.051       4.687
       2008  |      2.390      0.947     2.20   0.028        1.099       5.197
       2009  |      2.334      0.955     2.07   0.038        1.047       5.205
       2010  |      2.483      1.060     2.13   0.033        1.075       5.733
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.032      0.064     0.51   0.608        0.915       1.165
spring#1982  |      1.130      0.057     2.42   0.015        1.024       1.247
spring#1983  |      1.119      0.048     2.59   0.010        1.028       1.218
spring#1984  |      1.051      0.065     0.80   0.424        0.930       1.187
spring#1985  |      1.042      0.055     0.78   0.437        0.939       1.156
spring#1986  |      1.015      0.041     0.38   0.706        0.938       1.099
spring#1987  |      1.135      0.046     3.13   0.002        1.049       1.228
spring#1988  |      1.163      0.059     2.99   0.003        1.053       1.284
spring#1989  |      0.985      0.039    -0.39   0.695        0.912       1.063
spring#1990  |      1.065      0.056     1.20   0.230        0.961       1.180
spring#1991  |      1.053      0.071     0.76   0.447        0.922       1.202
spring#1992  |      0.980      0.068    -0.29   0.771        0.855       1.123
spring#1993  |      1.136      0.058     2.50   0.012        1.028       1.256
spring#1994  |      1.010      0.060     0.16   0.871        0.899       1.133
spring#1995  |      1.092      0.062     1.55   0.122        0.977       1.220
spring#1996  |      1.064      0.064     1.03   0.305        0.945       1.197
spring#1997  |      1.024      0.058     0.41   0.682        0.916       1.144
spring#1998  |      0.961      0.049    -0.78   0.435        0.868       1.063
spring#1999  |      0.949      0.049    -1.02   0.307        0.858       1.049
spring#2000  |      1.066      0.054     1.26   0.208        0.965       1.176
spring#2001  |      0.974      0.048    -0.53   0.593        0.885       1.072
spring#2002  |      1.069      0.056     1.27   0.205        0.964       1.184
spring#2003  |      1.013      0.051     0.27   0.791        0.918       1.119
spring#2004  |      1.016      0.060     0.27   0.786        0.906       1.140
spring#2005  |      1.045      0.051     0.90   0.366        0.950       1.149
spring#2006  |      1.023      0.045     0.52   0.605        0.938       1.116
spring#2007  |      0.967      0.047    -0.69   0.489        0.880       1.063
spring#2008  |      0.973      0.056    -0.48   0.633        0.869       1.089
spring#2009  |      0.999      0.061    -0.01   0.993        0.887       1.126
spring#2010  |      0.962      0.059    -0.62   0.535        0.853       1.086
summer#1981  |      1.078      0.078     1.04   0.296        0.936       1.242
summer#1982  |      1.138      0.067     2.19   0.028        1.014       1.277
summer#1983  |      1.110      0.056     2.06   0.040        1.005       1.226
summer#1984  |      1.034      0.061     0.56   0.575        0.921       1.160
summer#1985  |      1.059      0.056     1.09   0.278        0.955       1.174
summer#1986  |      1.029      0.049     0.58   0.559        0.936       1.130
summer#1987  |      1.081      0.041     2.06   0.040        1.004       1.164
summer#1988  |      1.111      0.063     1.86   0.062        0.995       1.240
summer#1989  |      1.039      0.048     0.82   0.413        0.948       1.138
summer#1990  |      1.163      0.059     2.99   0.003        1.053       1.285
summer#1991  |      1.072      0.061     1.23   0.220        0.959       1.198
summer#1992  |      1.049      0.068     0.73   0.463        0.924       1.191
summer#1993  |      1.159      0.065     2.64   0.008        1.039       1.294
summer#1994  |      0.946      0.048    -1.11   0.269        0.856       1.044
summer#1995  |      1.043      0.049     0.89   0.371        0.951       1.144
summer#1996  |      1.101      0.048     2.20   0.027        1.011       1.199
summer#1997  |      1.025      0.053     0.48   0.629        0.927       1.135
summer#1998  |      1.034      0.047     0.74   0.460        0.947       1.129
summer#1999  |      0.995      0.051    -0.11   0.914        0.900       1.099
summer#2000  |      1.088      0.054     1.69   0.090        0.987       1.200
summer#2001  |      1.009      0.050     0.17   0.862        0.915       1.111
summer#2002  |      1.021      0.047     0.46   0.646        0.933       1.118
summer#2003  |      1.101      0.057     1.86   0.064        0.995       1.218
summer#2004  |      1.012      0.049     0.25   0.803        0.920       1.114
summer#2005  |      1.055      0.061     0.93   0.351        0.943       1.181
summer#2006  |      1.063      0.069     0.93   0.350        0.935       1.207
summer#2007  |      0.976      0.052    -0.46   0.642        0.879       1.083
summer#2008  |      0.975      0.049    -0.51   0.611        0.883       1.076
summer#2009  |      1.041      0.065     0.65   0.518        0.921       1.177
summer#2010  |      1.047      0.058     0.82   0.413        0.938       1.168
  fall#1981  |      1.095      0.065     1.54   0.123        0.976       1.229
  fall#1982  |      1.161      0.065     2.66   0.008        1.040       1.296
  fall#1983  |      1.155      0.060     2.76   0.006        1.043       1.279
  fall#1984  |      1.108      0.063     1.81   0.070        0.992       1.239
  fall#1985  |      1.121      0.061     2.10   0.035        1.008       1.248
  fall#1986  |      1.101      0.054     1.96   0.049        1.000       1.212
  fall#1987  |      1.068      0.051     1.38   0.166        0.973       1.171
  fall#1988  |      1.165      0.072     2.46   0.014        1.032       1.315
  fall#1989  |      1.019      0.051     0.38   0.705        0.924       1.124
  fall#1990  |      1.136      0.067     2.17   0.030        1.013       1.274
  fall#1991  |      1.085      0.073     1.21   0.227        0.951       1.238
  fall#1992  |      0.941      0.053    -1.07   0.286        0.842       1.052
  fall#1993  |      1.145      0.059     2.61   0.009        1.034       1.267
  fall#1994  |      1.086      0.067     1.32   0.185        0.961       1.226
  fall#1995  |      1.064      0.053     1.25   0.211        0.965       1.173
  fall#1996  |      1.080      0.064     1.30   0.194        0.962       1.212
  fall#1997  |      1.042      0.064     0.67   0.504        0.923       1.176
  fall#1998  |      1.065      0.054     1.25   0.212        0.965       1.175
  fall#1999  |      1.002      0.061     0.02   0.980        0.889       1.128
  fall#2000  |      1.081      0.050     1.67   0.094        0.987       1.185
  fall#2001  |      1.009      0.050     0.18   0.860        0.916       1.111
  fall#2002  |      1.036      0.063     0.57   0.567        0.919       1.168
  fall#2003  |      1.052      0.058     0.92   0.360        0.944       1.173
  fall#2004  |      1.067      0.071     0.97   0.334        0.936       1.216
  fall#2005  |      1.095      0.075     1.34   0.180        0.959       1.252
  fall#2006  |      1.077      0.065     1.23   0.217        0.957       1.212
  fall#2007  |      1.086      0.063     1.42   0.154        0.969       1.218
  fall#2008  |      1.055      0.059     0.95   0.343        0.945       1.178
  fall#2009  |      1.148      0.065     2.42   0.016        1.026       1.283
  fall#2010  |      1.069      0.061     1.17   0.244        0.956       1.196
             |
       _cons |     89.513     25.932    15.51   0.000       50.734     157.934
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.12       0.07     1.67   0.096        -0.02        0.27
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -29.50       1.33   -22.13   0.000       -32.12      -26.89
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -15.44       0.90   -17.12   0.000       -17.21      -13.67
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       2.32       0.16    14.40   0.000         2.00        2.63
     summer  |       2.70       0.16    16.39   0.000         2.38        3.02
       fall  |       1.29       0.14     9.16   0.000         1.01        1.56
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 4.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -79656.614                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4897

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.010      0.008     1.25   0.211        0.994       1.026
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.149      0.008   -35.83   0.000        0.135       0.166
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.370      0.016   -22.56   0.000        0.339       0.403
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.118      0.046     2.74   0.006        1.032       1.212
     summer  |      1.127      0.044     3.03   0.002        1.043       1.218
       fall  |      1.005      0.041     0.13   0.895        0.928       1.090
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.957      0.052    -0.81   0.416        0.861       1.064
       1982  |      1.009      0.095     0.10   0.924        0.839       1.213
       1983  |      1.096      0.117     0.86   0.390        0.889       1.351
       1984  |      1.222      0.141     1.74   0.082        0.975       1.532
       1985  |      1.296      0.203     1.65   0.098        0.953       1.762
       1986  |      1.452      0.241     2.24   0.025        1.048       2.011
       1987  |      1.466      0.268     2.09   0.036        1.024       2.098
       1988  |      1.420      0.285     1.75   0.080        0.959       2.104
       1989  |      1.559      0.336     2.06   0.039        1.023       2.378
       1990  |      1.506      0.340     1.82   0.069        0.968       2.343
       1991  |      1.553      0.372     1.84   0.066        0.971       2.485
       1992  |      1.645      0.440     1.86   0.063        0.974       2.779
       1993  |      1.513      0.419     1.50   0.134        0.880       2.603
       1994  |      1.656      0.485     1.72   0.085        0.933       2.941
       1995  |      1.643      0.501     1.63   0.104        0.903       2.987
       1996  |      1.614      0.481     1.61   0.108        0.900       2.896
       1997  |      1.696      0.535     1.67   0.094        0.914       3.146
       1998  |      1.794      0.580     1.81   0.071        0.952       3.381
       1999  |      1.810      0.591     1.82   0.069        0.954       3.434
       2000  |      1.687      0.585     1.51   0.132        0.855       3.331
       2001  |      1.876      0.648     1.82   0.068        0.953       3.691
       2002  |      1.914      0.676     1.84   0.066        0.957       3.826
       2003  |      1.843      0.690     1.63   0.103        0.884       3.841
       2004  |      1.915      0.716     1.74   0.082        0.920       3.984
       2005  |      1.996      0.743     1.86   0.063        0.962       4.141
       2006  |      2.028      0.771     1.86   0.063        0.963       4.271
       2007  |      2.196      0.848     2.04   0.042        1.030       4.680
       2008  |      2.372      0.944     2.17   0.030        1.087       5.176
       2009  |      2.322      0.950     2.06   0.040        1.041       5.179
       2010  |      2.478      1.059     2.12   0.034        1.073       5.726
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.032      0.064     0.52   0.605        0.915       1.165
spring#1982  |      1.130      0.057     2.43   0.015        1.024       1.247
spring#1983  |      1.118      0.048     2.59   0.010        1.028       1.217
spring#1984  |      1.051      0.065     0.80   0.424        0.930       1.187
spring#1985  |      1.042      0.055     0.78   0.437        0.939       1.156
spring#1986  |      1.015      0.041     0.37   0.708        0.938       1.099
spring#1987  |      1.135      0.046     3.14   0.002        1.049       1.228
spring#1988  |      1.163      0.059     2.98   0.003        1.053       1.284
spring#1989  |      0.985      0.039    -0.39   0.694        0.911       1.064
spring#1990  |      1.065      0.056     1.20   0.230        0.961       1.180
spring#1991  |      1.053      0.072     0.75   0.452        0.921       1.203
spring#1992  |      0.980      0.069    -0.29   0.770        0.854       1.124
spring#1993  |      1.136      0.058     2.49   0.013        1.028       1.256
spring#1994  |      1.009      0.059     0.16   0.875        0.900       1.132
spring#1995  |      1.091      0.061     1.55   0.120        0.977       1.218
spring#1996  |      1.063      0.064     1.01   0.310        0.944       1.197
spring#1997  |      1.023      0.058     0.40   0.686        0.915       1.144
spring#1998  |      0.960      0.050    -0.77   0.439        0.866       1.064
spring#1999  |      0.948      0.050    -1.01   0.313        0.856       1.051
spring#2000  |      1.065      0.054     1.24   0.214        0.964       1.177
spring#2001  |      0.974      0.047    -0.55   0.584        0.886       1.070
spring#2002  |      1.068      0.056     1.25   0.212        0.963       1.185
spring#2003  |      1.013      0.051     0.25   0.799        0.918       1.118
spring#2004  |      1.015      0.061     0.26   0.797        0.903       1.142
spring#2005  |      1.044      0.051     0.88   0.376        0.949       1.149
spring#2006  |      1.023      0.046     0.50   0.618        0.937       1.116
spring#2007  |      0.967      0.047    -0.70   0.483        0.879       1.063
spring#2008  |      0.973      0.056    -0.48   0.629        0.868       1.089
spring#2009  |      0.999      0.062    -0.02   0.983        0.885       1.128
spring#2010  |      0.962      0.060    -0.62   0.533        0.851       1.087
summer#1981  |      1.079      0.077     1.05   0.292        0.937       1.242
summer#1982  |      1.138      0.067     2.18   0.029        1.013       1.278
summer#1983  |      1.111      0.057     2.06   0.039        1.005       1.227
summer#1984  |      1.034      0.061     0.57   0.569        0.921       1.161
summer#1985  |      1.060      0.056     1.09   0.277        0.955       1.176
summer#1986  |      1.029      0.050     0.59   0.557        0.935       1.132
summer#1987  |      1.082      0.042     2.03   0.042        1.003       1.167
summer#1988  |      1.111      0.063     1.87   0.062        0.995       1.242
summer#1989  |      1.039      0.049     0.82   0.412        0.948       1.140
summer#1990  |      1.164      0.059     2.99   0.003        1.054       1.286
summer#1991  |      1.073      0.061     1.24   0.215        0.960       1.199
summer#1992  |      1.050      0.068     0.75   0.456        0.924       1.192
summer#1993  |      1.160      0.065     2.66   0.008        1.040       1.294
summer#1994  |      0.947      0.050    -1.05   0.295        0.854       1.049
summer#1995  |      1.044      0.051     0.89   0.376        0.949       1.149
summer#1996  |      1.102      0.049     2.20   0.028        1.011       1.201
summer#1997  |      1.027      0.053     0.50   0.614        0.927       1.136
summer#1998  |      1.035      0.048     0.75   0.452        0.946       1.133
summer#1999  |      0.996      0.051    -0.08   0.934        0.901       1.101
summer#2000  |      1.090      0.056     1.68   0.093        0.986       1.204
summer#2001  |      1.010      0.052     0.19   0.848        0.913       1.116
summer#2002  |      1.023      0.047     0.49   0.625        0.935       1.119
summer#2003  |      1.102      0.059     1.83   0.068        0.993       1.223
summer#2004  |      1.014      0.049     0.28   0.777        0.922       1.115
summer#2005  |      1.057      0.062     0.95   0.344        0.943       1.185
summer#2006  |      1.064      0.069     0.97   0.333        0.938       1.208
summer#2007  |      0.977      0.053    -0.42   0.671        0.879       1.087
summer#2008  |      0.976      0.051    -0.46   0.646        0.881       1.082
summer#2009  |      1.042      0.065     0.67   0.503        0.923       1.177
summer#2010  |      1.049      0.060     0.83   0.409        0.937       1.174
  fall#1981  |      1.095      0.064     1.55   0.120        0.976       1.229
  fall#1982  |      1.161      0.065     2.66   0.008        1.040       1.296
  fall#1983  |      1.156      0.061     2.76   0.006        1.043       1.281
  fall#1984  |      1.109      0.063     1.83   0.067        0.993       1.240
  fall#1985  |      1.122      0.062     2.09   0.037        1.007       1.251
  fall#1986  |      1.102      0.055     1.97   0.049        1.000       1.214
  fall#1987  |      1.069      0.051     1.38   0.166        0.973       1.175
  fall#1988  |      1.166      0.072     2.49   0.013        1.033       1.316
  fall#1989  |      1.020      0.051     0.40   0.687        0.925       1.126
  fall#1990  |      1.137      0.065     2.26   0.024        1.017       1.272
  fall#1991  |      1.086      0.073     1.24   0.216        0.953       1.239
  fall#1992  |      0.943      0.052    -1.06   0.289        0.846       1.051
  fall#1993  |      1.147      0.058     2.71   0.007        1.039       1.266
  fall#1994  |      1.088      0.068     1.36   0.175        0.963       1.229
  fall#1995  |      1.066      0.055     1.25   0.212        0.964       1.180
  fall#1996  |      1.082      0.061     1.40   0.162        0.969       1.209
  fall#1997  |      1.045      0.064     0.72   0.473        0.927       1.177
  fall#1998  |      1.068      0.052     1.35   0.176        0.971       1.174
  fall#1999  |      1.004      0.059     0.07   0.942        0.895       1.127
  fall#2000  |      1.084      0.050     1.77   0.077        0.991       1.186
  fall#2001  |      1.011      0.051     0.22   0.827        0.915       1.117
  fall#2002  |      1.039      0.063     0.62   0.533        0.922       1.170
  fall#2003  |      1.055      0.063     0.91   0.365        0.939       1.185
  fall#2004  |      1.071      0.072     1.01   0.313        0.938       1.222
  fall#2005  |      1.099      0.077     1.35   0.177        0.958       1.262
  fall#2006  |      1.081      0.068     1.24   0.214        0.956       1.222
  fall#2007  |      1.090      0.064     1.48   0.140        0.972       1.223
  fall#2008  |      1.058      0.061     0.98   0.325        0.946       1.184
  fall#2009  |      1.151      0.066     2.47   0.014        1.029       1.287
  fall#2010  |      1.073      0.063     1.21   0.225        0.957       1.204
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      2.398      0.436     4.81   0.000        1.679       3.424
         AZ  |      1.763      0.035    28.89   0.000        1.696       1.832
         AR  |      4.184      0.044   135.80   0.000        4.099       4.272
         CA  |      2.378      0.109    18.88   0.000        2.174       2.602
         CO  |      1.795      0.052    20.10   0.000        1.696       1.900
         CT  |      0.651      0.037    -7.53   0.000        0.582       0.728
         DE  |      1.215      0.018    13.45   0.000        1.181       1.250
         FL  |      1.873      0.014    85.67   0.000        1.846       1.900
         GA  |      1.078      0.015     5.26   0.000        1.048       1.109
         HI  |      3.127      0.159    22.49   0.000        2.831       3.454
         ID  |      0.876      0.032    -3.67   0.000        0.817       0.940
         IL  |      1.372      0.029    14.89   0.000        1.316       1.431
         IN  |      0.880      0.012    -9.19   0.000        0.856       0.904
         IA  |      1.406      0.064     7.55   0.000        1.287       1.537
         KS  |      1.428      0.051     9.94   0.000        1.331       1.532
         KY  |      1.778      0.013    81.81   0.000        1.754       1.803
         LA  |      1.880      0.220     5.39   0.000        1.494       2.365
         ME  |      0.827      0.007   -21.30   0.000        0.813       0.842
         MD  |      1.159      0.042     4.11   0.000        1.080       1.243
         MA  |      1.141      0.065     2.30   0.021        1.020       1.276
         MI  |      1.021      0.087     0.24   0.811        0.863       1.207
         MN  |      1.493      0.043    13.87   0.000        1.411       1.580
         MS  |      0.835      0.017    -8.99   0.000        0.803       0.869
         MO  |      1.610      0.015    49.95   0.000        1.580       1.640
         MT  |      0.600      0.090    -3.39   0.001        0.446       0.806
         NE  |      1.252      0.053     5.28   0.000        1.152       1.360
         NV  |      1.239      0.096     2.76   0.006        1.064       1.442
         NH  |      2.740      0.056    49.62   0.000        2.633       2.851
         NJ  |      1.135      0.061     2.37   0.018        1.022       1.260
         NM  |      2.944      0.136    23.41   0.000        2.689       3.222
         NY  |      2.297      0.181    10.56   0.000        1.968       2.680
         NC  |      1.252      0.005    51.98   0.000        1.241       1.263
         ND  |      0.673      0.094    -2.84   0.004        0.512       0.884
         OH  |      1.975      0.019    71.07   0.000        1.938       2.013
         OK  |      1.158      0.178     0.95   0.341        0.856       1.565
         OR  |      1.295      0.013    26.28   0.000        1.271       1.321
         PA  |      1.503      0.080     7.63   0.000        1.354       1.669
         RI  |      0.173      0.010   -29.81   0.000        0.154       0.194
         SC  |      1.190      0.011    18.93   0.000        1.169       1.211
         SD  |      0.691      0.028    -9.12   0.000        0.639       0.748
         TN  |      1.305      0.005    67.00   0.000        1.295       1.315
         TX  |      1.271      0.106     2.88   0.004        1.079       1.496
         UT  |      1.193      0.034     6.15   0.000        1.128       1.262
         VT  |      2.535      0.027    86.27   0.000        2.482       2.590
         VA  |      1.591      0.045    16.40   0.000        1.505       1.682
         WA  |      1.063      0.012     5.50   0.000        1.040       1.087
         WV  |      0.842      0.013   -11.45   0.000        0.817       0.867
         WI  |      1.418      0.123     4.03   0.000        1.197       1.680
         WY  |      3.010      0.642     5.16   0.000        1.981       4.573
             |
     quarter |      1.001      0.016     0.09   0.929        0.971       1.032
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -0.67   0.504        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.981      0.002    -8.01   0.000        0.977       0.986
         AZ  |      0.993      0.001   -13.88   0.000        0.992       0.994
         AR  |      0.978      0.000  -121.80   0.000        0.977       0.978
         CA  |      0.990      0.001   -13.80   0.000        0.989       0.991
         CO  |      0.994      0.001    -9.92   0.000        0.993       0.995
         CT  |      0.998      0.001    -2.59   0.010        0.996       1.000
         DE  |      0.997      0.000   -16.71   0.000        0.997       0.998
         FL  |      0.991      0.000   -66.79   0.000        0.991       0.991
         GA  |      0.999      0.000   -13.08   0.000        0.999       0.999
         HI  |      0.985      0.001   -21.43   0.000        0.984       0.987
         ID  |      1.004      0.001     3.86   0.000        1.002       1.006
         IL  |      0.992      0.000   -28.11   0.000        0.992       0.993
         IN  |      0.999      0.000    -6.25   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IA  |      0.992      0.001   -11.96   0.000        0.991       0.994
         KS  |      0.990      0.000   -19.39   0.000        0.989       0.991
         KY  |      0.991      0.000  -115.70   0.000        0.991       0.991
         LA  |      0.993      0.001    -5.09   0.000        0.990       0.996
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -1.17   0.242        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      0.995      0.001   -10.17   0.000        0.994       0.996
         MA  |      0.986      0.001   -18.30   0.000        0.984       0.987
         MI  |      0.997      0.001    -2.58   0.010        0.994       0.999
         MN  |      0.987      0.000   -25.40   0.000        0.986       0.988
         MS  |      1.002      0.000     5.39   0.000        1.001       1.002
         MO  |      0.992      0.000   -53.14   0.000        0.991       0.992
         MT  |      1.010      0.002     4.38   0.000        1.005       1.014
         NE  |      0.994      0.001    -9.22   0.000        0.992       0.995
         NV  |      1.001      0.001     1.38   0.166        1.000       1.002
         NH  |      0.980      0.000   -47.43   0.000        0.979       0.981
         NJ  |      0.989      0.001   -15.84   0.000        0.987       0.990
         NM  |      0.986      0.001   -17.38   0.000        0.984       0.987
         NY  |      0.980      0.001   -20.40   0.000        0.978       0.981
         NC  |      0.996      0.000   -24.92   0.000        0.996       0.996
         ND  |      0.998      0.002    -0.79   0.431        0.995       1.002
         OH  |      0.988      0.000  -124.69   0.000        0.988       0.988
         OK  |      0.996      0.002    -1.92   0.055        0.992       1.000
         OR  |      0.997      0.000   -10.37   0.000        0.996       0.998
         PA  |      0.989      0.001   -15.99   0.000        0.988       0.990
         RI  |      1.015      0.001    19.41   0.000        1.013       1.016
         SC  |      0.994      0.000   -46.74   0.000        0.994       0.995
         SD  |      1.001      0.001     1.43   0.154        1.000       1.002
         TN  |      0.995      0.000   -64.30   0.000        0.995       0.995
         TX  |      0.996      0.001    -3.13   0.002        0.993       0.998
         UT  |      0.995      0.001    -6.70   0.000        0.994       0.997
         VT  |      0.986      0.000  -122.18   0.000        0.986       0.986
         VA  |      0.994      0.000   -13.13   0.000        0.993       0.995
         WA  |      0.998      0.000    -7.87   0.000        0.997       0.998
         WV  |      0.999      0.000    -4.06   0.000        0.999       1.000
         WI  |      0.991      0.001    -7.03   0.000        0.989       0.994
         WY  |      0.991      0.003    -2.78   0.005        0.985       0.997
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    11.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     8.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    90.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000     9.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     5.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     1.17   0.243        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -23.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    31.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000     6.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    31.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -1.70   0.089        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    18.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     7.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     7.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    18.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    71.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     4.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    10.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     8.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    15.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     1.97   0.048        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    18.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -2.08   0.038        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    58.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -3.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     5.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     5.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    27.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    14.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    13.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    21.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    10.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     0.63   0.529        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   107.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     2.21   0.027        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     5.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    15.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000   -20.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    26.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    -1.36   0.175        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    29.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     2.08   0.037        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     4.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    85.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000     9.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000     7.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000     9.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     5.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     2.18   0.029        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     47.517     43.405     4.23   0.000        7.931     284.700
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.16       0.12     1.27   0.204        -0.09        0.40
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -29.50       1.33   -22.12   0.000       -32.12      -26.89
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -15.44       0.90   -17.12   0.000       -17.20      -13.67
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       2.32       0.16    14.41   0.000         2.00        2.63
     summer  |       2.70       0.16    16.51   0.000         2.38        3.02
       fall  |       1.29       0.14     9.09   0.000         1.01        1.56
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
note: 4.agecat omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      74400
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -79609.797                 Pseudo R2       =     0.4900

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.010      0.007     1.42   0.156        0.996       1.025
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.149      0.008   -35.83   0.000        0.135       0.166
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.370      0.016   -22.56   0.000        0.339       0.403
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |      1.000  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.123      0.046     2.80   0.005        1.035       1.218
     summer  |      1.117      0.044     2.82   0.005        1.034       1.206
       fall  |      0.984      0.039    -0.40   0.687        0.910       1.064
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.912      0.050    -1.67   0.094        0.820       1.016
       1982  |      0.926      0.085    -0.84   0.401        0.773       1.109
       1983  |      0.976      0.106    -0.23   0.821        0.789       1.207
       1984  |      1.064      0.129     0.51   0.608        0.839       1.351
       1985  |      1.112      0.176     0.67   0.501        0.816       1.517
       1986  |      1.237      0.215     1.22   0.222        0.879       1.740
       1987  |      1.248      0.232     1.19   0.234        0.866       1.798
       1988  |      1.215      0.246     0.96   0.337        0.817       1.807
       1989  |      1.347      0.293     1.37   0.171        0.879       2.063
       1990  |      1.319      0.295     1.24   0.216        0.850       2.045
       1991  |      1.384      0.327     1.38   0.169        0.871       2.200
       1992  |      1.496      0.391     1.54   0.123        0.896       2.498
       1993  |      1.408      0.383     1.26   0.208        0.826       2.399
       1994  |      1.579      0.456     1.58   0.114        0.896       2.782
       1995  |      1.606      0.485     1.57   0.116        0.889       2.903
       1996  |      1.619      0.480     1.62   0.104        0.905       2.895
       1997  |      1.744      0.551     1.76   0.079        0.938       3.239
       1998  |      1.890      0.616     1.95   0.051        0.997       3.581
       1999  |      1.949      0.651     2.00   0.046        1.013       3.750
       2000  |      1.853      0.659     1.74   0.083        0.924       3.719
       2001  |      2.095      0.747     2.07   0.038        1.041       4.215
       2002  |      2.165      0.791     2.11   0.035        1.058       4.432
       2003  |      2.103      0.813     1.92   0.054        0.986       4.488
       2004  |      2.194      0.852     2.02   0.043        1.025       4.696
       2005  |      2.282      0.880     2.14   0.032        1.072       4.857
       2006  |      2.300      0.904     2.12   0.034        1.064       4.971
       2007  |      2.453      0.976     2.26   0.024        1.125       5.350
       2008  |      2.590      1.054     2.34   0.019        1.166       5.752
       2009  |      2.457      1.016     2.17   0.030        1.092       5.525
       2010  |      2.519      1.077     2.16   0.031        1.089       5.825
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.032      0.064     0.50   0.615        0.914       1.164
spring#1982  |      1.128      0.057     2.38   0.017        1.022       1.246
spring#1983  |      1.116      0.049     2.52   0.012        1.025       1.216
spring#1984  |      1.048      0.065     0.75   0.452        0.927       1.184
spring#1985  |      1.038      0.056     0.70   0.482        0.935       1.153
spring#1986  |      1.011      0.041     0.27   0.784        0.934       1.095
spring#1987  |      1.130      0.046     2.97   0.003        1.042       1.224
spring#1988  |      1.157      0.059     2.85   0.004        1.047       1.279
spring#1989  |      0.980      0.040    -0.51   0.609        0.905       1.060
spring#1990  |      1.059      0.056     1.08   0.281        0.954       1.175
spring#1991  |      1.047      0.072     0.66   0.509        0.914       1.198
spring#1992  |      0.974      0.070    -0.37   0.713        0.846       1.121
spring#1993  |      1.129      0.058     2.35   0.019        1.020       1.250
spring#1994  |      1.003      0.059     0.06   0.956        0.894       1.126
spring#1995  |      1.085      0.062     1.43   0.153        0.970       1.213
spring#1996  |      1.057      0.064     0.91   0.362        0.938       1.191
spring#1997  |      1.017      0.059     0.30   0.767        0.908       1.139
spring#1998  |      0.955      0.050    -0.88   0.381        0.861       1.059
spring#1999  |      0.943      0.050    -1.09   0.274        0.849       1.047
spring#2000  |      1.060      0.055     1.11   0.265        0.957       1.173
spring#2001  |      0.969      0.047    -0.64   0.521        0.880       1.067
spring#2002  |      1.063      0.057     1.15   0.249        0.958       1.180
spring#2003  |      1.009      0.051     0.17   0.866        0.913       1.114
spring#2004  |      1.012      0.061     0.19   0.847        0.899       1.138
spring#2005  |      1.041      0.051     0.82   0.415        0.945       1.146
spring#2006  |      1.020      0.046     0.44   0.661        0.934       1.114
spring#2007  |      0.965      0.047    -0.74   0.459        0.877       1.061
spring#2008  |      0.971      0.056    -0.50   0.617        0.867       1.089
spring#2009  |      0.998      0.062    -0.03   0.977        0.884       1.127
spring#2010  |      0.962      0.060    -0.62   0.538        0.851       1.088
summer#1981  |      1.080      0.078     1.08   0.282        0.938       1.243
summer#1982  |      1.141      0.067     2.24   0.025        1.017       1.281
summer#1983  |      1.116      0.056     2.16   0.031        1.010       1.232
summer#1984  |      1.040      0.061     0.67   0.505        0.927       1.168
summer#1985  |      1.067      0.056     1.24   0.217        0.963       1.182
summer#1986  |      1.037      0.051     0.75   0.455        0.942       1.142
summer#1987  |      1.092      0.041     2.32   0.020        1.014       1.175
summer#1988  |      1.123      0.063     2.07   0.038        1.006       1.253
summer#1989  |      1.051      0.050     1.05   0.296        0.958       1.153
summer#1990  |      1.178      0.059     3.28   0.001        1.068       1.299
summer#1991  |      1.086      0.061     1.47   0.140        0.973       1.212
summer#1992  |      1.063      0.068     0.96   0.339        0.938       1.204
summer#1993  |      1.175      0.065     2.94   0.003        1.055       1.309
summer#1994  |      0.959      0.050    -0.81   0.420        0.867       1.062
summer#1995  |      1.058      0.051     1.18   0.239        0.963       1.163
summer#1996  |      1.117      0.049     2.52   0.012        1.025       1.217
summer#1997  |      1.040      0.054     0.76   0.446        0.940       1.151
summer#1998  |      1.049      0.048     1.03   0.301        0.958       1.148
summer#1999  |      1.009      0.050     0.17   0.864        0.915       1.112
summer#2000  |      1.103      0.056     1.92   0.055        0.998       1.219
summer#2001  |      1.022      0.052     0.42   0.672        0.925       1.129
summer#2002  |      1.034      0.048     0.73   0.466        0.945       1.132
summer#2003  |      1.113      0.059     2.03   0.042        1.004       1.235
summer#2004  |      1.024      0.049     0.49   0.628        0.932       1.124
summer#2005  |      1.066      0.062     1.10   0.272        0.951       1.194
summer#2006  |      1.072      0.069     1.09   0.277        0.946       1.216
summer#2007  |      0.983      0.053    -0.31   0.755        0.885       1.092
summer#2008  |      0.981      0.051    -0.37   0.713        0.886       1.086
summer#2009  |      1.046      0.065     0.73   0.465        0.927       1.181
summer#2010  |      1.051      0.060     0.87   0.387        0.939       1.176
  fall#1981  |      1.100      0.064     1.63   0.103        0.981       1.233
  fall#1982  |      1.170      0.064     2.85   0.004        1.050       1.303
  fall#1983  |      1.168      0.061     3.00   0.003        1.056       1.293
  fall#1984  |      1.125      0.064     2.07   0.038        1.006       1.258
  fall#1985  |      1.142      0.061     2.48   0.013        1.028       1.268
  fall#1986  |      1.124      0.055     2.40   0.016        1.022       1.237
  fall#1987  |      1.093      0.050     1.94   0.052        0.999       1.196
  fall#1988  |      1.195      0.073     2.94   0.003        1.061       1.346
  fall#1989  |      1.048      0.053     0.93   0.352        0.950       1.156
  fall#1990  |      1.170      0.065     2.84   0.005        1.050       1.304
  fall#1991  |      1.119      0.074     1.71   0.088        0.984       1.273
  fall#1992  |      0.972      0.049    -0.56   0.574        0.881       1.073
  fall#1993  |      1.183      0.059     3.39   0.001        1.074       1.304
  fall#1994  |      1.123      0.067     1.94   0.053        0.999       1.264
  fall#1995  |      1.101      0.052     2.04   0.041        1.004       1.208
  fall#1996  |      1.117      0.065     1.92   0.055        0.998       1.251
  fall#1997  |      1.078      0.063     1.30   0.193        0.963       1.208
  fall#1998  |      1.101      0.055     1.93   0.053        0.999       1.215
  fall#1999  |      1.035      0.059     0.60   0.545        0.925       1.158
  fall#2000  |      1.116      0.050     2.46   0.014        1.022       1.219
  fall#2001  |      1.039      0.053     0.77   0.444        0.941       1.148
  fall#2002  |      1.066      0.066     1.03   0.301        0.944       1.203
  fall#2003  |      1.081      0.065     1.29   0.196        0.961       1.216
  fall#2004  |      1.094      0.072     1.36   0.174        0.961       1.245
  fall#2005  |      1.121      0.078     1.63   0.103        0.977       1.285
  fall#2006  |      1.099      0.068     1.51   0.130        0.973       1.242
  fall#2007  |      1.105      0.064     1.73   0.084        0.987       1.237
  fall#2008  |      1.069      0.060     1.19   0.234        0.958       1.193
  fall#2009  |      1.158      0.066     2.59   0.010        1.036       1.295
  fall#2010  |      1.076      0.062     1.27   0.205        0.961       1.205
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |    228.657     29.229    42.50   0.000      177.982     293.760
         AZ  |      4.371      0.947     6.81   0.000        2.859       6.685
         AR  |     33.760      1.639    72.50   0.000       30.696      37.130
         CA  |      3.069      0.062    55.52   0.000        2.950       3.193
         CO  |    103.425     24.945    19.23   0.000       64.466     165.931
         CT  |      1.600      0.160     4.70   0.000        1.315       1.946
         DE  |      0.042      0.001  -131.26   0.000        0.040       0.044
         FL  |      3.773      0.174    28.71   0.000        3.446       4.131
         GA  |      4.625      0.334    21.18   0.000        4.014       5.330
         HI  |      2.585      0.519     4.73   0.000        1.744       3.832
         ID  |      0.917      0.377    -0.21   0.834        0.410       2.051
         IL  |      0.648      0.072    -3.92   0.000        0.522       0.805
         IN  |      1.477      0.103     5.60   0.000        1.288       1.693
         IA  |      0.055      0.005   -32.55   0.000        0.046       0.066
         KS  |     13.789      1.519    23.82   0.000       11.112      17.112
         KY  |      1.763      0.130     7.70   0.000        1.526       2.037
         LA  |      0.937      0.174    -0.35   0.725        0.650       1.349
         ME  |      2.502      0.068    33.84   0.000        2.373       2.639
         MD  |      6.882      0.398    33.36   0.000        6.145       7.708
         MA  |      1.209      0.068     3.39   0.001        1.083       1.350
         MI  |      2.081      0.481     3.17   0.002        1.322       3.274
         MN  |      4.207      0.293    20.63   0.000        3.670       4.822
         MS  |      0.020      0.002   -51.10   0.000        0.017       0.023
         MO  |      2.001      0.126    11.02   0.000        1.769       2.264
         MT  |      0.115      0.034    -7.23   0.000        0.064       0.207
         NE  |      0.670      0.082    -3.29   0.001        0.527       0.851
         NV  |     15.831      9.613     4.55   0.000        4.816      52.043
         NH  |      0.116      0.003   -78.90   0.000        0.110       0.122
         NJ  |     45.760      3.154    55.48   0.000       39.979      52.378
         NM  |    128.628     13.144    47.53   0.000      105.282     157.150
         NY  |     29.902      3.934    25.83   0.000       23.106      38.697
         NC  |     11.968      0.119   249.73   0.000       11.737      12.203
         ND  |      2.290      0.275     6.89   0.000        1.809       2.899
         OH  |     50.561      5.844    33.94   0.000       40.311      63.417
         OK  |     29.678      6.790    14.82   0.000       18.953      46.471
         OR  |     54.352     12.949    16.77   0.000       34.074      86.696
         PA  |      1.715      0.035    26.81   0.000        1.649       1.784
         RI  |      0.035      0.001  -116.10   0.000        0.034       0.038
         SC  |      2.340      0.086    23.06   0.000        2.177       2.515
         SD  |    120.834      8.132    71.24   0.000      105.901     137.873
         TN  |      5.124      0.115    72.72   0.000        4.903       5.354
         TX  |      0.565      0.048    -6.72   0.000        0.478       0.667
         UT  |     14.171      2.468    15.22   0.000       10.073      19.938
         VT  |      0.792      0.052    -3.55   0.000        0.696       0.900
         VA  |     62.223      3.513    73.16   0.000       55.705      69.505
         WA  |      5.694      0.164    60.53   0.000        5.382       6.024
         WV  |    168.100      9.600    89.73   0.000      150.299     188.010
         WI  |      1.671      0.444     1.93   0.053        0.992       2.812
         WY  |     12.558      1.815    17.51   0.000        9.461      16.669
             |
     quarter |      1.131      0.056     2.49   0.013        1.027       1.246
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.000    -2.61   0.009        0.998       1.000
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     2.52   0.012        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.886      0.004   -29.59   0.000        0.879       0.894
         AZ  |      0.972      0.005    -5.59   0.000        0.963       0.982
         AR  |      0.932      0.001   -66.07   0.000        0.930       0.934
         CA  |      0.984      0.001   -22.33   0.000        0.983       0.986
         CO  |      0.906      0.005   -18.02   0.000        0.897       0.916
         CT  |      0.978      0.003    -8.12   0.000        0.972       0.983
         DE  |      1.077      0.001   112.43   0.000        1.076       1.079
         FL  |      0.975      0.001   -23.59   0.000        0.973       0.977
         GA  |      0.966      0.002   -18.02   0.000        0.963       0.970
         HI  |      0.989      0.005    -2.15   0.031        0.980       0.999
         ID  |      1.003      0.009     0.27   0.788        0.984       1.021
         IL  |      1.010      0.002     4.06   0.000        1.005       1.014
         IN  |      0.987      0.002    -7.47   0.000        0.984       0.991
         IA  |      1.070      0.002    39.58   0.000        1.066       1.073
         KS  |      0.940      0.002   -27.51   0.000        0.936       0.944
         KY  |      0.991      0.002    -5.08   0.000        0.988       0.995
         LA  |      1.009      0.003     2.88   0.004        1.003       1.015
         ME  |      0.975      0.001   -35.35   0.000        0.974       0.976
         MD  |      0.955      0.002   -28.62   0.000        0.952       0.958
         MA  |      0.984      0.002    -8.98   0.000        0.981       0.988
         MI  |      0.981      0.006    -3.36   0.001        0.969       0.992
         MN  |      0.964      0.001   -24.92   0.000        0.962       0.967
         MS  |      1.091      0.002    54.35   0.000        1.087       1.094
         MO  |      0.987      0.001    -9.13   0.000        0.984       0.990
         MT  |      1.048      0.006     8.24   0.000        1.036       1.059
         NE  |      1.008      0.003     3.31   0.001        1.003       1.014
         NV  |      0.945      0.014    -3.89   0.000        0.919       0.972
         NH  |      1.053      0.001    80.66   0.000        1.052       1.055
         NJ  |      0.908      0.002   -48.09   0.000        0.905       0.912
         NM  |      0.904      0.002   -46.84   0.000        0.901       0.908
         NY  |      0.923      0.003   -21.30   0.000        0.917       0.930
         NC  |      0.946      0.000  -190.24   0.000        0.945       0.946
         ND  |      0.971      0.002   -17.80   0.000        0.968       0.974
         OH  |      0.917      0.002   -33.91   0.000        0.912       0.922
         OK  |      0.925      0.004   -19.81   0.000        0.918       0.932
         OR  |      0.915      0.005   -15.22   0.000        0.905       0.926
         PA  |      0.986      0.001   -21.58   0.000        0.985       0.987
         RI  |      1.053      0.001    44.93   0.000        1.050       1.055
         SC  |      0.979      0.001   -21.81   0.000        0.977       0.981
         SD  |      0.889      0.001   -84.80   0.000        0.887       0.891
         TN  |      0.964      0.001   -64.84   0.000        0.963       0.965
         TX  |      1.014      0.001    10.30   0.000        1.012       1.017
         UT  |      0.941      0.004   -15.16   0.000        0.933       0.948
         VT  |      1.013      0.002     7.98   0.000        1.010       1.016
         VA  |      0.914      0.001   -61.56   0.000        0.912       0.917
         WA  |      0.960      0.001   -56.92   0.000        0.959       0.962
         WV  |      0.885      0.001  -100.62   0.000        0.883       0.887
         WI  |      0.988      0.005    -2.30   0.021        0.977       0.998
         WY  |      0.960      0.002   -24.37   0.000        0.956       0.963
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.001      0.000    22.09   0.000        1.001       1.001
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     5.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    58.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000     9.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.001      0.000    17.79   0.000        1.001       1.001
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     6.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      0.999      0.000  -101.76   0.000        0.999       0.999
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    18.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    16.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     0.49   0.627        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     0.00   0.999        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    -6.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     6.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      0.999      0.000   -51.41   0.000        0.999       0.999
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    28.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000     2.13   0.033        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -6.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    36.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    23.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000     3.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     2.69   0.007        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    22.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      0.999      0.000   -58.00   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MO  |      1.000      0.000     5.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -8.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -5.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     3.90   0.000        1.000       1.001
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -87.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.001      0.000    38.91   0.000        1.001       1.001
         NM  |      1.001      0.000    49.30   0.000        1.001       1.001
         NY  |      1.001      0.000    16.02   0.000        1.000       1.001
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   169.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    34.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.001      0.000    31.20   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OK  |      1.001      0.000    25.84   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OR  |      1.001      0.000    14.82   0.000        1.001       1.001
         PA  |      1.000      0.000     8.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000   -30.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    18.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.001      0.000   101.75   0.000        1.001       1.001
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    59.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -19.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    15.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -12.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.001      0.000    53.42   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    59.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.001      0.000   107.92   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     1.47   0.143        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   111.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -17.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -4.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -52.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    -4.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -18.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    -5.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   101.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000   -16.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000   -17.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     0.72   0.469        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -0.17   0.868        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000     8.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -6.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    64.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -28.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000     0.32   0.751        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     8.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -35.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -19.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.32   0.747        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -2.29   0.022        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -22.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    63.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -3.00   0.003        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     9.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     7.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -3.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    71.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -32.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -59.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000   -12.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000  -226.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -50.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -29.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000   -35.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000   -15.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    -2.16   0.031        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    20.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -16.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000  -136.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -62.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    79.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -16.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    15.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -45.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -75.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000  -116.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    -0.76   0.446        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   -29.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.296      0.631    -0.57   0.568        0.005      19.194
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(note: continuous option implied because a factor with only one level was
       specified in the dydx() option)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      74400

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.16       0.11     1.43   0.152        -0.06        0.38
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -29.51       1.33   -22.12   0.000       -32.12      -26.89
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -15.44       0.90   -17.11   0.000       -17.21      -13.67
             |
      agecat |
       >=65  |       0.00  (omitted)
             |
      season |
     spring  |       2.32       0.16    14.42   0.000         2.00        2.63
     summer  |       2.70       0.16    16.48   0.000         2.38        3.02
       fall  |       1.28       0.14     9.06   0.000         1.01        1.56
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(output written to suic-econ-atable-agecat_4.txt)

. 
.         
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a2-demog.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  21 Feb 2015, 20:24:24
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit

end of do-file

. 
. 
. /*      Estimates crude and adjusted Poisson models using the CPS data and
>         restricting to the years 1994-2010. Estimate appears in Figure 3 
>         as 1994-2010 Overall */
. do suic-econ-a3-1994.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-a3-1994.txt, replace text
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a3-1994.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  21 Feb 2015, 20:24:24

. 
. //  program:    suic-econ-a3-1994.do
. //  task:               estimate impact of recessions on suicide, restricting 
> to 
. //                              CPS dataset for years 1994-2010.
. //      input:          suic-econ-data2-cps.dta
. //      output:         suic-econ-total1994.txt
. //  project:    economic conditions and suicide
. //  author:     sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 12

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. set matsize 11000

. 
. 
. // #1
. // data and descriptive table
. 
. * CPS dataset with education, 1994-2010
. use suic-econ-data2-cps, clear
(Suicide deaths and CPS denominators, 1980-2010)

. 
. * re-scale icei for a 10-unit change, change sign to estimate decrease
. replace icei= -1*icei/10
(440640 real changes made)

. 
. 
. 
. // #2
. // crude poisson model without adjustments: Model 0
. 
. poisson suic icei, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     440640
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =       5.57
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0183
Log pseudolikelihood = -542655.14                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0017

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.968      0.013    -2.36   0.018        0.943       0.995
       _cons |      9.136      1.833    11.02   0.000        6.165      13.538
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_0: estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     440640

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.46       0.20    -2.35   0.019        -0.85       -0.08
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_1994__m_0, replace) 

.         
.         
. // #3
. // now add individual covariates: Model 1
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.educa3, offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     440640
                                                  Wald chi2(8)    =   43232.27
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -402890.04                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2588

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |               Robust
         suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |      0.968      0.013    -2.44   0.015        0.944       0.994
              |
          sex |
     2female  |      0.234      0.005   -72.37   0.000        0.225       0.244
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      0.513      0.024   -14.22   0.000        0.468       0.563
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |      1.334      0.032    12.08   0.000        1.273       1.398
    45 to 64  |      1.438      0.051    10.32   0.000        1.342       1.541
        >=65  |      1.484      0.089     6.54   0.000        1.318       1.670
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |      1.253      0.077     3.68   0.000        1.111       1.413
MinsomeCol~c  |      0.653      0.048    -5.84   0.000        0.566       0.753
              |
        _cons |     13.729      2.524    14.25   0.000        9.575      19.685
   logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_1: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat educa3) predict(ir) //
> /
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     440640

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.educa3 3.educa3

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |            Unconditional
              |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |      -0.41       0.17    -2.44   0.015        -0.74       -0.08
              |
          sex |
     2female  |     -15.84       0.64   -24.82   0.000       -17.09      -14.59
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      -8.22       0.64   -12.82   0.000        -9.48       -6.96
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |       3.25       0.35     9.20   0.000         2.56        3.94
    45 to 64  |       4.26       0.44     9.73   0.000         3.40        5.12
        >=65  |       4.70       0.79     5.92   0.000         3.14        6.26
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |       3.34       0.83     4.01   0.000         1.71        4.96
MinsomeCol~c  |      -4.58       0.89    -5.13   0.000        -6.33       -2.83
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_1994__m_1, replace)      

. 
. 
. // #4
. // now add state, season, and year fixed effects: Model 2
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.educa3 i.stabb i.season##i.year, //
> /
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     440640
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -389775.7                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2829

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |               Robust
         suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |      1.024      0.006     4.18   0.000        1.013       1.035
              |
          sex |
     2female  |      0.235      0.005   -73.25   0.000        0.226       0.244
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      0.515      0.026   -13.11   0.000        0.467       0.569
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |      1.334      0.031    12.44   0.000        1.275       1.396
    45 to 64  |      1.443      0.048    10.91   0.000        1.351       1.541
        >=65  |      1.486      0.084     7.04   0.000        1.331       1.660
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |      1.256      0.074     3.89   0.000        1.120       1.409
MinsomeCol~c  |      0.655      0.047    -5.93   0.000        0.569       0.753
              |
        stabb |
          AK  |      1.618      0.019    40.30   0.000        1.581       1.656
          AZ  |      1.395      0.033    14.19   0.000        1.332       1.460
          AR  |      1.048      0.004    10.90   0.000        1.039       1.057
          CA  |      0.827      0.006   -25.00   0.000        0.815       0.839
          CO  |      1.389      0.025    18.57   0.000        1.342       1.438
          CT  |      0.654      0.004   -61.82   0.000        0.645       0.663
          DE  |      0.900      0.005   -19.13   0.000        0.890       0.910
          FL  |      1.110      0.008    14.62   0.000        1.095       1.126
          HI  |      1.166      0.038     4.67   0.000        1.093       1.244
          ID  |      1.336      0.036    10.88   0.000        1.268       1.408
          IL  |      0.698      0.003   -75.07   0.000        0.692       0.705
          IN  |      0.872      0.006   -21.45   0.000        0.861       0.883
          IA  |      0.816      0.005   -31.33   0.000        0.806       0.827
          KS  |      0.992      0.006    -1.40   0.160        0.980       1.003
          LA  |      0.956      0.004   -10.59   0.000        0.948       0.964
          ME  |      0.886      0.007   -16.00   0.000        0.873       0.900
          MD  |      0.808      0.004   -40.60   0.000        0.800       0.817
          MA  |      0.595      0.007   -45.97   0.000        0.582       0.608
          MI  |      0.863      0.005   -24.17   0.000        0.852       0.873
          MN  |      0.812      0.007   -25.03   0.000        0.798       0.825
          MS  |      1.059      0.005    12.26   0.000        1.049       1.068
          MO  |      1.007      0.005     1.27   0.204        0.996       1.017
          MT  |      1.487      0.013    46.18   0.000        1.462       1.512
          NE  |      0.833      0.007   -21.81   0.000        0.819       0.846
          NV  |      1.744      0.057    16.92   0.000        1.635       1.860
          NH  |      0.932      0.017    -3.84   0.000        0.898       0.966
          NJ  |      0.544      0.003  -120.35   0.000        0.539       0.550
          NM  |      1.499      0.020    30.34   0.000        1.460       1.539
          NY  |      0.546      0.002  -218.32   0.000        0.543       0.549
          NC  |      1.027      0.009     3.02   0.003        1.009       1.045
          ND  |      0.957      0.007    -5.80   0.000        0.943       0.972
          OH  |      0.788      0.004   -43.39   0.000        0.779       0.796
          OR  |      1.274      0.027    11.39   0.000        1.222       1.329
          PA  |      0.814      0.004   -41.94   0.000        0.807       0.822
          SC  |      1.006      0.007     0.92   0.359        0.993       1.020
          TN  |      1.029      0.007     4.12   0.000        1.015       1.043
          TX  |      0.890      0.014    -7.58   0.000        0.864       0.917
          UT  |      1.337      0.029    13.56   0.000        1.282       1.395
          VT  |      0.916      0.007   -12.06   0.000        0.903       0.929
          VA  |      0.985      0.004    -3.74   0.000        0.977       0.993
          WA  |      1.071      0.007    10.28   0.000        1.057       1.085
          WV  |      0.875      0.006   -19.08   0.000        0.863       0.887
          WI  |      0.910      0.011    -8.10   0.000        0.890       0.931
          WY  |      1.442      0.013    42.12   0.000        1.417       1.466
              |
       season |
      spring  |      1.101      0.023     4.64   0.000        1.057       1.147
      summer  |      1.068      0.014     5.16   0.000        1.042       1.095
        fall  |      1.055      0.018     3.07   0.002        1.019       1.091
              |
         year |
        1995  |      0.996      0.017    -0.26   0.795        0.962       1.030
        1996  |      0.995      0.019    -0.26   0.798        0.958       1.034
        1997  |      1.014      0.023     0.61   0.545        0.970       1.060
        1998  |      1.039      0.023     1.77   0.077        0.996       1.084
        1999  |      0.972      0.027    -1.01   0.314        0.920       1.027
        2000  |      1.000      0.030     0.01   0.990        0.944       1.060
        2001  |      0.999      0.039    -0.03   0.976        0.925       1.078
        2002  |      1.043      0.033     1.33   0.182        0.980       1.110
        2003  |      1.006      0.026     0.21   0.830        0.956       1.058
        2004  |      1.020      0.036     0.55   0.582        0.951       1.093
        2005  |      1.030      0.038     0.80   0.426        0.958       1.108
        2006  |      1.045      0.039     1.17   0.240        0.971       1.126
        2007  |      1.075      0.040     1.95   0.052        0.999       1.156
        2008  |      1.135      0.040     3.59   0.000        1.059       1.216
        2009  |      1.101      0.033     3.23   0.001        1.039       1.168
        2010  |      1.131      0.036     3.81   0.000        1.061       1.204
              |
  season#year |
 spring#1995  |      1.027      0.027     1.01   0.315        0.975       1.082
 spring#1996  |      1.005      0.030     0.17   0.863        0.947       1.067
 spring#1997  |      0.972      0.031    -0.89   0.375        0.914       1.035
 spring#1998  |      0.934      0.023    -2.74   0.006        0.889       0.981
 spring#1999  |      0.959      0.023    -1.76   0.078        0.914       1.005
 spring#2000  |      0.970      0.021    -1.41   0.159        0.929       1.012
 spring#2001  |      0.994      0.021    -0.26   0.793        0.953       1.037
 spring#2002  |      0.983      0.026    -0.66   0.508        0.933       1.035
 spring#2003  |      1.005      0.028     0.19   0.846        0.952       1.062
 spring#2004  |      0.998      0.030    -0.08   0.934        0.941       1.058
 spring#2005  |      1.013      0.029     0.45   0.655        0.958       1.071
 spring#2006  |      1.000      0.024    -0.01   0.991        0.953       1.049
 spring#2007  |      1.011      0.023     0.49   0.622        0.968       1.056
 spring#2008  |      0.980      0.021    -0.96   0.338        0.940       1.021
 spring#2009  |      0.994      0.026    -0.25   0.806        0.945       1.045
 spring#2010  |      1.016      0.019     0.85   0.394        0.980       1.053
 summer#1995  |      1.053      0.023     2.34   0.019        1.008       1.100
 summer#1996  |      1.040      0.025     1.64   0.102        0.992       1.091
 summer#1997  |      0.977      0.023    -0.99   0.323        0.932       1.024
 summer#1998  |      0.977      0.020    -1.13   0.256        0.940       1.017
 summer#1999  |      1.017      0.021     0.81   0.416        0.977       1.058
 summer#2000  |      0.985      0.022    -0.65   0.514        0.942       1.030
 summer#2001  |      1.043      0.025     1.75   0.081        0.995       1.093
 summer#2002  |      1.023      0.021     1.14   0.253        0.984       1.065
 summer#2003  |      1.046      0.023     2.02   0.044        1.001       1.092
 summer#2004  |      1.038      0.024     1.63   0.102        0.993       1.085
 summer#2005  |      1.024      0.022     1.13   0.258        0.983       1.067
 summer#2006  |      1.050      0.026     1.94   0.052        1.000       1.103
 summer#2007  |      1.053      0.025     2.18   0.029        1.005       1.103
 summer#2008  |      1.012      0.018     0.70   0.482        0.978       1.047
 summer#2009  |      1.069      0.021     3.39   0.001        1.028       1.111
 summer#2010  |      1.080      0.025     3.38   0.001        1.033       1.129
   fall#1995  |      0.991      0.030    -0.29   0.775        0.933       1.053
   fall#1996  |      0.989      0.026    -0.41   0.680        0.940       1.041
   fall#1997  |      0.954      0.024    -1.89   0.058        0.908       1.002
   fall#1998  |      0.931      0.026    -2.56   0.011        0.882       0.984
   fall#1999  |      0.976      0.024    -1.00   0.319        0.931       1.024
   fall#2000  |      0.934      0.029    -2.17   0.030        0.878       0.993
   fall#2001  |      0.985      0.026    -0.58   0.565        0.936       1.037
   fall#2002  |      0.967      0.026    -1.25   0.212        0.918       1.019
   fall#2003  |      0.972      0.019    -1.46   0.143        0.935       1.010
   fall#2004  |      1.019      0.031     0.62   0.533        0.961       1.081
   fall#2005  |      0.995      0.026    -0.19   0.846        0.946       1.047
   fall#2006  |      1.008      0.027     0.31   0.760        0.956       1.063
   fall#2007  |      1.022      0.030     0.75   0.453        0.965       1.082
   fall#2008  |      0.981      0.020    -0.97   0.332        0.943       1.020
   fall#2009  |      1.018      0.022     0.86   0.387        0.977       1.062
   fall#2010  |      1.005      0.033     0.14   0.886        0.942       1.072
              |
        _cons |     30.086      1.605    63.80   0.000       27.099      33.403
   logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_2: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat educa3 season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     440640

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.educa3 3.educa3
               2.season 3.season 4.season

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |            Unconditional
              |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |       0.34       0.08     4.15   0.000         0.18        0.50
              |
          sex |
     2female  |     -17.77       0.75   -23.55   0.000       -19.25      -16.29
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      -9.17       0.66   -13.80   0.000       -10.48       -7.87
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |       3.64       0.35    10.39   0.000         2.96        4.33
    45 to 64  |       4.82       0.44    10.85   0.000         3.95        5.69
        >=65  |       5.30       0.83     6.39   0.000         3.67        6.93
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |       3.79       0.93     4.09   0.000         1.97        5.61
MinsomeCol~c  |      -5.10       0.95    -5.38   0.000        -6.96       -3.25
              |
       season |
      spring  |       1.25       0.09    14.61   0.000         1.08        1.42
      summer  |       1.34       0.10    13.42   0.000         1.15        1.54
        fall  |       0.53       0.11     4.67   0.000         0.31        0.75
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

.         
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_1994__m_2, replace) 

. 
. 
. // #5
. // now add state-specific linear trends to FE model: Model 3
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.educa3 i.stabb##c.quarter ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     440640
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -389562.63                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2833

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |               Robust
         suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |      1.009      0.005     1.97   0.048        1.000       1.019
              |
          sex |
     2female  |      0.235      0.005   -73.25   0.000        0.226       0.244
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      0.516      0.026   -13.08   0.000        0.467       0.569
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |      1.335      0.031    12.46   0.000        1.275       1.397
    45 to 64  |      1.443      0.048    10.92   0.000        1.351       1.541
        >=65  |      1.486      0.084     7.04   0.000        1.331       1.659
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |      1.256      0.074     3.89   0.000        1.120       1.409
MinsomeCol~c  |      0.654      0.047    -5.94   0.000        0.569       0.753
              |
        stabb |
          AK  |      1.578      0.025    28.53   0.000        1.529       1.628
          AZ  |      2.262      0.125    14.77   0.000        2.030       2.520
          AR  |      0.968      0.008    -4.13   0.000        0.953       0.983
          CA  |      1.260      0.045     6.47   0.000        1.175       1.351
          CO  |      1.415      0.049    10.11   0.000        1.323       1.514
          CT  |      0.636      0.021   -13.80   0.000        0.597       0.678
          DE  |      1.093      0.018     5.33   0.000        1.058       1.130
          FL  |      1.327      0.031    12.19   0.000        1.268       1.389
          HI  |      1.192      0.017    12.17   0.000        1.159       1.226
          ID  |      0.892      0.058    -1.74   0.082        0.785       1.014
          IL  |      0.867      0.010   -11.84   0.000        0.847       0.888
          IN  |      0.819      0.005   -31.11   0.000        0.809       0.830
          IA  |      0.852      0.014    -9.87   0.000        0.825       0.879
          KS  |      0.726      0.011   -21.07   0.000        0.705       0.748
          LA  |      1.398      0.013    35.37   0.000        1.373       1.425
          ME  |      0.818      0.010   -15.79   0.000        0.797       0.838
          MD  |      1.088      0.033     2.77   0.006        1.025       1.155
          MA  |      0.595      0.021   -14.84   0.000        0.555       0.637
          MI  |      0.835      0.032    -4.75   0.000        0.775       0.899
          MN  |      0.643      0.016   -18.04   0.000        0.613       0.674
          MS  |      0.862      0.005   -24.41   0.000        0.852       0.872
          MO  |      1.186      0.012    16.54   0.000        1.162       1.210
          MT  |      1.359      0.053     7.86   0.000        1.259       1.467
          NE  |      1.379      0.039    11.32   0.000        1.304       1.458
          NV  |      2.955      0.179    17.86   0.000        2.623       3.328
          NH  |      0.727      0.031    -7.54   0.000        0.669       0.790
          NJ  |      0.472      0.014   -25.37   0.000        0.446       0.501
          NM  |      1.143      0.044     3.47   0.001        1.060       1.233
          NY  |      0.659      0.018   -15.53   0.000        0.625       0.694
          NC  |      0.997      0.022    -0.12   0.908        0.954       1.042
          ND  |      0.520      0.017   -20.29   0.000        0.489       0.554
          OH  |      0.538      0.005   -69.27   0.000        0.529       0.548
          OR  |      1.132      0.053     2.65   0.008        1.033       1.240
          PA  |      0.830      0.014   -11.08   0.000        0.803       0.857
          SC  |      0.880      0.015    -7.34   0.000        0.851       0.911
          TN  |      0.713      0.008   -30.81   0.000        0.697       0.728
          TX  |      1.283      0.052     6.18   0.000        1.185       1.388
          UT  |      1.240      0.061     4.37   0.000        1.126       1.365
          VT  |      0.526      0.007   -45.50   0.000        0.511       0.540
          VA  |      1.111      0.026     4.53   0.000        1.061       1.162
          WA  |      1.166      0.033     5.45   0.000        1.103       1.232
          WV  |      0.589      0.006   -52.48   0.000        0.578       0.601
          WI  |      0.708      0.018   -13.76   0.000        0.674       0.744
          WY  |      1.138      0.071     2.08   0.037        1.008       1.286
              |
      quarter |      0.993      0.002    -3.24   0.001        0.988       0.997
              |
        stabb#|
    c.quarter |
          AK  |      1.000      0.000     7.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
          AZ  |      0.997      0.000    -7.44   0.000        0.996       0.998
          AR  |      1.000      0.000     7.18   0.000        1.000       1.001
          CA  |      0.997      0.000   -10.73   0.000        0.997       0.998
          CO  |      1.000      0.000    -1.33   0.183        0.999       1.000
          CT  |      1.000      0.000     0.36   0.721        1.000       1.000
          DE  |      0.999      0.000   -10.82   0.000        0.999       0.999
          FL  |      0.999      0.000    -7.45   0.000        0.999       0.999
          HI  |      1.000      0.000     0.75   0.450        1.000       1.000
          ID  |      1.002      0.001     3.93   0.000        1.001       1.003
          IL  |      0.999      0.000   -17.78   0.000        0.999       0.999
          IN  |      1.000      0.000     8.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
          IA  |      1.000      0.000    -3.48   0.001        1.000       1.000
          KS  |      1.002      0.000    22.59   0.000        1.002       1.002
          LA  |      0.998      0.000   -30.37   0.000        0.998       0.998
          ME  |      1.000      0.000     5.12   0.000        1.000       1.001
          MD  |      0.998      0.000    -9.51   0.000        0.998       0.999
          MA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.67   0.504        0.999       1.000
          MI  |      1.000      0.000     0.54   0.587        1.000       1.000
          MN  |      1.001      0.000     7.84   0.000        1.001       1.002
          MS  |      1.001      0.000    25.18   0.000        1.001       1.001
          MO  |      0.999      0.000   -22.56   0.000        0.999       0.999
          MT  |      1.000      0.000     1.65   0.099        1.000       1.001
          NE  |      0.997      0.000   -17.13   0.000        0.997       0.997
          NV  |      0.996      0.001    -7.00   0.000        0.995       0.997
          NH  |      1.001      0.000     3.61   0.000        1.001       1.002
          NJ  |      1.001      0.000     4.20   0.000        1.000       1.001
          NM  |      1.001      0.000     5.04   0.000        1.001       1.002
          NY  |      0.999      0.000    -7.37   0.000        0.999       0.999
          NC  |      1.000      0.000     0.26   0.794        1.000       1.000
          ND  |      1.003      0.000    17.43   0.000        1.003       1.004
          OH  |      1.002      0.000    66.02   0.000        1.002       1.002
          OR  |      1.000      0.000     1.04   0.300        1.000       1.001
          PA  |      1.000      0.000    -1.43   0.153        1.000       1.000
          SC  |      1.001      0.000     4.96   0.000        1.000       1.001
          TN  |      1.002      0.000    27.14   0.000        1.002       1.002
          TX  |      0.998      0.000    -7.78   0.000        0.997       0.998
          UT  |      1.000      0.000     0.38   0.700        0.999       1.001
          VT  |      1.003      0.000    37.17   0.000        1.003       1.003
          VA  |      0.999      0.000    -5.06   0.000        0.999       1.000
          WA  |      0.999      0.000    -3.35   0.001        0.999       1.000
          WV  |      1.002      0.000    49.82   0.000        1.002       1.002
          WI  |      1.001      0.000     6.87   0.000        1.001       1.002
          WY  |      1.001      0.000     3.30   0.001        1.001       1.002
              |
       season |
      spring  |      1.099      0.023     4.50   0.000        1.055       1.145
      summer  |      1.072      0.014     5.37   0.000        1.045       1.100
        fall  |      1.065      0.019     3.62   0.000        1.029       1.102
              |
         year |
        1995  |      1.020      0.018     1.15   0.251        0.986       1.055
        1996  |      1.046      0.023     2.03   0.042        1.002       1.093
        1997  |      1.092      0.028     3.41   0.001        1.038       1.148
        1998  |      1.145      0.038     4.02   0.000        1.072       1.223
        1999  |      1.096      0.048     2.12   0.034        1.007       1.194
        2000  |      1.156      0.057     2.92   0.003        1.049       1.274
        2001  |      1.189      0.073     2.81   0.005        1.054       1.342
        2002  |      1.285      0.090     3.60   0.000        1.121       1.473
        2003  |      1.277      0.103     3.03   0.002        1.090       1.495
        2004  |      1.330      0.110     3.44   0.001        1.131       1.565
        2005  |      1.377      0.130     3.38   0.001        1.144       1.658
        2006  |      1.432      0.148     3.47   0.001        1.169       1.754
        2007  |      1.511      0.164     3.80   0.000        1.221       1.869
        2008  |      1.649      0.188     4.40   0.000        1.320       2.061
        2009  |      1.671      0.223     3.85   0.000        1.287       2.171
        2010  |      1.779      0.252     4.07   0.000        1.348       2.349
              |
  season#year |
 spring#1995  |      1.027      0.027     1.00   0.319        0.975       1.082
 spring#1996  |      1.005      0.030     0.17   0.862        0.947       1.067
 spring#1997  |      0.972      0.031    -0.89   0.376        0.914       1.035
 spring#1998  |      0.934      0.023    -2.74   0.006        0.889       0.981
 spring#1999  |      0.959      0.023    -1.75   0.080        0.915       1.005
 spring#2000  |      0.969      0.021    -1.44   0.150        0.928       1.011
 spring#2001  |      0.993      0.022    -0.33   0.741        0.951       1.036
 spring#2002  |      0.982      0.026    -0.68   0.494        0.932       1.034
 spring#2003  |      1.006      0.028     0.20   0.840        0.952       1.062
 spring#2004  |      0.997      0.030    -0.09   0.929        0.940       1.058
 spring#2005  |      1.013      0.029     0.44   0.660        0.957       1.071
 spring#2006  |      0.999      0.024    -0.02   0.981        0.953       1.049
 spring#2007  |      1.010      0.023     0.45   0.654        0.967       1.055
 spring#2008  |      0.977      0.021    -1.08   0.279        0.937       1.019
 spring#2009  |      0.994      0.026    -0.23   0.816        0.945       1.045
 spring#2010  |      1.015      0.019     0.81   0.416        0.979       1.053
 summer#1995  |      1.054      0.023     2.38   0.017        1.009       1.101
 summer#1996  |      1.041      0.025     1.65   0.098        0.993       1.091
 summer#1997  |      0.977      0.023    -0.99   0.322        0.932       1.024
 summer#1998  |      0.978      0.020    -1.13   0.258        0.940       1.017
 summer#1999  |      1.017      0.021     0.84   0.402        0.978       1.058
 summer#2000  |      0.985      0.022    -0.65   0.515        0.942       1.030
 summer#2001  |      1.044      0.025     1.83   0.068        0.997       1.094
 summer#2002  |      1.024      0.021     1.19   0.232        0.985       1.066
 summer#2003  |      1.048      0.023     2.12   0.034        1.004       1.094
 summer#2004  |      1.038      0.024     1.64   0.101        0.993       1.085
 summer#2005  |      1.024      0.022     1.14   0.254        0.983       1.067
 summer#2006  |      1.050      0.026     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.103
 summer#2007  |      1.053      0.025     2.20   0.028        1.006       1.103
 summer#2008  |      1.013      0.018     0.77   0.442        0.980       1.048
 summer#2009  |      1.075      0.022     3.61   0.000        1.034       1.118
 summer#2010  |      1.080      0.025     3.39   0.001        1.033       1.129
   fall#1995  |      0.993      0.030    -0.24   0.809        0.935       1.054
   fall#1996  |      0.990      0.026    -0.39   0.697        0.941       1.042
   fall#1997  |      0.954      0.024    -1.89   0.058        0.908       1.002
   fall#1998  |      0.932      0.026    -2.53   0.011        0.882       0.984
   fall#1999  |      0.977      0.024    -0.97   0.330        0.931       1.024
   fall#2000  |      0.935      0.030    -2.12   0.034        0.879       0.995
   fall#2001  |      0.990      0.025    -0.40   0.690        0.942       1.040
   fall#2002  |      0.970      0.026    -1.13   0.258        0.921       1.022
   fall#2003  |      0.974      0.019    -1.33   0.182        0.938       1.012
   fall#2004  |      1.020      0.031     0.64   0.519        0.961       1.082
   fall#2005  |      0.996      0.026    -0.17   0.869        0.946       1.048
   fall#2006  |      1.009      0.027     0.33   0.738        0.957       1.064
   fall#2007  |      1.024      0.030     0.83   0.409        0.968       1.084
   fall#2008  |      0.987      0.019    -0.67   0.504        0.949       1.026
   fall#2009  |      1.028      0.022     1.27   0.206        0.985       1.072
   fall#2010  |      1.007      0.033     0.20   0.844        0.943       1.074
              |
        _cons |     70.045     21.041    14.15   0.000       38.876     126.204
   logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_3: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat educa3 season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     440640

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.educa3 3.educa3
               2.season 3.season 4.season

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |            Unconditional
              |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |       0.13       0.07     1.95   0.051        -0.00        0.27
              |
          sex |
     2female  |     -17.76       0.76   -23.50   0.000       -19.24      -16.28
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      -9.17       0.67   -13.77   0.000       -10.47       -7.86
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |       3.65       0.35    10.37   0.000         2.96        4.34
    45 to 64  |       4.82       0.44    10.86   0.000         3.95        5.69
        >=65  |       5.29       0.83     6.40   0.000         3.67        6.92
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |       3.78       0.92     4.09   0.000         1.97        5.59
MinsomeCol~c  |      -5.11       0.95    -5.39   0.000        -6.97       -3.25
              |
       season |
      spring  |       1.21       0.09    14.24   0.000         1.05        1.38
      summer  |       1.41       0.11    12.78   0.000         1.20        1.63
        fall  |       0.70       0.11     6.27   0.000         0.48        0.92
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_1994__m_3, replace)      

.         
. 
. // #6
. // now add state-specific quadratic time trends to basic FE model: Model 4
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.educa3 i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter), offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state)
>  ///
>         nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     440640
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -389439.04                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2835

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |               Robust
         suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |      1.030      0.006     5.34   0.000        1.019       1.041
              |
          sex |
     2female  |      0.235      0.005   -73.20   0.000        0.226       0.244
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      0.516      0.026   -13.06   0.000        0.467       0.569
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |      1.335      0.031    12.47   0.000        1.276       1.397
    45 to 64  |      1.443      0.048    10.92   0.000        1.351       1.541
        >=65  |      1.486      0.083     7.05   0.000        1.331       1.659
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |      1.256      0.074     3.89   0.000        1.120       1.409
MinsomeCol~c  |      0.654      0.047    -5.94   0.000        0.569       0.753
              |
       season |
      spring  |      1.097      0.023     4.40   0.000        1.053       1.143
      summer  |      1.077      0.015     5.48   0.000        1.049       1.106
        fall  |      1.076      0.021     3.81   0.000        1.036       1.117
              |
         year |
        1995  |      1.043      0.026     1.67   0.095        0.993       1.095
        1996  |      1.088      0.035     2.63   0.009        1.022       1.159
        1997  |      1.156      0.062     2.71   0.007        1.041       1.284
        1998  |      1.234      0.080     3.22   0.001        1.086       1.402
        1999  |      1.198      0.089     2.45   0.014        1.037       1.385
        2000  |      1.278      0.107     2.94   0.003        1.085       1.504
        2001  |      1.316      0.122     2.96   0.003        1.097       1.578
        2002  |      1.413      0.148     3.30   0.001        1.151       1.735
        2003  |      1.400      0.160     2.94   0.003        1.119       1.751
        2004  |      1.458      0.168     3.27   0.001        1.163       1.828
        2005  |      1.512      0.184     3.40   0.001        1.191       1.919
        2006  |      1.572      0.198     3.59   0.000        1.228       2.014
        2007  |      1.652      0.211     3.93   0.000        1.286       2.123
        2008  |      1.776      0.228     4.46   0.000        1.380       2.285
        2009  |      1.742      0.248     3.89   0.000        1.317       2.303
        2010  |      1.810      0.265     4.06   0.000        1.359       2.410
              |
  season#year |
 spring#1995  |      1.027      0.027     1.01   0.311        0.975       1.083
 spring#1996  |      1.006      0.030     0.18   0.856        0.948       1.067
 spring#1997  |      0.973      0.031    -0.87   0.382        0.914       1.035
 spring#1998  |      0.935      0.023    -2.71   0.007        0.890       0.981
 spring#1999  |      0.959      0.023    -1.73   0.084        0.915       1.006
 spring#2000  |      0.971      0.021    -1.33   0.182        0.930       1.014
 spring#2001  |      0.996      0.022    -0.18   0.854        0.954       1.040
 spring#2002  |      0.984      0.026    -0.60   0.548        0.934       1.037
 spring#2003  |      1.007      0.028     0.23   0.816        0.953       1.064
 spring#2004  |      0.999      0.030    -0.03   0.976        0.942       1.060
 spring#2005  |      1.015      0.029     0.50   0.615        0.959       1.073
 spring#2006  |      1.002      0.025     0.07   0.947        0.954       1.052
 spring#2007  |      1.013      0.023     0.59   0.556        0.969       1.059
 spring#2008  |      0.983      0.021    -0.79   0.430        0.943       1.025
 spring#2009  |      0.996      0.026    -0.17   0.868        0.946       1.048
 spring#2010  |      1.019      0.019     1.00   0.318        0.982       1.056
 summer#1995  |      1.052      0.023     2.31   0.021        1.008       1.099
 summer#1996  |      1.039      0.025     1.60   0.110        0.991       1.089
 summer#1997  |      0.975      0.023    -1.04   0.299        0.930       1.022
 summer#1998  |      0.976      0.020    -1.20   0.232        0.938       1.016
 summer#1999  |      1.014      0.021     0.70   0.483        0.975       1.056
 summer#2000  |      0.983      0.023    -0.75   0.455        0.940       1.028
 summer#2001  |      1.039      0.025     1.62   0.106        0.992       1.089
 summer#2002  |      1.020      0.021     0.95   0.343        0.979       1.062
 summer#2003  |      1.041      0.024     1.79   0.074        0.996       1.088
 summer#2004  |      1.034      0.024     1.46   0.145        0.989       1.082
 summer#2005  |      1.020      0.022     0.92   0.357        0.978       1.064
 summer#2006  |      1.045      0.026     1.78   0.075        0.995       1.098
 summer#2007  |      1.048      0.025     1.99   0.046        1.001       1.097
 summer#2008  |      1.007      0.019     0.37   0.710        0.971       1.044
 summer#2009  |      1.061      0.021     2.93   0.003        1.020       1.104
 summer#2010  |      1.074      0.026     2.99   0.003        1.025       1.125
   fall#1995  |      0.990      0.030    -0.34   0.736        0.932       1.051
   fall#1996  |      0.987      0.025    -0.50   0.615        0.939       1.038
   fall#1997  |      0.951      0.024    -1.97   0.049        0.904       1.000
   fall#1998  |      0.928      0.026    -2.66   0.008        0.878       0.980
   fall#1999  |      0.971      0.024    -1.17   0.243        0.925       1.020
   fall#2000  |      0.928      0.030    -2.29   0.022        0.871       0.989
   fall#2001  |      0.977      0.025    -0.92   0.355        0.929       1.027
   fall#2002  |      0.959      0.026    -1.53   0.126        0.910       1.012
   fall#2003  |      0.963      0.020    -1.82   0.068        0.924       1.003
   fall#2004  |      1.010      0.033     0.31   0.758        0.948       1.076
   fall#2005  |      0.985      0.027    -0.53   0.593        0.934       1.040
   fall#2006  |      0.998      0.029    -0.08   0.940        0.943       1.056
   fall#2007  |      1.010      0.033     0.31   0.756        0.948       1.076
   fall#2008  |      0.967      0.024    -1.39   0.164        0.922       1.014
   fall#2009  |      1.002      0.024     0.09   0.932        0.957       1.049
   fall#2010  |      0.991      0.036    -0.25   0.802        0.922       1.065
              |
        stabb |
          AK  |      1.136      0.219     0.66   0.508        0.779       1.658
          AZ  |      0.222      0.078    -4.29   0.000        0.112       0.441
          AR  |      0.189      0.002  -130.00   0.000        0.184       0.194
          CA  |      6.479      0.808    14.98   0.000        5.074       8.275
          CO  |      0.116      0.030    -8.21   0.000        0.070       0.194
          CT  |      0.603      0.049    -6.25   0.000        0.514       0.706
          DE  |      0.041      0.009   -14.25   0.000        0.026       0.064
          FL  |      0.195      0.044    -7.23   0.000        0.126       0.304
          HI  |    113.942     14.103    38.26   0.000       89.398     145.226
          ID  |      0.754      0.241    -0.88   0.378        0.403       1.411
          IL  |      0.132      0.016   -17.12   0.000        0.104       0.166
          IN  |      0.243      0.019   -18.06   0.000        0.208       0.283
          IA  |      0.357      0.015   -24.32   0.000        0.328       0.388
          KS  |      0.022      0.002   -38.30   0.000        0.018       0.027
          LA  |      1.359      0.073     5.68   0.000        1.222       1.511
          ME  |      0.135      0.039    -6.99   0.000        0.077       0.236
          MD  |      0.211      0.037    -8.81   0.000        0.149       0.298
          MA  |     13.983      2.012    18.34   0.000       10.547      18.538
          MI  |      0.102      0.039    -6.00   0.000        0.049       0.216
          MN  |      0.422      0.044    -8.30   0.000        0.344       0.517
          MS  |      0.199      0.007   -48.73   0.000        0.187       0.213
          MO  |      0.336      0.042    -8.69   0.000        0.263       0.430
          MT  |      1.118      0.041     3.02   0.003        1.040       1.201
          NE  |      0.041      0.003   -37.88   0.000        0.034       0.048
          NV  |      0.020      0.013    -5.94   0.000        0.005       0.072
          NH  |      0.118      0.026    -9.72   0.000        0.076       0.181
          NJ  |      0.063      0.008   -22.65   0.000        0.050       0.080
          NM  |      0.090      0.005   -44.61   0.000        0.081       0.100
          NY  |     11.945      0.725    40.88   0.000       10.606      13.454
          NC  |      0.045      0.005   -26.08   0.000        0.036       0.057
          ND  |      6.619      1.322     9.47   0.000        4.476       9.790
          OH  |      0.005      0.001   -32.73   0.000        0.004       0.007
          OR  |      0.059      0.014   -11.96   0.000        0.037       0.093
          PA  |      0.262      0.009   -40.71   0.000        0.246       0.279
          SC  |      1.688      0.239     3.70   0.000        1.279       2.227
          TN  |      0.075      0.003   -71.91   0.000        0.070       0.081
          TX  |      1.454      0.070     7.82   0.000        1.324       1.597
          UT  |      0.232      0.022   -15.76   0.000        0.193       0.278
          VT  |      0.007      0.001   -38.04   0.000        0.005       0.009
          VA  |      0.482      0.022   -15.79   0.000        0.441       0.528
          WA  |      0.319      0.024   -14.93   0.000        0.274       0.370
          WV  |      0.016      0.001  -121.50   0.000        0.015       0.017
          WI  |      0.372      0.036   -10.36   0.000        0.308       0.448
          WY  |      8.875      1.616    11.99   0.000        6.211      12.681
              |
      quarter |      0.964      0.018    -1.96   0.050        0.929       1.000
              |
    c.quarter#|
    c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     1.67   0.096        1.000       1.000
              |
        stabb#|
    c.quarter |
          AK  |      1.004      0.002     1.49   0.136        0.999       1.009
          AZ  |      1.024      0.004     6.08   0.000        1.016       1.032
          AR  |      1.020      0.000   119.78   0.000        1.020       1.020
          CA  |      0.977      0.001   -18.03   0.000        0.975       0.980
          CO  |      1.029      0.003     9.86   0.000        1.024       1.035
          CT  |      1.000      0.001     0.11   0.911        0.999       1.002
          DE  |      1.038      0.003    14.63   0.000        1.033       1.044
          FL  |      1.022      0.003     8.37   0.000        1.016       1.027
          HI  |      0.947      0.002   -33.13   0.000        0.944       0.950
          ID  |      1.003      0.003     0.84   0.402        0.996       1.010
          IL  |      1.021      0.001    15.52   0.000        1.019       1.024
          IN  |      1.015      0.001    15.99   0.000        1.013       1.017
          IA  |      1.010      0.001    19.68   0.000        1.009       1.011
          KS  |      1.044      0.001    39.78   0.000        1.042       1.046
          LA  |      0.998      0.001    -2.88   0.004        0.997       0.999
          ME  |      1.022      0.003     6.50   0.000        1.015       1.029
          MD  |      1.017      0.002     9.06   0.000        1.014       1.021
          MA  |      0.962      0.001   -25.38   0.000        0.959       0.965
          MI  |      1.027      0.005     5.46   0.000        1.017       1.036
          MN  |      1.006      0.001     5.38   0.000        1.004       1.008
          MS  |      1.019      0.000    47.30   0.000        1.018       1.020
          MO  |      1.014      0.002     9.44   0.000        1.011       1.017
          MT  |      1.002      0.000     4.63   0.000        1.001       1.003
          NE  |      1.039      0.001    46.04   0.000        1.038       1.041
          NV  |      1.057      0.008     7.28   0.000        1.041       1.073
          NH  |      1.022      0.002     9.19   0.000        1.018       1.027
          NJ  |      1.025      0.001    19.31   0.000        1.022       1.027
          NM  |      1.031      0.000    67.72   0.000        1.031       1.032
          NY  |      0.964      0.001   -47.21   0.000        0.963       0.966
          NC  |      1.037      0.001    27.65   0.000        1.034       1.040
          ND  |      0.973      0.002   -10.66   0.000        0.968       0.978
          OH  |      1.059      0.002    29.82   0.000        1.055       1.063
          OR  |      1.036      0.003    13.42   0.000        1.030       1.041
          PA  |      1.013      0.000    45.91   0.000        1.013       1.014
          SC  |      0.993      0.002    -4.62   0.000        0.990       0.996
          TN  |      1.029      0.000    65.37   0.000        1.028       1.030
          TX  |      0.995      0.001    -7.87   0.000        0.994       0.997
          UT  |      1.020      0.001    22.81   0.000        1.018       1.021
          VT  |      1.056      0.002    36.70   0.000        1.053       1.060
          VA  |      1.009      0.000    19.74   0.000        1.008       1.010
          WA  |      1.015      0.001    19.62   0.000        1.013       1.016
          WV  |      1.046      0.000   117.41   0.000        1.045       1.047
          WI  |      1.009      0.001     8.45   0.000        1.007       1.011
          WY  |      0.976      0.003    -9.51   0.000        0.971       0.981
              |
        stabb#|
    c.quarter#|
    c.quarter |
          AK  |      1.000      0.000    -1.31   0.189        1.000       1.000
          AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -7.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
          AR  |      1.000      0.000   -88.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
          CA  |      1.000      0.000    21.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
          CO  |      1.000      0.000   -10.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
          CT  |      1.000      0.000     1.57   0.117        1.000       1.000
          DE  |      1.000      0.000   -15.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
          FL  |      1.000      0.000    -9.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
          HI  |      1.000      0.000    33.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
          ID  |      1.000      0.000     0.38   0.701        1.000       1.000
          IL  |      1.000      0.000   -17.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
          IN  |      1.000      0.000   -16.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
          IA  |      1.000      0.000   -18.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
          KS  |      1.000      0.000   -41.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
          LA  |      1.000      0.000    -1.38   0.169        1.000       1.000
          ME  |      1.000      0.000    -6.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MD  |      1.000      0.000   -10.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MA  |      1.000      0.000    31.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MI  |      1.000      0.000    -5.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MN  |      1.000      0.000    -4.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MS  |      1.000      0.000   -39.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MO  |      1.000      0.000   -10.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.83   0.409        1.000       1.000
          NE  |      1.000      0.000   -64.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NV  |      1.000      0.000    -8.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NH  |      1.000      0.000    -9.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -21.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NM  |      1.000      0.000  -101.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NY  |      1.000      0.000    41.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NC  |      1.000      0.000   -30.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
          ND  |      1.000      0.000    11.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
          OH  |      1.000      0.000   -28.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
          OR  |      1.000      0.000   -15.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
          PA  |      1.000      0.000   -60.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
          SC  |      1.000      0.000     6.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
          TN  |      1.000      0.000   -67.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
          TX  |      1.000      0.000     5.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
          UT  |      1.000      0.000   -42.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
          VT  |      1.000      0.000   -36.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
          VA  |      1.000      0.000   -26.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
          WA  |      1.000      0.000   -25.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
          WV  |      1.000      0.000  -121.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
          WI  |      1.000      0.000    -7.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
          WY  |      1.000      0.000     9.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
              |
        _cons |    983.139   1551.200     4.37   0.000       44.626   21659.234
   logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_4: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat educa3 season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     440640

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.educa3 3.educa3
               2.season 3.season 4.season

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |            Unconditional
              |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |       0.43       0.08     5.45   0.000         0.27        0.58
              |
          sex |
     2female  |     -17.76       0.76   -23.50   0.000       -19.24      -16.28
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      -9.16       0.67   -13.75   0.000       -10.47       -7.86
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |       3.65       0.35    10.38   0.000         2.96        4.34
    45 to 64  |       4.82       0.44    10.86   0.000         3.95        5.69
        >=65  |       5.30       0.83     6.41   0.000         3.67        6.92
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |       3.78       0.92     4.09   0.000         1.97        5.59
MinsomeCol~c  |      -5.11       0.95    -5.39   0.000        -6.97       -3.25
              |
       season |
      spring  |       1.21       0.09    14.26   0.000         1.05        1.38
      summer  |       1.41       0.11    12.79   0.000         1.20        1.63
        fall  |       0.70       0.11     6.28   0.000         0.48        0.92
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_1994__m_4, replace) 

. 
.         
. // #7   
. // include state-specific cubic trends: Model 5
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.educa3 i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter##c.quarter), offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     440640
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -389395.1                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2836

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |               Robust
         suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |      1.038      0.010     3.99   0.000        1.019       1.058
              |
          sex |
     2female  |      0.235      0.005   -73.19   0.000        0.226       0.244
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      0.516      0.026   -13.06   0.000        0.467       0.569
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |      1.335      0.031    12.47   0.000        1.276       1.397
    45 to 64  |      1.443      0.048    10.92   0.000        1.351       1.541
        >=65  |      1.486      0.083     7.05   0.000        1.331       1.659
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |      1.256      0.074     3.89   0.000        1.120       1.409
MinsomeCol~c  |      0.654      0.047    -5.94   0.000        0.569       0.753
              |
       season |
      spring  |      1.098      0.023     4.41   0.000        1.053       1.145
      summer  |      1.075      0.015     5.32   0.000        1.046       1.103
        fall  |      1.071      0.020     3.67   0.000        1.032       1.110
              |
         year |
        1995  |      1.031      0.026     1.22   0.224        0.981       1.084
        1996  |      1.069      0.036     1.98   0.048        1.001       1.142
        1997  |      1.133      0.060     2.37   0.018        1.022       1.257
        1998  |      1.211      0.079     2.92   0.003        1.065       1.377
        1999  |      1.181      0.087     2.27   0.023        1.023       1.364
        2000  |      1.268      0.106     2.85   0.004        1.077       1.492
        2001  |      1.312      0.121     2.93   0.003        1.094       1.573
        2002  |      1.414      0.148     3.31   0.001        1.152       1.735
        2003  |      1.409      0.161     2.99   0.003        1.125       1.763
        2004  |      1.479      0.174     3.32   0.001        1.174       1.862
        2005  |      1.546      0.195     3.45   0.001        1.207       1.980
        2006  |      1.620      0.212     3.68   0.000        1.253       2.094
        2007  |      1.711      0.228     4.03   0.000        1.317       2.221
        2008  |      1.836      0.245     4.56   0.000        1.414       2.384
        2009  |      1.782      0.257     4.01   0.000        1.344       2.365
        2010  |      1.835      0.269     4.14   0.000        1.377       2.445
              |
  season#year |
 spring#1995  |      1.027      0.027     1.00   0.316        0.975       1.082
 spring#1996  |      1.005      0.030     0.16   0.874        0.947       1.066
 spring#1997  |      0.972      0.031    -0.90   0.369        0.913       1.034
 spring#1998  |      0.934      0.023    -2.74   0.006        0.889       0.981
 spring#1999  |      0.958      0.023    -1.77   0.076        0.914       1.005
 spring#2000  |      0.970      0.022    -1.37   0.172        0.929       1.013
 spring#2001  |      0.995      0.022    -0.21   0.832        0.953       1.040
 spring#2002  |      0.983      0.026    -0.64   0.522        0.932       1.036
 spring#2003  |      1.005      0.028     0.17   0.863        0.951       1.061
 spring#2004  |      0.998      0.030    -0.08   0.939        0.940       1.059
 spring#2005  |      1.013      0.029     0.45   0.649        0.957       1.072
 spring#2006  |      1.001      0.025     0.02   0.981        0.953       1.051
 spring#2007  |      1.013      0.023     0.56   0.573        0.969       1.059
 spring#2008  |      0.984      0.021    -0.74   0.459        0.943       1.027
 spring#2009  |      0.995      0.026    -0.20   0.845        0.946       1.047
 spring#2010  |      1.019      0.019     1.01   0.311        0.983       1.056
 summer#1995  |      1.053      0.023     2.33   0.020        1.008       1.099
 summer#1996  |      1.041      0.025     1.65   0.099        0.993       1.091
 summer#1997  |      0.977      0.023    -0.96   0.335        0.933       1.024
 summer#1998  |      0.979      0.019    -1.09   0.274        0.941       1.017
 summer#1999  |      1.017      0.021     0.84   0.398        0.977       1.059
 summer#2000  |      0.987      0.022    -0.59   0.552        0.944       1.031
 summer#2001  |      1.042      0.025     1.72   0.085        0.994       1.093
 summer#2002  |      1.023      0.021     1.12   0.261        0.983       1.066
 summer#2003  |      1.044      0.024     1.86   0.063        0.998       1.093
 summer#2004  |      1.038      0.024     1.63   0.103        0.993       1.086
 summer#2005  |      1.024      0.021     1.13   0.258        0.983       1.067
 summer#2006  |      1.049      0.026     1.92   0.055        0.999       1.102
 summer#2007  |      1.051      0.025     2.12   0.034        1.004       1.101
 summer#2008  |      1.009      0.019     0.50   0.619        0.973       1.047
 summer#2009  |      1.060      0.021     2.92   0.004        1.019       1.103
 summer#2010  |      1.076      0.025     3.08   0.002        1.027       1.126
   fall#1995  |      0.991      0.030    -0.30   0.762        0.934       1.051
   fall#1996  |      0.991      0.025    -0.38   0.706        0.943       1.040
   fall#1997  |      0.956      0.022    -1.92   0.055        0.913       1.001
   fall#1998  |      0.934      0.026    -2.42   0.015        0.883       0.987
   fall#1999  |      0.979      0.024    -0.90   0.367        0.933       1.026
   fall#2000  |      0.936      0.030    -2.06   0.040        0.878       0.997
   fall#2001  |      0.983      0.026    -0.65   0.514        0.933       1.035
   fall#2002  |      0.967      0.026    -1.24   0.214        0.917       1.020
   fall#2003  |      0.970      0.021    -1.36   0.173        0.929       1.013
   fall#2004  |      1.019      0.033     0.59   0.557        0.957       1.085
   fall#2005  |      0.994      0.026    -0.24   0.808        0.945       1.045
   fall#2006  |      1.006      0.029     0.19   0.845        0.951       1.063
   fall#2007  |      1.016      0.032     0.52   0.604        0.956       1.081
   fall#2008  |      0.969      0.024    -1.28   0.199        0.924       1.017
   fall#2009  |      1.002      0.024     0.08   0.938        0.956       1.050
   fall#2010  |      0.993      0.036    -0.19   0.849        0.924       1.067
              |
        stabb |
          AK  |   2.39e+10   2.01e+10    28.50   0.000     4.62e+09    1.24e+11
          AZ  |   2.63e+10   4.84e+10    13.03   0.000     7.12e+08    9.69e+11
          AR  |   2106.833    904.591    17.82   0.000      908.150    4887.677
          CA  |   4.89e+08   1.24e+08    79.08   0.000     2.98e+08    8.03e+08
          CO  |   3.19e+09   5.77e+09    12.08   0.000     9.17e+07    1.11e+11
          CT  |     11.921      8.068     3.66   0.000        3.164      44.917
          DE  |      8.957      1.724    11.39   0.000        6.142      13.062
          FL  |   1.09e+05   1.81e+05     6.96   0.000     4153.314    2.84e+06
          HI  |      0.000      0.000   -26.57   0.000        0.000       0.000
          ID  |   3.44e+15   1.22e+16    10.06   0.000     3.23e+12    3.66e+18
          IL  |    120.018    142.871     4.02   0.000       11.640    1237.458
          IN  |   2.15e+05   1.01e+05    26.03   0.000    85286.242    5.42e+05
          IA  |   3498.971   4408.032     6.48   0.000      296.203   41332.433
          KS  |   1.68e+05   3.13e+05     6.47   0.000     4403.744    6.42e+06
          LA  |   1.19e+05   2.08e+05     6.70   0.000     3903.095    3.64e+06
          ME  |     37.016      8.289    16.13   0.000       23.866      57.412
          MD  |  83354.274  68823.075    13.72   0.000    16524.061    4.20e+05
          MA  |      5.333     10.837     0.82   0.410        0.099     286.119
          MI  |    199.299    468.349     2.25   0.024        1.992   19944.213
          MN  |   2.34e+15   2.10e+15    39.35   0.000     4.01e+14    1.36e+16
          MS  |  24125.883  19961.228    12.20   0.000     4766.698    1.22e+05
          MO  |      2.407      2.840     0.74   0.456        0.238      24.301
          MT  |   4.14e+10   6.55e+10    15.46   0.000     1.86e+09    9.19e+11
          NE  |      0.017      0.016    -4.30   0.000        0.003       0.108
          NV  |   2.70e+06   1.49e+07     2.69   0.007       54.933    1.32e+11
          NH  |      0.000      0.000   -11.71   0.000        0.000       0.000
          NJ  |      0.000      0.000   -71.50   0.000        0.000       0.000
          NM  |   3.26e+10   5.41e+10    14.62   0.000     1.27e+09    8.39e+11
          NY  |     13.483     13.209     2.66   0.008        1.977      91.971
          NC  |   2.32e+05   1.48e+05    19.34   0.000    66210.164    8.10e+05
          ND  |   2.57e+09   5.18e+09    10.74   0.000     4.92e+07    1.34e+11
          OH  |   1.12e+07   6.05e+06    30.13   0.000     3.91e+06    3.23e+07
          OR  |    696.055    283.220    16.09   0.000      313.541    1545.226
          PA  |      0.150      0.064    -4.43   0.000        0.065       0.347
          SC  |   1.04e+07   3.71e+06    45.37   0.000     5.18e+06    2.09e+07
          TN  |   1.60e+09   4.42e+08    76.59   0.000     9.29e+08    2.75e+09
          TX  |    331.471    524.608     3.67   0.000       14.903    7372.501
          UT  |      6.450      1.418     8.48   0.000        4.193       9.924
          VT  |      0.000      0.000   -36.51   0.000        0.000       0.000
          VA  |   1.21e+05  45477.571    31.01   0.000    57526.409    2.52e+05
          WA  |  27462.124  22306.530    12.58   0.000     5588.981    1.35e+05
          WV  |   3.16e+15   1.71e+15    66.11   0.000     1.10e+15    9.11e+15
          WI  |   5309.823   2015.306    22.60   0.000     2523.553   11172.428
          WY  |   1.04e+10   1.46e+10    16.47   0.000     6.70e+08    1.62e+11
              |
      quarter |      1.354      0.192     2.14   0.033        1.025       1.787
              |
    c.quarter#|
    c.quarter |      0.998      0.001    -2.25   0.025        0.996       1.000
              |
    c.quarter#|
    c.quarter#|
    c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     2.31   0.021        1.000       1.000
              |
        stabb#|
    c.quarter |
          AK  |      0.656      0.009   -30.28   0.000        0.638       0.674
          AZ  |      0.646      0.024   -11.95   0.000        0.602       0.694
          AR  |      0.863      0.007   -19.19   0.000        0.850       0.876
          CA  |      0.705      0.004   -67.24   0.000        0.698       0.712
          CO  |      0.668      0.020   -13.54   0.000        0.630       0.708
          CT  |      0.947      0.011    -4.85   0.000        0.927       0.968
          DE  |      0.941      0.005   -12.27   0.000        0.932       0.950
          FL  |      0.804      0.026    -6.78   0.000        0.755       0.857
          HI  |      2.965      0.115    28.03   0.000        2.748       3.200
          ID  |      0.524      0.035    -9.60   0.000        0.459       0.598
          IL  |      0.903      0.018    -5.04   0.000        0.868       0.940
          IN  |      0.793      0.006   -29.98   0.000        0.781       0.805
          IA  |      0.856      0.019    -6.85   0.000        0.819       0.895
          KS  |      0.785      0.025    -7.48   0.000        0.737       0.837
          LA  |      0.814      0.026    -6.42   0.000        0.765       0.867
          ME  |      0.922      0.006   -13.34   0.000        0.911       0.933
          MD  |      0.806      0.013   -12.91   0.000        0.780       0.833
          MA  |      0.978      0.034    -0.63   0.530        0.914       1.048
          MI  |      0.894      0.035    -2.88   0.004        0.828       0.965
          MN  |      0.524      0.008   -42.98   0.000        0.509       0.540
          MS  |      0.826      0.012   -12.64   0.000        0.802       0.851
          MO  |      0.978      0.020    -1.09   0.274        0.940       1.018
          MT  |      0.647      0.019   -15.13   0.000        0.612       0.685
          NE  |      1.056      0.017     3.37   0.001        1.023       1.090
          NV  |      0.751      0.079    -2.71   0.007        0.610       0.924
          NH  |      1.166      0.014    12.56   0.000        1.138       1.194
          NJ  |      1.194      0.004    50.83   0.000        1.186       1.202
          NM  |      0.639      0.020   -14.66   0.000        0.602       0.679
          NY  |      0.963      0.017    -2.18   0.029        0.930       0.996
          NC  |      0.786      0.008   -23.23   0.000        0.770       0.802
          ND  |      0.683      0.026   -10.05   0.000        0.634       0.736
          OH  |      0.719      0.006   -40.36   0.000        0.708       0.731
          OR  |      0.873      0.006   -20.35   0.000        0.862       0.885
          PA  |      1.024      0.007     3.19   0.001        1.009       1.038
          SC  |      0.749      0.005   -46.39   0.000        0.740       0.758
          TN  |      0.672      0.003   -82.38   0.000        0.665       0.678
          TX  |      0.903      0.025    -3.66   0.000        0.855       0.954
          UT  |      0.959      0.004   -10.58   0.000        0.952       0.967
          VT  |      1.629      0.021    37.06   0.000        1.588       1.672
          VA  |      0.806      0.006   -30.74   0.000        0.796       0.818
          WA  |      0.827      0.011   -13.86   0.000        0.805       0.849
          WV  |      0.512      0.005   -71.17   0.000        0.502       0.521
          WI  |      0.849      0.006   -21.67   0.000        0.836       0.862
          WY  |      0.671      0.016   -16.55   0.000        0.640       0.704
              |
        stabb#|
    c.quarter#|
    c.quarter |
          AK  |      1.003      0.000    33.23   0.000        1.002       1.003
          AZ  |      1.003      0.000    11.31   0.000        1.002       1.003
          AR  |      1.001      0.000    20.52   0.000        1.001       1.001
          CA  |      1.002      0.000    56.77   0.000        1.002       1.002
          CO  |      1.002      0.000    15.41   0.000        1.002       1.003
          CT  |      1.000      0.000     5.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
          DE  |      1.000      0.000    11.83   0.000        1.000       1.001
          FL  |      1.001      0.000     6.71   0.000        1.001       1.002
          HI  |      0.993      0.000   -29.85   0.000        0.993       0.994
          ID  |      1.004      0.000     9.24   0.000        1.003       1.005
          IL  |      1.001      0.000     5.91   0.000        1.000       1.001
          IN  |      1.001      0.000    34.53   0.000        1.001       1.002
          IA  |      1.001      0.000     7.01   0.000        1.001       1.001
          KS  |      1.002      0.000     8.43   0.000        1.001       1.002
          LA  |      1.001      0.000     6.22   0.000        1.001       1.002
          ME  |      1.001      0.000    10.98   0.000        1.000       1.001
          MD  |      1.001      0.000    12.27   0.000        1.001       1.002
          MA  |      1.000      0.000     0.11   0.914        1.000       1.000
          MI  |      1.001      0.000     3.65   0.000        1.000       1.001
          MN  |      1.004      0.000    46.14   0.000        1.004       1.004
          MS  |      1.001      0.000    13.08   0.000        1.001       1.001
          MO  |      1.000      0.000     1.56   0.119        1.000       1.000
          MT  |      1.003      0.000    15.17   0.000        1.002       1.003
          NE  |      1.000      0.000    -2.33   0.020        1.000       1.000
          NV  |      1.002      0.001     2.84   0.004        1.001       1.003
          NH  |      0.999      0.000   -13.93   0.000        0.999       0.999
          NJ  |      0.999      0.000   -38.14   0.000        0.999       0.999
          NM  |      1.003      0.000    14.95   0.000        1.002       1.003
          NY  |      1.000      0.000     1.07   0.286        1.000       1.000
          NC  |      1.002      0.000    27.63   0.000        1.001       1.002
          ND  |      1.002      0.000     9.22   0.000        1.002       1.003
          OH  |      1.002      0.000    54.81   0.000        1.002       1.002
          OR  |      1.001      0.000    22.51   0.000        1.001       1.001
          PA  |      1.000      0.000    -2.33   0.020        1.000       1.000
          SC  |      1.002      0.000    44.47   0.000        1.002       1.002
          TN  |      1.002      0.000    87.80   0.000        1.002       1.003
          TX  |      1.001      0.000     3.59   0.000        1.000       1.001
          UT  |      1.000      0.000    12.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
          VT  |      0.997      0.000   -37.90   0.000        0.997       0.997
          VA  |      1.001      0.000    30.83   0.000        1.001       1.001
          WA  |      1.001      0.000    15.13   0.000        1.001       1.001
          WV  |      1.004      0.000    76.02   0.000        1.004       1.004
          WI  |      1.001      0.000    20.58   0.000        1.001       1.001
          WY  |      1.002      0.000    17.23   0.000        1.002       1.003
              |
        stabb#|
    c.quarter#|
    c.quarter#|
    c.quarter |
          AK  |      1.000      0.000   -36.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
          AZ  |      1.000      0.000   -10.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
          AR  |      1.000      0.000   -21.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
          CA  |      1.000      0.000   -50.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
          CO  |      1.000      0.000   -17.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
          CT  |      1.000      0.000    -5.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
          DE  |      1.000      0.000   -11.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
          FL  |      1.000      0.000    -6.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
          HI  |      1.000      0.000    31.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
          ID  |      1.000      0.000    -8.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
          IL  |      1.000      0.000    -6.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
          IN  |      1.000      0.000   -39.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
          IA  |      1.000      0.000    -7.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
          KS  |      1.000      0.000    -9.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
          LA  |      1.000      0.000    -6.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
          ME  |      1.000      0.000    -9.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MD  |      1.000      0.000   -11.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MA  |      1.000      0.000     0.47   0.636        1.000       1.000
          MI  |      1.000      0.000    -4.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MN  |      1.000      0.000   -48.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MS  |      1.000      0.000   -13.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
          MO  |      1.000      0.000    -2.12   0.034        1.000       1.000
          MT  |      1.000      0.000   -15.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NE  |      1.000      0.000     1.04   0.297        1.000       1.000
          NV  |      1.000      0.000    -2.98   0.003        1.000       1.000
          NH  |      1.000      0.000    15.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NJ  |      1.000      0.000    31.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NM  |      1.000      0.000   -15.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
          NY  |      1.000      0.000    -0.01   0.994        1.000       1.000
          NC  |      1.000      0.000   -31.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
          ND  |      1.000      0.000    -8.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
          OH  |      1.000      0.000   -76.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
          OR  |      1.000      0.000   -23.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
          PA  |      1.000      0.000     1.44   0.150        1.000       1.000
          SC  |      1.000      0.000   -41.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
          TN  |      1.000      0.000   -91.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
          TX  |      1.000      0.000    -3.47   0.001        1.000       1.000
          UT  |      1.000      0.000   -14.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
          VT  |      1.000      0.000    38.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
          VA  |      1.000      0.000   -31.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
          WA  |      1.000      0.000   -16.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
          WV  |      1.000      0.000   -80.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
          WI  |      1.000      0.000   -20.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
          WY  |      1.000      0.000   -18.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
              |
        _cons |      0.000      0.000    -1.53   0.125        0.000      28.078
   logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_5: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat educa3 season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     440640

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.educa3 3.educa3
               2.season 3.season 4.season

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |            Unconditional
              |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |       0.54       0.13     4.10   0.000         0.28        0.80
              |
          sex |
     2female  |     -17.76       0.76   -23.49   0.000       -19.25      -16.28
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      -9.16       0.67   -13.75   0.000       -10.47       -7.86
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |       3.65       0.35    10.38   0.000         2.96        4.34
    45 to 64  |       4.82       0.44    10.86   0.000         3.95        5.70
        >=65  |       5.30       0.83     6.41   0.000         3.68        6.92
              |
       educa3 |
     HS Grad  |       3.78       0.92     4.09   0.000         1.97        5.59
MinsomeCol~c  |      -5.11       0.95    -5.39   0.000        -6.97       -3.25
              |
       season |
      spring  |       1.21       0.09    14.23   0.000         1.05        1.38
      summer  |       1.41       0.11    12.79   0.000         1.20        1.63
        fall  |       0.70       0.11     6.28   0.000         0.48        0.92
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(te_1994__m_5, replace)      

. 
. // #8
. // write results to file
. 
. esttab m_* using suic-econ-total1994.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar /
> //
>         wide not nolines nonum mtitle((0) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)) ///
>         delimiter(";") replace
(output written to suic-econ-total1994.txt)

.         
. 
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a3-1994.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  21 Feb 2015, 21:16:29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit    

end of do-file

. 
. 
. /*      Estimates crude and adjusted Poisson models using the CPS data by
>         education group for 1994-2010. Estimates appear in Figure 3 
>         and in Appendix Table 2 */
. do suic-econ-a4-educ.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-a4-educ.txt, replace text
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a4-educ.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  21 Feb 2015, 21:16:29

. 
. //  program:    suic-econ-a4-educ.do
. //  task:               poisson models by education group
. //      input:          suic-econ-data2-cps.dta
. //      output:         suic-econ-atable2-educa3_1 (2) (3).txt
. //  project:    economic conditions and suicide
. //  author:     sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 12

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. set matsize 11000

. 
. 
. // #1   
. // Use restricted data for 1994-2010, limit to ages 25+
. 
. * CPS dataset
. use suic-econ-data2-cps, clear
(Suicide deaths and CPS denominators, 1980-2010)

. 
. * descriptive table
. preserve

. collapse (sum) suic pop1, by(educ stabb year)

. tabstat suic, by(educ) stats(sum)

Summary for variables: suic
     by categories of: educa3 (Educ Attainment 3 Cat)

          educa3 |       sum
-----------------+----------
             <HS |     99886
         HS Grad |    212449
MinsomeCollege/A |    179864
-----------------+----------
           Total |    492199
----------------------------

. gen rate = suic / (pop1/12) * 100000

. tabstat rate, by(educ) stats(mean sd min max) format(%3.1f)

Summary for variables: rate
     by categories of: educa3 (Educ Attainment 3 Cat)

          educa3 |      mean        sd       min       max
-----------------+----------------------------------------
             <HS |      18.9       7.0       5.1      53.2
         HS Grad |      22.2       6.6      10.3      50.8
MinsomeCollege/A |      11.6       3.7       4.9      23.8
-----------------+----------------------------------------
           Total |      17.6       7.4       4.9      53.2
----------------------------------------------------------

. restore

. 
. * drop ages 16-24
. drop if agecat==1
(110160 observations deleted)

. 
. * re-scale icei for a 10-unit change
. replace icei= -1*icei/10
(330480 real changes made)

. 
. * run regressions across each education group
. qui levelsof educa3, local(levels)

. foreach l of local levels {
  2. 
. di "-> Group = `: label (educa3) `l''"
  3. 
. 
. 
. // #2
. // crude poisson model without adjustments: Model 0
. 
. poisson suic icei if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog
  4. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_0: estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)
  5. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3_`l'_m_0, replace) 
  6. 
. 
.         
. // #3
. // now add individual covariates: Model 1
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) //
> /
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f) 
  7. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_1: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat) predict(ir
> ) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)
  8. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3_`l'_m_1, replace) 
  9.         
. 
. 
. // #4
. // now add state, season, and year fixed effects: Model 2
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year ///
>         if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)
 10. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_2: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 11.         
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3_`l'_m_2, replace) 
 12. 
. 
. 
. // #5
. // now add state-specific linear trends to FE model: Model 3
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##c.quarter if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
 13. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_3: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 14. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3_`l'_m_3, replace)    
 15.         
. 
.         
. // #6
. // now add state-specific quadratic time trends to basic FE model: Model 4
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter) if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
 16. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_4: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 17. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3_`l'_m_4, replace)    
 18. 
. 
. 
. // #7   
. // include state-specific cubic trends: Model 5
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter##c.quarter) if educa3==`l', ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f) 
 19. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_5: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 20. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3_`l'_m_5, replace)    
 21. 
. 
. 
. // #8
. // write results to file
. 
. esttab educa3_`l'_m_* using suic-econ-atable2-educa3_`l'.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar n
> ot ///
>         nolines nonum mtitle((0) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)) delimiter(";") replace /
> //
>         
 22. }
-> Group = <HS

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =       1.05
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.3045
Log pseudolikelihood = -110323.41                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0005

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |  -.0207536   .0202112    -1.03   0.304    -.0603669    .0188597
       _cons |   2.566676   .2956238     8.68   0.000     1.987264    3.146088
  logpop100y |          1  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.36       0.35    -1.02   0.306        -1.05        0.33
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(5)    =   15002.84
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -85011.253                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2298

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.998      0.019    -0.10   0.923        0.962       1.036
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.176      0.004   -86.04   0.000        0.169       0.183
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.440      0.046    -7.86   0.000        0.359       0.540
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.817      0.048    -3.47   0.001        0.728       0.915
       >=65  |      0.900      0.100    -0.95   0.342        0.724       1.119
             |
       _cons |     36.167     10.934    11.87   0.000       19.997      65.412
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.03       0.27    -0.10   0.922        -0.55        0.50
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -19.95       1.28   -15.53   0.000       -22.46      -17.43
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -11.06       1.76    -6.29   0.000       -14.50       -7.61
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -2.88       1.01    -2.85   0.004        -4.86       -0.90
       >=65  |      -1.58       1.72    -0.92   0.358        -4.94        1.79
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -79912.999                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2760

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.071      0.012     6.11   0.000        1.048       1.095
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.179      0.004   -86.43   0.000        0.172       0.186
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.419      0.042    -8.69   0.000        0.344       0.510
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.785      0.033    -5.70   0.000        0.723       0.853
       >=65  |      0.833      0.064    -2.36   0.018        0.716       0.970
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.483      0.031    18.79   0.000        1.423       1.545
         AZ  |      1.032      0.053     0.61   0.539        0.933       1.142
         AR  |      0.961      0.007    -5.19   0.000        0.946       0.975
         CA  |      0.453      0.012   -30.38   0.000        0.430       0.477
         CO  |      1.061      0.046     1.36   0.174        0.974       1.154
         CT  |      0.447      0.005   -70.01   0.000        0.437       0.457
         DE  |      0.743      0.011   -20.41   0.000        0.722       0.765
         FL  |      0.912      0.015    -5.68   0.000        0.884       0.942
         HI  |      0.980      0.068    -0.29   0.772        0.856       1.123
         ID  |      1.402      0.072     6.54   0.000        1.267       1.551
         IL  |      0.553      0.007   -44.95   0.000        0.539       0.568
         IN  |      0.790      0.013   -14.64   0.000        0.766       0.815
         IA  |      0.769      0.008   -25.13   0.000        0.753       0.785
         KS  |      0.941      0.011    -5.33   0.000        0.920       0.962
         LA  |      0.884      0.009   -11.96   0.000        0.867       0.902
         ME  |      0.831      0.011   -14.41   0.000        0.811       0.852
         MD  |      0.764      0.008   -26.71   0.000        0.749       0.779
         MA  |      0.396      0.009   -40.07   0.000        0.378       0.414
         MI  |      0.964      0.013    -2.77   0.006        0.940       0.989
         MN  |      0.811      0.011   -15.56   0.000        0.790       0.833
         MS  |      0.984      0.010    -1.59   0.113        0.964       1.004
         MO  |      1.109      0.012     9.65   0.000        1.086       1.133
         MT  |      1.690      0.023    37.95   0.000        1.645       1.737
         NE  |      0.883      0.014    -7.65   0.000        0.855       0.912
         NV  |      1.487      0.104     5.67   0.000        1.296       1.705
         NH  |      0.895      0.032    -3.08   0.002        0.834       0.961
         NJ  |      0.391      0.004   -93.97   0.000        0.384       0.399
         NM  |      1.091      0.029     3.27   0.001        1.036       1.149
         NY  |      0.332      0.001  -469.57   0.000        0.330       0.333
         NC  |      0.966      0.016    -2.03   0.043        0.934       0.999
         ND  |      0.799      0.010   -17.35   0.000        0.780       0.820
         OH  |      0.845      0.010   -14.75   0.000        0.827       0.865
         OR  |      1.234      0.056     4.63   0.000        1.129       1.349
         PA  |      0.675      0.005   -58.02   0.000        0.666       0.684
         SC  |      1.001      0.013     0.04   0.966        0.975       1.027
         TN  |      0.949      0.013    -3.89   0.000        0.924       0.974
         TX  |      0.570      0.018   -18.10   0.000        0.536       0.606
         UT  |      1.341      0.064     6.12   0.000        1.221       1.473
         VT  |      0.939      0.012    -4.80   0.000        0.916       0.964
         VA  |      1.077      0.010     8.16   0.000        1.058       1.096
         WA  |      1.065      0.020     3.42   0.001        1.027       1.104
         WV  |      0.749      0.009   -23.65   0.000        0.731       0.767
         WI  |      1.026      0.023     1.19   0.233        0.983       1.072
         WY  |      1.666      0.025    33.72   0.000        1.617       1.716
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.096      0.048     2.08   0.038        1.005       1.195
     summer  |      1.068      0.031     2.25   0.025        1.008       1.132
       fall  |      1.015      0.036     0.41   0.680        0.946       1.088
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.034      0.033     1.05   0.295        0.971       1.102
       1996  |      0.978      0.039    -0.57   0.568        0.904       1.057
       1997  |      1.045      0.041     1.11   0.267        0.967       1.129
       1998  |      1.024      0.065     0.37   0.710        0.904       1.159
       1999  |      1.045      0.057     0.80   0.426        0.938       1.164
       2000  |      1.147      0.054     2.88   0.004        1.045       1.258
       2001  |      1.170      0.070     2.62   0.009        1.040       1.316
       2002  |      1.089      0.068     1.36   0.173        0.963       1.230
       2003  |      1.169      0.086     2.12   0.034        1.012       1.350
       2004  |      1.154      0.058     2.85   0.004        1.046       1.274
       2005  |      1.173      0.071     2.64   0.008        1.042       1.321
       2006  |      1.189      0.081     2.54   0.011        1.040       1.358
       2007  |      1.266      0.092     3.24   0.001        1.098       1.460
       2008  |      1.334      0.095     4.03   0.000        1.159       1.534
       2009  |      1.180      0.084     2.34   0.019        1.027       1.357
       2010  |      1.204      0.079     2.85   0.004        1.060       1.368
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      0.994      0.043    -0.14   0.889        0.914       1.081
spring#1996  |      1.067      0.061     1.14   0.253        0.955       1.193
spring#1997  |      1.035      0.075     0.48   0.633        0.898       1.194
spring#1998  |      1.047      0.091     0.53   0.598        0.883       1.241
spring#1999  |      1.013      0.061     0.22   0.829        0.901       1.140
spring#2000  |      1.019      0.057     0.35   0.730        0.914       1.137
spring#2001  |      1.011      0.059     0.19   0.846        0.902       1.134
spring#2002  |      1.064      0.063     1.05   0.295        0.947       1.194
spring#2003  |      0.981      0.054    -0.35   0.727        0.880       1.093
spring#2004  |      0.995      0.049    -0.10   0.919        0.904       1.096
spring#2005  |      1.040      0.063     0.65   0.515        0.924       1.172
spring#2006  |      1.020      0.057     0.35   0.727        0.914       1.138
spring#2007  |      1.070      0.071     1.02   0.310        0.939       1.219
spring#2008  |      0.989      0.059    -0.18   0.856        0.881       1.111
spring#2009  |      1.007      0.065     0.11   0.909        0.887       1.144
spring#2010  |      1.007      0.073     0.10   0.918        0.875       1.160
summer#1995  |      1.104      0.041     2.66   0.008        1.026       1.187
summer#1996  |      1.123      0.051     2.53   0.011        1.027       1.228
summer#1997  |      1.026      0.053     0.49   0.622        0.927       1.136
summer#1998  |      1.109      0.060     1.91   0.056        0.997       1.233
summer#1999  |      1.109      0.045     2.55   0.011        1.024       1.200
summer#2000  |      1.086      0.071     1.28   0.202        0.956       1.234
summer#2001  |      1.026      0.053     0.49   0.625        0.926       1.136
summer#2002  |      1.206      0.047     4.81   0.000        1.117       1.302
summer#2003  |      1.076      0.060     1.31   0.189        0.964       1.201
summer#2004  |      1.071      0.061     1.20   0.232        0.957       1.198
summer#2005  |      1.030      0.045     0.67   0.502        0.945       1.123
summer#2006  |      1.034      0.059     0.58   0.563        0.924       1.157
summer#2007  |      1.098      0.057     1.80   0.072        0.991       1.216
summer#2008  |      1.039      0.058     0.69   0.492        0.932       1.158
summer#2009  |      1.084      0.064     1.37   0.170        0.966       1.216
summer#2010  |      1.148      0.064     2.46   0.014        1.029       1.282
  fall#1995  |      0.952      0.060    -0.77   0.440        0.842       1.078
  fall#1996  |      1.039      0.058     0.68   0.494        0.932       1.158
  fall#1997  |      1.052      0.042     1.28   0.201        0.973       1.137
  fall#1998  |      1.032      0.062     0.53   0.599        0.917       1.162
  fall#1999  |      1.080      0.059     1.42   0.155        0.971       1.201
  fall#2000  |      1.025      0.062     0.40   0.687        0.910       1.153
  fall#2001  |      0.956      0.060    -0.71   0.475        0.845       1.081
  fall#2002  |      1.068      0.053     1.32   0.188        0.968       1.177
  fall#2003  |      0.933      0.048    -1.35   0.176        0.845       1.031
  fall#2004  |      1.115      0.052     2.34   0.019        1.018       1.221
  fall#2005  |      1.053      0.061     0.89   0.373        0.940       1.181
  fall#2006  |      1.084      0.070     1.25   0.213        0.955       1.229
  fall#2007  |      1.110      0.071     1.63   0.102        0.979       1.258
  fall#2008  |      0.988      0.041    -0.29   0.773        0.912       1.071
  fall#2009  |      1.064      0.065     1.01   0.311        0.944       1.199
  fall#2010  |      0.984      0.082    -0.19   0.847        0.835       1.160
             |
       _cons |    112.024     12.600    41.95   0.000       89.861     139.653
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       1.22       0.20     6.05   0.000         0.83        1.62
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -24.64       1.19   -20.69   0.000       -26.98      -22.31
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -14.50       1.56    -9.30   0.000       -17.56      -11.45
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -4.35       0.85    -5.10   0.000        -6.02       -2.68
       >=65  |      -3.38       1.43    -2.36   0.018        -6.19       -0.57
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.94       0.20     9.93   0.000         1.56        2.33
     summer  |       2.52       0.17    14.47   0.000         2.18        2.86
       fall  |       0.74       0.24     3.03   0.002         0.26        1.22
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -79776.216                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2773

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.036      0.012     2.97   0.003        1.012       1.061
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.179      0.004   -86.23   0.000        0.172       0.186
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.418      0.042    -8.72   0.000        0.344       0.509
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.785      0.034    -5.61   0.000        0.722       0.854
       >=65  |      0.832      0.065    -2.35   0.019        0.715       0.970
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.100      0.049     2.13   0.033        1.008       1.200
     summer  |      1.060      0.032     1.94   0.052        0.999       1.125
       fall  |      0.997      0.035    -0.10   0.922        0.930       1.068
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.994      0.042    -0.14   0.885        0.914       1.080
       1996  |      0.906      0.052    -1.74   0.082        0.810       1.013
       1997  |      0.929      0.062    -1.11   0.267        0.815       1.058
       1998  |      0.871      0.086    -1.40   0.161        0.719       1.056
       1999  |      0.854      0.085    -1.60   0.110        0.703       1.037
       2000  |      0.901      0.119    -0.79   0.428        0.696       1.166
       2001  |      0.896      0.134    -0.74   0.461        0.668       1.201
       2002  |      0.819      0.135    -1.21   0.226        0.592       1.131
       2003  |      0.857      0.176    -0.75   0.454        0.573       1.283
       2004  |      0.819      0.172    -0.95   0.343        0.543       1.237
       2005  |      0.802      0.188    -0.94   0.346        0.506       1.269
       2006  |      0.781      0.195    -0.99   0.322        0.479       1.274
       2007  |      0.803      0.210    -0.84   0.401        0.481       1.341
       2008  |      0.830      0.231    -0.67   0.503        0.481       1.433
       2009  |      0.738      0.229    -0.98   0.327        0.402       1.355
       2010  |      0.744      0.242    -0.91   0.363        0.394       1.407
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      0.994      0.043    -0.15   0.883        0.913       1.081
spring#1996  |      1.067      0.061     1.15   0.251        0.955       1.193
spring#1997  |      1.036      0.076     0.48   0.632        0.898       1.195
spring#1998  |      1.047      0.091     0.52   0.602        0.882       1.241
spring#1999  |      1.013      0.061     0.22   0.827        0.901       1.140
spring#2000  |      1.017      0.057     0.31   0.759        0.911       1.136
spring#2001  |      1.008      0.060     0.14   0.890        0.898       1.132
spring#2002  |      1.062      0.063     1.02   0.307        0.946       1.193
spring#2003  |      0.982      0.054    -0.33   0.741        0.881       1.094
spring#2004  |      0.995      0.049    -0.11   0.914        0.903       1.095
spring#2005  |      1.040      0.063     0.64   0.519        0.923       1.171
spring#2006  |      1.019      0.057     0.34   0.736        0.913       1.137
spring#2007  |      1.068      0.071     0.98   0.327        0.937       1.217
spring#2008  |      0.983      0.059    -0.29   0.770        0.874       1.105
spring#2009  |      1.009      0.065     0.13   0.894        0.888       1.145
spring#2010  |      1.006      0.073     0.08   0.934        0.873       1.159
summer#1995  |      1.106      0.041     2.72   0.007        1.028       1.189
summer#1996  |      1.124      0.051     2.56   0.010        1.028       1.229
summer#1997  |      1.026      0.053     0.49   0.621        0.927       1.136
summer#1998  |      1.109      0.060     1.92   0.055        0.998       1.233
summer#1999  |      1.110      0.045     2.58   0.010        1.025       1.201
summer#2000  |      1.087      0.071     1.28   0.201        0.957       1.235
summer#2001  |      1.030      0.053     0.58   0.564        0.932       1.138
summer#2002  |      1.210      0.046     4.98   0.000        1.122       1.304
summer#2003  |      1.082      0.060     1.43   0.154        0.971       1.206
summer#2004  |      1.072      0.062     1.21   0.227        0.958       1.199
summer#2005  |      1.031      0.046     0.69   0.491        0.945       1.124
summer#2006  |      1.035      0.059     0.60   0.548        0.925       1.158
summer#2007  |      1.100      0.057     1.83   0.067        0.993       1.218
summer#2008  |      1.042      0.058     0.74   0.460        0.935       1.162
summer#2009  |      1.099      0.065     1.59   0.111        0.978       1.235
summer#2010  |      1.150      0.064     2.50   0.013        1.030       1.283
  fall#1995  |      0.956      0.060    -0.72   0.470        0.846       1.080
  fall#1996  |      1.040      0.058     0.72   0.474        0.934       1.160
  fall#1997  |      1.052      0.042     1.27   0.203        0.973       1.137
  fall#1998  |      1.033      0.062     0.54   0.590        0.918       1.163
  fall#1999  |      1.082      0.058     1.46   0.145        0.973       1.202
  fall#2000  |      1.028      0.062     0.46   0.645        0.914       1.156
  fall#2001  |      0.968      0.057    -0.55   0.584        0.862       1.087
  fall#2002  |      1.076      0.052     1.50   0.135        0.978       1.183
  fall#2003  |      0.940      0.047    -1.23   0.217        0.853       1.037
  fall#2004  |      1.117      0.052     2.38   0.017        1.020       1.223
  fall#2005  |      1.056      0.062     0.93   0.354        0.941       1.185
  fall#2006  |      1.086      0.070     1.29   0.199        0.958       1.232
  fall#2007  |      1.117      0.070     1.75   0.080        0.987       1.263
  fall#2008  |      1.003      0.040     0.08   0.936        0.928       1.085
  fall#2009  |      1.087      0.065     1.40   0.160        0.967       1.223
  fall#2010  |      0.989      0.082    -0.13   0.893        0.840       1.163
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.895      0.039    -2.56   0.010        0.822       0.974
         AZ  |      1.872      0.261     4.49   0.000        1.424       2.461
         AR  |      0.703      0.012   -20.02   0.000        0.679       0.727
         CA  |      0.784      0.075    -2.53   0.011        0.649       0.947
         CO  |      2.431      0.170    12.71   0.000        2.120       2.787
         CT  |      0.312      0.025   -14.27   0.000        0.266       0.366
         DE  |      1.649      0.056    14.77   0.000        1.543       1.762
         FL  |      0.650      0.034    -8.17   0.000        0.586       0.720
         HI  |      2.726      0.111    24.63   0.000        2.517       2.953
         ID  |      0.890      0.156    -0.67   0.504        0.632       1.254
         IL  |      0.848      0.012   -12.04   0.000        0.825       0.871
         IN  |      0.648      0.006   -46.57   0.000        0.636       0.660
         IA  |      1.231      0.039     6.60   0.000        1.158       1.310
         KS  |      0.699      0.019   -13.14   0.000        0.663       0.738
         LA  |      0.427      0.009   -41.93   0.000        0.410       0.444
         ME  |      0.844      0.037    -3.82   0.000        0.774       0.921
         MD  |      1.671      0.100     8.53   0.000        1.485       1.880
         MA  |      0.477      0.041    -8.59   0.000        0.403       0.565
         MI  |      0.897      0.070    -1.39   0.165        0.770       1.046
         MN  |      0.992      0.060    -0.13   0.894        0.880       1.118
         MS  |      0.451      0.006   -58.29   0.000        0.439       0.463
         MO  |      1.241      0.011    23.81   0.000        1.219       1.263
         MT  |      1.059      0.100     0.60   0.546        0.880       1.274
         NE  |      3.366      0.204    20.08   0.000        2.990       3.790
         NV  |      3.701      0.573     8.46   0.000        2.733       5.012
         NH  |      0.118      0.014   -18.41   0.000        0.094       0.148
         NJ  |      0.334      0.021   -17.68   0.000        0.296       0.377
         NM  |      0.556      0.049    -6.60   0.000        0.467       0.662
         NY  |      0.234      0.014   -24.82   0.000        0.208       0.262
         NC  |      0.667      0.035    -7.65   0.000        0.601       0.740
         ND  |      0.513      0.034   -10.08   0.000        0.451       0.584
         OH  |      0.461      0.004   -97.09   0.000        0.454       0.469
         OR  |      0.781      0.102    -1.89   0.059        0.605       1.009
         PA  |      0.445      0.014   -25.56   0.000        0.418       0.473
         SC  |      0.819      0.035    -4.72   0.000        0.754       0.890
         TN  |      0.620      0.022   -13.40   0.000        0.578       0.665
         TX  |      1.164      0.118     1.50   0.135        0.954       1.420
         UT  |      1.553      0.176     3.88   0.000        1.243       1.940
         VT  |      0.191      0.009   -36.75   0.000        0.175       0.208
         VA  |      1.042      0.051     0.84   0.403        0.947       1.146
         WA  |      2.241      0.144    12.53   0.000        1.975       2.543
         WV  |      0.278      0.008   -46.81   0.000        0.263       0.293
         WI  |      0.577      0.038    -8.36   0.000        0.507       0.656
         WY  |      1.141      0.170     0.89   0.374        0.853       1.528
             |
     quarter |      1.006      0.005     1.14   0.254        0.996       1.016
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.000    21.14   0.000        1.003       1.004
         AZ  |      0.996      0.001    -4.17   0.000        0.994       0.998
         AR  |      1.002      0.000    14.20   0.000        1.002       1.002
         CA  |      0.997      0.001    -6.33   0.000        0.996       0.998
         CO  |      0.995      0.001    -9.45   0.000        0.993       0.996
         CT  |      1.002      0.001     3.68   0.000        1.001       1.003
         DE  |      0.995      0.000   -18.88   0.000        0.995       0.996
         FL  |      1.002      0.000     4.62   0.000        1.001       1.003
         HI  |      0.994      0.000   -59.00   0.000        0.994       0.995
         ID  |      1.002      0.001     1.47   0.141        0.999       1.004
         IL  |      0.997      0.000   -21.71   0.000        0.997       0.998
         IN  |      1.001      0.000    14.62   0.000        1.001       1.001
         IA  |      0.997      0.000   -15.44   0.000        0.997       0.998
         KS  |      1.002      0.000     9.36   0.000        1.001       1.002
         LA  |      1.004      0.000    28.39   0.000        1.004       1.005
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -0.87   0.382        0.999       1.000
         MD  |      0.995      0.000   -11.70   0.000        0.994       0.996
         MA  |      0.999      0.001    -2.43   0.015        0.997       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     0.51   0.608        0.999       1.001
         MN  |      0.999      0.000    -3.42   0.001        0.998       0.999
         MS  |      1.004      0.000    43.40   0.000        1.004       1.005
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -20.78   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      1.003      0.001     4.12   0.000        1.001       1.004
         NE  |      0.992      0.000   -20.27   0.000        0.991       0.993
         NV  |      0.994      0.001    -5.22   0.000        0.991       0.996
         NH  |      1.012      0.001    13.26   0.000        1.010       1.013
         NJ  |      1.001      0.000     1.92   0.054        1.000       1.002
         NM  |      1.004      0.001     5.59   0.000        1.002       1.005
         NY  |      1.002      0.000     6.19   0.000        1.001       1.003
         NC  |      1.002      0.000     4.75   0.000        1.001       1.003
         ND  |      1.003      0.000     5.59   0.000        1.002       1.003
         OH  |      1.003      0.000   153.75   0.000        1.003       1.003
         OR  |      1.002      0.001     2.07   0.039        1.000       1.004
         PA  |      1.002      0.000    13.23   0.000        1.002       1.003
         SC  |      1.001      0.000     2.80   0.005        1.000       1.002
         TN  |      1.002      0.000    10.78   0.000        1.002       1.003
         TX  |      0.995      0.001    -6.88   0.000        0.994       0.997
         UT  |      0.998      0.001    -1.80   0.072        0.997       1.000
         VT  |      1.009      0.000    34.63   0.000        1.009       1.010
         VA  |      1.000      0.000     0.18   0.858        0.999       1.001
         WA  |      0.995      0.000   -11.54   0.000        0.995       0.996
         WV  |      1.006      0.000    46.35   0.000        1.006       1.006
         WI  |      1.003      0.000     6.19   0.000        1.002       1.004
         WY  |      1.002      0.001     2.24   0.025        1.000       1.004
             |
       _cons |     36.386     24.224     5.40   0.000        9.869     134.160
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.63       0.22     2.92   0.003         0.21        1.06
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -24.72       1.19   -20.69   0.000       -27.06      -22.37
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -14.57       1.56    -9.35   0.000       -17.62      -11.52
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -4.37       0.87    -5.05   0.000        -6.07       -2.67
       >=65  |      -3.41       1.45    -2.36   0.018        -6.24       -0.58
             |
      season |
     spring  |       2.00       0.21     9.33   0.000         1.58        2.42
     summer  |       2.44       0.18    13.37   0.000         2.08        2.80
       fall  |       0.53       0.21     2.49   0.013         0.11        0.95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -79705.912                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2779

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.024      0.020     1.25   0.211        0.986       1.064
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.179      0.004   -86.17   0.000        0.172       0.186
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.418      0.042    -8.72   0.000        0.344       0.508
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.785      0.034    -5.61   0.000        0.722       0.855
       >=65  |      0.832      0.065    -2.35   0.019        0.714       0.970
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.097      0.048     2.11   0.035        1.007       1.196
     summer  |      1.066      0.033     2.04   0.042        1.002       1.133
       fall  |      1.008      0.037     0.23   0.817        0.939       1.083
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.021      0.049     0.43   0.669        0.929       1.121
       1996  |      0.951      0.066    -0.72   0.471        0.831       1.090
       1997  |      0.993      0.092    -0.08   0.936        0.828       1.191
       1998  |      0.943      0.112    -0.49   0.625        0.747       1.191
       1999  |      0.933      0.108    -0.59   0.552        0.744       1.171
       2000  |      0.992      0.149    -0.06   0.956        0.739       1.330
       2001  |      0.993      0.166    -0.04   0.965        0.716       1.377
       2002  |      0.913      0.164    -0.51   0.613        0.641       1.300
       2003  |      0.956      0.206    -0.21   0.833        0.626       1.459
       2004  |      0.907      0.200    -0.44   0.658        0.589       1.397
       2005  |      0.875      0.208    -0.56   0.576        0.549       1.395
       2006  |      0.838      0.210    -0.70   0.482        0.513       1.370
       2007  |      0.845      0.218    -0.65   0.513        0.510       1.400
       2008  |      0.858      0.236    -0.56   0.577        0.500       1.470
       2009  |      0.753      0.232    -0.92   0.358        0.411       1.379
       2010  |      0.741      0.242    -0.92   0.359        0.391       1.406
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      0.994      0.043    -0.14   0.888        0.914       1.081
spring#1996  |      1.068      0.061     1.16   0.246        0.956       1.194
spring#1997  |      1.037      0.075     0.49   0.621        0.899       1.195
spring#1998  |      1.048      0.091     0.54   0.592        0.884       1.242
spring#1999  |      1.015      0.061     0.25   0.805        0.902       1.142
spring#2000  |      1.019      0.057     0.33   0.742        0.913       1.137
spring#2001  |      1.009      0.060     0.16   0.877        0.899       1.133
spring#2002  |      1.064      0.063     1.06   0.290        0.948       1.195
spring#2003  |      0.985      0.055    -0.27   0.784        0.884       1.098
spring#2004  |      0.998      0.049    -0.04   0.964        0.907       1.098
spring#2005  |      1.043      0.063     0.70   0.483        0.926       1.175
spring#2006  |      1.023      0.057     0.40   0.690        0.916       1.142
spring#2007  |      1.071      0.072     1.03   0.303        0.940       1.221
spring#2008  |      0.985      0.058    -0.26   0.795        0.877       1.105
spring#2009  |      1.014      0.066     0.22   0.828        0.893       1.151
spring#2010  |      1.011      0.072     0.15   0.879        0.879       1.163
summer#1995  |      1.105      0.041     2.71   0.007        1.028       1.188
summer#1996  |      1.122      0.051     2.53   0.012        1.026       1.227
summer#1997  |      1.023      0.054     0.44   0.657        0.924       1.134
summer#1998  |      1.106      0.060     1.84   0.066        0.993       1.231
summer#1999  |      1.106      0.045     2.50   0.012        1.022       1.198
summer#2000  |      1.082      0.071     1.20   0.232        0.951       1.231
summer#2001  |      1.026      0.053     0.50   0.618        0.928       1.135
summer#2002  |      1.204      0.048     4.65   0.000        1.113       1.302
summer#2003  |      1.077      0.060     1.34   0.181        0.966       1.202
summer#2004  |      1.064      0.063     1.05   0.295        0.947       1.196
summer#2005  |      1.023      0.045     0.52   0.601        0.939       1.115
summer#2006  |      1.027      0.060     0.45   0.652        0.915       1.152
summer#2007  |      1.091      0.057     1.67   0.095        0.985       1.208
summer#2008  |      1.033      0.059     0.57   0.571        0.923       1.156
summer#2009  |      1.093      0.066     1.49   0.138        0.972       1.230
summer#2010  |      1.137      0.066     2.21   0.027        1.015       1.275
  fall#1995  |      0.954      0.060    -0.75   0.456        0.844       1.079
  fall#1996  |      1.037      0.057     0.66   0.512        0.931       1.154
  fall#1997  |      1.046      0.043     1.10   0.273        0.965       1.133
  fall#1998  |      1.026      0.062     0.42   0.674        0.911       1.155
  fall#1999  |      1.073      0.056     1.34   0.181        0.968       1.189
  fall#2000  |      1.018      0.062     0.30   0.767        0.904       1.147
  fall#2001  |      0.960      0.058    -0.67   0.500        0.853       1.080
  fall#2002  |      1.063      0.052     1.26   0.208        0.966       1.170
  fall#2003  |      0.928      0.048    -1.45   0.147        0.840       1.026
  fall#2004  |      1.098      0.053     1.93   0.053        0.999       1.208
  fall#2005  |      1.037      0.062     0.61   0.541        0.923       1.166
  fall#2006  |      1.065      0.070     0.95   0.340        0.936       1.212
  fall#2007  |      1.094      0.070     1.40   0.161        0.965       1.241
  fall#2008  |      0.985      0.047    -0.32   0.748        0.898       1.081
  fall#2009  |      1.068      0.067     1.06   0.289        0.946       1.207
  fall#2010  |      0.963      0.082    -0.44   0.662        0.815       1.139
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.000      0.000   -16.89   0.000        0.000       0.000
         AZ  |      9.585      8.605     2.52   0.012        1.650      55.689
         AR  |      0.260      0.009   -38.15   0.000        0.242       0.278
         CA  |      0.984      0.318    -0.05   0.959        0.522       1.853
         CO  |    798.899    501.462    10.65   0.000      233.453    2733.909
         CT  |      3.883      1.082     4.87   0.000        2.250       6.704
         DE  |      0.024      0.016    -5.45   0.000        0.006       0.091
         FL  |     32.847     19.504     5.88   0.000       10.258     105.176
         HI  |   1167.817    654.907    12.59   0.000      389.067    3505.301
         ID  |      2.872      2.400     1.26   0.207        0.559      14.770
         IL  |      1.107      0.348     0.32   0.746        0.598       2.049
         IN  |    215.982     61.782    18.79   0.000      123.291     378.360
         IA  |      0.102      0.014   -16.75   0.000        0.078       0.133
         KS  |      1.042      0.273     0.16   0.874        0.624       1.742
         LA  |     39.773      7.293    20.09   0.000       27.766      56.972
         ME  |      1.052      0.959     0.06   0.956        0.176       6.274
         MD  |    196.918     75.750    13.73   0.000       92.650     418.529
         MA  |   2.62e+05  88771.537    36.87   0.000     1.35e+05    5.09e+05
         MI  |     15.220     18.133     2.29   0.022        1.473     157.231
         MN  |      0.009      0.002   -17.65   0.000        0.005       0.015
         MS  |      0.363      0.040    -9.26   0.000        0.293       0.450
         MO  |      0.056      0.022    -7.25   0.000        0.025       0.121
         MT  |     11.542      1.130    24.99   0.000        9.527      13.984
         NE  |      0.031      0.006   -17.21   0.000        0.021       0.046
         NV  |     33.629     64.999     1.82   0.069        0.761    1485.681
         NH  |     77.688     49.307     6.86   0.000       22.393     269.523
         NJ  |      1.725      0.548     1.72   0.086        0.926       3.214
         NM  |      0.018      0.003   -21.59   0.000        0.013       0.026
         NY  |     12.938      2.095    15.81   0.000        9.419      17.770
         NC  |      7.107      1.329    10.49   0.000        4.927      10.252
         ND  |     34.113     20.479     5.88   0.000       10.517     110.644
         OH  |      0.001      0.000   -12.92   0.000        0.000       0.003
         OR  |      2.900      1.750     1.76   0.078        0.889       9.465
         PA  |      0.073      0.005   -37.06   0.000        0.063       0.084
         SC  |      0.417      0.197    -1.85   0.065        0.165       1.054
         TN  |      0.021      0.002   -47.86   0.000        0.018       0.025
         TX  |      5.202      0.341    25.19   0.000        4.576       5.915
         UT  |      0.255      0.059    -5.88   0.000        0.161       0.402
         VT  |      2.529      0.960     2.45   0.014        1.202       5.321
         VA  |      0.008      0.001   -29.86   0.000        0.006       0.011
         WA  |      0.104      0.018   -13.31   0.000        0.075       0.145
         WV  |      0.008      0.001   -37.06   0.000        0.006       0.010
         WI  |     91.129     16.120    25.51   0.000       64.430     128.893
         WY  |      0.002      0.001    -9.97   0.000        0.001       0.007
             |
     quarter |      0.971      0.031    -0.94   0.346        0.913       1.032
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     1.12   0.263        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.136      0.009    16.02   0.000        1.118       1.153
         AZ  |      0.977      0.010    -2.37   0.018        0.958       0.996
         AR  |      1.014      0.000    30.83   0.000        1.013       1.015
         CA  |      0.994      0.003    -1.82   0.069        0.988       1.000
         CO  |      0.928      0.007   -10.49   0.000        0.915       0.941
         CT  |      0.972      0.003   -10.28   0.000        0.967       0.978
         DE  |      1.047      0.008     5.76   0.000        1.031       1.064
         FL  |      0.956      0.006    -6.68   0.000        0.943       0.969
         HI  |      0.925      0.006   -11.48   0.000        0.912       0.937
         ID  |      0.989      0.009    -1.31   0.192        0.972       1.006
         IL  |      0.994      0.004    -1.58   0.115        0.987       1.001
         IN  |      0.934      0.003   -20.07   0.000        0.927       0.940
         IA  |      1.028      0.002    15.31   0.000        1.024       1.031
         KS  |      0.997      0.003    -1.01   0.312        0.991       1.003
         LA  |      0.951      0.002   -23.89   0.000        0.947       0.955
         ME  |      0.997      0.011    -0.26   0.798        0.977       1.018
         MD  |      0.940      0.004   -14.97   0.000        0.932       0.948
         MA  |      0.852      0.003   -45.64   0.000        0.846       0.858
         MI  |      0.966      0.015    -2.26   0.024        0.938       0.995
         MN  |      1.057      0.003    19.92   0.000        1.052       1.063
         MS  |      1.007      0.001     5.32   0.000        1.004       1.010
         MO  |      1.037      0.005     7.40   0.000        1.027       1.047
         MT  |      0.975      0.002   -13.59   0.000        0.971       0.978
         NE  |      1.050      0.002    23.20   0.000        1.046       1.054
         NV  |      0.968      0.021    -1.46   0.145        0.927       1.011
         NH  |      0.936      0.006    -9.57   0.000        0.924       0.949
         NJ  |      0.982      0.003    -5.61   0.000        0.975       0.988
         NM  |      1.045      0.002    27.47   0.000        1.042       1.049
         NY  |      0.955      0.002   -18.32   0.000        0.951       0.960
         NC  |      0.974      0.002   -13.80   0.000        0.971       0.978
         ND  |      0.953      0.007    -6.17   0.000        0.939       0.968
         OH  |      1.081      0.007    11.81   0.000        1.067       1.096
         OR  |      0.987      0.006    -2.05   0.040        0.974       0.999
         PA  |      1.025      0.001    39.45   0.000        1.023       1.026
         SC  |      1.009      0.005     1.71   0.087        0.999       1.020
         TN  |      1.044      0.001    42.28   0.000        1.042       1.046
         TX  |      0.978      0.002   -14.35   0.000        0.975       0.981
         UT  |      1.021      0.002     8.68   0.000        1.016       1.025
         VT  |      0.979      0.004    -5.08   0.000        0.971       0.987
         VA  |      1.061      0.002    38.36   0.000        1.058       1.064
         WA  |      1.033      0.002    17.09   0.000        1.029       1.037
         WV  |      1.050      0.001    35.20   0.000        1.048       1.053
         WI  |      0.944      0.002   -32.30   0.000        0.941       0.948
         WY  |      1.081      0.009     8.97   0.000        1.063       1.100
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -15.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     2.20   0.028        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -21.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000     0.76   0.446        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    11.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    14.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -6.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     7.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    10.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     1.80   0.072        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000     0.86   0.390        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    20.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -15.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     1.61   0.107        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    28.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000     0.22   0.828        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    16.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    60.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     2.21   0.027        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -26.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -1.89   0.059        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -7.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     9.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -36.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     1.22   0.221        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    13.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     7.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -39.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    15.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    21.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     5.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -11.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     2.85   0.004        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -54.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    -1.79   0.074        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -39.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     6.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -11.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000     8.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -58.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -20.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -35.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    48.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    -7.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |    577.187   1467.336     2.50   0.012        3.957   84189.561
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.43       0.34     1.26   0.209        -0.24        1.09
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -24.74       1.20   -20.68   0.000       -27.09      -22.40
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -14.59       1.56    -9.35   0.000       -17.65      -11.54
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -4.37       0.87    -5.04   0.000        -6.07       -2.67
       >=65  |      -3.42       1.45    -2.36   0.018        -6.26       -0.58
             |
      season |
     spring  |       2.01       0.22     9.32   0.000         1.59        2.43
     summer  |       2.45       0.18    13.37   0.000         2.09        2.81
       fall  |       0.53       0.21     2.46   0.014         0.11        0.95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -79668.048                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2782

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.046      0.025     1.86   0.062        0.998       1.097
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.179      0.004   -86.20   0.000        0.172       0.186
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.418      0.042    -8.72   0.000        0.343       0.508
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.786      0.034    -5.61   0.000        0.722       0.855
       >=65  |      0.832      0.065    -2.35   0.019        0.714       0.970
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.096      0.049     2.05   0.041        1.004       1.196
     summer  |      1.072      0.032     2.30   0.022        1.010       1.137
       fall  |      1.020      0.035     0.58   0.565        0.953       1.092
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.042      0.047     0.91   0.365        0.954       1.138
       1996  |      0.979      0.065    -0.31   0.753        0.860       1.115
       1997  |      1.027      0.090     0.30   0.766        0.864       1.220
       1998  |      0.976      0.111    -0.21   0.833        0.782       1.220
       1999  |      0.962      0.108    -0.35   0.726        0.772       1.198
       2000  |      1.012      0.148     0.08   0.935        0.759       1.349
       2001  |      0.993      0.166    -0.04   0.969        0.716       1.379
       2002  |      0.892      0.166    -0.62   0.537        0.619       1.284
       2003  |      0.916      0.204    -0.39   0.693        0.591       1.418
       2004  |      0.859      0.200    -0.65   0.514        0.545       1.355
       2005  |      0.825      0.209    -0.76   0.448        0.503       1.354
       2006  |      0.792      0.213    -0.87   0.384        0.468       1.340
       2007  |      0.802      0.218    -0.81   0.418        0.471       1.367
       2008  |      0.817      0.234    -0.71   0.480        0.466       1.432
       2009  |      0.715      0.228    -1.05   0.292        0.383       1.334
       2010  |      0.715      0.237    -1.01   0.311        0.374       1.368
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      0.995      0.043    -0.12   0.904        0.914       1.083
spring#1996  |      1.069      0.061     1.17   0.241        0.956       1.196
spring#1997  |      1.038      0.076     0.51   0.611        0.899       1.199
spring#1998  |      1.050      0.092     0.56   0.578        0.884       1.246
spring#1999  |      1.017      0.061     0.27   0.783        0.903       1.145
spring#2000  |      1.022      0.058     0.39   0.697        0.915       1.142
spring#2001  |      1.014      0.061     0.23   0.820        0.901       1.141
spring#2002  |      1.068      0.064     1.09   0.274        0.949       1.201
spring#2003  |      0.987      0.055    -0.25   0.806        0.885       1.099
spring#2004  |      1.000      0.049    -0.01   0.994        0.907       1.101
spring#2005  |      1.045      0.064     0.72   0.472        0.927       1.178
spring#2006  |      1.024      0.058     0.42   0.678        0.916       1.144
spring#2007  |      1.073      0.072     1.05   0.296        0.941       1.223
spring#2008  |      0.988      0.059    -0.20   0.842        0.880       1.110
spring#2009  |      1.012      0.066     0.18   0.857        0.891       1.149
spring#2010  |      1.010      0.072     0.13   0.893        0.878       1.161
summer#1995  |      1.101      0.040     2.63   0.009        1.025       1.184
summer#1996  |      1.118      0.050     2.46   0.014        1.023       1.221
summer#1997  |      1.019      0.052     0.36   0.718        0.922       1.125
summer#1998  |      1.099      0.059     1.76   0.078        0.989       1.222
summer#1999  |      1.099      0.046     2.24   0.025        1.012       1.193
summer#2000  |      1.075      0.070     1.11   0.268        0.946       1.220
summer#2001  |      1.017      0.052     0.32   0.750        0.919       1.125
summer#2002  |      1.194      0.047     4.53   0.000        1.106       1.289
summer#2003  |      1.067      0.061     1.13   0.258        0.954       1.194
summer#2004  |      1.057      0.062     0.95   0.343        0.942       1.186
summer#2005  |      1.017      0.045     0.38   0.702        0.932       1.110
summer#2006  |      1.021      0.058     0.37   0.712        0.913       1.142
summer#2007  |      1.086      0.055     1.62   0.106        0.983       1.200
summer#2008  |      1.029      0.058     0.51   0.613        0.921       1.149
summer#2009  |      1.083      0.064     1.35   0.176        0.965       1.216
summer#2010  |      1.138      0.066     2.23   0.026        1.016       1.275
  fall#1995  |      0.948      0.059    -0.86   0.390        0.839       1.071
  fall#1996  |      1.027      0.056     0.49   0.624        0.923       1.144
  fall#1997  |      1.035      0.040     0.87   0.382        0.958       1.117
  fall#1998  |      1.013      0.060     0.21   0.830        0.902       1.137
  fall#1999  |      1.057      0.058     1.01   0.313        0.949       1.178
  fall#2000  |      1.001      0.063     0.01   0.989        0.885       1.132
  fall#2001  |      0.939      0.058    -1.03   0.302        0.832       1.059
  fall#2002  |      1.043      0.055     0.80   0.421        0.941       1.155
  fall#2003  |      0.911      0.047    -1.79   0.073        0.823       1.009
  fall#2004  |      1.083      0.058     1.49   0.135        0.976       1.202
  fall#2005  |      1.024      0.060     0.41   0.685        0.912       1.150
  fall#2006  |      1.054      0.069     0.81   0.419        0.928       1.198
  fall#2007  |      1.085      0.068     1.31   0.192        0.960       1.226
  fall#2008  |      0.974      0.044    -0.59   0.558        0.891       1.064
  fall#2009  |      1.056      0.067     0.86   0.388        0.933       1.195
  fall#2010  |      0.966      0.082    -0.41   0.684        0.818       1.141
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |   1.03e+10   3.26e+10     7.32   0.000     2.16e+07    4.96e+12
         AZ  |   3.09e+27   1.62e+28    12.08   0.000     1.07e+23    8.93e+31
         AR  |     20.526     25.858     2.40   0.016        1.738     242.436
         CA  |   1.25e+25   1.18e+25    61.37   0.000     1.98e+24    7.92e+25
         CO  |   3.50e+11   1.23e+12     7.56   0.000     3.56e+08    3.44e+14
         CT  |   7.16e+41   1.00e+42    68.65   0.000     4.57e+40    1.12e+43
         DE  |   2.32e+15   1.50e+15    54.81   0.000     6.54e+14    8.22e+15
         FL  |   3.03e+11   1.40e+12     5.72   0.000     3.56e+07    2.59e+15
         HI  |   7.84e+09   5.07e+10     3.52   0.000    24231.681    2.54e+15
         ID  |   1.96e+25   1.74e+26     6.54   0.000     5.13e+17    7.47e+32
         IL  |   1.99e+14   4.31e+14    15.22   0.000     2.87e+12    1.38e+16
         IN  |   7806.509   8846.902     7.91   0.000      846.864   71961.498
         IA  |   1.06e+08   2.19e+08     8.93   0.000     1.83e+06    6.10e+09
         KS  |   2.69e+43   1.02e+44    26.37   0.000     1.59e+40    4.55e+46
         LA  |   2.34e+25   8.25e+25    16.54   0.000     2.31e+22    2.37e+28
         ME  |      0.000      0.000   -25.65   0.000        0.000       0.000
         MD  |   8.85e+14   2.36e+15    12.89   0.000     4.73e+12    1.66e+17
         MA  |   3.16e+16   1.28e+17     9.34   0.000     1.09e+13    9.13e+19
         MI  |      3.486     17.044     0.26   0.798        0.000   50560.912
         MN  |   2.72e+28   2.68e+28    66.54   0.000     3.96e+27    1.87e+29
         MS  |   3560.618   6357.861     4.58   0.000      107.551    1.18e+05
         MO  |   5.68e+08   1.01e+09    11.29   0.000     1.71e+07    1.88e+10
         MT  |   2.57e+11   1.15e+12     5.90   0.000     4.17e+07    1.59e+15
         NE  |   4.21e+12   7.49e+12    16.31   0.000     1.28e+11    1.38e+14
         NV  |   1.13e+21   1.54e+22     3.56   0.000     2.82e+09    4.50e+32
         NH  |   8.42e+26   1.23e+27    42.61   0.000     4.86e+25    1.46e+28
         NJ  |   4.77e+12   3.55e+12    39.23   0.000     1.11e+12    2.05e+13
         NM  |   2.74e+50   1.29e+51    24.61   0.000     2.63e+46    2.85e+54
         NY  |   1.84e+13   2.13e+13    26.43   0.000     1.91e+12    1.77e+14
         NC  |   1.04e+11   1.64e+11    16.17   0.000     4.82e+09    2.26e+12
         ND  |      0.000      0.000    -6.15   0.000        0.000       0.000
         OH  |   1.78e+07   1.64e+07    18.04   0.000     2.90e+06    1.09e+08
         OR  |      0.130      0.058    -4.56   0.000        0.054       0.313
         PA  |   3935.499   1759.776    18.51   0.000     1638.254    9454.060
         SC  |      0.002      0.002    -7.76   0.000        0.000       0.010
         TN  |   1.78e+14   1.04e+14    56.21   0.000     5.67e+13    5.59e+14
         TX  |   1.65e+06   5.34e+06     4.42   0.000     2904.402    9.38e+08
         UT  |   2147.887   1706.181     9.66   0.000      452.748   10189.812
         VT  |      0.000      0.000   -58.50   0.000        0.000       0.000
         VA  |      0.000      0.000   -15.99   0.000        0.000       0.000
         WA  |   2.59e+08   4.90e+08    10.23   0.000     6.32e+06    1.06e+10
         WV  |   5.53e+24   5.88e+24    53.63   0.000     6.90e+23    4.44e+25
         WI  |   1.87e+12   2.02e+12    26.11   0.000     2.24e+11    1.56e+13
         WY  |     17.986     77.911     0.67   0.505        0.004   87535.085
             |
     quarter |      1.183      0.324     0.61   0.539        0.692       2.024
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.002    -0.62   0.535        0.996       1.002
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     0.65   0.512        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.623      0.033    -9.02   0.000        0.562       0.690
         AZ  |      0.323      0.033   -11.04   0.000        0.264       0.395
         AR  |      0.936      0.021    -2.89   0.004        0.895       0.979
         CA  |      0.350      0.007   -51.50   0.000        0.336       0.364
         CO  |      0.645      0.037    -7.57   0.000        0.576       0.723
         CT  |      0.174      0.004   -76.36   0.000        0.167       0.182
         DE  |      0.515      0.008   -44.02   0.000        0.500       0.530
         FL  |      0.629      0.055    -5.25   0.000        0.529       0.748
         HI  |      0.699      0.079    -3.16   0.002        0.560       0.873
         ID  |      0.350      0.059    -6.23   0.000        0.252       0.487
         IL  |      0.549      0.020   -16.43   0.000        0.511       0.589
         IN  |      0.873      0.016    -7.39   0.000        0.842       0.905
         IA  |      0.707      0.027    -9.17   0.000        0.657       0.761
         KS  |      0.164      0.011   -27.30   0.000        0.144       0.187
         LA  |      0.355      0.023   -15.96   0.000        0.313       0.403
         ME  |      1.771      0.053    19.23   0.000        1.671       1.877
         MD  |      0.554      0.029   -11.40   0.000        0.500       0.613
         MA  |      0.536      0.038    -8.89   0.000        0.467       0.615
         MI  |      0.985      0.079    -0.18   0.855        0.842       1.153
         MN  |      0.297      0.005   -77.78   0.000        0.288       0.306
         MS  |      0.853      0.028    -4.88   0.000        0.800       0.909
         MO  |      0.683      0.020   -12.86   0.000        0.644       0.724
         MT  |      0.634      0.051    -5.65   0.000        0.541       0.743
         NE  |      0.582      0.018   -17.68   0.000        0.549       0.618
         NV  |      0.425      0.111    -3.28   0.001        0.255       0.709
         NH  |      0.330      0.008   -48.04   0.000        0.315       0.345
         NJ  |      0.584      0.010   -33.04   0.000        0.566       0.603
         NM  |      0.121      0.010   -24.37   0.000        0.102       0.143
         NY  |      0.577      0.012   -25.81   0.000        0.553       0.602
         NC  |      0.637      0.017   -17.03   0.000        0.605       0.671
         ND  |      1.611      0.126     6.10   0.000        1.382       1.878
         OH  |      0.703      0.009   -26.88   0.000        0.685       0.721
         OR  |      1.038      0.009     4.37   0.000        1.021       1.055
         PA  |      0.841      0.007   -22.32   0.000        0.828       0.854
         SC  |      1.106      0.013     8.33   0.000        1.080       1.132
         TN  |      0.539      0.006   -60.34   0.000        0.528       0.550
         TX  |      0.778      0.045    -4.38   0.000        0.695       0.870
         UT  |      0.864      0.012   -10.89   0.000        0.842       0.887
         VT  |      2.957      0.050    64.25   0.000        2.861       3.057
         VA  |      1.307      0.024    14.42   0.000        1.261       1.356
         WA  |      0.698      0.023   -10.91   0.000        0.655       0.745
         WV  |      0.344      0.006   -58.62   0.000        0.332       0.357
         WI  |      0.614      0.013   -22.97   0.000        0.589       0.640
         WY  |      0.921      0.069    -1.09   0.274        0.795       1.067
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.000    11.28   0.000        1.003       1.004
         AZ  |      1.007      0.001    10.25   0.000        1.005       1.008
         AR  |      1.000      0.000     3.25   0.001        1.000       1.001
         CA  |      1.006      0.000    45.73   0.000        1.006       1.007
         CO  |      1.002      0.000     7.66   0.000        1.002       1.003
         CT  |      1.010      0.000    82.64   0.000        1.010       1.011
         DE  |      1.004      0.000    35.46   0.000        1.004       1.004
         FL  |      1.003      0.001     4.80   0.000        1.002       1.004
         HI  |      1.002      0.001     2.85   0.004        1.001       1.003
         ID  |      1.006      0.001     5.99   0.000        1.004       1.008
         IL  |      1.004      0.000    17.57   0.000        1.003       1.004
         IN  |      1.001      0.000     6.42   0.000        1.000       1.001
         IA  |      1.002      0.000     9.30   0.000        1.002       1.003
         KS  |      1.011      0.000    28.20   0.000        1.010       1.012
         LA  |      1.006      0.000    15.31   0.000        1.005       1.007
         ME  |      0.997      0.000   -15.45   0.000        0.996       0.997
         MD  |      1.003      0.000    10.18   0.000        1.003       1.004
         MA  |      1.003      0.000     8.07   0.000        1.002       1.004
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     0.08   0.936        0.999       1.001
         MN  |      1.007      0.000    89.25   0.000        1.007       1.008
         MS  |      1.001      0.000     5.02   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      1.002      0.000    14.90   0.000        1.002       1.003
         MT  |      1.003      0.000     5.52   0.000        1.002       1.004
         NE  |      1.003      0.000    19.24   0.000        1.003       1.004
         NV  |      1.005      0.002     3.08   0.002        1.002       1.008
         NH  |      1.006      0.000    51.53   0.000        1.006       1.007
         NJ  |      1.003      0.000    28.42   0.000        1.003       1.003
         NM  |      1.013      0.001    24.26   0.000        1.012       1.014
         NY  |      1.003      0.000    23.45   0.000        1.003       1.003
         NC  |      1.003      0.000    17.66   0.000        1.002       1.003
         ND  |      0.997      0.000    -6.11   0.000        0.996       0.998
         OH  |      1.002      0.000    41.48   0.000        1.002       1.002
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -3.31   0.001        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.001      0.000    24.54   0.000        1.001       1.001
         SC  |      0.999      0.000    -8.41   0.000        0.999       1.000
         TN  |      1.004      0.000    64.47   0.000        1.004       1.004
         TX  |      1.001      0.000     4.15   0.000        1.001       1.002
         UT  |      1.001      0.000    11.87   0.000        1.001       1.001
         VT  |      0.994      0.000   -69.35   0.000        0.993       0.994
         VA  |      0.999      0.000   -12.72   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WA  |      1.002      0.000    11.77   0.000        1.002       1.003
         WV  |      1.007      0.000    63.15   0.000        1.006       1.007
         WI  |      1.003      0.000    20.34   0.000        1.002       1.003
         WY  |      1.001      0.000     1.67   0.095        1.000       1.002
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -13.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -9.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    -3.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -42.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    -7.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -86.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -30.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -4.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -2.56   0.010        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -5.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -18.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -5.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    -9.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -29.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -14.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    13.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -9.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    -7.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     0.05   0.960        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -97.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -5.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -17.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -5.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -20.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -2.94   0.003        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -52.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -25.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -24.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000   -20.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -17.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     6.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -64.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     2.99   0.003        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -25.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000     7.73   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -67.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    -3.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -12.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    72.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    11.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -12.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -66.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -18.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    -2.33   0.020        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.008      0.119    -0.32   0.745        0.000    3.65e+10
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.80       0.43     1.87   0.062        -0.04        1.64
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -24.75       1.20   -20.68   0.000       -27.10      -22.41
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -14.60       1.56    -9.35   0.000       -17.66      -11.54
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -4.37       0.87    -5.04   0.000        -6.07       -2.67
       >=65  |      -3.42       1.45    -2.36   0.018        -6.26       -0.58
             |
      season |
     spring  |       2.01       0.22     9.32   0.000         1.59        2.43
     summer  |       2.45       0.18    13.34   0.000         2.09        2.81
       fall  |       0.53       0.21     2.45   0.014         0.11        0.95
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.
(output written to suic-econ-atable2-educa3_1.txt)
-> Group = HS Grad

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =      14.81
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0001
Log pseudolikelihood = -169218.63                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0047

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |  -.0496234   .0128949    -3.85   0.000     -.074897   -.0243497
       _cons |   2.304475   .1908162    12.08   0.000     1.930482    2.678468
  logpop100y |          1  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -1.00       0.26    -3.81   0.000        -1.51       -0.49
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(5)    =   14393.44
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -119086.91                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2996

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.960      0.012    -3.17   0.002        0.937       0.985
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.213      0.005   -68.46   0.000        0.204       0.223
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.465      0.023   -15.53   0.000        0.422       0.512
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.990      0.036    -0.28   0.777        0.921       1.063
       >=65  |      0.979      0.054    -0.38   0.706        0.878       1.092
             |
       _cons |     21.631      3.749    17.74   0.000       15.402      30.380
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.68       0.21    -3.20   0.001        -1.09       -0.26
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -21.75       0.74   -29.44   0.000       -23.20      -20.30
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -12.25       0.88   -13.94   0.000       -13.97      -10.53
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -0.17       0.62    -0.28   0.777        -1.38        1.03
       >=65  |      -0.35       0.93    -0.38   0.705        -2.17        1.47
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -115059.21                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3232

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.029      0.008     3.53   0.000        1.013       1.046
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.213      0.005   -69.93   0.000        0.204       0.223
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.461      0.023   -15.47   0.000        0.418       0.509
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.000      0.038     0.01   0.991        0.929       1.078
       >=65  |      0.987      0.054    -0.24   0.812        0.887       1.099
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.693      0.021    41.55   0.000        1.652       1.736
         AZ  |      1.660      0.054    15.47   0.000        1.557       1.771
         AR  |      1.048      0.005     9.02   0.000        1.037       1.058
         CA  |      1.007      0.009     0.88   0.380        0.991       1.024
         CO  |      1.600      0.042    17.93   0.000        1.519       1.684
         CT  |      0.823      0.007   -21.86   0.000        0.809       0.838
         DE  |      1.002      0.009     0.20   0.840        0.984       1.020
         FL  |      1.244      0.013    21.19   0.000        1.219       1.269
         HI  |      1.354      0.044     9.36   0.000        1.271       1.443
         ID  |      1.338      0.051     7.59   0.000        1.241       1.443
         IL  |      0.768      0.005   -39.36   0.000        0.758       0.778
         IN  |      0.949      0.007    -6.68   0.000        0.935       0.964
         IA  |      0.836      0.006   -27.06   0.000        0.825       0.847
         KS  |      1.042      0.006     6.67   0.000        1.029       1.054
         LA  |      0.912      0.005   -15.69   0.000        0.902       0.923
         ME  |      0.915      0.008    -9.66   0.000        0.898       0.931
         MD  |      0.907      0.007   -12.52   0.000        0.893       0.921
         MA  |      0.766      0.013   -16.21   0.000        0.742       0.791
         MI  |      0.926      0.008    -8.62   0.000        0.909       0.942
         MN  |      0.856      0.009   -14.61   0.000        0.838       0.874
         MS  |      1.092      0.006    15.00   0.000        1.080       1.105
         MO  |      1.030      0.007     4.31   0.000        1.016       1.045
         MT  |      1.445      0.017    31.99   0.000        1.413       1.478
         NE  |      0.857      0.009   -14.30   0.000        0.839       0.875
         NV  |      2.035      0.098    14.78   0.000        1.852       2.236
         NH  |      1.077      0.030     2.69   0.007        1.020       1.136
         NJ  |      0.651      0.004   -62.56   0.000        0.642       0.660
         NM  |      1.420      0.026    18.88   0.000        1.369       1.472
         NY  |      0.644      0.002  -180.28   0.000        0.641       0.647
         NC  |      1.064      0.014     4.83   0.000        1.037       1.091
         ND  |      0.857      0.008   -16.97   0.000        0.841       0.872
         OH  |      0.850      0.006   -22.09   0.000        0.838       0.862
         OR  |      1.489      0.047    12.69   0.000        1.401       1.584
         PA  |      0.905      0.005   -18.73   0.000        0.896       0.915
         SC  |      1.015      0.011     1.43   0.153        0.994       1.037
         TN  |      1.120      0.009    13.95   0.000        1.102       1.138
         TX  |      0.973      0.017    -1.52   0.129        0.940       1.008
         UT  |      1.474      0.046    12.39   0.000        1.387       1.568
         VT  |      0.938      0.008    -7.18   0.000        0.922       0.954
         VA  |      1.043      0.008     5.86   0.000        1.028       1.058
         WA  |      1.172      0.011    17.03   0.000        1.151       1.194
         WV  |      0.917      0.006   -13.11   0.000        0.905       0.929
         WI  |      0.940      0.016    -3.63   0.000        0.909       0.972
         WY  |      1.443      0.016    32.19   0.000        1.412       1.476
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.082      0.039     2.20   0.027        1.009       1.160
     summer  |      1.065      0.030     2.24   0.025        1.008       1.125
       fall  |      1.092      0.026     3.76   0.000        1.043       1.144
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.015      0.032     0.48   0.631        0.954       1.080
       1996  |      1.056      0.034     1.69   0.092        0.991       1.126
       1997  |      1.090      0.045     2.09   0.036        1.005       1.182
       1998  |      1.167      0.040     4.55   0.000        1.092       1.247
       1999  |      1.087      0.041     2.19   0.029        1.009       1.171
       2000  |      1.119      0.044     2.89   0.004        1.037       1.208
       2001  |      1.085      0.049     1.82   0.069        0.994       1.185
       2002  |      1.182      0.044     4.46   0.000        1.098       1.272
       2003  |      1.112      0.049     2.39   0.017        1.019       1.213
       2004  |      1.123      0.059     2.21   0.027        1.013       1.246
       2005  |      1.163      0.061     2.88   0.004        1.050       1.289
       2006  |      1.164      0.060     2.93   0.003        1.051       1.288
       2007  |      1.196      0.063     3.41   0.001        1.079       1.326
       2008  |      1.266      0.063     4.75   0.000        1.149       1.395
       2009  |      1.220      0.054     4.49   0.000        1.119       1.330
       2010  |      1.194      0.052     4.08   0.000        1.097       1.301
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.042      0.052     0.83   0.409        0.945       1.150
spring#1996  |      1.003      0.046     0.07   0.942        0.917       1.098
spring#1997  |      0.971      0.052    -0.56   0.573        0.875       1.077
spring#1998  |      0.894      0.041    -2.42   0.016        0.817       0.979
spring#1999  |      0.950      0.047    -1.04   0.300        0.863       1.047
spring#2000  |      0.976      0.038    -0.64   0.525        0.904       1.053
spring#2001  |      1.028      0.042     0.67   0.505        0.948       1.114
spring#2002  |      0.974      0.046    -0.56   0.573        0.888       1.068
spring#2003  |      1.009      0.053     0.17   0.868        0.910       1.119
spring#2004  |      1.009      0.042     0.22   0.829        0.930       1.095
spring#2005  |      0.990      0.050    -0.19   0.848        0.896       1.094
spring#2006  |      1.009      0.042     0.23   0.822        0.930       1.096
spring#2007  |      0.998      0.049    -0.04   0.969        0.907       1.098
spring#2008  |      1.007      0.039     0.17   0.867        0.932       1.087
spring#2009  |      0.977      0.038    -0.59   0.557        0.905       1.055
spring#2010  |      1.054      0.032     1.75   0.080        0.994       1.118
summer#1995  |      1.058      0.041     1.47   0.141        0.981       1.141
summer#1996  |      1.049      0.049     1.02   0.309        0.956       1.151
summer#1997  |      0.976      0.043    -0.54   0.589        0.896       1.065
summer#1998  |      0.955      0.028    -1.55   0.121        0.901       1.012
summer#1999  |      1.001      0.046     0.03   0.979        0.915       1.096
summer#2000  |      0.970      0.036    -0.82   0.414        0.903       1.043
summer#2001  |      1.099      0.036     2.84   0.005        1.030       1.172
summer#2002  |      0.999      0.037    -0.02   0.983        0.928       1.075
summer#2003  |      1.045      0.039     1.18   0.237        0.971       1.125
summer#2004  |      1.064      0.047     1.42   0.155        0.977       1.160
summer#2005  |      1.032      0.046     0.71   0.477        0.946       1.126
summer#2006  |      1.063      0.044     1.47   0.141        0.980       1.154
summer#2007  |      1.057      0.045     1.30   0.192        0.972       1.149
summer#2008  |      1.040      0.033     1.24   0.216        0.977       1.108
summer#2009  |      1.053      0.044     1.24   0.215        0.970       1.142
summer#2010  |      1.113      0.044     2.74   0.006        1.031       1.202
  fall#1995  |      0.979      0.043    -0.48   0.630        0.899       1.066
  fall#1996  |      0.930      0.035    -1.91   0.057        0.863       1.002
  fall#1997  |      0.923      0.037    -1.98   0.048        0.852       0.999
  fall#1998  |      0.870      0.034    -3.52   0.000        0.806       0.940
  fall#1999  |      0.919      0.036    -2.17   0.030        0.852       0.992
  fall#2000  |      0.854      0.031    -4.35   0.000        0.795       0.917
  fall#2001  |      0.984      0.040    -0.39   0.695        0.910       1.065
  fall#2002  |      0.931      0.026    -2.56   0.011        0.881       0.983
  fall#2003  |      0.932      0.035    -1.87   0.062        0.866       1.003
  fall#2004  |      0.962      0.045    -0.82   0.414        0.877       1.055
  fall#2005  |      0.931      0.035    -1.90   0.058        0.865       1.002
  fall#2006  |      0.987      0.038    -0.34   0.734        0.915       1.064
  fall#2007  |      0.976      0.038    -0.62   0.537        0.904       1.054
  fall#2008  |      0.921      0.029    -2.64   0.008        0.866       0.979
  fall#2009  |      0.929      0.035    -1.92   0.054        0.862       1.001
  fall#2010  |      0.987      0.047    -0.27   0.790        0.899       1.085
             |
       _cons |     47.962      3.675    50.52   0.000       41.275      55.733
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.53       0.16     3.41   0.001         0.22        0.83
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -23.72       0.95   -24.89   0.000       -25.59      -21.85
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.48       0.83   -16.18   0.000       -15.11      -11.84
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       0.01       0.70     0.01   0.991        -1.36        1.37
       >=65  |      -0.24       1.00    -0.24   0.811        -2.19        1.71
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.29       0.13    10.21   0.000         1.04        1.54
     summer  |       1.75       0.17    10.21   0.000         1.41        2.09
       fall  |       0.50       0.14     3.48   0.001         0.22        0.78
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -114855.84                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3244

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.011      0.009     1.13   0.259        0.992       1.029
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.213      0.005   -69.80   0.000        0.204       0.223
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.462      0.023   -15.46   0.000        0.418       0.509
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.000      0.038    -0.01   0.992        0.928       1.076
       >=65  |      0.985      0.053    -0.28   0.776        0.886       1.095
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.081      0.039     2.18   0.029        1.008       1.159
     summer  |      1.067      0.031     2.24   0.025        1.008       1.128
       fall  |      1.097      0.026     3.87   0.000        1.047       1.149
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.027      0.036     0.77   0.439        0.959       1.100
       1996  |      1.084      0.043     2.03   0.042        1.003       1.172
       1997  |      1.131      0.063     2.20   0.028        1.013       1.261
       1998  |      1.222      0.064     3.80   0.000        1.102       1.355
       1999  |      1.150      0.078     2.07   0.038        1.008       1.313
       2000  |      1.198      0.086     2.51   0.012        1.040       1.379
       2001  |      1.183      0.106     1.88   0.060        0.993       1.410
       2002  |      1.319      0.123     2.98   0.003        1.099       1.583
       2003  |      1.265      0.143     2.08   0.037        1.014       1.578
       2004  |      1.297      0.162     2.08   0.037        1.015       1.655
       2005  |      1.358      0.185     2.24   0.025        1.040       1.775
       2006  |      1.375      0.193     2.27   0.023        1.044       1.810
       2007  |      1.432      0.205     2.51   0.012        1.082       1.895
       2008  |      1.550      0.240     2.84   0.005        1.145       2.098
       2009  |      1.548      0.276     2.45   0.014        1.091       2.196
       2010  |      1.555      0.291     2.36   0.018        1.078       2.244
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.042      0.052     0.82   0.412        0.945       1.149
spring#1996  |      1.003      0.046     0.07   0.942        0.917       1.098
spring#1997  |      0.971      0.052    -0.56   0.574        0.875       1.077
spring#1998  |      0.894      0.041    -2.42   0.016        0.816       0.979
spring#1999  |      0.951      0.047    -1.03   0.302        0.863       1.047
spring#2000  |      0.974      0.038    -0.66   0.508        0.902       1.052
spring#2001  |      1.026      0.043     0.61   0.540        0.945       1.113
spring#2002  |      0.973      0.046    -0.58   0.563        0.887       1.067
spring#2003  |      1.009      0.053     0.17   0.862        0.910       1.119
spring#2004  |      1.009      0.042     0.21   0.833        0.929       1.095
spring#2005  |      0.990      0.050    -0.20   0.844        0.896       1.094
spring#2006  |      1.009      0.042     0.22   0.829        0.930       1.095
spring#2007  |      0.997      0.049    -0.06   0.948        0.906       1.097
spring#2008  |      1.003      0.040     0.07   0.946        0.927       1.084
spring#2009  |      0.978      0.038    -0.58   0.565        0.905       1.056
spring#2010  |      1.053      0.032     1.71   0.087        0.993       1.118
summer#1995  |      1.059      0.041     1.50   0.133        0.983       1.142
summer#1996  |      1.050      0.050     1.03   0.305        0.957       1.151
summer#1997  |      0.976      0.043    -0.54   0.589        0.896       1.065
summer#1998  |      0.955      0.028    -1.54   0.123        0.901       1.013
summer#1999  |      1.002      0.046     0.04   0.969        0.915       1.097
summer#2000  |      0.970      0.036    -0.82   0.414        0.902       1.043
summer#2001  |      1.101      0.037     2.89   0.004        1.031       1.175
summer#2002  |      1.001      0.037     0.01   0.989        0.930       1.077
summer#2003  |      1.048      0.040     1.24   0.214        0.973       1.129
summer#2004  |      1.064      0.047     1.42   0.155        0.977       1.160
summer#2005  |      1.032      0.046     0.72   0.473        0.946       1.126
summer#2006  |      1.064      0.045     1.48   0.139        0.980       1.155
summer#2007  |      1.058      0.045     1.31   0.189        0.973       1.151
summer#2008  |      1.042      0.033     1.28   0.201        0.978       1.109
summer#2009  |      1.060      0.044     1.41   0.158        0.978       1.151
summer#2010  |      1.114      0.044     2.75   0.006        1.031       1.202
  fall#1995  |      0.981      0.043    -0.43   0.664        0.901       1.068
  fall#1996  |      0.931      0.036    -1.87   0.061        0.864       1.003
  fall#1997  |      0.923      0.037    -1.98   0.047        0.852       0.999
  fall#1998  |      0.871      0.034    -3.50   0.000        0.806       0.941
  fall#1999  |      0.920      0.036    -2.15   0.031        0.852       0.993
  fall#2000  |      0.855      0.031    -4.27   0.000        0.796       0.919
  fall#2001  |      0.991      0.039    -0.23   0.815        0.916       1.071
  fall#2002  |      0.935      0.026    -2.41   0.016        0.884       0.987
  fall#2003  |      0.935      0.036    -1.76   0.078        0.868       1.008
  fall#2004  |      0.963      0.046    -0.80   0.424        0.878       1.056
  fall#2005  |      0.932      0.035    -1.87   0.062        0.866       1.004
  fall#2006  |      0.988      0.038    -0.31   0.754        0.916       1.066
  fall#2007  |      0.979      0.039    -0.53   0.595        0.906       1.058
  fall#2008  |      0.928      0.029    -2.36   0.018        0.873       0.988
  fall#2009  |      0.940      0.037    -1.58   0.114        0.870       1.015
  fall#2010  |      0.989      0.047    -0.22   0.825        0.901       1.087
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      2.282      0.051    37.17   0.000        2.185       2.384
         AZ  |      3.384      0.358    11.52   0.000        2.750       4.164
         AR  |      0.873      0.012    -9.56   0.000        0.849       0.898
         CA  |      1.975      0.129    10.40   0.000        1.738       2.246
         CO  |      1.086      0.064     1.39   0.164        0.967       1.220
         CT  |      0.812      0.047    -3.59   0.000        0.724       0.910
         DE  |      0.989      0.023    -0.49   0.627        0.945       1.035
         FL  |      1.794      0.077    13.56   0.000        1.649       1.952
         HI  |      0.888      0.016    -6.67   0.000        0.858       0.920
         ID  |      0.584      0.076    -4.15   0.000        0.452       0.753
         IL  |      1.046      0.014     3.39   0.001        1.019       1.073
         IN  |      0.828      0.004   -38.26   0.000        0.820       0.836
         IA  |      0.885      0.018    -5.99   0.000        0.851       0.921
         KS  |      0.611      0.012   -24.74   0.000        0.588       0.636
         LA  |      1.434      0.024    21.72   0.000        1.388       1.482
         ME  |      0.914      0.020    -4.16   0.000        0.876       0.954
         MD  |      0.781      0.037    -5.24   0.000        0.712       0.857
         MA  |      0.502      0.031   -11.11   0.000        0.444       0.567
         MI  |      0.662      0.051    -5.33   0.000        0.569       0.771
         MN  |      0.353      0.017   -21.70   0.000        0.321       0.388
         MS  |      1.000      0.005     0.04   0.971        0.990       1.010
         MO  |      0.929      0.008    -8.29   0.000        0.913       0.945
         MT  |      1.724      0.128     7.34   0.000        1.491       1.994
         NE  |      0.898      0.039    -2.46   0.014        0.823       0.978
         NV  |      3.042      0.349     9.69   0.000        2.429       3.809
         NH  |      0.482      0.039    -8.96   0.000        0.411       0.565
         NJ  |      0.625      0.032    -9.25   0.000        0.566       0.690
         NM  |      1.098      0.082     1.25   0.210        0.949       1.270
         NY  |      1.038      0.047     0.83   0.406        0.951       1.134
         NC  |      0.771      0.034    -5.82   0.000        0.706       0.841
         ND  |      0.701      0.041    -6.11   0.000        0.625       0.786
         OH  |      0.576      0.005   -63.18   0.000        0.567       0.586
         OR  |      1.502      0.136     4.51   0.000        1.259       1.793
         PA  |      1.019      0.026     0.75   0.454        0.969       1.072
         SC  |      0.913      0.033    -2.52   0.012        0.850       0.980
         TN  |      0.610      0.012   -24.79   0.000        0.587       0.635
         TX  |      1.344      0.103     3.84   0.000        1.156       1.563
         UT  |      1.569      0.146     4.85   0.000        1.308       1.883
         VT  |      0.440      0.011   -31.99   0.000        0.419       0.463
         VA  |      0.877      0.037    -3.12   0.002        0.808       0.952
         WA  |      1.178      0.056     3.45   0.001        1.073       1.293
         WV  |      0.471      0.007   -48.31   0.000        0.457       0.486
         WI  |      0.476      0.023   -15.19   0.000        0.433       0.524
         WY  |      0.722      0.090    -2.62   0.009        0.566       0.921
             |
     quarter |      0.995      0.003    -1.66   0.098        0.990       1.001
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.998      0.000   -43.47   0.000        0.998       0.999
         AZ  |      0.995      0.001    -5.59   0.000        0.994       0.997
         AR  |      1.001      0.000     9.69   0.000        1.001       1.001
         CA  |      0.996      0.000    -9.44   0.000        0.995       0.997
         CO  |      1.002      0.001     3.86   0.000        1.001       1.003
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.07   0.941        0.999       1.001
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -0.21   0.832        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      0.998      0.000    -7.39   0.000        0.997       0.998
         HI  |      1.003      0.000    20.31   0.000        1.002       1.003
         ID  |      1.004      0.001     4.34   0.000        1.002       1.006
         IL  |      0.998      0.000   -18.56   0.000        0.998       0.998
         IN  |      1.001      0.000    20.26   0.000        1.001       1.001
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    -3.31   0.001        0.999       1.000
         KS  |      1.003      0.000    24.26   0.000        1.003       1.003
         LA  |      0.997      0.000   -19.24   0.000        0.997       0.998
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -0.56   0.578        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.001      0.000     2.35   0.019        1.000       1.001
         MA  |      1.002      0.000     4.97   0.000        1.001       1.003
         MI  |      1.002      0.000     4.56   0.000        1.001       1.003
         MN  |      1.005      0.000    15.35   0.000        1.004       1.006
         MS  |      1.000      0.000     6.41   0.000        1.000       1.001
         MO  |      1.001      0.000    19.24   0.000        1.000       1.001
         MT  |      0.999      0.000    -2.39   0.017        0.998       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -1.33   0.182        0.999       1.000
         NV  |      0.997      0.001    -3.02   0.003        0.995       0.999
         NH  |      1.004      0.001     6.79   0.000        1.003       1.006
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     0.45   0.653        0.999       1.001
         NM  |      1.001      0.001     2.35   0.019        1.000       1.002
         NY  |      0.997      0.000   -10.96   0.000        0.997       0.998
         NC  |      1.002      0.000     4.99   0.000        1.001       1.002
         ND  |      1.001      0.000     2.85   0.004        1.000       1.002
         OH  |      1.002      0.000   117.45   0.000        1.002       1.002
         OR  |      1.000      0.001    -0.63   0.528        0.998       1.001
         PA  |      0.999      0.000    -4.97   0.000        0.999       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000     1.72   0.086        1.000       1.001
         TN  |      1.003      0.000    22.36   0.000        1.003       1.004
         TX  |      0.998      0.001    -3.79   0.000        0.997       0.999
         UT  |      0.999      0.001    -1.02   0.308        0.998       1.001
         VT  |      1.004      0.000    26.02   0.000        1.004       1.005
         VA  |      1.001      0.000     3.22   0.001        1.000       1.001
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.40   0.686        0.999       1.000
         WV  |      1.004      0.000    44.99   0.000        1.004       1.004
         WI  |      1.004      0.000     9.96   0.000        1.003       1.005
         WY  |      1.004      0.001     5.01   0.000        1.002       1.005
             |
       _cons |     76.546     30.164    11.01   0.000       35.359     165.709
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.19       0.17     1.12   0.261        -0.14        0.53
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -23.71       0.95   -24.89   0.000       -25.58      -21.84
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.46       0.83   -16.18   0.000       -15.10      -11.83
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -0.01       0.69    -0.01   0.992        -1.37        1.35
       >=65  |      -0.28       0.98    -0.28   0.776        -2.21        1.65
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.27       0.13    10.04   0.000         1.02        1.51
     summer  |       1.81       0.18     9.90   0.000         1.45        2.17
       fall  |       0.62       0.16     4.00   0.000         0.32        0.93
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -114768.12                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3250

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.044      0.009     5.18   0.000        1.027       1.062
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.213      0.005   -69.75   0.000        0.204       0.223
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.462      0.023   -15.46   0.000        0.419       0.509
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.000      0.038    -0.01   0.992        0.928       1.077
       >=65  |      0.985      0.053    -0.28   0.777        0.886       1.095
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.078      0.038     2.10   0.036        1.005       1.155
     summer  |      1.075      0.031     2.51   0.012        1.016       1.137
       fall  |      1.116      0.028     4.37   0.000        1.063       1.173
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.066      0.040     1.71   0.088        0.990       1.148
       1996  |      1.160      0.055     3.10   0.002        1.056       1.273
       1997  |      1.247      0.092     3.00   0.003        1.080       1.441
       1998  |      1.387      0.106     4.26   0.000        1.193       1.612
       1999  |      1.337      0.124     3.12   0.002        1.114       1.605
       2000  |      1.418      0.143     3.47   0.001        1.164       1.728
       2001  |      1.404      0.156     3.06   0.002        1.130       1.745
       2002  |      1.550      0.186     3.65   0.000        1.225       1.963
       2003  |      1.479      0.197     2.93   0.003        1.139       1.921
       2004  |      1.516      0.219     2.88   0.004        1.142       2.011
       2005  |      1.591      0.240     3.08   0.002        1.184       2.137
       2006  |      1.609      0.247     3.10   0.002        1.191       2.174
       2007  |      1.664      0.254     3.34   0.001        1.234       2.243
       2008  |      1.753      0.283     3.48   0.001        1.278       2.406
       2009  |      1.658      0.302     2.77   0.006        1.159       2.370
       2010  |      1.600      0.301     2.50   0.013        1.107       2.315
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.043      0.052     0.83   0.405        0.945       1.150
spring#1996  |      1.004      0.046     0.08   0.935        0.917       1.099
spring#1997  |      0.971      0.052    -0.55   0.582        0.875       1.078
spring#1998  |      0.895      0.041    -2.39   0.017        0.818       0.980
spring#1999  |      0.951      0.047    -1.02   0.310        0.864       1.047
spring#2000  |      0.978      0.038    -0.57   0.567        0.906       1.056
spring#2001  |      1.031      0.043     0.74   0.461        0.950       1.119
spring#2002  |      0.977      0.046    -0.51   0.613        0.891       1.071
spring#2003  |      1.011      0.053     0.20   0.840        0.911       1.121
spring#2004  |      1.012      0.042     0.28   0.779        0.932       1.098
spring#2005  |      0.993      0.051    -0.13   0.894        0.898       1.098
spring#2006  |      1.013      0.042     0.31   0.759        0.933       1.100
spring#2007  |      1.002      0.049     0.05   0.962        0.911       1.103
spring#2008  |      1.013      0.041     0.33   0.739        0.937       1.096
spring#2009  |      0.981      0.038    -0.50   0.617        0.908       1.059
spring#2010  |      1.059      0.032     1.88   0.060        0.998       1.124
summer#1995  |      1.056      0.040     1.44   0.151        0.980       1.139
summer#1996  |      1.047      0.049     0.98   0.328        0.955       1.149
summer#1997  |      0.974      0.043    -0.59   0.554        0.893       1.062
summer#1998  |      0.952      0.028    -1.65   0.099        0.898       1.009
summer#1999  |      0.997      0.046    -0.06   0.952        0.911       1.092
summer#2000  |      0.966      0.036    -0.92   0.358        0.898       1.040
summer#2001  |      1.092      0.036     2.69   0.007        1.024       1.164
summer#2002  |      0.993      0.038    -0.19   0.853        0.922       1.070
summer#2003  |      1.037      0.039     0.96   0.336        0.963       1.117
summer#2004  |      1.057      0.047     1.26   0.208        0.970       1.153
summer#2005  |      1.025      0.046     0.55   0.581        0.939       1.118
summer#2006  |      1.055      0.044     1.28   0.199        0.972       1.145
summer#2007  |      1.048      0.044     1.11   0.265        0.965       1.139
summer#2008  |      1.031      0.033     0.95   0.344        0.968       1.097
summer#2009  |      1.037      0.043     0.88   0.381        0.956       1.126
summer#2010  |      1.102      0.043     2.48   0.013        1.021       1.190
  fall#1995  |      0.976      0.042    -0.55   0.580        0.897       1.063
  fall#1996  |      0.926      0.035    -2.02   0.044        0.860       0.998
  fall#1997  |      0.918      0.038    -2.08   0.038        0.847       0.995
  fall#1998  |      0.864      0.034    -3.68   0.000        0.800       0.934
  fall#1999  |      0.911      0.036    -2.33   0.020        0.843       0.985
  fall#2000  |      0.845      0.032    -4.47   0.000        0.784       0.910
  fall#2001  |      0.968      0.038    -0.82   0.413        0.897       1.046
  fall#2002  |      0.917      0.026    -3.02   0.003        0.867       0.970
  fall#2003  |      0.917      0.036    -2.22   0.026        0.849       0.990
  fall#2004  |      0.947      0.046    -1.11   0.269        0.860       1.043
  fall#2005  |      0.915      0.036    -2.26   0.024        0.848       0.988
  fall#2006  |      0.969      0.037    -0.82   0.410        0.898       1.045
  fall#2007  |      0.956      0.039    -1.11   0.265        0.883       1.035
  fall#2008  |      0.897      0.030    -3.23   0.001        0.839       0.958
  fall#2009  |      0.901      0.035    -2.69   0.007        0.835       0.972
  fall#2010  |      0.963      0.049    -0.73   0.464        0.872       1.065
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |     20.207      6.309     9.63   0.000       10.957      37.263
         AZ  |      0.009      0.004   -10.63   0.000        0.004       0.022
         AR  |      0.011      0.000  -155.61   0.000        0.011       0.012
         CA  |      1.483      0.249     2.35   0.019        1.067       2.061
         CO  |      0.014      0.004   -14.13   0.000        0.008       0.025
         CT  |      0.247      0.027   -12.82   0.000        0.200       0.306
         DE  |      0.002      0.001   -18.96   0.000        0.001       0.004
         FL  |      0.043      0.013   -10.38   0.000        0.024       0.078
         HI  |    851.211    160.761    35.72   0.000      587.865    1232.528
         ID  |      0.090      0.043    -5.07   0.000        0.036       0.229
         IL  |      0.069      0.011   -17.39   0.000        0.051       0.094
         IN  |      0.006      0.001   -43.49   0.000        0.005       0.007
         IA  |      0.067      0.003   -59.77   0.000        0.061       0.073
         KS  |      0.001      0.000   -64.36   0.000        0.001       0.001
         LA  |      0.453      0.051    -7.06   0.000        0.363       0.564
         ME  |      0.107      0.046    -5.15   0.000        0.046       0.250
         MD  |      0.069      0.015   -12.15   0.000        0.045       0.106
         MA  |      1.873      0.308     3.82   0.000        1.357       2.585
         MI  |      0.005      0.003    -9.53   0.000        0.002       0.016
         MN  |      0.018      0.003   -27.63   0.000        0.013       0.024
         MS  |      0.036      0.002   -76.75   0.000        0.033       0.039
         MO  |      0.016      0.003   -19.57   0.000        0.011       0.025
         MT  |      0.253      0.012   -29.97   0.000        0.231       0.276
         NE  |      0.005      0.001   -52.22   0.000        0.004       0.006
         NV  |      0.001      0.001    -7.27   0.000        0.000       0.006
         NH  |      0.011      0.003   -14.76   0.000        0.006       0.020
         NJ  |      0.003      0.001   -35.06   0.000        0.002       0.005
         NM  |      0.080      0.005   -40.71   0.000        0.071       0.090
         NY  |     37.805      2.699    50.88   0.000       32.869      43.483
         NC  |      0.001      0.000   -51.15   0.000        0.001       0.002
         ND  |      0.051      0.015    -9.90   0.000        0.028       0.092
         OH  |      0.002      0.000   -27.48   0.000        0.001       0.003
         OR  |      0.001      0.000   -23.23   0.000        0.000       0.001
         PA  |      0.086      0.004   -50.23   0.000        0.078       0.094
         SC  |      0.091      0.021   -10.20   0.000        0.057       0.144
         TN  |      0.011      0.001   -65.48   0.000        0.010       0.013
         TX  |      0.427      0.010   -36.73   0.000        0.408       0.447
         UT  |      0.013      0.001   -39.22   0.000        0.010       0.016
         VT  |      0.000      0.000   -68.63   0.000        0.000       0.000
         VA  |      0.779      0.056    -3.47   0.001        0.676       0.897
         WA  |      0.125      0.008   -31.72   0.000        0.110       0.143
         WV  |      0.017      0.001   -69.41   0.000        0.015       0.019
         WI  |      0.131      0.012   -22.66   0.000        0.110       0.156
         WY  |     12.172      3.424     8.88   0.000        7.013      21.127
             |
     quarter |      0.933      0.020    -3.28   0.001        0.895       0.973
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     3.14   0.002        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.972      0.004    -7.29   0.000        0.965       0.979
         AZ  |      1.066      0.005    13.28   0.000        1.056       1.077
         AR  |      1.054      0.000   142.94   0.000        1.053       1.054
         CA  |      0.998      0.002    -1.18   0.238        0.995       1.001
         CO  |      1.055      0.004    15.48   0.000        1.048       1.062
         CT  |      1.013      0.001    12.71   0.000        1.011       1.015
         DE  |      1.077      0.004    19.18   0.000        1.069       1.085
         FL  |      1.042      0.004    12.14   0.000        1.036       1.050
         HI  |      0.923      0.002   -32.65   0.000        0.919       0.928
         ID  |      1.025      0.005     4.80   0.000        1.015       1.036
         IL  |      1.031      0.002    16.88   0.000        1.027       1.035
         IN  |      1.062      0.002    41.56   0.000        1.059       1.065
         IA  |      1.031      0.001    46.37   0.000        1.029       1.032
         KS  |      1.084      0.001    65.56   0.000        1.081       1.086
         LA  |      1.011      0.001     8.74   0.000        1.009       1.014
         ME  |      1.025      0.005     4.93   0.000        1.015       1.036
         MD  |      1.029      0.002    11.93   0.000        1.024       1.034
         MA  |      0.986      0.002    -8.44   0.000        0.982       0.989
         MI  |      1.063      0.007     8.72   0.000        1.048       1.078
         MN  |      1.041      0.002    25.73   0.000        1.038       1.044
         MS  |      1.041      0.001    79.45   0.000        1.040       1.042
         MO  |      1.050      0.003    19.18   0.000        1.045       1.055
         MT  |      1.021      0.001    32.63   0.000        1.019       1.022
         NE  |      1.063      0.001    58.63   0.000        1.061       1.065
         NV  |      1.097      0.012     8.31   0.000        1.073       1.121
         NH  |      1.049      0.004    14.32   0.000        1.043       1.056
         NJ  |      1.064      0.002    36.18   0.000        1.060       1.067
         NM  |      1.032      0.001    60.60   0.000        1.031       1.033
         NY  |      0.954      0.001   -46.10   0.000        0.952       0.956
         NC  |      1.081      0.002    55.00   0.000        1.078       1.084
         ND  |      1.032      0.004     8.11   0.000        1.024       1.040
         OH  |      1.074      0.003    25.31   0.000        1.068       1.080
         OR  |      1.094      0.004    26.24   0.000        1.087       1.102
         PA  |      1.029      0.001    56.60   0.000        1.028       1.030
         SC  |      1.028      0.003    10.29   0.000        1.022       1.033
         TN  |      1.052      0.001    63.45   0.000        1.050       1.054
         TX  |      1.010      0.001    20.62   0.000        1.009       1.011
         UT  |      1.057      0.001    54.16   0.000        1.055       1.059
         VT  |      1.146      0.002    67.50   0.000        1.141       1.150
         VA  |      1.002      0.001     2.36   0.018        1.000       1.003
         WA  |      1.026      0.001    43.90   0.000        1.025       1.027
         WV  |      1.045      0.001    63.06   0.000        1.043       1.046
         WI  |      1.019      0.001    20.09   0.000        1.017       1.021
         WY  |      0.969      0.004    -8.10   0.000        0.961       0.976
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     6.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000   -16.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000  -126.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.36   0.715        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -16.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -16.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -19.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000   -13.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    34.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -4.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -18.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -41.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -40.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -68.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -12.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -4.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -12.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    14.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -8.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -26.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -73.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -19.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000   -21.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -76.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -8.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -14.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -42.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -65.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    37.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -64.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    -6.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -24.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000   -31.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -65.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -10.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -64.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -10.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000  -109.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -69.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000     0.66   0.512        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -69.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -61.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -22.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     8.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |  21449.680  37844.315     5.65   0.000      675.492    6.81e+05
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.79       0.16     5.02   0.000         0.48        1.10
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -23.71       0.95   -24.88   0.000       -25.58      -21.85
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.46       0.83   -16.19   0.000       -15.09      -11.83
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -0.01       0.70    -0.01   0.992        -1.37        1.36
       >=65  |      -0.28       0.99    -0.28   0.777        -2.21        1.65
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.27       0.13    10.06   0.000         1.02        1.52
     summer  |       1.81       0.18     9.95   0.000         1.46        2.17
       fall  |       0.63       0.16     4.03   0.000         0.32        0.93
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -114724.07                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3252

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.041      0.016     2.65   0.008        1.010       1.072
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.213      0.005   -69.74   0.000        0.204       0.223
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.462      0.023   -15.45   0.000        0.419       0.509
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.000      0.038    -0.01   0.993        0.928       1.077
       >=65  |      0.985      0.053    -0.28   0.779        0.886       1.095
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.080      0.038     2.19   0.029        1.008       1.158
     summer  |      1.066      0.031     2.20   0.028        1.007       1.129
       fall  |      1.097      0.028     3.59   0.000        1.043       1.154
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.029      0.042     0.71   0.478        0.950       1.115
       1996  |      1.096      0.058     1.73   0.083        0.988       1.217
       1997  |      1.169      0.087     2.10   0.036        1.010       1.353
       1998  |      1.302      0.104     3.30   0.001        1.113       1.523
       1999  |      1.267      0.119     2.53   0.011        1.055       1.522
       2000  |      1.366      0.136     3.14   0.002        1.125       1.659
       2001  |      1.382      0.152     2.95   0.003        1.115       1.713
       2002  |      1.564      0.189     3.70   0.000        1.234       1.981
       2003  |      1.528      0.208     3.11   0.002        1.170       1.995
       2004  |      1.599      0.243     3.09   0.002        1.187       2.154
       2005  |      1.707      0.272     3.36   0.001        1.249       2.333
       2006  |      1.747      0.283     3.45   0.001        1.272       2.399
       2007  |      1.815      0.295     3.67   0.000        1.320       2.495
       2008  |      1.908      0.325     3.79   0.000        1.366       2.664
       2009  |      1.784      0.335     3.08   0.002        1.235       2.577
       2010  |      1.677      0.321     2.71   0.007        1.153       2.439
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.041      0.052     0.81   0.416        0.944       1.148
spring#1996  |      1.002      0.046     0.04   0.969        0.915       1.096
spring#1997  |      0.969      0.051    -0.60   0.547        0.873       1.075
spring#1998  |      0.892      0.041    -2.49   0.013        0.816       0.976
spring#1999  |      0.948      0.046    -1.10   0.272        0.862       1.043
spring#2000  |      0.974      0.038    -0.69   0.490        0.903       1.050
spring#2001  |      1.026      0.042     0.63   0.529        0.946       1.113
spring#2002  |      0.972      0.045    -0.61   0.544        0.888       1.065
spring#2003  |      1.007      0.052     0.13   0.899        0.909       1.115
spring#2004  |      1.008      0.042     0.19   0.850        0.929       1.094
spring#2005  |      0.990      0.050    -0.20   0.841        0.896       1.094
spring#2006  |      1.010      0.042     0.24   0.809        0.931       1.095
spring#2007  |      1.000      0.049     0.00   0.998        0.909       1.100
spring#2008  |      1.012      0.041     0.29   0.774        0.935       1.095
spring#2009  |      0.981      0.038    -0.49   0.623        0.909       1.059
spring#2010  |      1.061      0.032     1.93   0.054        0.999       1.126
summer#1995  |      1.060      0.041     1.51   0.132        0.983       1.142
summer#1996  |      1.053      0.050     1.08   0.279        0.959       1.155
summer#1997  |      0.981      0.044    -0.43   0.668        0.899       1.070
summer#1998  |      0.960      0.029    -1.36   0.175        0.906       1.018
summer#1999  |      1.008      0.047     0.16   0.873        0.919       1.104
summer#2000  |      0.977      0.035    -0.64   0.522        0.910       1.049
summer#2001  |      1.105      0.036     3.05   0.002        1.036       1.178
summer#2002  |      1.005      0.039     0.13   0.896        0.931       1.085
summer#2003  |      1.050      0.040     1.29   0.199        0.975       1.131
summer#2004  |      1.070      0.046     1.58   0.115        0.984       1.163
summer#2005  |      1.036      0.046     0.79   0.429        0.949       1.131
summer#2006  |      1.066      0.046     1.47   0.142        0.979       1.160
summer#2007  |      1.057      0.046     1.29   0.195        0.972       1.151
summer#2008  |      1.038      0.034     1.15   0.252        0.974       1.106
summer#2009  |      1.044      0.043     1.04   0.297        0.963       1.133
summer#2010  |      1.105      0.043     2.59   0.010        1.025       1.193
  fall#1995  |      0.983      0.042    -0.40   0.687        0.904       1.069
  fall#1996  |      0.938      0.036    -1.66   0.096        0.869       1.012
  fall#1997  |      0.933      0.038    -1.69   0.092        0.862       1.011
  fall#1998  |      0.882      0.037    -2.95   0.003        0.812       0.959
  fall#1999  |      0.933      0.038    -1.69   0.091        0.861       1.011
  fall#2000  |      0.867      0.033    -3.80   0.000        0.805       0.933
  fall#2001  |      0.996      0.043    -0.10   0.923        0.916       1.083
  fall#2002  |      0.943      0.030    -1.89   0.059        0.887       1.002
  fall#2003  |      0.942      0.039    -1.44   0.151        0.868       1.022
  fall#2004  |      0.972      0.047    -0.60   0.551        0.885       1.068
  fall#2005  |      0.937      0.037    -1.64   0.101        0.868       1.013
  fall#2006  |      0.989      0.042    -0.26   0.799        0.911       1.074
  fall#2007  |      0.973      0.040    -0.66   0.512        0.897       1.056
  fall#2008  |      0.910      0.030    -2.90   0.004        0.854       0.970
  fall#2009  |      0.910      0.035    -2.41   0.016        0.843       0.983
  fall#2010  |      0.965      0.049    -0.69   0.487        0.874       1.066
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |   8.46e+36   1.25e+37    57.62   0.000     4.69e+35    1.53e+38
         AZ  |   2.02e+11   6.64e+11     7.93   0.000     3.24e+08    1.26e+14
         AR  |   1.11e+16   6.91e+15    59.48   0.000     3.29e+15    3.76e+16
         CA  |   6.83e+09   4.04e+09    38.30   0.000     2.14e+09    2.17e+10
         CO  |   8.23e+10   1.96e+11    10.56   0.000     7.76e+08    8.72e+12
         CT  |   5.49e+07   4.90e+07    19.94   0.000     9.51e+06    3.16e+08
         DE  |      0.000      0.000   -79.78   0.000        0.000       0.000
         FL  |   3.14e+10   8.82e+10     8.61   0.000     1.28e+08    7.71e+12
         HI  |      0.000      0.000   -18.47   0.000        0.000       0.000
         ID  |   3.60e+10   2.26e+11     3.87   0.000     1.61e+05    8.05e+15
         IL  |   2.34e+08   3.73e+08    12.06   0.000     1.02e+07    5.35e+09
         IN  |   2.36e+11   1.60e+11    38.57   0.000     6.23e+10    8.92e+11
         IA  |   1.28e+10   2.03e+10    14.65   0.000     5.68e+08    2.87e+11
         KS  |   2.24e+16   5.29e+16    15.92   0.000     2.17e+14    2.31e+18
         LA  |   2.08e+09   5.50e+09     8.13   0.000     1.18e+07    3.67e+11
         ME  |   1.18e+09   6.41e+08    38.35   0.000     4.05e+08    3.42e+09
         MD  |  11676.209  15526.894     7.04   0.000      861.754    1.58e+05
         MA  |   1.46e+18   4.18e+18    14.60   0.000     5.31e+15    4.01e+20
         MI  |   4.69e+08   1.67e+09     5.63   0.000     4.48e+05    4.91e+11
         MN  |   2.11e+28   1.87e+28    73.63   0.000     3.72e+27    1.20e+29
         MS  |   5.51e+07   6.68e+07    14.70   0.000     5.11e+06    5.93e+08
         MO  |    415.361    576.444     4.34   0.000       27.360    6305.727
         MT  |      0.446      1.261    -0.29   0.775        0.002     113.242
         NE  |      0.104      0.128    -1.84   0.066        0.009       1.157
         NV  |  85120.475   7.82e+05     1.23   0.217        0.001    5.69e+12
         NH  |   5.07e+17   5.34e+17    38.68   0.000     6.43e+16    4.00e+18
         NJ  |      0.020      0.008   -10.07   0.000        0.009       0.043
         NM  |   1.21e+19   3.56e+19    14.92   0.000     3.76e+16    3.89e+21
         NY  |      0.013      0.014    -3.94   0.000        0.001       0.112
         NC  |   8.63e+12   7.51e+12    34.24   0.000     1.57e+12    4.75e+13
         ND  |   1.37e+23   3.89e+23    18.79   0.000     5.30e+20    3.55e+25
         OH  |   1.65e+18   1.23e+18    56.46   0.000     3.85e+17    7.08e+18
         OR  |    747.075    159.827    30.93   0.000      491.203    1136.233
         PA  |   6.25e+05   3.05e+05    27.34   0.000     2.40e+05    1.63e+06
         SC  |   7.04e+09   1.95e+09    81.84   0.000     4.09e+09    1.21e+10
         TN  |   9.00e+19   3.58e+19   115.57   0.000     4.13e+19    1.96e+20
         TX  |   2.02e+10   4.69e+10    10.23   0.000     2.15e+08    1.91e+12
         UT  |   4.65e+07   5.81e+06   141.23   0.000     3.64e+07    5.94e+07
         VT  |   6.89e+16   3.91e+16    68.28   0.000     2.26e+16    2.10e+17
         VA  |   2.43e+16   4.66e+15   196.65   0.000     1.67e+16    3.54e+16
         WA  |   1.80e+14   1.77e+14    33.29   0.000     2.60e+13    1.24e+15
         WV  |   2.31e+16   1.83e+16    47.50   0.000     4.88e+15    1.09e+17
         WI  |   2.48e+11   2.07e+11    31.44   0.000     4.83e+10    1.27e+12
         WY  |   9.52e+37   2.23e+38    37.38   0.000     9.72e+35    9.33e+39
             |
     quarter |      2.255      0.489     3.75   0.000        1.474       3.451
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.995      0.001    -3.87   0.000        0.992       0.998
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     3.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.223      0.005   -63.01   0.000        0.212       0.233
         AZ  |      0.616      0.040    -7.55   0.000        0.543       0.698
         AR  |      0.501      0.006   -62.12   0.000        0.491       0.513
         CA  |      0.670      0.008   -32.99   0.000        0.654       0.686
         CO  |      0.623      0.024   -12.08   0.000        0.577       0.673
         CT  |      0.718      0.011   -21.91   0.000        0.697       0.740
         DE  |      1.642      0.014    57.03   0.000        1.614       1.670
         FL  |      0.639      0.034    -8.31   0.000        0.575       0.710
         HI  |      3.497      0.223    19.61   0.000        3.086       3.964
         ID  |      0.636      0.075    -3.83   0.000        0.504       0.802
         IL  |      0.696      0.019   -13.34   0.000        0.660       0.734
         IN  |      0.605      0.007   -45.28   0.000        0.592       0.619
         IA  |      0.647      0.019   -15.12   0.000        0.611       0.684
         KS  |      0.487      0.020   -17.47   0.000        0.449       0.528
         LA  |      0.679      0.033    -8.00   0.000        0.617       0.746
         ME  |      0.678      0.009   -28.34   0.000        0.660       0.697
         MD  |      0.830      0.022    -7.01   0.000        0.788       0.875
         MA  |      0.471      0.023   -15.24   0.000        0.427       0.519
         MI  |      0.677      0.040    -6.63   0.000        0.604       0.760
         MN  |      0.301      0.004   -84.56   0.000        0.292       0.309
         MS  |      0.712      0.016   -15.32   0.000        0.682       0.744
         MO  |      0.876      0.020    -5.75   0.000        0.838       0.917
         MT  |      1.011      0.052     0.21   0.832        0.914       1.118
         NE  |      1.008      0.021     0.36   0.718        0.967       1.050
         NV  |      0.791      0.139    -1.34   0.181        0.561       1.116
         NH  |      0.466      0.007   -50.14   0.000        0.453       0.481
         NJ  |      1.031      0.009     3.67   0.000        1.014       1.048
         NM  |      0.449      0.024   -14.84   0.000        0.404       0.499
         NY  |      1.104      0.022     4.91   0.000        1.061       1.148
         NC  |      0.562      0.008   -40.26   0.000        0.547       0.578
         ND  |      0.376      0.020   -18.27   0.000        0.338       0.417
         OH  |      0.452      0.005   -70.24   0.000        0.442       0.462
         OR  |      0.854      0.005   -25.54   0.000        0.843       0.864
         PA  |      0.775      0.006   -30.67   0.000        0.763       0.788
         SC  |      0.656      0.003  -102.56   0.000        0.651       0.661
         TN  |      0.426      0.003  -120.70   0.000        0.420       0.432
         TX  |      0.650      0.027   -10.46   0.000        0.600       0.705
         UT  |      0.712      0.001  -164.23   0.000        0.710       0.715
         VT  |      0.462      0.004   -91.00   0.000        0.454       0.470
         VA  |      0.507      0.001  -249.75   0.000        0.504       0.510
         WA  |      0.549      0.009   -35.95   0.000        0.531       0.567
         WV  |      0.494      0.007   -51.49   0.000        0.481       0.507
         WI  |      0.614      0.010   -30.14   0.000        0.595       0.634
         WY  |      0.211      0.008   -38.76   0.000        0.195       0.228
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.009      0.000    71.62   0.000        1.009       1.009
         AZ  |      1.003      0.000     7.43   0.000        1.002       1.004
         AR  |      1.004      0.000    64.51   0.000        1.004       1.004
         CA  |      1.002      0.000    29.40   0.000        1.002       1.003
         CO  |      1.003      0.000    14.02   0.000        1.003       1.003
         CT  |      1.002      0.000    23.21   0.000        1.002       1.002
         DE  |      0.997      0.000   -39.95   0.000        0.997       0.997
         FL  |      1.003      0.000     8.17   0.000        1.002       1.003
         HI  |      0.992      0.000   -20.96   0.000        0.992       0.993
         ID  |      1.003      0.001     3.79   0.000        1.001       1.004
         IL  |      1.002      0.000    14.63   0.000        1.002       1.003
         IN  |      1.003      0.000    53.49   0.000        1.003       1.003
         IA  |      1.003      0.000    15.37   0.000        1.002       1.003
         KS  |      1.005      0.000    19.00   0.000        1.004       1.005
         LA  |      1.002      0.000     7.90   0.000        1.002       1.003
         ME  |      1.002      0.000    22.21   0.000        1.002       1.003
         MD  |      1.001      0.000     6.93   0.000        1.001       1.002
         MA  |      1.004      0.000    15.68   0.000        1.004       1.005
         MI  |      1.002      0.000     7.92   0.000        1.002       1.003
         MN  |      1.007      0.000    95.59   0.000        1.007       1.007
         MS  |      1.002      0.000    16.03   0.000        1.002       1.002
         MO  |      1.001      0.000     7.48   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.02   0.986        0.999       1.001
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     1.11   0.267        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.002      0.001     1.50   0.133        0.999       1.004
         NH  |      1.005      0.000    66.78   0.000        1.005       1.005
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     0.03   0.977        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.005      0.000    14.93   0.000        1.004       1.006
         NY  |      0.999      0.000    -6.04   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NC  |      1.004      0.000    46.65   0.000        1.004       1.004
         ND  |      1.006      0.000    17.59   0.000        1.005       1.007
         OH  |      1.005      0.000    89.27   0.000        1.005       1.005
         OR  |      1.001      0.000    21.83   0.000        1.001       1.001
         PA  |      1.002      0.000    33.21   0.000        1.001       1.002
         SC  |      1.003      0.000    91.65   0.000        1.003       1.003
         TN  |      1.005      0.000   124.74   0.000        1.005       1.005
         TX  |      1.003      0.000    10.58   0.000        1.002       1.003
         UT  |      1.002      0.000   126.89   0.000        1.002       1.002
         VT  |      1.005      0.000   120.48   0.000        1.005       1.005
         VA  |      1.004      0.000   284.26   0.000        1.004       1.004
         WA  |      1.004      0.000    38.35   0.000        1.003       1.004
         WV  |      1.004      0.000    55.18   0.000        1.004       1.004
         WI  |      1.003      0.000    28.86   0.000        1.003       1.003
         WY  |      1.009      0.000    41.30   0.000        1.009       1.010
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -82.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -7.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -65.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -27.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -15.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -23.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    29.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -8.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    22.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -3.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -16.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -62.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -15.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -20.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -7.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -18.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -6.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000   -15.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -9.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000  -103.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -16.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -9.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.17   0.867        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -2.59   0.010        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -1.66   0.097        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -84.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    -2.77   0.006        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -15.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     6.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -51.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -16.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000  -112.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000   -21.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -34.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -74.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000  -127.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -10.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000  -125.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000  -153.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000  -288.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -39.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -58.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -28.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   -45.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.000      0.000    -3.28   0.001        0.000       0.000
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.73       0.28     2.64   0.008         0.19        1.27
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -23.72       0.95   -24.88   0.000       -25.59      -21.85
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.47       0.83   -16.19   0.000       -15.10      -11.84
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -0.01       0.70    -0.01   0.993        -1.37        1.36
       >=65  |      -0.28       0.99    -0.28   0.779        -2.21        1.65
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.27       0.13    10.04   0.000         1.02        1.52
     summer  |       1.81       0.18     9.97   0.000         1.46        2.17
       fall  |       0.63       0.16     4.06   0.000         0.33        0.93
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.
(output written to suic-econ-atable2-educa3_2.txt)
-> Group = MinsomeCollege/Assoc

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =      13.00
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0003
Log pseudolikelihood = -142392.29                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0051

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |  -.0496602   .0137727    -3.61   0.000    -.0766541   -.0226663
       _cons |   1.705736   .2108033     8.09   0.000     1.292569    2.118902
  logpop100y |          1  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.55       0.15    -3.66   0.000        -0.84       -0.25
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(5)    =   26283.61
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -112354.17                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2150

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.957      0.013    -3.27   0.001        0.933       0.983
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.321      0.004   -85.75   0.000        0.313       0.329
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.500      0.020   -17.49   0.000        0.463       0.541
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.322      0.031    11.75   0.000        1.262       1.385
       >=65  |      1.470      0.075     7.52   0.000        1.330       1.626
             |
       _cons |      8.402      1.639    10.91   0.000        5.733      12.315
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.42       0.12    -3.41   0.001        -0.67       -0.18
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      -9.97       0.41   -24.06   0.000       -10.79       -9.16
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.46       0.51   -12.77   0.000        -7.45       -5.47
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.47       0.25     9.87   0.000         1.98        2.96
       >=65  |       3.61       0.59     6.07   0.000         2.45        4.78
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -107396.73                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2496

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.015      0.007     2.22   0.026        1.002       1.028
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.322      0.004   -84.67   0.000        0.313       0.330
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.503      0.018   -19.05   0.000        0.469       0.540
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.319      0.032    11.58   0.000        1.259       1.382
       >=65  |      1.446      0.073     7.28   0.000        1.310       1.598
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.221      0.014    17.26   0.000        1.194       1.250
         AZ  |      1.404      0.036    13.15   0.000        1.335       1.477
         AR  |      1.124      0.004    32.20   0.000        1.116       1.132
         CA  |      0.974      0.006    -4.58   0.000        0.964       0.985
         CO  |      1.414      0.029    16.60   0.000        1.357       1.473
         CT  |      0.620      0.005   -63.41   0.000        0.611       0.629
         DE  |      0.942      0.007    -8.58   0.000        0.929       0.955
         FL  |      1.206      0.010    21.99   0.000        1.186       1.226
         HI  |      1.169      0.025     7.17   0.000        1.120       1.220
         ID  |      1.405      0.044    10.81   0.000        1.321       1.494
         IL  |      0.733      0.004   -56.52   0.000        0.725       0.741
         IN  |      0.836      0.004   -34.58   0.000        0.828       0.845
         IA  |      0.787      0.003   -64.08   0.000        0.781       0.793
         KS  |      0.978      0.004    -5.19   0.000        0.970       0.986
         LA  |      1.017      0.005     3.49   0.000        1.008       1.027
         ME  |      0.946      0.006    -8.95   0.000        0.934       0.957
         MD  |      0.760      0.005   -41.56   0.000        0.750       0.770
         MA  |      0.567      0.008   -40.64   0.000        0.552       0.583
         MI  |      0.831      0.006   -27.65   0.000        0.820       0.842
         MN  |      0.796      0.007   -24.69   0.000        0.781       0.810
         MS  |      1.078      0.005    17.50   0.000        1.069       1.087
         MO  |      0.961      0.005    -7.97   0.000        0.951       0.970
         MT  |      1.492      0.014    42.00   0.000        1.465       1.521
         NE  |      0.802      0.008   -23.31   0.000        0.787       0.817
         NV  |      1.842      0.070    16.05   0.000        1.710       1.985
         NH  |      0.858      0.019    -6.79   0.000        0.821       0.897
         NJ  |      0.556      0.003   -93.42   0.000        0.549       0.563
         NM  |      1.700      0.024    36.88   0.000        1.653       1.749
         NY  |      0.582      0.000  -688.30   0.000        0.581       0.583
         NC  |      1.042      0.011     3.99   0.000        1.021       1.063
         ND  |      0.962      0.008    -4.92   0.000        0.948       0.977
         OH  |      0.739      0.004   -54.75   0.000        0.731       0.747
         OR  |      1.231      0.032     8.02   0.000        1.170       1.295
         PA  |      0.821      0.002   -72.61   0.000        0.817       0.826
         SC  |      1.066      0.009     7.61   0.000        1.048       1.083
         TN  |      1.007      0.006     1.26   0.206        0.996       1.018
         TX  |      1.043      0.014     3.13   0.002        1.016       1.070
         UT  |      1.321      0.032    11.35   0.000        1.259       1.386
         VT  |      0.925      0.005   -13.84   0.000        0.915       0.935
         VA  |      0.927      0.005   -14.31   0.000        0.917       0.936
         WA  |      1.041      0.007     6.08   0.000        1.028       1.055
         WV  |      0.879      0.003   -35.40   0.000        0.873       0.885
         WI  |      0.873      0.012    -9.76   0.000        0.849       0.897
         WY  |      1.351      0.013    31.61   0.000        1.326       1.377
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.098      0.041     2.49   0.013        1.020       1.182
     summer  |      1.066      0.028     2.43   0.015        1.013       1.123
       fall  |      1.024      0.029     0.83   0.405        0.968       1.084
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.945      0.023    -2.38   0.017        0.901       0.990
       1996  |      0.983      0.022    -0.76   0.448        0.941       1.027
       1997  |      0.971      0.031    -0.93   0.350        0.912       1.033
       1998  |      0.991      0.028    -0.32   0.748        0.938       1.047
       1999  |      0.930      0.032    -2.13   0.034        0.870       0.994
       2000  |      0.926      0.038    -1.87   0.061        0.855       1.004
       2001  |      0.967      0.048    -0.69   0.493        0.877       1.065
       2002  |      1.028      0.045     0.62   0.533        0.943       1.119
       2003  |      0.966      0.032    -1.04   0.296        0.905       1.031
       2004  |      0.972      0.038    -0.72   0.470        0.899       1.050
       2005  |      0.965      0.037    -0.94   0.349        0.896       1.040
       2006  |      1.010      0.042     0.23   0.819        0.930       1.096
       2007  |      1.039      0.040     0.99   0.324        0.963       1.120
       2008  |      1.105      0.036     3.03   0.002        1.036       1.178
       2009  |      1.104      0.042     2.60   0.009        1.025       1.190
       2010  |      1.177      0.041     4.66   0.000        1.099       1.261
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.068      0.045     1.56   0.119        0.983       1.160
spring#1996  |      1.003      0.042     0.06   0.949        0.923       1.089
spring#1997  |      0.989      0.044    -0.24   0.807        0.906       1.080
spring#1998  |      0.973      0.038    -0.71   0.480        0.902       1.050
spring#1999  |      0.945      0.042    -1.27   0.202        0.866       1.031
spring#2000  |      0.974      0.045    -0.58   0.564        0.889       1.066
spring#2001  |      0.971      0.036    -0.80   0.421        0.902       1.044
spring#2002  |      0.979      0.048    -0.43   0.664        0.889       1.078
spring#2003  |      1.039      0.043     0.92   0.359        0.958       1.127
spring#2004  |      1.003      0.053     0.05   0.959        0.903       1.113
spring#2005  |      1.052      0.056     0.95   0.344        0.947       1.167
spring#2006  |      1.018      0.059     0.31   0.757        0.909       1.140
spring#2007  |      1.029      0.041     0.73   0.465        0.953       1.112
spring#2008  |      0.986      0.042    -0.34   0.736        0.907       1.072
spring#2009  |      1.019      0.042     0.45   0.654        0.940       1.103
spring#2010  |      1.009      0.043     0.22   0.823        0.929       1.097
summer#1995  |      1.070      0.049     1.47   0.141        0.978       1.172
summer#1996  |      1.034      0.043     0.80   0.422        0.953       1.122
summer#1997  |      0.994      0.053    -0.12   0.907        0.895       1.104
summer#1998  |      0.989      0.043    -0.27   0.790        0.908       1.076
summer#1999  |      1.010      0.038     0.26   0.795        0.937       1.088
summer#2000  |      0.986      0.049    -0.28   0.778        0.895       1.087
summer#2001  |      1.025      0.045     0.57   0.566        0.942       1.116
summer#2002  |      0.984      0.036    -0.45   0.655        0.916       1.057
summer#2003  |      1.050      0.037     1.36   0.172        0.979       1.125
summer#2004  |      1.035      0.041     0.89   0.374        0.959       1.118
summer#2005  |      1.032      0.045     0.72   0.469        0.947       1.125
summer#2006  |      1.058      0.052     1.17   0.244        0.962       1.164
summer#2007  |      1.058      0.037     1.62   0.105        0.988       1.133
summer#2008  |      0.989      0.037    -0.29   0.773        0.920       1.064
summer#2009  |      1.103      0.041     2.67   0.008        1.026       1.185
summer#2010  |      1.047      0.029     1.66   0.097        0.992       1.105
  fall#1995  |      1.075      0.052     1.51   0.132        0.978       1.181
  fall#1996  |      1.041      0.039     1.06   0.291        0.967       1.120
  fall#1997  |      0.974      0.044    -0.58   0.562        0.892       1.064
  fall#1998  |      0.980      0.045    -0.44   0.661        0.896       1.072
  fall#1999  |      0.997      0.046    -0.07   0.945        0.910       1.092
  fall#2000  |      0.984      0.051    -0.31   0.755        0.889       1.089
  fall#2001  |      0.996      0.038    -0.11   0.913        0.924       1.073
  fall#2002  |      0.965      0.049    -0.70   0.485        0.873       1.066
  fall#2003  |      1.014      0.035     0.41   0.679        0.948       1.086
  fall#2004  |      1.040      0.037     1.09   0.275        0.969       1.116
  fall#2005  |      1.056      0.047     1.24   0.216        0.969       1.152
  fall#2006  |      1.013      0.038     0.35   0.724        0.941       1.091
  fall#2007  |      1.068      0.047     1.50   0.133        0.980       1.164
  fall#2008  |      1.034      0.039     0.89   0.373        0.961       1.112
  fall#2009  |      1.090      0.042     2.23   0.026        1.010       1.176
  fall#2010  |      1.005      0.047     0.10   0.924        0.916       1.102
             |
       _cons |     19.042      1.331    42.17   0.000       16.604      21.836
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.15       0.07     2.23   0.026         0.02        0.29
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -10.73       0.42   -25.45   0.000       -11.56       -9.91
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.91       0.44   -15.62   0.000        -7.78       -6.04
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.66       0.24    11.04   0.000         2.19        3.13
       >=65  |       3.72       0.58     6.41   0.000         2.58        4.86
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.00       0.09    10.95   0.000         0.82        1.18
     summer  |       0.94       0.11     8.34   0.000         0.72        1.17
       fall  |       0.44       0.12     3.64   0.000         0.20        0.68
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(44)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -107315.3                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2502

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.003      0.007     0.36   0.717        0.989       1.017
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.322      0.004   -84.65   0.000        0.313       0.330
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.504      0.018   -18.99   0.000        0.469       0.541
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.319      0.032    11.60   0.000        1.259       1.382
       >=65  |      1.447      0.073     7.29   0.000        1.310       1.598
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.094      0.041     2.36   0.018        1.015       1.178
     summer  |      1.074      0.028     2.80   0.005        1.022       1.130
       fall  |      1.044      0.028     1.59   0.112        0.990       1.101
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.990      0.020    -0.50   0.615        0.951       1.030
       1996  |      1.080      0.032     2.57   0.010        1.018       1.146
       1997  |      1.117      0.050     2.45   0.014        1.022       1.220
       1998  |      1.193      0.065     3.23   0.001        1.072       1.328
       1999  |      1.172      0.078     2.37   0.018        1.028       1.336
       2000  |      1.222      0.085     2.89   0.004        1.067       1.401
       2001  |      1.342      0.119     3.32   0.001        1.128       1.596
       2002  |      1.506      0.162     3.80   0.000        1.219       1.861
       2003  |      1.491      0.171     3.48   0.000        1.191       1.866
       2004  |      1.574      0.186     3.83   0.000        1.248       1.985
       2005  |      1.637      0.223     3.63   0.000        1.254       2.137
       2006  |      1.793      0.249     4.21   0.000        1.366       2.354
       2007  |      1.935      0.300     4.26   0.000        1.428       2.621
       2008  |      2.171      0.369     4.56   0.000        1.556       3.028
       2009  |      2.310      0.412     4.70   0.000        1.629       3.275
       2010  |      2.606      0.503     4.97   0.000        1.786       3.803
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.068      0.045     1.56   0.120        0.983       1.160
spring#1996  |      1.003      0.042     0.07   0.944        0.923       1.089
spring#1997  |      0.989      0.045    -0.24   0.811        0.906       1.080
spring#1998  |      0.973      0.038    -0.70   0.481        0.902       1.050
spring#1999  |      0.945      0.042    -1.27   0.205        0.866       1.031
spring#2000  |      0.973      0.045    -0.59   0.558        0.888       1.066
spring#2001  |      0.969      0.036    -0.83   0.405        0.901       1.043
spring#2002  |      0.978      0.048    -0.44   0.658        0.889       1.078
spring#2003  |      1.039      0.043     0.93   0.355        0.958       1.127
spring#2004  |      1.003      0.053     0.05   0.958        0.903       1.113
spring#2005  |      1.052      0.056     0.95   0.344        0.947       1.168
spring#2006  |      1.018      0.059     0.31   0.758        0.909       1.140
spring#2007  |      1.029      0.041     0.71   0.476        0.952       1.111
spring#2008  |      0.983      0.042    -0.39   0.693        0.904       1.069
spring#2009  |      1.019      0.042     0.46   0.643        0.941       1.104
spring#2010  |      1.009      0.043     0.22   0.828        0.929       1.096
summer#1995  |      1.071      0.049     1.48   0.138        0.978       1.172
summer#1996  |      1.034      0.043     0.81   0.417        0.953       1.122
summer#1997  |      0.994      0.053    -0.12   0.907        0.895       1.104
summer#1998  |      0.989      0.043    -0.27   0.791        0.909       1.076
summer#1999  |      1.010      0.038     0.27   0.788        0.938       1.089
summer#2000  |      0.986      0.049    -0.28   0.777        0.895       1.087
summer#2001  |      1.027      0.045     0.60   0.547        0.943       1.118
summer#2002  |      0.985      0.036    -0.42   0.672        0.917       1.058
summer#2003  |      1.051      0.037     1.41   0.158        0.981       1.127
summer#2004  |      1.036      0.041     0.89   0.372        0.959       1.118
summer#2005  |      1.032      0.045     0.73   0.466        0.947       1.125
summer#2006  |      1.059      0.051     1.17   0.241        0.962       1.165
summer#2007  |      1.059      0.037     1.63   0.102        0.989       1.133
summer#2008  |      0.990      0.037    -0.27   0.790        0.921       1.065
summer#2009  |      1.108      0.041     2.81   0.005        1.032       1.191
summer#2010  |      1.047      0.029     1.68   0.094        0.992       1.105
  fall#1995  |      1.076      0.052     1.52   0.129        0.979       1.182
  fall#1996  |      1.041      0.039     1.07   0.286        0.967       1.121
  fall#1997  |      0.974      0.044    -0.59   0.558        0.892       1.064
  fall#1998  |      0.980      0.045    -0.44   0.661        0.895       1.073
  fall#1999  |      0.997      0.046    -0.07   0.948        0.910       1.092
  fall#2000  |      0.985      0.051    -0.30   0.765        0.889       1.090
  fall#2001  |      1.000      0.038    -0.00   0.997        0.927       1.078
  fall#2002  |      0.967      0.049    -0.65   0.514        0.875       1.069
  fall#2003  |      1.017      0.035     0.47   0.637        0.949       1.088
  fall#2004  |      1.040      0.037     1.10   0.272        0.970       1.116
  fall#2005  |      1.057      0.047     1.25   0.213        0.969       1.153
  fall#2006  |      1.014      0.038     0.37   0.715        0.942       1.091
  fall#2007  |      1.070      0.047     1.53   0.126        0.981       1.166
  fall#2008  |      1.039      0.040     1.01   0.314        0.964       1.120
  fall#2009  |      1.098      0.043     2.39   0.017        1.017       1.186
  fall#2010  |      1.006      0.047     0.12   0.901        0.917       1.103
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.296      0.024    13.79   0.000        1.249       1.344
         AZ  |      2.236      0.164    11.00   0.000        1.937       2.580
         AR  |      1.281      0.016    20.10   0.000        1.250       1.312
         CA  |      1.585      0.079     9.19   0.000        1.437       1.748
         CO  |      2.593      0.110    22.42   0.000        2.385       2.818
         CT  |      0.873      0.040    -2.93   0.003        0.798       0.956
         DE  |      1.669      0.032    26.52   0.000        1.607       1.733
         FL  |      2.040      0.061    23.70   0.000        1.924       2.164
         HI  |      2.247      0.031    58.31   0.000        2.187       2.309
         ID  |      1.428      0.131     3.87   0.000        1.193       1.711
         IL  |      0.879      0.007   -17.02   0.000        0.866       0.892
         IN  |      0.798      0.002   -99.69   0.000        0.794       0.801
         IA  |      0.609      0.010   -30.44   0.000        0.590       0.629
         KS  |      1.045      0.013     3.47   0.001        1.019       1.071
         LA  |      2.502      0.027    84.97   0.000        2.450       2.556
         ME  |      0.974      0.011    -2.29   0.022        0.952       0.996
         MD  |      1.454      0.058     9.37   0.000        1.345       1.573
         MA  |      0.979      0.045    -0.47   0.638        0.894       1.071
         MI  |      1.034      0.062     0.55   0.581        0.918       1.164
         MN  |      1.197      0.038     5.66   0.000        1.125       1.274
         MS  |      0.743      0.002  -115.33   0.000        0.740       0.747
         MO  |      1.583      0.010    71.57   0.000        1.564       1.604
         MT  |      1.369      0.077     5.61   0.000        1.227       1.528
         NE  |      2.435      0.083    26.00   0.000        2.277       2.604
         NV  |      3.158      0.241    15.04   0.000        2.718       3.668
         NH  |      1.349      0.084     4.80   0.000        1.194       1.524
         NJ  |      0.655      0.024   -11.53   0.000        0.610       0.704
         NM  |      2.618      0.147    17.15   0.000        2.345       2.923
         NY  |      0.760      0.028    -7.45   0.000        0.707       0.817
         NC  |      1.487      0.049    12.14   0.000        1.395       1.586
         ND  |      0.726      0.033    -7.14   0.000        0.665       0.792
         OH  |      0.618      0.005   -64.95   0.000        0.609       0.627
         OR  |      1.145      0.074     2.10   0.035        1.009       1.299
         PA  |      0.943      0.020    -2.74   0.006        0.905       0.984
         SC  |      1.043      0.023     1.88   0.061        0.998       1.089
         TN  |      0.886      0.011    -9.83   0.000        0.865       0.908
         TX  |      1.798      0.105    10.06   0.000        1.604       2.016
         UT  |      1.072      0.071     1.05   0.294        0.942       1.219
         VT  |      0.632      0.011   -27.44   0.000        0.612       0.653
         VA  |      1.238      0.043     6.17   0.000        1.157       1.325
         WA  |      1.199      0.041     5.28   0.000        1.121       1.283
         WV  |      1.294      0.019    17.58   0.000        1.257       1.332
         WI  |      1.263      0.045     6.53   0.000        1.177       1.355
         WY  |      1.668      0.156     5.48   0.000        1.389       2.003
             |
     quarter |      0.989      0.003    -3.71   0.000        0.983       0.995
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    -4.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      0.997      0.001    -5.12   0.000        0.996       0.998
         AR  |      0.999      0.000    -8.85   0.000        0.999       0.999
         CA  |      0.997      0.000    -8.85   0.000        0.996       0.998
         CO  |      0.996      0.000    -9.93   0.000        0.996       0.997
         CT  |      0.998      0.000    -6.60   0.000        0.997       0.999
         DE  |      0.997      0.000   -22.18   0.000        0.996       0.997
         FL  |      0.997      0.000   -14.30   0.000        0.996       0.997
         HI  |      0.996      0.000   -46.77   0.000        0.996       0.997
         ID  |      1.000      0.001    -0.61   0.541        0.998       1.001
         IL  |      0.999      0.000   -14.20   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     7.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.001      0.000    13.35   0.000        1.001       1.002
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    -4.41   0.000        0.999       1.000
         LA  |      0.995      0.000   -58.34   0.000        0.995       0.995
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -2.33   0.020        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      0.996      0.000   -14.20   0.000        0.996       0.997
         MA  |      0.997      0.000    -9.39   0.000        0.996       0.997
         MI  |      0.999      0.000    -4.31   0.000        0.998       0.999
         MN  |      0.998      0.000   -10.28   0.000        0.997       0.998
         MS  |      1.002      0.000    54.48   0.000        1.002       1.002
         MO  |      0.997      0.000  -127.35   0.000        0.997       0.997
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     1.03   0.301        1.000       1.001
         NE  |      0.993      0.000   -25.59   0.000        0.993       0.994
         NV  |      0.996      0.001    -5.20   0.000        0.995       0.998
         NH  |      0.997      0.000    -5.72   0.000        0.996       0.998
         NJ  |      0.999      0.000    -4.01   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NM  |      0.997      0.000    -6.45   0.000        0.997       0.998
         NY  |      0.998      0.000    -7.10   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NC  |      0.998      0.000    -8.58   0.000        0.997       0.998
         ND  |      1.002      0.000     5.08   0.000        1.001       1.002
         OH  |      1.001      0.000    51.56   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OR  |      1.000      0.001     0.26   0.797        0.999       1.001
         PA  |      0.999      0.000    -6.08   0.000        0.999       0.999
         SC  |      1.000      0.000     0.14   0.887        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.001      0.000     6.31   0.000        1.000       1.001
         TX  |      0.997      0.000    -7.83   0.000        0.996       0.998
         UT  |      1.001      0.001     1.75   0.081        1.000       1.002
         VT  |      1.002      0.000    17.18   0.000        1.002       1.002
         VA  |      0.998      0.000    -7.45   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WA  |      0.999      0.000    -3.72   0.000        0.999       1.000
         WV  |      0.998      0.000   -24.99   0.000        0.998       0.998
         WI  |      0.998      0.000    -7.79   0.000        0.997       0.998
         WY  |      0.999      0.001    -2.20   0.028        0.998       1.000
             |
       _cons |     73.271     32.502     9.68   0.000       30.715     174.789
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.03       0.07     0.36   0.718        -0.12        0.17
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -10.72       0.42   -25.46   0.000       -11.55       -9.90
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.90       0.44   -15.65   0.000        -7.76       -6.03
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.66       0.24    11.09   0.000         2.19        3.13
       >=65  |       3.72       0.58     6.43   0.000         2.58        4.85
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.95       0.09    10.04   0.000         0.77        1.14
     summer  |       1.03       0.12     8.91   0.000         0.80        1.26
       fall  |       0.65       0.12     5.38   0.000         0.41        0.89
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -107250.37                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2506

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.033      0.011     3.16   0.002        1.012       1.054
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.322      0.004   -84.59   0.000        0.313       0.330
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.504      0.018   -18.95   0.000        0.469       0.541
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.319      0.031    11.62   0.000        1.259       1.382
       >=65  |      1.447      0.073     7.30   0.000        1.310       1.598
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.095      0.042     2.33   0.020        1.014       1.181
     summer  |      1.072      0.028     2.62   0.009        1.018       1.129
       fall  |      1.039      0.030     1.29   0.196        0.981       1.100
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.976      0.033    -0.71   0.477        0.913       1.043
       1996  |      1.050      0.063     0.82   0.411        0.934       1.181
       1997  |      1.078      0.093     0.87   0.383        0.911       1.276
       1998  |      1.148      0.131     1.21   0.227        0.918       1.434
       1999  |      1.125      0.147     0.90   0.366        0.871       1.454
       2000  |      1.173      0.161     1.17   0.243        0.897       1.535
       2001  |      1.276      0.189     1.64   0.100        0.954       1.707
       2002  |      1.412      0.242     2.01   0.044        1.009       1.975
       2003  |      1.391      0.251     1.83   0.067        0.977       1.980
       2004  |      1.476      0.268     2.15   0.032        1.034       2.106
       2005  |      1.556      0.298     2.31   0.021        1.069       2.264
       2006  |      1.735      0.321     2.98   0.003        1.208       2.492
       2007  |      1.903      0.376     3.25   0.001        1.292       2.804
       2008  |      2.146      0.435     3.77   0.000        1.443       3.193
       2009  |      2.250      0.450     4.06   0.000        1.521       3.329
       2010  |      2.545      0.522     4.56   0.000        1.703       3.804
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.068      0.045     1.56   0.120        0.983       1.161
spring#1996  |      1.002      0.042     0.06   0.955        0.923       1.089
spring#1997  |      0.989      0.045    -0.25   0.799        0.905       1.080
spring#1998  |      0.972      0.038    -0.72   0.473        0.901       1.049
spring#1999  |      0.944      0.042    -1.29   0.198        0.864       1.031
spring#2000  |      0.974      0.046    -0.57   0.567        0.888       1.067
spring#2001  |      0.971      0.037    -0.78   0.437        0.902       1.046
spring#2002  |      0.978      0.049    -0.45   0.656        0.887       1.079
spring#2003  |      1.036      0.044     0.84   0.399        0.954       1.126
spring#2004  |      1.001      0.054     0.02   0.988        0.900       1.113
spring#2005  |      1.049      0.057     0.89   0.373        0.944       1.167
spring#2006  |      1.016      0.060     0.26   0.792        0.904       1.141
spring#2007  |      1.027      0.041     0.67   0.504        0.949       1.112
spring#2008  |      0.986      0.043    -0.32   0.751        0.905       1.075
spring#2009  |      1.014      0.043     0.34   0.737        0.933       1.103
spring#2010  |      1.007      0.045     0.16   0.877        0.923       1.098
summer#1995  |      1.070      0.049     1.46   0.145        0.977       1.171
summer#1996  |      1.034      0.043     0.81   0.417        0.953       1.123
summer#1997  |      0.995      0.053    -0.09   0.926        0.896       1.105
summer#1998  |      0.990      0.043    -0.23   0.818        0.909       1.078
summer#1999  |      1.011      0.039     0.30   0.768        0.938       1.091
summer#2000  |      0.989      0.049    -0.23   0.820        0.897       1.090
summer#2001  |      1.026      0.045     0.59   0.554        0.942       1.119
summer#2002  |      0.986      0.037    -0.38   0.702        0.917       1.060
summer#2003  |      1.051      0.038     1.36   0.174        0.978       1.129
summer#2004  |      1.040      0.041     0.99   0.321        0.963       1.124
summer#2005  |      1.037      0.047     0.82   0.414        0.950       1.133
summer#2006  |      1.064      0.052     1.27   0.202        0.967       1.170
summer#2007  |      1.064      0.038     1.75   0.080        0.993       1.140
summer#2008  |      0.994      0.039    -0.15   0.883        0.922       1.073
summer#2009  |      1.103      0.041     2.61   0.009        1.025       1.186
summer#2010  |      1.054      0.029     1.89   0.059        0.998       1.114
  fall#1995  |      1.074      0.052     1.48   0.138        0.977       1.180
  fall#1996  |      1.042      0.039     1.09   0.276        0.968       1.122
  fall#1997  |      0.977      0.044    -0.51   0.611        0.895       1.067
  fall#1998  |      0.984      0.046    -0.35   0.728        0.897       1.079
  fall#1999  |      1.002      0.047     0.03   0.974        0.913       1.099
  fall#2000  |      0.989      0.052    -0.21   0.836        0.891       1.097
  fall#2001  |      0.997      0.039    -0.08   0.939        0.924       1.076
  fall#2002  |      0.970      0.051    -0.58   0.561        0.875       1.075
  fall#2003  |      1.021      0.037     0.57   0.571        0.950       1.097
  fall#2004  |      1.051      0.041     1.28   0.201        0.974       1.134
  fall#2005  |      1.069      0.049     1.46   0.145        0.977       1.169
  fall#2006  |      1.027      0.039     0.69   0.492        0.953       1.106
  fall#2007  |      1.081      0.053     1.59   0.113        0.982       1.191
  fall#2008  |      1.042      0.046     0.93   0.350        0.956       1.136
  fall#2009  |      1.096      0.045     2.25   0.025        1.012       1.188
  fall#2010  |      1.021      0.051     0.41   0.679        0.925       1.127
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.643      0.241    -1.18   0.239        0.308       1.342
         AZ  |      0.074      0.042    -4.61   0.000        0.024       0.224
         AR  |      0.643      0.014   -20.73   0.000        0.617       0.670
         CA  |      8.187      1.618    10.64   0.000        5.557      12.061
         CO  |      0.018      0.006   -11.38   0.000        0.009       0.036
         CT  |      0.427      0.042    -8.62   0.000        0.352       0.519
         DE  |      0.050      0.019    -7.71   0.000        0.023       0.107
         FL  |      0.030      0.011    -9.45   0.000        0.014       0.061
         HI  |      0.174      0.042    -7.25   0.000        0.109       0.279
         ID  |      1.684      0.971     0.90   0.366        0.544       5.211
         IL  |      0.050      0.008   -18.04   0.000        0.036       0.070
         IN  |      0.861      0.109    -1.18   0.238        0.671       1.104
         IA  |      0.754      0.065    -3.28   0.001        0.638       0.893
         KS  |      0.046      0.005   -28.55   0.000        0.037       0.057
         LA  |      0.985      0.099    -0.15   0.879        0.808       1.200
         ME  |      0.038      0.020    -6.29   0.000        0.013       0.104
         MD  |      0.060      0.016   -10.34   0.000        0.035       0.102
         MA  |      1.945      0.340     3.80   0.000        1.380       2.740
         MI  |      0.005      0.003    -8.24   0.000        0.001       0.018
         MN  |     12.416      1.748    17.90   0.000        9.423      16.360
         MS  |      0.547      0.039    -8.52   0.000        0.476       0.628
         MO  |      5.430      1.112     8.26   0.000        3.634       8.112
         MT  |      0.097      0.002   -96.24   0.000        0.092       0.101
         NE  |      0.328      0.033   -11.01   0.000        0.269       0.400
         NV  |      0.001      0.001    -5.79   0.000        0.000       0.011
         NH  |      0.030      0.011    -9.79   0.000        0.015       0.061
         NJ  |      0.111      0.019   -12.88   0.000        0.079       0.155
         NM  |      0.073      0.006   -30.28   0.000        0.062       0.086
         NY  |      3.007      0.302    10.97   0.000        2.470       3.661
         NC  |      0.016      0.002   -35.66   0.000        0.012       0.019
         ND  |      3.421      1.399     3.01   0.003        1.534       7.626
         OH  |      0.007      0.002   -17.77   0.000        0.004       0.012
         OR  |      0.112      0.041    -5.94   0.000        0.054       0.231
         PA  |      1.593      0.057    13.10   0.000        1.486       1.708
         SC  |     20.844      5.211    12.15   0.000       12.769      34.024
         TN  |      0.739      0.028    -7.95   0.000        0.685       0.796
         TX  |      0.766      0.029    -7.00   0.000        0.711       0.825
         UT  |      0.079      0.011   -18.66   0.000        0.061       0.103
         VT  |      0.008      0.001   -25.69   0.000        0.006       0.012
         VA  |      0.328      0.028   -13.13   0.000        0.278       0.388
         WA  |      0.041      0.003   -42.47   0.000        0.035       0.047
         WV  |      0.250      0.016   -21.84   0.000        0.221       0.284
         WI  |      0.576      0.065    -4.89   0.000        0.462       0.719
         WY  |      2.238      0.745     2.42   0.016        1.165       4.298
             |
     quarter |      1.005      0.033     0.16   0.874        0.942       1.073
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -0.49   0.626        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.007      0.005     1.54   0.123        0.998       1.017
         AZ  |      1.037      0.007     5.77   0.000        1.024       1.050
         AR  |      1.007      0.000    22.63   0.000        1.007       1.008
         CA  |      0.977      0.002   -11.86   0.000        0.973       0.981
         CO  |      1.056      0.004    13.63   0.000        1.048       1.064
         CT  |      1.006      0.001     6.30   0.000        1.004       1.007
         DE  |      1.039      0.005     8.40   0.000        1.030       1.048
         FL  |      1.048      0.004    10.97   0.000        1.039       1.057
         HI  |      1.026      0.003     8.28   0.000        1.020       1.033
         ID  |      0.996      0.006    -0.62   0.538        0.984       1.009
         IL  |      1.033      0.002    16.70   0.000        1.029       1.037
         IN  |      0.999      0.002    -0.35   0.727        0.996       1.002
         IA  |      0.999      0.001    -1.24   0.213        0.996       1.001
         KS  |      1.037      0.001    29.85   0.000        1.035       1.040
         LA  |      1.006      0.001     5.25   0.000        1.004       1.008
         ME  |      1.039      0.006     6.23   0.000        1.027       1.052
         MD  |      1.034      0.003    11.21   0.000        1.028       1.040
         MA  |      0.988      0.002    -6.77   0.000        0.984       0.991
         MI  |      1.066      0.009     7.72   0.000        1.049       1.083
         MN  |      0.970      0.001   -21.03   0.000        0.967       0.972
         MS  |      1.006      0.001     7.02   0.000        1.004       1.007
         MO  |      0.983      0.002    -6.82   0.000        0.978       0.988
         MT  |      1.031      0.001    54.49   0.000        1.030       1.032
         NE  |      1.017      0.001    16.28   0.000        1.015       1.019
         NV  |      1.095      0.015     6.60   0.000        1.066       1.125
         NH  |      1.042      0.004    10.54   0.000        1.034       1.050
         NJ  |      1.020      0.002    10.88   0.000        1.016       1.023
         NM  |      1.040      0.001    51.47   0.000        1.038       1.041
         NY  |      0.981      0.001   -12.62   0.000        0.979       0.984
         NC  |      1.053      0.001    42.87   0.000        1.050       1.055
         ND  |      0.982      0.005    -3.44   0.001        0.972       0.992
         OH  |      1.056      0.004    15.86   0.000        1.049       1.063
         OR  |      1.027      0.004     6.62   0.000        1.019       1.035
         PA  |      0.993      0.000   -26.42   0.000        0.992       0.993
         SC  |      0.965      0.003   -12.65   0.000        0.960       0.970
         TN  |      1.003      0.000     6.69   0.000        1.002       1.003
         TX  |      1.006      0.001     7.08   0.000        1.004       1.007
         UT  |      1.031      0.001    24.02   0.000        1.029       1.034
         VT  |      1.055      0.002    25.16   0.000        1.051       1.060
         VA  |      1.013      0.001    16.69   0.000        1.012       1.015
         WA  |      1.039      0.001    57.87   0.000        1.038       1.041
         WV  |      1.017      0.001    24.97   0.000        1.016       1.019
         WI  |      1.006      0.001     5.60   0.000        1.004       1.009
         WY  |      0.993      0.005    -1.48   0.138        0.984       1.002
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    -1.53   0.126        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -6.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -17.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    14.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -16.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -12.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -9.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000   -12.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -9.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     1.23   0.220        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -17.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     0.57   0.570        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     2.55   0.011        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -33.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -11.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -6.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -13.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000     7.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -7.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    26.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -4.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000     5.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000   -26.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -30.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -7.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -13.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -13.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -78.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    10.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -61.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     3.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -15.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -7.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    43.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    14.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    -5.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    -5.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -40.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -26.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -25.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000  -114.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -32.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -10.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     1.47   0.143        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     25.764     71.660     1.17   0.243        0.111    6005.661
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.34       0.11     3.17   0.002         0.13        0.55
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -10.73       0.42   -25.47   0.000       -11.55       -9.90
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.90       0.44   -15.64   0.000        -7.76       -6.03
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.66       0.24    11.11   0.000         2.19        3.13
       >=65  |       3.72       0.58     6.44   0.000         2.59        4.85
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.95       0.09    10.03   0.000         0.76        1.14
     summer  |       1.02       0.12     8.81   0.000         0.80        1.25
       fall  |       0.65       0.12     5.33   0.000         0.41        0.88
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     110160
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -107205.29                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2510

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.050      0.018     2.80   0.005        1.015       1.086
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.322      0.004   -84.54   0.000        0.313       0.330
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.504      0.018   -18.94   0.000        0.469       0.541
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.319      0.031    11.63   0.000        1.259       1.382
       >=65  |      1.447      0.073     7.31   0.000        1.311       1.598
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.094      0.043     2.29   0.022        1.013       1.181
     summer  |      1.075      0.028     2.72   0.007        1.020       1.132
       fall  |      1.044      0.034     1.34   0.181        0.980       1.113
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.986      0.044    -0.32   0.747        0.904       1.075
       1996  |      1.065      0.073     0.93   0.354        0.932       1.218
       1997  |      1.097      0.106     0.96   0.337        0.908       1.326
       1998  |      1.171      0.140     1.32   0.187        0.926       1.480
       1999  |      1.147      0.156     1.01   0.313        0.879       1.498
       2000  |      1.194      0.166     1.27   0.203        0.909       1.568
       2001  |      1.287      0.191     1.70   0.090        0.962       1.723
       2002  |      1.404      0.240     1.99   0.047        1.004       1.964
       2003  |      1.371      0.247     1.75   0.080        0.963       1.951
       2004  |      1.448      0.267     2.01   0.045        1.009       2.079
       2005  |      1.526      0.302     2.14   0.033        1.036       2.249
       2006  |      1.706      0.328     2.78   0.005        1.170       2.488
       2007  |      1.879      0.387     3.07   0.002        1.256       2.812
       2008  |      2.118      0.448     3.55   0.000        1.399       3.206
       2009  |      2.202      0.457     3.80   0.000        1.466       3.309
       2010  |      2.502      0.520     4.42   0.000        1.666       3.759
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.069      0.045     1.57   0.116        0.984       1.161
spring#1996  |      1.003      0.042     0.07   0.946        0.923       1.089
spring#1997  |      0.989      0.045    -0.24   0.811        0.905       1.081
spring#1998  |      0.973      0.038    -0.69   0.493        0.902       1.051
spring#1999  |      0.945      0.042    -1.28   0.201        0.865       1.031
spring#2000  |      0.975      0.046    -0.52   0.601        0.888       1.071
spring#2001  |      0.974      0.038    -0.69   0.491        0.902       1.050
spring#2002  |      0.980      0.050    -0.41   0.685        0.887       1.082
spring#2003  |      1.037      0.044     0.85   0.395        0.954       1.127
spring#2004  |      1.002      0.055     0.03   0.975        0.900       1.116
spring#2005  |      1.050      0.057     0.89   0.371        0.943       1.169
spring#2006  |      1.016      0.060     0.27   0.784        0.905       1.142
spring#2007  |      1.028      0.042     0.69   0.490        0.950       1.114
spring#2008  |      0.989      0.044    -0.25   0.804        0.907       1.079
spring#2009  |      1.013      0.043     0.31   0.759        0.932       1.102
spring#2010  |      1.007      0.044     0.15   0.882        0.923       1.097
summer#1995  |      1.068      0.050     1.41   0.160        0.974       1.170
summer#1996  |      1.033      0.043     0.76   0.446        0.951       1.121
summer#1997  |      0.993      0.054    -0.13   0.897        0.893       1.104
summer#1998  |      0.988      0.042    -0.29   0.770        0.909       1.073
summer#1999  |      1.008      0.041     0.20   0.838        0.931       1.091
summer#2000  |      0.986      0.049    -0.28   0.780        0.894       1.087
summer#2001  |      1.022      0.046     0.48   0.632        0.936       1.116
summer#2002  |      0.982      0.036    -0.50   0.616        0.914       1.054
summer#2003  |      1.046      0.040     1.18   0.238        0.971       1.126
summer#2004  |      1.037      0.041     0.91   0.361        0.959       1.121
summer#2005  |      1.035      0.047     0.76   0.449        0.947       1.131
summer#2006  |      1.061      0.053     1.19   0.236        0.962       1.172
summer#2007  |      1.062      0.038     1.69   0.090        0.991       1.138
summer#2008  |      0.992      0.039    -0.19   0.846        0.919       1.072
summer#2009  |      1.096      0.041     2.46   0.014        1.019       1.178
summer#2010  |      1.055      0.030     1.86   0.063        0.997       1.116
  fall#1995  |      1.070      0.053     1.38   0.167        0.972       1.178
  fall#1996  |      1.038      0.041     0.94   0.346        0.961       1.121
  fall#1997  |      0.973      0.043    -0.61   0.541        0.892       1.062
  fall#1998  |      0.978      0.047    -0.45   0.651        0.890       1.076
  fall#1999  |      0.995      0.051    -0.10   0.924        0.899       1.101
  fall#2000  |      0.982      0.058    -0.31   0.758        0.874       1.103
  fall#2001  |      0.985      0.044    -0.33   0.740        0.902       1.076
  fall#2002  |      0.961      0.056    -0.69   0.488        0.858       1.076
  fall#2003  |      1.012      0.047     0.25   0.802        0.924       1.108
  fall#2004  |      1.045      0.046     1.00   0.319        0.959       1.139
  fall#2005  |      1.064      0.052     1.25   0.210        0.966       1.171
  fall#2006  |      1.022      0.045     0.49   0.622        0.937       1.115
  fall#2007  |      1.077      0.057     1.40   0.160        0.971       1.194
  fall#2008  |      1.034      0.050     0.70   0.482        0.941       1.137
  fall#2009  |      1.087      0.045     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.180
  fall#2010  |      1.023      0.052     0.44   0.662        0.925       1.130
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |   4.25e+07   5.25e+07    14.22   0.000     3.78e+06    4.79e+08
         AZ  |      0.495      1.868    -0.19   0.852        0.000     811.590
         AR  |      0.022      0.021    -3.89   0.000        0.003       0.150
         CA  |   1.75e+07   4.68e+06    62.53   0.000     1.04e+07    2.96e+07
         CO  |   1.57e+14   4.75e+14    10.84   0.000     4.26e+11    5.81e+16
         CT  |      0.000      0.000   -18.11   0.000        0.000       0.000
         DE  |   3.67e+16   9.34e+15   150.01   0.000     2.23e+16    6.04e+16
         FL  |   1.94e+06   5.91e+06     4.74   0.000     4873.655    7.70e+08
         HI  |      0.000      0.000   -17.65   0.000        0.000       0.000
         ID  |   1.15e+28   8.15e+28     9.09   0.000     1.01e+22    1.29e+34
         IL  |      0.003      0.006    -2.84   0.004        0.000       0.168
         IN  |   1.39e+17   1.30e+17    42.21   0.000     2.23e+16    8.70e+17
         IA  |     48.016     95.988     1.94   0.053        0.954    2415.531
         KS  |      0.000      0.000    -8.00   0.000        0.000       0.000
         LA  |      0.000      0.000    -5.81   0.000        0.000       0.000
         ME  |   9.42e+11   3.88e+11    66.95   0.000     4.20e+11    2.11e+12
         MD  |   1.47e+12   2.02e+12    20.40   0.000     9.97e+10    2.17e+13
         MA  |      0.000      0.000    -7.44   0.000        0.000       0.000
         MI  |     61.190    258.031     0.98   0.329        0.016    2.38e+05
         MN  |   2.90e+14   3.96e+14    24.36   0.000     1.99e+13    4.22e+15
         MS  |   1.65e+09   2.75e+09    12.77   0.000     6.36e+07    4.31e+10
         MO  |   3.16e+05   5.21e+05     7.68   0.000    12476.251    8.00e+06
         MT  |   1.38e+30   4.42e+30    21.75   0.000     2.66e+27    7.20e+32
         NE  |      0.637      1.038    -0.28   0.782        0.026      15.561
         NV  |   3.12e+13   3.33e+14     2.91   0.004    25161.422    3.87e+22
         NH  |      0.000      0.000   -41.40   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NJ  |      0.000      0.000   -42.79   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NM  |      0.000      0.000    -4.35   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NY  |   6.15e+09   9.50e+09    14.60   0.000     2.99e+08    1.27e+11
         NC  |      0.000      0.000   -11.73   0.000        0.000       0.000
         ND  |    818.756   2921.812     1.88   0.060        0.751    8.93e+05
         OH  |      0.161      0.208    -1.41   0.158        0.013       2.025
         OR  |   1.66e+07   7.91e+06    34.99   0.000     6.56e+06    4.22e+07
         PA  |   4268.981   3112.955    11.46   0.000     1022.410   17824.736
         SC  |   9.40e+27   3.67e+27   165.12   0.000     4.38e+27    2.02e+28
         TN  |   2.81e+06   2.04e+06    20.47   0.000     6.78e+05    1.16e+07
         TX  |      6.437     17.542     0.68   0.494        0.031    1343.533
         UT  |      1.077      0.565     0.14   0.887        0.385       3.011
         VT  |      0.000      0.000   -59.02   0.000        0.000       0.000
         VA  |   2.89e+11   1.01e+11    75.49   0.000     1.46e+11    5.73e+11
         WA  |      1.184      1.400     0.14   0.887        0.117      12.020
         WV  |   1.75e+24   2.02e+24    48.34   0.000     1.82e+23    1.68e+25
         WI  |   1.88e+13   1.32e+13    43.73   0.000     4.79e+12    7.41e+13
         WY  |      0.253      0.694    -0.50   0.616        0.001      54.636
             |
     quarter |      1.095      0.296     0.33   0.738        0.645       1.858
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.002    -0.33   0.742        0.996       1.003
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     0.29   0.770        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.732      0.014   -16.34   0.000        0.705       0.760
         AZ  |      0.996      0.074    -0.05   0.962        0.862       1.152
         AR  |      1.070      0.019     3.84   0.000        1.034       1.108
         CA  |      0.751      0.005   -46.44   0.000        0.741       0.760
         CO  |      0.546      0.027   -12.06   0.000        0.494       0.602
         CT  |      1.459      0.029    18.90   0.000        1.403       1.517
         DE  |      0.495      0.003  -120.75   0.000        0.489       0.501
         FL  |      0.756      0.044    -4.76   0.000        0.674       0.849
         HI  |      3.861      0.289    18.06   0.000        3.334       4.470
         ID  |      0.315      0.042    -8.64   0.000        0.242       0.409
         IL  |      1.084      0.037     2.34   0.019        1.013       1.160
         IN  |      0.491      0.008   -45.87   0.000        0.477       0.506
         IA  |      0.927      0.034    -2.07   0.038        0.864       0.996
         KS  |      1.510      0.080     7.81   0.000        1.362       1.675
         LA  |      1.413      0.084     5.83   0.000        1.258       1.587
         ME  |      0.595      0.003   -93.04   0.000        0.589       0.602
         MD  |      0.593      0.016   -18.81   0.000        0.562       0.626
         MA  |      1.605      0.099     7.68   0.000        1.422       1.811
         MI  |      0.896      0.063    -1.56   0.119        0.781       1.028
         MN  |      0.558      0.013   -25.67   0.000        0.534       0.583
         MS  |      0.681      0.021   -12.64   0.000        0.642       0.723
         MO  |      0.806      0.022    -7.78   0.000        0.764       0.851
         MT  |      0.285      0.016   -21.71   0.000        0.255       0.320
         NE  |      1.004      0.028     0.15   0.881        0.951       1.061
         NV  |      0.549      0.112    -2.95   0.003        0.369       0.818
         NH  |      2.642      0.053    48.69   0.000        2.540       2.747
         NJ  |      1.190      0.005    43.47   0.000        1.181       1.199
         NM  |      1.285      0.079     4.10   0.000        1.140       1.449
         NY  |      0.669      0.019   -14.30   0.000        0.633       0.707
         NC  |      1.232      0.023    11.32   0.000        1.188       1.277
         ND  |      0.893      0.060    -1.68   0.094        0.783       1.019
         OH  |      0.996      0.020    -0.20   0.845        0.957       1.037
         OR  |      0.731      0.009   -26.65   0.000        0.714       0.748
         PA  |      0.861      0.011   -11.97   0.000        0.841       0.883
         SC  |      0.321      0.002  -199.26   0.000        0.317       0.325
         TN  |      0.764      0.010   -21.28   0.000        0.746       0.783
         TX  |      0.968      0.047    -0.67   0.501        0.880       1.064
         UT  |      0.982      0.010    -1.72   0.085        0.962       1.003
         VT  |      3.942      0.086    62.54   0.000        3.776       4.115
         VA  |      0.619      0.003   -94.62   0.000        0.613       0.625
         WA  |      0.977      0.020    -1.14   0.253        0.940       1.017
         WV  |      0.365      0.007   -50.42   0.000        0.351       0.379
         WI  |      0.576      0.008   -39.55   0.000        0.560       0.592
         WY  |      1.035      0.049     0.72   0.471        0.943       1.135
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.002      0.000    20.02   0.000        1.002       1.002
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     0.34   0.733        0.999       1.001
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    -3.63   0.000        0.999       1.000
         CA  |      1.002      0.000    35.68   0.000        1.002       1.002
         CO  |      1.004      0.000    13.67   0.000        1.003       1.004
         CT  |      0.998      0.000   -19.76   0.000        0.998       0.998
         DE  |      1.004      0.000    81.43   0.000        1.004       1.004
         FL  |      1.002      0.000     4.88   0.000        1.001       1.003
         HI  |      0.992      0.000   -18.60   0.000        0.991       0.993
         ID  |      1.007      0.001     8.29   0.000        1.005       1.009
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    -1.92   0.054        0.999       1.000
         IN  |      1.004      0.000    50.33   0.000        1.004       1.004
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     2.02   0.043        1.000       1.001
         KS  |      0.998      0.000    -7.60   0.000        0.997       0.998
         LA  |      0.998      0.000    -5.74   0.000        0.997       0.999
         ME  |      1.003      0.000    67.47   0.000        1.003       1.003
         MD  |      1.003      0.000    17.70   0.000        1.003       1.004
         MA  |      0.997      0.000    -8.02   0.000        0.996       0.998
         MI  |      1.001      0.000     2.29   0.022        1.000       1.002
         MN  |      1.003      0.000    26.78   0.000        1.003       1.004
         MS  |      1.002      0.000    12.53   0.000        1.002       1.003
         MO  |      1.001      0.000     8.08   0.000        1.001       1.002
         MT  |      1.008      0.000    21.95   0.000        1.007       1.008
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     0.07   0.943        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.004      0.001     3.04   0.002        1.001       1.006
         NH  |      0.994      0.000   -58.76   0.000        0.994       0.995
         NJ  |      0.999      0.000   -37.57   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NM  |      0.999      0.000    -3.71   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NY  |      1.002      0.000    13.45   0.000        1.002       1.003
         NC  |      0.999      0.000   -10.61   0.000        0.999       0.999
         ND  |      1.001      0.000     1.43   0.152        1.000       1.001
         OH  |      1.000      0.000     1.94   0.053        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.002      0.000    21.63   0.000        1.002       1.002
         PA  |      1.001      0.000    12.02   0.000        1.001       1.001
         SC  |      1.007      0.000   199.75   0.000        1.007       1.007
         TN  |      1.002      0.000    22.01   0.000        1.001       1.002
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     0.71   0.479        1.000       1.001
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     3.16   0.002        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      0.992      0.000   -66.43   0.000        0.992       0.992
         VA  |      1.003      0.000   115.02   0.000        1.003       1.003
         WA  |      1.000      0.000     2.25   0.024        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.006      0.000    52.44   0.000        1.006       1.006
         WI  |      1.003      0.000    36.42   0.000        1.003       1.003
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    -0.90   0.367        0.999       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -25.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -0.59   0.555        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000     3.36   0.001        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -30.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -15.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    19.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -61.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -5.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    19.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -8.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000     1.44   0.149        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -55.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    -1.91   0.057        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     7.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     5.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -46.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -17.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000     8.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -3.27   0.001        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -27.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -12.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -8.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000   -22.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -0.48   0.629        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -3.14   0.002        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    68.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    31.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     3.39   0.001        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000   -12.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000     9.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    -1.16   0.246        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    -4.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000   -19.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -11.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000  -172.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -22.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    -0.74   0.459        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    -4.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    69.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000  -126.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    -3.30   0.001        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -54.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -35.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     1.21   0.227        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.204      3.084    -0.11   0.916        0.000    1.56e+12
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     110160

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.51       0.18     2.85   0.004         0.16        0.85
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -10.73       0.42   -25.47   0.000       -11.56       -9.90
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.90       0.44   -15.64   0.000        -7.77       -6.04
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.66       0.24    11.12   0.000         2.19        3.13
       >=65  |       3.72       0.58     6.44   0.000         2.59        4.86
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.95       0.09    10.01   0.000         0.76        1.13
     summer  |       1.02       0.12     8.80   0.000         0.80        1.25
       fall  |       0.65       0.12     5.33   0.000         0.41        0.88
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.
(output written to suic-econ-atable2-educa3_3.txt)

. 
.         
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a4-educ.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  21 Feb 2015, 23:48:19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit    

end of do-file

. 
. 
. /*      Estimates crude and adjusted Poisson models using the CPS data by
>         education group for 1994-2010, restricted to working ages (25-64).
>         Estimates appear in Figure 3 */
. do suic-econ-a4-educwa.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-a4-educwa.txt, replace text
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a4-educwa.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  21 Feb 2015, 23:48:19

. 
. //  program:    suic-econ-a4-educwa.do
. //  task:               poisson models by education group (working ages)
. //      input:          suic-econ-data2-cps.dta
. //      output:         suic-econ-atable2-educa3wa_1 (2) (3).txt
. //  project:    economic conditions and suicide
. //  author:     sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 12

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. set matsize 11000

. 
. 
. // #1   
. // Use restricted data for 1994-2010, limit to ages 25-64
. 
. * CPS dataset
. use suic-econ-data2-cps, clear
(Suicide deaths and CPS denominators, 1980-2010)

. 
. * descriptive table
. preserve

. collapse (sum) suic pop1, by(educ stabb year)

. tabstat suic, by(educ) stats(sum)

Summary for variables: suic
     by categories of: educa3 (Educ Attainment 3 Cat)

          educa3 |       sum
-----------------+----------
             <HS |     99886
         HS Grad |    212449
MinsomeCollege/A |    179864
-----------------+----------
           Total |    492199
----------------------------

. gen rate = suic / (pop1/12) * 100000

. tabstat rate, by(educ) stats(mean sd min max) format(%3.1f)

Summary for variables: rate
     by categories of: educa3 (Educ Attainment 3 Cat)

          educa3 |      mean        sd       min       max
-----------------+----------------------------------------
             <HS |      18.9       7.0       5.1      53.2
         HS Grad |      22.2       6.6      10.3      50.8
MinsomeCollege/A |      11.6       3.7       4.9      23.8
-----------------+----------------------------------------
           Total |      17.6       7.4       4.9      53.2
----------------------------------------------------------

. restore

. 
. * drop ages 16-24 & 65+
. drop if agecat==1 | agecat==4
(220320 observations deleted)

. 
. * re-scale icei for a 10-unit change
. replace icei= -1*icei/10
(220320 real changes made)

. 
. * run regressions across each education group
. qui levelsof educa3, local(levels)

. foreach l of local levels {
  2. 
. di "-> Group = `: label (educa3) `l''"
  3. 
. 
. 
. // #2
. // crude poisson model without adjustments: Model 0
. 
. poisson suic icei if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog
  4. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_0: estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)
  5. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3wa_`l'_m_0, replace) 
  6. 
. 
.         
. // #3
. // now add individual covariates: Model 1
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) //
> /
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f) 
  7. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_1: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat) predict(ir
> ) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)
  8. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3wa_`l'_m_1, replace) 
  9.         
. 
. 
. // #4
. // now add state, season, and year fixed effects: Model 2
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year ///
>         if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)
 10. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_2: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 11.         
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3wa_`l'_m_2, replace) 
 12. 
. 
. // #5
. // now add state-specific linear trends to FE model: Model 3
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##c.quarter if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
 13. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_3: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 14. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3wa_`l'_m_3, replace)  
 15.         
. 
. // #6
. // now add state-specific quadratic time trends to basic FE model: Model 4
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter) if educa3==`l', offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
 16. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_4: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 17. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3wa_`l'_m_4, replace)  
 18. 
. 
. // #7   
. // include state-specific cubic trends: Model 5
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter##c.quarter) if educa3==`l', ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f) 
 19. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo educa3_`l'_m_5: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) ///
>         predict(ir) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 
 20. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(educa3wa_`l'_m_5, replace)  
 21. 
. 
. // #8
. // write results to file
. 
. esttab educa3_`l'_m_* using suic-econ-atable2-educa3wa_`l'.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar n
> ot ///
>         nolines nonum mtitle((0) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)) delimiter(";") replace /
> //
>         
 22. }
-> Group = <HS

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =       1.39
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.2388
Log pseudolikelihood = -72712.427                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0007

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |  -.0233603   .0198326    -1.18   0.239    -.0622315    .0155108
       _cons |    2.57977   .3061235     8.43   0.000     1.979779    3.179761
  logpop100y |          1  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.43       0.36    -1.19   0.236        -1.13        0.28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(4)    =    5359.64
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood =  -59224.32                 Pseudo R2       =     0.1861

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.995      0.019    -0.26   0.791        0.958       1.033
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.227      0.007   -46.40   0.000        0.213       0.242
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.483      0.053    -6.65   0.000        0.390       0.598
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.810      0.047    -3.63   0.000        0.723       0.908
       _cons |     33.052     10.459    11.05   0.000       17.777      61.454
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.07       0.28    -0.27   0.790        -0.62        0.47
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -18.40       1.39   -13.23   0.000       -21.12      -15.67
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -10.18       2.04    -5.00   0.000       -14.18       -6.19
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -3.07       1.04    -2.95   0.003        -5.10       -1.03
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -54881.252                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2458

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.082      0.012     7.18   0.000        1.059       1.105
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.233      0.007   -49.03   0.000        0.219       0.247
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.451      0.039    -9.17   0.000        0.380       0.534
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.767      0.029    -6.98   0.000        0.712       0.826
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.539      0.034    19.26   0.000        1.473       1.608
         AZ  |      0.948      0.042    -1.20   0.231        0.868       1.035
         AR  |      0.982      0.007    -2.57   0.010        0.969       0.996
         CA  |      0.382      0.006   -59.44   0.000        0.370       0.394
         CO  |      0.958      0.035    -1.17   0.243        0.892       1.029
         CT  |      0.518      0.006   -57.32   0.000        0.507       0.530
         DE  |      0.783      0.010   -19.24   0.000        0.764       0.803
         FL  |      0.868      0.013    -9.68   0.000        0.843       0.893
         HI  |      1.021      0.055     0.38   0.702        0.918       1.135
         ID  |      1.262      0.061     4.80   0.000        1.148       1.388
         IL  |      0.498      0.005   -67.65   0.000        0.488       0.508
         IN  |      0.786      0.010   -18.36   0.000        0.766       0.806
         IA  |      0.765      0.009   -22.23   0.000        0.747       0.784
         KS  |      0.978      0.012    -1.92   0.055        0.955       1.001
         LA  |      0.846      0.010   -14.22   0.000        0.826       0.865
         ME  |      0.891      0.012    -8.86   0.000        0.869       0.914
         MD  |      0.719      0.007   -35.00   0.000        0.706       0.733
         MA  |      0.451      0.010   -35.94   0.000        0.432       0.471
         MI  |      1.000      0.012     0.01   0.990        0.976       1.025
         MN  |      0.914      0.013    -6.26   0.000        0.889       0.940
         MS  |      0.960      0.012    -3.40   0.001        0.938       0.983
         MO  |      1.184      0.013    15.71   0.000        1.160       1.210
         MT  |      1.740      0.026    37.60   0.000        1.691       1.791
         NE  |      0.842      0.015    -9.95   0.000        0.814       0.871
         NV  |      1.309      0.081     4.33   0.000        1.159       1.478
         NH  |      1.027      0.036     0.76   0.448        0.959       1.099
         NJ  |      0.393      0.004   -97.31   0.000        0.386       0.400
         NM  |      1.200      0.029     7.46   0.000        1.144       1.259
         NY  |      0.315      0.000  -963.80   0.000        0.314       0.316
         NC  |      0.919      0.014    -5.45   0.000        0.891       0.947
         ND  |      1.038      0.012     3.35   0.001        1.016       1.061
         OH  |      0.873      0.010   -12.34   0.000        0.855       0.892
         OR  |      1.159      0.048     3.54   0.000        1.068       1.257
         PA  |      0.739      0.005   -47.14   0.000        0.729       0.748
         SC  |      0.998      0.014    -0.15   0.883        0.972       1.025
         TN  |      0.964      0.011    -3.27   0.001        0.943       0.985
         TX  |      0.523      0.013   -27.03   0.000        0.499       0.548
         UT  |      1.349      0.055     7.28   0.000        1.245       1.462
         VT  |      0.927      0.011    -6.19   0.000        0.905       0.950
         VA  |      0.964      0.008    -4.66   0.000        0.950       0.979
         WA  |      0.994      0.014    -0.39   0.697        0.967       1.023
         WV  |      0.716      0.008   -29.96   0.000        0.700       0.732
         WI  |      1.104      0.024     4.51   0.000        1.058       1.153
         WY  |      1.663      0.025    33.33   0.000        1.614       1.714
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.088      0.050     1.84   0.066        0.994       1.191
     summer  |      1.095      0.043     2.31   0.021        1.014       1.184
       fall  |      0.994      0.047    -0.13   0.899        0.907       1.090
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.051      0.047     1.10   0.269        0.962       1.148
       1996  |      1.019      0.046     0.42   0.676        0.933       1.113
       1997  |      1.082      0.050     1.68   0.093        0.987       1.185
       1998  |      1.070      0.073     0.99   0.324        0.936       1.222
       1999  |      1.120      0.063     2.01   0.044        1.003       1.250
       2000  |      1.240      0.069     3.85   0.000        1.111       1.384
       2001  |      1.307      0.089     3.92   0.000        1.143       1.495
       2002  |      1.197      0.091     2.38   0.017        1.032       1.389
       2003  |      1.327      0.107     3.52   0.000        1.134       1.553
       2004  |      1.335      0.079     4.90   0.000        1.189       1.499
       2005  |      1.316      0.087     4.13   0.000        1.155       1.499
       2006  |      1.357      0.096     4.30   0.000        1.181       1.559
       2007  |      1.416      0.122     4.05   0.000        1.197       1.675
       2008  |      1.508      0.125     4.94   0.000        1.282       1.775
       2009  |      1.350      0.094     4.30   0.000        1.178       1.548
       2010  |      1.330      0.094     4.03   0.000        1.158       1.528
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      0.984      0.059    -0.27   0.791        0.874       1.108
spring#1996  |      1.049      0.069     0.73   0.466        0.922       1.193
spring#1997  |      1.016      0.069     0.24   0.814        0.889       1.161
spring#1998  |      1.040      0.087     0.46   0.644        0.882       1.226
spring#1999  |      0.997      0.052    -0.06   0.956        0.899       1.105
spring#2000  |      0.983      0.071    -0.24   0.810        0.853       1.132
spring#2001  |      0.966      0.070    -0.48   0.632        0.837       1.114
spring#2002  |      1.035      0.074     0.48   0.630        0.899       1.192
spring#2003  |      1.008      0.065     0.12   0.905        0.888       1.144
spring#2004  |      0.967      0.059    -0.55   0.585        0.859       1.090
spring#2005  |      1.033      0.066     0.51   0.608        0.912       1.171
spring#2006  |      1.013      0.071     0.19   0.852        0.883       1.163
spring#2007  |      1.106      0.078     1.43   0.153        0.963       1.271
spring#2008  |      1.003      0.061     0.05   0.964        0.889       1.131
spring#2009  |      0.946      0.069    -0.76   0.445        0.821       1.090
spring#2010  |      1.060      0.076     0.81   0.419        0.920       1.221
summer#1995  |      1.081      0.069     1.22   0.223        0.954       1.225
summer#1996  |      1.100      0.056     1.88   0.061        0.996       1.215
summer#1997  |      0.995      0.064    -0.08   0.937        0.877       1.129
summer#1998  |      1.065      0.064     1.05   0.296        0.946       1.199
summer#1999  |      1.079      0.069     1.19   0.232        0.952       1.222
summer#2000  |      1.062      0.088     0.73   0.467        0.903       1.250
summer#2001  |      0.971      0.057    -0.50   0.615        0.864       1.090
summer#2002  |      1.199      0.076     2.85   0.004        1.058       1.359
summer#2003  |      1.026      0.076     0.35   0.725        0.888       1.187
summer#2004  |      0.993      0.073    -0.09   0.927        0.859       1.148
summer#2005  |      1.000      0.058    -0.01   0.994        0.892       1.120
summer#2006  |      1.014      0.061     0.23   0.821        0.901       1.141
summer#2007  |      1.091      0.062     1.52   0.128        0.975       1.220
summer#2008  |      1.028      0.074     0.39   0.698        0.893       1.185
summer#2009  |      1.031      0.064     0.49   0.621        0.913       1.164
summer#2010  |      1.134      0.077     1.85   0.064        0.992       1.297
  fall#1995  |      0.959      0.070    -0.58   0.564        0.832       1.106
  fall#1996  |      1.005      0.073     0.07   0.941        0.871       1.160
  fall#1997  |      1.125      0.060     2.19   0.028        1.013       1.249
  fall#1998  |      1.090      0.070     1.34   0.180        0.961       1.237
  fall#1999  |      1.113      0.074     1.61   0.107        0.977       1.269
  fall#2000  |      1.051      0.073     0.72   0.469        0.918       1.204
  fall#2001  |      0.956      0.080    -0.54   0.592        0.812       1.126
  fall#2002  |      1.081      0.067     1.27   0.204        0.958       1.220
  fall#2003  |      0.912      0.056    -1.49   0.135        0.809       1.029
  fall#2004  |      1.109      0.056     2.04   0.041        1.004       1.226
  fall#2005  |      1.085      0.080     1.12   0.264        0.940       1.253
  fall#2006  |      1.112      0.093     1.27   0.205        0.944       1.310
  fall#2007  |      1.133      0.092     1.53   0.125        0.966       1.328
  fall#2008  |      1.011      0.075     0.15   0.884        0.874       1.169
  fall#2009  |      1.039      0.082     0.49   0.627        0.890       1.213
  fall#2010  |      1.030      0.090     0.34   0.737        0.868       1.222
             |
       _cons |    117.978     13.171    42.73   0.000       94.792     146.835
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       1.51       0.21     7.07   0.000         1.09        1.93
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -23.97       1.23   -19.42   0.000       -26.39      -21.55
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -14.58       1.54    -9.46   0.000       -17.60      -11.56
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -5.07       0.79    -6.41   0.000        -6.63       -3.52
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.81       0.23     7.84   0.000         1.36        2.26
     summer  |       2.70       0.21    12.58   0.000         2.28        3.12
       fall  |       0.72       0.29     2.50   0.012         0.15        1.28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -54761.659                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2474

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.033      0.015     2.17   0.030        1.003       1.063
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.233      0.007   -48.96   0.000        0.219       0.247
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.450      0.039    -9.20   0.000        0.380       0.534
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.767      0.029    -6.92   0.000        0.711       0.827
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.095      0.051     1.95   0.051        0.999       1.199
     summer  |      1.082      0.044     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.172
       fall  |      0.965      0.044    -0.79   0.429        0.883       1.054
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.983      0.057    -0.29   0.768        0.877       1.102
       1996  |      0.895      0.056    -1.78   0.076        0.792       1.011
       1997  |      0.887      0.063    -1.70   0.090        0.772       1.019
       1998  |      0.816      0.080    -2.08   0.037        0.674       0.988
       1999  |      0.799      0.092    -1.96   0.050        0.638       1.000
       2000  |      0.828      0.116    -1.35   0.177        0.630       1.089
       2001  |      0.832      0.133    -1.15   0.251        0.608       1.139
       2002  |      0.736      0.127    -1.78   0.075        0.524       1.032
       2003  |      0.778      0.173    -1.13   0.258        0.504       1.202
       2004  |      0.740      0.170    -1.31   0.189        0.473       1.160
       2005  |      0.684      0.167    -1.55   0.121        0.423       1.105
       2006  |      0.660      0.170    -1.61   0.107        0.398       1.094
       2007  |      0.648      0.181    -1.55   0.121        0.375       1.121
       2008  |      0.664      0.191    -1.42   0.156        0.378       1.168
       2009  |      0.592      0.190    -1.63   0.103        0.315       1.112
       2010  |      0.568      0.197    -1.63   0.102        0.288       1.119
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      0.983      0.059    -0.28   0.782        0.874       1.107
spring#1996  |      1.050      0.069     0.74   0.460        0.923       1.194
spring#1997  |      1.016      0.069     0.24   0.811        0.889       1.161
spring#1998  |      1.039      0.087     0.45   0.651        0.881       1.225
spring#1999  |      0.997      0.052    -0.06   0.955        0.899       1.105
spring#2000  |      0.980      0.071    -0.28   0.781        0.851       1.129
spring#2001  |      0.961      0.070    -0.54   0.590        0.833       1.109
spring#2002  |      1.033      0.074     0.46   0.649        0.897       1.190
spring#2003  |      1.009      0.065     0.14   0.886        0.889       1.145
spring#2004  |      0.967      0.059    -0.55   0.581        0.859       1.089
spring#2005  |      1.033      0.066     0.50   0.614        0.911       1.170
spring#2006  |      1.012      0.071     0.17   0.863        0.882       1.162
spring#2007  |      1.103      0.078     1.39   0.166        0.960       1.267
spring#2008  |      0.994      0.061    -0.11   0.915        0.881       1.120
spring#2009  |      0.948      0.069    -0.74   0.458        0.822       1.092
spring#2010  |      1.058      0.076     0.78   0.437        0.918       1.219
summer#1995  |      1.084      0.069     1.25   0.210        0.956       1.229
summer#1996  |      1.102      0.056     1.91   0.057        0.997       1.217
summer#1997  |      0.995      0.064    -0.08   0.937        0.877       1.129
summer#1998  |      1.066      0.064     1.05   0.292        0.947       1.200
summer#1999  |      1.081      0.069     1.21   0.225        0.954       1.224
summer#2000  |      1.063      0.088     0.73   0.464        0.903       1.250
summer#2001  |      0.976      0.057    -0.41   0.683        0.870       1.096
summer#2002  |      1.204      0.076     2.94   0.003        1.064       1.363
summer#2003  |      1.034      0.076     0.46   0.647        0.895       1.195
summer#2004  |      0.995      0.074    -0.07   0.941        0.860       1.150
summer#2005  |      1.001      0.058     0.01   0.989        0.893       1.121
summer#2006  |      1.015      0.061     0.25   0.800        0.902       1.143
summer#2007  |      1.093      0.063     1.56   0.119        0.977       1.223
summer#2008  |      1.032      0.075     0.44   0.660        0.896       1.190
summer#2009  |      1.051      0.066     0.80   0.424        0.930       1.188
summer#2010  |      1.137      0.077     1.88   0.060        0.995       1.299
  fall#1995  |      0.964      0.070    -0.51   0.609        0.836       1.111
  fall#1996  |      1.008      0.073     0.10   0.917        0.874       1.162
  fall#1997  |      1.124      0.060     2.19   0.028        1.012       1.248
  fall#1998  |      1.091      0.070     1.36   0.174        0.962       1.238
  fall#1999  |      1.116      0.074     1.64   0.100        0.979       1.271
  fall#2000  |      1.056      0.073     0.79   0.427        0.923       1.209
  fall#2001  |      0.973      0.079    -0.33   0.738        0.830       1.142
  fall#2002  |      1.093      0.066     1.46   0.145        0.970       1.231
  fall#2003  |      0.922      0.056    -1.34   0.180        0.819       1.038
  fall#2004  |      1.113      0.057     2.09   0.037        1.006       1.230
  fall#2005  |      1.089      0.081     1.16   0.248        0.942       1.259
  fall#2006  |      1.115      0.094     1.30   0.193        0.946       1.314
  fall#2007  |      1.142      0.092     1.64   0.100        0.975       1.337
  fall#2008  |      1.032      0.077     0.42   0.674        0.892       1.194
  fall#2009  |      1.072      0.084     0.88   0.378        0.919       1.251
  fall#2010  |      1.037      0.090     0.42   0.675        0.875       1.229
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.752      0.074    13.25   0.000        1.612       1.903
         AZ  |      2.660      0.460     5.66   0.000        1.896       3.732
         AR  |      1.380      0.030    14.92   0.000        1.323       1.439
         CA  |      0.735      0.083    -2.73   0.006        0.589       0.917
         CO  |      3.568      0.342    13.27   0.000        2.957       4.305
         CT  |      0.650      0.064    -4.34   0.000        0.536       0.790
         DE  |      1.942      0.080    16.18   0.000        1.792       2.104
         FL  |      0.686      0.044    -5.86   0.000        0.605       0.779
         HI  |      5.807      0.175    58.27   0.000        5.473       6.161
         ID  |      1.093      0.243     0.40   0.688        0.707       1.691
         IL  |      1.034      0.017     1.98   0.047        1.000       1.068
         IN  |      0.665      0.009   -28.93   0.000        0.647       0.684
         IA  |      1.352      0.053     7.66   0.000        1.251       1.460
         KS  |      1.301      0.046     7.47   0.000        1.214       1.393
         LA  |      0.406      0.010   -35.21   0.000        0.386       0.427
         ME  |      0.978      0.053    -0.41   0.683        0.881       1.087
         MD  |      2.861      0.207    14.54   0.000        2.483       3.296
         MA  |      0.830      0.085    -1.82   0.069        0.679       1.015
         MI  |      0.774      0.080    -2.47   0.014        0.632       0.949
         MN  |      1.914      0.154     8.07   0.000        1.635       2.241
         MS  |      0.418      0.008   -46.21   0.000        0.403       0.434
         MO  |      1.610      0.019    39.89   0.000        1.573       1.648
         MT  |      0.745      0.091    -2.39   0.017        0.586       0.948
         NE  |      5.612      0.395    24.48   0.000        4.888       6.443
         NV  |      4.125      0.783     7.46   0.000        2.843       5.984
         NH  |      0.122      0.017   -14.86   0.000        0.093       0.161
         NJ  |      0.607      0.048    -6.37   0.000        0.520       0.708
         NM  |      1.288      0.147     2.22   0.027        1.030       1.610
         NY  |      0.307      0.023   -16.06   0.000        0.266       0.355
         NC  |      0.763      0.052    -4.00   0.000        0.668       0.871
         ND  |      1.709      0.141     6.50   0.000        1.454       2.008
         OH  |      0.410      0.005   -74.90   0.000        0.401       0.420
         OR  |      1.045      0.171     0.27   0.786        0.758       1.441
         PA  |      0.518      0.021   -16.51   0.000        0.479       0.560
         SC  |      0.787      0.042    -4.50   0.000        0.708       0.873
         TN  |      0.931      0.038    -1.77   0.076        0.860       1.008
         TX  |      1.240      0.156     1.71   0.087        0.969       1.586
         UT  |      2.052      0.304     4.86   0.000        1.535       2.743
         VT  |      0.263      0.014   -25.22   0.000        0.237       0.292
         VA  |      1.121      0.066     1.93   0.054        0.998       1.259
         WA  |      2.966      0.252    12.80   0.000        2.511       3.503
         WV  |      0.429      0.014   -25.06   0.000        0.401       0.458
         WI  |      0.557      0.050    -6.58   0.000        0.467       0.663
         WY  |      1.477      0.280     2.06   0.040        1.018       2.142
             |
     quarter |      1.012      0.005     2.26   0.024        1.002       1.023
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    -1.86   0.063        0.999       1.000
         AZ  |      0.993      0.001    -5.47   0.000        0.990       0.995
         AR  |      0.998      0.000   -13.35   0.000        0.998       0.998
         CA  |      0.996      0.001    -5.99   0.000        0.995       0.997
         CO  |      0.992      0.001   -10.97   0.000        0.990       0.993
         CT  |      0.998      0.001    -2.45   0.014        0.997       1.000
         DE  |      0.994      0.000   -17.44   0.000        0.994       0.995
         FL  |      1.001      0.000     2.14   0.033        1.000       1.002
         HI  |      0.990      0.000   -69.90   0.000        0.990       0.991
         ID  |      1.000      0.002    -0.20   0.841        0.996       1.003
         IL  |      0.995      0.000   -32.22   0.000        0.995       0.996
         IN  |      1.001      0.000     9.12   0.000        1.001       1.001
         IA  |      0.997      0.000   -15.98   0.000        0.996       0.997
         KS  |      0.998      0.000    -8.62   0.000        0.998       0.999
         LA  |      1.005      0.000    23.56   0.000        1.004       1.005
         ME  |      0.999      0.000    -2.20   0.028        0.999       1.000
         MD  |      0.992      0.001   -16.69   0.000        0.991       0.993
         MA  |      0.996      0.001    -5.54   0.000        0.994       0.997
         MI  |      1.001      0.001     2.31   0.021        1.000       1.002
         MN  |      0.995      0.001    -8.54   0.000        0.994       0.996
         MS  |      1.005      0.000    30.52   0.000        1.004       1.005
         MO  |      0.998      0.000   -51.50   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MT  |      1.005      0.001     5.76   0.000        1.003       1.006
         NE  |      0.989      0.000   -23.27   0.000        0.988       0.990
         NV  |      0.992      0.002    -5.30   0.000        0.989       0.995
         NH  |      1.012      0.001    11.00   0.000        1.010       1.014
         NJ  |      0.997      0.001    -5.32   0.000        0.996       0.998
         NM  |      0.999      0.001    -1.20   0.231        0.997       1.001
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     0.35   0.728        0.999       1.001
         NC  |      1.001      0.001     1.34   0.181        1.000       1.002
         ND  |      0.997      0.001    -5.86   0.000        0.996       0.998
         OH  |      1.004      0.000    96.05   0.000        1.004       1.004
         OR  |      1.000      0.001    -0.32   0.749        0.997       1.002
         PA  |      1.002      0.000     8.71   0.000        1.002       1.003
         SC  |      1.001      0.000     2.46   0.014        1.000       1.002
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    -0.01   0.990        0.999       1.001
         TX  |      0.994      0.001    -6.52   0.000        0.993       0.996
         UT  |      0.997      0.001    -3.04   0.002        0.994       0.999
         VT  |      1.007      0.000    22.17   0.000        1.007       1.008
         VA  |      0.999      0.000    -2.63   0.009        0.998       1.000
         WA  |      0.993      0.001   -12.43   0.000        0.992       0.994
         WV  |      1.003      0.000    16.99   0.000        1.003       1.003
         WI  |      1.004      0.001     5.31   0.000        1.002       1.005
         WY  |      1.000      0.001     0.35   0.729        0.998       1.003
             |
       _cons |     13.772      9.571     3.77   0.000        3.527      53.768
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.62       0.29     2.14   0.032         0.05        1.19
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -24.04       1.23   -19.49   0.000       -26.46      -21.62
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -14.65       1.54    -9.49   0.000       -17.67      -11.62
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -5.10       0.80    -6.37   0.000        -6.67       -3.53
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.92       0.25     7.58   0.000         1.42        2.41
     summer  |       2.55       0.22    11.34   0.000         2.11        2.99
       fall  |       0.31       0.23     1.33   0.185        -0.15        0.77
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -54688.182                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2484

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.019      0.023     0.83   0.409        0.975       1.066
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.233      0.007   -48.96   0.000        0.219       0.247
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.450      0.039    -9.21   0.000        0.379       0.533
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.767      0.029    -6.91   0.000        0.711       0.827
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.094      0.050     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.198
     summer  |      1.083      0.045     1.92   0.055        0.998       1.176
       fall  |      0.966      0.047    -0.70   0.487        0.878       1.064
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.987      0.060    -0.22   0.823        0.877       1.110
       1996  |      0.901      0.073    -1.29   0.197        0.768       1.056
       1997  |      0.892      0.092    -1.11   0.266        0.729       1.091
       1998  |      0.819      0.102    -1.60   0.111        0.642       1.047
       1999  |      0.801      0.112    -1.58   0.113        0.608       1.054
       2000  |      0.830      0.138    -1.12   0.262        0.598       1.150
       2001  |      0.836      0.158    -0.95   0.342        0.578       1.210
       2002  |      0.743      0.149    -1.48   0.138        0.501       1.100
       2003  |      0.787      0.185    -1.02   0.309        0.497       1.247
       2004  |      0.748      0.179    -1.21   0.226        0.467       1.197
       2005  |      0.687      0.170    -1.51   0.130        0.423       1.117
       2006  |      0.659      0.172    -1.60   0.110        0.396       1.098
       2007  |      0.644      0.174    -1.63   0.104        0.379       1.095
       2008  |      0.660      0.185    -1.48   0.138        0.381       1.143
       2009  |      0.594      0.189    -1.63   0.102        0.318       1.110
       2010  |      0.570      0.198    -1.62   0.105        0.289       1.125
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      0.983      0.059    -0.28   0.782        0.874       1.107
spring#1996  |      1.050      0.069     0.74   0.457        0.923       1.195
spring#1997  |      1.017      0.069     0.25   0.806        0.890       1.161
spring#1998  |      1.039      0.087     0.46   0.648        0.881       1.225
spring#1999  |      0.998      0.052    -0.05   0.962        0.900       1.105
spring#2000  |      0.980      0.071    -0.28   0.777        0.850       1.129
spring#2001  |      0.961      0.070    -0.55   0.581        0.833       1.108
spring#2002  |      1.033      0.075     0.45   0.650        0.897       1.190
spring#2003  |      1.010      0.066     0.16   0.876        0.889       1.148
spring#2004  |      0.968      0.059    -0.54   0.591        0.859       1.091
spring#2005  |      1.033      0.066     0.51   0.610        0.911       1.172
spring#2006  |      1.013      0.071     0.18   0.857        0.882       1.162
spring#2007  |      1.103      0.079     1.37   0.170        0.959       1.269
spring#2008  |      0.992      0.060    -0.14   0.891        0.880       1.117
spring#2009  |      0.949      0.068    -0.73   0.464        0.825       1.091
spring#2010  |      1.059      0.076     0.80   0.423        0.921       1.218
summer#1995  |      1.084      0.069     1.26   0.209        0.956       1.228
summer#1996  |      1.101      0.056     1.89   0.058        0.997       1.216
summer#1997  |      0.994      0.064    -0.09   0.925        0.875       1.129
summer#1998  |      1.065      0.065     1.02   0.306        0.944       1.201
summer#1999  |      1.080      0.069     1.20   0.229        0.953       1.224
summer#2000  |      1.061      0.089     0.71   0.481        0.900       1.252
summer#2001  |      0.976      0.058    -0.41   0.684        0.868       1.097
summer#2002  |      1.203      0.078     2.87   0.004        1.060       1.365
summer#2003  |      1.035      0.076     0.46   0.643        0.896       1.196
summer#2004  |      0.993      0.075    -0.10   0.924        0.857       1.151
summer#2005  |      0.999      0.057    -0.02   0.985        0.893       1.117
summer#2006  |      1.014      0.063     0.22   0.826        0.898       1.144
summer#2007  |      1.092      0.062     1.54   0.124        0.976       1.221
summer#2008  |      1.031      0.076     0.41   0.679        0.892       1.191
summer#2009  |      1.054      0.068     0.82   0.410        0.930       1.195
summer#2010  |      1.133      0.080     1.78   0.075        0.987       1.301
  fall#1995  |      0.963      0.070    -0.51   0.607        0.835       1.111
  fall#1996  |      1.006      0.073     0.08   0.933        0.872       1.160
  fall#1997  |      1.122      0.062     2.09   0.037        1.007       1.249
  fall#1998  |      1.089      0.071     1.30   0.193        0.958       1.238
  fall#1999  |      1.113      0.074     1.62   0.106        0.977       1.269
  fall#2000  |      1.054      0.073     0.76   0.448        0.920       1.208
  fall#2001  |      0.974      0.083    -0.31   0.758        0.825       1.150
  fall#2002  |      1.092      0.068     1.42   0.157        0.967       1.233
  fall#2003  |      0.921      0.059    -1.29   0.198        0.813       1.044
  fall#2004  |      1.108      0.058     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.228
  fall#2005  |      1.085      0.079     1.12   0.265        0.940       1.252
  fall#2006  |      1.111      0.099     1.17   0.241        0.932       1.324
  fall#2007  |      1.138      0.096     1.54   0.124        0.965       1.342
  fall#2008  |      1.032      0.085     0.38   0.702        0.878       1.214
  fall#2009  |      1.074      0.094     0.82   0.410        0.906       1.275
  fall#2010  |      1.031      0.100     0.31   0.755        0.852       1.248
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.000      0.000   -16.00   0.000        0.000       0.000
         AZ  |     21.259     23.401     2.78   0.005        2.458     183.861
         AR  |      0.115      0.008   -31.64   0.000        0.101       0.132
         CA  |      3.739      1.486     3.32   0.001        1.716       8.150
         CO  |  13157.408   9935.821    12.56   0.000     2994.920   57803.679
         CT  |      0.469      0.116    -3.05   0.002        0.288       0.763
         DE  |      0.143      0.115    -2.42   0.016        0.029       0.691
         FL  |     24.853     18.180     4.39   0.000        5.926     104.239
         HI  |     22.116     15.765     4.34   0.000        5.469      89.431
         ID  |      0.156      0.160    -1.81   0.070        0.021       1.168
         IL  |      0.111      0.039    -6.22   0.000        0.056       0.222
         IN  |     64.568     18.905    14.23   0.000       36.375     114.615
         IA  |      0.001      0.000   -27.33   0.000        0.001       0.002
         KS  |      0.086      0.023    -9.03   0.000        0.051       0.147
         LA  |     19.692      4.820    12.18   0.000       12.188      31.815
         ME  |      0.072      0.079    -2.38   0.017        0.008       0.626
         MD  |    480.455    214.086    13.86   0.000      200.616    1150.641
         MA  |   6.37e+06   2.42e+06    41.18   0.000     3.02e+06    1.34e+07
         MI  |     15.168     20.905     1.97   0.049        1.018     225.987
         MN  |      0.005      0.002   -16.38   0.000        0.003       0.010
         MS  |      0.049      0.007   -21.97   0.000        0.037       0.064
         MO  |      0.020      0.008    -9.35   0.000        0.009       0.045
         MT  |      0.063      0.004   -39.95   0.000        0.055       0.072
         NE  |      0.000      0.000   -51.58   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NV  |    179.590    425.621     2.19   0.029        1.726   18689.326
         NH  |     95.221     72.879     5.95   0.000       21.245     426.790
         NJ  |      0.625      0.220    -1.34   0.181        0.313       1.245
         NM  |      0.006      0.001   -30.59   0.000        0.005       0.009
         NY  |    211.611     43.020    26.34   0.000      142.066     315.199
         NC  |     30.385      6.559    15.82   0.000       19.903      46.388
         ND  |   3526.780   2668.659    10.79   0.000      800.364   15540.655
         OH  |      0.000      0.000   -12.63   0.000        0.000       0.001
         OR  |     63.478     46.592     5.65   0.000       15.061     267.546
         PA  |      0.035      0.003   -45.19   0.000        0.031       0.041
         SC  |      0.553      0.287    -1.14   0.254        0.200       1.529
         TN  |      0.007      0.001   -53.12   0.000        0.005       0.008
         TX  |      7.365      0.573    25.67   0.000        6.324       8.579
         UT  |      5.287      1.445     6.09   0.000        3.094       9.035
         VT  |      0.823      0.353    -0.45   0.650        0.356       1.906
         VA  |      0.003      0.001   -31.82   0.000        0.002       0.004
         WA  |      0.118      0.020   -12.51   0.000        0.085       0.165
         WV  |      0.038      0.005   -24.58   0.000        0.030       0.050
         WI  |    147.170     34.251    21.45   0.000       93.265     232.231
         WY  |      0.000      0.000    -9.87   0.000        0.000       0.002
             |
     quarter |      1.008      0.038     0.22   0.824        0.936       1.086
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     0.09   0.932        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.153      0.010    15.69   0.000        1.133       1.174
         AZ  |      0.969      0.012    -2.59   0.009        0.946       0.992
         AR  |      1.028      0.001    30.32   0.000        1.026       1.030
         CA  |      0.977      0.004    -5.97   0.000        0.970       0.985
         CO  |      0.899      0.008   -12.46   0.000        0.884       0.914
         CT  |      1.003      0.002     1.24   0.216        0.998       1.007
         DE  |      1.026      0.010     2.75   0.006        1.007       1.045
         FL  |      0.959      0.008    -5.00   0.000        0.944       0.975
         HI  |      0.975      0.009    -2.91   0.004        0.958       0.992
         ID  |      1.024      0.011     2.19   0.029        1.002       1.046
         IL  |      1.023      0.004     5.32   0.000        1.014       1.031
         IN  |      0.947      0.003   -15.39   0.000        0.941       0.954
         IA  |      1.085      0.004    25.01   0.000        1.078       1.092
         KS  |      1.031      0.003    10.06   0.000        1.025       1.037
         LA  |      0.959      0.003   -14.92   0.000        0.954       0.964
         ME  |      1.031      0.013     2.38   0.017        1.005       1.058
         MD  |      0.933      0.004   -14.49   0.000        0.924       0.941
         MA  |      0.823      0.003   -49.32   0.000        0.817       0.830
         MI  |      0.965      0.017    -1.99   0.046        0.933       0.999
         MN  |      1.068      0.004    20.12   0.000        1.061       1.075
         MS  |      1.031      0.002    18.40   0.000        1.027       1.034
         MO  |      1.052      0.005     9.77   0.000        1.041       1.062
         MT  |      1.035      0.002    20.92   0.000        1.032       1.039
         NE  |      1.166      0.003    65.14   0.000        1.161       1.171
         NV  |      0.949      0.026    -1.93   0.053        0.899       1.001
         NH  |      0.935      0.008    -8.09   0.000        0.920       0.951
         NJ  |      0.997      0.004    -0.77   0.441        0.990       1.004
         NM  |      1.065      0.001    49.44   0.000        1.062       1.067
         NY  |      0.925      0.003   -25.17   0.000        0.920       0.931
         NC  |      0.958      0.002   -19.82   0.000        0.954       0.962
         ND  |      0.909      0.009    -9.75   0.000        0.892       0.927
         OH  |      1.092      0.008    11.52   0.000        1.075       1.108
         OR  |      0.952      0.007    -6.24   0.000        0.938       0.967
         PA  |      1.035      0.001    50.01   0.000        1.034       1.036
         SC  |      1.006      0.006     0.94   0.350        0.994       1.017
         TN  |      1.061      0.001    51.28   0.000        1.059       1.064
         TX  |      0.974      0.002   -14.49   0.000        0.971       0.977
         UT  |      0.986      0.002    -5.87   0.000        0.981       0.991
         VT  |      0.994      0.005    -1.31   0.192        0.985       1.003
         VA  |      1.072      0.002    40.84   0.000        1.069       1.076
         WA  |      1.033      0.002    18.92   0.000        1.029       1.036
         WV  |      1.032      0.001    22.87   0.000        1.030       1.035
         WI  |      0.939      0.002   -27.51   0.000        0.935       0.943
         WY  |      1.103      0.012     8.93   0.000        1.079       1.127
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -15.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     2.28   0.022        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -27.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000     6.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    13.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    -3.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -3.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     5.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     1.85   0.064        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -3.05   0.002        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    -6.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    16.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -24.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -11.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    18.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -2.57   0.010        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    14.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.001      0.000    64.57   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     2.00   0.046        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -28.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -15.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -10.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000   -10.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -95.45   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     1.73   0.083        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    11.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    -0.17   0.864        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -81.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    20.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    29.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     8.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -10.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     7.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -53.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    -0.93   0.355        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -49.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     6.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     8.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000     3.07   0.002        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -63.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -26.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -24.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    47.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    -7.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     16.243     50.633     0.89   0.371        0.036    7311.788
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.36       0.44     0.83   0.406        -0.49        1.22
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -24.08       1.24   -19.47   0.000       -26.50      -21.65
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -14.68       1.54    -9.50   0.000       -17.70      -11.65
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -5.10       0.80    -6.37   0.000        -6.67       -3.53
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.92       0.25     7.55   0.000         1.42        2.42
     summer  |       2.55       0.22    11.37   0.000         2.11        2.99
       fall  |       0.31       0.23     1.34   0.180        -0.14        0.77
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -54642.228                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2491

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.030      0.030     1.02   0.306        0.973       1.091
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.233      0.007   -49.02   0.000        0.219       0.247
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.450      0.039    -9.21   0.000        0.379       0.533
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.767      0.029    -6.91   0.000        0.711       0.827
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.095      0.051     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.200
     summer  |      1.082      0.045     1.88   0.060        0.997       1.173
       fall  |      0.962      0.047    -0.79   0.428        0.875       1.058
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.975      0.057    -0.43   0.667        0.870       1.093
       1996  |      0.881      0.073    -1.52   0.128        0.749       1.037
       1997  |      0.870      0.088    -1.38   0.166        0.714       1.060
       1998  |      0.801      0.093    -1.92   0.055        0.638       1.005
       1999  |      0.787      0.106    -1.79   0.074        0.605       1.023
       2000  |      0.821      0.133    -1.22   0.222        0.598       1.127
       2001  |      0.831      0.155    -0.99   0.322        0.577       1.199
       2002  |      0.742      0.153    -1.45   0.148        0.495       1.111
       2003  |      0.792      0.195    -0.95   0.344        0.489       1.283
       2004  |      0.760      0.196    -1.07   0.286        0.458       1.259
       2005  |      0.706      0.192    -1.28   0.200        0.414       1.203
       2006  |      0.684      0.196    -1.33   0.184        0.391       1.198
       2007  |      0.673      0.198    -1.35   0.178        0.378       1.197
       2008  |      0.688      0.209    -1.23   0.219        0.379       1.249
       2009  |      0.611      0.206    -1.46   0.144        0.315       1.184
       2010  |      0.578      0.205    -1.54   0.123        0.288       1.160
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      0.983      0.060    -0.28   0.781        0.873       1.107
spring#1996  |      1.049      0.069     0.73   0.466        0.922       1.194
spring#1997  |      1.016      0.070     0.22   0.822        0.888       1.161
spring#1998  |      1.038      0.088     0.43   0.664        0.879       1.225
spring#1999  |      0.996      0.053    -0.08   0.935        0.898       1.104
spring#2000  |      0.979      0.071    -0.30   0.765        0.849       1.128
spring#2001  |      0.960      0.071    -0.56   0.578        0.830       1.110
spring#2002  |      1.032      0.075     0.43   0.669        0.894       1.190
spring#2003  |      1.008      0.065     0.12   0.905        0.888       1.144
spring#2004  |      0.966      0.059    -0.57   0.568        0.857       1.088
spring#2005  |      1.032      0.067     0.48   0.632        0.909       1.171
spring#2006  |      1.011      0.071     0.16   0.874        0.881       1.161
spring#2007  |      1.102      0.079     1.36   0.175        0.958       1.269
spring#2008  |      0.993      0.061    -0.12   0.908        0.880       1.120
spring#2009  |      0.948      0.068    -0.75   0.456        0.824       1.091
spring#2010  |      1.060      0.076     0.81   0.418        0.921       1.219
summer#1995  |      1.083      0.069     1.25   0.213        0.956       1.227
summer#1996  |      1.101      0.056     1.89   0.059        0.996       1.217
summer#1997  |      0.995      0.064    -0.07   0.940        0.877       1.129
summer#1998  |      1.067      0.064     1.08   0.281        0.948       1.200
summer#1999  |      1.082      0.071     1.21   0.226        0.952       1.230
summer#2000  |      1.064      0.091     0.73   0.464        0.901       1.258
summer#2001  |      0.978      0.059    -0.36   0.716        0.869       1.101
summer#2002  |      1.207      0.079     2.87   0.004        1.061       1.372
summer#2003  |      1.037      0.077     0.49   0.626        0.896       1.200
summer#2004  |      0.996      0.075    -0.05   0.961        0.859       1.155
summer#2005  |      1.002      0.060     0.04   0.969        0.892       1.126
summer#2006  |      1.017      0.062     0.27   0.786        0.902       1.146
summer#2007  |      1.094      0.062     1.59   0.111        0.979       1.223
summer#2008  |      1.033      0.075     0.44   0.658        0.896       1.191
summer#2009  |      1.051      0.066     0.80   0.426        0.929       1.190
summer#2010  |      1.134      0.080     1.79   0.074        0.988       1.302
  fall#1995  |      0.962      0.069    -0.53   0.594        0.836       1.108
  fall#1996  |      1.008      0.074     0.11   0.913        0.873       1.164
  fall#1997  |      1.126      0.062     2.17   0.030        1.012       1.254
  fall#1998  |      1.095      0.067     1.49   0.137        0.972       1.235
  fall#1999  |      1.121      0.079     1.63   0.103        0.977       1.287
  fall#2000  |      1.062      0.080     0.79   0.429        0.915       1.232
  fall#2001  |      0.979      0.084    -0.24   0.809        0.827       1.159
  fall#2002  |      1.100      0.072     1.45   0.148        0.967       1.251
  fall#2003  |      0.928      0.059    -1.17   0.242        0.819       1.051
  fall#2004  |      1.118      0.066     1.91   0.056        0.997       1.255
  fall#2005  |      1.094      0.077     1.27   0.204        0.952       1.257
  fall#2006  |      1.120      0.101     1.25   0.211        0.938       1.337
  fall#2007  |      1.145      0.097     1.60   0.110        0.970       1.351
  fall#2008  |      1.033      0.084     0.40   0.686        0.882       1.211
  fall#2009  |      1.071      0.094     0.79   0.431        0.902       1.272
  fall#2010  |      1.030      0.099     0.31   0.757        0.853       1.245
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.000      0.000    -4.42   0.000        0.000       0.000
         AZ  |   2.10e+36   1.27e+37    13.88   0.000     1.56e+31    2.83e+41
         AR  |      0.000      0.000    -6.60   0.000        0.000       0.003
         CA  |   1.49e+34   1.23e+34    95.39   0.000     2.95e+33    7.48e+34
         CO  |   3.40e+25   1.55e+26    12.85   0.000     4.34e+21    2.66e+29
         CT  |   1.37e+49   2.16e+49    72.00   0.000     6.31e+47    2.98e+50
         DE  |   2.14e+14   1.29e+14    54.70   0.000     6.57e+13    7.00e+14
         FL  |   3.77e+13   2.05e+14     5.75   0.000     8.83e+08    1.61e+18
         HI  |   7.37e+15   5.91e+16     4.56   0.000     1.10e+09    4.94e+22
         ID  |   1.93e+46   2.11e+47     9.74   0.000     9.30e+36    4.01e+55
         IL  |   2.90e+19   8.26e+19    15.72   0.000     1.09e+17    7.72e+21
         IN  |      0.895      1.373    -0.07   0.942        0.044      18.118
         IA  |   4.21e+10   1.18e+11     8.76   0.000     1.77e+08    1.00e+13
         KS  |   4.39e+36   2.07e+37    17.87   0.000     4.20e+32    4.58e+40
         LA  |   2.94e+36   1.41e+37    17.50   0.000     2.42e+32    3.57e+40
         ME  |      0.000      0.000   -41.11   0.000        0.000       0.000
         MD  |   5.41e+12   1.78e+13     8.91   0.000     8.55e+09    3.42e+15
         MA  |   8.75e+24   4.60e+25    10.92   0.000     2.93e+20    2.62e+29
         MI  |   7.36e+20   4.73e+21     7.48   0.000     2.52e+15    2.15e+26
         MN  |   2.03e+44   3.26e+44    63.60   0.000     8.75e+42    4.71e+45
         MS  |    384.782    959.608     2.39   0.017        2.900   51053.751
         MO  |   3.40e+24   8.17e+24    23.48   0.000     3.05e+22    3.79e+26
         MT  |      0.440      2.629    -0.14   0.891        0.000   53782.435
         NE  |      0.000      0.000    -6.14   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NV  |   4.51e+24   7.61e+25     3.37   0.001     2.00e+10    1.02e+39
         NH  |   1.82e+46   3.32e+46    58.37   0.000     5.09e+44    6.51e+47
         NJ  |   1.45e+27   9.91e+26    91.59   0.000     3.81e+26    5.53e+27
         NM  |   1.33e+64   7.01e+64    27.97   0.000     4.27e+59    4.14e+68
         NY  |   4.85e+20   8.73e+20    26.46   0.000     1.42e+19    1.65e+22
         NC  |   2.10e+17   4.37e+17    19.17   0.000     3.55e+15    1.24e+19
         ND  |   8.84e+23   4.88e+24     9.99   0.000     1.77e+19    4.42e+28
         OH  |   1.92e+14   2.86e+14    22.13   0.000     1.04e+13    3.54e+15
         OR  |   8.91e+09   5.62e+09    36.33   0.000     2.59e+09    3.07e+10
         PA  |   1.23e+18   8.44e+17    60.85   0.000     3.22e+17    4.71e+18
         SC  |      0.000      0.000   -32.92   0.000        0.000       0.000
         TN  |   1.97e+06   1.42e+06    20.20   0.000     4.83e+05    8.05e+06
         TX  |   4.62e+14   1.94e+15     8.04   0.000     1.23e+11    1.73e+18
         UT  |   1.79e+05  98550.285    21.92   0.000    60600.514    5.27e+05
         VT  |      0.000      0.000   -43.32   0.000        0.000       0.000
         VA  |      0.000      0.000   -48.92   0.000        0.000       0.000
         WA  |   8.54e+26   1.64e+27    32.29   0.000     1.98e+25    3.68e+28
         WV  |   1.28e+33   1.97e+33    49.64   0.000     6.33e+31    2.60e+34
         WI  |   2.74e+26   3.68e+26    45.20   0.000     1.95e+25    3.83e+27
         WY  |   6.05e+13   3.03e+14     6.33   0.000     3.29e+09    1.11e+18
             |
     quarter |      2.528      0.910     2.58   0.010        1.249       5.118
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.995      0.002    -2.49   0.013        0.990       0.999
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     2.45   0.014        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.274      0.082     3.77   0.000        1.123       1.445
         AZ  |      0.227      0.027   -12.54   0.000        0.180       0.286
         AR  |      1.144      0.026     6.00   0.000        1.095       1.196
         CA  |      0.242      0.005   -75.48   0.000        0.234       0.251
         CO  |      0.369      0.028   -13.17   0.000        0.319       0.428
         CT  |      0.128      0.003   -79.29   0.000        0.122       0.135
         DE  |      0.546      0.008   -39.34   0.000        0.529       0.562
         FL  |      0.577      0.060    -5.28   0.000        0.471       0.708
         HI  |      0.535      0.075    -4.45   0.000        0.406       0.705
         ID  |      0.145      0.030    -9.34   0.000        0.097       0.217
         IL  |      0.438      0.021   -17.06   0.000        0.399       0.482
         IN  |      1.020      0.026     0.79   0.428        0.971       1.073
         IA  |      0.618      0.031    -9.45   0.000        0.559       0.683
         KS  |      0.216      0.018   -18.56   0.000        0.184       0.254
         LA  |      0.224      0.020   -17.02   0.000        0.188       0.266
         ME  |      2.011      0.053    26.68   0.000        1.911       2.117
         MD  |      0.615      0.039    -7.66   0.000        0.543       0.696
         MA  |      0.388      0.035   -10.41   0.000        0.324       0.463
         MI  |      0.425      0.045    -8.05   0.000        0.346       0.524
         MN  |      0.154      0.004   -72.34   0.000        0.147       0.162
         MS  |      0.875      0.040    -2.94   0.003        0.800       0.957
         MO  |      0.354      0.014   -25.82   0.000        0.328       0.383
         MT  |      0.997      0.108    -0.03   0.980        0.807       1.232
         NE  |      1.207      0.047     4.86   0.000        1.119       1.302
         NV  |      0.372      0.120    -3.06   0.002        0.198       0.701
         NH  |      0.149      0.004   -73.51   0.000        0.142       0.157
         NJ  |      0.320      0.005   -74.77   0.000        0.311       0.330
         NM  |      0.068      0.007   -27.60   0.000        0.057       0.083
         NY  |      0.432      0.014   -25.39   0.000        0.405       0.461
         NC  |      0.496      0.017   -19.90   0.000        0.463       0.532
         ND  |      0.391      0.041    -8.99   0.000        0.319       0.480
         OH  |      0.523      0.012   -29.00   0.000        0.501       0.546
         OR  |      0.677      0.009   -30.27   0.000        0.660       0.695
         PA  |      0.460      0.005   -68.06   0.000        0.450       0.471
         SC  |      1.395      0.009    49.23   0.000        1.377       1.414
         TN  |      0.747      0.009   -23.37   0.000        0.729       0.765
         TX  |      0.550      0.041    -8.03   0.000        0.475       0.636
         UT  |      0.814      0.008   -21.99   0.000        0.800       0.829
         VT  |      2.537      0.048    48.90   0.000        2.444       2.634
         VA  |      1.695      0.020    45.84   0.000        1.658       1.734
         WA  |      0.325      0.011   -34.26   0.000        0.305       0.347
         WV  |      0.247      0.007   -53.08   0.000        0.234       0.260
         WI  |      0.343      0.009   -40.28   0.000        0.326       0.362
         WY  |      0.543      0.047    -7.06   0.000        0.459       0.644
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.999      0.000    -2.92   0.004        0.998       1.000
         AZ  |      1.009      0.001    11.51   0.000        1.007       1.010
         AR  |      0.999      0.000    -5.34   0.000        0.999       1.000
         CA  |      1.008      0.000    64.16   0.000        1.008       1.009
         CO  |      1.006      0.000    13.61   0.000        1.005       1.006
         CT  |      1.012      0.000    84.84   0.000        1.012       1.013
         DE  |      1.004      0.000    29.37   0.000        1.003       1.004
         FL  |      1.003      0.001     4.84   0.000        1.002       1.004
         HI  |      1.004      0.001     4.45   0.000        1.002       1.005
         ID  |      1.012      0.001     9.04   0.000        1.009       1.014
         IL  |      1.005      0.000    18.40   0.000        1.004       1.006
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -1.90   0.058        0.999       1.000
         IA  |      1.003      0.000    10.05   0.000        1.002       1.004
         KS  |      1.009      0.000    19.27   0.000        1.008       1.010
         LA  |      1.009      0.001    16.48   0.000        1.008       1.010
         ME  |      0.996      0.000   -19.53   0.000        0.996       0.996
         MD  |      1.003      0.000     6.65   0.000        1.002       1.003
         MA  |      1.005      0.001     9.65   0.000        1.004       1.006
         MI  |      1.005      0.001     8.86   0.000        1.004       1.006
         MN  |      1.011      0.000    81.62   0.000        1.011       1.012
         MS  |      1.001      0.000     3.34   0.001        1.000       1.001
         MO  |      1.006      0.000    28.91   0.000        1.006       1.007
         MT  |      1.000      0.001     0.23   0.822        0.999       1.001
         NE  |      0.999      0.000    -3.17   0.002        0.999       1.000
         NV  |      1.006      0.002     2.82   0.005        1.002       1.010
         NH  |      1.011      0.000    95.71   0.000        1.011       1.011
         NJ  |      1.007      0.000    63.64   0.000        1.007       1.007
         NM  |      1.016      0.001    27.46   0.000        1.015       1.017
         NY  |      1.005      0.000    23.16   0.000        1.004       1.005
         NC  |      1.004      0.000    20.42   0.000        1.004       1.004
         ND  |      1.005      0.001     8.05   0.000        1.004       1.007
         OH  |      1.004      0.000    39.25   0.000        1.004       1.004
         OR  |      1.002      0.000    21.88   0.000        1.002       1.002
         PA  |      1.005      0.000    73.23   0.000        1.005       1.005
         SC  |      0.998      0.000   -59.10   0.000        0.998       0.998
         TN  |      1.002      0.000    26.80   0.000        1.002       1.002
         TX  |      1.003      0.000     7.81   0.000        1.003       1.004
         UT  |      1.001      0.000    20.28   0.000        1.001       1.001
         VT  |      0.995      0.000   -54.81   0.000        0.994       0.995
         VA  |      0.997      0.000   -41.75   0.000        0.997       0.997
         WA  |      1.007      0.000    36.11   0.000        1.006       1.007
         WV  |      1.008      0.000    56.18   0.000        1.008       1.009
         WI  |      1.006      0.000    36.44   0.000        1.006       1.007
         WY  |      1.004      0.000     8.14   0.000        1.003       1.005
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     1.89   0.059        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000   -10.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000     4.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -58.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -13.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -87.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -24.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -4.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -4.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -8.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -19.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     3.22   0.001        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -10.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -19.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -15.99   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    15.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -5.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    -8.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -9.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -89.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -3.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -32.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -0.39   0.699        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     1.00   0.318        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -2.66   0.008        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000  -118.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -57.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -27.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000   -20.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -20.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    -7.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -54.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000   -17.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -75.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    46.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -30.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    -7.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -19.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    59.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    37.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -37.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -58.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -34.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    -9.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.000      0.000    -2.46   0.014        0.000       0.000
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.58       0.56     1.03   0.303        -0.52        1.68
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -24.09       1.24   -19.49   0.000       -26.52      -21.67
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -14.69       1.55    -9.50   0.000       -17.73      -11.66
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -5.11       0.80    -6.37   0.000        -6.68       -3.54
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.92       0.25     7.55   0.000         1.42        2.42
     summer  |       2.55       0.22    11.36   0.000         2.11        2.99
       fall  |       0.31       0.23     1.34   0.180        -0.15        0.77
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.
(output written to suic-econ-atable2-educa3wa_1.txt)
-> Group = HS Grad

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =      23.33
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -124451.05                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0069

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |  -.0568142   .0117632    -4.83   0.000    -.0798697   -.0337587
       _cons |   2.232664   .1727736    12.92   0.000     1.894034    2.571294
  logpop100y |          1  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -1.18       0.25    -4.72   0.000        -1.67       -0.69
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(4)    =    9688.49
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood =  -89123.52                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2888

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.954      0.011    -4.01   0.000        0.932       0.976
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -57.82   0.000        0.231       0.254
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.473      0.024   -14.78   0.000        0.428       0.522
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.984      0.036    -0.44   0.657        0.916       1.057
       _cons |     19.277      3.090    18.46   0.000       14.079      26.393
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.80       0.20    -3.97   0.000        -1.19       -0.40
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -20.66       0.65   -31.97   0.000       -21.93      -19.39
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -12.11       0.85   -14.29   0.000       -13.77      -10.45
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -0.27       0.61    -0.44   0.657        -1.47        0.93
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -86037.644                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3134

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.038      0.010     3.78   0.000        1.018       1.058
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -59.36   0.000        0.231       0.254
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.469      0.025   -14.39   0.000        0.423       0.520
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.987      0.036    -0.35   0.729        0.918       1.061
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.792      0.030    35.18   0.000        1.734       1.851
         AZ  |      1.724      0.071    13.19   0.000        1.590       1.869
         AR  |      1.106      0.007    15.37   0.000        1.092       1.120
         CA  |      0.983      0.011    -1.60   0.110        0.963       1.004
         CO  |      1.701      0.054    16.71   0.000        1.598       1.811
         CT  |      0.878      0.010   -11.17   0.000        0.858       0.898
         DE  |      1.089      0.012     7.62   0.000        1.065       1.113
         FL  |      1.283      0.018    17.43   0.000        1.248       1.320
         HI  |      1.461      0.053    10.52   0.000        1.362       1.568
         ID  |      1.410      0.066     7.29   0.000        1.285       1.546
         IL  |      0.804      0.007   -24.61   0.000        0.790       0.818
         IN  |      0.984      0.009    -1.71   0.087        0.965       1.002
         IA  |      0.911      0.007   -11.72   0.000        0.897       0.925
         KS  |      1.143      0.009    16.90   0.000        1.125       1.161
         LA  |      0.945      0.007    -7.84   0.000        0.932       0.958
         ME  |      0.947      0.011    -4.76   0.000        0.925       0.968
         MD  |      0.956      0.009    -4.70   0.000        0.938       0.974
         MA  |      0.855      0.018    -7.45   0.000        0.820       0.891
         MI  |      0.987      0.011    -1.17   0.241        0.965       1.009
         MN  |      0.956      0.013    -3.37   0.001        0.931       0.981
         MS  |      1.128      0.008    16.59   0.000        1.112       1.144
         MO  |      1.089      0.010     9.65   0.000        1.071       1.108
         MT  |      1.522      0.023    27.62   0.000        1.478       1.569
         NE  |      0.939      0.013    -4.41   0.000        0.913       0.966
         NV  |      2.163      0.126    13.20   0.000        1.929       2.426
         NH  |      1.168      0.039     4.62   0.000        1.093       1.247
         NJ  |      0.689      0.006   -40.92   0.000        0.677       0.701
         NM  |      1.503      0.034    18.05   0.000        1.438       1.571
         NY  |      0.672      0.001  -225.38   0.000        0.670       0.674
         NC  |      1.136      0.017     8.31   0.000        1.102       1.170
         ND  |      0.968      0.012    -2.70   0.007        0.946       0.991
         OH  |      0.886      0.008   -13.07   0.000        0.870       0.902
         OR  |      1.557      0.061    11.32   0.000        1.442       1.681
         PA  |      0.972      0.006    -4.63   0.000        0.960       0.984
         SC  |      1.104      0.014     7.79   0.000        1.077       1.132
         TN  |      1.164      0.011    16.18   0.000        1.143       1.185
         TX  |      1.000      0.021     0.01   0.996        0.960       1.042
         UT  |      1.615      0.062    12.51   0.000        1.498       1.741
         VT  |      0.959      0.010    -3.80   0.000        0.939       0.980
         VA  |      1.090      0.009    10.22   0.000        1.072       1.109
         WA  |      1.204      0.014    15.49   0.000        1.176       1.233
         WV  |      0.954      0.008    -5.71   0.000        0.939       0.970
         WI  |      1.008      0.021     0.37   0.712        0.967       1.050
         WY  |      1.509      0.022    28.17   0.000        1.466       1.553
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.075      0.035     2.21   0.027        1.008       1.146
     summer  |      1.075      0.033     2.32   0.020        1.011       1.143
       fall  |      1.094      0.028     3.47   0.001        1.040       1.151
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.042      0.035     1.25   0.212        0.977       1.112
       1996  |      1.086      0.035     2.58   0.010        1.020       1.156
       1997  |      1.137      0.051     2.85   0.004        1.041       1.242
       1998  |      1.225      0.048     5.22   0.000        1.135       1.323
       1999  |      1.117      0.044     2.82   0.005        1.034       1.206
       2000  |      1.218      0.055     4.38   0.000        1.115       1.330
       2001  |      1.150      0.061     2.63   0.009        1.036       1.277
       2002  |      1.286      0.051     6.32   0.000        1.189       1.390
       2003  |      1.224      0.058     4.26   0.000        1.115       1.343
       2004  |      1.228      0.072     3.49   0.000        1.094       1.377
       2005  |      1.291      0.066     5.01   0.000        1.168       1.427
       2006  |      1.300      0.069     4.93   0.000        1.171       1.444
       2007  |      1.344      0.077     5.13   0.000        1.200       1.504
       2008  |      1.443      0.078     6.80   0.000        1.298       1.604
       2009  |      1.371      0.067     6.44   0.000        1.246       1.510
       2010  |      1.338      0.065     5.96   0.000        1.216       1.472
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.019      0.046     0.41   0.680        0.933       1.113
spring#1996  |      0.987      0.043    -0.29   0.771        0.906       1.076
spring#1997  |      0.944      0.053    -1.03   0.301        0.845       1.053
spring#1998  |      0.887      0.037    -2.89   0.004        0.818       0.962
spring#1999  |      0.951      0.042    -1.14   0.255        0.871       1.037
spring#2000  |      0.949      0.040    -1.25   0.211        0.874       1.030
spring#2001  |      1.038      0.045     0.86   0.391        0.953       1.131
spring#2002  |      0.941      0.039    -1.47   0.141        0.867       1.020
spring#2003  |      0.992      0.048    -0.17   0.863        0.901       1.091
spring#2004  |      1.011      0.046     0.24   0.807        0.925       1.105
spring#2005  |      0.964      0.047    -0.75   0.453        0.877       1.060
spring#2006  |      1.007      0.042     0.16   0.873        0.927       1.093
spring#2007  |      1.002      0.046     0.04   0.970        0.916       1.096
spring#2008  |      1.000      0.040     0.01   0.995        0.926       1.081
spring#2009  |      0.983      0.043    -0.39   0.697        0.903       1.070
spring#2010  |      1.064      0.036     1.83   0.067        0.996       1.136
summer#1995  |      1.019      0.039     0.50   0.617        0.946       1.099
summer#1996  |      1.020      0.053     0.38   0.702        0.922       1.129
summer#1997  |      0.941      0.042    -1.36   0.174        0.861       1.027
summer#1998  |      0.924      0.030    -2.48   0.013        0.867       0.983
summer#1999  |      0.998      0.042    -0.05   0.960        0.918       1.084
summer#2000  |      0.922      0.038    -1.99   0.046        0.850       0.999
summer#2001  |      1.092      0.044     2.19   0.029        1.009       1.182
summer#2002  |      0.971      0.041    -0.70   0.487        0.895       1.054
summer#2003  |      0.999      0.043    -0.02   0.984        0.918       1.087
summer#2004  |      1.060      0.052     1.18   0.236        0.962       1.168
summer#2005  |      0.993      0.045    -0.16   0.876        0.908       1.086
summer#2006  |      1.037      0.047     0.80   0.424        0.949       1.133
summer#2007  |      1.056      0.053     1.09   0.277        0.957       1.166
summer#2008  |      1.007      0.033     0.21   0.837        0.944       1.073
summer#2009  |      1.039      0.045     0.88   0.377        0.954       1.132
summer#2010  |      1.099      0.049     2.13   0.034        1.007       1.198
  fall#1995  |      0.964      0.044    -0.80   0.426        0.882       1.055
  fall#1996  |      0.936      0.041    -1.51   0.132        0.859       1.020
  fall#1997  |      0.905      0.041    -2.22   0.026        0.828       0.988
  fall#1998  |      0.834      0.040    -3.77   0.000        0.760       0.917
  fall#1999  |      0.933      0.042    -1.55   0.121        0.855       1.018
  fall#2000  |      0.822      0.033    -4.89   0.000        0.760       0.889
  fall#2001  |      0.983      0.038    -0.46   0.648        0.911       1.060
  fall#2002  |      0.917      0.025    -3.13   0.002        0.869       0.968
  fall#2003  |      0.920      0.040    -1.91   0.056        0.845       1.002
  fall#2004  |      0.975      0.047    -0.53   0.593        0.887       1.071
  fall#2005  |      0.907      0.037    -2.41   0.016        0.838       0.982
  fall#2006  |      0.975      0.042    -0.58   0.563        0.896       1.061
  fall#2007  |      0.981      0.042    -0.44   0.663        0.902       1.068
  fall#2008  |      0.898      0.033    -2.88   0.004        0.835       0.966
  fall#2009  |      0.914      0.037    -2.20   0.028        0.844       0.990
  fall#2010  |      0.982      0.050    -0.36   0.721        0.889       1.085
             |
       _cons |     47.235      4.615    39.46   0.000       39.003      57.203
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.69       0.19     3.66   0.000         0.32        1.06
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -22.68       0.91   -25.06   0.000       -24.46      -20.91
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.44       0.85   -15.88   0.000       -15.10      -11.78
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -0.24       0.69    -0.35   0.728        -1.58        1.11
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.04       0.13     8.03   0.000         0.79        1.29
     summer  |       1.54       0.19     7.98   0.000         1.16        1.91
       fall  |       0.34       0.17     2.06   0.040         0.02        0.66
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -85813.661                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3152

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.012      0.010     1.19   0.233        0.993       1.031
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -59.35   0.000        0.231       0.254
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.469      0.025   -14.40   0.000        0.423       0.520
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.986      0.036    -0.37   0.709        0.918       1.060
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.075      0.035     2.19   0.028        1.008       1.146
     summer  |      1.076      0.034     2.28   0.023        1.010       1.146
       fall  |      1.096      0.028     3.55   0.000        1.042       1.153
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.050      0.038     1.34   0.181        0.978       1.127
       1996  |      1.104      0.044     2.50   0.012        1.022       1.194
       1997  |      1.163      0.072     2.45   0.014        1.031       1.313
       1998  |      1.259      0.080     3.63   0.000        1.112       1.426
       1999  |      1.154      0.084     1.97   0.049        1.001       1.331
       2000  |      1.266      0.106     2.82   0.005        1.075       1.492
       2001  |      1.217      0.127     1.88   0.061        0.991       1.494
       2002  |      1.393      0.159     2.91   0.004        1.114       1.741
       2003  |      1.349      0.187     2.16   0.031        1.028       1.772
       2004  |      1.369      0.197     2.18   0.029        1.032       1.815
       2005  |      1.451      0.234     2.31   0.021        1.057       1.990
       2006  |      1.471      0.252     2.26   0.024        1.052       2.057
       2007  |      1.535      0.274     2.40   0.016        1.082       2.176
       2008  |      1.685      0.323     2.72   0.007        1.157       2.455
       2009  |      1.670      0.375     2.28   0.022        1.076       2.592
       2010  |      1.675      0.391     2.21   0.027        1.060       2.646
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.018      0.046     0.40   0.686        0.932       1.113
spring#1996  |      0.987      0.043    -0.29   0.772        0.906       1.076
spring#1997  |      0.944      0.053    -1.03   0.302        0.845       1.053
spring#1998  |      0.887      0.037    -2.89   0.004        0.817       0.962
spring#1999  |      0.951      0.042    -1.13   0.258        0.872       1.037
spring#2000  |      0.948      0.040    -1.28   0.199        0.873       1.029
spring#2001  |      1.035      0.045     0.79   0.429        0.950       1.128
spring#2002  |      0.940      0.039    -1.49   0.135        0.866       1.020
spring#2003  |      0.992      0.048    -0.16   0.872        0.902       1.092
spring#2004  |      1.011      0.046     0.24   0.813        0.925       1.104
spring#2005  |      0.964      0.047    -0.76   0.450        0.877       1.060
spring#2006  |      1.006      0.042     0.15   0.883        0.927       1.093
spring#2007  |      1.000      0.046    -0.00   1.000        0.914       1.094
spring#2008  |      0.995      0.040    -0.13   0.899        0.919       1.077
spring#2009  |      0.984      0.042    -0.37   0.709        0.904       1.071
spring#2010  |      1.062      0.036     1.79   0.073        0.994       1.135
summer#1995  |      1.021      0.039     0.54   0.590        0.947       1.101
summer#1996  |      1.021      0.053     0.40   0.693        0.922       1.130
summer#1997  |      0.941      0.042    -1.36   0.175        0.861       1.028
summer#1998  |      0.924      0.030    -2.47   0.014        0.868       0.984
summer#1999  |      0.999      0.042    -0.03   0.976        0.919       1.085
summer#2000  |      0.922      0.038    -1.99   0.047        0.850       0.999
summer#2001  |      1.095      0.044     2.26   0.024        1.012       1.185
summer#2002  |      0.973      0.041    -0.65   0.516        0.897       1.056
summer#2003  |      1.003      0.044     0.07   0.948        0.921       1.092
summer#2004  |      1.061      0.053     1.19   0.234        0.962       1.169
summer#2005  |      0.993      0.046    -0.15   0.884        0.908       1.087
summer#2006  |      1.038      0.047     0.81   0.416        0.949       1.134
summer#2007  |      1.057      0.053     1.11   0.269        0.958       1.168
summer#2008  |      1.009      0.033     0.27   0.788        0.946       1.076
summer#2009  |      1.050      0.045     1.13   0.260        0.965       1.143
summer#2010  |      1.099      0.049     2.14   0.032        1.008       1.199
  fall#1995  |      0.967      0.044    -0.73   0.465        0.884       1.058
  fall#1996  |      0.937      0.041    -1.47   0.141        0.860       1.022
  fall#1997  |      0.904      0.041    -2.22   0.026        0.828       0.988
  fall#1998  |      0.835      0.040    -3.74   0.000        0.760       0.918
  fall#1999  |      0.934      0.042    -1.53   0.125        0.856       1.019
  fall#2000  |      0.824      0.033    -4.77   0.000        0.761       0.892
  fall#2001  |      0.992      0.038    -0.22   0.825        0.921       1.068
  fall#2002  |      0.922      0.025    -2.93   0.003        0.874       0.974
  fall#2003  |      0.925      0.041    -1.77   0.076        0.848       1.008
  fall#2004  |      0.976      0.047    -0.51   0.613        0.887       1.073
  fall#2005  |      0.909      0.037    -2.34   0.019        0.839       0.984
  fall#2006  |      0.977      0.042    -0.54   0.591        0.897       1.064
  fall#2007  |      0.986      0.043    -0.33   0.742        0.905       1.074
  fall#2008  |      0.909      0.034    -2.57   0.010        0.845       0.977
  fall#2009  |      0.929      0.038    -1.78   0.074        0.857       1.007
  fall#2010  |      0.985      0.050    -0.29   0.769        0.892       1.089
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      3.036      0.068    49.79   0.000        2.906       3.172
         AZ  |      4.731      0.501    14.67   0.000        3.844       5.822
         AR  |      0.810      0.012   -14.45   0.000        0.787       0.834
         CA  |      2.244      0.146    12.41   0.000        1.975       2.549
         CO  |      1.101      0.066     1.61   0.107        0.979       1.237
         CT  |      0.830      0.049    -3.15   0.002        0.739       0.932
         DE  |      1.012      0.024     0.52   0.602        0.967       1.060
         FL  |      1.808      0.071    15.01   0.000        1.674       1.953
         HI  |      1.206      0.022    10.49   0.000        1.164       1.249
         ID  |      0.489      0.065    -5.35   0.000        0.377       0.636
         IL  |      1.161      0.012    14.30   0.000        1.137       1.185
         IN  |      0.793      0.005   -36.52   0.000        0.783       0.803
         IA  |      0.933      0.019    -3.43   0.001        0.896       0.970
         KS  |      0.678      0.012   -21.74   0.000        0.655       0.702
         LA  |      1.603      0.029    26.48   0.000        1.548       1.660
         ME  |      1.075      0.024     3.27   0.001        1.029       1.122
         MD  |      1.044      0.050     0.89   0.371        0.950       1.147
         MA  |      0.581      0.036    -8.69   0.000        0.514       0.657
         MI  |      0.679      0.057    -4.65   0.000        0.577       0.800
         MN  |      0.349      0.017   -21.14   0.000        0.317       0.385
         MS  |      1.113      0.006    21.64   0.000        1.103       1.124
         MO  |      1.026      0.011     2.52   0.012        1.006       1.047
         MT  |      1.724      0.132     7.12   0.000        1.484       2.003
         NE  |      0.966      0.043    -0.77   0.439        0.886       1.054
         NV  |      4.883      0.576    13.44   0.000        3.875       6.153
         NH  |      0.676      0.057    -4.66   0.000        0.573       0.797
         NJ  |      0.670      0.034    -7.79   0.000        0.606       0.741
         NM  |      1.335      0.101     3.81   0.000        1.151       1.549
         NY  |      1.113      0.050     2.35   0.019        1.018       1.216
         NC  |      0.881      0.041    -2.75   0.006        0.804       0.964
         ND  |      0.675      0.041    -6.41   0.000        0.599       0.761
         OH  |      0.559      0.006   -50.05   0.000        0.547       0.572
         OR  |      1.465      0.136     4.12   0.000        1.221       1.757
         PA  |      1.037      0.027     1.41   0.157        0.986       1.091
         SC  |      1.259      0.047     6.21   0.000        1.171       1.354
         TN  |      0.602      0.012   -24.74   0.000        0.578       0.626
         TX  |      1.570      0.125     5.68   0.000        1.344       1.834
         UT  |      1.819      0.171     6.36   0.000        1.513       2.188
         VT  |      0.411      0.011   -33.63   0.000        0.390       0.433
         VA  |      1.033      0.045     0.76   0.446        0.950       1.124
         WA  |      1.337      0.064     6.08   0.000        1.217       1.468
         WV  |      0.434      0.006   -56.67   0.000        0.421       0.446
         WI  |      0.418      0.021   -17.21   0.000        0.378       0.462
         WY  |      0.656      0.085    -3.26   0.001        0.509       0.845
             |
     quarter |      0.996      0.004    -1.19   0.234        0.988       1.003
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.997      0.000   -86.80   0.000        0.997       0.997
         AZ  |      0.994      0.001    -7.77   0.000        0.992       0.995
         AR  |      1.002      0.000    16.10   0.000        1.002       1.002
         CA  |      0.995      0.000   -11.56   0.000        0.994       0.996
         CO  |      1.002      0.001     4.07   0.000        1.001       1.003
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     0.44   0.661        0.999       1.001
         DE  |      1.000      0.000     1.32   0.187        1.000       1.001
         FL  |      0.998      0.000    -7.32   0.000        0.997       0.998
         HI  |      1.002      0.000    10.29   0.000        1.001       1.002
         ID  |      1.005      0.001     5.28   0.000        1.003       1.007
         IL  |      0.998      0.000   -23.79   0.000        0.998       0.998
         IN  |      1.001      0.000    30.48   0.000        1.001       1.001
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    -1.58   0.115        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.003      0.000    24.34   0.000        1.003       1.003
         LA  |      0.997      0.000   -20.96   0.000        0.997       0.997
         ME  |      0.999      0.000    -5.52   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MD  |      0.999      0.000    -1.92   0.055        0.999       1.000
         MA  |      1.002      0.000     4.18   0.000        1.001       1.003
         MI  |      1.002      0.000     4.67   0.000        1.001       1.003
         MN  |      1.006      0.000    16.62   0.000        1.005       1.006
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -0.22   0.825        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    12.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      0.999      0.001    -1.81   0.070        0.998       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -1.13   0.257        0.999       1.000
         NV  |      0.994      0.001    -5.53   0.000        0.992       0.996
         NH  |      1.003      0.001     4.08   0.000        1.001       1.004
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     0.10   0.920        0.999       1.001
         NM  |      1.000      0.001     0.67   0.504        0.999       1.001
         NY  |      0.997      0.000   -11.25   0.000        0.997       0.998
         NC  |      1.001      0.000     3.52   0.000        1.001       1.002
         ND  |      1.002      0.000     4.92   0.000        1.001       1.003
         OH  |      1.003      0.000    69.64   0.000        1.002       1.003
         OR  |      1.000      0.001    -0.29   0.775        0.998       1.001
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    -2.81   0.005        0.999       1.000
         SC  |      0.999      0.000    -3.28   0.001        0.998       1.000
         TN  |      1.004      0.000    23.29   0.000        1.003       1.004
         TX  |      0.997      0.001    -5.12   0.000        0.996       0.998
         UT  |      0.999      0.001    -1.65   0.100        0.997       1.000
         VT  |      1.005      0.000    28.17   0.000        1.005       1.005
         VA  |      1.000      0.000     0.66   0.512        1.000       1.001
         WA  |      0.999      0.000    -2.32   0.020        0.999       1.000
         WV  |      1.005      0.000    57.45   0.000        1.004       1.005
         WI  |      1.005      0.000    12.26   0.000        1.004       1.006
         WY  |      1.005      0.001     5.72   0.000        1.003       1.006
             |
       _cons |     65.904     32.473     8.50   0.000       25.090     173.112
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.22       0.18     1.19   0.236        -0.14        0.58
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -22.70       0.91   -24.96   0.000       -24.48      -20.91
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.44       0.85   -15.88   0.000       -15.10      -11.78
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -0.26       0.68    -0.37   0.709        -1.59        1.08
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.02       0.13     7.60   0.000         0.76        1.28
     summer  |       1.59       0.20     7.86   0.000         1.19        1.99
       fall  |       0.45       0.18     2.55   0.011         0.10        0.80
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -85721.253                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3159

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.048      0.009     5.33   0.000        1.030       1.066
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -59.26   0.000        0.231       0.254
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.469      0.025   -14.39   0.000        0.423       0.520
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.986      0.036    -0.37   0.710        0.918       1.060
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.071      0.036     2.08   0.038        1.004       1.143
     summer  |      1.084      0.034     2.55   0.011        1.019       1.154
       fall  |      1.117      0.030     4.12   0.000        1.060       1.177
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.092      0.045     2.15   0.032        1.008       1.183
       1996  |      1.185      0.061     3.32   0.001        1.072       1.311
       1997  |      1.290      0.106     3.09   0.002        1.097       1.516
       1998  |      1.439      0.134     3.91   0.000        1.199       1.726
       1999  |      1.352      0.142     2.88   0.004        1.101       1.660
       2000  |      1.513      0.177     3.54   0.000        1.203       1.902
       2001  |      1.457      0.184     2.99   0.003        1.138       1.865
       2002  |      1.651      0.235     3.53   0.000        1.249       2.182
       2003  |      1.591      0.249     2.97   0.003        1.172       2.162
       2004  |      1.614      0.267     2.90   0.004        1.167       2.233
       2005  |      1.715      0.295     3.13   0.002        1.224       2.403
       2006  |      1.739      0.311     3.09   0.002        1.225       2.469
       2007  |      1.802      0.332     3.19   0.001        1.255       2.587
       2008  |      1.926      0.378     3.34   0.001        1.310       2.830
       2009  |      1.802      0.406     2.62   0.009        1.159       2.802
       2010  |      1.734      0.404     2.36   0.018        1.098       2.739
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.019      0.046     0.42   0.676        0.933       1.113
spring#1996  |      0.988      0.044    -0.28   0.779        0.906       1.077
spring#1997  |      0.944      0.053    -1.02   0.308        0.846       1.054
spring#1998  |      0.888      0.037    -2.85   0.004        0.818       0.964
spring#1999  |      0.952      0.042    -1.11   0.268        0.873       1.039
spring#2000  |      0.951      0.040    -1.19   0.234        0.876       1.033
spring#2001  |      1.041      0.046     0.91   0.363        0.955       1.135
spring#2002  |      0.943      0.039    -1.40   0.160        0.869       1.023
spring#2003  |      0.994      0.049    -0.13   0.897        0.902       1.094
spring#2004  |      1.014      0.046     0.30   0.761        0.928       1.108
spring#2005  |      0.967      0.048    -0.68   0.498        0.878       1.065
spring#2006  |      1.010      0.043     0.24   0.813        0.929       1.098
spring#2007  |      1.006      0.046     0.12   0.902        0.919       1.100
spring#2008  |      1.006      0.041     0.15   0.883        0.929       1.089
spring#2009  |      0.987      0.043    -0.30   0.765        0.906       1.075
spring#2010  |      1.069      0.036     1.97   0.049        1.000       1.141
summer#1995  |      1.018      0.039     0.47   0.638        0.945       1.098
summer#1996  |      1.018      0.053     0.35   0.726        0.920       1.127
summer#1997  |      0.938      0.042    -1.41   0.158        0.859       1.025
summer#1998  |      0.921      0.029    -2.58   0.010        0.865       0.980
summer#1999  |      0.994      0.042    -0.14   0.886        0.914       1.080
summer#2000  |      0.918      0.038    -2.07   0.038        0.846       0.995
summer#2001  |      1.086      0.043     2.08   0.038        1.005       1.173
summer#2002  |      0.965      0.041    -0.83   0.409        0.888       1.049
summer#2003  |      0.992      0.043    -0.19   0.850        0.911       1.080
summer#2004  |      1.053      0.053     1.03   0.301        0.955       1.163
summer#2005  |      0.986      0.045    -0.31   0.755        0.902       1.078
summer#2006  |      1.029      0.046     0.63   0.529        0.942       1.123
summer#2007  |      1.047      0.053     0.91   0.361        0.948       1.157
summer#2008  |      0.997      0.033    -0.08   0.939        0.934       1.065
summer#2009  |      1.026      0.045     0.59   0.556        0.942       1.117
summer#2010  |      1.088      0.049     1.87   0.062        0.996       1.188
  fall#1995  |      0.962      0.044    -0.86   0.392        0.880       1.051
  fall#1996  |      0.932      0.041    -1.60   0.109        0.856       1.016
  fall#1997  |      0.900      0.041    -2.31   0.021        0.823       0.984
  fall#1998  |      0.829      0.040    -3.87   0.000        0.753       0.911
  fall#1999  |      0.925      0.042    -1.72   0.085        0.847       1.011
  fall#2000  |      0.813      0.035    -4.83   0.000        0.748       0.884
  fall#2001  |      0.968      0.035    -0.90   0.369        0.902       1.039
  fall#2002  |      0.904      0.026    -3.57   0.000        0.855       0.956
  fall#2003  |      0.906      0.041    -2.20   0.028        0.829       0.989
  fall#2004  |      0.959      0.049    -0.81   0.419        0.867       1.061
  fall#2005  |      0.892      0.037    -2.77   0.006        0.822       0.967
  fall#2006  |      0.957      0.041    -1.02   0.309        0.880       1.042
  fall#2007  |      0.961      0.043    -0.87   0.383        0.880       1.050
  fall#2008  |      0.876      0.037    -3.10   0.002        0.806       0.952
  fall#2009  |      0.889      0.037    -2.82   0.005        0.819       0.965
  fall#2010  |      0.958      0.055    -0.74   0.457        0.856       1.073
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      5.327      1.681     5.30   0.000        2.870       9.886
         AZ  |      0.010      0.004    -9.93   0.000        0.004       0.024
         AR  |      0.005      0.000  -143.94   0.000        0.004       0.005
         CA  |      2.980      0.495     6.57   0.000        2.152       4.128
         CO  |      0.005      0.002   -16.80   0.000        0.003       0.010
         CT  |      0.051      0.006   -24.13   0.000        0.040       0.064
         DE  |      0.000      0.000   -23.42   0.000        0.000       0.001
         FL  |      0.018      0.006   -12.36   0.000        0.010       0.034
         HI  |   1630.111    340.075    35.45   0.000     1083.026    2453.553
         ID  |      0.024      0.012    -7.52   0.000        0.009       0.063
         IL  |      0.009      0.002   -27.02   0.000        0.006       0.012
         IN  |      0.000      0.000   -56.52   0.000        0.000       0.000
         IA  |      0.007      0.000   -89.74   0.000        0.006       0.008
         KS  |      0.000      0.000   -61.88   0.000        0.000       0.001
         LA  |      0.047      0.005   -29.61   0.000        0.038       0.058
         ME  |      0.211      0.094    -3.47   0.001        0.087       0.507
         MD  |      0.039      0.010   -13.30   0.000        0.024       0.063
         MA  |      2.449      0.388     5.66   0.000        1.796       3.339
         MI  |      0.001      0.000   -12.55   0.000        0.000       0.002
         MN  |      0.013      0.002   -29.59   0.000        0.009       0.017
         MS  |      0.020      0.001   -96.90   0.000        0.018       0.022
         MO  |      0.006      0.001   -22.81   0.000        0.004       0.010
         MT  |      0.034      0.002   -66.53   0.000        0.031       0.038
         NE  |      0.000      0.000   -66.34   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NV  |      0.001      0.001    -7.20   0.000        0.000       0.006
         NH  |      0.017      0.005   -12.64   0.000        0.009       0.031
         NJ  |      0.002      0.000   -35.61   0.000        0.001       0.002
         NM  |      0.014      0.001   -58.87   0.000        0.012       0.016
         NY  |     25.773      2.072    40.42   0.000       22.016      30.171
         NC  |      0.002      0.000   -45.32   0.000        0.002       0.003
         ND  |      0.810      0.248    -0.69   0.491        0.445       1.475
         OH  |      0.001      0.000   -29.69   0.000        0.000       0.001
         OR  |      0.002      0.001   -18.80   0.000        0.001       0.004
         PA  |      0.033      0.002   -58.03   0.000        0.029       0.037
         SC  |      0.097      0.023    -9.68   0.000        0.061       0.156
         TN  |      0.021      0.001   -55.31   0.000        0.018       0.024
         TX  |      0.177      0.006   -51.10   0.000        0.165       0.189
         UT  |      0.004      0.000   -43.83   0.000        0.003       0.005
         VT  |      0.000      0.000   -73.06   0.000        0.000       0.000
         VA  |      0.442      0.037    -9.75   0.000        0.375       0.520
         WA  |      0.057      0.004   -41.91   0.000        0.050       0.065
         WV  |      0.001      0.000   -78.29   0.000        0.001       0.001
         WI  |      0.026      0.003   -36.78   0.000        0.022       0.032
         WY  |     10.393      2.926     8.32   0.000        5.986      18.046
             |
     quarter |      0.924      0.025    -2.92   0.003        0.876       0.974
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     2.78   0.005        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.990      0.004    -2.65   0.008        0.982       0.997
         AZ  |      1.068      0.006    12.65   0.000        1.057       1.079
         AR  |      1.064      0.000   139.54   0.000        1.064       1.065
         CA  |      0.990      0.002    -5.84   0.000        0.987       0.994
         CO  |      1.067      0.004    18.20   0.000        1.060       1.075
         CT  |      1.033      0.001    26.23   0.000        1.030       1.035
         DE  |      1.104      0.005    23.79   0.000        1.095       1.113
         FL  |      1.053      0.004    13.97   0.000        1.046       1.061
         HI  |      0.918      0.002   -31.56   0.000        0.913       0.923
         ID  |      1.040      0.006     7.28   0.000        1.029       1.052
         IL  |      1.058      0.002    26.80   0.000        1.053       1.062
         IN  |      1.100      0.002    53.93   0.000        1.096       1.104
         IA  |      1.059      0.001    77.28   0.000        1.058       1.061
         KS  |      1.094      0.002    62.24   0.000        1.090       1.097
         LA  |      1.040      0.001    33.22   0.000        1.038       1.042
         ME  |      1.018      0.005     3.43   0.001        1.008       1.029
         MD  |      1.038      0.003    13.87   0.000        1.033       1.044
         MA  |      0.984      0.002    -9.72   0.000        0.981       0.987
         MI  |      1.088      0.008    11.59   0.000        1.073       1.104
         MN  |      1.045      0.002    28.19   0.000        1.042       1.049
         MS  |      1.049      0.000   102.30   0.000        1.048       1.050
         MO  |      1.063      0.003    22.44   0.000        1.057       1.068
         MT  |      1.045      0.001    65.11   0.000        1.044       1.047
         NE  |      1.098      0.001    71.94   0.000        1.095       1.100
         NV  |      1.102      0.013     8.45   0.000        1.077       1.127
         NH  |      1.047      0.004    12.69   0.000        1.039       1.054
         NJ  |      1.073      0.002    36.65   0.000        1.069       1.077
         NM  |      1.055      0.001    84.06   0.000        1.054       1.057
         NY  |      0.959      0.001   -37.12   0.000        0.957       0.961
         NC  |      1.074      0.002    49.50   0.000        1.071       1.077
         ND  |      0.999      0.004    -0.32   0.750        0.991       1.006
         OH  |      1.090      0.003    27.42   0.000        1.083       1.096
         OR  |      1.081      0.004    21.10   0.000        1.073       1.089
         PA  |      1.041      0.001    62.56   0.000        1.040       1.042
         SC  |      1.029      0.003    10.61   0.000        1.024       1.035
         TN  |      1.045      0.001    53.81   0.000        1.043       1.046
         TX  |      1.022      0.001    38.47   0.000        1.021       1.023
         UT  |      1.074      0.001    56.89   0.000        1.072       1.077
         VT  |      1.193      0.003    71.70   0.000        1.187       1.198
         VA  |      1.010      0.001    11.61   0.000        1.008       1.011
         WA  |      1.037      0.001    56.37   0.000        1.035       1.038
         WV  |      1.078      0.001    72.81   0.000        1.075       1.080
         WI  |      1.038      0.001    35.52   0.000        1.036       1.040
         WY  |      0.970      0.004    -7.73   0.000        0.963       0.978
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     1.98   0.047        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000   -15.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000  -134.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000     5.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -19.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -32.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -24.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000   -15.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    32.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -6.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -28.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -53.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -69.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -64.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -39.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -3.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -15.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    15.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000   -10.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -29.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -94.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -22.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000   -45.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -87.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -9.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -13.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -42.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000  -114.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    30.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -58.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     1.09   0.278        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -26.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000   -24.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -69.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -11.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -54.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -23.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -99.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -73.08   0.000        0.999       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -14.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -87.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -71.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -42.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     8.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |  45183.304   1.00e+05     4.83   0.000      585.321    3.49e+06
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.86       0.17     5.19   0.000         0.54        1.19
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -22.70       0.91   -24.96   0.000       -24.48      -20.92
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.44       0.85   -15.89   0.000       -15.10      -11.78
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -0.25       0.68    -0.37   0.710        -1.60        1.09
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.02       0.13     7.64   0.000         0.76        1.29
     summer  |       1.59       0.20     7.92   0.000         1.20        1.99
       fall  |       0.46       0.18     2.58   0.010         0.11        0.80
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -85676.94                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3163

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.043      0.018     2.52   0.012        1.009       1.078
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -59.27   0.000        0.231       0.254
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.469      0.025   -14.38   0.000        0.423       0.520
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      0.986      0.036    -0.37   0.711        0.918       1.060
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.073      0.036     2.12   0.034        1.005       1.145
     summer  |      1.080      0.034     2.44   0.015        1.015       1.148
       fall  |      1.106      0.030     3.70   0.000        1.049       1.167
             |
        year |
       1995  |      1.071      0.048     1.54   0.123        0.982       1.168
       1996  |      1.150      0.065     2.47   0.014        1.029       1.285
       1997  |      1.245      0.105     2.59   0.010        1.055       1.468
       1998  |      1.389      0.138     3.30   0.001        1.143       1.687
       1999  |      1.311      0.144     2.47   0.013        1.058       1.625
       2000  |      1.480      0.174     3.32   0.001        1.174       1.864
       2001  |      1.443      0.181     2.91   0.004        1.127       1.846
       2002  |      1.658      0.236     3.56   0.000        1.255       2.190
       2003  |      1.619      0.254     3.07   0.002        1.190       2.203
       2004  |      1.661      0.282     2.98   0.003        1.190       2.318
       2005  |      1.779      0.317     3.24   0.001        1.255       2.522
       2006  |      1.815      0.333     3.25   0.001        1.266       2.601
       2007  |      1.884      0.359     3.32   0.001        1.296       2.738
       2008  |      2.011      0.404     3.48   0.001        1.357       2.982
       2009  |      1.875      0.426     2.77   0.006        1.202       2.925
       2010  |      1.779      0.418     2.45   0.014        1.123       2.819
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.018      0.046     0.40   0.686        0.932       1.113
spring#1996  |      0.987      0.044    -0.30   0.762        0.905       1.076
spring#1997  |      0.943      0.053    -1.04   0.299        0.844       1.053
spring#1998  |      0.886      0.037    -2.90   0.004        0.817       0.962
spring#1999  |      0.950      0.042    -1.15   0.249        0.871       1.036
spring#2000  |      0.949      0.040    -1.24   0.214        0.873       1.031
spring#2001  |      1.038      0.046     0.84   0.398        0.952       1.132
spring#2002  |      0.941      0.039    -1.47   0.142        0.867       1.021
spring#2003  |      0.992      0.048    -0.17   0.862        0.902       1.090
spring#2004  |      1.012      0.046     0.26   0.796        0.926       1.106
spring#2005  |      0.965      0.047    -0.71   0.475        0.877       1.063
spring#2006  |      1.009      0.043     0.20   0.840        0.928       1.096
spring#2007  |      1.004      0.046     0.10   0.924        0.918       1.099
spring#2008  |      1.005      0.041     0.11   0.910        0.928       1.088
spring#2009  |      0.987      0.043    -0.29   0.771        0.906       1.076
spring#2010  |      1.070      0.036     2.00   0.045        1.001       1.142
summer#1995  |      1.020      0.039     0.51   0.608        0.946       1.099
summer#1996  |      1.021      0.053     0.40   0.686        0.923       1.130
summer#1997  |      0.942      0.042    -1.35   0.176        0.864       1.027
summer#1998  |      0.925      0.028    -2.53   0.012        0.871       0.983
summer#1999  |      0.999      0.042    -0.01   0.991        0.920       1.086
summer#2000  |      0.923      0.036    -2.05   0.040        0.855       0.996
summer#2001  |      1.093      0.042     2.30   0.021        1.013       1.179
summer#2002  |      0.972      0.042    -0.66   0.506        0.893       1.057
summer#2003  |      0.999      0.043    -0.03   0.974        0.918       1.087
summer#2004  |      1.060      0.051     1.22   0.224        0.965       1.164
summer#2005  |      0.992      0.045    -0.19   0.850        0.907       1.083
summer#2006  |      1.034      0.047     0.74   0.461        0.946       1.130
summer#2007  |      1.052      0.053     1.01   0.310        0.954       1.161
summer#2008  |      1.001      0.033     0.04   0.969        0.938       1.069
summer#2009  |      1.030      0.045     0.69   0.492        0.946       1.122
summer#2010  |      1.089      0.048     1.93   0.054        0.999       1.188
  fall#1995  |      0.965      0.044    -0.78   0.436        0.884       1.055
  fall#1996  |      0.938      0.041    -1.46   0.145        0.862       1.022
  fall#1997  |      0.908      0.040    -2.18   0.030        0.832       0.990
  fall#1998  |      0.838      0.043    -3.47   0.001        0.758       0.926
  fall#1999  |      0.937      0.042    -1.44   0.151        0.857       1.024
  fall#2000  |      0.824      0.035    -4.51   0.000        0.758       0.897
  fall#2001  |      0.984      0.039    -0.42   0.677        0.910       1.064
  fall#2002  |      0.918      0.027    -2.89   0.004        0.866       0.973
  fall#2003  |      0.919      0.045    -1.73   0.083        0.836       1.011
  fall#2004  |      0.972      0.049    -0.56   0.577        0.881       1.073
  fall#2005  |      0.903      0.037    -2.48   0.013        0.833       0.979
  fall#2006  |      0.968      0.044    -0.72   0.471        0.886       1.058
  fall#2007  |      0.971      0.044    -0.66   0.511        0.888       1.061
  fall#2008  |      0.884      0.037    -2.96   0.003        0.814       0.959
  fall#2009  |      0.895      0.039    -2.55   0.011        0.821       0.974
  fall#2010  |      0.959      0.055    -0.74   0.458        0.857       1.072
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |   2.06e+45   3.67e+45    58.54   0.000     6.26e+43    6.78e+46
         AZ  |   4.32e+15   1.62e+16     9.58   0.000     2.73e+12    6.81e+18
         AR  |   4.51e+17   3.36e+17    54.51   0.000     1.04e+17    1.94e+18
         CA  |   3.13e+12   2.18e+12    41.27   0.000     7.97e+11    1.23e+13
         CO  |   3.62e+06   1.00e+07     5.46   0.000    15990.190    8.18e+08
         CT  |   2.85e+09   2.67e+09    23.28   0.000     4.56e+08    1.78e+10
         DE  |      0.000      0.000  -133.47   0.000        0.000       0.000
         FL  |   5.91e+13   1.90e+14     9.89   0.000     1.10e+11    3.16e+16
         HI  |      0.000      0.000   -21.32   0.000        0.000       0.000
         ID  |   8.14e+13   5.81e+14     4.48   0.000     6.77e+07    9.78e+19
         IL  |   3.42e+16   5.61e+16    23.22   0.000     1.38e+15    8.51e+17
         IN  |   2.33e+11   1.63e+11    37.39   0.000     5.91e+10    9.18e+11
         IA  |   3.81e+16   6.45e+16    22.54   0.000     1.38e+15    1.05e+18
         KS  |   4.01e+16   1.05e+17    14.63   0.000     2.39e+14    6.72e+18
         LA  |   4.07e+13   1.14e+14    11.14   0.000     1.64e+11    1.01e+16
         ME  |  86754.512  59187.368    16.67   0.000    22780.782    3.30e+05
         MD  |      1.591      2.508     0.29   0.768        0.072      34.975
         MA  |   1.01e+18   3.16e+18    13.28   0.000     2.23e+15    4.59e+20
         MI  |   8.48e+09   3.36e+10     5.77   0.000     3.60e+06    2.00e+13
         MN  |   8.58e+26   8.32e+26    63.92   0.000     1.28e+26    5.74e+27
         MS  |     15.642     22.172     1.94   0.052        0.972     251.659
         MO  |   3.50e+07   4.96e+07    12.29   0.000     2.19e+06    5.60e+08
         MT  |      3.944     12.908     0.42   0.675        0.006    2408.052
         NE  |      0.000      0.000   -13.62   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NV  |  38121.767   3.90e+05     1.03   0.302        0.000    1.94e+13
         NH  |   2.74e+16   3.11e+16    33.31   0.000     2.95e+15    2.54e+17
         NJ  |      0.436      0.224    -1.61   0.107        0.159       1.196
         NM  |   2.42e+14   8.22e+14     9.74   0.000     3.09e+11    1.89e+17
         NY  |      5.806      6.261     1.63   0.103        0.701      48.070
         NC  |   1.06e+09   1.04e+09    21.23   0.000     1.56e+08    7.22e+09
         ND  |   5.35e+33   1.69e+34    24.54   0.000     1.08e+31    2.65e+36
         OH  |   1.71e+20   1.43e+20    55.68   0.000     3.33e+19    8.84e+20
         OR  |     73.325     20.034    15.72   0.000       42.922     125.261
         PA  |      8.658      4.385     4.26   0.000        3.208      23.364
         SC  |   2.64e+11   8.16e+10    85.22   0.000     1.44e+11    4.84e+11
         TN  |   1.32e+15   6.66e+14    68.82   0.000     4.88e+14    3.55e+15
         TX  |   5.14e+12   1.26e+13    11.93   0.000     4.19e+10    6.30e+14
         UT  |   3.06e+12   5.39e+11   163.35   0.000     2.17e+12    4.33e+12
         VT  |   6.75e+16   4.70e+16    55.66   0.000     1.72e+16    2.64e+17
         VA  |   5.81e+13   1.18e+13   156.34   0.000     3.90e+13    8.64e+13
         WA  |   7.47e+14   7.20e+14    35.53   0.000     1.13e+14    4.94e+15
         WV  |   5.11e+17   5.17e+17    40.29   0.000     7.03e+16    3.71e+18
         WI  |   1.95e+13   2.05e+13    29.12   0.000     2.48e+12    1.53e+14
         WY  |   2.40e+39   6.32e+39    34.38   0.000     1.36e+37    4.21e+41
             |
     quarter |      1.928      0.474     2.67   0.008        1.191       3.123
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.996      0.001    -2.83   0.005        0.993       0.999
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     2.97   0.003        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.156      0.005   -64.00   0.000        0.148       0.165
         AZ  |      0.516      0.038    -9.01   0.000        0.447       0.596
         AR  |      0.467      0.006   -57.31   0.000        0.455       0.479
         CA  |      0.603      0.009   -35.21   0.000        0.586       0.620
         CO  |      0.741      0.034    -6.55   0.000        0.678       0.811
         CT  |      0.663      0.011   -25.95   0.000        0.643       0.684
         DE  |      2.268      0.019    97.65   0.000        2.231       2.305
         FL  |      0.556      0.034    -9.57   0.000        0.493       0.627
         HI  |      4.980      0.354    22.59   0.000        4.332       5.724
         ID  |      0.549      0.074    -4.47   0.000        0.422       0.714
         IL  |      0.491      0.014   -25.58   0.000        0.465       0.518
         IN  |      0.595      0.007   -45.99   0.000        0.582       0.608
         IA  |      0.488      0.015   -23.31   0.000        0.460       0.519
         KS  |      0.480      0.022   -16.12   0.000        0.439       0.525
         LA  |      0.561      0.029   -11.19   0.000        0.507       0.621
         ME  |      0.809      0.013   -12.70   0.000        0.783       0.836
         MD  |      0.973      0.030    -0.87   0.387        0.915       1.035
         MA  |      0.476      0.026   -13.80   0.000        0.428       0.528
         MI  |      0.636      0.042    -6.90   0.000        0.559       0.723
         MN  |      0.318      0.005   -73.40   0.000        0.308       0.328
         MS  |      0.931      0.024    -2.77   0.006        0.885       0.979
         MO  |      0.711      0.017   -14.62   0.000        0.680       0.745
         MT  |      0.961      0.057    -0.68   0.500        0.855       1.079
         NE  |      1.332      0.031    12.36   0.000        1.273       1.394
         NV  |      0.805      0.157    -1.11   0.265        0.549       1.180
         NH  |      0.494      0.008   -43.20   0.000        0.478       0.510
         NJ  |      0.972      0.011    -2.55   0.011        0.951       0.994
         NM  |      0.540      0.034    -9.90   0.000        0.478       0.610
         NY  |      0.987      0.019    -0.68   0.495        0.949       1.025
         NC  |      0.664      0.011   -25.44   0.000        0.643       0.685
         ND  |      0.247      0.015   -23.40   0.000        0.220       0.278
         OH  |      0.413      0.005   -70.28   0.000        0.403       0.423
         OR  |      0.895      0.008   -12.95   0.000        0.881       0.910
         PA  |      0.943      0.008    -6.89   0.000        0.927       0.959
         SC  |      0.616      0.003  -105.77   0.000        0.611       0.622
         TN  |      0.522      0.005   -73.60   0.000        0.513       0.531
         TX  |      0.586      0.026   -12.27   0.000        0.538       0.638
         UT  |      0.580      0.002  -148.15   0.000        0.576       0.584
         VT  |      0.453      0.005   -75.11   0.000        0.444       0.462
         VA  |      0.564      0.002  -203.36   0.000        0.561       0.567
         WA  |      0.533      0.009   -38.83   0.000        0.516       0.550
         WV  |      0.460      0.008   -44.50   0.000        0.444       0.476
         WI  |      0.562      0.011   -28.59   0.000        0.540       0.585
         WY  |      0.199      0.009   -35.66   0.000        0.182       0.218
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.011      0.000    72.63   0.000        1.011       1.011
         AZ  |      1.004      0.000     8.74   0.000        1.003       1.005
         AR  |      1.005      0.000    59.96   0.000        1.005       1.005
         CA  |      1.003      0.000    31.19   0.000        1.003       1.003
         CO  |      1.002      0.000     7.96   0.000        1.001       1.002
         CT  |      1.003      0.000    27.91   0.000        1.002       1.003
         DE  |      0.995      0.000   -67.09   0.000        0.995       0.996
         FL  |      1.004      0.000     9.40   0.000        1.003       1.004
         HI  |      0.990      0.000   -24.07   0.000        0.989       0.991
         ID  |      1.004      0.001     4.45   0.000        1.002       1.005
         IL  |      1.004      0.000    28.13   0.000        1.004       1.005
         IN  |      1.003      0.000    56.77   0.000        1.003       1.003
         IA  |      1.004      0.000    23.87   0.000        1.004       1.005
         KS  |      1.005      0.000    17.64   0.000        1.004       1.005
         LA  |      1.004      0.000    11.28   0.000        1.003       1.004
         ME  |      1.001      0.000    10.18   0.000        1.001       1.002
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     1.31   0.191        1.000       1.001
         MA  |      1.004      0.000    14.16   0.000        1.004       1.005
         MI  |      1.003      0.000     8.37   0.000        1.002       1.004
         MN  |      1.007      0.000    82.98   0.000        1.007       1.007
         MS  |      1.001      0.000     3.66   0.000        1.000       1.001
         MO  |      1.002      0.000    17.66   0.000        1.002       1.002
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     1.05   0.295        1.000       1.001
         NE  |      0.999      0.000   -10.90   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NV  |      1.002      0.001     1.27   0.205        0.999       1.004
         NH  |      1.004      0.000    57.56   0.000        1.004       1.004
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000     4.97   0.000        1.000       1.001
         NM  |      1.004      0.000    10.19   0.000        1.003       1.005
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -0.49   0.624        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.003      0.000    30.06   0.000        1.002       1.003
         ND  |      1.008      0.000    22.16   0.000        1.008       1.009
         OH  |      1.006      0.000    91.80   0.000        1.005       1.006
         OR  |      1.001      0.000    12.12   0.000        1.001       1.001
         PA  |      1.000      0.000     9.48   0.000        1.000       1.001
         SC  |      1.003      0.000    94.33   0.000        1.003       1.003
         TN  |      1.004      0.000    78.12   0.000        1.004       1.004
         TX  |      1.003      0.000    12.52   0.000        1.003       1.004
         UT  |      1.003      0.000   121.43   0.000        1.003       1.004
         VT  |      1.005      0.000    99.63   0.000        1.005       1.005
         VA  |      1.003      0.000   231.48   0.000        1.003       1.003
         WA  |      1.004      0.000    41.94   0.000        1.004       1.004
         WV  |      1.005      0.000    48.59   0.000        1.005       1.005
         WI  |      1.004      0.000    27.98   0.000        1.003       1.004
         WY  |      1.010      0.000    37.99   0.000        1.009       1.010
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -83.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -8.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -61.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -29.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    -9.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -29.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    49.21   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -9.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    25.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -4.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -30.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -69.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -24.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -19.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -11.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -8.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -1.69   0.091        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000   -14.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000   -10.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -90.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -4.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -21.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -1.42   0.156        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     9.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -1.43   0.154        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -72.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    -6.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -10.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     1.44   0.148        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -33.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -20.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000  -121.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000   -12.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -11.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -76.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -81.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -12.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000  -120.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000  -126.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000  -232.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -43.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -52.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -27.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   -41.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      0.000      0.000    -2.21   0.027        0.000       0.032
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.79       0.31     2.51   0.012         0.17        1.41
             |
         sex |
    2female  |     -22.71       0.91   -24.94   0.000       -24.49      -20.92
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |     -13.44       0.85   -15.88   0.000       -15.10      -11.78
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      -0.25       0.68    -0.37   0.710        -1.60        1.09
             |
      season |
     spring  |       1.03       0.13     7.64   0.000         0.76        1.29
     summer  |       1.60       0.20     7.93   0.000         1.20        1.99
       fall  |       0.46       0.18     2.59   0.010         0.11        0.80
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.
(output written to suic-econ-atable2-educa3wa_2.txt)
-> Group = MinsomeCollege/Assoc

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =      17.77
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -108803.38                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0064

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |  -.0535171   .0126948    -4.22   0.000    -.0783984   -.0286359
       _cons |   1.607683   .1923083     8.36   0.000     1.230766    1.984601
  logpop100y |          1  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.57       0.13    -4.22   0.000        -0.83       -0.30
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(4)    =   18347.25
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -86601.758                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2092

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      0.953      0.012    -3.97   0.000        0.931       0.976
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.348      0.006   -62.81   0.000        0.337       0.360
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.514      0.021   -16.35   0.000        0.474       0.556
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.323      0.031    11.95   0.000        1.264       1.386
       _cons |      7.695      1.368    11.48   0.000        5.430      10.903
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.43       0.11    -4.06   0.000        -0.64       -0.22
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      -8.67       0.29   -29.75   0.000        -9.24       -8.10
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -5.76       0.43   -13.28   0.000        -6.61       -4.91
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.50       0.25     9.94   0.000         2.00        2.99
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -82700.121                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2448

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.016      0.007     2.25   0.025        1.002       1.029
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.349      0.006   -62.92   0.000        0.337       0.360
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.518      0.020   -16.83   0.000        0.480       0.559
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.319      0.031    11.63   0.000        1.259       1.382
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.250      0.016    17.50   0.000        1.219       1.282
         AZ  |      1.400      0.038    12.33   0.000        1.327       1.477
         AR  |      1.153      0.005    35.59   0.000        1.144       1.162
         CA  |      0.940      0.006   -10.51   0.000        0.929       0.951
         CO  |      1.429      0.030    16.72   0.000        1.370       1.490
         CT  |      0.647      0.005   -54.74   0.000        0.637       0.657
         DE  |      0.976      0.007    -3.19   0.001        0.962       0.991
         FL  |      1.195      0.011    19.33   0.000        1.174       1.217
         HI  |      1.158      0.027     6.28   0.000        1.106       1.213
         ID  |      1.430      0.047    10.97   0.000        1.342       1.524
         IL  |      0.749      0.004   -53.97   0.000        0.741       0.757
         IN  |      0.856      0.005   -29.23   0.000        0.847       0.865
         IA  |      0.825      0.004   -44.92   0.000        0.818       0.832
         KS  |      1.012      0.005     2.58   0.010        1.003       1.021
         LA  |      1.048      0.005     9.38   0.000        1.038       1.059
         ME  |      0.927      0.006   -11.02   0.000        0.915       0.940
         MD  |      0.767      0.005   -38.35   0.000        0.757       0.778
         MA  |      0.590      0.009   -36.48   0.000        0.574       0.607
         MI  |      0.855      0.006   -23.64   0.000        0.844       0.866
         MN  |      0.823      0.008   -20.87   0.000        0.808       0.838
         MS  |      1.125      0.005    25.02   0.000        1.114       1.135
         MO  |      0.968      0.005    -6.29   0.000        0.958       0.978
         MT  |      1.555      0.016    43.48   0.000        1.524       1.586
         NE  |      0.832      0.008   -18.86   0.000        0.817       0.848
         NV  |      1.818      0.072    15.14   0.000        1.683       1.965
         NH  |      0.884      0.021    -5.31   0.000        0.844       0.925
         NJ  |      0.562      0.004   -92.39   0.000        0.555       0.569
         NM  |      1.724      0.026    36.25   0.000        1.674       1.776
         NY  |      0.593      0.000  -656.54   0.000        0.593       0.594
         NC  |      1.057      0.011     5.29   0.000        1.036       1.079
         ND  |      1.026      0.008     3.18   0.001        1.010       1.042
         OH  |      0.752      0.004   -50.62   0.000        0.744       0.760
         OR  |      1.213      0.033     7.22   0.000        1.151       1.279
         PA  |      0.844      0.003   -54.94   0.000        0.839       0.849
         SC  |      1.085      0.009     9.37   0.000        1.066       1.103
         TN  |      1.019      0.006     3.27   0.001        1.007       1.030
         TX  |      1.039      0.014     2.82   0.005        1.012       1.067
         UT  |      1.406      0.036    13.38   0.000        1.337       1.478
         VT  |      0.937      0.006   -10.41   0.000        0.925       0.948
         VA  |      0.942      0.005   -10.98   0.000        0.932       0.952
         WA  |      1.022      0.007     3.21   0.001        1.009       1.036
         WV  |      0.895      0.004   -25.95   0.000        0.887       0.902
         WI  |      0.919      0.013    -5.87   0.000        0.894       0.945
         WY  |      1.320      0.013    28.03   0.000        1.295       1.346
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.071      0.040     1.83   0.068        0.995       1.152
     summer  |      1.056      0.032     1.76   0.078        0.994       1.121
       fall  |      1.004      0.034     0.12   0.907        0.939       1.074
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.932      0.026    -2.56   0.010        0.883       0.984
       1996  |      0.992      0.025    -0.34   0.735        0.944       1.042
       1997  |      0.986      0.038    -0.37   0.712        0.915       1.063
       1998  |      0.994      0.035    -0.16   0.870        0.929       1.064
       1999  |      0.934      0.035    -1.84   0.066        0.869       1.005
       2000  |      0.937      0.037    -1.66   0.096        0.868       1.012
       2001  |      0.977      0.048    -0.47   0.636        0.888       1.076
       2002  |      1.036      0.042     0.86   0.388        0.956       1.122
       2003  |      0.984      0.035    -0.46   0.643        0.917       1.055
       2004  |      0.994      0.041    -0.14   0.887        0.918       1.077
       2005  |      0.987      0.039    -0.34   0.731        0.913       1.066
       2006  |      1.043      0.043     1.02   0.310        0.962       1.131
       2007  |      1.072      0.049     1.51   0.131        0.980       1.172
       2008  |      1.140      0.042     3.53   0.000        1.060       1.225
       2009  |      1.149      0.045     3.54   0.000        1.064       1.241
       2010  |      1.234      0.040     6.47   0.000        1.158       1.316
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.072      0.049     1.51   0.132        0.979       1.173
spring#1996  |      1.024      0.046     0.53   0.593        0.938       1.119
spring#1997  |      1.010      0.052     0.18   0.854        0.912       1.118
spring#1998  |      1.001      0.050     0.01   0.990        0.907       1.103
spring#1999  |      0.979      0.045    -0.46   0.649        0.894       1.072
spring#2000  |      1.000      0.050    -0.00   0.999        0.906       1.103
spring#2001  |      1.010      0.043     0.23   0.815        0.930       1.097
spring#2002  |      1.005      0.050     0.10   0.923        0.912       1.107
spring#2003  |      1.054      0.051     1.09   0.275        0.959       1.158
spring#2004  |      1.017      0.053     0.33   0.743        0.919       1.127
spring#2005  |      1.088      0.058     1.58   0.114        0.980       1.209
spring#2006  |      1.040      0.060     0.69   0.493        0.929       1.164
spring#2007  |      1.064      0.047     1.41   0.160        0.976       1.159
spring#2008  |      1.009      0.041     0.23   0.821        0.932       1.093
spring#2009  |      1.050      0.044     1.16   0.246        0.967       1.141
spring#2010  |      1.048      0.045     1.10   0.272        0.964       1.139
summer#1995  |      1.092      0.055     1.74   0.082        0.989       1.206
summer#1996  |      1.011      0.046     0.25   0.804        0.925       1.105
summer#1997  |      0.987      0.056    -0.22   0.823        0.883       1.104
summer#1998  |      0.985      0.045    -0.34   0.731        0.901       1.076
summer#1999  |      1.009      0.046     0.21   0.836        0.923       1.104
summer#2000  |      0.968      0.052    -0.62   0.538        0.871       1.075
summer#2001  |      1.031      0.055     0.57   0.566        0.928       1.146
summer#2002  |      0.990      0.044    -0.22   0.823        0.907       1.081
summer#2003  |      1.051      0.043     1.23   0.219        0.971       1.138
summer#2004  |      1.049      0.045     1.11   0.266        0.964       1.140
summer#2005  |      1.029      0.053     0.55   0.582        0.930       1.139
summer#2006  |      1.044      0.054     0.83   0.407        0.943       1.155
summer#2007  |      1.083      0.046     1.87   0.061        0.996       1.177
summer#2008  |      1.005      0.042     0.13   0.899        0.927       1.090
summer#2009  |      1.122      0.051     2.54   0.011        1.027       1.227
summer#2010  |      1.052      0.037     1.44   0.150        0.982       1.128
  fall#1995  |      1.114      0.059     2.04   0.041        1.004       1.234
  fall#1996  |      1.058      0.046     1.29   0.198        0.971       1.152
  fall#1997  |      0.987      0.050    -0.26   0.791        0.893       1.090
  fall#1998  |      0.985      0.057    -0.26   0.792        0.878       1.104
  fall#1999  |      1.016      0.057     0.28   0.783        0.910       1.133
  fall#2000  |      1.009      0.061     0.15   0.880        0.896       1.136
  fall#2001  |      1.028      0.050     0.58   0.562        0.936       1.130
  fall#2002  |      0.999      0.056    -0.01   0.992        0.895       1.116
  fall#2003  |      1.037      0.043     0.88   0.379        0.956       1.125
  fall#2004  |      1.058      0.039     1.53   0.127        0.984       1.139
  fall#2005  |      1.078      0.049     1.65   0.099        0.986       1.179
  fall#2006  |      1.035      0.045     0.81   0.419        0.952       1.127
  fall#2007  |      1.090      0.051     1.84   0.065        0.995       1.194
  fall#2008  |      1.053      0.044     1.23   0.218        0.970       1.143
  fall#2009  |      1.106      0.049     2.30   0.021        1.015       1.206
  fall#2010  |      1.011      0.058     0.19   0.851        0.903       1.132
             |
       _cons |     18.338      1.351    39.47   0.000       15.872      21.188
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.15       0.07     2.26   0.024         0.02        0.28
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      -9.47       0.36   -26.42   0.000       -10.17       -8.77
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.22       0.40   -15.43   0.000        -7.01       -5.43
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.70       0.26    10.55   0.000         2.20        3.20
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.93       0.08    11.01   0.000         0.77        1.10
     summer  |       0.82       0.11     7.46   0.000         0.60        1.03
       fall  |       0.40       0.11     3.50   0.000         0.18        0.63
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -82635.548                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2454

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.006      0.008     0.69   0.493        0.990       1.022
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.348      0.006   -62.90   0.000        0.337       0.360
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.518      0.020   -16.77   0.000        0.480       0.560
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.319      0.031    11.64   0.000        1.259       1.382
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.067      0.040     1.70   0.088        0.990       1.149
     summer  |      1.063      0.032     2.03   0.043        1.002       1.129
       fall  |      1.023      0.033     0.69   0.490        0.959       1.091
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.975      0.024    -1.02   0.310        0.929       1.024
       1996  |      1.086      0.038     2.36   0.018        1.014       1.163
       1997  |      1.129      0.056     2.44   0.015        1.024       1.245
       1998  |      1.190      0.071     2.93   0.003        1.059       1.337
       1999  |      1.169      0.081     2.26   0.024        1.021       1.339
       2000  |      1.227      0.090     2.79   0.005        1.063       1.416
       2001  |      1.343      0.120     3.30   0.001        1.127       1.599
       2002  |      1.498      0.160     3.78   0.000        1.215       1.848
       2003  |      1.494      0.171     3.52   0.000        1.195       1.869
       2004  |      1.582      0.189     3.83   0.000        1.252       2.001
       2005  |      1.642      0.232     3.51   0.000        1.245       2.167
       2006  |      1.816      0.257     4.22   0.000        1.376       2.395
       2007  |      1.953      0.324     4.04   0.000        1.411       2.702
       2008  |      2.185      0.386     4.42   0.000        1.545       3.089
       2009  |      2.334      0.440     4.49   0.000        1.612       3.378
       2010  |      2.644      0.525     4.89   0.000        1.791       3.903
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.072      0.049     1.50   0.133        0.979       1.173
spring#1996  |      1.025      0.046     0.54   0.589        0.938       1.119
spring#1997  |      1.010      0.052     0.19   0.851        0.912       1.118
spring#1998  |      1.001      0.050     0.01   0.989        0.908       1.103
spring#1999  |      0.979      0.045    -0.45   0.652        0.895       1.072
spring#2000  |      1.000      0.050    -0.01   0.992        0.906       1.103
spring#2001  |      1.009      0.043     0.21   0.832        0.929       1.096
spring#2002  |      1.004      0.050     0.09   0.928        0.912       1.107
spring#2003  |      1.054      0.051     1.10   0.273        0.959       1.158
spring#2004  |      1.017      0.053     0.33   0.742        0.919       1.127
spring#2005  |      1.089      0.058     1.58   0.113        0.980       1.209
spring#2006  |      1.040      0.060     0.68   0.493        0.929       1.164
spring#2007  |      1.063      0.047     1.39   0.163        0.975       1.158
spring#2008  |      1.007      0.041     0.18   0.859        0.930       1.091
spring#2009  |      1.051      0.044     1.17   0.241        0.967       1.141
spring#2010  |      1.048      0.045     1.09   0.274        0.964       1.139
summer#1995  |      1.092      0.055     1.75   0.081        0.989       1.206
summer#1996  |      1.012      0.046     0.25   0.799        0.926       1.106
summer#1997  |      0.987      0.056    -0.22   0.823        0.883       1.104
summer#1998  |      0.985      0.045    -0.34   0.732        0.901       1.076
summer#1999  |      1.010      0.046     0.21   0.832        0.923       1.104
summer#2000  |      0.967      0.052    -0.62   0.537        0.871       1.075
summer#2001  |      1.032      0.056     0.59   0.554        0.929       1.147
summer#2002  |      0.991      0.044    -0.21   0.835        0.908       1.081
summer#2003  |      1.053      0.043     1.26   0.208        0.972       1.140
summer#2004  |      1.049      0.045     1.12   0.264        0.965       1.140
summer#2005  |      1.029      0.053     0.55   0.581        0.930       1.139
summer#2006  |      1.044      0.054     0.83   0.405        0.944       1.155
summer#2007  |      1.083      0.046     1.88   0.060        0.997       1.178
summer#2008  |      1.006      0.042     0.14   0.886        0.927       1.091
summer#2009  |      1.127      0.051     2.61   0.009        1.030       1.232
summer#2010  |      1.053      0.037     1.45   0.148        0.982       1.128
  fall#1995  |      1.114      0.059     2.05   0.040        1.005       1.235
  fall#1996  |      1.058      0.046     1.29   0.196        0.971       1.152
  fall#1997  |      0.986      0.050    -0.27   0.788        0.893       1.090
  fall#1998  |      0.985      0.057    -0.26   0.792        0.878       1.104
  fall#1999  |      1.016      0.057     0.28   0.782        0.910       1.133
  fall#2000  |      1.010      0.061     0.16   0.874        0.896       1.137
  fall#2001  |      1.032      0.050     0.65   0.518        0.939       1.134
  fall#2002  |      1.001      0.056     0.02   0.982        0.897       1.118
  fall#2003  |      1.039      0.043     0.92   0.359        0.958       1.127
  fall#2004  |      1.059      0.039     1.53   0.126        0.984       1.139
  fall#2005  |      1.079      0.049     1.66   0.098        0.986       1.180
  fall#2006  |      1.036      0.045     0.82   0.414        0.952       1.127
  fall#2007  |      1.091      0.051     1.86   0.063        0.995       1.196
  fall#2008  |      1.057      0.045     1.31   0.191        0.973       1.149
  fall#2009  |      1.113      0.049     2.41   0.016        1.020       1.214
  fall#2010  |      1.012      0.058     0.21   0.837        0.904       1.133
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.290      0.030    10.88   0.000        1.232       1.351
         AZ  |      2.124      0.171     9.38   0.000        1.814       2.486
         AR  |      1.345      0.015    25.93   0.000        1.315       1.375
         CA  |      1.501      0.084     7.24   0.000        1.345       1.676
         CO  |      2.455      0.119    18.47   0.000        2.232       2.701
         CT  |      0.727      0.036    -6.37   0.000        0.659       0.802
         DE  |      1.484      0.031    19.19   0.000        1.425       1.545
         FL  |      1.751      0.050    19.54   0.000        1.656       1.853
         HI  |      1.853      0.030    37.45   0.000        1.794       1.913
         ID  |      1.247      0.132     2.08   0.037        1.013       1.535
         IL  |      0.862      0.005   -23.51   0.000        0.851       0.873
         IN  |      0.776      0.003   -60.31   0.000        0.770       0.782
         IA  |      0.793      0.013   -13.84   0.000        0.767       0.819
         KS  |      1.172      0.015    12.73   0.000        1.144       1.201
         LA  |      2.349      0.029    69.91   0.000        2.293       2.406
         ME  |      0.859      0.010   -12.42   0.000        0.839       0.880
         MD  |      1.386      0.061     7.39   0.000        1.271       1.511
         MA  |      0.984      0.052    -0.31   0.754        0.887       1.091
         MI  |      1.075      0.075     1.03   0.302        0.937       1.234
         MN  |      1.125      0.042     3.15   0.002        1.046       1.211
         MS  |      0.721      0.002  -114.47   0.000        0.717       0.726
         MO  |      1.616      0.014    56.72   0.000        1.589       1.643
         MT  |      1.456      0.092     5.94   0.000        1.286       1.649
         NE  |      2.782      0.109    26.17   0.000        2.576       3.003
         NV  |      3.028      0.263    12.76   0.000        2.554       3.590
         NH  |      1.674      0.120     7.21   0.000        1.455       1.926
         NJ  |      0.624      0.026   -11.50   0.000        0.576       0.677
         NM  |      2.459      0.155    14.27   0.000        2.173       2.782
         NY  |      0.758      0.031    -6.75   0.000        0.699       0.821
         NC  |      1.503      0.055    11.12   0.000        1.399       1.615
         ND  |      0.844      0.043    -3.36   0.001        0.765       0.932
         OH  |      0.614      0.007   -44.90   0.000        0.601       0.627
         OR  |      0.945      0.069    -0.77   0.443        0.819       1.091
         PA  |      0.954      0.021    -2.19   0.028        0.914       0.995
         SC  |      1.049      0.029     1.73   0.083        0.994       1.107
         TN  |      0.816      0.011   -14.60   0.000        0.794       0.839
         TX  |      1.633      0.111     7.19   0.000        1.428       1.866
         UT  |      1.229      0.090     2.81   0.005        1.064       1.420
         VT  |      0.636      0.011   -25.30   0.000        0.614       0.659
         VA  |      1.254      0.047     6.07   0.000        1.166       1.349
         WA  |      1.217      0.047     5.13   0.000        1.129       1.312
         WV  |      1.580      0.019    37.88   0.000        1.543       1.618
         WI  |      1.229      0.050     5.04   0.000        1.134       1.332
         WY  |      1.546      0.165     4.07   0.000        1.254       1.906
             |
     quarter |      0.989      0.003    -3.43   0.001        0.983       0.995
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    -1.60   0.110        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      0.997      0.001    -4.04   0.000        0.996       0.999
         AR  |      0.999      0.000   -10.06   0.000        0.999       0.999
         CA  |      0.997      0.000    -7.55   0.000        0.997       0.998
         CO  |      0.997      0.000    -7.71   0.000        0.996       0.998
         CT  |      0.999      0.000    -2.16   0.031        0.999       1.000
         DE  |      0.998      0.000   -14.55   0.000        0.997       0.998
         FL  |      0.998      0.000    -9.95   0.000        0.997       0.998
         HI  |      0.997      0.000   -32.33   0.000        0.997       0.998
         ID  |      1.001      0.001     0.61   0.545        0.999       1.002
         IL  |      0.999      0.000   -11.71   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IN  |      1.001      0.000    17.98   0.000        1.000       1.001
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     1.86   0.063        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      0.999      0.000    -8.85   0.000        0.999       0.999
         LA  |      0.995      0.000   -45.23   0.000        0.995       0.996
         ME  |      1.000      0.000     3.56   0.000        1.000       1.001
         MD  |      0.997      0.000   -11.60   0.000        0.996       0.997
         MA  |      0.997      0.000    -7.60   0.000        0.996       0.998
         MI  |      0.999      0.000    -3.83   0.000        0.998       0.999
         MN  |      0.998      0.000    -6.76   0.000        0.998       0.999
         MS  |      1.003      0.000    56.95   0.000        1.002       1.003
         MO  |      0.997      0.000  -129.88   0.000        0.997       0.997
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     0.67   0.500        0.999       1.001
         NE  |      0.993      0.000   -24.31   0.000        0.992       0.993
         NV  |      0.997      0.001    -4.23   0.000        0.995       0.998
         NH  |      0.996      0.001    -6.77   0.000        0.995       0.997
         NJ  |      0.999      0.000    -2.35   0.019        0.999       1.000
         NM  |      0.998      0.000    -4.65   0.000        0.997       0.999
         NY  |      0.999      0.000    -5.86   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NC  |      0.998      0.000    -7.45   0.000        0.997       0.998
         ND  |      1.001      0.000     3.10   0.002        1.000       1.002
         OH  |      1.001      0.000    41.83   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OR  |      1.001      0.001     1.99   0.047        1.000       1.002
         PA  |      0.999      0.000    -5.18   0.000        0.999       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000     0.51   0.609        1.000       1.001
         TN  |      1.001      0.000    10.15   0.000        1.001       1.001
         TX  |      0.997      0.000    -5.58   0.000        0.996       0.998
         UT  |      1.001      0.001     0.92   0.360        0.999       1.002
         VT  |      1.002      0.000    16.05   0.000        1.002       1.002
         VA  |      0.998      0.000    -6.72   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WA  |      0.999      0.000    -4.00   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WV  |      0.997      0.000   -40.03   0.000        0.997       0.997
         WI  |      0.998      0.000    -5.36   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WY  |      0.999      0.001    -1.45   0.148        0.998       1.000
             |
       _cons |     69.298     32.099     9.15   0.000       27.953     171.791
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.06       0.08     0.68   0.496        -0.10        0.21
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      -9.46       0.36   -26.38   0.000       -10.17       -8.76
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.21       0.40   -15.41   0.000        -7.00       -5.42
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.70       0.25    10.59   0.000         2.20        3.19
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.89       0.09    10.07   0.000         0.71        1.06
     summer  |       0.89       0.11     8.04   0.000         0.67        1.11
       fall  |       0.59       0.11     5.24   0.000         0.37        0.81
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -82578.04                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2459

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.037      0.011     3.38   0.001        1.016       1.060
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.349      0.006   -62.84   0.000        0.337       0.360
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.518      0.020   -16.74   0.000        0.480       0.560
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.319      0.031    11.66   0.000        1.259       1.382
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.068      0.041     1.69   0.090        0.990       1.152
     summer  |      1.061      0.034     1.85   0.064        0.997       1.129
       fall  |      1.017      0.036     0.47   0.641        0.948       1.090
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.960      0.039    -1.02   0.310        0.887       1.039
       1996  |      1.052      0.072     0.75   0.456        0.920       1.203
       1997  |      1.085      0.105     0.84   0.400        0.898       1.311
       1998  |      1.138      0.142     1.04   0.298        0.892       1.453
       1999  |      1.115      0.154     0.79   0.431        0.850       1.462
       2000  |      1.169      0.174     1.05   0.295        0.873       1.564
       2001  |      1.266      0.199     1.50   0.134        0.930       1.723
       2002  |      1.391      0.248     1.85   0.064        0.981       1.972
       2003  |      1.380      0.255     1.75   0.081        0.961       1.982
       2004  |      1.469      0.277     2.04   0.041        1.015       2.126
       2005  |      1.546      0.310     2.17   0.030        1.044       2.290
       2006  |      1.741      0.333     2.90   0.004        1.197       2.532
       2007  |      1.907      0.402     3.06   0.002        1.262       2.882
       2008  |      2.147      0.454     3.61   0.000        1.418       3.251
       2009  |      2.261      0.473     3.89   0.000        1.500       3.408
       2010  |      2.571      0.541     4.49   0.000        1.703       3.883
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.072      0.049     1.51   0.132        0.979       1.173
spring#1996  |      1.024      0.046     0.52   0.600        0.937       1.119
spring#1997  |      1.009      0.053     0.17   0.864        0.911       1.117
spring#1998  |      1.000      0.050     0.00   0.999        0.907       1.102
spring#1999  |      0.978      0.046    -0.48   0.631        0.892       1.072
spring#2000  |      1.000      0.051    -0.00   0.998        0.905       1.104
spring#2001  |      1.011      0.043     0.25   0.805        0.930       1.099
spring#2002  |      1.004      0.051     0.08   0.939        0.909       1.108
spring#2003  |      1.051      0.052     1.01   0.312        0.954       1.157
spring#2004  |      1.015      0.054     0.28   0.777        0.915       1.126
spring#2005  |      1.086      0.059     1.52   0.129        0.976       1.208
spring#2006  |      1.038      0.061     0.63   0.531        0.924       1.165
spring#2007  |      1.062      0.047     1.34   0.181        0.973       1.159
spring#2008  |      1.010      0.042     0.24   0.807        0.931       1.096
spring#2009  |      1.046      0.046     1.02   0.310        0.959       1.140
spring#2010  |      1.045      0.046     1.01   0.315        0.959       1.139
summer#1995  |      1.091      0.055     1.72   0.085        0.988       1.205
summer#1996  |      1.012      0.046     0.26   0.797        0.925       1.106
summer#1997  |      0.989      0.056    -0.20   0.842        0.884       1.106
summer#1998  |      0.986      0.045    -0.31   0.760        0.902       1.079
summer#1999  |      1.011      0.047     0.24   0.813        0.923       1.108
summer#2000  |      0.970      0.052    -0.56   0.577        0.873       1.079
summer#2001  |      1.032      0.056     0.58   0.561        0.927       1.149
summer#2002  |      0.992      0.045    -0.17   0.864        0.908       1.084
summer#2003  |      1.052      0.044     1.21   0.227        0.969       1.143
summer#2004  |      1.054      0.046     1.19   0.233        0.967       1.148
summer#2005  |      1.034      0.055     0.63   0.528        0.931       1.149
summer#2006  |      1.049      0.055     0.92   0.358        0.947       1.163
summer#2007  |      1.089      0.047     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.185
summer#2008  |      1.011      0.045     0.24   0.810        0.927       1.102
summer#2009  |      1.121      0.053     2.41   0.016        1.021       1.230
summer#2010  |      1.061      0.041     1.52   0.127        0.983       1.144
  fall#1995  |      1.112      0.059     2.01   0.044        1.003       1.234
  fall#1996  |      1.059      0.047     1.30   0.195        0.971       1.155
  fall#1997  |      0.990      0.050    -0.19   0.846        0.897       1.094
  fall#1998  |      0.989      0.059    -0.19   0.850        0.880       1.111
  fall#1999  |      1.021      0.058     0.36   0.720        0.913       1.142
  fall#2000  |      1.015      0.064     0.23   0.816        0.897       1.148
  fall#2001  |      1.029      0.051     0.57   0.567        0.933       1.135
  fall#2002  |      1.005      0.059     0.08   0.938        0.896       1.127
  fall#2003  |      1.044      0.045     1.01   0.314        0.960       1.135
  fall#2004  |      1.071      0.044     1.65   0.099        0.987       1.161
  fall#2005  |      1.092      0.052     1.85   0.064        0.995       1.199
  fall#2006  |      1.050      0.047     1.08   0.278        0.961       1.147
  fall#2007  |      1.104      0.059     1.87   0.062        0.995       1.226
  fall#2008  |      1.062      0.056     1.14   0.254        0.958       1.176
  fall#2009  |      1.112      0.054     2.18   0.029        1.011       1.223
  fall#2010  |      1.029      0.064     0.46   0.648        0.910       1.163
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.149      0.451     0.35   0.724        0.532       2.479
         AZ  |      0.041      0.024    -5.42   0.000        0.013       0.129
         AR  |      0.102      0.002  -123.14   0.000        0.099       0.106
         CA  |      6.076      1.282     8.55   0.000        4.017       9.189
         CO  |      0.016      0.006   -11.20   0.000        0.008       0.033
         CT  |      0.182      0.019   -16.20   0.000        0.148       0.224
         DE  |      0.017      0.007    -9.71   0.000        0.008       0.039
         FL  |      0.007      0.003   -12.35   0.000        0.003       0.016
         HI  |      0.078      0.019   -10.35   0.000        0.048       0.127
         ID  |      3.805      2.343     2.17   0.030        1.139      12.717
         IL  |      0.049      0.009   -16.88   0.000        0.035       0.070
         IN  |      0.336      0.045    -8.12   0.000        0.258       0.437
         IA  |      0.620      0.053    -5.63   0.000        0.525       0.732
         KS  |      0.019      0.002   -33.11   0.000        0.015       0.024
         LA  |      0.425      0.045    -8.03   0.000        0.345       0.524
         ME  |      0.001      0.001   -11.89   0.000        0.000       0.004
         MD  |      0.032      0.009   -11.81   0.000        0.018       0.056
         MA  |      1.552      0.283     2.41   0.016        1.086       2.219
         MI  |      0.002      0.001    -9.15   0.000        0.001       0.008
         MN  |     11.758      1.748    16.58   0.000        8.786      15.736
         MS  |      0.148      0.009   -30.88   0.000        0.131       0.167
         MO  |      1.391      0.308     1.49   0.137        0.900       2.148
         MT  |      0.163      0.004   -69.57   0.000        0.155       0.172
         NE  |      0.234      0.026   -12.96   0.000        0.188       0.291
         NV  |      0.002      0.003    -4.86   0.000        0.000       0.027
         NH  |      0.006      0.002   -13.22   0.000        0.003       0.013
         NJ  |      0.318      0.056    -6.48   0.000        0.224       0.449
         NM  |      0.070      0.007   -28.26   0.000        0.059       0.085
         NY  |      1.962      0.197     6.72   0.000        1.612       2.388
         NC  |      0.014      0.002   -36.48   0.000        0.011       0.018
         ND  |      1.055      0.444     0.13   0.899        0.462       2.409
         OH  |      0.003      0.001   -19.81   0.000        0.002       0.005
         OR  |      0.063      0.024    -7.16   0.000        0.030       0.135
         PA  |      0.494      0.018   -19.44   0.000        0.460       0.530
         SC  |      9.017      2.433     8.15   0.000        5.314      15.301
         TN  |      0.149      0.006   -49.76   0.000        0.138       0.161
         TX  |      0.511      0.016   -21.95   0.000        0.481       0.542
         UT  |      0.053      0.008   -19.74   0.000        0.040       0.071
         VT  |      0.008      0.002   -24.83   0.000        0.005       0.011
         VA  |      0.158      0.015   -19.74   0.000        0.132       0.190
         WA  |      0.057      0.004   -38.03   0.000        0.049       0.066
         WV  |      0.116      0.008   -32.44   0.000        0.102       0.132
         WI  |      0.251      0.030   -11.63   0.000        0.199       0.317
         WY  |      1.780      0.621     1.65   0.098        0.898       3.527
             |
     quarter |      1.003      0.037     0.07   0.940        0.934       1.077
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -0.35   0.724        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.005     0.09   0.931        0.991       1.010
         AZ  |      1.044      0.007     6.52   0.000        1.031       1.058
         AR  |      1.030      0.000   111.58   0.000        1.029       1.030
         CA  |      0.980      0.002    -9.66   0.000        0.976       0.984
         CO  |      1.058      0.004    13.30   0.000        1.049       1.066
         CT  |      1.015      0.001    15.86   0.000        1.013       1.017
         DE  |      1.051      0.005    10.28   0.000        1.041       1.061
         FL  |      1.064      0.005    13.61   0.000        1.055       1.074
         HI  |      1.035      0.003    10.60   0.000        1.028       1.041
         ID  |      0.986      0.007    -2.11   0.035        0.973       0.999
         IL  |      1.034      0.002    15.60   0.000        1.029       1.038
         IN  |      1.011      0.002     6.46   0.000        1.007       1.014
         IA  |      1.003      0.001     2.50   0.012        1.001       1.005
         KS  |      1.049      0.001    35.05   0.000        1.046       1.052
         LA  |      1.016      0.001    13.05   0.000        1.014       1.018
         ME  |      1.081      0.007    11.74   0.000        1.067       1.095
         MD  |      1.041      0.003    12.72   0.000        1.035       1.048
         MA  |      0.991      0.002    -4.96   0.000        0.987       0.994
         MI  |      1.078      0.009     8.62   0.000        1.060       1.096
         MN  |      0.970      0.001   -19.67   0.000        0.967       0.973
         MS  |      1.022      0.001    29.79   0.000        1.020       1.023
         MO  |      0.999      0.003    -0.35   0.730        0.994       1.004
         MT  |      1.025      0.001    41.55   0.000        1.024       1.027
         NE  |      1.022      0.001    19.08   0.000        1.020       1.024
         NV  |      1.084      0.016     5.59   0.000        1.054       1.115
         NH  |      1.064      0.004    14.57   0.000        1.055       1.072
         NJ  |      1.007      0.002     3.58   0.000        1.003       1.010
         NM  |      1.040      0.001    51.04   0.000        1.038       1.041
         NY  |      0.986      0.001    -9.11   0.000        0.984       0.989
         NC  |      1.054      0.001    44.15   0.000        1.052       1.057
         ND  |      0.997      0.005    -0.48   0.631        0.987       1.008
         OH  |      1.068      0.004    17.90   0.000        1.060       1.075
         OR  |      1.033      0.004     7.63   0.000        1.024       1.041
         PA  |      1.007      0.000    23.62   0.000        1.006       1.007
         SC  |      0.975      0.003    -8.45   0.000        0.969       0.980
         TN  |      1.021      0.000    53.34   0.000        1.021       1.022
         TX  |      1.010      0.001    12.90   0.000        1.008       1.011
         UT  |      1.037      0.001    26.22   0.000        1.034       1.040
         VT  |      1.056      0.002    24.30   0.000        1.051       1.060
         VA  |      1.022      0.001    25.60   0.000        1.021       1.024
         WA  |      1.035      0.001    52.38   0.000        1.034       1.037
         WV  |      1.028      0.001    37.41   0.000        1.026       1.029
         WI  |      1.017      0.001    13.53   0.000        1.014       1.019
         WY  |      0.995      0.005    -0.99   0.321        0.986       1.005
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    -0.06   0.951        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -7.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -82.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    11.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -15.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -29.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -11.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000   -14.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000   -11.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     3.15   0.002        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -16.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -6.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    -1.69   0.091        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -39.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -19.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -11.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -15.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000     5.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -8.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    25.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -24.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -0.75   0.452        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000   -20.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -34.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -6.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -18.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    -4.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000  -198.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     7.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -64.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     0.85   0.393        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -17.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -8.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -62.79   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000     9.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -66.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    -7.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -51.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -25.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -42.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000  -107.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -47.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -21.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     1.11   0.266        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |     31.485     96.092     1.13   0.258        0.079   12474.087
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.36       0.11     3.41   0.001         0.15        0.57
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      -9.46       0.36   -26.38   0.000       -10.17       -8.76
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.21       0.40   -15.39   0.000        -7.00       -5.42
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.70       0.25    10.61   0.000         2.20        3.19
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.89       0.09    10.06   0.000         0.71        1.06
     summer  |       0.89       0.11     7.98   0.000         0.67        1.11
       fall  |       0.59       0.11     5.24   0.000         0.37        0.81
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =      73440
                                                  Wald chi2(43)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -82537.376                 Pseudo R2       =     0.2463

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.050      0.018     2.77   0.006        1.014       1.086
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.349      0.006   -62.81   0.000        0.337       0.360
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.518      0.020   -16.73   0.000        0.480       0.560
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |      1.319      0.031    11.67   0.000        1.259       1.382
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.066      0.041     1.64   0.101        0.988       1.150
     summer  |      1.067      0.034     2.03   0.042        1.002       1.136
       fall  |      1.030      0.040     0.77   0.441        0.955       1.111
             |
        year |
       1995  |      0.985      0.047    -0.32   0.749        0.897       1.081
       1996  |      1.095      0.084     1.18   0.237        0.942       1.272
       1997  |      1.137      0.121     1.21   0.228        0.923       1.400
       1998  |      1.194      0.154     1.37   0.170        0.927       1.539
       1999  |      1.164      0.166     1.07   0.286        0.881       1.540
       2000  |      1.209      0.182     1.26   0.208        0.900       1.625
       2001  |      1.289      0.204     1.60   0.109        0.945       1.757
       2002  |      1.386      0.246     1.84   0.066        0.979       1.963
       2003  |      1.350      0.249     1.63   0.103        0.941       1.938
       2004  |      1.417      0.270     1.83   0.067        0.975       2.060
       2005  |      1.478      0.304     1.90   0.058        0.987       2.212
       2006  |      1.656      0.328     2.54   0.011        1.122       2.442
       2007  |      1.812      0.397     2.71   0.007        1.179       2.784
       2008  |      2.040      0.451     3.23   0.001        1.323       3.147
       2009  |      2.148      0.468     3.51   0.000        1.401       3.292
       2010  |      2.479      0.530     4.25   0.000        1.631       3.769
             |
 season#year |
spring#1995  |      1.073      0.049     1.53   0.126        0.980       1.174
spring#1996  |      1.025      0.046     0.56   0.576        0.939       1.120
spring#1997  |      1.011      0.053     0.21   0.834        0.913       1.120
spring#1998  |      1.003      0.050     0.05   0.958        0.909       1.106
spring#1999  |      0.980      0.045    -0.43   0.669        0.895       1.074
spring#2000  |      1.004      0.051     0.07   0.946        0.908       1.110
spring#2001  |      1.015      0.044     0.35   0.729        0.933       1.104
spring#2002  |      1.007      0.051     0.15   0.884        0.912       1.113
spring#2003  |      1.054      0.052     1.06   0.288        0.957       1.161
spring#2004  |      1.018      0.054     0.33   0.739        0.917       1.130
spring#2005  |      1.089      0.059     1.56   0.120        0.978       1.211
spring#2006  |      1.040      0.061     0.66   0.506        0.927       1.167
spring#2007  |      1.064      0.048     1.38   0.168        0.974       1.161
spring#2008  |      1.013      0.042     0.32   0.753        0.934       1.099
spring#2009  |      1.045      0.046     1.00   0.317        0.959       1.139
spring#2010  |      1.045      0.046     1.00   0.317        0.959       1.138
summer#1995  |      1.088      0.055     1.66   0.096        0.985       1.202
summer#1996  |      1.008      0.046     0.17   0.865        0.921       1.102
summer#1997  |      0.984      0.057    -0.28   0.776        0.879       1.101
summer#1998  |      0.980      0.044    -0.44   0.656        0.897       1.071
summer#1999  |      1.004      0.048     0.08   0.939        0.915       1.101
summer#2000  |      0.963      0.052    -0.70   0.487        0.866       1.071
summer#2001  |      1.023      0.057     0.40   0.686        0.917       1.142
summer#2002  |      0.983      0.045    -0.37   0.711        0.900       1.075
summer#2003  |      1.042      0.045     0.95   0.340        0.957       1.135
summer#2004  |      1.045      0.047     0.99   0.321        0.958       1.141
summer#2005  |      1.027      0.055     0.49   0.625        0.924       1.141
summer#2006  |      1.042      0.057     0.76   0.446        0.937       1.159
summer#2007  |      1.083      0.047     1.85   0.064        0.995       1.178
summer#2008  |      1.005      0.045     0.12   0.904        0.921       1.098
summer#2009  |      1.113      0.053     2.23   0.026        1.013       1.222
summer#2010  |      1.059      0.042     1.46   0.144        0.981       1.144
  fall#1995  |      1.106      0.059     1.88   0.061        0.995       1.228
  fall#1996  |      1.050      0.048     1.06   0.290        0.960       1.148
  fall#1997  |      0.979      0.049    -0.43   0.671        0.887       1.080
  fall#1998  |      0.975      0.059    -0.42   0.674        0.865       1.098
  fall#1999  |      1.004      0.060     0.07   0.947        0.893       1.128
  fall#2000  |      0.996      0.066    -0.05   0.956        0.875       1.135
  fall#2001  |      1.006      0.056     0.11   0.910        0.903       1.121
  fall#2002  |      0.984      0.063    -0.25   0.799        0.867       1.116
  fall#2003  |      1.023      0.051     0.45   0.653        0.927       1.128
  fall#2004  |      1.052      0.049     1.09   0.276        0.960       1.152
  fall#2005  |      1.075      0.055     1.41   0.158        0.972       1.188
  fall#2006  |      1.035      0.052     0.68   0.497        0.937       1.143
  fall#2007  |      1.090      0.061     1.55   0.120        0.978       1.216
  fall#2008  |      1.048      0.059     0.84   0.404        0.939       1.169
  fall#2009  |      1.099      0.055     1.88   0.060        0.996       1.213
  fall#2010  |      1.028      0.065     0.43   0.666        0.908       1.163
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |   1242.843   1663.383     5.32   0.000       90.198   17125.295
         AZ  |      0.015      0.061    -1.06   0.287        0.000      33.524
         AR  |      0.000      0.000   -12.97   0.000        0.000       0.000
         CA  |   2.01e+07   5.57e+06    60.68   0.000     1.17e+07    3.46e+07
         CO  |   1.65e+15   4.99e+15    11.56   0.000     4.33e+12    6.27e+17
         CT  |      0.000      0.000   -28.57   0.000        0.000       0.000
         DE  |   1.73e+06   2.77e+05    89.81   0.000     1.27e+06    2.37e+06
         FL  |   3391.604  10483.564     2.63   0.009        7.931    1.45e+06
         HI  |      0.000      0.000   -19.15   0.000        0.000       0.000
         ID  |   3.95e+23   2.88e+24     7.44   0.000     2.40e+17    6.49e+29
         IL  |      0.000      0.000    -5.72   0.000        0.000       0.000
         IN  |   2.95e+15   3.00e+15    35.06   0.000     4.03e+14    2.16e+16
         IA  |   2829.523   5783.696     3.89   0.000       51.501    1.55e+05
         KS  |      0.000      0.000   -11.38   0.000        0.000       0.000
         LA  |      4.197     12.979     0.46   0.643        0.010    1800.753
         ME  |      0.626      0.322    -0.91   0.362        0.228       1.715
         MD  |   2.98e+10   4.48e+10    16.08   0.000     1.58e+09    5.65e+11
         MA  |      0.000      0.000    -8.59   0.000        0.000       0.000
         MI  |      0.033      0.144    -0.79   0.430        0.000     155.408
         MN  |   4.28e+13   5.66e+13    23.75   0.000     3.21e+12    5.71e+14
         MS  |   4296.721   7436.786     4.83   0.000      144.502    1.28e+05
         MO  |   1.09e+06   1.74e+06     8.71   0.000    47642.806    2.49e+07
         MT  |   1.98e+30   6.52e+30    21.21   0.000     3.14e+27    1.25e+33
         NE  |      0.179      0.273    -1.13   0.258        0.009       3.531
         NV  |   3.95e+10   4.27e+11     2.26   0.024       25.404    6.15e+19
         NH  |      0.000      0.000   -46.31   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NJ  |      0.000      0.000   -71.54   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NM  |      0.000      0.000    -6.68   0.000        0.000       0.000
         NY  |   1.82e+08   2.66e+08    12.99   0.000     1.03e+07    3.20e+09
         NC  |      0.000      0.000   -19.55   0.000        0.000       0.000
         ND  |      0.004      0.014    -1.54   0.123        0.000       4.463
         OH  |    143.073    178.858     3.97   0.000       12.344    1658.270
         OR  |   7.36e+09   3.49e+09    47.94   0.000     2.91e+09    1.86e+10
         PA  |    108.619     75.585     6.74   0.000       27.770     424.848
         SC  |   1.11e+24   4.96e+23   123.45   0.000     4.59e+23    2.66e+24
         TN  |   3.60e+06   2.80e+06    19.39   0.000     7.83e+05    1.66e+07
         TX  |    128.009    342.784     1.81   0.070        0.673   24355.582
         UT  |      0.000      0.000   -15.49   0.000        0.000       0.001
         VT  |      0.000      0.000   -54.99   0.000        0.000       0.000
         VA  |   2.41e+12   8.88e+11    77.36   0.000     1.17e+12    4.96e+12
         WA  |      0.085      0.093    -2.26   0.024        0.010       0.720
         WV  |   1.05e+19   1.17e+19    38.96   0.000     1.15e+18    9.46e+19
         WI  |   1.74e+13   1.38e+13    38.57   0.000     3.70e+12    8.19e+13
         WY  |      0.003      0.009    -2.00   0.046        0.000       0.900
             |
     quarter |      0.885      0.220    -0.49   0.624        0.543       1.442
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.001      0.001     0.50   0.620        0.998       1.004
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -0.53   0.595        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.885      0.018    -5.91   0.000        0.850       0.921
         AZ  |      1.057      0.081     0.73   0.465        0.910       1.229
         AR  |      1.257      0.023    12.34   0.000        1.212       1.303
         CA  |      0.747      0.005   -41.65   0.000        0.737       0.758
         CO  |      0.523      0.026   -12.85   0.000        0.474       0.577
         CT  |      1.763      0.033    30.03   0.000        1.699       1.830
         DE  |      0.754      0.004   -57.94   0.000        0.747       0.761
         FL  |      0.840      0.050    -2.93   0.003        0.748       0.944
         HI  |      4.530      0.351    19.49   0.000        3.891       5.273
         ID  |      0.380      0.052    -7.03   0.000        0.290       0.498
         IL  |      1.204      0.042     5.37   0.000        1.125       1.289
         IN  |      0.524      0.009   -38.19   0.000        0.506       0.541
         IA  |      0.863      0.032    -3.97   0.000        0.802       0.928
         KS  |      1.802      0.095    11.20   0.000        1.625       1.997
         LA  |      0.976      0.055    -0.42   0.673        0.874       1.091
         ME  |      0.963      0.006    -5.99   0.000        0.951       0.975
         MD  |      0.634      0.019   -15.14   0.000        0.598       0.673
         MA  |      1.722      0.106     8.85   0.000        1.527       1.943
         MI  |      1.021      0.073     0.30   0.767        0.888       1.175
         MN  |      0.577      0.013   -25.12   0.000        0.553       0.602
         MS  |      0.850      0.027    -5.15   0.000        0.799       0.904
         MO  |      0.782      0.021    -9.19   0.000        0.743       0.824
         MT  |      0.285      0.017   -21.11   0.000        0.253       0.320
         NE  |      1.026      0.027     1.01   0.314        0.976       1.080
         NV  |      0.623      0.128    -2.30   0.022        0.417       0.933
         NH  |      3.082      0.064    54.06   0.000        2.959       3.211
         NJ  |      1.225      0.003    76.57   0.000        1.219       1.232
         NM  |      1.487      0.093     6.37   0.000        1.316       1.680
         NY  |      0.710      0.019   -12.80   0.000        0.674       0.749
         NC  |      1.448      0.027    19.74   0.000        1.396       1.503
         ND  |      1.105      0.075     1.47   0.141        0.967       1.262
         OH  |      0.878      0.017    -6.61   0.000        0.844       0.912
         OR  |      0.653      0.008   -34.63   0.000        0.637       0.669
         PA  |      0.914      0.011    -7.62   0.000        0.893       0.935
         SC  |      0.376      0.003  -146.49   0.000        0.371       0.380
         TN  |      0.753      0.010   -20.94   0.000        0.734       0.774
         TX  |      0.915      0.044    -1.88   0.061        0.833       1.004
         UT  |      1.138      0.012    12.11   0.000        1.115       1.162
         VT  |      3.537      0.076    58.43   0.000        3.390       3.690
         VA  |      0.593      0.003   -97.14   0.000        0.587       0.599
         WA  |      1.027      0.019     1.44   0.150        0.990       1.065
         WV  |      0.451      0.009   -40.89   0.000        0.434       0.468
         WI  |      0.574      0.009   -35.53   0.000        0.557       0.592
         WY  |      1.116      0.055     2.22   0.027        1.013       1.229
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.001      0.000     7.12   0.000        1.001       1.001
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -0.36   0.718        0.999       1.001
         AR  |      0.999      0.000   -11.51   0.000        0.999       0.999
         CA  |      1.002      0.000    31.93   0.000        1.002       1.002
         CO  |      1.004      0.000    14.54   0.000        1.003       1.005
         CT  |      0.997      0.000   -31.45   0.000        0.996       0.997
         DE  |      1.002      0.000    36.16   0.000        1.002       1.002
         FL  |      1.001      0.000     3.28   0.001        1.000       1.002
         HI  |      0.991      0.000   -19.99   0.000        0.990       0.992
         ID  |      1.006      0.001     6.71   0.000        1.004       1.007
         IL  |      0.999      0.000    -5.12   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IN  |      1.004      0.000    41.94   0.000        1.004       1.004
         IA  |      1.001      0.000     3.93   0.000        1.000       1.001
         KS  |      0.997      0.000   -10.99   0.000        0.996       0.997
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     0.49   0.627        0.999       1.001
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    10.89   0.000        1.000       1.001
         MD  |      1.003      0.000    14.48   0.000        1.002       1.003
         MA  |      0.997      0.000    -9.21   0.000        0.996       0.997
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     0.30   0.764        0.999       1.001
         MN  |      1.003      0.000    26.31   0.000        1.003       1.003
         MS  |      1.001      0.000     5.44   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      1.001      0.000     9.99   0.000        1.001       1.002
         MT  |      1.008      0.000    21.31   0.000        1.007       1.008
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -0.72   0.472        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.003      0.001     2.39   0.017        1.001       1.006
         NH  |      0.994      0.000   -64.47   0.000        0.993       0.994
         NJ  |      0.999      0.000   -57.21   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NM  |      0.998      0.000    -5.94   0.000        0.997       0.999
         NY  |      1.002      0.000    12.06   0.000        1.002       1.002
         NC  |      0.998      0.000   -19.61   0.000        0.998       0.998
         ND  |      0.999      0.000    -1.43   0.153        0.999       1.000
         OH  |      1.001      0.000     9.86   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OR  |      1.003      0.000    27.62   0.000        1.002       1.003
         PA  |      1.001      0.000     8.17   0.000        1.000       1.001
         SC  |      1.006      0.000   150.68   0.000        1.006       1.006
         TN  |      1.002      0.000    22.42   0.000        1.002       1.002
         TX  |      1.001      0.000     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.001
         UT  |      0.999      0.000    -9.04   0.000        0.999       1.000
         VT  |      0.993      0.000   -62.38   0.000        0.993       0.993
         VA  |      1.003      0.000   118.85   0.000        1.003       1.003
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.47   0.637        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.005      0.000    42.90   0.000        1.005       1.005
         WI  |      1.003      0.000    33.26   0.000        1.003       1.004
         WY  |      0.999      0.000    -2.45   0.014        0.999       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    -9.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     0.06   0.955        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    10.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -27.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -16.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    31.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -27.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -3.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    20.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -6.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000     4.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -46.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    -3.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    10.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.63   0.526        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -10.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000   -14.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000     9.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    -1.09   0.278        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -26.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -5.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -11.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000   -21.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     0.18   0.859        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -2.49   0.013        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    73.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    45.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     5.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000   -11.20   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    18.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     1.41   0.158        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -14.27   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000   -24.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    -8.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000  -135.98   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -23.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    -2.01   0.045        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     7.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    66.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000  -132.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.53   0.596        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -44.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   -32.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     2.87   0.004        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |  28240.447   3.97e+05     0.73   0.466        0.000    2.54e+16
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      73440

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 3.agecat 2.season 3.season 4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 45 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.48       0.17     2.83   0.005         0.15        0.80
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      -9.47       0.36   -26.37   0.000       -10.17       -8.76
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      -6.21       0.40   -15.38   0.000        -7.01       -5.42
             |
      agecat |
   45 to 64  |       2.70       0.25    10.62   0.000         2.20        3.19
             |
      season |
     spring  |       0.89       0.09    10.05   0.000         0.71        1.06
     summer  |       0.89       0.11     7.97   0.000         0.67        1.10
       fall  |       0.59       0.11     5.23   0.000         0.37        0.81
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.
(output written to suic-econ-atable2-educa3wa_3.txt)

. 
.         
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a4-educwa.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  22 Feb 2015, 00:27:07
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit    

end of do-file

. 
. 
. /*      Crude and adjusted Poisson models using unemployment rate as exposure.
>  
>         Estimates are in Table 3. */
. do suic-econ-a5-unemp.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-a5-unemp.txt, replace text
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a5-unemp.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  22 Feb 2015, 00:27:07

. 
. //  program:    suic-econ-a5-unemp.do
. //  task:               estimate impact of unemployment on suicide: poisson mo
> dels
. //      input:          suic-econ-data1-census.dta
. //      output:         suic-econ-stable-unemp.txt
. //  project:    economic conditions and suicide
. //  author:     sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 12

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. set matsize 11000

. 
. 
. // #1
. // data and descriptive table
. 
. use suic-econ-data1-census.dta, clear
(Suicide deaths and Census denominators, 1980-2010)

. 
. 
. 
. // #2
. // crude poisson model without adjustments: Model 0
. 
. poisson suic unemprtsa, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =      14.72
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0001
Log pseudolikelihood =  -653222.1                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0006

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   unemprtsa |   1.013443   .0035276     3.84   0.000     1.006553    1.020381
       _cons |   13.54076   .6832963    51.64   0.000     12.26562    14.94846
  logpop100y |          1  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_0: estpost margins, at(unemprtsa=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) ///
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Contrasts of adjusted predictions

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1       15.40     0.0001
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.76       0.19          0.38        1.14
--------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
.         
.         
. // #3
. // now add individual covariates: Model 1
. 
. poisson suic unemprtsa i.sex i.race2 i.agecat, offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(6)    =   38817.40
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -427145.06                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3465

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   unemprtsa |      1.015      0.004     4.28   0.000        1.008       1.022
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.241      0.006   -59.72   0.000        0.230       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.523      0.019   -18.03   0.000        0.487       0.561
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.285      0.022    14.72   0.000        1.243       1.328
   45 to 64  |      1.361      0.047     8.92   0.000        1.272       1.457
       >=65  |      1.628      0.080     9.95   0.000        1.479       1.792
             |
       _cons |     18.365      0.956    55.90   0.000       16.584      20.338
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_1: estpost margins, at(unemprtsa=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) ///
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1       19.00     0.0000
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.74       0.17          0.41        1.07
--------------------------------------------------------------

. 
.         
. 
. // #4
. // now add state and quarter fixed effects: Model 2
. 
. poisson suic unemprtsa i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -405206.34                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3801

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   unemprtsa |      0.998      0.005    -0.29   0.773        0.988       1.009
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.79   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.27   0.000        0.494       0.571
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.03   0.000        1.247       1.332
   45 to 64  |      1.376      0.049     9.03   0.000        1.284       1.474
       >=65  |      1.638      0.080    10.16   0.000        1.489       1.801
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.465      0.016    35.02   0.000        1.434       1.496
         AZ  |      1.263      0.005    59.60   0.000        1.253       1.273
         AR  |      1.029      0.003    11.28   0.000        1.024       1.034
         CA  |      0.903      0.005   -19.61   0.000        0.894       0.913
         CO  |      1.233      0.007    34.43   0.000        1.218       1.247
         CT  |      0.645      0.006   -44.47   0.000        0.633       0.658
         DE  |      0.918      0.008    -9.43   0.000        0.902       0.935
         FL  |      1.091      0.005    19.31   0.000        1.081       1.100
         GA  |      0.990      0.004    -2.46   0.014        0.983       0.998
         HI  |      1.058      0.018     3.27   0.001        1.023       1.095
         ID  |      1.197      0.006    33.48   0.000        1.184       1.209
         IL  |      0.731      0.002  -113.22   0.000        0.727       0.735
         IN  |      0.909      0.004   -21.99   0.000        0.901       0.916
         IA  |      0.824      0.009   -16.99   0.000        0.805       0.842
         KS  |      0.925      0.010    -7.63   0.000        0.906       0.943
         KY  |      0.993      0.004    -1.50   0.133        0.985       1.002
         LA  |      1.050      0.004    11.33   0.000        1.041       1.059
         ME  |      0.936      0.007    -8.37   0.000        0.922       0.951
         MD  |      0.810      0.006   -27.40   0.000        0.797       0.822
         MA  |      0.590      0.005   -68.02   0.000        0.581       0.599
         MI  |      0.877      0.008   -14.87   0.000        0.862       0.892
         MN  |      0.792      0.007   -25.30   0.000        0.778       0.806
         MS  |      1.025      0.008     3.21   0.001        1.010       1.041
         MO  |      0.994      0.005    -1.29   0.196        0.984       1.003
         MT  |      1.397      0.009    51.53   0.000        1.379       1.415
         NE  |      0.805      0.014   -12.66   0.000        0.778       0.832
         NV  |      1.605      0.008    89.31   0.000        1.588       1.622
         NH  |      0.875      0.011   -10.82   0.000        0.854       0.896
         NJ  |      0.547      0.003  -129.92   0.000        0.542       0.552
         NM  |      1.448      0.005   111.44   0.000        1.439       1.458
         NY  |      0.582      0.001  -228.01   0.000        0.579       0.585
         NC  |      0.973      0.004    -7.36   0.000        0.966       0.980
         ND  |      0.862      0.013   -10.07   0.000        0.837       0.887
         OH  |      0.832      0.003   -57.64   0.000        0.827       0.837
         OK  |      1.107      0.008    14.63   0.000        1.092       1.122
         OR  |      1.140      0.006    25.45   0.000        1.129       1.152
         PA  |      0.854      0.004   -36.45   0.000        0.847       0.861
         RI  |      0.677      0.003   -75.75   0.000        0.670       0.684
         SC  |      0.988      0.002    -7.38   0.000        0.985       0.992
         SD  |      1.026      0.016     1.64   0.101        0.995       1.059
         TN  |      1.033      0.002    15.68   0.000        1.029       1.038
         TX  |      0.923      0.003   -25.97   0.000        0.917       0.928
         UT  |      1.168      0.008    21.61   0.000        1.152       1.184
         VT  |      1.003      0.011     0.29   0.771        0.981       1.026
         VA  |      0.963      0.010    -3.85   0.000        0.944       0.981
         WA  |      1.016      0.004     3.66   0.000        1.007       1.024
         WV  |      0.982      0.011    -1.70   0.089        0.962       1.003
         WI  |      0.891      0.006   -16.53   0.000        0.879       0.903
         WY  |      1.404      0.012    41.27   0.000        1.381       1.427
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.080      0.016     5.22   0.000        1.049       1.112
     summer  |      1.067      0.016     4.39   0.000        1.036       1.098
       fall  |      1.022      0.016     1.39   0.166        0.991       1.055
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.031      0.023     1.38   0.166        0.987       1.077
       1982  |      1.001      0.030     0.05   0.961        0.944       1.062
       1983  |      1.018      0.028     0.66   0.509        0.965       1.075
       1984  |      1.040      0.024     1.68   0.092        0.994       1.088
       1985  |      1.005      0.029     0.17   0.861        0.949       1.065
       1986  |      1.067      0.024     2.89   0.004        1.021       1.115
       1987  |      1.008      0.031     0.25   0.802        0.949       1.070
       1988  |      1.017      0.029     0.58   0.564        0.961       1.076
       1989  |      1.007      0.021     0.36   0.721        0.967       1.049
       1990  |      0.992      0.036    -0.22   0.824        0.925       1.064
       1991  |      0.973      0.030    -0.88   0.377        0.915       1.034
       1992  |      0.997      0.024    -0.13   0.897        0.950       1.046
       1993  |      0.964      0.025    -1.41   0.159        0.915       1.015
       1994  |      0.945      0.027    -1.94   0.052        0.893       1.001
       1995  |      0.924      0.025    -2.88   0.004        0.876       0.975
       1996  |      0.906      0.035    -2.55   0.011        0.839       0.978
       1997  |      0.910      0.033    -2.61   0.009        0.848       0.977
       1998  |      0.915      0.033    -2.49   0.013        0.854       0.981
       1999  |      0.843      0.043    -3.37   0.001        0.763       0.931
       2000  |      0.846      0.043    -3.26   0.001        0.765       0.935
       2001  |      0.848      0.051    -2.75   0.006        0.753       0.954
       2002  |      0.881      0.041    -2.70   0.007        0.804       0.966
       2003  |      0.851      0.033    -4.14   0.000        0.789       0.919
       2004  |      0.863      0.042    -3.04   0.002        0.784       0.949
       2005  |      0.861      0.047    -2.73   0.006        0.773       0.959
       2006  |      0.860      0.048    -2.69   0.007        0.770       0.960
       2007  |      0.879      0.038    -3.00   0.003        0.808       0.956
       2008  |      0.930      0.041    -1.65   0.100        0.852       1.014
       2009  |      0.919      0.038    -2.02   0.043        0.846       0.998
       2010  |      0.949      0.035    -1.42   0.155        0.883       1.020
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.967      0.030    -1.08   0.281        0.909       1.028
spring#1982  |      1.042      0.023     1.82   0.068        0.997       1.089
spring#1983  |      0.990      0.024    -0.43   0.666        0.944       1.038
spring#1984  |      0.991      0.027    -0.32   0.750        0.939       1.046
spring#1985  |      1.031      0.024     1.31   0.190        0.985       1.079
spring#1986  |      0.985      0.023    -0.62   0.536        0.941       1.032
spring#1987  |      1.084      0.023     3.83   0.000        1.040       1.130
spring#1988  |      1.007      0.018     0.38   0.705        0.973       1.042
spring#1989  |      0.995      0.023    -0.22   0.828        0.951       1.041
spring#1990  |      0.991      0.019    -0.47   0.638        0.955       1.029
spring#1991  |      1.020      0.023     0.86   0.391        0.975       1.067
spring#1992  |      0.957      0.018    -2.30   0.021        0.922       0.994
spring#1993  |      1.007      0.020     0.37   0.710        0.969       1.047
spring#1994  |      1.031      0.021     1.51   0.130        0.991       1.073
spring#1995  |      1.044      0.025     1.80   0.071        0.996       1.093
spring#1996  |      1.029      0.026     1.11   0.267        0.978       1.082
spring#1997  |      0.992      0.027    -0.30   0.764        0.940       1.046
spring#1998  |      0.955      0.018    -2.44   0.015        0.921       0.991
spring#1999  |      0.986      0.018    -0.81   0.415        0.952       1.021
spring#2000  |      0.990      0.021    -0.49   0.626        0.949       1.032
spring#2001  |      1.009      0.020     0.44   0.663        0.971       1.048
spring#2002  |      0.996      0.016    -0.27   0.786        0.965       1.027
spring#2003  |      1.025      0.023     1.08   0.278        0.980       1.072
spring#2004  |      1.016      0.025     0.66   0.509        0.969       1.066
spring#2005  |      1.027      0.024     1.16   0.247        0.982       1.075
spring#2006  |      1.020      0.019     1.08   0.282        0.984       1.059
spring#2007  |      1.020      0.022     0.93   0.352        0.978       1.063
spring#2008  |      1.002      0.018     0.10   0.918        0.967       1.038
spring#2009  |      1.016      0.021     0.74   0.459        0.975       1.058
spring#2010  |      1.033      0.023     1.45   0.148        0.989       1.079
summer#1981  |      0.973      0.025    -1.08   0.278        0.926       1.022
summer#1982  |      1.047      0.023     2.05   0.040        1.002       1.093
summer#1983  |      0.993      0.027    -0.25   0.806        0.942       1.047
summer#1984  |      0.968      0.022    -1.42   0.157        0.926       1.012
summer#1985  |      0.999      0.020    -0.04   0.967        0.960       1.040
summer#1986  |      0.995      0.014    -0.34   0.732        0.967       1.024
summer#1987  |      1.039      0.022     1.80   0.072        0.997       1.082
summer#1988  |      1.010      0.020     0.49   0.626        0.971       1.050
summer#1989  |      1.000      0.025    -0.01   0.996        0.952       1.050
summer#1990  |      1.052      0.030     1.78   0.074        0.995       1.112
summer#1991  |      1.049      0.025     1.97   0.049        1.000       1.100
summer#1992  |      0.980      0.023    -0.86   0.391        0.936       1.026
summer#1993  |      1.027      0.024     1.12   0.263        0.980       1.076
summer#1994  |      1.005      0.019     0.26   0.798        0.969       1.042
summer#1995  |      1.044      0.023     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.090
summer#1996  |      1.038      0.023     1.66   0.096        0.993       1.084
summer#1997  |      0.979      0.021    -1.01   0.313        0.938       1.021
summer#1998  |      0.976      0.019    -1.27   0.205        0.939       1.013
summer#1999  |      1.011      0.022     0.51   0.612        0.969       1.056
summer#2000  |      0.983      0.022    -0.75   0.454        0.941       1.028
summer#2001  |      1.034      0.025     1.36   0.173        0.985       1.085
summer#2002  |      1.013      0.018     0.70   0.486        0.977       1.050
summer#2003  |      1.049      0.024     2.09   0.037        1.003       1.098
summer#2004  |      1.032      0.020     1.64   0.100        0.994       1.072
summer#2005  |      1.019      0.022     0.86   0.392        0.976       1.064
summer#2006  |      1.048      0.026     1.87   0.062        0.998       1.101
summer#2007  |      1.051      0.023     2.28   0.023        1.007       1.096
summer#2008  |      1.011      0.021     0.52   0.602        0.971       1.053
summer#2009  |      1.078      0.024     3.42   0.001        1.033       1.125
summer#2010  |      1.074      0.024     3.20   0.001        1.028       1.122
  fall#1981  |      0.976      0.031    -0.78   0.433        0.917       1.038
  fall#1982  |      0.994      0.022    -0.29   0.769        0.952       1.037
  fall#1983  |      0.983      0.023    -0.75   0.456        0.938       1.029
  fall#1984  |      0.996      0.024    -0.18   0.856        0.950       1.044
  fall#1985  |      1.028      0.022     1.27   0.205        0.985       1.072
  fall#1986  |      0.978      0.020    -1.07   0.285        0.939       1.019
  fall#1987  |      1.003      0.021     0.13   0.894        0.962       1.046
  fall#1988  |      0.977      0.020    -1.11   0.265        0.939       1.018
  fall#1989  |      0.971      0.023    -1.23   0.220        0.926       1.018
  fall#1990  |      1.028      0.027     1.05   0.295        0.976       1.083
  fall#1991  |      1.018      0.025     0.75   0.454        0.971       1.068
  fall#1992  |      0.949      0.018    -2.81   0.005        0.914       0.984
  fall#1993  |      1.002      0.018     0.10   0.920        0.966       1.039
  fall#1994  |      1.024      0.025     0.97   0.331        0.976       1.073
  fall#1995  |      1.017      0.024     0.73   0.466        0.971       1.066
  fall#1996  |      1.012      0.024     0.51   0.609        0.967       1.059
  fall#1997  |      0.985      0.025    -0.61   0.544        0.938       1.034
  fall#1998  |      0.951      0.019    -2.47   0.013        0.915       0.990
  fall#1999  |      0.988      0.021    -0.57   0.568        0.947       1.030
  fall#2000  |      0.967      0.027    -1.23   0.219        0.916       1.020
  fall#2001  |      1.012      0.022     0.56   0.573        0.970       1.056
  fall#2002  |      0.992      0.025    -0.30   0.761        0.944       1.043
  fall#2003  |      1.002      0.024     0.07   0.942        0.956       1.049
  fall#2004  |      1.040      0.023     1.82   0.068        0.997       1.085
  fall#2005  |      1.022      0.026     0.85   0.396        0.972       1.074
  fall#2006  |      1.040      0.023     1.74   0.081        0.995       1.086
  fall#2007  |      1.063      0.023     2.83   0.005        1.019       1.109
  fall#2008  |      1.017      0.020     0.88   0.377        0.979       1.057
  fall#2009  |      1.055      0.027     2.14   0.032        1.005       1.109
  fall#2010  |      1.028      0.025     1.16   0.244        0.981       1.078
             |
       _cons |     22.669      0.835    84.75   0.000       21.091      24.366
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_2: estpost margins, at(unemprtsa=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) ///
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1        0.08     0.7730
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |      -0.08       0.28         -0.62        0.46
--------------------------------------------------------------

.         
. 
. 
. 
. // #5
. // now add state-specific trends to FE model: Model 3
. 
. poisson suic unemprtsa i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb##c.quarter ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -403881.84                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3821

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   unemprtsa |      1.011      0.003     4.20   0.000        1.006       1.016
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.66   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.532      0.020   -17.14   0.000        0.495       0.572
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.16   0.000        1.247       1.331
   45 to 64  |      1.375      0.048     9.06   0.000        1.283       1.473
       >=65  |      1.637      0.079    10.19   0.000        1.489       1.800
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.832      0.011   -14.34   0.000        0.812       0.853
         AZ  |      1.795      0.029    36.62   0.000        1.739       1.852
         AR  |      0.998      0.006    -0.37   0.708        0.986       1.010
         CA  |      1.903      0.028    44.50   0.000        1.850       1.958
         CO  |      1.619      0.029    27.18   0.000        1.564       1.676
         CT  |      0.846      0.019    -7.40   0.000        0.810       0.885
         DE  |      1.287      0.022    14.98   0.000        1.245       1.330
         FL  |      1.632      0.026    31.31   0.000        1.583       1.683
         GA  |      1.553      0.028    24.44   0.000        1.499       1.609
         HI  |      1.090      0.023     4.08   0.000        1.046       1.136
         ID  |      1.342      0.013    30.64   0.000        1.317       1.368
         IL  |      1.110      0.007    16.46   0.000        1.096       1.124
         IN  |      1.028      0.010     2.86   0.004        1.009       1.048
         IA  |      1.046      0.013     3.62   0.000        1.021       1.071
         KS  |      1.011      0.022     0.53   0.599        0.969       1.055
         KY  |      1.103      0.008    12.80   0.000        1.086       1.119
         LA  |      1.527      0.008    81.44   0.000        1.511       1.542
         ME  |      1.250      0.020    14.10   0.000        1.212       1.290
         MD  |      1.258      0.020    14.65   0.000        1.220       1.298
         MA  |      0.921      0.018    -4.27   0.000        0.887       0.956
         MI  |      1.118      0.003    44.73   0.000        1.112       1.123
         MN  |      1.099      0.020     5.29   0.000        1.061       1.138
         MS  |      0.921      0.002   -39.30   0.000        0.918       0.925
         MO  |      1.200      0.016    13.50   0.000        1.168       1.232
         MT  |      1.417      0.012    41.85   0.000        1.394       1.441
         NE  |      1.126      0.024     5.55   0.000        1.080       1.174
         NV  |      2.808      0.054    53.85   0.000        2.705       2.916
         NH  |      1.148      0.024     6.50   0.000        1.101       1.197
         NJ  |      0.718      0.011   -20.72   0.000        0.696       0.741
         NM  |      1.759      0.010    97.77   0.000        1.739       1.779
         NY  |      0.853      0.011   -12.46   0.000        0.832       0.875
         NC  |      1.299      0.026    12.91   0.000        1.249       1.352
         ND  |      0.797      0.012   -14.90   0.000        0.773       0.821
         OH  |      1.080      0.007    12.26   0.000        1.067       1.093
         OK  |      1.147      0.015    10.74   0.000        1.119       1.176
         OR  |      1.310      0.015    23.12   0.000        1.280       1.340
         PA  |      1.030      0.008     4.07   0.000        1.016       1.045
         RI  |      1.027      0.020     1.36   0.174        0.988       1.068
         SC  |      1.166      0.021     8.52   0.000        1.125       1.208
         SD  |      1.070      0.020     3.54   0.000        1.031       1.111
         TN  |      1.055      0.010     5.97   0.000        1.037       1.074
         TX  |      1.528      0.019    34.11   0.000        1.491       1.566
         UT  |      1.290      0.020    16.38   0.000        1.251       1.330
         VT  |      1.560      0.028    24.35   0.000        1.505       1.617
         VA  |      1.451      0.024    22.32   0.000        1.404       1.499
         WA  |      1.267      0.012    25.88   0.000        1.244       1.290
         WV  |      0.916      0.016    -5.04   0.000        0.885       0.948
         WI  |      1.138      0.015     9.92   0.000        1.109       1.168
         WY  |      1.667      0.023    37.66   0.000        1.623       1.711
             |
     quarter |      0.993      0.002    -3.16   0.002        0.989       0.998
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.004      0.000    55.75   0.000        1.004       1.004
         AZ  |      0.998      0.000   -26.22   0.000        0.997       0.998
         AR  |      1.000      0.000     6.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      0.995      0.000   -49.61   0.000        0.995       0.995
         CO  |      0.998      0.000   -20.87   0.000        0.998       0.998
         CT  |      0.998      0.000   -14.50   0.000        0.998       0.998
         DE  |      0.998      0.000   -26.78   0.000        0.998       0.998
         FL  |      0.997      0.000   -30.03   0.000        0.997       0.997
         GA  |      0.997      0.000   -28.16   0.000        0.997       0.997
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -0.33   0.740        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      0.999      0.000   -20.51   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IL  |      0.997      0.000   -65.76   0.000        0.997       0.997
         IN  |      0.999      0.000   -17.55   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IA  |      0.999      0.000   -38.38   0.000        0.998       0.999
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    -4.25   0.000        0.999       1.000
         KY  |      0.999      0.000   -15.65   0.000        0.999       0.999
         LA  |      0.997      0.000  -118.05   0.000        0.997       0.997
         ME  |      0.998      0.000   -24.15   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MD  |      0.997      0.000   -34.78   0.000        0.997       0.997
         MA  |      0.997      0.000   -29.39   0.000        0.997       0.997
         MI  |      0.998      0.000  -104.17   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MN  |      0.998      0.000   -26.29   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MS  |      1.001      0.000    20.30   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      0.999      0.000   -16.89   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -1.05   0.293        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      0.998      0.000   -25.11   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NV  |      0.996      0.000   -31.96   0.000        0.996       0.996
         NH  |      0.998      0.000   -18.21   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NJ  |      0.998      0.000   -19.44   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NM  |      0.999      0.000   -49.00   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NY  |      0.997      0.000   -32.51   0.000        0.997       0.998
         NC  |      0.998      0.000   -15.76   0.000        0.998       0.998
         ND  |      1.001      0.000    17.02   0.000        1.001       1.001
         OH  |      0.998      0.000   -50.01   0.000        0.998       0.998
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    -2.14   0.032        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      0.999      0.000   -13.29   0.000        0.999       0.999
         PA  |      0.999      0.000   -38.58   0.000        0.999       0.999
         RI  |      0.997      0.000   -24.05   0.000        0.997       0.997
         SC  |      0.999      0.000    -9.41   0.000        0.999       0.999
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    -0.58   0.563        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    -2.90   0.004        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      0.997      0.000   -48.23   0.000        0.996       0.997
         UT  |      0.999      0.000    -9.66   0.000        0.999       1.000
         VT  |      0.997      0.000   -37.35   0.000        0.997       0.997
         VA  |      0.997      0.000   -35.80   0.000        0.997       0.997
         WA  |      0.998      0.000   -28.87   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WV  |      1.000      0.000     3.79   0.000        1.000       1.001
         WI  |      0.998      0.000   -27.34   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WY  |      0.999      0.000   -19.71   0.000        0.999       0.999
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.073      0.016     4.72   0.000        1.042       1.105
     summer  |      1.059      0.018     3.31   0.001        1.024       1.096
       fall  |      1.025      0.016     1.54   0.123        0.993       1.058
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.052      0.022     2.38   0.017        1.009       1.097
       1982  |      1.036      0.032     1.12   0.264        0.974       1.101
       1983  |      1.084      0.040     2.21   0.027        1.009       1.165
       1984  |      1.178      0.046     4.22   0.000        1.091       1.271
       1985  |      1.187      0.066     3.11   0.002        1.066       1.323
       1986  |      1.309      0.070     5.01   0.000        1.178       1.454
       1987  |      1.289      0.076     4.32   0.000        1.149       1.446
       1988  |      1.361      0.097     4.31   0.000        1.183       1.565
       1989  |      1.403      0.106     4.46   0.000        1.209       1.627
       1990  |      1.425      0.119     4.23   0.000        1.210       1.679
       1991  |      1.428      0.131     3.90   0.000        1.194       1.709
       1992  |      1.506      0.159     3.88   0.000        1.224       1.852
       1993  |      1.515      0.174     3.61   0.000        1.209       1.897
       1994  |      1.555      0.185     3.70   0.000        1.231       1.964
       1995  |      1.589      0.203     3.62   0.000        1.236       2.042
       1996  |      1.614      0.213     3.63   0.000        1.246       2.091
       1997  |      1.689      0.240     3.69   0.000        1.278       2.232
       1998  |      1.771      0.265     3.82   0.000        1.321       2.375
       1999  |      1.695      0.257     3.48   0.001        1.259       2.282
       2000  |      1.767      0.288     3.49   0.000        1.283       2.432
       2001  |      1.820      0.309     3.52   0.000        1.304       2.539
       2002  |      1.932      0.348     3.66   0.000        1.357       2.749
       2003  |      1.932      0.372     3.42   0.001        1.325       2.817
       2004  |      2.035      0.399     3.62   0.000        1.386       2.988
       2005  |      2.115      0.437     3.62   0.000        1.411       3.170
       2006  |      2.200      0.471     3.68   0.000        1.446       3.347
       2007  |      2.332      0.523     3.78   0.000        1.503       3.619
       2008  |      2.518      0.588     3.95   0.000        1.593       3.979
       2009  |      2.483      0.608     3.71   0.000        1.537       4.011
       2010  |      2.622      0.663     3.81   0.000        1.597       4.305
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.975      0.030    -0.82   0.414        0.918       1.036
spring#1982  |      1.048      0.023     2.16   0.031        1.004       1.094
spring#1983  |      0.988      0.024    -0.48   0.631        0.942       1.037
spring#1984  |      0.997      0.027    -0.12   0.906        0.945       1.051
spring#1985  |      1.034      0.024     1.41   0.158        0.987       1.082
spring#1986  |      0.987      0.024    -0.55   0.582        0.942       1.034
spring#1987  |      1.088      0.023     4.03   0.000        1.044       1.134
spring#1988  |      1.011      0.017     0.61   0.540        0.977       1.045
spring#1989  |      1.000      0.022    -0.01   0.994        0.957       1.044
spring#1990  |      0.999      0.020    -0.06   0.954        0.961       1.038
spring#1991  |      1.024      0.024     1.00   0.317        0.978       1.071
spring#1992  |      0.959      0.018    -2.23   0.026        0.923       0.995
spring#1993  |      1.010      0.020     0.50   0.614        0.972       1.050
spring#1994  |      1.033      0.021     1.60   0.110        0.993       1.076
spring#1995  |      1.046      0.025     1.91   0.056        0.999       1.096
spring#1996  |      1.032      0.026     1.22   0.221        0.981       1.085
spring#1997  |      0.995      0.027    -0.18   0.859        0.943       1.050
spring#1998  |      0.959      0.018    -2.27   0.023        0.925       0.994
spring#1999  |      0.989      0.018    -0.63   0.530        0.954       1.024
spring#2000  |      0.994      0.022    -0.30   0.766        0.952       1.037
spring#2001  |      1.016      0.020     0.82   0.414        0.978       1.055
spring#2002  |      0.999      0.016    -0.06   0.956        0.968       1.031
spring#2003  |      1.026      0.023     1.15   0.252        0.982       1.073
spring#2004  |      1.020      0.025     0.79   0.431        0.972       1.070
spring#2005  |      1.031      0.024     1.30   0.193        0.985       1.079
spring#2006  |      1.024      0.020     1.23   0.218        0.986       1.064
spring#2007  |      1.025      0.021     1.24   0.215        0.986       1.067
spring#2008  |      1.013      0.018     0.70   0.484        0.978       1.049
spring#2009  |      1.016      0.021     0.74   0.458        0.975       1.058
spring#2010  |      1.036      0.023     1.63   0.104        0.993       1.082
summer#1981  |      0.990      0.025    -0.39   0.694        0.942       1.040
summer#1982  |      1.057      0.024     2.45   0.014        1.011       1.105
summer#1983  |      1.011      0.029     0.37   0.714        0.955       1.069
summer#1984  |      0.986      0.022    -0.64   0.521        0.944       1.030
summer#1985  |      1.012      0.022     0.54   0.586        0.970       1.055
summer#1986  |      1.007      0.017     0.41   0.680        0.975       1.040
summer#1987  |      1.056      0.023     2.46   0.014        1.011       1.103
summer#1988  |      1.025      0.023     1.09   0.277        0.981       1.070
summer#1989  |      1.013      0.024     0.57   0.567        0.968       1.061
summer#1990  |      1.068      0.033     2.13   0.033        1.005       1.135
summer#1991  |      1.063      0.028     2.32   0.020        1.010       1.119
summer#1992  |      0.991      0.025    -0.38   0.706        0.944       1.040
summer#1993  |      1.042      0.027     1.62   0.105        0.991       1.096
summer#1994  |      1.020      0.021     0.94   0.349        0.979       1.063
summer#1995  |      1.055      0.023     2.43   0.015        1.010       1.101
summer#1996  |      1.052      0.025     2.13   0.033        1.004       1.103
summer#1997  |      0.993      0.022    -0.32   0.750        0.950       1.038
summer#1998  |      0.988      0.020    -0.60   0.546        0.950       1.028
summer#1999  |      1.023      0.024     0.97   0.333        0.977       1.072
summer#2000  |      0.995      0.024    -0.19   0.846        0.950       1.043
summer#2001  |      1.047      0.026     1.83   0.067        0.997       1.099
summer#2002  |      1.026      0.020     1.37   0.171        0.989       1.066
summer#2003  |      1.059      0.026     2.35   0.019        1.010       1.112
summer#2004  |      1.046      0.022     2.16   0.031        1.004       1.090
summer#2005  |      1.034      0.024     1.40   0.162        0.987       1.083
summer#2006  |      1.061      0.029     2.16   0.031        1.006       1.120
summer#2007  |      1.064      0.023     2.85   0.004        1.019       1.110
summer#2008  |      1.023      0.023     0.99   0.323        0.978       1.070
summer#2009  |      1.080      0.024     3.46   0.001        1.034       1.128
summer#2010  |      1.090      0.024     3.86   0.000        1.043       1.139
  fall#1981  |      0.985      0.030    -0.49   0.621        0.927       1.046
  fall#1982  |      0.995      0.021    -0.25   0.799        0.954       1.037
  fall#1983  |      1.009      0.022     0.40   0.689        0.967       1.053
  fall#1984  |      1.013      0.023     0.58   0.564        0.969       1.059
  fall#1985  |      1.042      0.022     1.91   0.056        0.999       1.086
  fall#1986  |      0.990      0.022    -0.45   0.650        0.947       1.034
  fall#1987  |      1.021      0.021     1.01   0.315        0.981       1.062
  fall#1988  |      0.991      0.020    -0.44   0.657        0.953       1.031
  fall#1989  |      0.982      0.022    -0.81   0.416        0.941       1.026
  fall#1990  |      1.037      0.028     1.35   0.178        0.983       1.094
  fall#1991  |      1.029      0.026     1.16   0.246        0.980       1.081
  fall#1992  |      0.960      0.018    -2.15   0.032        0.925       0.996
  fall#1993  |      1.019      0.019     1.01   0.313        0.982       1.057
  fall#1994  |      1.042      0.028     1.55   0.122        0.989       1.099
  fall#1995  |      1.028      0.024     1.19   0.233        0.982       1.077
  fall#1996  |      1.027      0.024     1.12   0.263        0.981       1.075
  fall#1997  |      1.001      0.025     0.02   0.981        0.954       1.050
  fall#1998  |      0.963      0.018    -2.01   0.044        0.928       0.999
  fall#1999  |      1.000      0.023    -0.00   0.997        0.956       1.046
  fall#2000  |      0.978      0.025    -0.86   0.387        0.931       1.028
  fall#2001  |      1.016      0.022     0.73   0.468        0.973       1.060
  fall#2002  |      1.005      0.025     0.19   0.848        0.958       1.054
  fall#2003  |      1.013      0.024     0.56   0.578        0.968       1.061
  fall#2004  |      1.055      0.022     2.55   0.011        1.012       1.099
  fall#2005  |      1.035      0.027     1.32   0.185        0.984       1.088
  fall#2006  |      1.053      0.025     2.21   0.027        1.006       1.103
  fall#2007  |      1.073      0.022     3.45   0.001        1.031       1.117
  fall#2008  |      1.019      0.021     0.92   0.356        0.979       1.060
  fall#2009  |      1.054      0.027     2.07   0.038        1.003       1.107
  fall#2010  |      1.044      0.023     1.98   0.048        1.000       1.089
             |
       _cons |     30.709      5.059    20.79   0.000       22.235      42.414
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_3: estpost margins, at(unemprtsa=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) ///
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1       17.03     0.0000
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.58       0.14          0.31        0.86
--------------------------------------------------------------

. 
.         
.         
. 
. // #6
. // now add state-specific quadratic time trends to basic FE model: Model 4
. 
. poisson suic unemprtsa i.sex i.race2 i.agecat ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter) i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -403740.04                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3823

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   unemprtsa |      1.013      0.004     3.45   0.001        1.005       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.69   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.533      0.020   -17.13   0.000        0.495       0.572
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.16   0.000        1.247       1.331
   45 to 64  |      1.375      0.048     9.06   0.000        1.283       1.473
       >=65  |      1.637      0.079    10.19   0.000        1.489       1.800
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.841      0.061    -2.38   0.017        0.729       0.970
         AZ  |      2.302      0.121    15.85   0.000        2.076       2.552
         AR  |      1.649      0.078    10.56   0.000        1.503       1.809
         CA  |      4.677      0.307    23.48   0.000        4.112       5.320
         CO  |      3.444      0.208    20.45   0.000        3.059       3.878
         CT  |      1.153      0.088     1.85   0.064        0.992       1.339
         DE  |      1.862      0.087    13.37   0.000        1.700       2.040
         FL  |      3.315      0.192    20.68   0.000        2.959       3.713
         GA  |      2.414      0.114    18.61   0.000        2.200       2.649
         HI  |      2.135      0.217     7.47   0.000        1.750       2.605
         ID  |      2.058      0.122    12.22   0.000        1.833       2.311
         IL  |      1.655      0.040    20.92   0.000        1.578       1.734
         IN  |      1.145      0.021     7.43   0.000        1.105       1.187
         IA  |      1.644      0.076    10.69   0.000        1.501       1.801
         KS  |      1.867      0.171     6.81   0.000        1.560       2.234
         KY  |      1.838      0.037    30.28   0.000        1.767       1.912
         LA  |      2.142      0.135    12.05   0.000        1.892       2.425
         ME  |      2.109      0.140    11.24   0.000        1.852       2.403
         MD  |      1.826      0.132     8.35   0.000        1.585       2.104
         MA  |      2.502      0.212    10.84   0.000        2.120       2.953
         MI  |      2.086      0.120    12.80   0.000        1.864       2.335
         MN  |      2.025      0.104    13.76   0.000        1.832       2.240
         MS  |      0.877      0.023    -5.00   0.000        0.833       0.924
         MO  |      1.523      0.053    12.05   0.000        1.422       1.631
         MT  |      1.620      0.135     5.81   0.000        1.377       1.907
         NE  |      0.786      0.064    -2.97   0.003        0.671       0.921
         NV  |      3.064      0.055    62.90   0.000        2.959       3.173
         NH  |      2.402      0.241     8.75   0.000        1.974       2.923
         NJ  |      1.487      0.102     5.78   0.000        1.300       1.701
         NM  |      3.340      0.283    14.22   0.000        2.829       3.944
         NY  |      1.922      0.149     8.43   0.000        1.651       2.237
         NC  |      1.980      0.067    20.22   0.000        1.853       2.115
         ND  |      1.614      0.150     5.14   0.000        1.344       1.937
         OH  |      3.460      0.026   167.16   0.000        3.410       3.511
         OK  |      2.147      0.198     8.28   0.000        1.792       2.573
         OR  |      1.702      0.039    23.14   0.000        1.627       1.780
         PA  |      1.610      0.063    12.19   0.000        1.492       1.739
         RI  |      6.164      0.295    37.96   0.000        5.612       6.771
         SC  |      1.386      0.040    11.37   0.000        1.310       1.466
         SD  |      1.542      0.133     5.03   0.000        1.303       1.825
         TN  |      1.739      0.022    43.67   0.000        1.696       1.782
         TX  |      2.643      0.270     9.51   0.000        2.163       3.228
         UT  |      2.226      0.114    15.63   0.000        2.014       2.461
         VT  |      5.071      0.376    21.89   0.000        4.385       5.864
         VA  |      2.898      0.224    13.74   0.000        2.490       3.373
         WA  |      1.768      0.062    16.35   0.000        1.652       1.894
         WV  |      1.156      0.035     4.84   0.000        1.090       1.226
         WI  |      2.567      0.050    48.23   0.000        2.471       2.667
         WY  |      3.700      0.392    12.34   0.000        3.006       4.554
             |
     quarter |      1.003      0.007     0.39   0.695        0.989       1.017
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -1.51   0.131        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.003      0.001     3.10   0.002        1.001       1.005
         AZ  |      0.994      0.001   -10.07   0.000        0.993       0.995
         AR  |      0.993      0.001   -11.17   0.000        0.992       0.994
         CA  |      0.982      0.001   -22.55   0.000        0.980       0.983
         CO  |      0.987      0.001   -19.25   0.000        0.986       0.988
         CT  |      0.994      0.001    -7.23   0.000        0.992       0.996
         DE  |      0.992      0.000   -16.38   0.000        0.992       0.993
         FL  |      0.987      0.001   -18.83   0.000        0.986       0.988
         GA  |      0.991      0.000   -19.74   0.000        0.990       0.991
         HI  |      0.990      0.001    -7.91   0.000        0.988       0.993
         ID  |      0.993      0.001    -9.33   0.000        0.991       0.994
         IL  |      0.991      0.000   -30.51   0.000        0.991       0.992
         IN  |      0.998      0.000    -5.97   0.000        0.997       0.998
         IA  |      0.992      0.001   -15.77   0.000        0.991       0.993
         KS  |      0.991      0.001    -8.73   0.000        0.988       0.993
         KY  |      0.992      0.000   -37.81   0.000        0.991       0.992
         LA  |      0.992      0.001    -7.64   0.000        0.990       0.994
         ME  |      0.990      0.001   -12.20   0.000        0.989       0.992
         MD  |      0.992      0.001    -9.70   0.000        0.990       0.993
         MA  |      0.982      0.001   -17.52   0.000        0.980       0.984
         MI  |      0.989      0.001   -13.45   0.000        0.987       0.991
         MN  |      0.989      0.001   -21.32   0.000        0.988       0.990
         MS  |      1.001      0.000     3.11   0.002        1.000       1.002
         MO  |      0.995      0.000   -13.27   0.000        0.995       0.996
         MT  |      0.998      0.001    -1.76   0.078        0.996       1.000
         NE  |      1.004      0.001     3.98   0.000        1.002       1.005
         NV  |      0.995      0.000   -44.96   0.000        0.995       0.995
         NH  |      0.988      0.001   -10.47   0.000        0.985       0.990
         NJ  |      0.988      0.001   -15.09   0.000        0.986       0.989
         NM  |      0.989      0.001    -9.00   0.000        0.987       0.992
         NY  |      0.985      0.001   -14.52   0.000        0.983       0.987
         NC  |      0.992      0.000   -31.59   0.000        0.991       0.992
         ND  |      0.990      0.001    -8.31   0.000        0.988       0.993
         OH  |      0.981      0.000  -191.08   0.000        0.981       0.981
         OK  |      0.991      0.001    -7.75   0.000        0.988       0.993
         OR  |      0.995      0.000   -21.29   0.000        0.995       0.996
         PA  |      0.992      0.001   -15.51   0.000        0.991       0.993
         RI  |      0.971      0.000   -61.68   0.000        0.970       0.972
         SC  |      0.996      0.000   -16.29   0.000        0.996       0.997
         SD  |      0.995      0.001    -5.33   0.000        0.993       0.997
         TN  |      0.992      0.000   -82.22   0.000        0.992       0.993
         TX  |      0.989      0.001    -8.42   0.000        0.986       0.991
         UT  |      0.991      0.001   -15.61   0.000        0.990       0.992
         VT  |      0.980      0.001   -24.09   0.000        0.978       0.981
         VA  |      0.987      0.001   -14.10   0.000        0.985       0.989
         WA  |      0.994      0.000   -15.04   0.000        0.993       0.994
         WV  |      0.997      0.001    -4.70   0.000        0.996       0.998
         WI  |      0.986      0.000  -120.02   0.000        0.986       0.987
         WY  |      0.987      0.001    -9.25   0.000        0.985       0.990
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000     0.55   0.579        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     7.60   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    12.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    19.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    20.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     6.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    15.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    17.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    19.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     8.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     8.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    25.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     3.18   0.001        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    14.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     9.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    50.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     4.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    11.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     7.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    16.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    10.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    22.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -1.83   0.068        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    13.54   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000     1.79   0.073        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -7.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    11.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    10.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    15.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     8.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    13.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    69.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     9.52   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   123.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     8.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    30.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    14.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    86.01   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    41.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000     5.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   219.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     6.31   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    16.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    23.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    12.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    13.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000     4.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000   236.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     8.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.073      0.016     4.75   0.000        1.042       1.104
     summer  |      1.057      0.019     3.10   0.002        1.021       1.096
       fall  |      1.023      0.017     1.39   0.164        0.991       1.056
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.049      0.025     2.03   0.043        1.002       1.099
       1982  |      1.029      0.043     0.68   0.494        0.948       1.117
       1983  |      1.076      0.058     1.36   0.173        0.969       1.195
       1984  |      1.171      0.072     2.58   0.010        1.039       1.321
       1985  |      1.181      0.095     2.08   0.038        1.009       1.382
       1986  |      1.301      0.111     3.07   0.002        1.100       1.539
       1987  |      1.281      0.122     2.61   0.009        1.064       1.543
       1988  |      1.353      0.152     2.70   0.007        1.087       1.686
       1989  |      1.395      0.167     2.77   0.006        1.103       1.765
       1990  |      1.416      0.183     2.69   0.007        1.099       1.824
       1991  |      1.416      0.197     2.50   0.013        1.078       1.861
       1992  |      1.491      0.230     2.59   0.010        1.102       2.017
       1993  |      1.500      0.242     2.51   0.012        1.093       2.059
       1994  |      1.541      0.260     2.56   0.010        1.107       2.145
       1995  |      1.576      0.282     2.54   0.011        1.110       2.238
       1996  |      1.601      0.288     2.62   0.009        1.126       2.278
       1997  |      1.677      0.325     2.66   0.008        1.146       2.452
       1998  |      1.760      0.349     2.85   0.004        1.194       2.595
       1999  |      1.686      0.332     2.65   0.008        1.146       2.480
       2000  |      1.758      0.362     2.74   0.006        1.174       2.633
       2001  |      1.810      0.379     2.83   0.005        1.200       2.730
       2002  |      1.919      0.417     3.00   0.003        1.254       2.938
       2003  |      1.921      0.435     2.88   0.004        1.233       2.992
       2004  |      2.027      0.460     3.11   0.002        1.299       3.162
       2005  |      2.109      0.492     3.20   0.001        1.336       3.330
       2006  |      2.199      0.520     3.33   0.001        1.384       3.494
       2007  |      2.334      0.567     3.49   0.000        1.450       3.758
       2008  |      2.520      0.624     3.73   0.000        1.550       4.094
       2009  |      2.477      0.630     3.57   0.000        1.505       4.077
       2010  |      2.616      0.677     3.72   0.000        1.576       4.343
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.976      0.029    -0.80   0.425        0.920       1.036
spring#1982  |      1.049      0.023     2.21   0.027        1.005       1.095
spring#1983  |      0.988      0.024    -0.49   0.625        0.942       1.036
spring#1984  |      0.998      0.026    -0.09   0.925        0.947       1.051
spring#1985  |      1.034      0.024     1.43   0.153        0.988       1.083
spring#1986  |      0.987      0.024    -0.54   0.587        0.942       1.035
spring#1987  |      1.088      0.023     4.06   0.000        1.045       1.134
spring#1988  |      1.011      0.017     0.65   0.517        0.978       1.045
spring#1989  |      1.000      0.022     0.02   0.986        0.958       1.044
spring#1990  |      1.000      0.020    -0.01   0.992        0.962       1.039
spring#1991  |      1.024      0.024     1.02   0.307        0.979       1.071
spring#1992  |      0.959      0.018    -2.22   0.026        0.924       0.995
spring#1993  |      1.010      0.020     0.51   0.609        0.971       1.051
spring#1994  |      1.034      0.021     1.61   0.108        0.993       1.076
spring#1995  |      1.047      0.025     1.94   0.052        1.000       1.096
spring#1996  |      1.032      0.026     1.25   0.212        0.982       1.085
spring#1997  |      0.995      0.027    -0.17   0.865        0.944       1.050
spring#1998  |      0.959      0.017    -2.30   0.021        0.926       0.994
spring#1999  |      0.989      0.018    -0.61   0.539        0.954       1.025
spring#2000  |      0.994      0.022    -0.28   0.778        0.952       1.037
spring#2001  |      1.017      0.020     0.86   0.392        0.979       1.056
spring#2002  |      0.999      0.016    -0.04   0.969        0.968       1.032
spring#2003  |      1.026      0.023     1.15   0.251        0.982       1.073
spring#2004  |      1.020      0.025     0.80   0.424        0.972       1.070
spring#2005  |      1.031      0.024     1.32   0.188        0.985       1.080
spring#2006  |      1.024      0.020     1.23   0.218        0.986       1.065
spring#2007  |      1.026      0.020     1.29   0.197        0.987       1.066
spring#2008  |      1.014      0.018     0.77   0.441        0.979       1.050
spring#2009  |      1.015      0.021     0.73   0.467        0.974       1.058
spring#2010  |      1.037      0.022     1.68   0.093        0.994       1.081
summer#1981  |      0.992      0.024    -0.32   0.748        0.947       1.040
summer#1982  |      1.059      0.024     2.50   0.012        1.012       1.107
summer#1983  |      1.013      0.030     0.43   0.665        0.956       1.073
summer#1984  |      0.988      0.022    -0.53   0.594        0.945       1.033
summer#1985  |      1.013      0.022     0.61   0.541        0.971       1.057
summer#1986  |      1.008      0.017     0.49   0.627        0.975       1.043
summer#1987  |      1.058      0.024     2.50   0.012        1.012       1.107
summer#1988  |      1.026      0.023     1.16   0.248        0.982       1.073
summer#1989  |      1.015      0.023     0.67   0.506        0.971       1.061
summer#1990  |      1.070      0.034     2.17   0.030        1.006       1.138
summer#1991  |      1.065      0.028     2.36   0.018        1.011       1.121
summer#1992  |      0.992      0.026    -0.31   0.759        0.943       1.044
summer#1993  |      1.044      0.026     1.72   0.085        0.994       1.097
summer#1994  |      1.022      0.022     0.99   0.322        0.979       1.066
summer#1995  |      1.056      0.024     2.40   0.016        1.010       1.105
summer#1996  |      1.054      0.025     2.26   0.024        1.007       1.104
summer#1997  |      0.995      0.023    -0.22   0.823        0.951       1.041
summer#1998  |      0.990      0.021    -0.48   0.629        0.948       1.032
summer#1999  |      1.025      0.025     1.02   0.309        0.977       1.075
summer#2000  |      0.997      0.025    -0.12   0.908        0.950       1.047
summer#2001  |      1.048      0.027     1.82   0.068        0.996       1.103
summer#2002  |      1.028      0.020     1.45   0.148        0.990       1.068
summer#2003  |      1.061      0.027     2.31   0.021        1.009       1.116
summer#2004  |      1.048      0.023     2.14   0.033        1.004       1.095
summer#2005  |      1.036      0.026     1.42   0.155        0.987       1.087
summer#2006  |      1.063      0.030     2.16   0.031        1.006       1.124
summer#2007  |      1.066      0.023     2.94   0.003        1.022       1.112
summer#2008  |      1.025      0.024     1.03   0.301        0.978       1.074
summer#2009  |      1.081      0.024     3.43   0.001        1.034       1.130
summer#2010  |      1.093      0.026     3.69   0.000        1.042       1.145
  fall#1981  |      0.986      0.030    -0.46   0.645        0.929       1.047
  fall#1982  |      0.995      0.021    -0.25   0.802        0.954       1.037
  fall#1983  |      1.012      0.024     0.51   0.608        0.967       1.060
  fall#1984  |      1.015      0.023     0.68   0.498        0.972       1.061
  fall#1985  |      1.043      0.023     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.089
  fall#1986  |      0.991      0.022    -0.38   0.701        0.948       1.036
  fall#1987  |      1.023      0.021     1.12   0.262        0.983       1.064
  fall#1988  |      0.993      0.020    -0.35   0.724        0.955       1.033
  fall#1989  |      0.984      0.021    -0.78   0.437        0.944       1.025
  fall#1990  |      1.039      0.029     1.38   0.169        0.984       1.096
  fall#1991  |      1.031      0.025     1.22   0.221        0.982       1.082
  fall#1992  |      0.962      0.019    -1.96   0.051        0.925       1.000
  fall#1993  |      1.021      0.019     1.15   0.250        0.985       1.059
  fall#1994  |      1.045      0.028     1.66   0.098        0.992       1.101
  fall#1995  |      1.030      0.026     1.18   0.237        0.981       1.082
  fall#1996  |      1.029      0.022     1.34   0.181        0.987       1.072
  fall#1997  |      1.003      0.025     0.12   0.907        0.955       1.053
  fall#1998  |      0.965      0.018    -1.92   0.055        0.930       1.001
  fall#1999  |      1.002      0.023     0.08   0.935        0.957       1.049
  fall#2000  |      0.980      0.026    -0.76   0.445        0.931       1.032
  fall#2001  |      1.017      0.021     0.81   0.419        0.976       1.060
  fall#2002  |      1.007      0.025     0.28   0.779        0.959       1.057
  fall#2003  |      1.015      0.024     0.64   0.521        0.969       1.063
  fall#2004  |      1.057      0.024     2.43   0.015        1.011       1.106
  fall#2005  |      1.037      0.028     1.35   0.175        0.984       1.093
  fall#2006  |      1.056      0.025     2.28   0.022        1.008       1.106
  fall#2007  |      1.075      0.022     3.54   0.000        1.033       1.120
  fall#2008  |      1.020      0.022     0.91   0.365        0.977       1.064
  fall#2009  |      1.055      0.026     2.17   0.030        1.005       1.106
  fall#2010  |      1.047      0.026     1.85   0.064        0.997       1.099
             |
       _cons |     16.227      7.258     6.23   0.000        6.753      38.990
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_4: estpost margins, at(unemprtsa=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) ///
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1       11.48     0.0007
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.67       0.20          0.28        1.06
--------------------------------------------------------------

. 
.         
.         
. 
. // #7   
. // include state-specific cubic trends: Model 5
. 
. poisson suic unemprtsa i.sex i.race2 i.agecat ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter##c.quarter) ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -403628.12                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3825

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   unemprtsa |      1.012      0.004     3.10   0.002        1.004       1.019
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.68   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.532      0.020   -17.13   0.000        0.495       0.572
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.16   0.000        1.247       1.331
   45 to 64  |      1.375      0.048     9.05   0.000        1.283       1.473
       >=65  |      1.637      0.079    10.19   0.000        1.489       1.800
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |    107.545      6.677    75.35   0.000       95.224     121.460
         AZ  |      0.954      0.071    -0.63   0.528        0.826       1.103
         AR  |      6.217      0.054   209.86   0.000        6.111       6.324
         CA  |      1.408      0.070     6.84   0.000        1.276       1.552
         CO  |      6.349      0.325    36.12   0.000        5.744       7.019
         CT  |      0.535      0.011   -29.86   0.000        0.514       0.558
         DE  |      0.838      0.095    -1.55   0.120        0.671       1.047
         FL  |      3.884      0.539     9.77   0.000        2.958       5.099
         GA  |      2.140      0.120    13.61   0.000        1.918       2.388
         HI  |      0.875      0.077    -1.51   0.131        0.736       1.041
         ID  |      0.274      0.008   -47.07   0.000        0.260       0.289
         IL  |      0.325      0.009   -40.10   0.000        0.308       0.343
         IN  |      0.839      0.101    -1.46   0.146        0.663       1.063
         IA  |      0.904      0.053    -1.73   0.084        0.807       1.014
         KS  |      2.154      0.078    21.28   0.000        2.007       2.311
         KY  |      3.329      0.072    55.55   0.000        3.191       3.474
         LA  |      1.360      0.151     2.76   0.006        1.093       1.691
         ME  |      2.229      0.128    13.93   0.000        1.991       2.496
         MD  |      1.713      0.139     6.62   0.000        1.461       2.010
         MA  |      0.315      0.009   -39.01   0.000        0.297       0.334
         MI  |      2.014      0.142     9.91   0.000        1.753       2.313
         MN  |      0.360      0.013   -28.25   0.000        0.335       0.386
         MS  |      0.616      0.052    -5.78   0.000        0.522       0.726
         MO  |      0.764      0.016   -13.19   0.000        0.734       0.795
         MT  |      0.733      0.030    -7.59   0.000        0.677       0.794
         NE  |      0.638      0.063    -4.57   0.000        0.526       0.774
         NV  |      6.357      0.930    12.65   0.000        4.772       8.467
         NH  |      0.900      0.017    -5.43   0.000        0.867       0.935
         NJ  |      5.549      0.344    27.66   0.000        4.914       6.266
         NM  |      4.630      0.174    40.77   0.000        4.301       4.983
         NY  |      2.424      0.233     9.21   0.000        2.008       2.927
         NC  |      4.514      0.304    22.38   0.000        3.956       5.150
         ND  |      2.743      0.129    21.39   0.000        2.501       3.009
         OH  |     14.611      1.171    33.45   0.000       12.486      17.097
         OK  |     16.206      2.045    22.07   0.000       12.655      20.753
         OR  |      1.466      0.203     2.76   0.006        1.117       1.924
         PA  |      0.773      0.075    -2.64   0.008        0.639       0.936
         RI  |      0.390      0.018   -20.10   0.000        0.356       0.427
         SC  |      0.404      0.020   -18.03   0.000        0.366       0.446
         SD  |      4.010      0.240    23.17   0.000        3.565       4.509
         TN  |      5.301      0.205    43.11   0.000        4.914       5.719
         TX  |      0.667      0.079    -3.43   0.001        0.529       0.840
         UT  |      1.989      0.134    10.17   0.000        1.742       2.271
         VT  |      0.994      0.064    -0.09   0.927        0.876       1.128
         VA  |      4.365      0.054   120.04   0.000        4.261       4.471
         WA  |      2.289      0.209     9.09   0.000        1.915       2.737
         WV  |     33.642      3.430    34.48   0.000       27.547      41.084
         WI  |      1.305      0.150     2.32   0.021        1.042       1.635
         WY  |      2.594      0.380     6.50   0.000        1.946       3.457
             |
     quarter |      1.097      0.024     4.23   0.000        1.051       1.145
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      0.999      0.000    -4.15   0.000        0.999       1.000
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     3.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.900      0.002   -53.85   0.000        0.896       0.903
         AZ  |      1.014      0.001    12.74   0.000        1.012       1.016
         AR  |      0.963      0.000   -86.53   0.000        0.962       0.964
         CA  |      1.009      0.001    13.95   0.000        1.008       1.010
         CO  |      0.973      0.000   -55.95   0.000        0.972       0.974
         CT  |      1.011      0.001     9.51   0.000        1.009       1.014
         DE  |      1.011      0.003     3.28   0.001        1.004       1.017
         FL  |      0.983      0.002    -6.74   0.000        0.978       0.988
         GA  |      0.993      0.001   -10.47   0.000        0.992       0.994
         HI  |      1.010      0.003     3.36   0.001        1.004       1.016
         ID  |      1.039      0.000   113.15   0.000        1.039       1.040
         IL  |      1.029      0.001    36.24   0.000        1.027       1.031
         IN  |      1.005      0.003     1.75   0.080        0.999       1.010
         IA  |      1.005      0.002     2.95   0.003        1.002       1.009
         KS  |      0.987      0.002    -7.09   0.000        0.984       0.991
         KY  |      0.978      0.000   -71.01   0.000        0.978       0.979
         LA  |      1.003      0.002     1.24   0.215        0.998       1.007
         ME  |      0.989      0.002    -5.45   0.000        0.985       0.993
         MD  |      0.993      0.003    -2.67   0.008        0.988       0.998
         MA  |      1.030      0.001    21.81   0.000        1.027       1.033
         MI  |      0.990      0.001    -9.12   0.000        0.988       0.992
         MN  |      1.029      0.002    19.40   0.000        1.026       1.032
         MS  |      1.009      0.002     5.41   0.000        1.006       1.013
         MO  |      1.011      0.001    12.47   0.000        1.009       1.013
         MT  |      1.016      0.000    63.60   0.000        1.016       1.017
         NE  |      1.008      0.003     2.50   0.012        1.002       1.015
         NV  |      0.979      0.003    -7.28   0.000        0.973       0.984
         NH  |      1.010      0.001     6.66   0.000        1.007       1.012
         NJ  |      0.958      0.002   -20.25   0.000        0.954       0.962
         NM  |      0.982      0.000  -108.72   0.000        0.981       0.982
         NY  |      0.980      0.003    -6.87   0.000        0.974       0.986
         NC  |      0.973      0.002   -13.11   0.000        0.969       0.977
         ND  |      0.978      0.002   -10.81   0.000        0.974       0.982
         OH  |      0.949      0.002   -27.85   0.000        0.945       0.952
         OK  |      0.946      0.002   -28.36   0.000        0.942       0.949
         OR  |      0.998      0.003    -0.45   0.655        0.992       1.005
         PA  |      1.009      0.003     3.40   0.001        1.004       1.014
         RI  |      1.034      0.002    21.11   0.000        1.031       1.038
         SC  |      1.025      0.002    15.34   0.000        1.021       1.028
         SD  |      0.973      0.002   -11.72   0.000        0.968       0.977
         TN  |      0.968      0.001   -30.63   0.000        0.965       0.970
         TX  |      1.020      0.002    11.54   0.000        1.016       1.023
         UT  |      0.994      0.002    -2.89   0.004        0.990       0.998
         VT  |      1.017      0.002     7.25   0.000        1.012       1.022
         VA  |      0.978      0.001   -27.65   0.000        0.976       0.979
         WA  |      0.988      0.002    -5.11   0.000        0.983       0.992
         WV  |      0.923      0.002   -34.47   0.000        0.918       0.927
         WI  |      1.002      0.003     0.60   0.551        0.996       1.008
         WY  |      0.995      0.002    -2.16   0.031        0.991       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.001      0.000    43.25   0.000        1.001       1.001
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000   -24.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    43.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000   -36.43   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    72.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    -8.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    -4.40   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     4.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000     1.59   0.111        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    -4.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000   -67.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -37.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    -2.52   0.012        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    -4.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     3.20   0.001        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    67.86   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -4.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000     2.10   0.036        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     0.46   0.647        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000   -20.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     4.68   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000   -19.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000    -5.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -12.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000   -29.69   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -1.90   0.058        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     6.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    -7.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    13.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    20.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     3.27   0.001        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000     9.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000     6.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    22.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    39.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -0.41   0.685        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    -4.67   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000   -26.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -14.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000     8.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    24.93   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -29.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     0.58   0.559        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -10.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    10.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000     3.09   0.002        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.001      0.000    38.70   0.000        1.001       1.001
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    -3.16   0.002        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    -1.33   0.185        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -36.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    37.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -28.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    36.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000   -35.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000     8.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000     4.87   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    -2.19   0.028        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    12.29   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000     4.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    47.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    37.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000     3.09   0.002        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000     5.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    -1.30   0.193        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   -54.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     8.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -0.61   0.542        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     0.28   0.783        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    20.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     2.08   0.037        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    19.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000     6.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    12.64   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    16.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000     1.03   0.302        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -5.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000     8.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -10.50   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    -6.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -1.51   0.131        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    -8.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    -3.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -18.70   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000   -60.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     0.89   0.373        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000     5.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    31.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    15.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    -6.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -21.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000    96.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000     0.87   0.384        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    11.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    -5.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    -2.10   0.036        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -46.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     5.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     8.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.077      0.016     5.11   0.000        1.047       1.108
     summer  |      1.049      0.019     2.72   0.006        1.014       1.086
       fall  |      1.003      0.016     0.19   0.848        0.971       1.036
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.004      0.025     0.15   0.879        0.956       1.054
       1982  |      0.951      0.037    -1.29   0.196        0.881       1.026
       1983  |      0.967      0.047    -0.68   0.496        0.879       1.064
       1984  |      1.031      0.058     0.54   0.589        0.924       1.150
       1985  |      1.026      0.073     0.36   0.720        0.892       1.180
       1986  |      1.124      0.089     1.47   0.142        0.962       1.313
       1987  |      1.106      0.096     1.17   0.243        0.934       1.311
       1988  |      1.175      0.121     1.57   0.117        0.961       1.436
       1989  |      1.223      0.136     1.81   0.071        0.983       1.522
       1990  |      1.260      0.151     1.93   0.054        0.996       1.595
       1991  |      1.285      0.170     1.90   0.058        0.991       1.666
       1992  |      1.382      0.205     2.18   0.029        1.034       1.848
       1993  |      1.423      0.224     2.25   0.025        1.046       1.936
       1994  |      1.498      0.249     2.43   0.015        1.081       2.074
       1995  |      1.570      0.280     2.53   0.011        1.107       2.228
       1996  |      1.637      0.298     2.71   0.007        1.147       2.338
       1997  |      1.758      0.349     2.84   0.004        1.191       2.594
       1998  |      1.890      0.387     3.11   0.002        1.265       2.824
       1999  |      1.851      0.382     2.98   0.003        1.235       2.775
       2000  |      1.970      0.429     3.11   0.002        1.286       3.019
       2001  |      2.065      0.461     3.25   0.001        1.333       3.200
       2002  |      2.223      0.519     3.42   0.001        1.407       3.513
       2003  |      2.247      0.546     3.33   0.001        1.395       3.618
       2004  |      2.381      0.582     3.55   0.000        1.475       3.844
       2005  |      2.477      0.619     3.63   0.000        1.518       4.042
       2006  |      2.563      0.645     3.74   0.000        1.565       4.198
       2007  |      2.685      0.688     3.86   0.000        1.626       4.436
       2008  |      2.841      0.736     4.03   0.000        1.710       4.721
       2009  |      2.721      0.718     3.79   0.000        1.623       4.564
       2010  |      2.771      0.733     3.85   0.000        1.650       4.654
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.975      0.029    -0.85   0.396        0.919       1.034
spring#1982  |      1.047      0.023     2.12   0.034        1.003       1.093
spring#1983  |      0.986      0.024    -0.59   0.558        0.940       1.034
spring#1984  |      0.994      0.026    -0.22   0.827        0.944       1.047
spring#1985  |      1.030      0.024     1.26   0.206        0.984       1.079
spring#1986  |      0.983      0.023    -0.72   0.473        0.938       1.030
spring#1987  |      1.083      0.022     3.86   0.000        1.040       1.128
spring#1988  |      1.006      0.017     0.35   0.727        0.973       1.041
spring#1989  |      0.995      0.022    -0.23   0.820        0.953       1.039
spring#1990  |      0.994      0.020    -0.31   0.756        0.956       1.033
spring#1991  |      1.018      0.023     0.79   0.432        0.974       1.064
spring#1992  |      0.953      0.018    -2.52   0.012        0.918       0.989
spring#1993  |      1.004      0.020     0.21   0.833        0.965       1.045
spring#1994  |      1.027      0.021     1.32   0.188        0.987       1.070
spring#1995  |      1.040      0.024     1.71   0.088        0.994       1.088
spring#1996  |      1.026      0.025     1.04   0.301        0.977       1.077
spring#1997  |      0.989      0.027    -0.39   0.698        0.938       1.044
spring#1998  |      0.953      0.017    -2.64   0.008        0.920       0.988
spring#1999  |      0.983      0.018    -0.93   0.354        0.949       1.019
spring#2000  |      0.988      0.021    -0.54   0.590        0.948       1.031
spring#2001  |      1.011      0.020     0.57   0.570        0.973       1.051
spring#2002  |      0.995      0.016    -0.34   0.735        0.964       1.026
spring#2003  |      1.022      0.023     0.98   0.325        0.979       1.068
spring#2004  |      1.016      0.025     0.65   0.518        0.969       1.065
spring#2005  |      1.028      0.024     1.18   0.239        0.982       1.075
spring#2006  |      1.021      0.020     1.09   0.275        0.983       1.061
spring#2007  |      1.023      0.020     1.18   0.239        0.985       1.063
spring#2008  |      1.012      0.018     0.66   0.507        0.977       1.048
spring#2009  |      1.015      0.021     0.71   0.480        0.974       1.057
spring#2010  |      1.036      0.022     1.68   0.092        0.994       1.081
summer#1981  |      0.993      0.024    -0.30   0.761        0.947       1.040
summer#1982  |      1.061      0.024     2.59   0.009        1.015       1.110
summer#1983  |      1.016      0.030     0.54   0.588        0.959       1.076
summer#1984  |      0.992      0.022    -0.34   0.733        0.950       1.037
summer#1985  |      1.019      0.022     0.90   0.369        0.978       1.063
summer#1986  |      1.016      0.017     0.91   0.363        0.982       1.050
summer#1987  |      1.067      0.024     2.86   0.004        1.021       1.115
summer#1988  |      1.036      0.023     1.55   0.120        0.991       1.082
summer#1989  |      1.025      0.023     1.11   0.266        0.981       1.071
summer#1990  |      1.081      0.033     2.57   0.010        1.019       1.148
summer#1991  |      1.076      0.028     2.80   0.005        1.022       1.133
summer#1992  |      1.004      0.025     0.15   0.884        0.955       1.054
summer#1993  |      1.057      0.027     2.18   0.029        1.006       1.110
summer#1994  |      1.034      0.022     1.55   0.121        0.991       1.079
summer#1995  |      1.070      0.024     2.96   0.003        1.023       1.118
summer#1996  |      1.067      0.025     2.80   0.005        1.020       1.117
summer#1997  |      1.007      0.023     0.29   0.770        0.962       1.054
summer#1998  |      1.001      0.021     0.07   0.946        0.960       1.044
summer#1999  |      1.037      0.025     1.53   0.126        0.990       1.086
summer#2000  |      1.008      0.024     0.35   0.724        0.963       1.056
summer#2001  |      1.060      0.027     2.25   0.025        1.007       1.115
summer#2002  |      1.039      0.019     2.04   0.041        1.001       1.077
summer#2003  |      1.071      0.027     2.68   0.007        1.019       1.126
summer#2004  |      1.057      0.023     2.56   0.011        1.013       1.103
summer#2005  |      1.043      0.025     1.75   0.080        0.995       1.094
summer#2006  |      1.070      0.030     2.43   0.015        1.013       1.130
summer#2007  |      1.071      0.023     3.22   0.001        1.027       1.117
summer#2008  |      1.029      0.024     1.23   0.219        0.983       1.077
summer#2009  |      1.085      0.024     3.61   0.000        1.038       1.133
summer#2010  |      1.094      0.026     3.75   0.000        1.044       1.146
  fall#1981  |      0.989      0.030    -0.36   0.722        0.932       1.050
  fall#1982  |      1.002      0.022     0.10   0.921        0.960       1.046
  fall#1983  |      1.021      0.024     0.90   0.370        0.975       1.069
  fall#1984  |      1.028      0.023     1.27   0.206        0.985       1.074
  fall#1985  |      1.060      0.023     2.72   0.006        1.017       1.106
  fall#1986  |      1.010      0.024     0.42   0.671        0.964       1.058
  fall#1987  |      1.044      0.022     2.04   0.042        1.002       1.089
  fall#1988  |      1.016      0.021     0.79   0.427        0.977       1.057
  fall#1989  |      1.009      0.022     0.40   0.688        0.966       1.053
  fall#1990  |      1.067      0.029     2.36   0.019        1.011       1.126
  fall#1991  |      1.060      0.027     2.26   0.024        1.008       1.115
  fall#1992  |      0.990      0.020    -0.49   0.621        0.952       1.030
  fall#1993  |      1.052      0.020     2.70   0.007        1.014       1.091
  fall#1994  |      1.077      0.029     2.74   0.006        1.021       1.135
  fall#1995  |      1.062      0.027     2.40   0.017        1.011       1.116
  fall#1996  |      1.060      0.024     2.55   0.011        1.014       1.109
  fall#1997  |      1.033      0.026     1.29   0.197        0.983       1.086
  fall#1998  |      0.994      0.021    -0.30   0.766        0.953       1.036
  fall#1999  |      1.031      0.023     1.36   0.174        0.987       1.078
  fall#2000  |      1.008      0.027     0.29   0.771        0.957       1.061
  fall#2001  |      1.045      0.023     2.00   0.045        1.001       1.090
  fall#2002  |      1.032      0.027     1.22   0.221        0.981       1.085
  fall#2003  |      1.039      0.026     1.52   0.129        0.989       1.091
  fall#2004  |      1.079      0.025     3.29   0.001        1.031       1.129
  fall#2005  |      1.056      0.028     2.05   0.040        1.002       1.112
  fall#2006  |      1.072      0.025     2.93   0.003        1.023       1.123
  fall#2007  |      1.089      0.023     4.13   0.000        1.046       1.134
  fall#2008  |      1.030      0.022     1.39   0.165        0.988       1.074
  fall#2009  |      1.062      0.026     2.48   0.013        1.013       1.113
  fall#2010  |      1.049      0.026     1.92   0.055        0.999       1.101
             |
       _cons |      0.412      0.366    -1.00   0.318        0.072       2.347
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_5: estpost margins, at(unemprtsa=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) ///
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1        9.26     0.0023
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.62       0.20          0.22        1.02
--------------------------------------------------------------

.         
.         
.         
. 
. // #8
. // write results to file
. 
. esttab m_* using suic-econ-atable-unemp.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar /
> //
>         wide not delimiter(";") replace
(output written to suic-econ-atable-unemp.txt)

.         
. 
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a5-unemp.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  22 Feb 2015, 00:36:09
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit    

end of do-file

. 
. 
. /*      Crude and adjusted Poisson models using cancer as outcome. 
>         Estimates are in Table 3. */
. do suic-econ-a6-cancer.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-a6-cancer.txt, replace text
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a6-cancer.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  22 Feb 2015, 00:36:10

. 
. //  program:    suic-econ-a6-cancer.do
. //  task:               estimate impact of recessions on cancer: poisson model
> s
. //      input:          suic-econ-data1-census.dta
. //      output:         suic-econ-atable3-cancer.txt
. //  project:    economic conditions and suicide
. //  author:     sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 12

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. set matsize 11000

. 
. 
. // #1
. // data 
. 
. use suic-econ-data1-census, clear       
(Suicide deaths and Census denominators, 1980-2010)

. 
. * re-scale icei for a 10-unit change, change sign to estimate decrease
. replace icei= -1*icei/10
(297600 real changes made)

. 
. 
. 
. // #2
. // crude poisson model without adjustments: Model 0
. 
. poisson cncr icei, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(1)    =      16.00
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0001
Log pseudolikelihood =  -15676287                 Pseudo R2       =     0.0002

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        cncr |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.007      0.002     4.00   0.000        1.004       1.011
       _cons |    268.020      8.199   182.78   0.000      252.423     284.580
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_0: estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       1.82       0.44     4.12   0.000         0.95        2.68
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(tec_m_0, replace) 

.         
.         
. // #3
. // now add individual covariates: Model 1
. 
. poisson cncr icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat, offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(6)    =  403685.02
                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0000
Log pseudolikelihood = -884696.98                 Pseudo R2       =     0.9436

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        cncr |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.019      0.002    12.20   0.000        1.016       1.023
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.691      0.008   -31.26   0.000        0.675       0.707
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.057      0.043     1.37   0.171        0.976       1.145
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      5.318      0.142    62.39   0.000        5.046       5.604
   45 to 64  |     53.582      1.460   146.07   0.000       50.795      56.523
       >=65  |    240.786      5.389   245.04   0.000      230.453     251.583
             |
       _cons |      6.794      0.196    66.36   0.000        6.420       7.189
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_1: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       6.87       0.50    13.75   0.000         5.89        7.84
             |
         sex |
    2female  |    -130.31       7.02   -18.55   0.000      -144.08     -116.55
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      19.83      14.93     1.33   0.184        -9.44       49.09
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      20.45       0.73    27.87   0.000        19.01       21.89
   45 to 64  |     249.06       7.65    32.56   0.000       234.07      264.06
       >=65  |    1135.78      28.19    40.29   0.000      1080.53     1191.04
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(tec_m_1, replace) 

.         
. 
. // #4
. // now add state and season/year fixed effects: Model 2
. 
. poisson cncr icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -839473.69                 Pseudo R2       =     0.9465

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        cncr |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.000      0.004    -0.02   0.987        0.991       1.009
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.689      0.008   -31.59   0.000        0.673       0.705
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.064      0.041     1.62   0.106        0.987       1.148
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      5.303      0.140    63.22   0.000        5.036       5.584
   45 to 64  |     53.492      1.478   144.00   0.000       50.672      56.469
       >=65  |    239.704      5.417   242.45   0.000      229.318     250.561
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.815      0.005   -32.17   0.000        0.805       0.825
         AZ  |      0.835      0.011   -13.26   0.000        0.813       0.858
         AR  |      0.998      0.004    -0.51   0.609        0.990       1.006
         CA  |      0.876      0.003   -40.85   0.000        0.870       0.882
         CO  |      0.796      0.009   -19.49   0.000        0.778       0.814
         CT  |      0.944      0.008    -6.85   0.000        0.928       0.959
         DE  |      1.032      0.005     7.24   0.000        1.023       1.041
         FL  |      0.909      0.006   -13.77   0.000        0.897       0.921
         GA  |      0.943      0.006    -9.68   0.000        0.932       0.955
         HI  |      0.723      0.018   -13.35   0.000        0.689       0.758
         ID  |      0.840      0.013   -11.23   0.000        0.815       0.866
         IL  |      0.993      0.005    -1.51   0.130        0.983       1.002
         IN  |      1.008      0.007     1.22   0.224        0.995       1.021
         IA  |      0.935      0.008    -7.62   0.000        0.919       0.951
         KS  |      0.913      0.007   -11.92   0.000        0.900       0.927
         KY  |      1.068      0.007    10.24   0.000        1.055       1.082
         LA  |      1.054      0.002    28.76   0.000        1.050       1.058
         ME  |      1.032      0.010     3.18   0.001        1.012       1.053
         MD  |      1.000      0.003     0.03   0.975        0.993       1.007
         MA  |      1.007      0.011     0.61   0.541        0.985       1.030
         MI  |      0.975      0.006    -4.45   0.000        0.964       0.986
         MN  |      0.899      0.008   -12.01   0.000        0.884       0.915
         MS  |      1.008      0.003     2.97   0.003        1.003       1.014
         MO  |      0.992      0.006    -1.21   0.224        0.980       1.005
         MT  |      0.903      0.009   -10.57   0.000        0.886       0.920
         NE  |      0.904      0.008   -10.72   0.000        0.888       0.921
         NV  |      0.933      0.017    -3.85   0.000        0.901       0.966
         NH  |      0.980      0.014    -1.38   0.168        0.953       1.008
         NJ  |      1.000      0.006     0.05   0.961        0.989       1.012
         NM  |      0.804      0.007   -25.61   0.000        0.791       0.818
         NY  |      0.949      0.004   -13.52   0.000        0.942       0.956
         NC  |      0.950      0.004   -12.84   0.000        0.942       0.957
         ND  |      0.895      0.009   -10.69   0.000        0.877       0.913
         OH  |      1.020      0.007     3.08   0.002        1.007       1.033
         OK  |      0.968      0.007    -4.87   0.000        0.955       0.981
         OR  |      0.941      0.012    -4.72   0.000        0.917       0.965
         PA  |      1.008      0.007     1.25   0.213        0.995       1.021
         RI  |      1.016      0.011     1.45   0.146        0.994       1.038
         SC  |      0.965      0.003   -11.62   0.000        0.960       0.971
         SD  |      0.907      0.008   -11.63   0.000        0.892       0.922
         TN  |      1.009      0.004     1.98   0.047        1.000       1.017
         TX  |      0.902      0.007   -13.91   0.000        0.889       0.915
         UT  |      0.688      0.009   -28.78   0.000        0.670       0.706
         VT  |      0.961      0.009    -4.38   0.000        0.944       0.978
         VA  |      0.962      0.003   -13.90   0.000        0.957       0.967
         WA  |      0.914      0.005   -15.31   0.000        0.904       0.925
         WV  |      1.034      0.008     4.32   0.000        1.018       1.050
         WI  |      0.936      0.010    -5.99   0.000        0.916       0.956
         WY  |      0.856      0.009   -15.36   0.000        0.839       0.873
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.977      0.005    -4.90   0.000        0.968       0.986
     summer  |      0.979      0.003    -6.17   0.000        0.972       0.985
       fall  |      0.985      0.004    -3.79   0.000        0.977       0.993
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.986      0.005    -2.84   0.005        0.976       0.996
       1982  |      0.982      0.005    -3.38   0.001        0.971       0.992
       1983  |      1.005      0.006     0.75   0.455        0.993       1.017
       1984  |      1.015      0.008     2.05   0.041        1.001       1.030
       1985  |      1.025      0.011     2.36   0.018        1.004       1.045
       1986  |      1.021      0.009     2.27   0.023        1.003       1.040
       1987  |      1.010      0.013     0.76   0.446        0.984       1.037
       1988  |      1.031      0.016     2.03   0.043        1.001       1.062
       1989  |      1.035      0.019     1.87   0.062        0.998       1.072
       1990  |      1.028      0.021     1.38   0.169        0.988       1.070
       1991  |      1.029      0.020     1.49   0.136        0.991       1.068
       1992  |      1.024      0.020     1.21   0.228        0.985       1.065
       1993  |      1.021      0.023     0.92   0.359        0.977       1.067
       1994  |      1.009      0.024     0.36   0.717        0.962       1.058
       1995  |      1.005      0.026     0.18   0.858        0.956       1.056
       1996  |      1.001      0.029     0.04   0.971        0.945       1.060
       1997  |      0.975      0.029    -0.84   0.398        0.919       1.034
       1998  |      0.968      0.033    -0.94   0.346        0.905       1.036
       1999  |      0.981      0.035    -0.54   0.592        0.914       1.053
       2000  |      0.966      0.038    -0.87   0.382        0.894       1.044
       2001  |      0.941      0.037    -1.55   0.121        0.872       1.016
       2002  |      0.941      0.038    -1.51   0.131        0.870       1.018
       2003  |      0.927      0.037    -1.91   0.057        0.857       1.002
       2004  |      0.915      0.038    -2.13   0.033        0.843       0.993
       2005  |      0.904      0.039    -2.33   0.020        0.831       0.984
       2006  |      0.881      0.041    -2.72   0.007        0.805       0.965
       2007  |      0.871      0.041    -2.91   0.004        0.794       0.956
       2008  |      0.866      0.041    -3.05   0.002        0.789       0.950
       2009  |      0.841      0.036    -4.01   0.000        0.772       0.915
       2010  |      0.835      0.035    -4.25   0.000        0.769       0.907
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.016      0.009     1.73   0.083        0.998       1.033
spring#1982  |      1.048      0.009     5.29   0.000        1.030       1.066
spring#1983  |      1.011      0.008     1.39   0.166        0.995       1.027
spring#1984  |      1.014      0.007     2.02   0.044        1.000       1.028
spring#1985  |      0.999      0.006    -0.20   0.844        0.987       1.011
spring#1986  |      1.011      0.007     1.72   0.086        0.998       1.024
spring#1987  |      1.024      0.009     2.75   0.006        1.007       1.041
spring#1988  |      0.994      0.006    -0.93   0.353        0.982       1.007
spring#1989  |      1.008      0.006     1.37   0.170        0.997       1.018
spring#1990  |      1.012      0.006     1.85   0.065        0.999       1.025
spring#1991  |      1.018      0.006     3.14   0.002        1.007       1.030
spring#1992  |      1.014      0.006     2.37   0.018        1.002       1.026
spring#1993  |      1.021      0.006     3.69   0.000        1.010       1.032
spring#1994  |      1.021      0.007     3.12   0.002        1.008       1.035
spring#1995  |      1.018      0.006     3.12   0.002        1.007       1.030
spring#1996  |      1.007      0.005     1.30   0.195        0.997       1.017
spring#1997  |      1.021      0.008     2.76   0.006        1.006       1.036
spring#1998  |      1.011      0.006     1.86   0.063        0.999       1.023
spring#1999  |      1.008      0.005     1.58   0.113        0.998       1.018
spring#2000  |      1.001      0.006     0.13   0.895        0.989       1.013
spring#2001  |      1.033      0.005     6.15   0.000        1.023       1.044
spring#2002  |      1.026      0.007     3.82   0.000        1.013       1.040
spring#2003  |      1.016      0.006     2.57   0.010        1.004       1.028
spring#2004  |      1.011      0.006     1.91   0.056        1.000       1.022
spring#2005  |      1.020      0.006     3.38   0.001        1.008       1.031
spring#2006  |      1.029      0.006     5.18   0.000        1.018       1.040
spring#2007  |      1.018      0.007     2.81   0.005        1.005       1.031
spring#2008  |      1.009      0.006     1.44   0.150        0.997       1.021
spring#2009  |      1.020      0.006     3.27   0.001        1.008       1.032
spring#2010  |      1.022      0.006     3.79   0.000        1.011       1.034
summer#1981  |      1.021      0.006     3.27   0.001        1.008       1.033
summer#1982  |      1.029      0.007     4.48   0.000        1.016       1.042
summer#1983  |      1.014      0.007     1.89   0.059        0.999       1.028
summer#1984  |      1.007      0.005     1.33   0.184        0.997       1.018
summer#1985  |      1.001      0.006     0.26   0.797        0.990       1.013
summer#1986  |      1.009      0.005     1.85   0.064        0.999       1.018
summer#1987  |      1.030      0.007     4.43   0.000        1.016       1.043
summer#1988  |      0.999      0.005    -0.27   0.785        0.988       1.009
summer#1989  |      0.995      0.004    -1.35   0.176        0.987       1.002
summer#1990  |      1.015      0.004     4.00   0.000        1.008       1.022
summer#1991  |      1.014      0.006     2.20   0.028        1.002       1.027
summer#1992  |      1.008      0.005     1.64   0.102        0.998       1.017
summer#1993  |      1.008      0.005     1.54   0.124        0.998       1.017
summer#1994  |      1.021      0.005     4.06   0.000        1.011       1.032
summer#1995  |      1.008      0.006     1.34   0.179        0.996       1.021
summer#1996  |      0.995      0.005    -0.86   0.392        0.985       1.006
summer#1997  |      1.009      0.007     1.29   0.197        0.995       1.023
summer#1998  |      1.013      0.005     2.59   0.010        1.003       1.022
summer#1999  |      0.985      0.005    -3.27   0.001        0.976       0.994
summer#2000  |      0.999      0.005    -0.21   0.831        0.989       1.009
summer#2001  |      1.015      0.005     2.85   0.004        1.005       1.026
summer#2002  |      1.001      0.006     0.25   0.802        0.990       1.013
summer#2003  |      1.006      0.005     1.32   0.187        0.997       1.015
summer#2004  |      0.995      0.005    -0.93   0.352        0.985       1.005
summer#2005  |      0.998      0.005    -0.39   0.694        0.988       1.008
summer#2006  |      1.007      0.005     1.33   0.184        0.997       1.017
summer#2007  |      1.012      0.005     2.39   0.017        1.002       1.022
summer#2008  |      0.992      0.004    -1.89   0.058        0.983       1.000
summer#2009  |      1.010      0.005     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.020
summer#2010  |      1.014      0.005     2.78   0.005        1.004       1.024
  fall#1981  |      1.006      0.006     0.97   0.333        0.994       1.018
  fall#1982  |      1.030      0.007     4.25   0.000        1.016       1.044
  fall#1983  |      1.011      0.005     2.06   0.039        1.001       1.021
  fall#1984  |      1.010      0.006     1.55   0.122        0.997       1.022
  fall#1985  |      1.007      0.007     1.08   0.281        0.994       1.020
  fall#1986  |      1.005      0.007     0.79   0.432        0.992       1.018
  fall#1987  |      1.015      0.007     2.24   0.025        1.002       1.028
  fall#1988  |      0.997      0.004    -0.58   0.562        0.989       1.006
  fall#1989  |      1.001      0.005     0.23   0.818        0.991       1.011
  fall#1990  |      1.013      0.006     2.21   0.027        1.001       1.024
  fall#1991  |      1.013      0.005     2.38   0.017        1.002       1.023
  fall#1992  |      1.007      0.005     1.43   0.152        0.998       1.016
  fall#1993  |      1.007      0.006     1.24   0.215        0.996       1.019
  fall#1994  |      1.007      0.005     1.40   0.162        0.997       1.017
  fall#1995  |      1.004      0.006     0.70   0.481        0.993       1.016
  fall#1996  |      0.988      0.007    -1.84   0.066        0.975       1.001
  fall#1997  |      1.009      0.007     1.19   0.235        0.994       1.023
  fall#1998  |      1.003      0.005     0.73   0.468        0.994       1.013
  fall#1999  |      0.988      0.005    -2.34   0.019        0.978       0.998
  fall#2000  |      1.007      0.005     1.24   0.214        0.996       1.017
  fall#2001  |      1.013      0.004     3.06   0.002        1.005       1.021
  fall#2002  |      1.000      0.005     0.03   0.975        0.991       1.010
  fall#2003  |      1.005      0.005     0.88   0.380        0.994       1.015
  fall#2004  |      0.986      0.005    -2.57   0.010        0.976       0.997
  fall#2005  |      0.991      0.005    -1.77   0.076        0.982       1.001
  fall#2006  |      1.009      0.004     2.33   0.020        1.001       1.017
  fall#2007  |      1.003      0.005     0.70   0.485        0.994       1.013
  fall#2008  |      0.988      0.005    -2.38   0.017        0.978       0.998
  fall#2009  |      1.009      0.006     1.63   0.103        0.998       1.020
  fall#2010  |      1.000      0.005     0.08   0.940        0.990       1.011
             |
       _cons |      5.999      0.223    48.15   0.000        5.577       6.453
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_2: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) predict(ir) //
> /
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.03       1.56    -0.02   0.987        -3.08        3.03
             |
         sex |
    2female  |    -130.39       6.44   -20.26   0.000      -143.00     -117.78
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      22.12      14.07     1.57   0.116        -5.45       49.70
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      20.35       0.63    32.25   0.000        19.11       21.58
   45 to 64  |     248.22       6.73    36.89   0.000       235.03      261.41
       >=65  |    1128.77      23.77    47.49   0.000      1082.19     1175.36
             |
      season |
     spring  |      -2.80       0.35    -7.91   0.000        -3.50       -2.11
     summer  |      -5.04       0.42   -12.00   0.000        -5.87       -4.22
       fall  |      -3.76       0.59    -6.41   0.000        -4.91       -2.61
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

.         
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(tec_m_2, replace) 

. 
. 
. // #5
. // now add state-specific trends to FE model: Model 3
. 
. poisson cncr icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb##c.quarter ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) ///
>         nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -833915.89                 Pseudo R2       =     0.9468

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        cncr |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.004      0.003     1.30   0.195        0.998       1.009
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.689      0.008   -31.57   0.000        0.673       0.705
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.067      0.041     1.70   0.088        0.990       1.150
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      5.303      0.140    63.12   0.000        5.035       5.585
   45 to 64  |     53.493      1.478   144.01   0.000       50.673      56.470
       >=65  |    239.764      5.421   242.37   0.000      229.372     250.628
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.973      0.015    -1.74   0.082        0.944       1.003
         AZ  |      0.967      0.016    -2.11   0.035        0.936       0.998
         AR  |      0.920      0.003   -27.05   0.000        0.915       0.926
         CA  |      1.147      0.008    19.63   0.000        1.132       1.163
         CO  |      0.911      0.009    -9.07   0.000        0.892       0.929
         CT  |      1.162      0.011    16.44   0.000        1.141       1.183
         DE  |      1.319      0.007    55.09   0.000        1.306       1.332
         FL  |      1.004      0.007     0.50   0.619        0.990       1.018
         GA  |      1.061      0.011     5.77   0.000        1.040       1.082
         HI  |      0.783      0.013   -14.25   0.000        0.757       0.809
         ID  |      0.836      0.019    -7.91   0.000        0.799       0.874
         IL  |      1.123      0.008    17.25   0.000        1.109       1.138
         IN  |      1.049      0.007     7.45   0.000        1.036       1.063
         IA  |      0.960      0.010    -4.05   0.000        0.942       0.979
         KS  |      0.895      0.008   -12.56   0.000        0.880       0.911
         KY  |      1.027      0.006     4.53   0.000        1.015       1.039
         LA  |      1.135      0.016     8.88   0.000        1.103       1.167
         ME  |      1.171      0.012    15.67   0.000        1.148       1.194
         MD  |      1.371      0.007    58.84   0.000        1.356       1.385
         MA  |      1.213      0.012    19.66   0.000        1.190       1.236
         MI  |      1.088      0.006    14.48   0.000        1.076       1.101
         MN  |      0.959      0.008    -4.79   0.000        0.943       0.976
         MS  |      0.907      0.003   -27.83   0.000        0.900       0.913
         MO  |      1.031      0.007     4.29   0.000        1.017       1.046
         MT  |      0.990      0.008    -1.19   0.232        0.974       1.006
         NE  |      0.950      0.008    -6.27   0.000        0.935       0.965
         NV  |      1.139      0.031     4.84   0.000        1.081       1.201
         NH  |      1.205      0.013    17.26   0.000        1.180       1.231
         NJ  |      1.287      0.012    27.98   0.000        1.264       1.310
         NM  |      0.872      0.008   -15.46   0.000        0.857       0.887
         NY  |      1.266      0.016    18.70   0.000        1.235       1.297
         NC  |      0.979      0.007    -2.81   0.005        0.965       0.994
         ND  |      0.918      0.010    -7.56   0.000        0.897       0.938
         OH  |      1.127      0.008    16.26   0.000        1.111       1.144
         OK  |      0.936      0.012    -5.25   0.000        0.914       0.960
         OR  |      0.963      0.018    -2.00   0.046        0.929       0.999
         PA  |      1.117      0.011    11.51   0.000        1.096       1.139
         RI  |      1.186      0.013    15.81   0.000        1.161       1.211
         SC  |      0.981      0.008    -2.48   0.013        0.966       0.996
         SD  |      0.878      0.007   -15.93   0.000        0.864       0.892
         TN  |      0.957      0.004   -11.15   0.000        0.950       0.965
         TX  |      1.013      0.006     2.13   0.034        1.001       1.025
         UT  |      0.749      0.011   -18.87   0.000        0.727       0.772
         VT  |      1.181      0.011    17.75   0.000        1.159       1.203
         VA  |      1.169      0.003    55.48   0.000        1.162       1.175
         WA  |      0.989      0.008    -1.28   0.200        0.973       1.006
         WV  |      0.984      0.007    -2.26   0.024        0.970       0.998
         WI  |      1.013      0.008     1.54   0.124        0.997       1.029
         WY  |      0.855      0.007   -19.24   0.000        0.841       0.868
             |
     quarter |      1.012      0.001    21.05   0.000        1.011       1.013
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.999      0.000   -10.70   0.000        0.999       0.999
         AZ  |      0.999      0.000    -5.62   0.000        0.999       0.999
         AR  |      1.001      0.000    23.05   0.000        1.001       1.001
         CA  |      0.998      0.000   -44.12   0.000        0.998       0.998
         CO  |      0.999      0.000    -7.90   0.000        0.999       0.999
         CT  |      0.999      0.000   -59.63   0.000        0.999       0.999
         DE  |      0.998      0.000   -43.55   0.000        0.998       0.998
         FL  |      0.999      0.000   -13.92   0.000        0.999       0.999
         GA  |      0.999      0.000    -8.11   0.000        0.999       0.999
         HI  |      0.999      0.000    -6.68   0.000        0.999       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     0.40   0.687        1.000       1.001
         IL  |      0.999      0.000   -36.35   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -11.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -13.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    10.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    14.44   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      0.999      0.000    -4.93   0.000        0.999       1.000
         ME  |      0.999      0.000   -76.52   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MD  |      0.998      0.000   -53.59   0.000        0.998       0.998
         MA  |      0.999      0.000   -30.77   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MI  |      0.999      0.000   -63.53   0.000        0.999       0.999
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    -8.93   0.000        0.999       1.000
         MS  |      1.001      0.000    53.58   0.000        1.001       1.001
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -18.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      0.999      0.000   -31.03   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    -7.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      0.999      0.000    -4.92   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NH  |      0.999      0.000   -11.43   0.000        0.998       0.999
         NJ  |      0.998      0.000   -52.65   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NM  |      0.999      0.000    -5.84   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NY  |      0.998      0.000   -30.06   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    -2.83   0.005        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    -8.83   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      0.999      0.000   -52.33   0.000        0.999       0.999
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     5.36   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -0.64   0.520        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      0.999      0.000   -26.39   0.000        0.999       0.999
         RI  |      0.999      0.000   -45.29   0.000        0.999       0.999
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    -1.71   0.088        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000     4.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    10.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      0.999      0.000   -11.95   0.000        0.999       0.999
         UT  |      0.999      0.000    -3.45   0.001        0.999       1.000
         VT  |      0.999      0.000   -82.07   0.000        0.999       0.999
         VA  |      0.999      0.000   -50.71   0.000        0.999       0.999
         WA  |      0.999      0.000    -9.87   0.000        0.999       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    41.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      0.999      0.000   -11.55   0.000        0.999       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000     1.68   0.093        1.000       1.000
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.981      0.005    -4.11   0.000        0.972       0.990
     summer  |      0.971      0.003    -8.57   0.000        0.965       0.978
       fall  |      0.967      0.004    -8.65   0.000        0.960       0.974
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.943      0.005   -10.55   0.000        0.932       0.953
       1982  |      0.898      0.007   -14.13   0.000        0.884       0.911
       1983  |      0.879      0.008   -13.73   0.000        0.863       0.895
       1984  |      0.851      0.010   -13.52   0.000        0.832       0.871
       1985  |      0.823      0.012   -13.05   0.000        0.799       0.847
       1986  |      0.785      0.011   -17.08   0.000        0.764       0.807
       1987  |      0.744      0.015   -14.70   0.000        0.715       0.774
       1988  |      0.728      0.016   -14.92   0.000        0.698       0.759
       1989  |      0.699      0.018   -13.66   0.000        0.664       0.736
       1990  |      0.665      0.019   -14.21   0.000        0.629       0.704
       1991  |      0.636      0.019   -15.10   0.000        0.600       0.675
       1992  |      0.606      0.019   -15.61   0.000        0.569       0.645
       1993  |      0.579      0.021   -15.38   0.000        0.540       0.621
       1994  |      0.548      0.020   -16.12   0.000        0.509       0.590
       1995  |      0.523      0.022   -15.69   0.000        0.482       0.567
       1996  |      0.499      0.022   -15.42   0.000        0.457       0.545
       1997  |      0.466      0.021   -17.05   0.000        0.427       0.509
       1998  |      0.443      0.022   -16.43   0.000        0.402       0.489
       1999  |      0.431      0.022   -16.86   0.000        0.390       0.475
       2000  |      0.406      0.022   -16.44   0.000        0.365       0.452
       2001  |      0.379      0.021   -17.49   0.000        0.340       0.422
       2002  |      0.362      0.021   -17.44   0.000        0.323       0.406
       2003  |      0.341      0.020   -17.95   0.000        0.303       0.384
       2004  |      0.322      0.020   -17.92   0.000        0.285       0.365
       2005  |      0.305      0.020   -18.48   0.000        0.269       0.346
       2006  |      0.285      0.019   -18.55   0.000        0.250       0.325
       2007  |      0.270      0.019   -19.06   0.000        0.236       0.309
       2008  |      0.256      0.018   -19.17   0.000        0.223       0.295
       2009  |      0.237      0.017   -20.60   0.000        0.207       0.272
       2010  |      0.225      0.016   -20.48   0.000        0.195       0.260
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.016      0.009     1.79   0.074        0.998       1.034
spring#1982  |      1.048      0.009     5.35   0.000        1.030       1.066
spring#1983  |      1.011      0.008     1.36   0.174        0.995       1.027
spring#1984  |      1.014      0.007     2.03   0.043        1.000       1.029
spring#1985  |      0.999      0.006    -0.19   0.852        0.987       1.011
spring#1986  |      1.011      0.007     1.72   0.085        0.998       1.024
spring#1987  |      1.024      0.009     2.75   0.006        1.007       1.041
spring#1988  |      0.994      0.006    -0.92   0.358        0.982       1.007
spring#1989  |      1.008      0.006     1.39   0.163        0.997       1.019
spring#1990  |      1.012      0.007     1.85   0.064        0.999       1.025
spring#1991  |      1.018      0.006     3.15   0.002        1.007       1.030
spring#1992  |      1.014      0.006     2.38   0.018        1.002       1.026
spring#1993  |      1.021      0.006     3.69   0.000        1.010       1.032
spring#1994  |      1.021      0.007     3.12   0.002        1.008       1.035
spring#1995  |      1.018      0.006     3.13   0.002        1.007       1.030
spring#1996  |      1.007      0.005     1.29   0.197        0.997       1.017
spring#1997  |      1.021      0.008     2.76   0.006        1.006       1.036
spring#1998  |      1.011      0.006     1.86   0.062        0.999       1.023
spring#1999  |      1.008      0.005     1.57   0.116        0.998       1.018
spring#2000  |      1.001      0.006     0.17   0.868        0.989       1.013
spring#2001  |      1.034      0.006     6.18   0.000        1.023       1.045
spring#2002  |      1.026      0.007     3.87   0.000        1.013       1.040
spring#2003  |      1.016      0.006     2.55   0.011        1.004       1.028
spring#2004  |      1.011      0.006     1.92   0.055        1.000       1.022
spring#2005  |      1.020      0.006     3.40   0.001        1.008       1.031
spring#2006  |      1.029      0.006     5.20   0.000        1.018       1.040
spring#2007  |      1.018      0.007     2.85   0.004        1.006       1.031
spring#2008  |      1.010      0.006     1.57   0.117        0.998       1.022
spring#2009  |      1.020      0.006     3.27   0.001        1.008       1.031
spring#2010  |      1.022      0.006     3.82   0.000        1.011       1.034
summer#1981  |      1.021      0.006     3.43   0.001        1.009       1.034
summer#1982  |      1.030      0.007     4.56   0.000        1.017       1.043
summer#1983  |      1.014      0.007     2.03   0.042        1.001       1.028
summer#1984  |      1.008      0.005     1.50   0.133        0.998       1.018
summer#1985  |      1.002      0.006     0.35   0.726        0.991       1.014
summer#1986  |      1.009      0.005     1.99   0.046        1.000       1.019
summer#1987  |      1.030      0.007     4.52   0.000        1.017       1.044
summer#1988  |      0.999      0.005    -0.14   0.885        0.989       1.009
summer#1989  |      0.995      0.004    -1.22   0.223        0.988       1.003
summer#1990  |      1.016      0.004     4.03   0.000        1.008       1.023
summer#1991  |      1.014      0.006     2.25   0.024        1.002       1.027
summer#1992  |      1.008      0.005     1.78   0.075        0.999       1.018
summer#1993  |      1.008      0.005     1.66   0.096        0.999       1.018
summer#1994  |      1.022      0.005     4.24   0.000        1.012       1.033
summer#1995  |      1.009      0.006     1.50   0.135        0.997       1.021
summer#1996  |      0.996      0.005    -0.75   0.453        0.986       1.006
summer#1997  |      1.010      0.007     1.41   0.158        0.996       1.023
summer#1998  |      1.013      0.005     2.88   0.004        1.004       1.022
summer#1999  |      0.985      0.005    -3.16   0.002        0.976       0.994
summer#2000  |      1.000      0.005    -0.07   0.943        0.990       1.009
summer#2001  |      1.016      0.005     2.92   0.003        1.005       1.026
summer#2002  |      1.002      0.006     0.35   0.729        0.991       1.013
summer#2003  |      1.006      0.005     1.38   0.169        0.997       1.015
summer#2004  |      0.996      0.005    -0.78   0.433        0.986       1.006
summer#2005  |      0.999      0.005    -0.27   0.783        0.990       1.008
summer#2006  |      1.007      0.005     1.43   0.152        0.997       1.018
summer#2007  |      1.013      0.005     2.47   0.013        1.003       1.023
summer#2008  |      0.992      0.004    -1.79   0.074        0.984       1.001
summer#2009  |      1.009      0.005     1.74   0.082        0.999       1.020
summer#2010  |      1.015      0.005     2.97   0.003        1.005       1.025
  fall#1981  |      1.006      0.006     1.04   0.300        0.994       1.019
  fall#1982  |      1.030      0.007     4.23   0.000        1.016       1.044
  fall#1983  |      1.012      0.005     2.43   0.015        1.002       1.022
  fall#1984  |      1.011      0.006     1.75   0.081        0.999       1.023
  fall#1985  |      1.008      0.007     1.15   0.249        0.995       1.021
  fall#1986  |      1.006      0.007     0.90   0.366        0.993       1.019
  fall#1987  |      1.016      0.007     2.37   0.018        1.003       1.029
  fall#1988  |      0.998      0.005    -0.34   0.732        0.990       1.007
  fall#1989  |      1.002      0.005     0.35   0.724        0.992       1.012
  fall#1990  |      1.013      0.006     2.23   0.026        1.002       1.025
  fall#1991  |      1.013      0.005     2.46   0.014        1.003       1.023
  fall#1992  |      1.007      0.005     1.63   0.103        0.999       1.016
  fall#1993  |      1.008      0.006     1.44   0.149        0.997       1.020
  fall#1994  |      1.008      0.005     1.53   0.126        0.998       1.019
  fall#1995  |      1.005      0.006     0.88   0.379        0.994       1.016
  fall#1996  |      0.989      0.006    -1.73   0.084        0.977       1.001
  fall#1997  |      1.010      0.007     1.36   0.172        0.996       1.024
  fall#1998  |      1.005      0.005     0.95   0.340        0.995       1.014
  fall#1999  |      0.989      0.005    -2.10   0.036        0.979       0.999
  fall#2000  |      1.007      0.005     1.43   0.152        0.997       1.018
  fall#2001  |      1.013      0.004     3.03   0.002        1.004       1.021
  fall#2002  |      1.001      0.005     0.11   0.915        0.991       1.010
  fall#2003  |      1.005      0.005     0.95   0.343        0.995       1.015
  fall#2004  |      0.987      0.006    -2.26   0.024        0.976       0.998
  fall#2005  |      0.992      0.005    -1.64   0.102        0.983       1.002
  fall#2006  |      1.010      0.004     2.47   0.014        1.002       1.018
  fall#2007  |      1.004      0.005     0.79   0.428        0.994       1.014
  fall#2008  |      0.987      0.005    -2.52   0.012        0.978       0.997
  fall#2009  |      1.008      0.005     1.44   0.149        0.997       1.019
  fall#2010  |      1.001      0.005     0.22   0.827        0.991       1.011
             |
       _cons |      2.206      0.105    16.65   0.000        2.010       2.421
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_3: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) predict(ir) //
> /
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       1.30       1.01     1.28   0.199        -0.69        3.28
             |
         sex |
    2female  |    -130.44       6.47   -20.16   0.000      -143.12     -117.76
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      23.05      13.94     1.65   0.098        -4.28       50.38
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      20.35       0.64    32.00   0.000        19.10       21.60
   45 to 64  |     248.28       6.78    36.60   0.000       234.99      261.58
       >=65  |    1129.30      24.03    47.00   0.000      1082.20     1176.40
             |
      season |
     spring  |      -1.44       0.37    -3.90   0.000        -2.17       -0.72
     summer  |      -7.58       0.37   -20.54   0.000        -8.30       -6.86
       fall  |     -10.13       0.46   -22.00   0.000       -11.03       -9.23
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(tec_m_3, replace)   

.         
. 
. // #6
. // now add state-specific quadratic time trends to basic FE model: Model 4
. 
. poisson cncr icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter) ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster state) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -833270.08                 Pseudo R2       =     0.9469

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        cncr |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.001      0.001     0.60   0.545        0.999       1.003
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.689      0.008   -31.58   0.000        0.673       0.705
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.067      0.041     1.71   0.088        0.990       1.150
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      5.303      0.140    63.17   0.000        5.035       5.585
   45 to 64  |     53.495      1.478   144.01   0.000       50.674      56.472
       >=65  |    239.782      5.423   242.29   0.000      229.385     250.650
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.333      0.030    12.58   0.000        1.275       1.394
         AZ  |      1.003      0.011     0.24   0.810        0.982       1.024
         AR  |      0.833      0.003   -51.04   0.000        0.827       0.839
         CA  |      1.477      0.021    27.42   0.000        1.437       1.519
         CO  |      0.925      0.013    -5.76   0.000        0.901       0.950
         CT  |      1.472      0.021    27.18   0.000        1.431       1.513
         DE  |      1.394      0.009    51.10   0.000        1.377       1.412
         FL  |      1.027      0.009     2.94   0.003        1.009       1.045
         GA  |      0.905      0.002   -43.19   0.000        0.901       0.909
         HI  |      1.287      0.017    19.34   0.000        1.254       1.320
         ID  |      0.862      0.012   -10.96   0.000        0.839       0.885
         IL  |      1.118      0.011    10.99   0.000        1.096       1.140
         IN  |      1.134      0.012    12.07   0.000        1.111       1.158
         IA  |      1.092      0.016     6.02   0.000        1.061       1.123
         KS  |      0.902      0.011    -8.13   0.000        0.880       0.925
         KY  |      0.955      0.009    -4.83   0.000        0.938       0.973
         LA  |      0.909      0.014    -6.40   0.000        0.882       0.936
         ME  |      1.152      0.015    10.67   0.000        1.122       1.182
         MD  |      1.471      0.013    44.89   0.000        1.447       1.497
         MA  |      1.216      0.018    13.06   0.000        1.181       1.253
         MI  |      1.335      0.018    21.50   0.000        1.300       1.371
         MN  |      0.977      0.013    -1.70   0.089        0.951       1.004
         MS  |      0.736      0.004   -57.53   0.000        0.728       0.744
         MO  |      1.044      0.010     4.53   0.000        1.025       1.064
         MT  |      0.813      0.019    -8.64   0.000        0.776       0.852
         NE  |      1.150      0.016     9.99   0.000        1.119       1.181
         NV  |      1.059      0.012     5.11   0.000        1.036       1.083
         NH  |      1.132      0.016     8.60   0.000        1.100       1.164
         NJ  |      1.212      0.016    14.84   0.000        1.182       1.243
         NM  |      0.957      0.012    -3.46   0.001        0.934       0.981
         NY  |      1.382      0.023    19.35   0.000        1.338       1.428
         NC  |      0.877      0.003   -42.13   0.000        0.871       0.882
         ND  |      0.690      0.016   -16.36   0.000        0.660       0.721
         OH  |      1.402      0.014    34.72   0.000        1.375       1.429
         OK  |      0.995      0.023    -0.21   0.832        0.952       1.040
         OR  |      0.956      0.012    -3.60   0.000        0.933       0.980
         PA  |      1.291      0.016    20.48   0.000        1.259       1.322
         RI  |      1.251      0.018    15.65   0.000        1.217       1.287
         SC  |      0.950      0.001   -36.78   0.000        0.947       0.952
         SD  |      0.803      0.010   -17.04   0.000        0.783       0.823
         TN  |      0.922      0.005   -13.85   0.000        0.911       0.932
         TX  |      0.738      0.010   -22.26   0.000        0.718       0.758
         UT  |      0.743      0.010   -21.47   0.000        0.723       0.764
         VT  |      1.475      0.020    28.11   0.000        1.436       1.516
         VA  |      1.193      0.007    28.57   0.000        1.179       1.208
         WA  |      1.110      0.014     8.23   0.000        1.083       1.138
         WV  |      0.836      0.009   -17.46   0.000        0.819       0.853
         WI  |      1.121      0.020     6.37   0.000        1.082       1.162
         WY  |      0.636      0.020   -14.11   0.000        0.597       0.677
             |
     quarter |      1.022      0.001    15.11   0.000        1.019       1.025
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -8.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      0.994      0.000   -20.76   0.000        0.994       0.995
         AZ  |      0.999      0.000   -15.94   0.000        0.998       0.999
         AR  |      1.002      0.000   102.17   0.000        1.002       1.002
         CA  |      0.994      0.000   -37.08   0.000        0.994       0.995
         CO  |      0.999      0.000    -9.62   0.000        0.999       0.999
         CT  |      0.995      0.000   -40.44   0.000        0.995       0.995
         DE  |      0.998      0.000   -65.02   0.000        0.997       0.998
         FL  |      0.999      0.000   -24.34   0.000        0.999       0.999
         GA  |      1.002      0.000    77.16   0.000        1.002       1.002
         HI  |      0.992      0.000   -45.81   0.000        0.992       0.992
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -1.49   0.135        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      0.999      0.000    -9.64   0.000        0.999       0.999
         IN  |      0.999      0.000   -23.58   0.000        0.998       0.999
         IA  |      0.998      0.000   -19.32   0.000        0.998       0.998
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     0.48   0.634        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.001      0.000    29.22   0.000        1.001       1.001
         LA  |      1.003      0.000    14.63   0.000        1.002       1.003
         ME  |      0.999      0.000    -9.62   0.000        0.999       1.000
         MD  |      0.997      0.000   -34.92   0.000        0.997       0.997
         MA  |      0.999      0.000   -10.58   0.000        0.998       0.999
         MI  |      0.996      0.000   -21.08   0.000        0.996       0.997
         MN  |      0.999      0.000    -7.05   0.000        0.999       1.000
         MS  |      1.004      0.000    93.16   0.000        1.004       1.004
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    -8.09   0.000        0.999       1.000
         MT  |      1.002      0.000     7.89   0.000        1.002       1.003
         NE  |      0.997      0.000   -28.33   0.000        0.997       0.997
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -0.73   0.464        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    -3.75   0.000        0.999       1.000
         NJ  |      0.999      0.000    -7.08   0.000        0.999       0.999
         NM  |      0.998      0.000   -14.07   0.000        0.998       0.998
         NY  |      0.997      0.000   -19.07   0.000        0.996       0.997
         NC  |      1.001      0.000    43.81   0.000        1.001       1.002
         ND  |      1.004      0.000    15.67   0.000        1.004       1.005
         OH  |      0.996      0.000   -65.97   0.000        0.996       0.996
         OK  |      0.999      0.000    -2.66   0.008        0.999       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     1.70   0.089        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      0.997      0.000   -26.12   0.000        0.997       0.997
         RI  |      0.998      0.000   -17.71   0.000        0.998       0.998
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    11.30   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.002      0.000    14.63   0.000        1.001       1.002
         TN  |      1.001      0.000    26.17   0.000        1.001       1.001
         TX  |      1.004      0.000    22.61   0.000        1.004       1.004
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    -2.64   0.008        0.999       1.000
         VT  |      0.995      0.000   -62.17   0.000        0.995       0.995
         VA  |      0.998      0.000   -22.78   0.000        0.998       0.999
         WA  |      0.998      0.000   -25.50   0.000        0.998       0.998
         WV  |      1.003      0.000    56.03   0.000        1.003       1.003
         WI  |      0.998      0.000   -11.04   0.000        0.998       0.998
         WY  |      1.004      0.000    10.50   0.000        1.004       1.005
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    20.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -53.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    28.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     0.42   0.671        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    29.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    51.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000     6.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000   -66.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    50.71   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     0.29   0.771        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    -1.42   0.155        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    23.47   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    18.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000     1.36   0.173        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000   -25.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000   -21.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    -4.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    14.08   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    -0.01   0.989        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000    17.45   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000     1.82   0.068        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -73.78   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000     4.46   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    -9.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    23.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000   -26.26   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    -9.03   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    -8.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000     7.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     9.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -34.10   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -16.49   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    69.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     4.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -3.77   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    22.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000     7.84   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -11.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000   -11.41   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -15.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -24.53   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    -2.32   0.020        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    49.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000     3.72   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    20.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -49.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     7.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000   -10.35   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.982      0.005    -3.76   0.000        0.973       0.992
     summer  |      0.969      0.003    -8.85   0.000        0.962       0.976
       fall  |      0.961      0.004   -10.26   0.000        0.954       0.968
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.929      0.005   -12.61   0.000        0.918       0.939
       1982  |      0.872      0.008   -15.66   0.000        0.858       0.887
       1983  |      0.843      0.010   -15.14   0.000        0.824       0.862
       1984  |      0.805      0.012   -15.17   0.000        0.783       0.828
       1985  |      0.769      0.013   -15.23   0.000        0.743       0.795
       1986  |      0.726      0.013   -18.14   0.000        0.701       0.751
       1987  |      0.680      0.016   -16.74   0.000        0.651       0.712
       1988  |      0.659      0.016   -17.46   0.000        0.629       0.691
       1989  |      0.629      0.018   -16.35   0.000        0.594       0.664
       1990  |      0.594      0.018   -17.21   0.000        0.560       0.630
       1991  |      0.565      0.018   -17.47   0.000        0.530       0.603
       1992  |      0.536      0.018   -18.11   0.000        0.501       0.574
       1993  |      0.510      0.019   -17.91   0.000        0.474       0.549
       1994  |      0.481      0.019   -18.70   0.000        0.446       0.520
       1995  |      0.458      0.020   -18.06   0.000        0.421       0.499
       1996  |      0.437      0.020   -18.07   0.000        0.399       0.478
       1997  |      0.408      0.019   -19.69   0.000        0.373       0.446
       1998  |      0.388      0.019   -19.10   0.000        0.352       0.428
       1999  |      0.378      0.019   -19.69   0.000        0.343       0.416
       2000  |      0.357      0.019   -19.25   0.000        0.322       0.397
       2001  |      0.335      0.018   -20.10   0.000        0.301       0.372
       2002  |      0.322      0.018   -19.92   0.000        0.288       0.360
       2003  |      0.306      0.018   -20.14   0.000        0.272       0.343
       2004  |      0.291      0.018   -20.03   0.000        0.258       0.329
       2005  |      0.278      0.017   -20.59   0.000        0.246       0.314
       2006  |      0.262      0.017   -20.60   0.000        0.231       0.298
       2007  |      0.251      0.016   -21.04   0.000        0.220       0.285
       2008  |      0.241      0.016   -20.91   0.000        0.211       0.276
       2009  |      0.227      0.015   -21.90   0.000        0.199       0.259
       2010  |      0.219      0.016   -21.40   0.000        0.190       0.252
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.015      0.009     1.73   0.083        0.998       1.033
spring#1982  |      1.048      0.009     5.27   0.000        1.030       1.066
spring#1983  |      1.011      0.008     1.35   0.177        0.995       1.026
spring#1984  |      1.014      0.007     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.028
spring#1985  |      0.998      0.006    -0.27   0.790        0.986       1.011
spring#1986  |      1.011      0.007     1.64   0.101        0.998       1.024
spring#1987  |      1.023      0.009     2.68   0.007        1.006       1.041
spring#1988  |      0.993      0.006    -1.04   0.300        0.981       1.006
spring#1989  |      1.007      0.006     1.22   0.222        0.996       1.018
spring#1990  |      1.011      0.007     1.65   0.098        0.998       1.024
spring#1991  |      1.017      0.006     2.97   0.003        1.006       1.029
spring#1992  |      1.013      0.006     2.17   0.030        1.001       1.024
spring#1993  |      1.020      0.006     3.50   0.000        1.009       1.031
spring#1994  |      1.020      0.007     2.94   0.003        1.007       1.033
spring#1995  |      1.017      0.006     2.90   0.004        1.005       1.028
spring#1996  |      1.005      0.005     1.00   0.319        0.995       1.015
spring#1997  |      1.019      0.008     2.56   0.011        1.004       1.034
spring#1998  |      1.009      0.006     1.59   0.113        0.998       1.021
spring#1999  |      1.006      0.005     1.23   0.219        0.996       1.016
spring#2000  |      0.999      0.006    -0.17   0.861        0.987       1.011
spring#2001  |      1.031      0.006     5.68   0.000        1.020       1.042
spring#2002  |      1.024      0.007     3.53   0.000        1.011       1.037
spring#2003  |      1.014      0.006     2.23   0.025        1.002       1.026
spring#2004  |      1.008      0.006     1.51   0.131        0.997       1.020
spring#2005  |      1.017      0.006     3.01   0.003        1.006       1.029
spring#2006  |      1.027      0.006     4.74   0.000        1.016       1.038
spring#2007  |      1.016      0.007     2.41   0.016        1.003       1.029
spring#2008  |      1.007      0.007     1.00   0.318        0.994       1.020
spring#2009  |      1.017      0.006     2.85   0.004        1.005       1.029
spring#2010  |      1.019      0.006     3.29   0.001        1.008       1.031
summer#1981  |      1.021      0.006     3.40   0.001        1.009       1.033
summer#1982  |      1.030      0.007     4.55   0.000        1.017       1.043
summer#1983  |      1.014      0.007     1.99   0.047        1.000       1.029
summer#1984  |      1.008      0.005     1.46   0.145        0.997       1.019
summer#1985  |      1.002      0.006     0.39   0.696        0.991       1.014
summer#1986  |      1.010      0.005     2.11   0.035        1.001       1.019
summer#1987  |      1.031      0.007     4.50   0.000        1.017       1.044
summer#1988  |      1.000      0.005    -0.01   0.990        0.990       1.010
summer#1989  |      0.996      0.004    -0.94   0.346        0.988       1.004
summer#1990  |      1.017      0.004     4.14   0.000        1.009       1.025
summer#1991  |      1.016      0.006     2.50   0.012        1.003       1.028
summer#1992  |      1.010      0.005     2.09   0.036        1.001       1.019
summer#1993  |      1.010      0.005     1.98   0.048        1.000       1.020
summer#1994  |      1.024      0.005     4.50   0.000        1.013       1.034
summer#1995  |      1.011      0.006     1.76   0.078        0.999       1.023
summer#1996  |      0.998      0.005    -0.34   0.732        0.988       1.009
summer#1997  |      1.012      0.007     1.77   0.077        0.999       1.025
summer#1998  |      1.016      0.005     3.23   0.001        1.006       1.025
summer#1999  |      0.988      0.005    -2.60   0.009        0.979       0.997
summer#2000  |      1.002      0.005     0.45   0.654        0.992       1.012
summer#2001  |      1.019      0.006     3.43   0.001        1.008       1.030
summer#2002  |      1.005      0.006     0.89   0.375        0.994       1.017
summer#2003  |      1.010      0.005     2.15   0.032        1.001       1.019
summer#2004  |      0.999      0.005    -0.14   0.891        0.989       1.010
summer#2005  |      1.002      0.005     0.47   0.637        0.993       1.012
summer#2006  |      1.011      0.005     2.07   0.039        1.001       1.022
summer#2007  |      1.017      0.005     3.19   0.001        1.006       1.027
summer#2008  |      0.996      0.005    -0.80   0.424        0.988       1.005
summer#2009  |      1.014      0.005     2.90   0.004        1.005       1.024
summer#2010  |      1.019      0.005     3.79   0.000        1.009       1.029
  fall#1981  |      1.007      0.006     1.05   0.292        0.994       1.019
  fall#1982  |      1.031      0.007     4.37   0.000        1.017       1.045
  fall#1983  |      1.012      0.005     2.49   0.013        1.003       1.022
  fall#1984  |      1.012      0.006     1.83   0.068        0.999       1.024
  fall#1985  |      1.009      0.007     1.34   0.181        0.996       1.023
  fall#1986  |      1.008      0.006     1.21   0.225        0.995       1.021
  fall#1987  |      1.018      0.007     2.67   0.008        1.005       1.031
  fall#1988  |      1.001      0.005     0.20   0.839        0.992       1.010
  fall#1989  |      1.005      0.005     0.98   0.326        0.995       1.015
  fall#1990  |      1.017      0.006     2.93   0.003        1.006       1.029
  fall#1991  |      1.017      0.005     3.33   0.001        1.007       1.028
  fall#1992  |      1.012      0.004     2.70   0.007        1.003       1.020
  fall#1993  |      1.013      0.005     2.38   0.017        1.002       1.024
  fall#1994  |      1.013      0.005     2.52   0.012        1.003       1.023
  fall#1995  |      1.010      0.006     1.83   0.067        0.999       1.022
  fall#1996  |      0.995      0.006    -0.82   0.411        0.982       1.007
  fall#1997  |      1.016      0.007     2.20   0.028        1.002       1.030
  fall#1998  |      1.011      0.005     2.32   0.020        1.002       1.021
  fall#1999  |      0.996      0.005    -0.75   0.453        0.986       1.006
  fall#2000  |      1.015      0.005     2.92   0.004        1.005       1.026
  fall#2001  |      1.022      0.005     4.81   0.000        1.013       1.031
  fall#2002  |      1.009      0.005     1.92   0.055        1.000       1.019
  fall#2003  |      1.014      0.005     2.74   0.006        1.004       1.025
  fall#2004  |      0.996      0.006    -0.63   0.532        0.986       1.008
  fall#2005  |      1.002      0.005     0.43   0.665        0.993       1.011
  fall#2006  |      1.020      0.004     4.73   0.000        1.012       1.029
  fall#2007  |      1.015      0.005     2.87   0.004        1.005       1.025
  fall#2008  |      0.999      0.005    -0.12   0.907        0.990       1.009
  fall#2009  |      1.021      0.005     4.15   0.000        1.011       1.031
  fall#2010  |      1.013      0.005     2.61   0.009        1.003       1.023
             |
       _cons |      1.219      0.110     2.20   0.028        1.022       1.454
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_4: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) predict(ir) //
> /
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.22       0.37     0.60   0.546        -0.50        0.94
             |
         sex |
    2female  |    -130.46       6.47   -20.16   0.000      -143.14     -117.78
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      23.09      13.95     1.66   0.098        -4.24       50.43
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      20.35       0.64    32.02   0.000        19.11       21.60
   45 to 64  |     248.29       6.78    36.61   0.000       235.00      261.59
       >=65  |    1129.40      24.04    46.98   0.000      1082.29     1176.52
             |
      season |
     spring  |      -1.42       0.37    -3.83   0.000        -2.14       -0.69
     summer  |      -7.67       0.37   -20.73   0.000        -8.40       -6.95
       fall  |     -10.32       0.47   -22.15   0.000       -11.23       -9.40
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(tec_m_4, replace) 

.         
. 
. // #7   
. // include state-specific cubic trends: Model 5
. 
. poisson cncr icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.season##i.year ///
>         i.stabb##(c.quarter##c.quarter##c.quarter), offset(logpop100y) ///
>         vce(cluster state) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -833207.12                 Pseudo R2       =     0.9469

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        cncr |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.001      0.001     0.99   0.320        0.999       1.004
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.689      0.008   -31.58   0.000        0.673       0.705
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.067      0.041     1.71   0.088        0.990       1.150
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      5.303      0.140    63.16   0.000        5.035       5.585
   45 to 64  |     53.495      1.478   144.02   0.000       50.675      56.472
       >=65  |    239.784      5.423   242.31   0.000      229.388     250.651
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.982      0.005    -3.74   0.000        0.973       0.992
     summer  |      0.969      0.003    -8.91   0.000        0.962       0.976
       fall  |      0.961      0.004   -10.28   0.000        0.954       0.968
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.929      0.006   -11.90   0.000        0.917       0.940
       1982  |      0.872      0.008   -14.13   0.000        0.856       0.889
       1983  |      0.843      0.010   -13.80   0.000        0.822       0.863
       1984  |      0.805      0.013   -13.34   0.000        0.780       0.831
       1985  |      0.769      0.015   -13.78   0.000        0.741       0.798
       1986  |      0.726      0.015   -15.91   0.000        0.698       0.755
       1987  |      0.681      0.017   -15.50   0.000        0.649       0.715
       1988  |      0.660      0.017   -16.25   0.000        0.627       0.694
       1989  |      0.629      0.019   -15.68   0.000        0.593       0.666
       1990  |      0.594      0.018   -16.75   0.000        0.559       0.632
       1991  |      0.566      0.019   -16.98   0.000        0.530       0.604
       1992  |      0.536      0.019   -17.78   0.000        0.501       0.574
       1993  |      0.510      0.019   -17.64   0.000        0.473       0.550
       1994  |      0.481      0.019   -18.51   0.000        0.445       0.520
       1995  |      0.458      0.020   -17.98   0.000        0.421       0.499
       1996  |      0.437      0.020   -18.02   0.000        0.399       0.478
       1997  |      0.408      0.019   -19.71   0.000        0.373       0.446
       1998  |      0.388      0.019   -19.17   0.000        0.352       0.428
       1999  |      0.378      0.019   -19.82   0.000        0.343       0.416
       2000  |      0.357      0.019   -19.38   0.000        0.322       0.397
       2001  |      0.335      0.018   -20.22   0.000        0.301       0.372
       2002  |      0.322      0.018   -19.87   0.000        0.288       0.360
       2003  |      0.306      0.018   -20.11   0.000        0.272       0.343
       2004  |      0.291      0.018   -19.99   0.000        0.258       0.329
       2005  |      0.278      0.017   -20.59   0.000        0.246       0.314
       2006  |      0.262      0.017   -20.65   0.000        0.231       0.297
       2007  |      0.251      0.016   -21.18   0.000        0.221       0.285
       2008  |      0.241      0.016   -21.01   0.000        0.211       0.276
       2009  |      0.227      0.015   -21.87   0.000        0.199       0.259
       2010  |      0.219      0.016   -21.35   0.000        0.190       0.252
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.016      0.009     1.73   0.083        0.998       1.033
spring#1982  |      1.048      0.009     5.26   0.000        1.030       1.066
spring#1983  |      1.011      0.008     1.35   0.178        0.995       1.026
spring#1984  |      1.014      0.007     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.028
spring#1985  |      0.998      0.006    -0.26   0.795        0.986       1.011
spring#1986  |      1.011      0.007     1.64   0.101        0.998       1.024
spring#1987  |      1.023      0.009     2.67   0.008        1.006       1.041
spring#1988  |      0.993      0.006    -1.03   0.304        0.981       1.006
spring#1989  |      1.007      0.006     1.23   0.220        0.996       1.018
spring#1990  |      1.011      0.007     1.65   0.100        0.998       1.024
spring#1991  |      1.017      0.006     2.97   0.003        1.006       1.029
spring#1992  |      1.013      0.006     2.15   0.031        1.001       1.025
spring#1993  |      1.020      0.006     3.50   0.000        1.009       1.031
spring#1994  |      1.020      0.007     2.93   0.003        1.007       1.033
spring#1995  |      1.017      0.006     2.91   0.004        1.005       1.028
spring#1996  |      1.005      0.005     0.98   0.326        0.995       1.015
spring#1997  |      1.019      0.007     2.57   0.010        1.004       1.034
spring#1998  |      1.009      0.006     1.59   0.112        0.998       1.021
spring#1999  |      1.006      0.005     1.23   0.219        0.996       1.016
spring#2000  |      0.999      0.006    -0.16   0.871        0.987       1.011
spring#2001  |      1.031      0.006     5.62   0.000        1.020       1.042
spring#2002  |      1.024      0.007     3.50   0.000        1.010       1.038
spring#2003  |      1.014      0.006     2.24   0.025        1.002       1.026
spring#2004  |      1.008      0.006     1.50   0.133        0.997       1.020
spring#2005  |      1.017      0.006     3.01   0.003        1.006       1.029
spring#2006  |      1.027      0.006     4.73   0.000        1.016       1.038
spring#2007  |      1.016      0.007     2.41   0.016        1.003       1.029
spring#2008  |      1.007      0.007     1.00   0.315        0.994       1.020
spring#2009  |      1.017      0.006     2.85   0.004        1.005       1.029
spring#2010  |      1.019      0.006     3.29   0.001        1.008       1.031
summer#1981  |      1.021      0.006     3.41   0.001        1.009       1.033
summer#1982  |      1.030      0.007     4.55   0.000        1.017       1.043
summer#1983  |      1.014      0.007     2.00   0.045        1.000       1.029
summer#1984  |      1.008      0.006     1.46   0.144        0.997       1.019
summer#1985  |      1.002      0.006     0.40   0.688        0.991       1.014
summer#1986  |      1.010      0.005     2.12   0.034        1.001       1.019
summer#1987  |      1.031      0.007     4.49   0.000        1.017       1.045
summer#1988  |      1.000      0.005     0.00   0.998        0.990       1.010
summer#1989  |      0.996      0.004    -0.92   0.359        0.988       1.004
summer#1990  |      1.017      0.004     4.20   0.000        1.009       1.025
summer#1991  |      1.016      0.006     2.48   0.013        1.003       1.029
summer#1992  |      1.010      0.005     2.16   0.031        1.001       1.019
summer#1993  |      1.010      0.005     1.98   0.048        1.000       1.020
summer#1994  |      1.024      0.005     4.51   0.000        1.013       1.035
summer#1995  |      1.011      0.006     1.79   0.073        0.999       1.023
summer#1996  |      0.998      0.005    -0.34   0.732        0.988       1.008
summer#1997  |      1.012      0.007     1.74   0.081        0.999       1.026
summer#1998  |      1.016      0.005     3.30   0.001        1.006       1.025
summer#1999  |      0.988      0.005    -2.60   0.009        0.979       0.997
summer#2000  |      1.002      0.005     0.47   0.637        0.993       1.012
summer#2001  |      1.019      0.006     3.37   0.001        1.008       1.030
summer#2002  |      1.005      0.006     0.91   0.363        0.994       1.016
summer#2003  |      1.010      0.005     2.11   0.035        1.001       1.019
summer#2004  |      0.999      0.005    -0.12   0.906        0.989       1.010
summer#2005  |      1.002      0.005     0.50   0.619        0.993       1.012
summer#2006  |      1.011      0.006     2.06   0.040        1.001       1.022
summer#2007  |      1.017      0.005     3.17   0.002        1.006       1.027
summer#2008  |      0.996      0.005    -0.78   0.438        0.988       1.005
summer#2009  |      1.014      0.005     2.92   0.003        1.005       1.024
summer#2010  |      1.019      0.005     3.77   0.000        1.009       1.030
  fall#1981  |      1.007      0.006     1.06   0.290        0.994       1.019
  fall#1982  |      1.031      0.007     4.40   0.000        1.017       1.045
  fall#1983  |      1.012      0.005     2.53   0.012        1.003       1.022
  fall#1984  |      1.012      0.006     1.83   0.067        0.999       1.024
  fall#1985  |      1.009      0.007     1.35   0.178        0.996       1.023
  fall#1986  |      1.008      0.006     1.22   0.223        0.995       1.021
  fall#1987  |      1.018      0.007     2.63   0.008        1.005       1.031
  fall#1988  |      1.001      0.005     0.20   0.842        0.991       1.011
  fall#1989  |      1.005      0.005     0.98   0.328        0.995       1.015
  fall#1990  |      1.017      0.006     2.97   0.003        1.006       1.028
  fall#1991  |      1.017      0.006     3.14   0.002        1.006       1.028
  fall#1992  |      1.012      0.004     2.88   0.004        1.004       1.020
  fall#1993  |      1.013      0.005     2.37   0.018        1.002       1.024
  fall#1994  |      1.013      0.006     2.34   0.019        1.002       1.024
  fall#1995  |      1.010      0.006     1.83   0.068        0.999       1.022
  fall#1996  |      0.995      0.006    -0.83   0.404        0.982       1.007
  fall#1997  |      1.016      0.008     2.11   0.035        1.001       1.031
  fall#1998  |      1.011      0.005     2.28   0.023        1.002       1.021
  fall#1999  |      0.996      0.005    -0.74   0.460        0.986       1.006
  fall#2000  |      1.015      0.005     2.96   0.003        1.005       1.025
  fall#2001  |      1.021      0.005     4.59   0.000        1.012       1.031
  fall#2002  |      1.009      0.005     1.95   0.052        1.000       1.019
  fall#2003  |      1.014      0.006     2.58   0.010        1.003       1.025
  fall#2004  |      0.997      0.006    -0.58   0.562        0.985       1.008
  fall#2005  |      1.002      0.005     0.46   0.644        0.993       1.011
  fall#2006  |      1.020      0.004     4.63   0.000        1.012       1.029
  fall#2007  |      1.015      0.005     2.80   0.005        1.005       1.026
  fall#2008  |      0.999      0.005    -0.13   0.897        0.990       1.009
  fall#2009  |      1.021      0.005     4.17   0.000        1.011       1.031
  fall#2010  |      1.013      0.005     2.63   0.009        1.003       1.024
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.528      0.011   -29.53   0.000        0.506       0.551
         AZ  |      1.155      0.040     4.12   0.000        1.078       1.236
         AR  |      0.744      0.005   -43.93   0.000        0.734       0.754
         CA  |      1.521      0.019    32.88   0.000        1.484       1.560
         CO  |      1.015      0.040     0.37   0.709        0.939       1.096
         CT  |      3.247      0.074    51.40   0.000        3.105       3.396
         DE  |      1.080      0.010     8.18   0.000        1.060       1.100
         FL  |      1.264      0.015    19.11   0.000        1.234       1.294
         GA  |      1.015      0.013     1.20   0.230        0.990       1.041
         HI  |      1.935      0.063    20.38   0.000        1.816       2.062
         ID  |      1.615      0.106     7.28   0.000        1.419       1.837
         IL  |      1.483      0.028    21.06   0.000        1.430       1.539
         IN  |      1.692      0.023    37.99   0.000        1.647       1.739
         IA  |      1.618      0.026    29.76   0.000        1.567       1.670
         KS  |      1.167      0.023     7.98   0.000        1.123       1.212
         KY  |      0.933      0.013    -5.06   0.000        0.908       0.958
         LA  |      0.889      0.028    -3.70   0.000        0.836       0.946
         ME  |      1.086      0.018     5.12   0.000        1.052       1.121
         MD  |      1.546      0.016    42.71   0.000        1.515       1.577
         MA  |      1.693      0.027    32.45   0.000        1.640       1.748
         MI  |      1.326      0.051     7.30   0.000        1.229       1.430
         MN  |      1.015      0.016     0.94   0.349        0.984       1.047
         MS  |      0.855      0.011   -12.12   0.000        0.834       0.877
         MO  |      1.465      0.019    29.49   0.000        1.428       1.503
         MT  |      2.146      0.097    16.87   0.000        1.964       2.345
         NE  |      1.396      0.029    16.07   0.000        1.340       1.453
         NV  |      1.348      0.130     3.11   0.002        1.117       1.628
         NH  |      1.263      0.020    14.62   0.000        1.224       1.303
         NJ  |      1.677      0.026    32.76   0.000        1.626       1.729
         NM  |      1.283      0.024    13.09   0.000        1.236       1.332
         NY  |      1.273      0.032     9.60   0.000        1.212       1.337
         NC  |      1.122      0.008    16.98   0.000        1.107       1.137
         ND  |      0.544      0.011   -30.68   0.000        0.524       0.566
         OH  |      2.132      0.044    36.94   0.000        2.048       2.219
         OK  |      1.126      0.042     3.15   0.002        1.046       1.213
         OR  |      1.283      0.050     6.45   0.000        1.189       1.384
         PA  |      1.734      0.020    48.38   0.000        1.696       1.773
         RI  |      1.707      0.020    46.58   0.000        1.669       1.746
         SC  |      1.776      0.012    82.59   0.000        1.752       1.800
         SD  |      1.414      0.019    25.24   0.000        1.377       1.453
         TN  |      1.313      0.008    42.53   0.000        1.297       1.330
         TX  |      0.853      0.012   -11.28   0.000        0.830       0.877
         UT  |      1.505      0.042    14.73   0.000        1.425       1.589
         VT  |      0.848      0.016    -8.72   0.000        0.818       0.880
         VA  |      1.687      0.019    46.38   0.000        1.650       1.725
         WA  |      1.848      0.022    52.40   0.000        1.806       1.891
         WV  |      0.726      0.009   -26.04   0.000        0.708       0.743
         WI  |      1.279      0.056     5.64   0.000        1.174       1.393
         WY  |      0.682      0.017   -15.77   0.000        0.650       0.715
             |
     quarter |      1.026      0.005     5.16   0.000        1.016       1.036
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000    -1.72   0.086        1.000       1.000
             |
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |      1.000      0.000     0.78   0.438        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.015      0.001    21.31   0.000        1.014       1.016
         AZ  |      0.995      0.001    -5.65   0.000        0.994       0.997
         AR  |      1.005      0.000    32.51   0.000        1.004       1.005
         CA  |      0.994      0.000   -44.39   0.000        0.994       0.994
         CO  |      0.997      0.001    -3.48   0.001        0.995       0.999
         CT  |      0.977      0.000   -50.22   0.000        0.976       0.978
         DE  |      1.003      0.000    19.89   0.000        1.003       1.004
         FL  |      0.994      0.000   -24.47   0.000        0.994       0.995
         GA  |      0.999      0.000    -3.03   0.002        0.998       1.000
         HI  |      0.983      0.001   -20.45   0.000        0.981       0.985
         ID  |      0.986      0.002    -9.21   0.000        0.983       0.989
         IL  |      0.993      0.000   -17.51   0.000        0.992       0.994
         IN  |      0.989      0.000   -37.42   0.000        0.989       0.990
         IA  |      0.989      0.000   -45.83   0.000        0.989       0.989
         KS  |      0.994      0.000   -15.32   0.000        0.993       0.995
         KY  |      1.002      0.000     6.91   0.000        1.001       1.002
         LA  |      1.003      0.001     6.27   0.000        1.002       1.004
         ME  |      1.001      0.000     5.16   0.000        1.000       1.001
         MD  |      0.996      0.000   -19.80   0.000        0.995       0.996
         MA  |      0.991      0.000   -35.45   0.000        0.991       0.992
         MI  |      0.996      0.001    -3.67   0.000        0.994       0.998
         MN  |      0.998      0.000    -5.81   0.000        0.998       0.999
         MS  |      1.000      0.000     1.83   0.067        1.000       1.001
         MO  |      0.992      0.000   -30.80   0.000        0.991       0.992
         MT  |      0.980      0.001   -22.50   0.000        0.979       0.982
         NE  |      0.992      0.000   -18.03   0.000        0.992       0.993
         NV  |      0.994      0.002    -2.38   0.017        0.990       0.999
         NH  |      0.997      0.000   -22.90   0.000        0.997       0.997
         NJ  |      0.992      0.000   -27.87   0.000        0.991       0.992
         NM  |      0.992      0.000   -22.63   0.000        0.991       0.992
         NY  |      0.999      0.001    -2.35   0.019        0.997       1.000
         NC  |      0.996      0.000   -35.02   0.000        0.996       0.996
         ND  |      1.010      0.000    41.23   0.000        1.009       1.010
         OH  |      0.987      0.000   -29.34   0.000        0.986       0.987
         OK  |      0.997      0.001    -5.15   0.000        0.995       0.998
         OR  |      0.993      0.001    -6.70   0.000        0.992       0.995
         PA  |      0.990      0.000   -71.43   0.000        0.990       0.991
         RI  |      0.991      0.000   -73.19   0.000        0.991       0.991
         SC  |      0.986      0.000   -80.43   0.000        0.986       0.987
         SD  |      0.989      0.000   -57.89   0.000        0.988       0.989
         TN  |      0.993      0.000   -72.86   0.000        0.993       0.993
         TX  |      1.001      0.000     3.05   0.002        1.000       1.001
         UT  |      0.984      0.001   -25.98   0.000        0.983       0.985
         VT  |      1.008      0.000    32.38   0.000        1.007       1.008
         VA  |      0.991      0.000   -39.66   0.000        0.990       0.991
         WA  |      0.986      0.000   -97.02   0.000        0.986       0.987
         WV  |      1.006      0.000    29.14   0.000        1.006       1.006
         WI  |      0.995      0.001    -5.36   0.000        0.993       0.997
         WY  |      1.003      0.000    10.31   0.000        1.002       1.003
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000   -21.28   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000     4.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000   -24.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    21.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000     2.38   0.017        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000    39.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000   -29.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000    20.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000     4.04   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000    14.32   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000     9.19   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000    15.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000    31.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000    50.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000    16.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000    -3.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000    -5.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000   -14.51   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000     6.66   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000    27.09   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     1.23   0.220        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000     3.90   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000     9.00   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000    27.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000    28.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000    14.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000     2.03   0.042        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000    23.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000    21.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000    21.48   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000    -2.17   0.030        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000    43.63   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000   -63.25   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000    23.56   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000     6.15   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000     6.42   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000    52.74   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000    55.22   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000    74.57   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000    80.16   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000    77.24   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000     6.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000    25.61   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000   -48.88   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000    31.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000    85.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000   -22.62   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000     4.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    -5.37   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       stabb#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter#|
   c.quarter |
         AK  |      1.000      0.000    21.05   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AZ  |      1.000      0.000    -4.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         AR  |      1.000      0.000    21.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CA  |      1.000      0.000    -3.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         CO  |      1.000      0.000    -2.49   0.013        1.000       1.000
         CT  |      1.000      0.000   -32.85   0.000        1.000       1.000
         DE  |      1.000      0.000    30.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         FL  |      1.000      0.000   -21.38   0.000        1.000       1.000
         GA  |      1.000      0.000    -7.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         HI  |      1.000      0.000   -10.13   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ID  |      1.000      0.000    -9.82   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IL  |      1.000      0.000   -16.12   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IN  |      1.000      0.000   -29.14   0.000        1.000       1.000
         IA  |      1.000      0.000   -57.33   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KS  |      1.000      0.000   -18.23   0.000        1.000       1.000
         KY  |      1.000      0.000     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.000
         LA  |      1.000      0.000     2.22   0.027        1.000       1.000
         ME  |      1.000      0.000    17.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MD  |      1.000      0.000    -3.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MA  |      1.000      0.000   -22.17   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MI  |      1.000      0.000     0.03   0.975        1.000       1.000
         MN  |      1.000      0.000    -4.18   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MS  |      1.000      0.000   -17.76   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MO  |      1.000      0.000   -25.80   0.000        1.000       1.000
         MT  |      1.000      0.000   -38.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NE  |      1.000      0.000   -13.06   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NV  |      1.000      0.000    -2.37   0.018        1.000       1.000
         NH  |      1.000      0.000   -24.55   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NJ  |      1.000      0.000   -19.59   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NM  |      1.000      0.000   -24.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         NY  |      1.000      0.000     3.04   0.002        1.000       1.000
         NC  |      1.000      0.000   -53.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         ND  |      1.000      0.000    41.65   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OH  |      1.000      0.000   -19.92   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OK  |      1.000      0.000    -6.97   0.000        1.000       1.000
         OR  |      1.000      0.000    -6.96   0.000        1.000       1.000
         PA  |      1.000      0.000   -37.81   0.000        1.000       1.000
         RI  |      1.000      0.000   -42.11   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SC  |      1.000      0.000   -77.91   0.000        1.000       1.000
         SD  |      1.000      0.000  -136.89   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TN  |      1.000      0.000   -87.07   0.000        1.000       1.000
         TX  |      1.000      0.000   -33.58   0.000        1.000       1.000
         UT  |      1.000      0.000   -29.34   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VT  |      1.000      0.000    55.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         VA  |      1.000      0.000   -27.39   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WA  |      1.000      0.000   -87.02   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WV  |      1.000      0.000    17.94   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WI  |      1.000      0.000    -3.75   0.000        1.000       1.000
         WY  |      1.000      0.000    -4.95   0.000        1.000       1.000
             |
       _cons |      1.031      0.231     0.14   0.891        0.665       1.598
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_5: estpost margins, dydx(icei sex race2 agecat season) predict(ir) //
> /
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei 2.sex 2.race2 2.agecat 3.agecat 4.agecat 2.season 3.season
               4.season

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in state)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.44       0.44     1.00   0.316        -0.42        1.31
             |
         sex |
    2female  |    -130.46       6.47   -20.16   0.000      -143.14     -117.78
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      23.09      13.95     1.66   0.098        -4.24       50.43
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      20.35       0.64    32.02   0.000        19.11       21.60
   45 to 64  |     248.29       6.78    36.61   0.000       235.00      261.59
       >=65  |    1129.41      24.04    46.98   0.000      1082.29     1176.52
             |
      season |
     spring  |      -1.42       0.37    -3.83   0.000        -2.14       -0.69
     summer  |      -7.67       0.37   -20.75   0.000        -8.40       -6.95
       fall  |     -10.32       0.47   -22.16   0.000       -11.23       -9.40
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: dy/dx for factor levels is the discrete change from the base level.

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(tec_m_5, replace) 

.         
. 
. // #8
. // write results to file
. 
. esttab m_* using suic-econ-atable3-cancer.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar n
> ot ///
>         nolines nonum mtitle((0) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)) delimiter(";") replace
(output written to suic-econ-atable3-cancer.txt)

.         
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a6-cancer.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  22 Feb 2015, 02:15:58
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit    

end of do-file

. 
. 
. /*      Sensitivity analyses reported in Table 2 */
. do suic-econ-a7-sens.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-a7-sens.txt, replace text
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a7-sens.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  22 Feb 2015, 02:15:58

. 
. //  program:    suic-econ-a7-sens.do
. //  task:               sensitivity analyses for recessions on suicide
. //      input:          suic-econ-data1-census.dta
. //      output:         suic-econ-table2.txt
. //  project:    economic conditions and suicide
. //  author:     sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 12

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. set matsize 11000

. 
. 
. // #1
. // data and descriptive table
. 
. use suic-econ-data1-census, clear
(Suicide deaths and Census denominators, 1980-2010)

. 
. * re-scale icei for a 10-unit change, change sign to estimate decrease
. replace icei= -1*icei/10
(297600 real changes made)

. 
. 
. 
. // #2
. // basic FE model
. 
. poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -405168.67                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3801

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.010      0.005     2.02   0.044        1.000       1.021
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.80   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.28   0.000        0.494       0.571
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.03   0.000        1.246       1.332
   45 to 64  |      1.376      0.049     9.03   0.000        1.284       1.474
       >=65  |      1.638      0.080    10.15   0.000        1.489       1.801
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.454      0.010    52.13   0.000        1.433       1.474
         AZ  |      1.296      0.017    20.16   0.000        1.264       1.330
         AR  |      1.032      0.003    11.38   0.000        1.026       1.037
         CA  |      0.908      0.003   -27.31   0.000        0.902       0.914
         CO  |      1.259      0.013    22.55   0.000        1.234       1.284
         CT  |      0.653      0.004   -66.49   0.000        0.645       0.662
         DE  |      0.927      0.003   -20.56   0.000        0.920       0.934
         FL  |      1.101      0.006    17.32   0.000        1.089       1.113
         GA  |      1.006      0.007     0.82   0.412        0.992       1.021
         HI  |      1.046      0.017     2.73   0.006        1.013       1.080
         ID  |      1.230      0.017    15.25   0.000        1.198       1.263
         IL  |      0.735      0.003   -88.05   0.000        0.730       0.740
         IN  |      0.913      0.004   -23.51   0.000        0.906       0.920
         IA  |      0.829      0.004   -35.96   0.000        0.820       0.837
         KS  |      0.932      0.004   -16.24   0.000        0.924       0.940
         KY  |      0.995      0.004    -1.21   0.226        0.988       1.003
         LA  |      1.052      0.002    23.50   0.000        1.048       1.056
         ME  |      0.946      0.006    -8.15   0.000        0.934       0.959
         MD  |      0.818      0.004   -46.55   0.000        0.812       0.825
         MA  |      0.601      0.006   -54.74   0.000        0.590       0.612
         MI  |      0.881      0.004   -29.68   0.000        0.874       0.889
         MN  |      0.800      0.004   -41.32   0.000        0.791       0.808
         MS  |      1.028      0.003     8.19   0.000        1.021       1.035
         MO  |      1.000      0.004     0.06   0.953        0.992       1.008
         MT  |      1.416      0.011    46.58   0.000        1.396       1.437
         NE  |      0.815      0.005   -34.17   0.000        0.806       0.825
         NV  |      1.667      0.031    27.32   0.000        1.607       1.729
         NH  |      0.898      0.011    -8.90   0.000        0.877       0.920
         NJ  |      0.553      0.003  -119.29   0.000        0.547       0.558
         NM  |      1.467      0.010    54.07   0.000        1.447       1.488
         NY  |      0.586      0.002  -170.68   0.000        0.582       0.589
         NC  |      0.983      0.004    -4.02   0.000        0.974       0.991
         ND  |      0.875      0.006   -18.38   0.000        0.863       0.888
         OH  |      0.838      0.004   -37.99   0.000        0.830       0.845
         OK  |      1.121      0.006    20.04   0.000        1.109       1.134
         OR  |      1.163      0.013    13.83   0.000        1.139       1.188
         PA  |      0.858      0.004   -32.44   0.000        0.851       0.866
         RI  |      0.687      0.006   -45.78   0.000        0.676       0.698
         SC  |      0.996      0.004    -1.10   0.271        0.988       1.003
         SD  |      1.037      0.005     7.23   0.000        1.027       1.047
         TN  |      1.038      0.003    12.55   0.000        1.032       1.044
         TX  |      0.935      0.007    -9.46   0.000        0.922       0.948
         UT  |      1.196      0.014    15.66   0.000        1.169       1.223
         VT  |      1.013      0.006     2.17   0.030        1.001       1.024
         VA  |      0.971      0.003    -8.91   0.000        0.965       0.978
         WA  |      1.019      0.004     4.90   0.000        1.012       1.027
         WV  |      0.981      0.005    -3.63   0.000        0.971       0.991
         WI  |      0.906      0.008   -11.61   0.000        0.891       0.921
         WY  |      1.426      0.011    44.44   0.000        1.404       1.449
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.079      0.016     5.01   0.000        1.047       1.112
     summer  |      1.064      0.017     3.81   0.000        1.031       1.098
       fall  |      1.020      0.017     1.18   0.236        0.987       1.054
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.029      0.021     1.41   0.160        0.989       1.071
       1982  |      0.995      0.022    -0.21   0.830        0.954       1.039
       1983  |      1.012      0.021     0.57   0.569        0.972       1.054
       1984  |      1.042      0.022     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.086
       1985  |      1.013      0.030     0.42   0.674        0.955       1.073
       1986  |      1.079      0.025     3.26   0.001        1.031       1.129
       1987  |      1.023      0.033     0.72   0.469        0.961       1.089
       1988  |      1.039      0.030     1.31   0.190        0.981       1.099
       1989  |      1.034      0.023     1.52   0.128        0.990       1.079
       1990  |      1.020      0.038     0.53   0.599        0.948       1.097
       1991  |      0.998      0.035    -0.06   0.953        0.932       1.069
       1992  |      1.023      0.032     0.73   0.464        0.962       1.088
       1993  |      0.994      0.033    -0.19   0.846        0.930       1.061
       1994  |      0.981      0.034    -0.56   0.572        0.917       1.049
       1995  |      0.965      0.034    -1.02   0.306        0.902       1.033
       1996  |      0.950      0.042    -1.14   0.253        0.871       1.037
       1997  |      0.961      0.043    -0.89   0.372        0.881       1.049
       1998  |      0.974      0.042    -0.61   0.541        0.894       1.060
       1999  |      0.902      0.052    -1.79   0.074        0.806       1.010
       2000  |      0.910      0.055    -1.54   0.123        0.808       1.026
       2001  |      0.913      0.064    -1.30   0.194        0.796       1.047
       2002  |      0.946      0.057    -0.92   0.356        0.841       1.064
       2003  |      0.915      0.049    -1.67   0.095        0.824       1.016
       2004  |      0.930      0.058    -1.16   0.245        0.824       1.051
       2005  |      0.934      0.063    -1.00   0.315        0.818       1.067
       2006  |      0.938      0.065    -0.92   0.359        0.819       1.075
       2007  |      0.964      0.055    -0.64   0.522        0.861       1.079
       2008  |      1.017      0.065     0.26   0.797        0.897       1.152
       2009  |      0.992      0.063    -0.13   0.895        0.876       1.122
       2010  |      1.019      0.059     0.33   0.741        0.910       1.142
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.969      0.030    -1.03   0.304        0.911       1.029
spring#1982  |      1.043      0.023     1.93   0.053        0.999       1.089
spring#1983  |      0.989      0.024    -0.46   0.648        0.943       1.037
spring#1984  |      0.992      0.027    -0.29   0.773        0.941       1.046
spring#1985  |      1.032      0.024     1.34   0.179        0.986       1.080
spring#1986  |      0.986      0.023    -0.60   0.546        0.941       1.033
spring#1987  |      1.085      0.023     3.88   0.000        1.041       1.130
spring#1988  |      1.007      0.018     0.42   0.677        0.973       1.042
spring#1989  |      0.996      0.022    -0.18   0.855        0.954       1.040
spring#1990  |      0.993      0.019    -0.35   0.726        0.956       1.032
spring#1991  |      1.020      0.024     0.87   0.387        0.975       1.068
spring#1992  |      0.957      0.018    -2.28   0.023        0.922       0.994
spring#1993  |      1.008      0.020     0.38   0.706        0.969       1.048
spring#1994  |      1.032      0.021     1.54   0.125        0.991       1.073
spring#1995  |      1.044      0.025     1.81   0.070        0.997       1.094
spring#1996  |      1.029      0.026     1.12   0.262        0.979       1.082
spring#1997  |      0.992      0.027    -0.28   0.776        0.940       1.047
spring#1998  |      0.956      0.018    -2.41   0.016        0.921       0.992
spring#1999  |      0.986      0.018    -0.80   0.426        0.952       1.021
spring#2000  |      0.991      0.022    -0.43   0.667        0.949       1.034
spring#2001  |      1.011      0.019     0.55   0.583        0.973       1.049
spring#2002  |      0.997      0.016    -0.21   0.836        0.965       1.029
spring#2003  |      1.025      0.023     1.08   0.280        0.980       1.072
spring#2004  |      1.017      0.025     0.68   0.499        0.969       1.067
spring#2005  |      1.028      0.024     1.16   0.247        0.981       1.076
spring#2006  |      1.021      0.020     1.08   0.281        0.983       1.060
spring#2007  |      1.021      0.021     1.03   0.305        0.981       1.063
spring#2008  |      1.005      0.018     0.30   0.767        0.970       1.042
spring#2009  |      1.015      0.021     0.73   0.468        0.975       1.058
spring#2010  |      1.034      0.023     1.51   0.132        0.990       1.079
summer#1981  |      0.977      0.024    -0.97   0.332        0.932       1.024
summer#1982  |      1.049      0.024     2.06   0.039        1.002       1.098
summer#1983  |      0.997      0.027    -0.10   0.918        0.945       1.052
summer#1984  |      0.973      0.020    -1.35   0.178        0.935       1.013
summer#1985  |      1.002      0.020     0.13   0.899        0.965       1.042
summer#1986  |      0.998      0.016    -0.13   0.900        0.967       1.030
summer#1987  |      1.043      0.022     2.01   0.044        1.001       1.086
summer#1988  |      1.014      0.022     0.64   0.521        0.972       1.057
summer#1989  |      1.003      0.022     0.15   0.884        0.961       1.047
summer#1990  |      1.056      0.031     1.89   0.059        0.998       1.118
summer#1991  |      1.052      0.027     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.105
summer#1992  |      0.983      0.024    -0.72   0.472        0.937       1.030
summer#1993  |      1.031      0.026     1.20   0.231        0.981       1.083
summer#1994  |      1.009      0.021     0.43   0.668        0.969       1.050
summer#1995  |      1.047      0.023     2.12   0.034        1.003       1.092
summer#1996  |      1.042      0.023     1.81   0.070        0.997       1.089
summer#1997  |      0.983      0.022    -0.79   0.428        0.941       1.026
summer#1998  |      0.979      0.020    -1.04   0.299        0.942       1.019
summer#1999  |      1.015      0.023     0.64   0.523        0.970       1.061
summer#2000  |      0.987      0.022    -0.58   0.563        0.944       1.032
summer#2001  |      1.037      0.025     1.50   0.133        0.989       1.087
summer#2002  |      1.016      0.018     0.88   0.377        0.981       1.052
summer#2003  |      1.051      0.025     2.09   0.037        1.003       1.102
summer#2004  |      1.036      0.021     1.77   0.077        0.996       1.077
summer#2005  |      1.023      0.023     1.01   0.313        0.979       1.069
summer#2006  |      1.052      0.027     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.106
summer#2007  |      1.054      0.022     2.48   0.013        1.011       1.099
summer#2008  |      1.014      0.023     0.62   0.536        0.971       1.059
summer#2009  |      1.076      0.024     3.30   0.001        1.030       1.124
summer#2010  |      1.078      0.023     3.55   0.000        1.034       1.124
  fall#1981  |      0.978      0.030    -0.74   0.462        0.921       1.038
  fall#1982  |      0.993      0.021    -0.30   0.761        0.952       1.036
  fall#1983  |      0.989      0.021    -0.53   0.596        0.948       1.031
  fall#1984  |      1.001      0.022     0.04   0.969        0.958       1.046
  fall#1985  |      1.032      0.021     1.57   0.117        0.992       1.073
  fall#1986  |      0.981      0.022    -0.84   0.399        0.939       1.025
  fall#1987  |      1.008      0.020     0.40   0.692        0.970       1.048
  fall#1988  |      0.982      0.020    -0.91   0.364        0.943       1.022
  fall#1989  |      0.974      0.021    -1.20   0.232        0.934       1.017
  fall#1990  |      1.031      0.028     1.12   0.261        0.978       1.086
  fall#1991  |      1.021      0.025     0.84   0.402        0.973       1.070
  fall#1992  |      0.952      0.018    -2.54   0.011        0.917       0.989
  fall#1993  |      1.007      0.018     0.38   0.708        0.972       1.043
  fall#1994  |      1.030      0.026     1.14   0.256        0.979       1.083
  fall#1995  |      1.021      0.024     0.90   0.366        0.976       1.069
  fall#1996  |      1.017      0.023     0.73   0.463        0.972       1.063
  fall#1997  |      0.990      0.024    -0.39   0.694        0.944       1.039
  fall#1998  |      0.956      0.018    -2.35   0.019        0.921       0.993
  fall#1999  |      0.992      0.021    -0.36   0.721        0.951       1.035
  fall#2000  |      0.971      0.025    -1.17   0.243        0.924       1.020
  fall#2001  |      1.012      0.022     0.56   0.572        0.970       1.057
  fall#2002  |      0.995      0.024    -0.21   0.837        0.949       1.043
  fall#2003  |      1.005      0.023     0.19   0.847        0.960       1.051
  fall#2004  |      1.045      0.022     2.12   0.034        1.003       1.089
  fall#2005  |      1.026      0.026     1.04   0.300        0.977       1.078
  fall#2006  |      1.044      0.023     1.95   0.052        1.000       1.091
  fall#2007  |      1.066      0.022     3.18   0.001        1.025       1.109
  fall#2008  |      1.016      0.020     0.82   0.411        0.978       1.057
  fall#2009  |      1.052      0.027     1.99   0.046        1.001       1.105
  fall#2010  |      1.033      0.022     1.51   0.131        0.990       1.076
             |
       _cons |     24.003      0.988    77.20   0.000       22.142      26.020
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_1: estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.14       0.07     2.02   0.044         0.00        0.28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

.         
. 
. 
. // #3
. // lagged icei
. 
. * generate 6 and 12 month lagged values of ICEI
. sort state sex race2 agecat quarter month

. bysort state sex race2 agecat: gen iceil6=icei[_n-6]
(4800 missing values generated)

. bysort state sex race2 agecat: gen iceil12=icei[_n-12]
(9600 missing values generated)

. 
. label var iceil6 "ICEI lagged 6 months"

. label var iceil12 "ICEI lagged 12 months"

. 
. * lagged regression model: 6 months
. poisson suic iceil6 i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
note: 2.season#1980.year identifies no observations in the sample
note: 2.season#2010.year omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     292800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -399032.04                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3812

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      iceil6 |      1.010      0.005     1.93   0.054        1.000       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.241      0.006   -61.04   0.000        0.230       0.252
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.36   0.000        0.494       0.570
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.04   0.000        1.246       1.332
   45 to 64  |      1.375      0.049     8.98   0.000        1.283       1.474
       >=65  |      1.637      0.080    10.11   0.000        1.488       1.802
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.453      0.010    51.74   0.000        1.432       1.474
         AZ  |      1.292      0.016    20.38   0.000        1.261       1.325
         AR  |      1.033      0.003    11.82   0.000        1.027       1.039
         CA  |      0.903      0.003   -30.35   0.000        0.897       0.909
         CO  |      1.255      0.012    22.96   0.000        1.231       1.280
         CT  |      0.652      0.004   -66.99   0.000        0.644       0.660
         DE  |      0.924      0.003   -21.65   0.000        0.918       0.931
         FL  |      1.099      0.006    16.72   0.000        1.087       1.111
         GA  |      1.003      0.007     0.44   0.663        0.989       1.017
         HI  |      1.044      0.017     2.63   0.009        1.011       1.079
         ID  |      1.230      0.016    15.53   0.000        1.198       1.262
         IL  |      0.735      0.003   -88.42   0.000        0.730       0.740
         IN  |      0.913      0.004   -23.57   0.000        0.906       0.920
         IA  |      0.827      0.004   -36.36   0.000        0.818       0.835
         KS  |      0.932      0.004   -16.14   0.000        0.924       0.940
         KY  |      0.995      0.004    -1.23   0.218        0.988       1.003
         LA  |      1.052      0.002    23.29   0.000        1.047       1.056
         ME  |      0.944      0.007    -8.29   0.000        0.932       0.957
         MD  |      0.817      0.003   -48.17   0.000        0.810       0.824
         MA  |      0.600      0.006   -55.40   0.000        0.589       0.611
         MI  |      0.880      0.004   -29.01   0.000        0.872       0.887
         MN  |      0.799      0.004   -42.19   0.000        0.790       0.807
         MS  |      1.028      0.003     8.37   0.000        1.021       1.035
         MO  |      1.000      0.004     0.08   0.935        0.992       1.009
         MT  |      1.418      0.011    46.78   0.000        1.398       1.439
         NE  |      0.813      0.005   -34.88   0.000        0.803       0.822
         NV  |      1.662      0.031    27.62   0.000        1.603       1.723
         NH  |      0.896      0.011    -9.23   0.000        0.875       0.917
         NJ  |      0.551      0.003  -120.33   0.000        0.546       0.556
         NM  |      1.466      0.010    55.41   0.000        1.446       1.486
         NY  |      0.582      0.002  -175.58   0.000        0.578       0.585
         NC  |      0.982      0.004    -4.32   0.000        0.974       0.990
         ND  |      0.874      0.006   -18.76   0.000        0.862       0.886
         OH  |      0.835      0.004   -38.19   0.000        0.827       0.842
         OK  |      1.121      0.006    19.92   0.000        1.108       1.134
         OR  |      1.161      0.012    13.92   0.000        1.137       1.185
         PA  |      0.858      0.004   -32.33   0.000        0.850       0.866
         RI  |      0.683      0.006   -45.98   0.000        0.672       0.694
         SC  |      0.996      0.004    -1.19   0.236        0.989       1.003
         SD  |      1.037      0.005     7.34   0.000        1.027       1.047
         TN  |      1.037      0.003    12.54   0.000        1.031       1.043
         TX  |      0.932      0.006   -10.50   0.000        0.920       0.944
         UT  |      1.192      0.013    16.00   0.000        1.166       1.218
         VT  |      1.009      0.006     1.51   0.131        0.997       1.020
         VA  |      0.969      0.003   -10.20   0.000        0.963       0.975
         WA  |      1.017      0.004     4.57   0.000        1.010       1.025
         WV  |      0.982      0.005    -3.41   0.001        0.972       0.992
         WI  |      0.905      0.008   -11.80   0.000        0.890       0.920
         WY  |      1.428      0.011    45.52   0.000        1.406       1.450
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.115      0.023     5.24   0.000        1.070       1.161
     summer  |      1.033      0.028     1.17   0.242        0.979       1.090
       fall  |      0.985      0.020    -0.75   0.453        0.946       1.025
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.993      0.028    -0.26   0.794        0.939       1.049
       1982  |      0.962      0.028    -1.35   0.178        0.909       1.018
       1983  |      0.976      0.028    -0.84   0.402        0.922       1.033
       1984  |      1.003      0.024     0.12   0.903        0.957       1.051
       1985  |      0.975      0.035    -0.70   0.481        0.910       1.046
       1986  |      1.039      0.026     1.54   0.125        0.989       1.091
       1987  |      0.985      0.033    -0.45   0.651        0.923       1.052
       1988  |      0.999      0.032    -0.02   0.983        0.939       1.063
       1989  |      0.995      0.023    -0.22   0.828        0.951       1.041
       1990  |      0.982      0.036    -0.49   0.627        0.915       1.055
       1991  |      0.963      0.034    -1.07   0.285        0.898       1.032
       1992  |      0.985      0.035    -0.42   0.676        0.920       1.056
       1993  |      0.956      0.033    -1.29   0.196        0.892       1.024
       1994  |      0.943      0.034    -1.66   0.097        0.879       1.011
       1995  |      0.927      0.035    -2.02   0.043        0.862       0.998
       1996  |      0.913      0.040    -2.07   0.038        0.838       0.995
       1997  |      0.923      0.044    -1.70   0.089        0.841       1.012
       1998  |      0.935      0.041    -1.55   0.122        0.858       1.018
       1999  |      0.866      0.048    -2.61   0.009        0.777       0.965
       2000  |      0.874      0.052    -2.28   0.022        0.778       0.981
       2001  |      0.878      0.061    -1.86   0.063        0.766       1.007
       2002  |      0.911      0.055    -1.54   0.124        0.809       1.026
       2003  |      0.880      0.049    -2.33   0.020        0.790       0.980
       2004  |      0.893      0.055    -1.85   0.065        0.792       1.007
       2005  |      0.896      0.061    -1.62   0.106        0.785       1.024
       2006  |      0.900      0.063    -1.51   0.131        0.785       1.032
       2007  |      0.925      0.053    -1.36   0.173        0.827       1.035
       2008  |      0.979      0.064    -0.33   0.741        0.861       1.112
       2009  |      0.958      0.063    -0.65   0.515        0.843       1.089
       2010  |      0.981      0.059    -0.33   0.745        0.872       1.103
             |
 season#year |
spring#1980  |      1.000  (empty)
spring#1981  |      0.937      0.026    -2.37   0.018        0.888       0.989
spring#1982  |      1.010      0.027     0.38   0.703        0.958       1.065
spring#1983  |      0.958      0.024    -1.72   0.085        0.912       1.006
spring#1984  |      0.960      0.022    -1.74   0.081        0.918       1.005
spring#1985  |      0.999      0.025    -0.04   0.966        0.951       1.049
spring#1986  |      0.955      0.022    -2.01   0.045        0.912       0.999
spring#1987  |      1.050      0.029     1.79   0.074        0.995       1.108
spring#1988  |      0.975      0.022    -1.10   0.270        0.933       1.020
spring#1989  |      0.964      0.023    -1.53   0.127        0.920       1.010
spring#1990  |      0.961      0.027    -1.45   0.148        0.910       1.014
spring#1991  |      0.989      0.030    -0.39   0.700        0.932       1.048
spring#1992  |      0.927      0.024    -2.94   0.003        0.882       0.975
spring#1993  |      0.976      0.033    -0.72   0.469        0.913       1.043
spring#1994  |      0.999      0.019    -0.06   0.951        0.962       1.037
spring#1995  |      1.011      0.025     0.45   0.655        0.963       1.062
spring#1996  |      0.997      0.030    -0.11   0.911        0.940       1.057
spring#1997  |      0.961      0.028    -1.39   0.164        0.908       1.017
spring#1998  |      0.925      0.020    -3.59   0.000        0.887       0.965
spring#1999  |      0.955      0.022    -1.99   0.046        0.912       0.999
spring#2000  |      0.959      0.023    -1.78   0.075        0.915       1.004
spring#2001  |      0.978      0.022    -0.96   0.336        0.936       1.023
spring#2002  |      0.965      0.026    -1.35   0.178        0.915       1.017
spring#2003  |      0.993      0.027    -0.25   0.804        0.941       1.048
spring#2004  |      0.984      0.026    -0.59   0.555        0.934       1.037
spring#2005  |      0.995      0.025    -0.20   0.840        0.948       1.045
spring#2006  |      0.988      0.027    -0.43   0.665        0.937       1.042
spring#2007  |      0.988      0.021    -0.55   0.579        0.949       1.030
spring#2008  |      0.972      0.019    -1.45   0.147        0.936       1.010
spring#2009  |      0.986      0.026    -0.55   0.579        0.936       1.038
spring#2010  |      1.000  (omitted)
summer#1981  |      1.006      0.034     0.18   0.857        0.941       1.075
summer#1982  |      1.081      0.037     2.28   0.023        1.011       1.155
summer#1983  |      1.026      0.036     0.73   0.466        0.958       1.099
summer#1984  |      1.002      0.030     0.07   0.943        0.945       1.063
summer#1985  |      1.033      0.034     0.98   0.326        0.968       1.102
summer#1986  |      1.028      0.026     1.10   0.271        0.978       1.081
summer#1987  |      1.074      0.032     2.38   0.017        1.013       1.139
summer#1988  |      1.044      0.031     1.44   0.150        0.984       1.108
summer#1989  |      1.034      0.032     1.07   0.287        0.972       1.099
summer#1990  |      1.088      0.038     2.42   0.016        1.016       1.164
summer#1991  |      1.083      0.034     2.56   0.011        1.019       1.151
summer#1992  |      1.012      0.036     0.34   0.732        0.945       1.084
summer#1993  |      1.062      0.036     1.78   0.075        0.994       1.134
summer#1994  |      1.039      0.030     1.34   0.181        0.982       1.099
summer#1995  |      1.079      0.039     2.10   0.036        1.005       1.159
summer#1996  |      1.073      0.031     2.44   0.015        1.014       1.135
summer#1997  |      1.012      0.033     0.36   0.717        0.949       1.079
summer#1998  |      1.009      0.031     0.30   0.764        0.951       1.071
summer#1999  |      1.046      0.031     1.49   0.136        0.986       1.109
summer#2000  |      1.017      0.029     0.59   0.553        0.962       1.075
summer#2001  |      1.069      0.036     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.142
summer#2002  |      1.045      0.028     1.66   0.097        0.992       1.102
summer#2003  |      1.084      0.039     2.23   0.026        1.010       1.163
summer#2004  |      1.067      0.029     2.40   0.017        1.012       1.125
summer#2005  |      1.054      0.033     1.69   0.091        0.992       1.120
summer#2006  |      1.084      0.035     2.45   0.014        1.016       1.155
summer#2007  |      1.087      0.031     2.91   0.004        1.027       1.149
summer#2008  |      1.045      0.030     1.55   0.120        0.989       1.105
summer#2009  |      1.110      0.033     3.49   0.000        1.047       1.177
summer#2010  |      1.109      0.031     3.71   0.000        1.050       1.171
  fall#1981  |      1.013      0.035     0.39   0.700        0.947       1.084
  fall#1982  |      1.029      0.027     1.08   0.281        0.977       1.085
  fall#1983  |      1.022      0.031     0.71   0.479        0.963       1.084
  fall#1984  |      1.037      0.027     1.39   0.164        0.985       1.092
  fall#1985  |      1.069      0.031     2.28   0.022        1.010       1.132
  fall#1986  |      1.016      0.024     0.69   0.492        0.970       1.065
  fall#1987  |      1.043      0.030     1.47   0.141        0.986       1.104
  fall#1988  |      1.017      0.030     0.57   0.569        0.960       1.077
  fall#1989  |      1.010      0.027     0.36   0.717        0.958       1.064
  fall#1990  |      1.068      0.027     2.66   0.008        1.018       1.122
  fall#1991  |      1.056      0.028     2.07   0.039        1.003       1.112
  fall#1992  |      0.985      0.027    -0.53   0.594        0.933       1.040
  fall#1993  |      1.042      0.027     1.59   0.112        0.990       1.097
  fall#1994  |      1.066      0.028     2.39   0.017        1.012       1.123
  fall#1995  |      1.058      0.034     1.78   0.076        0.994       1.127
  fall#1996  |      1.053      0.027     2.04   0.041        1.002       1.106
  fall#1997  |      1.025      0.030     0.87   0.386        0.969       1.086
  fall#1998  |      0.991      0.024    -0.39   0.695        0.944       1.039
  fall#1999  |      1.028      0.024     1.17   0.243        0.982       1.076
  fall#2000  |      1.006      0.030     0.22   0.830        0.949       1.067
  fall#2001  |      1.050      0.029     1.76   0.078        0.994       1.110
  fall#2002  |      1.029      0.028     1.05   0.296        0.975       1.087
  fall#2003  |      1.040      0.029     1.39   0.163        0.984       1.098
  fall#2004  |      1.082      0.027     3.23   0.001        1.032       1.136
  fall#2005  |      1.063      0.031     2.06   0.039        1.003       1.126
  fall#2006  |      1.082      0.032     2.70   0.007        1.022       1.146
  fall#2007  |      1.106      0.028     4.01   0.000        1.053       1.161
  fall#2008  |      1.055      0.026     2.15   0.032        1.005       1.108
  fall#2009  |      1.088      0.029     3.15   0.002        1.032       1.146
  fall#2010  |      1.068      0.031     2.29   0.022        1.010       1.130
             |
       _cons |     24.860      1.017    78.53   0.000       22.945      26.936
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_2: estpost margins, dydx(iceil6) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)       

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     292800

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : iceil6

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
      iceil6 |       0.14       0.07     1.92   0.054        -0.00        0.28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * lagged regression model: 12 months
. poisson suic iceil12 i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     288000
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -392948.56                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3822

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     iceil12 |      1.009      0.005     1.80   0.071        0.999       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.241      0.006   -61.81   0.000        0.230       0.252
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.43   0.000        0.494       0.570
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.289      0.022    15.05   0.000        1.247       1.333
   45 to 64  |      1.378      0.049     9.00   0.000        1.285       1.477
       >=65  |      1.639      0.080    10.08   0.000        1.489       1.805
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.454      0.011    51.42   0.000        1.433       1.474
         AZ  |      1.289      0.016    20.58   0.000        1.258       1.320
         AR  |      1.032      0.003    11.71   0.000        1.027       1.038
         CA  |      0.900      0.003   -33.04   0.000        0.894       0.905
         CO  |      1.253      0.012    23.44   0.000        1.230       1.277
         CT  |      0.651      0.004   -67.52   0.000        0.643       0.659
         DE  |      0.924      0.003   -22.03   0.000        0.917       0.930
         FL  |      1.097      0.006    16.25   0.000        1.085       1.110
         GA  |      1.000      0.007    -0.01   0.988        0.987       1.013
         HI  |      1.043      0.017     2.56   0.010        1.010       1.077
         ID  |      1.228      0.016    15.71   0.000        1.197       1.260
         IL  |      0.733      0.003   -89.37   0.000        0.728       0.738
         IN  |      0.913      0.004   -23.50   0.000        0.907       0.920
         IA  |      0.827      0.004   -36.41   0.000        0.819       0.836
         KS  |      0.933      0.004   -15.96   0.000        0.925       0.941
         KY  |      0.993      0.004    -1.79   0.073        0.986       1.001
         LA  |      1.049      0.002    22.08   0.000        1.045       1.054
         ME  |      0.944      0.007    -8.21   0.000        0.931       0.957
         MD  |      0.814      0.003   -49.85   0.000        0.808       0.821
         MA  |      0.598      0.005   -56.21   0.000        0.587       0.609
         MI  |      0.878      0.004   -28.28   0.000        0.870       0.886
         MN  |      0.797      0.004   -43.44   0.000        0.789       0.805
         MS  |      1.031      0.003     9.46   0.000        1.025       1.038
         MO  |      1.001      0.004     0.15   0.884        0.992       1.009
         MT  |      1.421      0.011    47.33   0.000        1.400       1.441
         NE  |      0.815      0.005   -34.82   0.000        0.806       0.824
         NV  |      1.655      0.030    27.77   0.000        1.597       1.715
         NH  |      0.895      0.010    -9.47   0.000        0.875       0.916
         NJ  |      0.550      0.003  -121.29   0.000        0.545       0.556
         NM  |      1.463      0.010    56.88   0.000        1.444       1.482
         NY  |      0.579      0.002  -180.08   0.000        0.576       0.583
         NC  |      0.981      0.004    -4.92   0.000        0.973       0.988
         ND  |      0.873      0.006   -19.12   0.000        0.861       0.886
         OH  |      0.832      0.004   -38.25   0.000        0.825       0.840
         OK  |      1.121      0.006    19.82   0.000        1.108       1.133
         OR  |      1.159      0.012    14.08   0.000        1.136       1.183
         PA  |      0.857      0.004   -32.26   0.000        0.849       0.865
         RI  |      0.681      0.006   -45.98   0.000        0.669       0.692
         SC  |      0.997      0.003    -0.88   0.380        0.990       1.004
         SD  |      1.036      0.005     7.33   0.000        1.027       1.046
         TN  |      1.037      0.003    12.85   0.000        1.031       1.043
         TX  |      0.930      0.006   -11.42   0.000        0.918       0.941
         UT  |      1.190      0.013    16.52   0.000        1.166       1.215
         VT  |      1.008      0.006     1.35   0.177        0.996       1.019
         VA  |      0.966      0.003   -11.98   0.000        0.960       0.971
         WA  |      1.017      0.004     4.51   0.000        1.009       1.024
         WV  |      0.980      0.005    -3.78   0.000        0.970       0.990
         WI  |      0.903      0.008   -12.11   0.000        0.888       0.918
         WY  |      1.427      0.011    46.55   0.000        1.405       1.448
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.044      0.027     1.69   0.091        0.993       1.098
     summer  |      1.037      0.024     1.60   0.110        0.992       1.085
       fall  |      0.996      0.028    -0.14   0.893        0.944       1.052
             |
        year |
       1982  |      0.968      0.020    -1.58   0.114        0.931       1.008
       1983  |      0.983      0.025    -0.68   0.495        0.936       1.033
       1984  |      1.007      0.021     0.36   0.721        0.968       1.048
       1985  |      0.979      0.031    -0.65   0.516        0.920       1.043
       1986  |      1.044      0.031     1.47   0.141        0.986       1.106
       1987  |      0.990      0.032    -0.32   0.748        0.928       1.055
       1988  |      1.003      0.032     0.09   0.926        0.941       1.069
       1989  |      0.999      0.027    -0.05   0.958        0.948       1.052
       1990  |      0.986      0.042    -0.32   0.749        0.908       1.072
       1991  |      0.968      0.039    -0.82   0.410        0.894       1.047
       1992  |      0.990      0.039    -0.25   0.806        0.917       1.070
       1993  |      0.959      0.039    -1.01   0.310        0.885       1.040
       1994  |      0.945      0.036    -1.50   0.133        0.878       1.017
       1995  |      0.929      0.036    -1.88   0.060        0.861       1.003
       1996  |      0.916      0.044    -1.81   0.070        0.833       1.007
       1997  |      0.924      0.045    -1.63   0.102        0.841       1.016
       1998  |      0.935      0.046    -1.36   0.175        0.849       1.030
       1999  |      0.866      0.055    -2.28   0.023        0.766       0.980
       2000  |      0.874      0.057    -2.05   0.040        0.769       0.994
       2001  |      0.880      0.067    -1.68   0.093        0.758       1.022
       2002  |      0.914      0.062    -1.33   0.183        0.801       1.043
       2003  |      0.882      0.053    -2.09   0.037        0.784       0.992
       2004  |      0.895      0.062    -1.61   0.108        0.781       1.025
       2005  |      0.897      0.066    -1.48   0.138        0.776       1.036
       2006  |      0.900      0.067    -1.41   0.159        0.777       1.042
       2007  |      0.925      0.059    -1.23   0.218        0.817       1.047
       2008  |      0.980      0.070    -0.28   0.780        0.851       1.128
       2009  |      0.964      0.071    -0.50   0.616        0.834       1.113
       2010  |      0.986      0.066    -0.21   0.836        0.864       1.125
             |
 season#year |
spring#1982  |      1.078      0.035     2.32   0.020        1.012       1.149
spring#1983  |      1.023      0.031     0.77   0.444        0.965       1.085
spring#1984  |      1.025      0.022     1.12   0.264        0.982       1.070
spring#1985  |      1.066      0.032     2.17   0.030        1.006       1.130
spring#1986  |      1.019      0.033     0.57   0.570        0.955       1.086
spring#1987  |      1.121      0.035     3.61   0.000        1.054       1.193
spring#1988  |      1.041      0.031     1.34   0.180        0.982       1.103
spring#1989  |      1.029      0.027     1.08   0.282        0.977       1.084
spring#1990  |      1.026      0.034     0.77   0.441        0.962       1.094
spring#1991  |      1.056      0.032     1.79   0.073        0.995       1.120
spring#1992  |      0.989      0.033    -0.32   0.748        0.927       1.056
spring#1993  |      1.041      0.043     0.99   0.322        0.961       1.129
spring#1994  |      1.066      0.027     2.52   0.012        1.014       1.121
spring#1995  |      1.079      0.030     2.77   0.006        1.022       1.138
spring#1996  |      1.064      0.031     2.11   0.035        1.004       1.127
spring#1997  |      1.025      0.031     0.83   0.408        0.966       1.088
spring#1998  |      0.988      0.029    -0.42   0.675        0.932       1.047
spring#1999  |      1.019      0.032     0.60   0.549        0.958       1.084
spring#2000  |      1.023      0.026     0.91   0.362        0.974       1.074
spring#2001  |      1.044      0.030     1.51   0.130        0.987       1.103
spring#2002  |      1.030      0.035     0.88   0.377        0.964       1.101
spring#2003  |      1.060      0.032     1.94   0.052        1.000       1.124
spring#2004  |      1.050      0.036     1.42   0.155        0.982       1.124
spring#2005  |      1.062      0.033     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.128
spring#2006  |      1.055      0.032     1.79   0.073        0.995       1.119
spring#2007  |      1.055      0.027     2.11   0.035        1.004       1.109
spring#2008  |      1.037      0.027     1.39   0.166        0.985       1.092
spring#2009  |      1.052      0.031     1.71   0.088        0.993       1.114
spring#2010  |      1.067      0.029     2.39   0.017        1.012       1.126
summer#1982  |      1.077      0.033     2.39   0.017        1.013       1.144
summer#1983  |      1.022      0.034     0.64   0.523        0.957       1.091
summer#1984  |      0.997      0.023    -0.14   0.890        0.953       1.043
summer#1985  |      1.029      0.024     1.21   0.226        0.983       1.077
summer#1986  |      1.024      0.027     0.88   0.379        0.972       1.078
summer#1987  |      1.069      0.030     2.36   0.018        1.011       1.130
summer#1988  |      1.039      0.025     1.63   0.103        0.992       1.089
summer#1989  |      1.029      0.024     1.23   0.220        0.983       1.077
summer#1990  |      1.083      0.034     2.54   0.011        1.018       1.151
summer#1991  |      1.080      0.029     2.84   0.004        1.024       1.138
summer#1992  |      1.007      0.033     0.22   0.826        0.944       1.075
summer#1993  |      1.057      0.034     1.72   0.085        0.992       1.125
summer#1994  |      1.034      0.029     1.21   0.226        0.979       1.092
summer#1995  |      1.074      0.028     2.75   0.006        1.021       1.130
summer#1996  |      1.068      0.027     2.60   0.009        1.016       1.122
summer#1997  |      1.007      0.027     0.27   0.786        0.956       1.062
summer#1998  |      1.004      0.029     0.15   0.882        0.949       1.062
summer#1999  |      1.041      0.029     1.41   0.159        0.985       1.100
summer#2000  |      1.012      0.030     0.39   0.695        0.955       1.072
summer#2001  |      1.064      0.032     2.09   0.037        1.004       1.128
summer#2002  |      1.042      0.024     1.74   0.081        0.995       1.090
summer#2003  |      1.079      0.033     2.49   0.013        1.016       1.146
summer#2004  |      1.061      0.032     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.125
summer#2005  |      1.049      0.028     1.77   0.077        0.995       1.106
summer#2006  |      1.078      0.035     2.34   0.019        1.012       1.149
summer#2007  |      1.081      0.027     3.14   0.002        1.030       1.135
summer#2008  |      1.040      0.027     1.51   0.130        0.989       1.094
summer#2009  |      1.107      0.030     3.79   0.000        1.050       1.167
summer#2010  |      1.102      0.034     3.14   0.002        1.037       1.170
  fall#1982  |      1.018      0.029     0.64   0.519        0.963       1.077
  fall#1983  |      1.009      0.034     0.26   0.795        0.944       1.078
  fall#1984  |      1.024      0.025     0.97   0.331        0.976       1.075
  fall#1985  |      1.057      0.030     1.92   0.055        0.999       1.118
  fall#1986  |      1.005      0.031     0.15   0.881        0.945       1.068
  fall#1987  |      1.031      0.033     0.94   0.350        0.967       1.098
  fall#1988  |      1.005      0.029     0.17   0.868        0.950       1.063
  fall#1989  |      0.998      0.029    -0.07   0.945        0.943       1.057
  fall#1990  |      1.055      0.033     1.71   0.087        0.992       1.123
  fall#1991  |      1.045      0.029     1.57   0.117        0.989       1.105
  fall#1992  |      0.973      0.029    -0.89   0.373        0.917       1.033
  fall#1993  |      1.030      0.031     0.96   0.338        0.970       1.093
  fall#1994  |      1.053      0.030     1.80   0.073        0.995       1.114
  fall#1995  |      1.046      0.032     1.48   0.138        0.986       1.111
  fall#1996  |      1.040      0.033     1.25   0.213        0.978       1.107
  fall#1997  |      1.013      0.027     0.50   0.617        0.963       1.066
  fall#1998  |      0.979      0.027    -0.78   0.438        0.927       1.033
  fall#1999  |      1.016      0.033     0.49   0.625        0.954       1.082
  fall#2000  |      0.994      0.023    -0.26   0.795        0.950       1.040
  fall#2001  |      1.039      0.036     1.10   0.271        0.970       1.113
  fall#2002  |      1.017      0.025     0.70   0.486        0.970       1.067
  fall#2003  |      1.028      0.027     1.05   0.296        0.976       1.083
  fall#2004  |      1.068      0.037     1.92   0.055        0.999       1.143
  fall#2005  |      1.050      0.024     2.14   0.033        1.004       1.099
  fall#2006  |      1.069      0.034     2.08   0.037        1.004       1.138
  fall#2007  |      1.092      0.028     3.47   0.001        1.039       1.148
  fall#2008  |      1.044      0.024     1.84   0.066        0.997       1.092
  fall#2009  |      1.079      0.029     2.83   0.005        1.024       1.137
  fall#2010  |      1.052      0.031     1.70   0.090        0.992       1.115
             |
       _cons |     24.628      0.862    91.56   0.000       22.995      26.376
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_3: estpost margins, dydx(iceil12) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     288000

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : iceil12

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     iceil12 |       0.13       0.07     1.80   0.072        -0.01        0.27
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

.         
.         
. 
. // #4
. // negative binomial model
. 
. nbreg suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Negative binomial regression                      Number of obs   =     297600
Dispersion           = mean                       Wald chi2(47)   =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -402400.89                 Prob > chi2     =          .

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.009      0.005     1.73   0.084        0.999       1.020
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.237      0.004   -77.92   0.000        0.229       0.246
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.529      0.020   -16.70   0.000        0.491       0.570
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.304      0.023    15.30   0.000        1.260       1.349
   45 to 64  |      1.359      0.038    11.06   0.000        1.287       1.435
       >=65  |      1.577      0.053    13.60   0.000        1.476       1.683
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.476      0.011    53.82   0.000        1.455       1.497
         AZ  |      1.315      0.018    20.48   0.000        1.281       1.350
         AR  |      1.032      0.003    10.22   0.000        1.026       1.038
         CA  |      0.943      0.003   -15.86   0.000        0.936       0.950
         CO  |      1.268      0.014    21.88   0.000        1.242       1.296
         CT  |      0.655      0.004   -61.82   0.000        0.646       0.663
         DE  |      0.928      0.004   -17.55   0.000        0.921       0.936
         FL  |      1.093      0.006    15.32   0.000        1.080       1.105
         GA  |      1.008      0.008     1.02   0.308        0.993       1.023
         HI  |      1.053      0.017     3.14   0.002        1.019       1.087
         ID  |      1.232      0.018    14.28   0.000        1.197       1.267
         IL  |      0.744      0.003   -80.31   0.000        0.739       0.750
         IN  |      0.912      0.004   -21.21   0.000        0.904       0.919
         IA  |      0.832      0.005   -30.79   0.000        0.822       0.842
         KS  |      0.933      0.005   -13.61   0.000        0.924       0.943
         KY  |      0.994      0.005    -1.33   0.182        0.985       1.003
         LA  |      1.055      0.003    22.26   0.000        1.050       1.060
         ME  |      0.949      0.007    -6.86   0.000        0.934       0.963
         MD  |      0.823      0.004   -42.09   0.000        0.815       0.830
         MA  |      0.601      0.006   -51.40   0.000        0.589       0.613
         MI  |      0.890      0.004   -26.18   0.000        0.883       0.898
         MN  |      0.806      0.005   -34.26   0.000        0.797       0.816
         MS  |      1.028      0.003     8.28   0.000        1.021       1.035
         MO  |      1.003      0.004     0.57   0.566        0.994       1.011
         MT  |      1.425      0.012    42.92   0.000        1.402       1.448
         NE  |      0.818      0.006   -29.53   0.000        0.807       0.829
         NV  |      1.671      0.032    26.74   0.000        1.610       1.736
         NH  |      0.899      0.012    -8.14   0.000        0.876       0.922
         NJ  |      0.555      0.003  -115.40   0.000        0.550       0.561
         NM  |      1.483      0.012    49.96   0.000        1.460       1.506
         NY  |      0.589      0.002  -169.51   0.000        0.586       0.593
         NC  |      0.986      0.004    -3.20   0.001        0.977       0.994
         ND  |      0.880      0.007   -15.98   0.000        0.866       0.894
         OH  |      0.849      0.004   -34.27   0.000        0.841       0.857
         OK  |      1.125      0.007    19.81   0.000        1.112       1.138
         OR  |      1.169      0.014    13.20   0.000        1.142       1.197
         PA  |      0.861      0.004   -35.04   0.000        0.854       0.868
         RI  |      0.688      0.006   -42.39   0.000        0.676       0.700
         SC  |      0.993      0.004    -1.90   0.057        0.985       1.000
         SD  |      1.048      0.006     7.90   0.000        1.036       1.060
         TN  |      1.038      0.003    12.11   0.000        1.032       1.044
         TX  |      0.940      0.006    -9.03   0.000        0.927       0.953
         UT  |      1.191      0.014    14.66   0.000        1.164       1.219
         VT  |      1.014      0.007     2.07   0.039        1.001       1.028
         VA  |      0.983      0.003    -5.12   0.000        0.976       0.989
         WA  |      1.036      0.005     7.78   0.000        1.027       1.045
         WV  |      0.982      0.006    -3.03   0.002        0.971       0.994
         WI  |      0.913      0.008    -9.84   0.000        0.897       0.930
         WY  |      1.432      0.013    39.86   0.000        1.407       1.458
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.078      0.017     4.77   0.000        1.045       1.112
     summer  |      1.065      0.018     3.81   0.000        1.031       1.100
       fall  |      1.021      0.017     1.23   0.221        0.988       1.054
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.027      0.021     1.29   0.199        0.986       1.070
       1982  |      0.989      0.024    -0.44   0.660        0.944       1.037
       1983  |      1.010      0.024     0.42   0.672        0.964       1.058
       1984  |      1.041      0.023     1.81   0.071        0.997       1.087
       1985  |      1.005      0.031     0.17   0.863        0.946       1.068
       1986  |      1.081      0.027     3.12   0.002        1.029       1.134
       1987  |      1.024      0.035     0.71   0.478        0.959       1.094
       1988  |      1.036      0.032     1.14   0.253        0.975       1.101
       1989  |      1.034      0.024     1.43   0.151        0.988       1.083
       1990  |      1.015      0.034     0.43   0.664        0.950       1.083
       1991  |      1.000      0.032    -0.01   0.994        0.939       1.064
       1992  |      1.022      0.030     0.72   0.471        0.964       1.083
       1993  |      0.989      0.035    -0.32   0.750        0.923       1.059
       1994  |      0.978      0.033    -0.67   0.506        0.916       1.044
       1995  |      0.964      0.033    -1.08   0.282        0.902       1.031
       1996  |      0.952      0.039    -1.19   0.232        0.877       1.032
       1997  |      0.958      0.040    -1.02   0.305        0.883       1.040
       1998  |      0.970      0.040    -0.73   0.463        0.895       1.052
       1999  |      0.906      0.048    -1.87   0.061        0.818       1.005
       2000  |      0.905      0.051    -1.77   0.076        0.810       1.011
       2001  |      0.910      0.057    -1.50   0.135        0.804       1.030
       2002  |      0.941      0.051    -1.11   0.267        0.846       1.047
       2003  |      0.907      0.047    -1.87   0.062        0.819       1.005
       2004  |      0.928      0.052    -1.32   0.187        0.831       1.037
       2005  |      0.930      0.056    -1.20   0.229        0.825       1.047
       2006  |      0.934      0.060    -1.07   0.284        0.823       1.059
       2007  |      0.951      0.053    -0.91   0.365        0.853       1.060
       2008  |      1.005      0.061     0.09   0.929        0.893       1.132
       2009  |      0.979      0.057    -0.37   0.709        0.873       1.096
       2010  |      1.009      0.055     0.17   0.864        0.907       1.124
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.981      0.031    -0.60   0.548        0.923       1.044
spring#1982  |      1.049      0.025     2.02   0.043        1.002       1.100
spring#1983  |      0.995      0.026    -0.20   0.842        0.946       1.046
spring#1984  |      1.001      0.027     0.05   0.959        0.950       1.056
spring#1985  |      1.044      0.025     1.81   0.070        0.997       1.094
spring#1986  |      0.991      0.026    -0.33   0.740        0.942       1.043
spring#1987  |      1.096      0.025     3.99   0.000        1.048       1.147
spring#1988  |      1.013      0.020     0.66   0.511        0.974       1.054
spring#1989  |      1.000      0.025     0.02   0.984        0.953       1.050
spring#1990  |      1.001      0.021     0.06   0.951        0.961       1.043
spring#1991  |      1.016      0.025     0.64   0.523        0.968       1.066
spring#1992  |      0.963      0.020    -1.80   0.072        0.923       1.003
spring#1993  |      1.016      0.022     0.74   0.458        0.974       1.061
spring#1994  |      1.043      0.023     1.92   0.055        0.999       1.089
spring#1995  |      1.042      0.027     1.58   0.115        0.990       1.098
spring#1996  |      1.028      0.028     1.02   0.307        0.975       1.084
spring#1997  |      1.002      0.029     0.08   0.939        0.946       1.061
spring#1998  |      0.964      0.020    -1.74   0.082        0.926       1.005
spring#1999  |      0.989      0.020    -0.55   0.579        0.950       1.029
spring#2000  |      0.997      0.022    -0.15   0.877        0.955       1.040
spring#2001  |      1.018      0.021     0.84   0.399        0.977       1.060
spring#2002  |      0.999      0.016    -0.03   0.974        0.968       1.032
spring#2003  |      1.025      0.024     1.09   0.277        0.980       1.073
spring#2004  |      1.019      0.026     0.74   0.459        0.970       1.071
spring#2005  |      1.029      0.024     1.24   0.216        0.983       1.078
spring#2006  |      1.019      0.021     0.94   0.348        0.979       1.061
spring#2007  |      1.028      0.022     1.28   0.202        0.985       1.073
spring#2008  |      1.002      0.020     0.10   0.924        0.963       1.043
spring#2009  |      1.017      0.022     0.79   0.430        0.975       1.062
spring#2010  |      1.036      0.022     1.71   0.087        0.995       1.080
summer#1981  |      0.971      0.025    -1.15   0.249        0.924       1.021
summer#1982  |      1.053      0.026     2.13   0.033        1.004       1.105
summer#1983  |      0.993      0.028    -0.26   0.797        0.940       1.049
summer#1984  |      0.975      0.022    -1.14   0.256        0.933       1.019
summer#1985  |      1.011      0.023     0.49   0.625        0.967       1.057
summer#1986  |      1.000      0.016     0.02   0.984        0.969       1.033
summer#1987  |      1.049      0.025     1.98   0.047        1.001       1.100
summer#1988  |      1.010      0.023     0.42   0.675        0.965       1.056
summer#1989  |      1.004      0.024     0.16   0.874        0.958       1.052
summer#1990  |      1.070      0.033     2.18   0.029        1.007       1.137
summer#1991  |      1.049      0.028     1.79   0.074        0.995       1.105
summer#1992  |      0.985      0.026    -0.57   0.572        0.934       1.038
summer#1993  |      1.037      0.029     1.31   0.190        0.982       1.096
summer#1994  |      1.012      0.024     0.53   0.597        0.967       1.060
summer#1995  |      1.044      0.026     1.74   0.082        0.995       1.095
summer#1996  |      1.037      0.025     1.50   0.133        0.989       1.087
summer#1997  |      0.982      0.023    -0.77   0.444        0.938       1.028
summer#1998  |      0.983      0.021    -0.79   0.431        0.942       1.026
summer#1999  |      1.009      0.025     0.38   0.703        0.962       1.059
summer#2000  |      0.995      0.022    -0.23   0.819        0.952       1.040
summer#2001  |      1.041      0.029     1.45   0.148        0.986       1.098
summer#2002  |      1.017      0.021     0.80   0.422        0.977       1.058
summer#2003  |      1.048      0.027     1.86   0.064        0.997       1.102
summer#2004  |      1.039      0.022     1.85   0.064        0.998       1.082
summer#2005  |      1.025      0.025     1.00   0.317        0.977       1.075
summer#2006  |      1.050      0.027     1.90   0.058        0.998       1.105
summer#2007  |      1.059      0.026     2.37   0.018        1.010       1.111
summer#2008  |      1.009      0.023     0.39   0.696        0.965       1.055
summer#2009  |      1.070      0.024     3.07   0.002        1.025       1.118
summer#2010  |      1.072      0.026     2.84   0.005        1.022       1.125
  fall#1981  |      0.987      0.030    -0.45   0.653        0.930       1.047
  fall#1982  |      1.000      0.024    -0.02   0.984        0.953       1.048
  fall#1983  |      0.994      0.024    -0.25   0.801        0.948       1.042
  fall#1984  |      1.004      0.025     0.16   0.874        0.957       1.054
  fall#1985  |      1.035      0.022     1.61   0.106        0.993       1.080
  fall#1986  |      0.977      0.022    -1.00   0.316        0.934       1.022
  fall#1987  |      1.016      0.023     0.70   0.485        0.972       1.062
  fall#1988  |      0.986      0.022    -0.60   0.545        0.943       1.031
  fall#1989  |      0.975      0.023    -1.11   0.268        0.932       1.020
  fall#1990  |      1.041      0.028     1.48   0.139        0.987       1.098
  fall#1991  |      1.022      0.027     0.83   0.409        0.970       1.076
  fall#1992  |      0.952      0.020    -2.32   0.020        0.913       0.992
  fall#1993  |      1.016      0.021     0.75   0.452        0.975       1.059
  fall#1994  |      1.031      0.028     1.14   0.255        0.978       1.088
  fall#1995  |      1.026      0.025     1.06   0.290        0.978       1.077
  fall#1996  |      1.018      0.026     0.69   0.490        0.969       1.069
  fall#1997  |      0.998      0.026    -0.06   0.955        0.948       1.052
  fall#1998  |      0.957      0.019    -2.21   0.027        0.920       0.995
  fall#1999  |      0.989      0.021    -0.51   0.607        0.948       1.032
  fall#2000  |      0.986      0.022    -0.61   0.542        0.944       1.031
  fall#2001  |      1.011      0.023     0.47   0.641        0.966       1.058
  fall#2002  |      0.994      0.025    -0.25   0.806        0.945       1.045
  fall#2003  |      1.010      0.025     0.41   0.683        0.962       1.061
  fall#2004  |      1.051      0.025     2.10   0.036        1.003       1.101
  fall#2005  |      1.032      0.028     1.16   0.247        0.978       1.089
  fall#2006  |      1.051      0.025     2.06   0.039        1.002       1.101
  fall#2007  |      1.072      0.022     3.34   0.001        1.029       1.117
  fall#2008  |      1.023      0.023     1.01   0.314        0.979       1.069
  fall#2009  |      1.059      0.028     2.15   0.032        1.005       1.115
  fall#2010  |      1.043      0.024     1.83   0.067        0.997       1.091
             |
       _cons |     23.917      0.998    76.05   0.000       22.038      25.956
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    /lnalpha |     -3.268      0.127                        -3.517      -3.020
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       alpha |      0.038      0.005                         0.030       0.049
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_4: estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.13       0.07     1.71   0.087        -0.02        0.27
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

.         
. 
. // #5   
. // heterogeneity by national recessionary period
. 
. * NBER recession periods
. gen recper=0

. * Jan1980-Jul1980
. replace recper=1 if year==1980 & (month>=1 & month<=6)
(4800 real changes made)

. * Jul1981-Nov1982
. replace recper=1 if (year==1981 & month>=7 & month<=12 ) | ///
>         (year==1982 & month>=1 & month<=10)
(12800 real changes made)

. *Jul1990-Mar1991
. replace recper=1 if (year==1990 & month>=7 & month<=12 ) | ///
>         (year==1991 & month>=1 & month<=3)
(7200 real changes made)

. *Mar2001-Nov2001
. replace recper=1 if (year==2001 & month>=3 & month<=10 )
(6400 real changes made)

. * Dec2007-Jun2009
. replace recper=1 if (year==2007 & month==12 ) | ///
>         (year==2009 & month>=1 & month<=5)
(4800 real changes made)

. 
. label var recper "NBER recession period?"

. label define noyes 0 no 1 yes, modify

. label values recper noyes

. 
. * check coding of national recessions by quarter
. tab quarter recper

           |    NBER recession
           |        period?
   Quarter |        no        yes |     Total
-----------+----------------------+----------
    1980q1 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1980q2 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1980q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1980q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1981q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1981q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1981q3 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1981q4 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1982q1 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1982q2 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1982q3 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1982q4 |     1,600        800 |     2,400 
    1983q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1983q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1983q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1983q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1984q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1984q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1984q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1984q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1985q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1985q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1985q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1985q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1986q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1986q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1986q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1986q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1987q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1987q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1987q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1987q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1988q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1988q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1988q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1988q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1989q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1989q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1989q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1989q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1990q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1990q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1990q3 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1990q4 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1991q1 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    1991q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1991q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1991q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1992q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1992q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1992q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1992q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1993q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1993q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1993q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1993q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1994q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1994q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1994q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1994q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1995q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1995q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1995q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1995q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1996q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1996q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1996q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1996q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1997q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1997q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1997q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1997q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1998q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1998q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1998q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1998q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1999q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1999q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1999q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    1999q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2000q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2000q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2000q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2000q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2001q1 |     1,600        800 |     2,400 
    2001q2 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    2001q3 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    2001q4 |     1,600        800 |     2,400 
    2002q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2002q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2002q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2002q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2003q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2003q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2003q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2003q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2004q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2004q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2004q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2004q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2005q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2005q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2005q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2005q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2006q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2006q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2006q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2006q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2007q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2007q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2007q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2007q4 |     1,600        800 |     2,400 
    2008q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2008q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2008q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2008q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2009q1 |         0      2,400 |     2,400 
    2009q2 |       800      1,600 |     2,400 
    2009q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2009q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2010q1 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2010q2 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2010q3 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
    2010q4 |     2,400          0 |     2,400 
-----------+----------------------+----------
     Total |   261,600     36,000 |   297,600 


. 
. * average change in ICEI by recessionary period
. sort stfipsn agecat sex race2 yyyymm

. bysort stfipsn agecat sex race2: gen iceidiff=icei-icei[_n-1]
(800 missing values generated)

. bysort stfipsn agecat sex race2: gen iceipdiff=(icei-icei[_n-1]) / icei[_n-1]
(800 missing values generated)

. tab strec, sum(iceidiff)

      state |         Summary of iceidiff
  recession |        Mean   Std. Dev.       Freq.
------------+------------------------------------
          0 |  -.03651415   .02471028      231280
          1 |   .03754676   .04385075       65520
------------+------------------------------------
      Total |  -.02016485   .04293989      296800

. tab recper, sum(iceidiff)

       NBER |
  recession |         Summary of iceidiff
    period? |        Mean   Std. Dev.       Freq.
------------+------------------------------------
         no |  -.02683413   .03725148      261600
        yes |   .02939999   .04946475       35200
------------+------------------------------------
      Total |  -.02016485   .04293989      296800

. tab strec, sum(iceipdiff)

      state |        Summary of iceipdiff
  recession |        Mean   Std. Dev.       Freq.
------------+------------------------------------
          0 |   .00333142   .00226572      231280
          1 |  -.00317843   .00337909       65520
------------+------------------------------------
      Total |   .00189434   .00371629      296800

. tab recper, sum(iceipdiff)

       NBER |
  recession |        Summary of iceipdiff
    period? |        Mean   Std. Dev.       Freq.
------------+------------------------------------
         no |   .00251729   .00314918      261600
        yes |   -.0027353   .00429292       35200
------------+------------------------------------
      Total |   .00189434   .00371629      296800

. 
. poisson suic c.icei##i.recper i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -405166.07                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3801

                                  (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              |               Robust
         suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
--------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         icei |      1.011      0.005     2.05   0.040        1.000       1.021
              |
       recper |
         yes  |      0.961      0.023    -1.66   0.096        0.917       1.007
              |
recper#c.icei |
         yes  |      0.997      0.002    -1.42   0.155        0.993       1.001
              |
          sex |
     2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.80   0.000        0.231       0.253
              |
        race2 |
  2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.28   0.000        0.494       0.571
              |
       agecat |
    25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.03   0.000        1.246       1.332
    45 to 64  |      1.376      0.049     9.03   0.000        1.284       1.474
        >=65  |      1.638      0.080    10.15   0.000        1.489       1.801
              |
        stabb |
          AK  |      1.453      0.011    51.41   0.000        1.433       1.474
          AZ  |      1.297      0.017    20.06   0.000        1.264       1.330
          AR  |      1.032      0.003    11.37   0.000        1.026       1.038
          CA  |      0.908      0.003   -27.30   0.000        0.901       0.914
          CO  |      1.259      0.013    22.50   0.000        1.234       1.284
          CT  |      0.654      0.004   -66.32   0.000        0.645       0.662
          DE  |      0.927      0.003   -20.38   0.000        0.921       0.934
          FL  |      1.101      0.006    17.23   0.000        1.089       1.114
          GA  |      1.006      0.007     0.85   0.397        0.992       1.021
          HI  |      1.045      0.017     2.70   0.007        1.012       1.080
          ID  |      1.230      0.017    15.20   0.000        1.198       1.264
          IL  |      0.735      0.003   -88.30   0.000        0.730       0.740
          IN  |      0.913      0.004   -23.46   0.000        0.906       0.920
          IA  |      0.829      0.004   -36.13   0.000        0.820       0.837
          KS  |      0.932      0.004   -16.32   0.000        0.924       0.939
          KY  |      0.995      0.004    -1.21   0.226        0.988       1.003
          LA  |      1.052      0.002    23.16   0.000        1.047       1.056
          ME  |      0.946      0.006    -8.12   0.000        0.934       0.959
          MD  |      0.818      0.004   -46.33   0.000        0.812       0.825
          MA  |      0.601      0.006   -54.51   0.000        0.590       0.612
          MI  |      0.881      0.004   -29.40   0.000        0.874       0.889
          MN  |      0.800      0.004   -41.27   0.000        0.791       0.808
          MS  |      1.028      0.003     8.17   0.000        1.021       1.035
          MO  |      1.000      0.004     0.07   0.945        0.992       1.008
          MT  |      1.416      0.011    46.74   0.000        1.396       1.437
          NE  |      0.815      0.005   -34.20   0.000        0.806       0.825
          NV  |      1.668      0.031    27.18   0.000        1.608       1.731
          NH  |      0.898      0.011    -8.81   0.000        0.877       0.920
          NJ  |      0.553      0.003  -119.00   0.000        0.547       0.558
          NM  |      1.468      0.010    53.89   0.000        1.447       1.488
          NY  |      0.586      0.002  -172.32   0.000        0.582       0.589
          NC  |      0.983      0.004    -3.96   0.000        0.974       0.991
          ND  |      0.875      0.006   -18.53   0.000        0.863       0.887
          OH  |      0.838      0.004   -37.94   0.000        0.830       0.845
          OK  |      1.121      0.006    20.22   0.000        1.108       1.133
          OR  |      1.164      0.013    13.76   0.000        1.139       1.189
          PA  |      0.858      0.004   -32.64   0.000        0.851       0.866
          RI  |      0.687      0.006   -45.60   0.000        0.676       0.698
          SC  |      0.996      0.004    -1.06   0.290        0.989       1.003
          SD  |      1.037      0.005     7.23   0.000        1.027       1.048
          TN  |      1.038      0.003    12.53   0.000        1.032       1.044
          TX  |      0.935      0.007    -9.45   0.000        0.922       0.948
          UT  |      1.196      0.014    15.64   0.000        1.170       1.223
          VT  |      1.013      0.006     2.18   0.029        1.001       1.024
          VA  |      0.972      0.003    -8.88   0.000        0.965       0.978
          WA  |      1.019      0.004     4.91   0.000        1.012       1.027
          WV  |      0.981      0.005    -3.64   0.000        0.971       0.991
          WI  |      0.906      0.008   -11.65   0.000        0.891       0.921
          WY  |      1.426      0.011    44.68   0.000        1.404       1.448
              |
       season |
      spring  |      1.086      0.018     5.08   0.000        1.052       1.122
      summer  |      1.057      0.017     3.39   0.001        1.024       1.092
        fall  |      1.007      0.017     0.41   0.678        0.974       1.041
              |
         year |
        1981  |      1.023      0.022     1.06   0.289        0.981       1.066
        1982  |      0.995      0.022    -0.21   0.835        0.954       1.039
        1983  |      0.999      0.021    -0.04   0.967        0.959       1.041
        1984  |      1.029      0.022     1.34   0.179        0.987       1.074
        1985  |      1.000      0.031     0.01   0.993        0.942       1.063
        1986  |      1.066      0.025     2.68   0.007        1.017       1.117
        1987  |      1.011      0.031     0.35   0.724        0.951       1.075
        1988  |      1.026      0.030     0.89   0.372        0.969       1.087
        1989  |      1.022      0.022     0.99   0.322        0.979       1.066
        1990  |      1.012      0.037     0.33   0.743        0.942       1.087
        1991  |      0.994      0.034    -0.17   0.866        0.930       1.063
        1992  |      1.011      0.030     0.38   0.706        0.954       1.073
        1993  |      0.982      0.032    -0.54   0.586        0.921       1.048
        1994  |      0.970      0.033    -0.90   0.367        0.907       1.037
        1995  |      0.954      0.032    -1.38   0.167        0.893       1.020
        1996  |      0.940      0.041    -1.43   0.152        0.864       1.023
        1997  |      0.951      0.041    -1.16   0.244        0.874       1.035
        1998  |      0.964      0.040    -0.89   0.373        0.888       1.045
        1999  |      0.893      0.050    -2.04   0.041        0.801       0.996
        2000  |      0.901      0.053    -1.76   0.078        0.803       1.012
        2001  |      0.904      0.061    -1.49   0.136        0.791       1.032
        2002  |      0.937      0.054    -1.13   0.258        0.836       1.049
        2003  |      0.906      0.047    -1.91   0.056        0.818       1.003
        2004  |      0.921      0.055    -1.37   0.170        0.820       1.036
        2005  |      0.925      0.061    -1.19   0.236        0.814       1.052
        2006  |      0.929      0.063    -1.08   0.279        0.814       1.061
        2007  |      0.953      0.052    -0.88   0.380        0.856       1.061
        2008  |      1.007      0.063     0.11   0.909        0.892       1.138
        2009  |      0.980      0.059    -0.34   0.736        0.870       1.103
        2010  |      1.009      0.057     0.17   0.868        0.904       1.127
              |
  season#year |
 spring#1981  |      0.956      0.030    -1.41   0.158        0.898       1.018
 spring#1982  |      1.043      0.023     1.93   0.053        0.999       1.089
 spring#1983  |      0.982      0.025    -0.71   0.478        0.936       1.032
 spring#1984  |      0.986      0.026    -0.54   0.586        0.936       1.038
 spring#1985  |      1.025      0.023     1.10   0.272        0.981       1.071
 spring#1986  |      0.979      0.024    -0.87   0.382        0.934       1.026
 spring#1987  |      1.077      0.023     3.50   0.000        1.033       1.123
 spring#1988  |      1.001      0.017     0.04   0.970        0.967       1.036
 spring#1989  |      0.989      0.021    -0.50   0.620        0.949       1.032
 spring#1990  |      0.983      0.020    -0.86   0.392        0.945       1.023
 spring#1991  |      1.010      0.025     0.39   0.694        0.962       1.060
 spring#1992  |      0.951      0.020    -2.44   0.015        0.914       0.990
 spring#1993  |      1.001      0.022     0.05   0.964        0.959       1.044
 spring#1994  |      1.025      0.020     1.27   0.203        0.987       1.064
 spring#1995  |      1.037      0.025     1.49   0.136        0.989       1.088
 spring#1996  |      1.022      0.027     0.84   0.399        0.971       1.076
 spring#1997  |      0.986      0.028    -0.52   0.606        0.933       1.042
 spring#1998  |      0.950      0.019    -2.63   0.008        0.914       0.987
 spring#1999  |      0.979      0.019    -1.08   0.280        0.943       1.017
 spring#2000  |      0.984      0.022    -0.71   0.480        0.941       1.029
 spring#2001  |      1.003      0.022     0.14   0.889        0.960       1.048
 spring#2002  |      0.990      0.018    -0.55   0.585        0.955       1.026
 spring#2003  |      1.018      0.024     0.77   0.444        0.972       1.066
 spring#2004  |      1.010      0.026     0.38   0.702        0.960       1.063
 spring#2005  |      1.021      0.025     0.85   0.397        0.973       1.071
 spring#2006  |      1.014      0.020     0.70   0.482        0.975       1.055
 spring#2007  |      1.017      0.021     0.79   0.428        0.976       1.059
 spring#2008  |      0.999      0.018    -0.07   0.947        0.964       1.035
 spring#2009  |      1.008      0.023     0.35   0.723        0.964       1.055
 spring#2010  |      1.027      0.022     1.24   0.216        0.985       1.071
 summer#1981  |      0.989      0.027    -0.40   0.690        0.937       1.044
 summer#1982  |      1.063      0.024     2.66   0.008        1.016       1.111
 summer#1983  |      1.003      0.027     0.13   0.900        0.952       1.058
 summer#1984  |      0.979      0.021    -1.01   0.313        0.939       1.020
 summer#1985  |      1.009      0.021     0.42   0.678        0.968       1.051
 summer#1986  |      1.004      0.017     0.25   0.802        0.972       1.038
 summer#1987  |      1.049      0.022     2.27   0.023        1.007       1.094
 summer#1988  |      1.020      0.022     0.93   0.352        0.978       1.064
 summer#1989  |      1.009      0.024     0.40   0.686        0.964       1.057
 summer#1990  |      1.067      0.032     2.13   0.033        1.005       1.132
 summer#1991  |      1.050      0.026     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.103
 summer#1992  |      0.989      0.024    -0.46   0.643        0.943       1.037
 summer#1993  |      1.037      0.026     1.43   0.153        0.987       1.090
 summer#1994  |      1.015      0.021     0.74   0.460        0.975       1.057
 summer#1995  |      1.053      0.023     2.39   0.017        1.009       1.099
 summer#1996  |      1.048      0.024     2.07   0.038        1.003       1.096
 summer#1997  |      0.989      0.022    -0.50   0.615        0.946       1.034
 summer#1998  |      0.986      0.019    -0.74   0.459        0.948       1.024
 summer#1999  |      1.021      0.023     0.92   0.357        0.977       1.067
 summer#2000  |      0.993      0.023    -0.30   0.765        0.949       1.039
 summer#2001  |      1.043      0.027     1.60   0.110        0.991       1.097
 summer#2002  |      1.022      0.020     1.16   0.248        0.985       1.061
 summer#2003  |      1.058      0.026     2.31   0.021        1.009       1.110
 summer#2004  |      1.042      0.021     2.08   0.037        1.002       1.084
 summer#2005  |      1.029      0.023     1.28   0.200        0.985       1.076
 summer#2006  |      1.058      0.027     2.22   0.027        1.007       1.112
 summer#2007  |      1.063      0.022     2.93   0.003        1.020       1.107
 summer#2008  |      1.020      0.023     0.88   0.381        0.976       1.067
 summer#2009  |      1.085      0.023     3.84   0.000        1.041       1.132
 summer#2010  |      1.085      0.024     3.68   0.000        1.039       1.133
   fall#1981  |      1.003      0.038     0.08   0.939        0.931       1.080
   fall#1982  |      1.006      0.022     0.29   0.771        0.964       1.051
   fall#1983  |      1.001      0.022     0.06   0.952        0.959       1.045
   fall#1984  |      1.014      0.025     0.55   0.581        0.966       1.064
   fall#1985  |      1.045      0.024     1.88   0.060        0.998       1.094
   fall#1986  |      0.994      0.024    -0.26   0.793        0.948       1.041
   fall#1987  |      1.021      0.021     0.98   0.329        0.980       1.064
   fall#1988  |      0.994      0.023    -0.25   0.805        0.950       1.041
   fall#1989  |      0.987      0.024    -0.54   0.588        0.940       1.036
   fall#1990  |      1.052      0.028     1.88   0.060        0.998       1.109
   fall#1991  |      1.025      0.025     1.02   0.310        0.977       1.076
   fall#1992  |      0.964      0.019    -1.85   0.065        0.927       1.002
   fall#1993  |      1.020      0.022     0.89   0.374        0.977       1.064
   fall#1994  |      1.043      0.028     1.58   0.113        0.990       1.098
   fall#1995  |      1.034      0.025     1.37   0.169        0.986       1.085
   fall#1996  |      1.030      0.024     1.27   0.203        0.984       1.078
   fall#1997  |      1.003      0.026     0.12   0.904        0.954       1.055
   fall#1998  |      0.968      0.020    -1.53   0.125        0.929       1.009
   fall#1999  |      1.005      0.023     0.22   0.825        0.962       1.050
   fall#2000  |      0.983      0.027    -0.62   0.532        0.932       1.037
   fall#2001  |      1.025      0.025     1.00   0.318        0.977       1.076
   fall#2002  |      1.008      0.026     0.29   0.769        0.957       1.061
   fall#2003  |      1.017      0.026     0.67   0.502        0.968       1.069
   fall#2004  |      1.059      0.023     2.66   0.008        1.015       1.104
   fall#2005  |      1.039      0.028     1.42   0.154        0.986       1.096
   fall#2006  |      1.058      0.027     2.22   0.027        1.006       1.111
   fall#2007  |      1.082      0.025     3.40   0.001        1.034       1.132
   fall#2008  |      1.029      0.023     1.30   0.195        0.985       1.075
   fall#2009  |      1.067      0.029     2.43   0.015        1.013       1.125
   fall#2010  |      1.046      0.024     1.95   0.052        1.000       1.094
              |
        _cons |     24.373      1.056    73.69   0.000       22.388      26.533
   logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_5: estpost margins, dydx(icei) by(recper) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei
over         : recper

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
icei         |
      recper |
         no  |       0.15       0.07     2.05   0.040         0.01        0.29
        yes  |       0.11       0.07     1.61   0.108        -0.02        0.25
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

.         
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(recper, replace) 

. 
.         
. 
. // #6
. // heterogeneity by state recessionary periods
. 
. poisson suic c.icei##i.strec i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog ///
>         irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -405146.83                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3801

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.012      0.005     2.37   0.018        1.002       1.022
     1.strec |      0.927      0.024    -2.89   0.004        0.880       0.976
             |
strec#c.icei |
          1  |      0.994      0.002    -2.50   0.013        0.989       0.999
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.80   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.27   0.000        0.494       0.571
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.03   0.000        1.247       1.332
   45 to 64  |      1.376      0.049     9.03   0.000        1.284       1.474
       >=65  |      1.638      0.080    10.15   0.000        1.489       1.801
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.454      0.010    52.55   0.000        1.434       1.475
         AZ  |      1.294      0.017    19.89   0.000        1.261       1.327
         AR  |      1.032      0.003    11.26   0.000        1.026       1.037
         CA  |      0.908      0.003   -26.34   0.000        0.901       0.914
         CO  |      1.256      0.013    22.33   0.000        1.232       1.282
         CT  |      0.653      0.004   -65.16   0.000        0.644       0.661
         DE  |      0.927      0.003   -20.78   0.000        0.920       0.933
         FL  |      1.099      0.006    16.39   0.000        1.087       1.112
         GA  |      1.004      0.007     0.59   0.553        0.990       1.019
         HI  |      1.047      0.017     2.75   0.006        1.013       1.081
         ID  |      1.229      0.017    15.12   0.000        1.196       1.262
         IL  |      0.736      0.003   -88.80   0.000        0.731       0.741
         IN  |      0.913      0.004   -23.08   0.000        0.906       0.920
         IA  |      0.829      0.004   -35.96   0.000        0.820       0.837
         KS  |      0.931      0.004   -16.15   0.000        0.923       0.939
         KY  |      0.996      0.004    -0.99   0.321        0.988       1.004
         LA  |      1.052      0.002    23.49   0.000        1.048       1.057
         ME  |      0.946      0.006    -8.08   0.000        0.934       0.959
         MD  |      0.819      0.004   -46.04   0.000        0.812       0.826
         MA  |      0.601      0.006   -54.59   0.000        0.590       0.612
         MI  |      0.881      0.004   -28.76   0.000        0.873       0.889
         MN  |      0.800      0.004   -40.22   0.000        0.791       0.809
         MS  |      1.028      0.003     8.36   0.000        1.022       1.035
         MO  |      1.000      0.004     0.08   0.933        0.992       1.009
         MT  |      1.418      0.011    46.90   0.000        1.397       1.439
         NE  |      0.816      0.005   -33.91   0.000        0.806       0.825
         NV  |      1.662      0.031    27.29   0.000        1.602       1.723
         NH  |      0.897      0.011    -8.89   0.000        0.876       0.919
         NJ  |      0.552      0.003  -118.06   0.000        0.547       0.558
         NM  |      1.466      0.011    53.05   0.000        1.445       1.487
         NY  |      0.585      0.002  -167.31   0.000        0.582       0.589
         NC  |      0.982      0.004    -4.20   0.000        0.974       0.990
         ND  |      0.877      0.006   -18.34   0.000        0.864       0.889
         OH  |      0.838      0.004   -38.00   0.000        0.830       0.846
         OK  |      1.122      0.006    20.19   0.000        1.109       1.134
         OR  |      1.164      0.013    13.85   0.000        1.139       1.189
         PA  |      0.859      0.004   -32.86   0.000        0.851       0.867
         RI  |      0.688      0.006   -45.98   0.000        0.677       0.699
         SC  |      0.996      0.004    -1.04   0.298        0.989       1.004
         SD  |      1.037      0.005     7.12   0.000        1.027       1.047
         TN  |      1.038      0.003    12.09   0.000        1.032       1.045
         TX  |      0.935      0.007    -9.44   0.000        0.922       0.948
         UT  |      1.194      0.014    15.54   0.000        1.167       1.221
         VT  |      1.013      0.006     2.18   0.029        1.001       1.025
         VA  |      0.971      0.003    -9.05   0.000        0.965       0.977
         WA  |      1.019      0.004     4.63   0.000        1.011       1.027
         WV  |      0.981      0.005    -3.62   0.000        0.971       0.991
         WI  |      0.907      0.008   -11.44   0.000        0.892       0.923
         WY  |      1.427      0.012    43.50   0.000        1.404       1.450
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.084      0.017     5.31   0.000        1.052       1.117
     summer  |      1.067      0.017     4.04   0.000        1.034       1.101
       fall  |      1.012      0.017     0.74   0.456        0.980       1.046
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.030      0.021     1.43   0.153        0.989       1.072
       1982  |      1.004      0.023     0.17   0.864        0.959       1.051
       1983  |      1.006      0.021     0.27   0.788        0.965       1.048
       1984  |      1.032      0.020     1.59   0.112        0.993       1.073
       1985  |      1.004      0.030     0.14   0.886        0.947       1.065
       1986  |      1.072      0.025     2.99   0.003        1.024       1.122
       1987  |      1.016      0.031     0.51   0.612        0.956       1.079
       1988  |      1.031      0.029     1.07   0.284        0.975       1.089
       1989  |      1.027      0.021     1.28   0.200        0.986       1.069
       1990  |      1.017      0.037     0.46   0.647        0.947       1.091
       1991  |      0.999      0.033    -0.02   0.985        0.936       1.067
       1992  |      1.019      0.030     0.62   0.533        0.961       1.080
       1993  |      0.988      0.032    -0.38   0.704        0.927       1.053
       1994  |      0.976      0.032    -0.74   0.459        0.915       1.041
       1995  |      0.961      0.032    -1.19   0.233        0.901       1.026
       1996  |      0.947      0.040    -1.29   0.199        0.872       1.029
       1997  |      0.959      0.040    -1.00   0.318        0.883       1.041
       1998  |      0.972      0.040    -0.69   0.493        0.898       1.053
       1999  |      0.902      0.049    -1.91   0.056        0.811       1.003
       2000  |      0.910      0.053    -1.64   0.101        0.812       1.019
       2001  |      0.907      0.064    -1.39   0.164        0.791       1.041
       2002  |      0.941      0.056    -1.03   0.303        0.837       1.057
       2003  |      0.912      0.047    -1.78   0.075        0.825       1.009
       2004  |      0.931      0.054    -1.22   0.222        0.830       1.044
       2005  |      0.936      0.060    -1.04   0.299        0.826       1.061
       2006  |      0.941      0.061    -0.93   0.350        0.828       1.069
       2007  |      0.964      0.052    -0.67   0.504        0.867       1.072
       2008  |      1.003      0.066     0.05   0.960        0.881       1.142
       2009  |      0.979      0.064    -0.33   0.743        0.860       1.113
       2010  |      1.017      0.057     0.31   0.756        0.912       1.135
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.964      0.031    -1.15   0.252        0.906       1.026
spring#1982  |      1.043      0.022     1.96   0.049        1.000       1.088
spring#1983  |      0.980      0.024    -0.82   0.414        0.935       1.028
spring#1984  |      0.987      0.027    -0.47   0.635        0.935       1.042
spring#1985  |      1.026      0.024     1.11   0.268        0.980       1.074
spring#1986  |      0.981      0.023    -0.80   0.426        0.937       1.028
spring#1987  |      1.079      0.023     3.63   0.000        1.036       1.124
spring#1988  |      1.002      0.017     0.14   0.888        0.969       1.037
spring#1989  |      0.992      0.022    -0.36   0.720        0.950       1.036
spring#1990  |      0.986      0.019    -0.72   0.474        0.950       1.024
spring#1991  |      1.016      0.024     0.66   0.508        0.970       1.063
spring#1992  |      0.953      0.018    -2.50   0.012        0.918       0.990
spring#1993  |      1.003      0.020     0.14   0.888        0.965       1.042
spring#1994  |      1.027      0.021     1.29   0.198        0.986       1.068
spring#1995  |      1.039      0.025     1.60   0.109        0.992       1.089
spring#1996  |      1.024      0.026     0.93   0.353        0.974       1.077
spring#1997  |      0.987      0.027    -0.46   0.646        0.935       1.042
spring#1998  |      0.951      0.018    -2.67   0.008        0.917       0.987
spring#1999  |      0.981      0.018    -1.04   0.299        0.946       1.017
spring#2000  |      0.986      0.022    -0.63   0.527        0.944       1.030
spring#2001  |      1.003      0.019     0.13   0.895        0.965       1.042
spring#2002  |      0.994      0.017    -0.36   0.722        0.961       1.028
spring#2003  |      1.019      0.024     0.82   0.413        0.974       1.066
spring#2004  |      1.012      0.025     0.48   0.633        0.964       1.062
spring#2005  |      1.023      0.024     0.97   0.331        0.977       1.071
spring#2006  |      1.016      0.019     0.83   0.408        0.978       1.055
spring#2007  |      1.016      0.021     0.75   0.454        0.975       1.059
spring#2008  |      0.998      0.018    -0.12   0.905        0.963       1.034
spring#2009  |      1.009      0.022     0.40   0.692        0.967       1.052
spring#2010  |      1.031      0.023     1.38   0.169        0.987       1.076
summer#1981  |      0.980      0.024    -0.86   0.392        0.934       1.027
summer#1982  |      1.050      0.025     2.05   0.040        1.002       1.100
summer#1983  |      0.989      0.028    -0.38   0.706        0.937       1.045
summer#1984  |      0.970      0.020    -1.48   0.140        0.932       1.010
summer#1985  |      0.999      0.020    -0.05   0.960        0.961       1.039
summer#1986  |      0.995      0.016    -0.30   0.764        0.965       1.027
summer#1987  |      1.039      0.022     1.82   0.069        0.997       1.082
summer#1988  |      1.011      0.022     0.50   0.615        0.969       1.054
summer#1989  |      1.001      0.023     0.06   0.948        0.958       1.047
summer#1990  |      1.056      0.030     1.92   0.055        0.999       1.116
summer#1991  |      1.045      0.026     1.79   0.073        0.996       1.097
summer#1992  |      0.979      0.024    -0.86   0.389        0.934       1.027
summer#1993  |      1.028      0.025     1.10   0.271        0.979       1.079
summer#1994  |      1.006      0.020     0.29   0.769        0.967       1.047
summer#1995  |      1.044      0.023     1.97   0.049        1.000       1.089
summer#1996  |      1.039      0.023     1.68   0.092        0.994       1.086
summer#1997  |      0.980      0.022    -0.92   0.358        0.938       1.023
summer#1998  |      0.977      0.020    -1.19   0.235        0.939       1.016
summer#1999  |      1.012      0.023     0.51   0.612        0.967       1.058
summer#2000  |      0.984      0.022    -0.71   0.480        0.941       1.029
summer#2001  |      1.030      0.024     1.25   0.212        0.983       1.079
summer#2002  |      1.016      0.019     0.85   0.396        0.980       1.053
summer#2003  |      1.050      0.025     2.04   0.041        1.002       1.100
summer#2004  |      1.033      0.021     1.62   0.104        0.993       1.074
summer#2005  |      1.020      0.023     0.89   0.376        0.976       1.066
summer#2006  |      1.048      0.027     1.83   0.067        0.997       1.103
summer#2007  |      1.049      0.023     2.22   0.027        1.006       1.095
summer#2008  |      1.006      0.021     0.28   0.779        0.966       1.047
summer#2009  |      1.072      0.023     3.21   0.001        1.028       1.119
summer#2010  |      1.077      0.023     3.47   0.001        1.033       1.122
  fall#1981  |      0.995      0.029    -0.17   0.865        0.940       1.053
  fall#1982  |      1.001      0.021     0.05   0.961        0.960       1.044
  fall#1983  |      0.991      0.022    -0.41   0.685        0.950       1.034
  fall#1984  |      1.009      0.023     0.41   0.681        0.966       1.054
  fall#1985  |      1.040      0.021     1.93   0.054        0.999       1.082
  fall#1986  |      0.989      0.023    -0.50   0.619        0.945       1.034
  fall#1987  |      1.014      0.020     0.72   0.473        0.976       1.055
  fall#1988  |      0.989      0.021    -0.52   0.604        0.949       1.031
  fall#1989  |      0.983      0.022    -0.79   0.430        0.941       1.026
  fall#1990  |      1.044      0.027     1.65   0.099        0.992       1.100
  fall#1991  |      1.025      0.025     1.01   0.310        0.977       1.075
  fall#1992  |      0.958      0.019    -2.22   0.026        0.922       0.995
  fall#1993  |      1.014      0.019     0.76   0.447        0.978       1.053
  fall#1994  |      1.038      0.027     1.44   0.150        0.987       1.091
  fall#1995  |      1.029      0.025     1.20   0.231        0.982       1.078
  fall#1996  |      1.025      0.023     1.07   0.287        0.980       1.072
  fall#1997  |      0.998      0.024    -0.08   0.937        0.952       1.047
  fall#1998  |      0.963      0.018    -1.97   0.049        0.928       1.000
  fall#1999  |      1.000      0.021    -0.01   0.996        0.959       1.043
  fall#2000  |      0.977      0.025    -0.91   0.363        0.930       1.027
  fall#2001  |      1.016      0.022     0.74   0.462        0.974       1.059
  fall#2002  |      1.003      0.024     0.14   0.886        0.958       1.051
  fall#2003  |      1.015      0.024     0.63   0.530        0.969       1.063
  fall#2004  |      1.053      0.023     2.39   0.017        1.009       1.099
  fall#2005  |      1.034      0.026     1.35   0.177        0.985       1.086
  fall#2006  |      1.052      0.024     2.24   0.025        1.006       1.100
  fall#2007  |      1.071      0.022     3.40   0.001        1.030       1.114
  fall#2008  |      1.019      0.020     0.94   0.349        0.980       1.059
  fall#2009  |      1.062      0.027     2.36   0.018        1.010       1.116
  fall#2010  |      1.042      0.021     2.00   0.045        1.001       1.085
             |
       _cons |     24.580      0.997    78.94   0.000       22.702      26.615
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted margins
. eststo m_5: estpost margins, dydx(icei) at(strec=(0 1)) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

1._at        : strec           =           0

2._at        : strec           =           1

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
icei         |
         _at |
          1  |       0.17       0.07     2.37   0.018         0.03        0.31
          2  |       0.08       0.08     1.06   0.290        -0.07        0.23
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * save estimates for plot
. qui parmest, saving(strec, replace) 

. 
.         
. 
. // #6
. // using unemployment rather than ICEI (similar exposure contrast)
. 
. poisson suic unemprtsa i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb ///
>         i.season##i.year, offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) ///
>         nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -405206.34                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3801

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
   unemprtsa |      0.998      0.005    -0.29   0.773        0.988       1.009
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.242      0.006   -60.79   0.000        0.231       0.253
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.27   0.000        0.494       0.571
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.03   0.000        1.247       1.332
   45 to 64  |      1.376      0.049     9.03   0.000        1.284       1.474
       >=65  |      1.638      0.080    10.16   0.000        1.489       1.801
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.465      0.016    35.02   0.000        1.434       1.496
         AZ  |      1.263      0.005    59.60   0.000        1.253       1.273
         AR  |      1.029      0.003    11.28   0.000        1.024       1.034
         CA  |      0.903      0.005   -19.61   0.000        0.894       0.913
         CO  |      1.233      0.007    34.43   0.000        1.218       1.247
         CT  |      0.645      0.006   -44.47   0.000        0.633       0.658
         DE  |      0.918      0.008    -9.43   0.000        0.902       0.935
         FL  |      1.091      0.005    19.31   0.000        1.081       1.100
         GA  |      0.990      0.004    -2.46   0.014        0.983       0.998
         HI  |      1.058      0.018     3.27   0.001        1.023       1.095
         ID  |      1.197      0.006    33.48   0.000        1.184       1.209
         IL  |      0.731      0.002  -113.22   0.000        0.727       0.735
         IN  |      0.909      0.004   -21.99   0.000        0.901       0.916
         IA  |      0.824      0.009   -16.99   0.000        0.805       0.842
         KS  |      0.925      0.010    -7.63   0.000        0.906       0.943
         KY  |      0.993      0.004    -1.50   0.133        0.985       1.002
         LA  |      1.050      0.004    11.33   0.000        1.041       1.059
         ME  |      0.936      0.007    -8.37   0.000        0.922       0.951
         MD  |      0.810      0.006   -27.40   0.000        0.797       0.822
         MA  |      0.590      0.005   -68.02   0.000        0.581       0.599
         MI  |      0.877      0.008   -14.87   0.000        0.862       0.892
         MN  |      0.792      0.007   -25.30   0.000        0.778       0.806
         MS  |      1.025      0.008     3.21   0.001        1.010       1.041
         MO  |      0.994      0.005    -1.29   0.196        0.984       1.003
         MT  |      1.397      0.009    51.53   0.000        1.379       1.415
         NE  |      0.805      0.014   -12.66   0.000        0.778       0.832
         NV  |      1.605      0.008    89.31   0.000        1.588       1.622
         NH  |      0.875      0.011   -10.82   0.000        0.854       0.896
         NJ  |      0.547      0.003  -129.92   0.000        0.542       0.552
         NM  |      1.448      0.005   111.44   0.000        1.439       1.458
         NY  |      0.582      0.001  -228.01   0.000        0.579       0.585
         NC  |      0.973      0.004    -7.36   0.000        0.966       0.980
         ND  |      0.862      0.013   -10.07   0.000        0.837       0.887
         OH  |      0.832      0.003   -57.64   0.000        0.827       0.837
         OK  |      1.107      0.008    14.63   0.000        1.092       1.122
         OR  |      1.140      0.006    25.45   0.000        1.129       1.152
         PA  |      0.854      0.004   -36.45   0.000        0.847       0.861
         RI  |      0.677      0.003   -75.75   0.000        0.670       0.684
         SC  |      0.988      0.002    -7.38   0.000        0.985       0.992
         SD  |      1.026      0.016     1.64   0.101        0.995       1.059
         TN  |      1.033      0.002    15.68   0.000        1.029       1.038
         TX  |      0.923      0.003   -25.97   0.000        0.917       0.928
         UT  |      1.168      0.008    21.61   0.000        1.152       1.184
         VT  |      1.003      0.011     0.29   0.771        0.981       1.026
         VA  |      0.963      0.010    -3.85   0.000        0.944       0.981
         WA  |      1.016      0.004     3.66   0.000        1.007       1.024
         WV  |      0.982      0.011    -1.70   0.089        0.962       1.003
         WI  |      0.891      0.006   -16.53   0.000        0.879       0.903
         WY  |      1.404      0.012    41.27   0.000        1.381       1.427
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.080      0.016     5.22   0.000        1.049       1.112
     summer  |      1.067      0.016     4.39   0.000        1.036       1.098
       fall  |      1.022      0.016     1.39   0.166        0.991       1.055
             |
        year |
       1981  |      1.031      0.023     1.38   0.166        0.987       1.077
       1982  |      1.001      0.030     0.05   0.961        0.944       1.062
       1983  |      1.018      0.028     0.66   0.509        0.965       1.075
       1984  |      1.040      0.024     1.68   0.092        0.994       1.088
       1985  |      1.005      0.029     0.17   0.861        0.949       1.065
       1986  |      1.067      0.024     2.89   0.004        1.021       1.115
       1987  |      1.008      0.031     0.25   0.802        0.949       1.070
       1988  |      1.017      0.029     0.58   0.564        0.961       1.076
       1989  |      1.007      0.021     0.36   0.721        0.967       1.049
       1990  |      0.992      0.036    -0.22   0.824        0.925       1.064
       1991  |      0.973      0.030    -0.88   0.377        0.915       1.034
       1992  |      0.997      0.024    -0.13   0.897        0.950       1.046
       1993  |      0.964      0.025    -1.41   0.159        0.915       1.015
       1994  |      0.945      0.027    -1.94   0.052        0.893       1.001
       1995  |      0.924      0.025    -2.88   0.004        0.876       0.975
       1996  |      0.906      0.035    -2.55   0.011        0.839       0.978
       1997  |      0.910      0.033    -2.61   0.009        0.848       0.977
       1998  |      0.915      0.033    -2.49   0.013        0.854       0.981
       1999  |      0.843      0.043    -3.37   0.001        0.763       0.931
       2000  |      0.846      0.043    -3.26   0.001        0.765       0.935
       2001  |      0.848      0.051    -2.75   0.006        0.753       0.954
       2002  |      0.881      0.041    -2.70   0.007        0.804       0.966
       2003  |      0.851      0.033    -4.14   0.000        0.789       0.919
       2004  |      0.863      0.042    -3.04   0.002        0.784       0.949
       2005  |      0.861      0.047    -2.73   0.006        0.773       0.959
       2006  |      0.860      0.048    -2.69   0.007        0.770       0.960
       2007  |      0.879      0.038    -3.00   0.003        0.808       0.956
       2008  |      0.930      0.041    -1.65   0.100        0.852       1.014
       2009  |      0.919      0.038    -2.02   0.043        0.846       0.998
       2010  |      0.949      0.035    -1.42   0.155        0.883       1.020
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      0.967      0.030    -1.08   0.281        0.909       1.028
spring#1982  |      1.042      0.023     1.82   0.068        0.997       1.089
spring#1983  |      0.990      0.024    -0.43   0.666        0.944       1.038
spring#1984  |      0.991      0.027    -0.32   0.750        0.939       1.046
spring#1985  |      1.031      0.024     1.31   0.190        0.985       1.079
spring#1986  |      0.985      0.023    -0.62   0.536        0.941       1.032
spring#1987  |      1.084      0.023     3.83   0.000        1.040       1.130
spring#1988  |      1.007      0.018     0.38   0.705        0.973       1.042
spring#1989  |      0.995      0.023    -0.22   0.828        0.951       1.041
spring#1990  |      0.991      0.019    -0.47   0.638        0.955       1.029
spring#1991  |      1.020      0.023     0.86   0.391        0.975       1.067
spring#1992  |      0.957      0.018    -2.30   0.021        0.922       0.994
spring#1993  |      1.007      0.020     0.37   0.710        0.969       1.047
spring#1994  |      1.031      0.021     1.51   0.130        0.991       1.073
spring#1995  |      1.044      0.025     1.80   0.071        0.996       1.093
spring#1996  |      1.029      0.026     1.11   0.267        0.978       1.082
spring#1997  |      0.992      0.027    -0.30   0.764        0.940       1.046
spring#1998  |      0.955      0.018    -2.44   0.015        0.921       0.991
spring#1999  |      0.986      0.018    -0.81   0.415        0.952       1.021
spring#2000  |      0.990      0.021    -0.49   0.626        0.949       1.032
spring#2001  |      1.009      0.020     0.44   0.663        0.971       1.048
spring#2002  |      0.996      0.016    -0.27   0.786        0.965       1.027
spring#2003  |      1.025      0.023     1.08   0.278        0.980       1.072
spring#2004  |      1.016      0.025     0.66   0.509        0.969       1.066
spring#2005  |      1.027      0.024     1.16   0.247        0.982       1.075
spring#2006  |      1.020      0.019     1.08   0.282        0.984       1.059
spring#2007  |      1.020      0.022     0.93   0.352        0.978       1.063
spring#2008  |      1.002      0.018     0.10   0.918        0.967       1.038
spring#2009  |      1.016      0.021     0.74   0.459        0.975       1.058
spring#2010  |      1.033      0.023     1.45   0.148        0.989       1.079
summer#1981  |      0.973      0.025    -1.08   0.278        0.926       1.022
summer#1982  |      1.047      0.023     2.05   0.040        1.002       1.093
summer#1983  |      0.993      0.027    -0.25   0.806        0.942       1.047
summer#1984  |      0.968      0.022    -1.42   0.157        0.926       1.012
summer#1985  |      0.999      0.020    -0.04   0.967        0.960       1.040
summer#1986  |      0.995      0.014    -0.34   0.732        0.967       1.024
summer#1987  |      1.039      0.022     1.80   0.072        0.997       1.082
summer#1988  |      1.010      0.020     0.49   0.626        0.971       1.050
summer#1989  |      1.000      0.025    -0.01   0.996        0.952       1.050
summer#1990  |      1.052      0.030     1.78   0.074        0.995       1.112
summer#1991  |      1.049      0.025     1.97   0.049        1.000       1.100
summer#1992  |      0.980      0.023    -0.86   0.391        0.936       1.026
summer#1993  |      1.027      0.024     1.12   0.263        0.980       1.076
summer#1994  |      1.005      0.019     0.26   0.798        0.969       1.042
summer#1995  |      1.044      0.023     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.090
summer#1996  |      1.038      0.023     1.66   0.096        0.993       1.084
summer#1997  |      0.979      0.021    -1.01   0.313        0.938       1.021
summer#1998  |      0.976      0.019    -1.27   0.205        0.939       1.013
summer#1999  |      1.011      0.022     0.51   0.612        0.969       1.056
summer#2000  |      0.983      0.022    -0.75   0.454        0.941       1.028
summer#2001  |      1.034      0.025     1.36   0.173        0.985       1.085
summer#2002  |      1.013      0.018     0.70   0.486        0.977       1.050
summer#2003  |      1.049      0.024     2.09   0.037        1.003       1.098
summer#2004  |      1.032      0.020     1.64   0.100        0.994       1.072
summer#2005  |      1.019      0.022     0.86   0.392        0.976       1.064
summer#2006  |      1.048      0.026     1.87   0.062        0.998       1.101
summer#2007  |      1.051      0.023     2.28   0.023        1.007       1.096
summer#2008  |      1.011      0.021     0.52   0.602        0.971       1.053
summer#2009  |      1.078      0.024     3.42   0.001        1.033       1.125
summer#2010  |      1.074      0.024     3.20   0.001        1.028       1.122
  fall#1981  |      0.976      0.031    -0.78   0.433        0.917       1.038
  fall#1982  |      0.994      0.022    -0.29   0.769        0.952       1.037
  fall#1983  |      0.983      0.023    -0.75   0.456        0.938       1.029
  fall#1984  |      0.996      0.024    -0.18   0.856        0.950       1.044
  fall#1985  |      1.028      0.022     1.27   0.205        0.985       1.072
  fall#1986  |      0.978      0.020    -1.07   0.285        0.939       1.019
  fall#1987  |      1.003      0.021     0.13   0.894        0.962       1.046
  fall#1988  |      0.977      0.020    -1.11   0.265        0.939       1.018
  fall#1989  |      0.971      0.023    -1.23   0.220        0.926       1.018
  fall#1990  |      1.028      0.027     1.05   0.295        0.976       1.083
  fall#1991  |      1.018      0.025     0.75   0.454        0.971       1.068
  fall#1992  |      0.949      0.018    -2.81   0.005        0.914       0.984
  fall#1993  |      1.002      0.018     0.10   0.920        0.966       1.039
  fall#1994  |      1.024      0.025     0.97   0.331        0.976       1.073
  fall#1995  |      1.017      0.024     0.73   0.466        0.971       1.066
  fall#1996  |      1.012      0.024     0.51   0.609        0.967       1.059
  fall#1997  |      0.985      0.025    -0.61   0.544        0.938       1.034
  fall#1998  |      0.951      0.019    -2.47   0.013        0.915       0.990
  fall#1999  |      0.988      0.021    -0.57   0.568        0.947       1.030
  fall#2000  |      0.967      0.027    -1.23   0.219        0.916       1.020
  fall#2001  |      1.012      0.022     0.56   0.573        0.970       1.056
  fall#2002  |      0.992      0.025    -0.30   0.761        0.944       1.043
  fall#2003  |      1.002      0.024     0.07   0.942        0.956       1.049
  fall#2004  |      1.040      0.023     1.82   0.068        0.997       1.085
  fall#2005  |      1.022      0.026     0.85   0.396        0.972       1.074
  fall#2006  |      1.040      0.023     1.74   0.081        0.995       1.086
  fall#2007  |      1.063      0.023     2.83   0.005        1.019       1.109
  fall#2008  |      1.017      0.020     0.88   0.377        0.979       1.057
  fall#2009  |      1.055      0.027     2.14   0.032        1.005       1.109
  fall#2010  |      1.028      0.025     1.16   0.244        0.981       1.078
             |
       _cons |     22.669      0.835    84.75   0.000       21.091      24.366
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_7: estpost margins, at(unemprtsa=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) ///
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1        0.08     0.7730
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |      -0.08       0.28         -0.62        0.46
--------------------------------------------------------------

.         
. * generate 6 and 12 month lagged values of unemployment rate
. sort state sex race2 agecat quarter month

. bysort state sex race2 agecat: gen url6=unemprtsa[_n-6]
(4800 missing values generated)

. bysort state sex race2 agecat: gen url12=unemprtsa[_n-12]
(9600 missing values generated)

. 
. label var url6 "unemployment rate lagged 6 months"

. label var url12 "unemployment rate lagged 12 months"

.         
. * lagged regression model: 6 months
. poisson suic url6 i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
note: 2.season#1980.year identifies no observations in the sample
note: 2.season#2010.year omitted because of collinearity

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     292800
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -399065.37                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3811

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        url6 |      0.998      0.005    -0.36   0.723        0.988       1.008
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.241      0.006   -61.03   0.000        0.230       0.252
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.36   0.000        0.494       0.570
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.288      0.022    15.04   0.000        1.247       1.332
   45 to 64  |      1.375      0.049     8.98   0.000        1.283       1.474
       >=65  |      1.638      0.080    10.11   0.000        1.488       1.802
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.464      0.016    35.12   0.000        1.433       1.495
         AZ  |      1.261      0.005    57.35   0.000        1.251       1.271
         AR  |      1.030      0.003    11.94   0.000        1.025       1.035
         CA  |      0.899      0.004   -22.27   0.000        0.891       0.908
         CO  |      1.230      0.008    33.31   0.000        1.215       1.245
         CT  |      0.644      0.006   -44.41   0.000        0.631       0.656
         DE  |      0.915      0.008   -10.00   0.000        0.900       0.931
         FL  |      1.089      0.005    17.78   0.000        1.079       1.099
         GA  |      0.988      0.004    -3.11   0.002        0.980       0.996
         HI  |      1.055      0.017     3.27   0.001        1.022       1.090
         ID  |      1.198      0.007    32.81   0.000        1.185       1.211
         IL  |      0.731      0.002  -120.24   0.000        0.727       0.735
         IN  |      0.909      0.004   -21.35   0.000        0.901       0.917
         IA  |      0.822      0.009   -17.44   0.000        0.804       0.840
         KS  |      0.924      0.009    -7.73   0.000        0.906       0.943
         KY  |      0.994      0.004    -1.51   0.132        0.986       1.002
         LA  |      1.050      0.005    11.11   0.000        1.041       1.059
         ME  |      0.935      0.007    -8.53   0.000        0.920       0.949
         MD  |      0.808      0.006   -28.81   0.000        0.797       0.820
         MA  |      0.589      0.005   -68.24   0.000        0.580       0.598
         MI  |      0.876      0.007   -15.93   0.000        0.862       0.890
         MN  |      0.791      0.007   -25.66   0.000        0.777       0.805
         MS  |      1.026      0.008     3.32   0.001        1.010       1.041
         MO  |      0.994      0.005    -1.26   0.208        0.984       1.003
         MT  |      1.399      0.009    51.93   0.000        1.382       1.417
         NE  |      0.802      0.013   -13.21   0.000        0.776       0.829
         NV  |      1.602      0.008    96.07   0.000        1.587       1.618
         NH  |      0.874      0.011   -11.07   0.000        0.853       0.895
         NJ  |      0.546      0.003  -129.19   0.000        0.541       0.551
         NM  |      1.448      0.005   112.19   0.000        1.439       1.457
         NY  |      0.578      0.001  -237.03   0.000        0.576       0.581
         NC  |      0.973      0.004    -7.16   0.000        0.966       0.980
         ND  |      0.861      0.012   -10.44   0.000        0.837       0.885
         OH  |      0.829      0.003   -60.80   0.000        0.824       0.834
         OK  |      1.107      0.008    15.02   0.000        1.093       1.122
         OR  |      1.140      0.006    26.76   0.000        1.129       1.151
         PA  |      0.853      0.004   -36.77   0.000        0.846       0.860
         RI  |      0.673      0.004   -73.63   0.000        0.666       0.680
         SC  |      0.989      0.001    -7.61   0.000        0.986       0.992
         SD  |      1.026      0.016     1.68   0.093        0.996       1.058
         TN  |      1.033      0.002    15.41   0.000        1.029       1.037
         TX  |      0.920      0.003   -26.42   0.000        0.915       0.926
         UT  |      1.165      0.008    21.05   0.000        1.149       1.182
         VT  |      0.999      0.011    -0.06   0.951        0.977       1.022
         VA  |      0.960      0.009    -4.24   0.000        0.942       0.978
         WA  |      1.014      0.004     3.49   0.000        1.006       1.023
         WV  |      0.984      0.010    -1.58   0.113        0.964       1.004
         WI  |      0.890      0.006   -16.61   0.000        0.878       0.902
         WY  |      1.406      0.012    41.41   0.000        1.384       1.429
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.116      0.023     5.35   0.000        1.072       1.162
     summer  |      1.029      0.031     0.95   0.342        0.970       1.091
       fall  |      0.983      0.021    -0.80   0.421        0.942       1.025
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.992      0.028    -0.27   0.785        0.939       1.049
       1982  |      0.962      0.029    -1.30   0.194        0.908       1.020
       1983  |      0.981      0.031    -0.60   0.546        0.921       1.044
       1984  |      1.003      0.026     0.11   0.911        0.953       1.056
       1985  |      0.968      0.033    -0.95   0.341        0.905       1.035
       1986  |      1.028      0.025     1.13   0.259        0.980       1.078
       1987  |      0.970      0.031    -0.94   0.349        0.911       1.033
       1988  |      0.979      0.031    -0.67   0.500        0.920       1.042
       1989  |      0.969      0.022    -1.38   0.166        0.928       1.013
       1990  |      0.954      0.035    -1.27   0.203        0.887       1.026
       1991  |      0.935      0.033    -1.93   0.054        0.873       1.001
       1992  |      0.959      0.029    -1.38   0.169        0.904       1.018
       1993  |      0.928      0.027    -2.61   0.009        0.878       0.982
       1994  |      0.910      0.028    -3.04   0.002        0.857       0.967
       1995  |      0.890      0.027    -3.85   0.000        0.838       0.944
       1996  |      0.872      0.033    -3.60   0.000        0.809       0.939
       1997  |      0.876      0.035    -3.37   0.001        0.811       0.946
       1998  |      0.881      0.031    -3.57   0.000        0.822       0.944
       1999  |      0.811      0.039    -4.40   0.000        0.738       0.890
       2000  |      0.814      0.040    -4.25   0.000        0.740       0.895
       2001  |      0.815      0.049    -3.39   0.001        0.724       0.917
       2002  |      0.847      0.041    -3.45   0.001        0.771       0.931
       2003  |      0.819      0.033    -5.00   0.000        0.758       0.886
       2004  |      0.831      0.038    -4.05   0.000        0.759       0.909
       2005  |      0.829      0.045    -3.49   0.000        0.746       0.921
       2006  |      0.827      0.046    -3.43   0.001        0.742       0.922
       2007  |      0.846      0.035    -4.06   0.000        0.780       0.917
       2008  |      0.893      0.040    -2.51   0.012        0.818       0.976
       2009  |      0.882      0.037    -2.97   0.003        0.812       0.958
       2010  |      0.914      0.032    -2.58   0.010        0.854       0.979
             |
 season#year |
spring#1980  |      1.000  (empty)
spring#1981  |      0.936      0.025    -2.42   0.016        0.888       0.988
spring#1982  |      1.008      0.027     0.31   0.755        0.956       1.063
spring#1983  |      0.958      0.025    -1.66   0.096        0.911       1.008
spring#1984  |      0.960      0.022    -1.76   0.078        0.917       1.005
spring#1985  |      0.998      0.025    -0.08   0.937        0.950       1.049
spring#1986  |      0.953      0.022    -2.09   0.036        0.912       0.997
spring#1987  |      1.050      0.029     1.77   0.077        0.995       1.108
spring#1988  |      0.975      0.022    -1.13   0.258        0.932       1.019
spring#1989  |      0.963      0.023    -1.55   0.120        0.919       1.010
spring#1990  |      0.960      0.026    -1.48   0.139        0.909       1.013
spring#1991  |      0.987      0.029    -0.44   0.663        0.932       1.046
spring#1992  |      0.926      0.024    -3.00   0.003        0.881       0.974
spring#1993  |      0.975      0.033    -0.75   0.454        0.913       1.042
spring#1994  |      0.998      0.019    -0.09   0.928        0.962       1.036
spring#1995  |      1.010      0.025     0.40   0.691        0.962       1.060
spring#1996  |      0.996      0.030    -0.14   0.892        0.939       1.056
spring#1997  |      0.960      0.028    -1.41   0.158        0.907       1.016
spring#1998  |      0.925      0.020    -3.66   0.000        0.887       0.964
spring#1999  |      0.954      0.022    -2.03   0.043        0.912       0.998
spring#2000  |      0.958      0.022    -1.84   0.066        0.915       1.003
spring#2001  |      0.976      0.022    -1.05   0.295        0.934       1.021
spring#2002  |      0.964      0.026    -1.35   0.177        0.914       1.017
spring#2003  |      0.992      0.027    -0.30   0.761        0.940       1.046
spring#2004  |      0.984      0.026    -0.62   0.535        0.934       1.036
spring#2005  |      0.994      0.025    -0.23   0.819        0.947       1.044
spring#2006  |      0.988      0.027    -0.44   0.659        0.937       1.042
spring#2007  |      0.987      0.021    -0.60   0.546        0.948       1.029
spring#2008  |      0.970      0.018    -1.59   0.111        0.935       1.007
spring#2009  |      0.982      0.025    -0.72   0.474        0.933       1.033
spring#2010  |      1.000  (omitted)
summer#1981  |      1.009      0.035     0.27   0.790        0.943       1.080
summer#1982  |      1.086      0.041     2.22   0.027        1.010       1.169
summer#1983  |      1.032      0.039     0.83   0.404        0.958       1.112
summer#1984  |      1.004      0.030     0.12   0.903        0.947       1.064
summer#1985  |      1.036      0.035     1.05   0.294        0.970       1.107
summer#1986  |      1.031      0.029     1.11   0.265        0.977       1.089
summer#1987  |      1.078      0.034     2.38   0.017        1.013       1.146
summer#1988  |      1.047      0.034     1.44   0.150        0.984       1.115
summer#1989  |      1.037      0.031     1.20   0.230        0.978       1.100
summer#1990  |      1.091      0.040     2.39   0.017        1.016       1.172
summer#1991  |      1.089      0.038     2.46   0.014        1.017       1.165
summer#1992  |      1.017      0.038     0.44   0.660        0.945       1.094
summer#1993  |      1.065      0.038     1.75   0.080        0.993       1.143
summer#1994  |      1.042      0.033     1.31   0.189        0.980       1.108
summer#1995  |      1.081      0.040     2.12   0.034        1.006       1.162
summer#1996  |      1.076      0.033     2.42   0.015        1.014       1.142
summer#1997  |      1.015      0.035     0.43   0.667        0.948       1.086
summer#1998  |      1.011      0.032     0.36   0.722        0.950       1.077
summer#1999  |      1.048      0.033     1.49   0.136        0.985       1.115
summer#2000  |      1.019      0.030     0.64   0.525        0.961       1.081
summer#2001  |      1.072      0.037     2.03   0.042        1.002       1.146
summer#2002  |      1.052      0.031     1.73   0.084        0.993       1.113
summer#2003  |      1.088      0.041     2.22   0.026        1.010       1.172
summer#2004  |      1.070      0.031     2.35   0.019        1.011       1.132
summer#2005  |      1.057      0.035     1.69   0.091        0.991       1.127
summer#2006  |      1.086      0.038     2.40   0.017        1.015       1.162
summer#2007  |      1.089      0.032     2.92   0.003        1.029       1.153
summer#2008  |      1.048      0.032     1.52   0.129        0.986       1.113
summer#2009  |      1.118      0.038     3.30   0.001        1.046       1.194
summer#2010  |      1.115      0.032     3.76   0.000        1.053       1.180
  fall#1981  |      1.014      0.035     0.41   0.683        0.948       1.084
  fall#1982  |      1.034      0.029     1.18   0.237        0.978       1.094
  fall#1983  |      1.025      0.032     0.79   0.429        0.965       1.088
  fall#1984  |      1.034      0.027     1.26   0.206        0.982       1.089
  fall#1985  |      1.069      0.031     2.32   0.021        1.010       1.131
  fall#1986  |      1.017      0.025     0.68   0.497        0.969       1.068
  fall#1987  |      1.043      0.030     1.47   0.142        0.986       1.104
  fall#1988  |      1.016      0.030     0.55   0.585        0.959       1.076
  fall#1989  |      1.009      0.026     0.36   0.717        0.959       1.062
  fall#1990  |      1.069      0.027     2.60   0.009        1.017       1.124
  fall#1991  |      1.060      0.029     2.12   0.034        1.005       1.120
  fall#1992  |      0.988      0.029    -0.43   0.665        0.933       1.045
  fall#1993  |      1.042      0.027     1.57   0.117        0.990       1.097
  fall#1994  |      1.065      0.029     2.30   0.022        1.009       1.124
  fall#1995  |      1.057      0.034     1.74   0.082        0.993       1.126
  fall#1996  |      1.053      0.027     2.03   0.043        1.002       1.106
  fall#1997  |      1.025      0.030     0.83   0.406        0.967       1.085
  fall#1998  |      0.989      0.024    -0.46   0.648        0.944       1.037
  fall#1999  |      1.027      0.024     1.11   0.266        0.980       1.076
  fall#2000  |      1.005      0.029     0.18   0.861        0.949       1.064
  fall#2001  |      1.052      0.030     1.76   0.079        0.994       1.113
  fall#2002  |      1.033      0.028     1.20   0.228        0.980       1.090
  fall#2003  |      1.042      0.029     1.47   0.143        0.986       1.101
  fall#2004  |      1.082      0.027     3.20   0.001        1.031       1.135
  fall#2005  |      1.062      0.032     2.04   0.042        1.002       1.126
  fall#2006  |      1.081      0.032     2.64   0.008        1.020       1.145
  fall#2007  |      1.105      0.027     4.11   0.000        1.054       1.159
  fall#2008  |      1.057      0.026     2.23   0.026        1.007       1.110
  fall#2009  |      1.099      0.031     3.31   0.001        1.040       1.163
  fall#2010  |      1.070      0.030     2.44   0.015        1.013       1.130
             |
       _cons |     23.658      0.949    78.84   0.000       21.868      25.594
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_8: estpost margins, at(url6=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) ///
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)   

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : url6            =         5.8

2._at        : url6            =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1        0.13     0.7224
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |      -0.10       0.27         -0.62        0.43
--------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * lagged regression model: 12 months
. poisson suic url12 i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     288000
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -392976.63                 Pseudo R2       =     0.3821

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        suic |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
       url12 |      0.998      0.005    -0.46   0.645        0.988       1.007
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.241      0.006   -61.80   0.000        0.230       0.252
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      0.531      0.019   -17.43   0.000        0.494       0.570
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      1.289      0.022    15.04   0.000        1.247       1.333
   45 to 64  |      1.378      0.049     9.00   0.000        1.285       1.477
       >=65  |      1.640      0.080    10.08   0.000        1.489       1.805
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      1.465      0.016    34.82   0.000        1.434       1.497
         AZ  |      1.259      0.005    57.80   0.000        1.249       1.269
         AR  |      1.030      0.002    12.33   0.000        1.025       1.035
         CA  |      0.896      0.004   -24.17   0.000        0.889       0.904
         CO  |      1.229      0.007    34.69   0.000        1.215       1.244
         CT  |      0.643      0.006   -45.67   0.000        0.631       0.655
         DE  |      0.914      0.008   -10.62   0.000        0.899       0.930
         FL  |      1.087      0.005    16.97   0.000        1.077       1.098
         GA  |      0.985      0.004    -4.03   0.000        0.978       0.993
         HI  |      1.052      0.017     3.18   0.001        1.020       1.086
         ID  |      1.198      0.006    33.62   0.000        1.185       1.211
         IL  |      0.730      0.002  -125.66   0.000        0.726       0.733
         IN  |      0.909      0.004   -21.30   0.000        0.902       0.917
         IA  |      0.822      0.009   -18.18   0.000        0.805       0.839
         KS  |      0.925      0.009    -8.02   0.000        0.908       0.943
         KY  |      0.992      0.004    -1.95   0.051        0.984       1.000
         LA  |      1.048      0.005    10.45   0.000        1.039       1.057
         ME  |      0.935      0.007    -8.74   0.000        0.921       0.949
         MD  |      0.805      0.006   -31.24   0.000        0.794       0.816
         MA  |      0.588      0.004   -70.67   0.000        0.579       0.596
         MI  |      0.875      0.007   -17.11   0.000        0.862       0.888
         MN  |      0.789      0.007   -27.16   0.000        0.776       0.803
         MS  |      1.030      0.008     3.97   0.000        1.015       1.045
         MO  |      0.994      0.005    -1.24   0.216        0.985       1.004
         MT  |      1.403      0.009    54.56   0.000        1.386       1.420
         NE  |      0.804      0.013   -13.79   0.000        0.779       0.829
         NV  |      1.599      0.007   101.06   0.000        1.584       1.613
         NH  |      0.874      0.010   -11.63   0.000        0.854       0.894
         NJ  |      0.545      0.002  -132.54   0.000        0.540       0.550
         NM  |      1.447      0.005   110.56   0.000        1.437       1.456
         NY  |      0.576      0.001  -254.57   0.000        0.573       0.578
         NC  |      0.972      0.004    -7.63   0.000        0.965       0.979
         ND  |      0.860      0.012   -11.10   0.000        0.838       0.883
         OH  |      0.828      0.003   -62.38   0.000        0.823       0.833
         OK  |      1.107      0.007    15.89   0.000        1.093       1.121
         OR  |      1.140      0.005    27.48   0.000        1.130       1.151
         PA  |      0.853      0.004   -37.57   0.000        0.846       0.860
         RI  |      0.671      0.004   -73.09   0.000        0.664       0.678
         SC  |      0.990      0.001    -6.87   0.000        0.988       0.993
         SD  |      1.025      0.015     1.69   0.091        0.996       1.055
         TN  |      1.033      0.002    15.58   0.000        1.029       1.037
         TX  |      0.919      0.003   -27.02   0.000        0.913       0.925
         UT  |      1.165      0.008    22.27   0.000        1.149       1.181
         VT  |      0.998      0.011    -0.19   0.852        0.977       1.019
         VA  |      0.957      0.009    -4.98   0.000        0.940       0.973
         WA  |      1.014      0.004     3.49   0.000        1.006       1.022
         WV  |      0.983      0.010    -1.71   0.087        0.964       1.002
         WI  |      0.889      0.006   -17.31   0.000        0.877       0.901
         WY  |      1.406      0.011    43.09   0.000        1.384       1.428
             |
      season |
     spring  |      1.046      0.027     1.75   0.080        0.995       1.099
     summer  |      1.041      0.023     1.82   0.069        0.997       1.087
       fall  |      0.999      0.026    -0.03   0.976        0.950       1.051
             |
        year |
       1982  |      0.971      0.021    -1.34   0.181        0.931       1.014
       1983  |      0.991      0.027    -0.33   0.742        0.939       1.046
       1984  |      1.016      0.027     0.61   0.543        0.965       1.070
       1985  |      0.978      0.031    -0.68   0.497        0.919       1.042
       1986  |      1.038      0.029     1.33   0.183        0.983       1.096
       1987  |      0.980      0.030    -0.64   0.520        0.923       1.042
       1988  |      0.989      0.031    -0.35   0.729        0.930       1.052
       1989  |      0.979      0.024    -0.86   0.389        0.932       1.028
       1990  |      0.963      0.039    -0.93   0.352        0.889       1.043
       1991  |      0.943      0.035    -1.56   0.119        0.876       1.015
       1992  |      0.968      0.032    -0.98   0.326        0.907       1.033
       1993  |      0.937      0.032    -1.89   0.058        0.877       1.002
       1994  |      0.920      0.028    -2.79   0.005        0.867       0.975
       1995  |      0.899      0.027    -3.55   0.000        0.847       0.953
       1996  |      0.880      0.036    -3.15   0.002        0.812       0.953
       1997  |      0.884      0.033    -3.32   0.001        0.822       0.951
       1998  |      0.889      0.034    -3.04   0.002        0.824       0.959
       1999  |      0.818      0.044    -3.78   0.000        0.737       0.908
       2000  |      0.821      0.043    -3.76   0.000        0.740       0.910
       2001  |      0.821      0.053    -3.07   0.002        0.724       0.931
       2002  |      0.854      0.045    -2.99   0.003        0.770       0.947
       2003  |      0.827      0.035    -4.55   0.000        0.762       0.897
       2004  |      0.838      0.043    -3.41   0.001        0.757       0.928
       2005  |      0.837      0.047    -3.17   0.002        0.749       0.934
       2006  |      0.835      0.047    -3.17   0.001        0.747       0.933
       2007  |      0.853      0.038    -3.53   0.000        0.781       0.932
       2008  |      0.900      0.045    -2.10   0.036        0.816       0.993
       2009  |      0.888      0.044    -2.40   0.017        0.806       0.979
       2010  |      0.922      0.037    -2.04   0.041        0.853       0.997
             |
 season#year |
spring#1982  |      1.076      0.035     2.23   0.026        1.009       1.147
spring#1983  |      1.021      0.030     0.71   0.481        0.963       1.083
spring#1984  |      1.025      0.022     1.15   0.248        0.983       1.070
spring#1985  |      1.065      0.032     2.10   0.035        1.004       1.129
spring#1986  |      1.018      0.033     0.55   0.582        0.955       1.085
spring#1987  |      1.121      0.035     3.60   0.000        1.053       1.192
spring#1988  |      1.040      0.031     1.32   0.185        0.981       1.102
spring#1989  |      1.028      0.028     1.03   0.304        0.975       1.084
spring#1990  |      1.024      0.033     0.74   0.459        0.961       1.092
spring#1991  |      1.053      0.031     1.75   0.081        0.994       1.116
spring#1992  |      0.989      0.033    -0.34   0.730        0.927       1.055
spring#1993  |      1.041      0.043     0.98   0.325        0.961       1.128
spring#1994  |      1.066      0.027     2.49   0.013        1.014       1.120
spring#1995  |      1.079      0.029     2.76   0.006        1.022       1.138
spring#1996  |      1.063      0.031     2.10   0.036        1.004       1.126
spring#1997  |      1.025      0.031     0.82   0.414        0.966       1.087
spring#1998  |      0.987      0.029    -0.44   0.660        0.932       1.046
spring#1999  |      1.018      0.032     0.58   0.562        0.958       1.082
spring#2000  |      1.023      0.025     0.90   0.366        0.974       1.073
spring#2001  |      1.042      0.030     1.46   0.143        0.986       1.102
spring#2002  |      1.028      0.034     0.83   0.406        0.963       1.097
spring#2003  |      1.059      0.032     1.92   0.055        0.999       1.122
spring#2004  |      1.050      0.036     1.43   0.154        0.982       1.124
spring#2005  |      1.061      0.032     1.96   0.050        1.000       1.126
spring#2006  |      1.054      0.031     1.79   0.073        0.995       1.117
spring#2007  |      1.054      0.027     2.06   0.040        1.002       1.108
spring#2008  |      1.036      0.027     1.34   0.180        0.984       1.090
spring#2009  |      1.047      0.031     1.59   0.112        0.989       1.109
spring#2010  |      1.068      0.029     2.40   0.016        1.012       1.126
summer#1982  |      1.071      0.033     2.27   0.023        1.010       1.137
summer#1983  |      1.019      0.034     0.57   0.569        0.955       1.088
summer#1984  |      0.992      0.024    -0.32   0.750        0.946       1.041
summer#1985  |      1.023      0.025     0.94   0.348        0.975       1.073
summer#1986  |      1.020      0.026     0.75   0.451        0.969       1.073
summer#1987  |      1.065      0.030     2.25   0.025        1.008       1.125
summer#1988  |      1.034      0.024     1.48   0.139        0.989       1.082
summer#1989  |      1.024      0.027     0.93   0.354        0.973       1.078
summer#1990  |      1.078      0.033     2.45   0.014        1.015       1.146
summer#1991  |      1.074      0.028     2.77   0.006        1.021       1.131
summer#1992  |      1.004      0.033     0.12   0.903        0.942       1.070
summer#1993  |      1.053      0.033     1.65   0.098        0.990       1.119
summer#1994  |      1.030      0.027     1.11   0.266        0.978       1.084
summer#1995  |      1.069      0.028     2.51   0.012        1.015       1.126
summer#1996  |      1.064      0.027     2.46   0.014        1.013       1.118
summer#1997  |      1.003      0.027     0.11   0.913        0.952       1.056
summer#1998  |      1.000      0.028    -0.01   0.990        0.946       1.057
summer#1999  |      1.036      0.029     1.28   0.200        0.981       1.094
summer#2000  |      1.008      0.030     0.26   0.793        0.951       1.068
summer#2001  |      1.060      0.032     1.91   0.056        0.999       1.125
summer#2002  |      1.038      0.024     1.60   0.110        0.992       1.087
summer#2003  |      1.075      0.032     2.42   0.015        1.014       1.140
summer#2004  |      1.058      0.031     1.94   0.053        0.999       1.121
summer#2005  |      1.044      0.028     1.63   0.103        0.991       1.100
summer#2006  |      1.074      0.034     2.24   0.025        1.009       1.142
summer#2007  |      1.077      0.027     2.93   0.003        1.025       1.131
summer#2008  |      1.036      0.026     1.42   0.157        0.987       1.088
summer#2009  |      1.103      0.029     3.74   0.000        1.048       1.162
summer#2010  |      1.103      0.034     3.21   0.001        1.039       1.171
  fall#1982  |      1.016      0.028     0.56   0.574        0.962       1.072
  fall#1983  |      1.009      0.034     0.26   0.792        0.944       1.078
  fall#1984  |      1.017      0.025     0.67   0.500        0.969       1.067
  fall#1985  |      1.051      0.030     1.70   0.088        0.993       1.112
  fall#1986  |      1.000      0.029     0.01   0.994        0.945       1.059
  fall#1987  |      1.027      0.033     0.83   0.409        0.965       1.093
  fall#1988  |      0.999      0.028    -0.03   0.974        0.946       1.055
  fall#1989  |      0.993      0.030    -0.24   0.813        0.937       1.053
  fall#1990  |      1.051      0.032     1.66   0.098        0.991       1.116
  fall#1991  |      1.042      0.028     1.51   0.130        0.988       1.099
  fall#1992  |      0.971      0.028    -1.02   0.308        0.917       1.028
  fall#1993  |      1.026      0.030     0.85   0.396        0.968       1.087
  fall#1994  |      1.047      0.027     1.77   0.077        0.995       1.102
  fall#1995  |      1.040      0.031     1.30   0.195        0.980       1.102
  fall#1996  |      1.036      0.032     1.13   0.258        0.975       1.101
  fall#1997  |      1.008      0.025     0.31   0.759        0.959       1.059
  fall#1998  |      0.973      0.027    -1.01   0.315        0.922       1.027
  fall#1999  |      1.011      0.031     0.34   0.735        0.951       1.074
  fall#2000  |      0.989      0.024    -0.46   0.648        0.944       1.037
  fall#2001  |      1.035      0.035     1.00   0.316        0.968       1.106
  fall#2002  |      1.017      0.025     0.68   0.495        0.969       1.067
  fall#2003  |      1.025      0.026     0.95   0.341        0.974       1.077
  fall#2004  |      1.065      0.036     1.85   0.064        0.996       1.138
  fall#2005  |      1.045      0.023     2.02   0.043        1.001       1.091
  fall#2006  |      1.064      0.033     1.99   0.047        1.001       1.130
  fall#2007  |      1.087      0.028     3.21   0.001        1.033       1.144
  fall#2008  |      1.040      0.024     1.72   0.086        0.994       1.088
  fall#2009  |      1.080      0.029     2.87   0.004        1.025       1.138
  fall#2010  |      1.055      0.031     1.81   0.070        0.996       1.118
             |
       _cons |     23.522      0.875    84.89   0.000       21.868      25.301
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_9: estpost margins, at(url12=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) ///
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : url12           =         5.8

2._at        : url12           =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1        0.21     0.6443
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |      -0.12       0.25         -0.62        0.38
--------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. 
. // #7
. // using cancer rather than suicide (similar exposure contrast)
.         
. poisson cncr icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb i.season##i.year, ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =     297600
                                                  Wald chi2(48)   =          .
                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -839473.69                 Pseudo R2       =     0.9465

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |               Robust
        cncr |        IRR   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      1.000      0.004    -0.02   0.987        0.991       1.009
             |
         sex |
    2female  |      0.689      0.008   -31.59   0.000        0.673       0.705
             |
       race2 |
 2OtherRace  |      1.064      0.041     1.62   0.106        0.987       1.148
             |
      agecat |
   25 to 44  |      5.303      0.140    63.22   0.000        5.036       5.584
   45 to 64  |     53.492      1.478   144.00   0.000       50.672      56.469
       >=65  |    239.704      5.417   242.45   0.000      229.318     250.561
             |
       stabb |
         AK  |      0.815      0.005   -32.17   0.000        0.805       0.825
         AZ  |      0.835      0.011   -13.26   0.000        0.813       0.858
         AR  |      0.998      0.004    -0.51   0.609        0.990       1.006
         CA  |      0.876      0.003   -40.85   0.000        0.870       0.882
         CO  |      0.796      0.009   -19.49   0.000        0.778       0.814
         CT  |      0.944      0.008    -6.85   0.000        0.928       0.959
         DE  |      1.032      0.005     7.24   0.000        1.023       1.041
         FL  |      0.909      0.006   -13.77   0.000        0.897       0.921
         GA  |      0.943      0.006    -9.68   0.000        0.932       0.955
         HI  |      0.723      0.018   -13.35   0.000        0.689       0.758
         ID  |      0.840      0.013   -11.23   0.000        0.815       0.866
         IL  |      0.993      0.005    -1.51   0.130        0.983       1.002
         IN  |      1.008      0.007     1.22   0.224        0.995       1.021
         IA  |      0.935      0.008    -7.62   0.000        0.919       0.951
         KS  |      0.913      0.007   -11.92   0.000        0.900       0.927
         KY  |      1.068      0.007    10.24   0.000        1.055       1.082
         LA  |      1.054      0.002    28.76   0.000        1.050       1.058
         ME  |      1.032      0.010     3.18   0.001        1.012       1.053
         MD  |      1.000      0.003     0.03   0.975        0.993       1.007
         MA  |      1.007      0.011     0.61   0.541        0.985       1.030
         MI  |      0.975      0.006    -4.45   0.000        0.964       0.986
         MN  |      0.899      0.008   -12.01   0.000        0.884       0.915
         MS  |      1.008      0.003     2.97   0.003        1.003       1.014
         MO  |      0.992      0.006    -1.21   0.224        0.980       1.005
         MT  |      0.903      0.009   -10.57   0.000        0.886       0.920
         NE  |      0.904      0.008   -10.72   0.000        0.888       0.921
         NV  |      0.933      0.017    -3.85   0.000        0.901       0.966
         NH  |      0.980      0.014    -1.38   0.168        0.953       1.008
         NJ  |      1.000      0.006     0.05   0.961        0.989       1.012
         NM  |      0.804      0.007   -25.61   0.000        0.791       0.818
         NY  |      0.949      0.004   -13.52   0.000        0.942       0.956
         NC  |      0.950      0.004   -12.84   0.000        0.942       0.957
         ND  |      0.895      0.009   -10.69   0.000        0.877       0.913
         OH  |      1.020      0.007     3.08   0.002        1.007       1.033
         OK  |      0.968      0.007    -4.87   0.000        0.955       0.981
         OR  |      0.941      0.012    -4.72   0.000        0.917       0.965
         PA  |      1.008      0.007     1.25   0.213        0.995       1.021
         RI  |      1.016      0.011     1.45   0.146        0.994       1.038
         SC  |      0.965      0.003   -11.62   0.000        0.960       0.971
         SD  |      0.907      0.008   -11.63   0.000        0.892       0.922
         TN  |      1.009      0.004     1.98   0.047        1.000       1.017
         TX  |      0.902      0.007   -13.91   0.000        0.889       0.915
         UT  |      0.688      0.009   -28.78   0.000        0.670       0.706
         VT  |      0.961      0.009    -4.38   0.000        0.944       0.978
         VA  |      0.962      0.003   -13.90   0.000        0.957       0.967
         WA  |      0.914      0.005   -15.31   0.000        0.904       0.925
         WV  |      1.034      0.008     4.32   0.000        1.018       1.050
         WI  |      0.936      0.010    -5.99   0.000        0.916       0.956
         WY  |      0.856      0.009   -15.36   0.000        0.839       0.873
             |
      season |
     spring  |      0.977      0.005    -4.90   0.000        0.968       0.986
     summer  |      0.979      0.003    -6.17   0.000        0.972       0.985
       fall  |      0.985      0.004    -3.79   0.000        0.977       0.993
             |
        year |
       1981  |      0.986      0.005    -2.84   0.005        0.976       0.996
       1982  |      0.982      0.005    -3.38   0.001        0.971       0.992
       1983  |      1.005      0.006     0.75   0.455        0.993       1.017
       1984  |      1.015      0.008     2.05   0.041        1.001       1.030
       1985  |      1.025      0.011     2.36   0.018        1.004       1.045
       1986  |      1.021      0.009     2.27   0.023        1.003       1.040
       1987  |      1.010      0.013     0.76   0.446        0.984       1.037
       1988  |      1.031      0.016     2.03   0.043        1.001       1.062
       1989  |      1.035      0.019     1.87   0.062        0.998       1.072
       1990  |      1.028      0.021     1.38   0.169        0.988       1.070
       1991  |      1.029      0.020     1.49   0.136        0.991       1.068
       1992  |      1.024      0.020     1.21   0.228        0.985       1.065
       1993  |      1.021      0.023     0.92   0.359        0.977       1.067
       1994  |      1.009      0.024     0.36   0.717        0.962       1.058
       1995  |      1.005      0.026     0.18   0.858        0.956       1.056
       1996  |      1.001      0.029     0.04   0.971        0.945       1.060
       1997  |      0.975      0.029    -0.84   0.398        0.919       1.034
       1998  |      0.968      0.033    -0.94   0.346        0.905       1.036
       1999  |      0.981      0.035    -0.54   0.592        0.914       1.053
       2000  |      0.966      0.038    -0.87   0.382        0.894       1.044
       2001  |      0.941      0.037    -1.55   0.121        0.872       1.016
       2002  |      0.941      0.038    -1.51   0.131        0.870       1.018
       2003  |      0.927      0.037    -1.91   0.057        0.857       1.002
       2004  |      0.915      0.038    -2.13   0.033        0.843       0.993
       2005  |      0.904      0.039    -2.33   0.020        0.831       0.984
       2006  |      0.881      0.041    -2.72   0.007        0.805       0.965
       2007  |      0.871      0.041    -2.91   0.004        0.794       0.956
       2008  |      0.866      0.041    -3.05   0.002        0.789       0.950
       2009  |      0.841      0.036    -4.01   0.000        0.772       0.915
       2010  |      0.835      0.035    -4.25   0.000        0.769       0.907
             |
 season#year |
spring#1981  |      1.016      0.009     1.73   0.083        0.998       1.033
spring#1982  |      1.048      0.009     5.29   0.000        1.030       1.066
spring#1983  |      1.011      0.008     1.39   0.166        0.995       1.027
spring#1984  |      1.014      0.007     2.02   0.044        1.000       1.028
spring#1985  |      0.999      0.006    -0.20   0.844        0.987       1.011
spring#1986  |      1.011      0.007     1.72   0.086        0.998       1.024
spring#1987  |      1.024      0.009     2.75   0.006        1.007       1.041
spring#1988  |      0.994      0.006    -0.93   0.353        0.982       1.007
spring#1989  |      1.008      0.006     1.37   0.170        0.997       1.018
spring#1990  |      1.012      0.006     1.85   0.065        0.999       1.025
spring#1991  |      1.018      0.006     3.14   0.002        1.007       1.030
spring#1992  |      1.014      0.006     2.37   0.018        1.002       1.026
spring#1993  |      1.021      0.006     3.69   0.000        1.010       1.032
spring#1994  |      1.021      0.007     3.12   0.002        1.008       1.035
spring#1995  |      1.018      0.006     3.12   0.002        1.007       1.030
spring#1996  |      1.007      0.005     1.30   0.195        0.997       1.017
spring#1997  |      1.021      0.008     2.76   0.006        1.006       1.036
spring#1998  |      1.011      0.006     1.86   0.063        0.999       1.023
spring#1999  |      1.008      0.005     1.58   0.113        0.998       1.018
spring#2000  |      1.001      0.006     0.13   0.895        0.989       1.013
spring#2001  |      1.033      0.005     6.15   0.000        1.023       1.044
spring#2002  |      1.026      0.007     3.82   0.000        1.013       1.040
spring#2003  |      1.016      0.006     2.57   0.010        1.004       1.028
spring#2004  |      1.011      0.006     1.91   0.056        1.000       1.022
spring#2005  |      1.020      0.006     3.38   0.001        1.008       1.031
spring#2006  |      1.029      0.006     5.18   0.000        1.018       1.040
spring#2007  |      1.018      0.007     2.81   0.005        1.005       1.031
spring#2008  |      1.009      0.006     1.44   0.150        0.997       1.021
spring#2009  |      1.020      0.006     3.27   0.001        1.008       1.032
spring#2010  |      1.022      0.006     3.79   0.000        1.011       1.034
summer#1981  |      1.021      0.006     3.27   0.001        1.008       1.033
summer#1982  |      1.029      0.007     4.48   0.000        1.016       1.042
summer#1983  |      1.014      0.007     1.89   0.059        0.999       1.028
summer#1984  |      1.007      0.005     1.33   0.184        0.997       1.018
summer#1985  |      1.001      0.006     0.26   0.797        0.990       1.013
summer#1986  |      1.009      0.005     1.85   0.064        0.999       1.018
summer#1987  |      1.030      0.007     4.43   0.000        1.016       1.043
summer#1988  |      0.999      0.005    -0.27   0.785        0.988       1.009
summer#1989  |      0.995      0.004    -1.35   0.176        0.987       1.002
summer#1990  |      1.015      0.004     4.00   0.000        1.008       1.022
summer#1991  |      1.014      0.006     2.20   0.028        1.002       1.027
summer#1992  |      1.008      0.005     1.64   0.102        0.998       1.017
summer#1993  |      1.008      0.005     1.54   0.124        0.998       1.017
summer#1994  |      1.021      0.005     4.06   0.000        1.011       1.032
summer#1995  |      1.008      0.006     1.34   0.179        0.996       1.021
summer#1996  |      0.995      0.005    -0.86   0.392        0.985       1.006
summer#1997  |      1.009      0.007     1.29   0.197        0.995       1.023
summer#1998  |      1.013      0.005     2.59   0.010        1.003       1.022
summer#1999  |      0.985      0.005    -3.27   0.001        0.976       0.994
summer#2000  |      0.999      0.005    -0.21   0.831        0.989       1.009
summer#2001  |      1.015      0.005     2.85   0.004        1.005       1.026
summer#2002  |      1.001      0.006     0.25   0.802        0.990       1.013
summer#2003  |      1.006      0.005     1.32   0.187        0.997       1.015
summer#2004  |      0.995      0.005    -0.93   0.352        0.985       1.005
summer#2005  |      0.998      0.005    -0.39   0.694        0.988       1.008
summer#2006  |      1.007      0.005     1.33   0.184        0.997       1.017
summer#2007  |      1.012      0.005     2.39   0.017        1.002       1.022
summer#2008  |      0.992      0.004    -1.89   0.058        0.983       1.000
summer#2009  |      1.010      0.005     1.95   0.051        1.000       1.020
summer#2010  |      1.014      0.005     2.78   0.005        1.004       1.024
  fall#1981  |      1.006      0.006     0.97   0.333        0.994       1.018
  fall#1982  |      1.030      0.007     4.25   0.000        1.016       1.044
  fall#1983  |      1.011      0.005     2.06   0.039        1.001       1.021
  fall#1984  |      1.010      0.006     1.55   0.122        0.997       1.022
  fall#1985  |      1.007      0.007     1.08   0.281        0.994       1.020
  fall#1986  |      1.005      0.007     0.79   0.432        0.992       1.018
  fall#1987  |      1.015      0.007     2.24   0.025        1.002       1.028
  fall#1988  |      0.997      0.004    -0.58   0.562        0.989       1.006
  fall#1989  |      1.001      0.005     0.23   0.818        0.991       1.011
  fall#1990  |      1.013      0.006     2.21   0.027        1.001       1.024
  fall#1991  |      1.013      0.005     2.38   0.017        1.002       1.023
  fall#1992  |      1.007      0.005     1.43   0.152        0.998       1.016
  fall#1993  |      1.007      0.006     1.24   0.215        0.996       1.019
  fall#1994  |      1.007      0.005     1.40   0.162        0.997       1.017
  fall#1995  |      1.004      0.006     0.70   0.481        0.993       1.016
  fall#1996  |      0.988      0.007    -1.84   0.066        0.975       1.001
  fall#1997  |      1.009      0.007     1.19   0.235        0.994       1.023
  fall#1998  |      1.003      0.005     0.73   0.468        0.994       1.013
  fall#1999  |      0.988      0.005    -2.34   0.019        0.978       0.998
  fall#2000  |      1.007      0.005     1.24   0.214        0.996       1.017
  fall#2001  |      1.013      0.004     3.06   0.002        1.005       1.021
  fall#2002  |      1.000      0.005     0.03   0.975        0.991       1.010
  fall#2003  |      1.005      0.005     0.88   0.380        0.994       1.015
  fall#2004  |      0.986      0.005    -2.57   0.010        0.976       0.997
  fall#2005  |      0.991      0.005    -1.77   0.076        0.982       1.001
  fall#2006  |      1.009      0.004     2.33   0.020        1.001       1.017
  fall#2007  |      1.003      0.005     0.70   0.485        0.994       1.013
  fall#2008  |      0.988      0.005    -2.38   0.017        0.978       0.998
  fall#2009  |      1.009      0.006     1.63   0.103        0.998       1.020
  fall#2010  |      1.000      0.005     0.08   0.940        0.990       1.011
             |
       _cons |      5.999      0.223    48.15   0.000        5.577       6.453
  logpop100y |      1.000  (offset)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * predicted marginal effects
. eststo m_10: estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f) 

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |      -0.03       1.56    -0.02   0.987        -3.08        3.03
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

.         
. 
.         
. // #8
. // write results to file
. 
. esttab m_* using suic-econ-table2.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar n
> ot ///
>         nolines nonum delimiter(";") replace
(output written to suic-econ-table2.txt)

.         
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a7-sens.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  22 Feb 2015, 02:56:28
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit    

end of do-file

. 
. 
. /*      Sensitivity analyses by period of observation (Table 2) */
. do suic-econ-a8-period.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-a8-period.txt, replace text
(note: file /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-e
> con-a8-period.txt not found)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a8-period.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  22 Feb 2015, 07:40:38

. 
. //  program:    suic-econ-a8-period.do
. //  task:               sensitivity analyses for recessions on suicide: by per
> iod
. //      input:          suic-econ-data1-census.dta
. //      output:         suic-econ-atable-time-icei.txt suic-econ-atable-time-u
> nemp.txt
. //  project:    economic conditions and suicide
. //  author:     sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 12

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. set matsize 11000

. 
. 
. // #1
. // data and descriptive table
. 
. use suic-econ-data1-census, clear
(Suicide deaths and Census denominators, 1980-2010)

. 
. * re-scale icei for a 10-unit change, change sign to estimate decrease
. replace icei= -1*icei/10
(297600 real changes made)

. 
. // #2
. // basic FE model variations by period
. 
. forvalues i=1980(5)2005 {
  2.         
.         disp "Period: `i'-2010"
  3.         * using ICEI as exposure
.         qui poisson suic icei i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb ///
>         i.season##i.year if year>=`i', ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
  4. 
.         * predicted marginal effects
.         eststo m_i`i': estpost margins, dydx(icei) predict(ir) ///
>         vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)
  5.         
.         * now for unemployment as exposure
.         qui poisson suic unemprtsa i.sex i.race2 i.agecat i.stabb ///
>         i.season##i.year if year>=`i', ///
>         offset(logpop100y) vce(cluster stabb) nolog irr cformat(%4.3f)
  6. 
.         * predicted marginal effects
.         eststo m_u`i': estpost margins, at(unemprtsa=(5.8 9.6)) predict(ir) //
> /
>         contrast(atcontrast(r._at)) vce(unconditional) cformat(%4.2f)
  7.         }
Period: 1980-2010

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     297600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.14       0.07     2.02   0.044         0.00        0.28
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1        0.08     0.7730
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |      -0.08       0.28         -0.62        0.46
--------------------------------------------------------------
Period: 1985-2010

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     249600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.15       0.07     2.23   0.026         0.02        0.29
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1        0.56     0.4549
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.19       0.25         -0.30        0.68
--------------------------------------------------------------
Period: 1990-2010

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     201600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.18       0.07     2.49   0.013         0.04        0.32
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1       10.42     0.0012
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.75       0.23          0.29        1.21
--------------------------------------------------------------
Period: 1995-2010

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     153600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.22       0.05     4.01   0.000         0.11        0.32
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1       12.41     0.0004
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.66       0.19          0.29        1.02
--------------------------------------------------------------
Period: 2000-2010

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =     105600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.07       0.03     2.17   0.030         0.01        0.14
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1        3.11     0.0780
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.23       0.13         -0.03        0.48
--------------------------------------------------------------
Period: 2005-2010

Average marginal effects                          Number of obs   =      57600

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)
dy/dx w.r.t. : icei

                                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |      dy/dx   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        icei |       0.00       0.06     0.06   0.950        -0.12        0.12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Contrasts of predictive margins

Expression   : Predicted incidence rate, predict(ir)

1._at        : unemprtsa       =         5.8

2._at        : unemprtsa       =         9.6

------------------------------------------------
             |         df        chi2     P>chi2
-------------+----------------------------------
         _at |          1        0.89     0.3455
------------------------------------------------

                 (Std. Err. adjusted for 50 clusters in stabb)
--------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Unconditional
             |   Contrast   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+------------------------------------------------
         _at |
   (2 vs 1)  |       0.12       0.13         -0.13        0.38
--------------------------------------------------------------

.         
.         
. // write results for ICEI and unemployment to file
. 
. esttab m_i* using suic-econ-atable-time-icei.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar n
> ot ///
>         nolines nonum mtitle((0) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)) delimiter(";") replace
(note: file suic-econ-atable-time-icei.txt not found)
(output written to suic-econ-atable-time-icei.txt)

. 
. esttab m_u* using suic-econ-atable-time-unemp.txt,  ///
>         cells("b(fmt(%4.2f)) ci(par( ( , ) ))") collabels(Est. 95%CI) nostar n
> ot ///
>         nolines nonum mtitle((0) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)) delimiter(";") replace
(note: file suic-econ-atable-time-unemp.txt not found)
(output written to suic-econ-atable-time-unemp.txt)

.         
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-a8-period.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  22 Feb 2015, 07:54:30
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit    

end of do-file



. 
. /*      Figure 3 */
. do suic-econ-fig3.do

. capture log close

. log using suic-econ-figure3.txt, replace text
(note: file /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-e
> con-figure3.txt not found)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-figure3.txt
  log type:  text
 opened on:  22 Feb 2015, 08:00:08

. 
. // program:     suic-econ-figure3.do
. // task:        plot estimates for demographic groups
. // input:       estimates from poisson regressions
. // output:      figure 3
. // project: economic conditions and suicide
. // author:  sam harper \ 17dec2014
. 
. //  #0
. //  program setup
. 
. version 13

. set linesize 80

. clear all

. macro drop _all

. 
. 
. // #1 overall effect
. tempfile gte

. use te_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(12 observations deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="1980-2010"

. gen bygroup="Overall"

. save `gte', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000001 not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000001 saved

. 
. 
. // #2
. // By recessionary period
. * during national recession
. tempfile gnrec1

. use recper, clear

. keep if parm=="1.recper"
(1 observation deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Recessionary period"

. gen bygroup="During national recession (2250 state-months)"

. save `gnrec1'
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000002 saved

. 
. * national recession
. tempfile gnrec0

. use recper, clear

. keep if parm=="0.recper"
(1 observation deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Recessionary period"

. gen bygroup="Absent national recession (16350 state-months)"

. save `gnrec0'
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000003 saved

. 
. * during state recession
. tempfile strec1

. use strec, clear

. keep if parm=="2._at"
(1 observation deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Recessionary period"

. gen bygroup="During state recession (4126 state-months)"

. save `strec1'
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000004 saved

. 
. * national recession
. tempfile strec0

. use strec, clear

. keep if parm=="1._at"
(1 observation deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Recessionary period"

. gen bygroup="Absent state recession (14474 state-months)"

. save `strec0'
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000005 saved

. 
. // #3
. // Gender
. 
. * men
. tempfile gmen

. use sex_1_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(11 observations deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Gender"

. gen bygroup="Men"

. save `gmen', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000006 not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000006 saved

. 
. * women
. tempfile gwomen

. use sex_2_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(11 observations deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Gender"

. gen bygroup="Women"

. save `gwomen', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000007 not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000007 saved

. 
. // #4
. // Race
. 
. * white
. tempfile gwhite

. use race2_1_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(11 observations deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Race"

. gen bygroup="White"

. save `gwhite', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000008 not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000008 saved

. 
. * non-white
. tempfile gnonwhite

. use race2_2_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(11 observations deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Race"

. gen bygroup="Non-white"

. save `gnonwhite', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000009 not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.000009 saved

. 
. 
. // #5
. // Age groups
. 
. * 15-24
. tempfile gage1

. use agecat_1_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(9 observations deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Age"

. gen bygroup="15-24 years"

. save `gage1', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000a not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000a saved

. 
. * 25-44
. tempfile gage2

. use agecat_2_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(9 observations deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Age"

. gen bygroup="25-44 years"

. save `gage2', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000b not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000b saved

. 
. * 45-64
. tempfile gage3

. use agecat_3_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(9 observations deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Age"

. gen bygroup="45-64 years"

. save `gage3', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000c not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000c saved

. 
. * 65+
. tempfile gage4

. use agecat_4_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(9 observations deleted)

. gen period="1980-2010"

. gen agerange="15+"

. gen category="Age"

. gen bygroup="65 years and over"

. save `gage4', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000d not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000d saved

. 
. // #6
. //  1994-2010 Education among those ages 25+
. 
. * All groups
. tempfile te1994 

. use te_1994__m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(15 observations deleted)

. gen period="1994-2010"

. gen agerange="25+"

. gen category="1994-2010"

. gen bygroup="Overall"

. save `te1994', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000e not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000e saved

. 
. * <12 years
. tempfile geduc1

. use educa3_1_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(11 observations deleted)

. gen period="1994-2010"

. gen agerange="25+"

. gen category="Education: ages 25+"

. gen bygroup="<12 years"

. save `geduc1', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000f not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000f saved

. 
. * 12 years
. tempfile geduc2

. use educa3_2_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(11 observations deleted)

. gen period="1994-2010"

. gen agerange="25+"

. gen category="Education: ages 25+"

. gen bygroup="12 years"

. save `geduc2', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000g not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000g saved

. 
. * >12 years
. tempfile geduc3

. use educa3_3_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(11 observations deleted)

. gen period="1994-2010"

. gen agerange="25+"

. gen category="Education: ages 25+"

. gen bygroup=">12 years"

. save `geduc3', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000h not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000h saved

. 
. // #7 
. // 1994-2010 Education among those ages 25-64
. 
. * <12 years
. tempfile geduc1r

. use educa3wa_1_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(10 observations deleted)

. gen period="1994-2010"

. gen agerange="25-64"

. gen category="Education: ages 25-64"

. gen bygroup="<12 years"

. save `geduc1r', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000i not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000i saved

. 
. * 12 years
. tempfile geduc2r

. use educa3wa_2_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(10 observations deleted)

. gen period="1994-2010"

. gen agerange="25-64"

. gen category="Education: ages 25-64"

. gen bygroup="12 years"

. save `geduc2r', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000j not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000j saved

. 
. * >12 years
. tempfile geduc3r

. use educa3wa_3_m_2, clear

. keep if parm=="icei"
(10 observations deleted)

. gen period="1994-2010"

. gen agerange="25-64"

. gen category="Education: ages 25-64"

. gen bygroup=">12 years"

. save `geduc3r', replace
(note: file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000k not
>  found)
file /var/folders/v9/q_gc75fs64jf9bgm1pm9bn880000gn/T//S_83362.00000k saved

. 
. // #8
. // plot using -metan
. 
. use `gte', clear

. append using `gnrec1' `gnrec0' `strec1' `strec0' `gmen' `gwomen' `gwhite' ///
>         `gnonwhite' `gage1' `gage2' `gage3' `te1994' `gage4' `gtoteduc' ///
>         `geduc1' `geduc2' `geduc3' `geduc1r' `geduc2r' `geduc3r' 
(note: variable category was str9, now str19 to accommodate using data's
       values)
(note: variable bygroup was str7, now str45 to accommodate using data's
       values)
(note: variable bygroup was str45, now str46 to accommodate using data's
       values)
(note: variable agerange was str3, now str5 to accommodate using data's
       values)
(note: variable category was str19, now str21 to accommodate using data's
       values)

. 
. label var agerange "Age range"

. label var period "Time"

. label var category "Demographic category"

. label var bygroup "Population"

. 
. qui metan estimate min95 max95, by(category) xlabel(-2, 0, 2)

. 
. * heterogeneity tests
. metan estimate min95 max95, by(category) nograph fixedi

           Study     |     ES    [95% Conf. Interval]     % Weight
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     1980-2010
1                    |    0.144     0.004     0.284          6.15
 Sub-total           |
  I-V pooled ES      |    0.144     0.004     0.284          6.15
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Recessionary period
2                    |    0.112    -0.025     0.249          6.43
3                    |    0.149     0.007     0.291          5.97
4                    |    0.081    -0.069     0.231          5.35
5                    |    0.168     0.029     0.307          6.25
 Sub-total           |
  I-V pooled ES      |    0.129     0.058     0.200         24.00
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Gender
6                    |    0.279     0.071     0.487          2.79
7                    |    0.019    -0.055     0.093         22.01
 Sub-total           |
  I-V pooled ES      |    0.048    -0.022     0.118         24.80
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Race
8                    |    0.178     0.005     0.351          4.03
9                    |    0.315     0.048     0.582          1.69
 Sub-total           |
  I-V pooled ES      |    0.219     0.074     0.364          5.72
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Age
10                   |    0.198     0.032     0.364          4.37
11                   |    0.273     0.070     0.475          2.94
12                   |    0.147    -0.017     0.311          4.49
14                   |   -0.150    -0.296    -0.004          5.65
 Sub-total           |
  I-V pooled ES      |    0.085     0.002     0.168         17.44
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     1994-2010
13                   |    0.339     0.179     0.500          4.70
 Sub-total           |
  I-V pooled ES      |    0.339     0.179     0.500          4.70
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Education: ages 25+
15                   |    1.222     0.826     1.617          0.77
16                   |    0.528     0.224     0.832          1.31
17                   |    0.154     0.019     0.290          6.55
 Sub-total           |
  I-V pooled ES      |    0.306     0.188     0.425          8.63
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Education: ages 25-6
18                   |    1.512     1.093     1.931          0.69
19                   |    0.692     0.322     1.063          0.88
20                   |    0.151     0.020     0.283          6.99
 Sub-total           |
  I-V pooled ES      |    0.316     0.197     0.435          8.55
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
Overall              |           
  I-V pooled ES      |    0.148     0.114     0.183        100.00
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
 Heterogeneity calculated by formula
  Q = SIGMA_i{ (1/variance_i)*(effect_i - effect_pooled)^2 } 
where variance_i = ((upper limit - lower limit)/(2*z))^2 

Test(s) of heterogeneity:
               Heterogeneity  degrees of
                 statistic     freedom      P    I-squared**
1980-2010            0.00          0         .         .%
Recessionary period  0.82          3      0.845      0.0%
Gender               5.34          1      0.021     81.3%
Race                 0.71          1      0.400      0.0%
Age                 15.56          3      0.001     80.7%
1994-2010            0.00          0         .         .%
Education: ages 25+ 27.44          2      0.000     92.7%
Education: ages 25-6 41.25         2      0.000     95.2%
Overall            122.49         19      0.000     84.5%
Overall Test for heterogeneity between sub-groups: 
                    31.38          7      0.000

** I-squared: the variation in ES attributable to heterogeneity)

Considerable heterogeneity observed (up to 95.2%) in one or more sub-groups,
Test for heterogeneity between sub-groups likely to be invalid

Significance test(s) of ES=0

1980-2010             z=  2.02     p = 0.044
Recessionary period   z=  3.56     p = 0.000
Gender                z=  1.35     p = 0.177
Race                  z=  2.95     p = 0.003
Age                   z=  2.00     p = 0.045
1994-2010             z=  4.15     p = 0.000
Education: ages 25+   z=  5.08     p = 0.000
Education: ages 25-6  z=  5.22     p = 0.000
Overall               z=  8.38     p = 0.000
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. * graph
. 
. metan estimate min95 max95, by(category) nosubgroup  nooverall ///
>         label(namevar=bygroup) rcols(agerange) lcols(bygroup) texts(115) ///
>         effect("Rate Diff per 100000") nobox ///
>         favours(Exposure decreases suicide # Exposure increases suicide) ///
>         graphregion(fcolor(white) lcolor(white)) ///
>         pointopt(msymbol(circle) mcolor(black) mfcolor(gray)) ///
>         xlabel(-1.5,-1.0,-0.5,0,0.5,1.0,1.5) xsize(6.5) ysize(7)

           Study     |     ES    [95% Conf. Interval]     
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     1980-2010
Overall              |    0.144     0.004     0.284        
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Recessionary period
During national rece |    0.112    -0.025     0.249        
Absent national rece |    0.149     0.007     0.291        
During state recessi |    0.081    -0.069     0.231        
Absent state recessi |    0.168     0.029     0.307        
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Gender
Men                  |    0.279     0.071     0.487        
Women                |    0.019    -0.055     0.093        
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Race
White                |    0.178     0.005     0.351        
Non-white            |    0.315     0.048     0.582        
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Age
15-24 years          |    0.198     0.032     0.364        
25-44 years          |    0.273     0.070     0.475        
45-64 years          |    0.147    -0.017     0.311        
65 years and over    |   -0.150    -0.296    -0.004        
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     1994-2010
Overall              |    0.339     0.179     0.500        
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Education: ages 25+
<12 years            |    1.222     0.826     1.617        
12 years             |    0.528     0.224     0.832        
>12 years            |    0.154     0.019     0.290        
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------
     Education: ages 25-6
<12 years            |    1.512     1.093     1.931        
12 years             |    0.692     0.322     1.063        
>12 years            |    0.151     0.020     0.283        
---------------------+---------------------------------------------------

. 
. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-figure3.txt
  log type:  text
 closed on:  22 Feb 2015, 08:00:15
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. exit

end of do-file

. 
. log close master
      name:  master
       log:  /Users/samharper/Dropbox/-to review/suicide/replication files/suic-
> econ-master.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:  22 Feb 2015, 08:00:15
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
